FinalWin Prob.pScore
1621%100
90
179%110
108
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
90.999111.4
DAL logo DAL
106.910191.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL90
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLEschmeyer STEAL (1 STL)90
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)90
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0DALMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot90
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DALMISS Bell 23' Jump Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09DALMISS Abdul-Wahad 16' Jump Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ORLHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46DALJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03ORLMISS Hunter 9' Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11DALMISS Abdul-Wahad Layup88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24DALJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41ORLMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00DALJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00DALMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20ORLGarrity Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38DALNash 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55ORLBell STEAL (2 STL)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12DALNajera Dunk (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:35DALMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot88
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:56ORLVaughn Layup (16 PTS)88
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:10ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12DALMISS Johnson Layup86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:33ORLGooden Out Of Bounds Turnover (P5.T17)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35ORLMagic Rebound86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37ORLMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:46ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:50DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05ORLVaughn Driving Layup (14 PTS)86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:19DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:40ORLBurke 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)84
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 6:56DALNash Foul Turnover (P6.T14)82
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 7:06ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 7:10ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)79
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13DALMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31ORLMISS Sasser 22' Jump Shot79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49DALNash 11' Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 8:03DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 8:05ORLMISS Hunter 12' Jump Shot79
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 8:20ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 8:23DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot79
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 8:44ORLWhitney Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)79
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)79
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 9:30ORLArmstrong 4' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 9:36DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)77
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 9:46ORLArmstrong 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 9:55ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)75
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 9:57DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 10:07ORLHunter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)75
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 10:29DALNash Reverse Layup (20 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)75
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 10:32DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:34ORLMISS Whitney 21' Jump Shot75
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:50DALNash 6' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 11:07ORLBurke 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 11:21DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)73
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:34DALMAVERICKS Rebound73
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 11:35ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 11:37ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)73
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:39ORLMISS Whitney 21' Jump Shot73
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL73
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q3 - 0:11.0DALNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)73
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHunter Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)73
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0ORLBurke 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)71
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q3 - 1:03DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)69
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q3 - 1:20ORLHunter 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)69
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 1:24ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)67
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 1:27ORLMISS Hunter Dunk67
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 1:40DALVan Exel 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)67
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 2:06ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)67
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 2:13DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)64
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 2:18ORLGiricek 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)64
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 2:29ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 2:32DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 2:41DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 2:42ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot61
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 2:57DALAbdul-Wahad Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)61
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 3:04DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 3:06DALMISS Abdul-Wahad 13' Jump Shot61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 3:31ORLGiricek Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 3:46DALNajera Layup (3 PTS)59
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 3:47DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 3:49DALMISS Abdul-Wahad Layup59
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 4:03DALMAVERICKS Rebound59
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 4:03ORLMISS Burke 22' Jump Shot59
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 4:18ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 4:18DALMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 259
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 4:18DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 4:30ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)59
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 4:30ORLGiricek Driving Layup (12 PTS)58
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 4:32ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 4:35DALMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot56
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 4:46DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Giricek Free Throw 2 of 256
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 4:47ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 4:47ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 4:49DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 4:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 4:58ORLMISS McGrady 23' Jump Shot55
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 5:07DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (26 PTS)55
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 5:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound55
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 5:11DALMISS Van Exel Layup55
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 5:33ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)55
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 5:40ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 5:42DALMISS Griffin 15' Jump Shot52
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 6:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 6:07ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 6:16ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 6:18DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 6:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 6:43ORLMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot50
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 6:55DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)50
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:14ORLMISS DeClercq Layup50
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:26DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)50
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 7:45ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 7:45ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 249
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 7:55DALBell 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)49
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 8:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 8:09ORLMISS Gooden 5' Jump Shot49
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 8:32DALBell 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)49
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 8:43ORLVaughn Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Giricek 4 AST)49
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 8:56ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 8:58DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 9:05DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 9:07ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 9:14ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
1.1%
69
98.9%
Q3 - 9:17DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 9:29ORLBell STEAL (1 STL)47
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 9:31ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
1.1%
69
98.9%
Q3 - 9:33DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 9:47DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 9:48ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 247
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 9:48ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 9:54ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 9:56DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot46
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 10:11DALMAVERICKS Rebound46
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 10:12ORLMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 10:22DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)46
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 10:30ORLVaughn 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)46
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 10:38DALNash Running Layup (10 PTS)44
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 10:53ORLGiricek Foul Turnover (P4.T13)44
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 11:09DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)44
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q3 - 11:31ORLGooden Layup (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)44
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 11:45DALGriffin 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)42
1.0%
65
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL42
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALMISS Van Exel 11' Jump Shot42
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLHunter Slam Dunk (8 PTS)42
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)40
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALBradley Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)40
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 1:03ORLVaughn 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q2 - 1:27DALBradley Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)38
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q2 - 1:43ORLVaughn 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Giricek 3 AST)38
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q2 - 1:52ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 1:54DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q2 - 1:54DALMISS Bradley Layup36
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 1:57DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot36
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 2:10ORLVaughn 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 2:27DALAbdul-Wahad Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)34
1.2%
58
98.8%
Q2 - 2:40ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)34
1.4%
56
98.6%
Q2 - 2:40ORLGiricek Layup (8 PTS)33
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q2 - 2:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)31
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q2 - 2:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)31
1.1%
55
98.9%
Q2 - 3:04DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 3:06ORLMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 3:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)31
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q2 - 3:20DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)31
1.7%
53
98.3%
Q2 - 3:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 3:43DALVan Exel 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)31
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 3:48DALAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 3:50ORLMISS McGrady Layup31
2.5%
49
97.5%
Q2 - 3:57ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 4:00DALMISS Van Exel 9' Hook Shot31
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 4:09DALAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 4:11ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 4:18DALAbdul-Wahad 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)31
2.9%
49
97.1%
Q2 - 4:26ORLGiricek Driving Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)31
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 4:41DALVan Exel 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)29
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 4:54ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 4:54ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 228
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 5:12DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)28
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 5:29ORLNajera STEAL (2 STL)28
4.1%
42
95.9%
Q2 - 5:32ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 5:34ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot28
4.2%
42
95.8%
Q2 - 5:55ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 5:57DALMISS Abdul-Wahad 20' Jump Shot28
4.4%
42
95.6%
Q2 - 6:19ORLGiricek Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)28
4.2%
42
95.8%
Q2 - 6:40DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)28
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 6:46DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
5.7%
39
94.3%
Q2 - 6:49DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot28
6.2%
39
93.8%
Q2 - 6:56ORLNajera STEAL (1 STL)28
5.7%
39
94.3%
Q2 - 7:03ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 7:05DALMISS Najera 16' Jump Shot28
6.5%
39
93.5%
Q2 - 7:22ORLGiricek 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)28
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 7:35ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 7:37ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 7:50ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)26
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 8:05DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)25
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 8:09DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
5.5%
37
94.5%
Q2 - 8:11DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot25
5.9%
37
94.1%
Q2 - 8:31DALAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
5.5%
37
94.5%
Q2 - 8:34ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 225
5.6%
37
94.4%
Q2 - 8:34ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 225
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q2 - 8:49DALAbdul-Wahad Layup (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)25
6.1%
37
93.9%
Q2 - 8:57DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 8:59ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q2 - 9:03DALJump Ball Van Exel vs. Hunter: Tip to Armstrong25
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 9:04DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.8%
35
93.2%
Q2 - 9:06ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot25
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 9:11ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 9:14DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot25
7.3%
35
92.7%
Q2 - 9:21DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 9:23ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 9:36ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 9:38DALMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot25
7.3%
35
92.7%
Q2 - 9:42DALAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 9:44ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot25
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 9:50DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 10:05ORLGiricek Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T9)25
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q2 - 10:13ORLMagic Rebound25
7.6%
35
92.4%
Q2 - 10:14ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
7.1%
35
92.9%
Q2 - 10:25ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)25
7.6%
35
92.4%
Q2 - 10:40DALBell Driving Layup (5 PTS)24
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 11:06ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Sasser 2 AST)24
7.5%
33
92.5%
Q2 - 11:10DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q2 - 11:26ORLArmstrong 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)22
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q2 - 11:41DALBell Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)20
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL20
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
5.8%
33
94.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Van Exel 11' Running Jump Shot20
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLLaFrentz STEAL (3 STL)20
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
5.8%
33
94.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0ORLMISS Hunter Layup20
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
5.8%
33
94.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot20
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
5.8%
33
94.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS LaFrentz 23' Jump Shot20
5.7%
33
94.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLHunter Tip Shot (6 PTS)20
5.4%
33
94.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
4.6%
33
95.4%
Q1 - 1:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)18
4.8%
33
95.2%
Q1 - 1:00DALNowitzki Layup (14 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)18
5.3%
32
94.7%
Q1 - 1:19ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
5.9%
30
94.1%
Q1 - 1:37DALGriffin 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)15
4.9%
30
95.1%
Q1 - 1:57ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
5.4%
28
94.6%
Q1 - 1:57ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
5.4%
28
94.6%
Q1 - 1:58ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
4.9%
28
95.1%
Q1 - 2:00DALMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
4.8%
28
95.2%
Q1 - 2:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound13
4.5%
28
95.5%
Q1 - 2:18ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot13
4.7%
28
95.3%
Q1 - 2:30ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
4.9%
28
95.1%
Q1 - 2:32DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot13
4.8%
28
95.2%
Q1 - 2:48ORLHunter Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
4.5%
28
95.5%
Q1 - 2:52ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
4.1%
28
95.9%
Q1 - 2:54DALMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot11
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 3:00DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
3.8%
28
96.2%
Q1 - 3:02DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
4.2%
28
95.8%
Q1 - 3:14ORLHunter 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sasser 1 AST)11
3.9%
28
96.1%
Q1 - 3:30DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)9
3.6%
28
96.4%
Q1 - 3:30DALLaFrentz Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)9
4.0%
27
96.0%
Q1 - 3:40ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)9
4.3%
25
95.7%
Q1 - 3:40ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
4.7%
25
95.3%
Q1 - 3:42ORLLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)9
4.4%
25
95.6%
Q1 - 3:43ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
4.7%
25
95.3%
Q1 - 3:45ORLLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)9
4.4%
25
95.6%
Q1 - 4:10DALNowitzki Driving Layup (12 PTS)9
4.8%
25
95.2%
Q1 - 4:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
5.1%
23
94.9%
Q1 - 4:25ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot9
5.2%
23
94.8%
Q1 - 4:35DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
5.6%
23
94.4%
Q1 - 4:35DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
5.7%
22
94.3%
Q1 - 4:39ORLLaFrentz STEAL (2 STL)9
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 4:52ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Kemp 18' Jump Shot9
6.2%
21
93.8%
Q1 - 5:00ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 5:01DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot9
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 5:09ORLGriffin STEAL (1 STL)9
6.2%
21
93.8%
Q1 - 5:30DALMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 19
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 5:30DALLaFrentz Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)9
6.7%
21
93.3%
Q1 - 5:44DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
7.2%
19
92.8%
Q1 - 5:45ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 29
7.3%
19
92.7%
Q1 - 5:45ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
7.6%
19
92.4%
Q1 - 5:58ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
7.3%
19
92.7%
Q1 - 6:00DALMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot8
7.1%
19
92.9%
Q1 - 6:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound8
6.9%
19
93.1%
Q1 - 6:02DALMISS Bell Layup8
7.2%
19
92.8%
Q1 - 6:06ORLGooden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)8
6.8%
19
93.2%
Q1 - 6:14DALLaFrentz Dunk (6 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)8
7.4%
19
92.6%
Q1 - 6:26ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
7.9%
17
92.1%
Q1 - 6:26ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
7.8%
17
92.2%
Q1 - 6:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)6
7.4%
17
92.6%
Q1 - 6:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)6
7.5%
16
92.5%
Q1 - 6:47DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
7.9%
15
92.1%
Q1 - 6:49ORLMISS Whitney 3PT Jump Shot6
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 7:06ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 7:06DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 26
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 7:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)6
8.2%
15
91.8%
Q1 - 7:12ORLLaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)6
8.7%
14
91.3%
Q1 - 7:28DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)6
9.4%
14
90.6%
Q1 - 7:35DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 7:37ORLMISS Giricek Reverse Layup6
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 7:52DALLaFrentz 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)6
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 8:06ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 8:06ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 8:22DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 8:26DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.3%
8
88.7%
Q1 - 8:28ORLBell BLOCK (1 BLK)4
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 8:37DALLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 8:49DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.3%
8
88.7%
Q1 - 8:51ORLMISS Vaughn 9' Jump Shot4
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 9:01ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 9:04DALMISS Griffin 18' Jump Shot4
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 9:23ORLGooden Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
11.1%
8
88.9%
Q1 - 9:37DALBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)4
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 9:54DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.6%
5
86.4%
Q1 - 9:56ORLMISS Gooden Layup4
13.9%
5
86.1%
Q1 - 10:06ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 10:09DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot4
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 10:18ORLGiricek Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
13.6%
5
86.4%
Q1 - 10:33DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)4
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 10:48ORLVaughn 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)4
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:57DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 11:17ORLGooden 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)2
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:31DALLaFrentz 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:38DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 11:40ORLMISS Giricek 12' Jump Shot0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Gooden: Tip to Vaughn0
15.4%
0
84.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 48.9%
DAL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
25
60%
DAL
14
20
70%
Midrange
ORL
13
31
42%
DAL
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
DAL
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
ORL
19
26
73%
DAL
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Giricek1853%9.0 / 17
J. Vaughn1673%8.0 / 11
D. Armstrong1594%7.5 / 8
S. Hunter1458%7.0 / 12
T. McGrady1238%6.0 / 16
D. Gooden956%4.5 / 8
P. Burke675%3.0 / 4
C. Whitney0-0.0 / 4
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 3
J. Sasser0-0.0 / 1
A. DeClercq0-0.0 / 1
S. Kemp0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2954%14.5 / 27
S. Nash2888%14.0 / 16
R. Bell1161%5.5 / 9
R. LaFrentz1155%5.5 / 10
T. Abdul-Wahad844%4.0 / 9
N. Van Exel633%3.0 / 9
E. Najera563%2.5 / 4
S. Bradley563%2.5 / 4
A. Griffin450%2.0 / 4
A. Johnson117%0.5 / 3
P. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+12
-20
91
DAL
85
+11
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 48.9%
DAL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
108.0
ORL 90.9 +16.0
DAL 106.9
Pace
95.5
94.9
ORL 111.4 +20.0
DAL 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.3
ORL 12.9 +2.8
DAL 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
49.8%
ORL 47.3%
DAL 55.9% +8.6%
TO %
14.4%
11.6%
ORL 19.5%
DAL 14.7% +4.8%
ORB %
27.1%
25.5%
ORL 25.0% +4.5%
DAL 20.5%
FTrt
30.7
25.7
ORL 34.7 +14.7
DAL 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
58.1%
ORL 51.5%
DAL 69.0% +17.5%
STL %
8.8%
8.5%
ORL 10.1% +0.2%
DAL 9.9%
BLK %
5.6%
8.5%
ORL 3.2%
DAL 5.4% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
52.1%
ORL 48.9%
DAL 55.7% +6.8%
Rim FG%
54.6%
58.2%
ORL 60.0%
DAL 70.0% +10.0%
Mid FG%
39.9%
40.7%
ORL 41.9% +1.4%
DAL 40.5%
3P %
35.7%
38.1%
ORL 26.3%
DAL 47.8% +21.5%
FT %
77.7%
82.9%
ORL 73.1%
DAL 76.5% +3.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
29.6%
ORL 33.3% +9.8%
DAL 23.5%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
46.5%
ORL 41.3% +8.1%
DAL 49.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
23.9%
ORL 25.3%
DAL 27.1% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsORLDAL
Possessions99101
Possession Minutes21.326.5
Points90108
Rebounds4539
Assists1729
Steals1010
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)30 (4)
Field Goals33-7542-85
At-the-Rim FG15-2514-20
Midrange FG13-3117-42
2-Point FG28-5631-62
3-Point FG5-1911-23
Free Throws19-2613-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 220 · 26
33.6
18
53%
6
4
3
0
6
1
0
6
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 250 · 22
23.5
9
56%
8
0
0
0
5
1
1
7
5-8
63%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
23.0
16
73%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 238 · 27
13.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
27.6
15
94%
2
4
2
0
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 240 · 21
26.5
14
58%
10
0
1
0
2
2
5
5
2-4
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 24
25.3
12
38%
2
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-6
0%
3-8
38%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
20.8
0
0%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29
14.1
6
75%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 30
13.5
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 280 · 33
5.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
49%
45
17
10
2
20
0
10
35
19-26
73%
28-56
50%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.