FinalWin Prob.pScore
2716%85
69
784%97
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
74.29399.5
IND logo IND
94.79589.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND69
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (19 PTS)69
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDBender Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 1:06MIABest 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)67
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 1:11MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 1:12INDMISS Croshere 10' Jump Shot65
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 1:32MIAEllis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Hardaway 18' Jump Shot63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10INDMISS Foster 3' Layup61
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 2:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 2:14INDMISS Croshere 3' Layup61
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 2:17INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 2:20INDMISS Hardaway 20' Jump Shot61
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 2:43MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)61
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 3:01INDHardaway 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIABender BLOCK (4 BLK)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 1 of 159
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29INDCroshere 1' Layup (5 PTS)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31INDMISS Foster 1' Tip Shot59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32INDMISS Croshere 3' Jump Shot59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAJohnson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01INDMISS Hardaway 18' Jump Shot57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIABender BLOCK (3 BLK)57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08INDBender 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)57
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31MIALampley 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)57
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06INDMISS Foster 15' Jump Shot55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51INDMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:58INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIABender BLOCK (2 BLK)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18INDBender 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)55
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01INDHarrington 3' Layup (6 PTS)52
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 9:20MIABender BLOCK (1 BLK)52
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot52
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 9:34INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)52
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 9:55MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)52
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:04INDMISS Strickland 10' Jump Shot50
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:23MIAStepania 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)50
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot48
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:47INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:47INDHarrington 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)48
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:48INDMISS Harrington 1' Layup48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 10:51INDMISS Bender 22' Jump Shot48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 11:05INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 11:06INDMISS Miller 2' Layup48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 11:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q4 - 11:36INDMISS Harrington 3' Layup48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot48
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot48
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDMiller 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)48
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 1:15MIABender STEAL (1 STL)48
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 1:23INDBender 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS)48
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 1:42INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Grant 2' Layup48
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 2:04INDTinsley Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)48
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 2:07MIATinsley STEAL (1 STL)48
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 2:23INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)48
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 2:26INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot48
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 2:45INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)48
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 2:45INDMiller 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)48
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 3:01INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 3:27INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)48
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 3:46MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)48
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 3:59INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 3:59INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 3:59INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Stepania 4' Jump Shot48
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 4:12INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 4:12INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 248
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIAStepania 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)48
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q3 - 4:49INDWorld Peace 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 5:05INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q3 - 5:24INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)46
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)46
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q3 - 5:46INDWorld Peace 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q3 - 6:16INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot46
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIAHeat Rebound46
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 6:33INDMISS Tinsley 8' Jump Shot46
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q3 - 6:46INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot46
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q3 - 7:00INDMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)46
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 7:06MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)46
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q3 - 7:19INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)46
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 7:43MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q3 - 8:10INDO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)44
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q3 - 8:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
9.6%
48
90.4%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot44
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q3 - 8:48INDWorld Peace 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)44
11.2%
48
88.8%
Q3 - 9:12MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)44
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q3 - 9:31INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)41
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q3 - 9:37INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
8.3%
46
91.7%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q3 - 9:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)41
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q3 - 9:46INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot41
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q3 - 10:06MIACarter 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)41
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q3 - 10:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q3 - 10:12INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot39
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q3 - 10:29MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)39
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q3 - 10:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q3 - 10:39INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot37
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q3 - 10:50INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
4.7%
46
95.3%
Q3 - 10:52INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q3 - 10:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
4.7%
46
95.3%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot37
5.0%
46
95.0%
Q3 - 11:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
5.0%
46
95.0%
Q3 - 11:20INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
5.4%
46
94.5%
Q3 - 11:20INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q3 - 11:40INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot37
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND37
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)37
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Tinsley 2' Tip Shot37
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHeat Rebound35
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)35
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWorld Peace BLOCK (1 BLK)35
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot35
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Butler Free Throw Technical35
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 1:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)35
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 1:06INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot35
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 1:17MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 1:17MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 1:30MIAHeat Rebound33
4.4%
44
95.6%
Q2 - 1:31MIAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)33
4.2%
44
95.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
4.4%
44
95.6%
Q2 - 1:38INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot33
4.3%
44
95.7%
Q2 - 1:55INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
4.1%
44
95.9%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot33
4.2%
44
95.8%
Q2 - 2:19INDTinsley 3' Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)33
4.7%
44
95.3%
Q2 - 2:37MIAJames 2' Finger Roll (10 PTS)33
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 2:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot31
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 3:09INDTinsley 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)31
4.9%
42
95.1%
Q2 - 3:21MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)31
5.4%
40
94.6%
Q2 - 3:36INDBender 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)29
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 3:43INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q2 - 4:02INDTinsley 2' Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)29
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q2 - 4:17INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot29
7.8%
35
92.2%
Q2 - 4:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
8.4%
35
91.6%
Q2 - 4:30INDMISS World Peace 10' Jump Shot29
8.1%
35
91.9%
Q2 - 4:37INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
7.8%
35
92.2%
Q2 - 5:05INDBender 11' Hook Shot (6 PTS)29
8.4%
35
91.6%
Q2 - 5:26MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)29
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 5:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 5:34INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup29
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 5:56MIAJames 2' Layup (8 PTS)29
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 6:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q2 - 6:09INDMISS Bender 20' Jump Shot27
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q2 - 6:18MIAStrickland STEAL (2 STL)27
7.5%
33
92.5%
Q2 - 6:32INDBender 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)27
8.4%
33
91.6%
Q2 - 6:47MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)27
9.2%
31
90.8%
Q2 - 6:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q2 - 6:58INDMISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 7:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 7:19INDBender 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)21
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q2 - 7:21INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q2 - 7:23INDMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot21
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q2 - 7:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q2 - 7:42MIAStepania 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
6.3%
29
93.7%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS Butler 2' Layup19
5.3%
29
94.7%
Q2 - 7:53INDMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
5.8%
29
94.2%
Q2 - 8:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
5.2%
29
94.8%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Butler 5' Hook Shot19
5.4%
29
94.6%
Q2 - 8:26INDHardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
5.8%
29
94.2%
Q2 - 8:47MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)19
7.0%
26
93.0%
Q2 - 8:56MIAHeat Rebound19
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot19
7.2%
26
92.8%
Q2 - 9:05MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q2 - 9:07INDMISS Bender 11' Jump Shot19
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q2 - 9:24INDHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
7.0%
26
93.0%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot19
7.2%
26
92.8%
Q2 - 9:41MIAHeat Rebound19
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q2 - 9:43INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot19
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q2 - 10:04MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q2 - 10:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.6%
26
93.4%
Q2 - 10:20INDMISS Strickland 2' Layup17
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q2 - 10:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot17
6.1%
26
93.9%
Q2 - 10:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.6%
26
93.4%
Q2 - 10:50INDMISS Foster 3' Layup17
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q2 - 10:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q2 - 10:54INDMISS Bender 4' Jump Shot17
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q2 - 11:16MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T8)17
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q2 - 11:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.5%
26
93.5%
Q2 - 11:22INDMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q2 - 11:41INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot17
6.1%
26
93.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND17
6.5%
26
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
6.1%
26
93.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)17
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)17
6.0%
26
94.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDHarrington 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)17
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAStrickland STEAL (1 STL)17
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 1:05INDHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
7.7%
24
92.3%
Q1 - 1:11INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 1:13MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)17
7.3%
24
92.7%
Q1 - 1:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
7.7%
24
92.3%
Q1 - 1:19INDMISS O'Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
7.5%
24
92.5%
Q1 - 1:35INDHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot17
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 1:54INDStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
7.7%
24
92.3%
Q1 - 1:54INDStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
7.8%
23
92.2%
Q1 - 1:59INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
8.6%
22
91.4%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 2:11INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
9.2%
22
90.8%
Q1 - 2:11INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
9.4%
21
90.6%
Q1 - 2:22MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)17
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 2:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 2:39INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 2:56INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot17
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 3:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 3:12INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot17
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 3:32MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)17
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 3:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 3:48INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot15
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 4:06MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
8.3%
20
91.7%
Q1 - 4:21INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 4:23INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
8.3%
20
91.7%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot15
8.5%
20
91.5%
Q1 - 4:36INDO'Neal 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)15
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 4:47INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
9.7%
18
90.3%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot15
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 4:56MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.7%
18
89.3%
Q1 - 4:57INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot15
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)15
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 5:20INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 5:20INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 5:38INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
11.2%
16
88.8%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot15
11.5%
16
88.5%
Q1 - 5:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
12.1%
16
87.9%
Q1 - 5:51INDMISS Miller 2' Layup15
11.8%
16
88.2%
Q1 - 6:08MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)15
11.1%
16
88.9%
Q1 - 6:20INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)13
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 6:28MIAGrant 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
10.3%
14
89.7%
Q1 - 6:42INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 6:42INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
9.7%
13
90.3%
Q1 - 6:57INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 6:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
11.1%
12
88.9%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Allen 2' Tip Shot10
10.6%
12
89.4%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Butler 2' Layup10
10.6%
12
89.4%
Q1 - 7:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.0%
12
89.0%
Q1 - 7:08INDMISS World Peace 3' Layup10
10.7%
12
89.3%
Q1 - 7:17INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
10.4%
12
89.6%
Q1 - 7:33INDTinsley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
11.0%
12
89.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
11.7%
10
88.3%
Q1 - 7:57INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)8
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 8:13INDPACERS Rebound8
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 8:14INDMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot8
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 8:27MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)8
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 8:50INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)5
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 9:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
10.5%
6
89.5%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 9:18INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 9:25INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
10.5%
6
89.5%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot5
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 9:34INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot5
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 9:42INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10.6%
6
89.4%
Q1 - 9:44MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)5
10.8%
6
89.2%
Q1 - 9:56INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 15
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 9:56INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)5
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 10:06MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:06MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
11.8%
4
88.2%
Q1 - 10:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 10:21INDMISS Tinsley 21' Jump Shot3
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 10:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
10.5%
4
89.5%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 23
10.7%
4
89.3%
Q1 - 10:34MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 10:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.6%
4
89.4%
Q1 - 10:41INDMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot2
10.4%
4
89.6%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)2
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 10:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.6%
4
89.4%
Q1 - 10:59INDMISS Miller 3' Jump Shot2
10.4%
4
89.6%
Q1 - 11:12MIAGrant 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 11:21INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
9.2%
4
90.8%
Q1 - 11:21INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
9.3%
3
90.7%
Q1 - 11:25MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
9.9%
2
90.1%
Q1 - 11:40INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)0
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Grant: Tip to Miller0
11.3%
0
88.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.76 37.9%
IND
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
23
43%
IND
16
32
50%
Midrange
MIA
13
43
30%
IND
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
IND
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
11
13
85%
IND
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. James1973%9.5 / 13
B. Grant1568%7.5 / 11
R. Butler623%3.0 / 13
V. Stepania643%3.0 / 7
C. Butler519%2.5 / 13
A. Carter433%2.0 / 6
L. Ellis440%2.0 / 5
M. Allen220%1.0 / 5
T. Best211%1.0 / 9
E. House220%1.0 / 5
S. Lampley233%1.0 / 3
K. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Bender1568%7.5 / 11
M. World Peace1346%6.5 / 14
J. O'Neal1243%6.0 / 14
B. Miller1161%5.5 / 9
R. Miller1169%5.5 / 8
J. Tinsley844%4.0 / 9
A. Harrington844%4.0 / 9
T. Hardaway542%2.5 / 6
A. Croshere542%2.5 / 6
E. Strickland220%1.0 / 5
J. Foster0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+13
-16
90
IND
85
+12
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.76 37.9%
IND
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
101.2
MIA 74.2
IND 94.7 +20.5
Pace
90.0
94.7
MIA 99.5 +10.3
IND 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.0
MIA 14.5 +1.7
IND 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.9%
MIA 34.5%
IND 43.4% +8.9%
TO %
14.8%
14.7%
MIA 15.1%
IND 10.7% +4.4%
ORB %
26.8%
28.9%
MIA 18.2%
IND 22.9% +4.7%
FTrt
25.9
34.4
MIA 15.5
IND 25.3 +9.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
65.6%
MIA 63.0%
IND 70.6% +7.6%
STL %
7.9%
9.0%
MIA 5.4%
IND 8.4% +3.0%
BLK %
6.4%
8.1%
MIA 4.3%
IND 15.2% +10.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
49.4%
MIA 37.9%
IND 45.0% +7.1%
Rim FG%
53.7%
58.0%
MIA 43.5%
IND 50.0% +6.5%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.0%
MIA 30.2%
IND 36.8% +6.6%
3P %
31.6%
33.9%
MIA 22.2%
IND 30.8% +8.6%
FT %
76.5%
76.6%
MIA 84.6%
IND 85.7% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
33.9%
MIA 27.4%
IND 38.6% +11.2%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
49.2%
MIA 51.2%
IND 45.8% +5.4%
3P Att. %
16.9%
16.9%
MIA 21.4% +5.8%
IND 15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points6990
Rebounds4756
Assists1724
Steals58
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)45 (0)
Field Goals27-8434-83
At-the-Rim FG10-2316-32
Midrange FG13-4314-38
2-Point FG23-6630-70
3-Point FG4-184-13
Free Throws11-1318-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
32.9
5
19%
6
3
3
0
2
4
0
6
0-1
0%
1-9
11%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
27.8
15
68%
10
0
0
0
3
5
1
9
5-5
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
22.7
6
23%
5
3
0
0
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
22.1
4
33%
2
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
15.3
2
20%
4
0
0
2
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
25.9
2
11%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
22.1
6
43%
7
1
1
1
3
3
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
22.0
19
73%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
19.4
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
12.6
2
20%
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
10.5
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
6.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
69
38%
47
17
5
3
16
0
10
37
11-13
85%
23-66
35%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.