FinalWin Prob.pScore
2548%91
83
2752%92
89
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
91.29184.8
MIA logo MIA
96.79299.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound83
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORButler BLOCK (2 BLK)83
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot83
11.7%
85
88.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIACarter Driving Layup (7 PTS)83
23.1%
85
76.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
38.9%
83
61.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot83
53.3%
83
46.7%
Q4 - 1:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
40.3%
83
59.7%
Q4 - 1:06TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
45.3%
83
54.7%
Q4 - 1:12TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
56.6%
83
43.4%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup83
51.7%
83
48.3%
Q4 - 1:29TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)83
41.4%
83
58.6%
Q4 - 1:29TORRaptors Rebound83
56.8%
83
43.2%
Q4 - 1:30TOREllis BLOCK (2 BLK)83
46.2%
83
53.8%
Q4 - 1:53TORRaptors Rebound83
55.8%
83
44.2%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot83
51.9%
83
48.1%
Q4 - 1:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
42.9%
83
57.1%
Q4 - 1:56TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot83
46.8%
83
53.2%
Q4 - 2:05TORRaptors Rebound83
57.9%
83
42.1%
Q4 - 2:07TORMISS Jefferies Driving Finger Roll83
46.7%
83
53.3%
Q4 - 2:29TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
58.6%
83
41.4%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot83
53.5%
83
46.5%
Q4 - 2:54TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferies 3 AST)83
41.9%
83
58.1%
Q4 - 2:57TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
26.5%
83
73.5%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS James Driving Layup80
23.1%
83
76.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)80
16.5%
83
83.5%
Q4 - 3:12TORMISS McCoy Driving Layup80
19.1%
83
80.9%
Q4 - 3:31TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
28.3%
83
71.7%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot80
25.9%
83
74.1%
Q4 - 3:54MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
20.5%
83
79.5%
Q4 - 3:56TORMISS McCoy 18' Jump Shot80
22.5%
83
77.5%
Q4 - 4:26MIAGrant Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (James 3 AST)80
27.3%
83
72.7%
Q4 - 4:43TORWilliams 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)80
34.9%
81
65.1%
Q4 - 5:09MIALampley Dunk (9 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)78
29.5%
81
70.5%
Q4 - 5:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)78
36.5%
79
63.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot78
42.3%
79
57.7%
Q4 - 5:31TORJefferies Reverse Layup (15 PTS)78
36.5%
79
63.5%
Q4 - 5:38TORAlston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
29.4%
79
70.6%
Q4 - 5:40TORMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
24.6%
79
75.4%
Q4 - 6:02MIAStepania Tip Shot (6 PTS)76
31.4%
79
68.6%
Q4 - 6:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)76
37.1%
77
62.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Lampley Layup76
42.9%
77
57.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIALampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
37.1%
77
62.9%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Lampley Driving Layup76
42.9%
77
57.1%
Q4 - 6:32TORWilliams Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)76
37.1%
77
62.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)74
31.2%
77
68.8%
Q4 - 6:48MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
24.3%
77
75.7%
Q4 - 6:50TORMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot74
26.3%
77
73.7%
Q4 - 7:02TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
33.0%
77
67.0%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot74
31.0%
77
69.0%
Q4 - 7:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
26.5%
77
73.5%
Q4 - 7:15TORStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)74
28.4%
77
71.6%
Q4 - 7:36TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q4 - 7:38TORMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot74
28.3%
77
71.7%
Q4 - 7:52MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)74
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q4 - 8:20TORWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
28.1%
77
71.9%
Q4 - 8:28TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Best 5' Running Jump Shot72
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q4 - 8:45TORStepania STEAL (1 STL)72
18.9%
77
81.1%
Q4 - 8:59TORRaptors Rebound72
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Lampley 6' Jump Shot72
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
20.3%
77
79.7%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Lampley 20' Jump Shot72
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q4 - 9:37TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)72
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q4 - 9:41MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)72
24.6%
77
75.4%
Q4 - 9:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q4 - 9:49TORMISS N'diaye 6' Hook Shot72
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q4 - 10:09MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
25.7%
77
74.3%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
26.7%
76
73.3%
Q4 - 10:13MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
25.3%
76
74.7%
Q4 - 10:15TORMISS Jefferies Dunk72
26.8%
76
73.2%
Q4 - 10:39MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
30.2%
76
69.8%
Q4 - 10:39MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
31.4%
75
68.6%
Q4 - 10:59TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
34.8%
74
65.2%
Q4 - 10:59TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
33.8%
74
66.2%
Q4 - 11:12TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
30.7%
74
69.3%
Q4 - 11:15TORMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot70
27.5%
74
72.5%
Q4 - 11:43MIAEllis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)70
30.7%
74
69.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
35.3%
72
64.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
35.3%
72
64.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot70
39.0%
72
61.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
36.3%
72
63.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORMISS N'diaye Layup70
37.7%
72
62.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS)70
41.1%
72
58.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
46.1%
70
53.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Best 3' Finger Roll70
49.7%
70
50.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0TORAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)70
46.1%
70
53.9%
Q3 - 1:02MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)67
36.9%
70
63.1%
Q3 - 1:08TORButler STEAL (1 STL)67
32.3%
70
67.7%
Q3 - 1:15MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)67
36.9%
70
63.1%
Q3 - 1:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
32.3%
70
67.7%
Q3 - 1:24TORMISS Jefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
33.7%
70
66.3%
Q3 - 1:49MIAEllis 4' Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Carter 10 AST)67
36.9%
70
63.1%
Q3 - 2:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
41.1%
68
58.9%
Q3 - 2:04TORMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
42.6%
68
57.4%
Q3 - 2:23MIACarter 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)67
46.1%
68
53.9%
Q3 - 2:43TORMcCoy Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)67
50.4%
66
49.6%
Q3 - 2:56MIAButler Dunk (11 PTS) (Carter 9 AST)67
55.5%
66
44.5%
Q3 - 3:05TORBradley Layup (8 PTS)67
59.4%
64
40.6%
Q3 - 3:08TORBradley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
55.3%
64
44.7%
Q3 - 3:10TOREllis BLOCK (1 BLK)65
52.0%
64
48.0%
Q3 - 3:28MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)65
55.3%
64
44.7%
Q3 - 3:42MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
59.4%
62
40.6%
Q3 - 3:44TORMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot65
60.8%
62
39.2%
Q3 - 3:49MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)65
63.9%
62
36.1%
Q3 - 4:09TORJefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)65
58.6%
62
41.4%
Q3 - 4:23TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
50.7%
62
49.3%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Butler Layup62
49.2%
62
50.8%
Q3 - 4:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
45.8%
62
54.2%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Butler Layup62
49.2%
62
50.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
45.8%
62
54.2%
Q3 - 4:45TORMISS Jefferies 21' Jump Shot62
47.3%
62
52.7%
Q3 - 4:58MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)62
50.7%
62
49.3%
Q3 - 4:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
45.8%
62
54.2%
Q3 - 5:00TORButler BLOCK (1 BLK)62
47.3%
62
52.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIAButler 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
50.5%
62
49.5%
Q3 - 5:25MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
54.3%
60
45.7%
Q3 - 5:27TORMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
55.7%
60
44.3%
Q3 - 5:32TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
58.8%
60
41.2%
Q3 - 5:34TORMISS Alston 4' Running Hook Shot62
55.7%
60
44.3%
Q3 - 5:51MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS)62
58.8%
60
41.2%
Q3 - 6:05TORPeterson Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferies 2 AST)62
61.8%
58
38.2%
Q3 - 6:21MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)60
58.2%
58
41.8%
Q3 - 6:39TORBradley 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
61.8%
56
38.2%
Q3 - 7:01MIAButler Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)58
57.6%
56
42.4%
Q3 - 7:06MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
60.8%
54
39.2%
Q3 - 7:07TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup58
62.1%
54
37.9%
Q3 - 7:12MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)58
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q3 - 7:18MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
60.9%
54
39.1%
Q3 - 7:20TORMISS Jefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
62.2%
54
37.8%
Q3 - 7:41TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 258
64.5%
54
35.5%
Q3 - 7:42MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
62.5%
54
37.5%
Q3 - 7:56TORWilliams 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
64.6%
53
35.4%
Q3 - 8:16TORRaptors Rebound56
61.3%
53
38.7%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot56
60.0%
53
40.0%
Q3 - 8:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
57.1%
53
42.9%
Q3 - 8:39TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
58.4%
53
41.6%
Q3 - 8:53TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
61.3%
53
38.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Butler 5' Finger Roll56
60.0%
53
40.0%
Q3 - 9:07TORMcCoy Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
56.8%
53
43.2%
Q3 - 9:07TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
55.4%
53
44.6%
Q3 - 9:19TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
53.3%
53
46.7%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot54
52.1%
53
47.9%
Q3 - 9:40TORWilliams 22' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
49.5%
53
50.5%
Q3 - 10:06MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)52
46.3%
53
53.7%
Q3 - 10:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q3 - 10:18TORMISS Jefferies 10' Running Hook Shot52
54.1%
50
45.9%
Q3 - 10:32MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
56.9%
50
43.1%
Q3 - 10:32MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
57.8%
49
42.2%
Q3 - 10:38TORGrant STEAL (1 STL)52
59.9%
48
40.1%
Q3 - 10:58MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)52
63.6%
48
36.4%
Q3 - 11:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
69.3%
45
30.7%
Q3 - 11:17TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
72.2%
45
27.8%
Q3 - 11:17TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot52
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q3 - 11:21TORMISS Bradley 5' Hook Shot52
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q3 - 11:29TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
72.3%
45
27.7%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup52
71.4%
45
28.6%
Q3 - 11:37MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
69.3%
45
30.7%
Q3 - 11:39TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot52
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
72.3%
45
27.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORCarter STEAL (2 STL)52
69.3%
45
30.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot52
70.5%
45
29.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)52
69.1%
45
30.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORRaptors Rebound52
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0TORButler BLOCK (1 BLK)52
69.7%
45
30.3%
Q2 - 1:08MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)52
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q2 - 1:21TORJefferies Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
74.1%
43
25.9%
Q2 - 1:21TORMISS Jefferies Free Throw 1 of 251
73.5%
43
26.5%
Q2 - 1:21TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
72.9%
43
27.1%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot51
72.5%
43
27.5%
Q2 - 1:42TORBaston Driving Layup (2 PTS)51
71.5%
43
28.5%
Q2 - 2:02MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)49
67.5%
43
32.5%
Q2 - 2:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
70.3%
41
29.7%
Q2 - 2:16TORMISS Peterson 12' Jump Shot49
71.1%
41
28.9%
Q2 - 2:38MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
72.7%
41
27.3%
Q2 - 2:38MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
73.1%
40
26.9%
Q2 - 2:52TORMISS Jefferies Free Throw 1 of 149
75.6%
39
24.4%
Q2 - 2:52TORJefferies Driving Layup (9 PTS)49
75.4%
39
24.6%
Q2 - 2:56TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
72.7%
39
27.3%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot47
72.0%
39
28.0%
Q2 - 3:22TORWilliams 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Peterson 5 AST)47
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 3:28TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
66.9%
39
33.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot45
66.0%
39
34.0%
Q2 - 3:54TORMcCoy 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)45
63.9%
39
36.1%
Q2 - 4:10TORRaptors Rebound43
60.7%
39
39.3%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot43
59.9%
39
40.1%
Q2 - 4:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
58.0%
39
42.0%
Q2 - 4:25TORMISS McCoy Free Throw 2 of 243
58.3%
39
41.7%
Q2 - 4:25TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 4:48MIABest 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
58.0%
39
42.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q2 - 4:58TORMISS McCoy 10' Hook Shot42
61.6%
37
38.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
63.3%
37
36.7%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 242
63.9%
36
36.1%
Q2 - 5:28TORMcCoy 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)42
63.1%
36
36.9%
Q2 - 5:51MIAJames 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
60.6%
36
39.4%
Q2 - 6:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
62.6%
34
37.4%
Q2 - 6:03TORMISS Peterson 9' Jump Shot40
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 6:16MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
65.6%
34
34.4%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 240
66.4%
33
33.6%
Q2 - 6:33TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
65.2%
33
34.8%
Q2 - 6:33TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 239
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 6:40TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
65.7%
33
34.3%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
64.7%
33
35.3%
Q2 - 6:53TORWilliams 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)39
62.6%
33
37.4%
Q2 - 7:09MIABest Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)37
59.9%
33
40.1%
Q2 - 7:09MIABest Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)37
62.4%
32
37.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIABest 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
64.9%
31
35.1%
Q2 - 7:27TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
67.1%
29
32.9%
Q2 - 7:27TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
66.3%
29
33.7%
Q2 - 7:30MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
64.9%
29
35.1%
Q2 - 7:36TORN'diaye 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Peterson 4 AST)35
62.3%
29
37.7%
Q2 - 7:52MIALampley Driving Dunk (6 PTS)33
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q2 - 7:58MIAHEAT Rebound33
62.3%
27
37.7%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Lampley Layup33
64.1%
27
35.9%
Q2 - 8:00MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
62.3%
27
37.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS James 12' Running Jump Shot33
63.7%
27
36.3%
Q2 - 8:09TORWilliams 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
61.8%
27
38.2%
Q2 - 8:23MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T6)31
59.7%
27
40.3%
Q2 - 8:36MIAHEAT Rebound31
56.8%
27
43.2%
Q2 - 8:38TORMISS N'diaye 5' Hook Shot31
57.7%
27
42.3%
Q2 - 8:55MIALampley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
59.7%
27
40.3%
Q2 - 9:09TORJefferies Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)31
61.4%
25
38.6%
Q2 - 9:22MIALampley 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)31
64.0%
25
36.0%
Q2 - 9:34TORWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)31
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q2 - 9:46TORRaptors Rebound29
64.1%
23
35.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Lampley 7' Jump Shot29
63.3%
23
36.7%
Q2 - 9:50MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
61.4%
23
38.6%
Q2 - 9:52TORMISS Alston 7' Running Hook Shot29
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q2 - 9:57TORAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
64.1%
23
35.9%
Q2 - 9:59TORMISS Jefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)29
63.7%
23
36.3%
Q2 - 10:37TORN'diaye 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)29
65.7%
21
34.3%
Q2 - 10:54MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
63.7%
21
36.3%
Q2 - 10:54MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q2 - 11:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
65.7%
19
34.3%
Q2 - 11:02TORMISS Jefferies 18' Jump Shot27
65.9%
19
34.1%
Q2 - 11:08TORJefferies REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Stepania Layup27
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q2 - 11:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
65.3%
19
34.7%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Stepania Layup27
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q2 - 11:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
65.3%
19
34.7%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Best 11' Running Hook Shot27
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q2 - 11:25MIAHEAT Rebound27
65.3%
19
34.7%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Grant 3' Jump Shot27
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q2 - 11:44TORWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferies 1 AST)27
65.3%
19
34.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR25
63.1%
19
36.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound25
63.1%
19
36.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Peterson 40' 3PT Jump Shot25
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 225
62.8%
18
37.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
62.8%
18
37.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup25
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0TORMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
63.4%
18
36.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)25
64.6%
18
35.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
67.2%
16
32.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORMISS Peterson 22' Jump Shot25
67.7%
16
32.3%
Q1 - 1:12MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)25
68.7%
16
31.3%
Q1 - 1:12MIAHEAT Rebound25
67.1%
16
32.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Butler 35' 3PT Jump Shot25
68.2%
16
31.8%
Q1 - 1:40TORPeterson 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)25
67.1%
16
32.9%
Q1 - 1:56MIAAllen 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
64.5%
16
35.5%
Q1 - 2:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 2:08TORMISS Bradley 6' Hook Shot23
67.5%
14
32.5%
Q1 - 2:20MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)23
68.8%
14
31.2%
Q1 - 2:32TORBradley 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST)23
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 2:54MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)21
64.7%
14
35.3%
Q1 - 3:13TORWilliams Layup (4 PTS)21
65.9%
12
34.1%
Q1 - 3:17MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
64.2%
12
35.8%
Q1 - 3:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
61.8%
12
38.2%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Butler 20' Fadeaway Jumper19
63.5%
12
36.5%
Q1 - 3:49TORJefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)19
61.9%
12
38.1%
Q1 - 4:01TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup16
56.8%
12
43.2%
Q1 - 4:24TORJefferies 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
55.0%
12
45.0%
Q1 - 4:43MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 4:52TORBradley Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 4:54TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 4:56TORMISS Jefferies 5' Running Hook Shot12
51.4%
10
48.6%
Q1 - 5:16MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
52.7%
10
47.3%
Q1 - 5:16MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 5:22TORButler STEAL (2 STL)12
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 5:28MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 5:45TORPeterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)12
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 5:47TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
57.0%
8
43.0%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Grant 7' Hook Shot12
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 6:00TORMcCoy Dunk (6 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)12
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 6:07TORBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Carter 8' Jump Shot10
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 6:23TORPeterson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 6:25TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
48.3%
8
51.7%
Q1 - 6:27TORMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot8
46.8%
8
53.2%
Q1 - 6:59MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)8
48.3%
8
51.7%
Q1 - 7:14TORJefferies Driving Layup (2 PTS) (McCoy 1 AST)8
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 7:30TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Butler 18' Fadeaway Jumper6
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 7:48TORWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 8:11MIAButler 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
44.8%
6
55.2%
Q1 - 8:29TORMcCoy 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
46.4%
4
53.6%
Q1 - 8:47MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)2
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 8:56MIAHEAT Rebound2
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup2
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 9:00TORJefferies Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)2
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 9:13MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 9:34TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 9:52TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot2
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 10:06TORMISS Jefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
50.5%
0
49.5%
Q1 - 10:14TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot2
51.3%
0
48.7%
Q1 - 10:30TORCarter STEAL (1 STL)2
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 10:38MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 10:43TORButler STEAL (1 STL)2
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 10:51TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Butler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot2
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:12TORMcCoy 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 11:32TORRaptors Rebound0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. McCoy: Tip to Butler0
46.3%
0
53.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.90 45.1%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
29
59%
MIA
15
34
44%
Midrange
TOR
14
34
41%
MIA
16
41
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
MIA
2
3.0
4
50%
75%
Free Throws
TOR
9
13
69%
MIA
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Williams1662%8.0 / 13
C. Jefferies1538%7.5 / 20
J. McCoy1365%6.5 / 10
J. Williams1372%6.5 / 9
M. Peterson935%4.5 / 13
M. Bradley850%4.0 / 8
M. N'diaye440%2.0 / 5
R. Alston315%1.5 / 10
M. Baston2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant1667%8.0 / 12
C. Butler1238%6.0 / 16
R. Butler1142%5.5 / 13
L. Ellis1071%5.0 / 7
S. Lampley941%4.5 / 11
M. Allen850%4.0 / 8
A. Carter758%3.5 / 6
T. Best650%3.0 / 6
V. Stepania643%3.0 / 7
M. James330%1.5 / 5
K. Johnson150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
78
+13
-13
91
MIA
79
+17
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.90 45.1%
MIA
0.92 45.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.1
94.5
TOR 91.2
MIA 96.7 +5.5
Pace
92.1
90.0
TOR 84.8
MIA 99.3 +14.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
TOR 17.0
MIA 14.5 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.8%
43.9%
TOR 45.1% +2.1%
MIA 43.0%
TO %
14.6%
14.8%
TOR 14.6%
MIA 14.2% +0.4%
ORB %
28.3%
26.8%
TOR 20.9%
MIA 31.4% +10.5%
FTrt
28.2
25.9
TOR 15.9
MIA 32.9 +17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
55.8%
TOR 45.7%
MIA 60.6% +14.9%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
TOR 9.9% +2.3%
MIA 7.6%
BLK %
7.0%
6.4%
TOR 10.7% +1.2%
MIA 9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.3%
46.0%
TOR 45.1%
MIA 45.9% +0.8%
Rim FG%
55.5%
53.7%
TOR 58.6% +14.5%
MIA 44.1%
Mid FG%
37.8%
37.6%
TOR 41.2% +2.2%
MIA 39.0%
3P %
34.3%
31.6%
TOR 21.1%
MIA 50.0% +28.9%
FT %
71.8%
76.5%
TOR 69.2%
MIA 80.8% +11.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.4%
28.9%
TOR 35.4%
MIA 43.0% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
50.7%
54.2%
TOR 41.5% +10.4%
MIA 51.9%
3P Att. %
17.9%
16.9%
TOR 23.2% +18.1%
MIA 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points8389
Rebounds3345
Assists1620
Steals97
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (6)34 (2)
Field Goals35-8233-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2915-34
Midrange FG14-3416-41
2-Point FG31-6331-75
3-Point FG4-192-4
Free Throws9-1321-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
45.2
15
38%
4
3
2
1
4
1
0
4
1-3
33%
4-11
36%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 195 · 29
40.0
16
62%
3
3
3
0
3
3
0
3
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
38.6
9
35%
4
5
1
0
3
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 245 · 25
34.2
13
65%
6
1
1
2
2
3
0
6
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 24
21.2
8
50%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30
24.0
13
72%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
20.3
3
15%
3
3
1
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
13.8
4
40%
1
0
0
2
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 27
2.9
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26
G · 6'4" 215 · 30
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
45%
33
16
9
8
13
0
9
24
9-13
69%
31-63
49%
4-19
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.