FinalWin Prob.pScore
2714%82
83
686%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
90.29290.9
NJN
103.19697.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANJN
Q4 - 0:00.0NJN83
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)83
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0NJNSlay 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Scalabrine 2 AST)80
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03NJNJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34NJNJefferson 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04NJNKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19MIAGrant Layup (23 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)76
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 3:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Best 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44NJNMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 3:44NJNMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 274
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 3:44NJNNETS Rebound74
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 3:54NJNKidd Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T15)74
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:02NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 4:20NJNRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:20NJNRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 4:49MIAJames 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Best 2 AST)74
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 4:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 4:58NJNMISS Mutombo 6' Hook Shot72
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 5:13NJNMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot72
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 5:23MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 5:25NJNMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 5:40MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 271
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 5:46MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 5:47NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot71
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 6:08MIALampley 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)71
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 6:27MIAHeat Rebound69
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 6:28NJNMISS Kidd 5' Driving Finger Roll69
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 6:46NJNNETS Rebound69
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 6:48NJNMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot69
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 7:04NJNNETS Rebound69
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot69
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 7:28NJNKidd 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS)69
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 7:32MIARogers STEAL (3 STL)69
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 7:42NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)69
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 7:52MIARogers STEAL (2 STL)69
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 8:06NJNJefferson Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)69
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 8:17NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Stepania Layup69
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 8:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 8:44MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 8:46NJNMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 9:02MIAHeat Rebound69
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 9:02NJNJump Ball Jefferson vs. Best: Tip to69
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Best 13' Jump Shot69
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q4 - 9:21NJNWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 9:21NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 269
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 9:44MIAStepania Layup (3 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)69
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 10:05NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)67
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 10:22MIAEllis Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)67
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 10:36NJNRogers 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)65
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 10:55MIAGrant Layup (21 PTS)65
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 10:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Ellis 13' Turnaround Jump Shot63
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 11:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 11:15NJNMISS Kidd 18' Jump Shot63
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 11:25NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 11:27NJNMISS Williams 12' Running Jump Shot63
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 11:44MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 11:44MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN61
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAKidd STEAL (3 STL)61
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot61
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0NJNKidd 12' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)61
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0NJNJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 1:00MIAMISS House 23' Jump Shot61
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 1:16MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 1:18NJNMISS Kittles Driving Layup61
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 1:25MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)61
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 1:39NJNKidd 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)61
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 1:56NJNJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 1:57MIARogers BLOCK (1 BLK)61
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 2:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 2:06NJNMISS Williams 7' Turnaround Jump Shot61
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:15NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS House 11' Running Jump Shot61
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 2:29NJNRogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)61
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 2:33NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot61
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 2:48NJNKittles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)61
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 2:50NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 2:52NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)61
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 3:35NJNKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)59
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 3:54MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q3 - 3:54MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 4:12NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Collins 3 AST)57
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIAGrant 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)57
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 4:35MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Grant 17' Turnaround Jump Shot55
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 5:03NJNKidd Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q3 - 5:09NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
10.9%
58
89.1%
Q3 - 5:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q3 - 5:28NJNMISS Collins Tip Shot55
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 5:29NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)55
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 5:30NJNMISS Collins Layup55
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 5:47MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 5:53MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 5:54NJNMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot53
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 6:12MIAButler Driving Layup (7 PTS)53
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q3 - 6:18NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)51
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 6:31NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup51
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q3 - 6:39MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 6:40NJNMISS Kittles 16' Jump Shot51
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 151
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q3 - 6:58MIAButler Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)51
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 7:19NJNScalabrine Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)49
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 7:31NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 7:33NJNMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot49
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 7:37NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 7:39MIAScalabrine BLOCK (1 BLK)49
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q3 - 7:43NJNScalabrine Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)49
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 7:58MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)49
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 8:14MIAHeat Rebound47
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 8:16NJNMISS Kittles 7' Running Jump Shot47
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q3 - 8:36MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)47
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q3 - 8:36MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)46
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 8:49NJNJefferson 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)45
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 9:02NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q3 - 9:03NJNMISS Scalabrine Dunk45
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q3 - 9:04NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q3 - 9:06NJNMISS Collins 6' Turnaround Jump Shot45
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q3 - 9:19NJNKidd Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)45
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q3 - 9:32MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q3 - 9:32MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)44
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 9:50NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)43
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 9:50NJNCollins Layup (5 PTS)43
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q3 - 9:51NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q3 - 9:53NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q3 - 10:02MIACollins STEAL (1 STL)43
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q3 - 10:20NJNScalabrine Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q3 - 10:20NJNScalabrine Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)43
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q3 - 10:24NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup43
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q3 - 10:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
7.6%
49
92.4%
Q3 - 10:33NJNMISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot43
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q3 - 10:51MIAGrant Dunk (13 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)43
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q3 - 11:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q3 - 11:02NJNMISS Collins 4' Jump Shot41
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q3 - 11:22NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot41
5.2%
49
94.8%
Q3 - 11:43NJNScalabrine Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 6 AST)41
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJN41
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (House 1 AST)41
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0NJNJefferson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)39
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)37
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)37
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0NJNMISS Jefferson Layup35
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)35
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 1:19NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 1:19NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 232
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 1:41MIAButler Layup (9 PTS)32
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 1:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
2.8%
44
97.2%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Butler Layup30
2.7%
44
97.3%
Q2 - 1:58NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
2.8%
44
97.2%
Q2 - 1:58NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 230
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 2:04NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot30
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 2:18NJNWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferson 5 AST)30
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 2:27NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 2:28NJNMISS Kidd 19' Jump Shot30
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q2 - 2:52MIAHouse 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)30
3.8%
41
96.2%
Q2 - 3:03NJNSlay Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)28
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 3:24MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)28
3.1%
41
96.9%
Q2 - 3:47NJNKidd 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)25
2.5%
41
97.5%
Q2 - 4:04NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot25
3.0%
39
97.0%
Q2 - 4:29NJNSlay 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
3.2%
39
96.8%
Q2 - 4:33NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
3.6%
37
96.4%
Q2 - 4:35NJNMISS Scalabrine 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
3.9%
37
96.1%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 125
3.6%
37
96.4%
Q2 - 4:46MIAGrant Layup (9 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)25
3.6%
37
96.4%
Q2 - 5:04NJNSlay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)23
3.3%
37
96.7%
Q2 - 5:12NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
2.9%
37
97.1%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup23
3.0%
37
97.0%
Q2 - 5:31MIAHeat Rebound23
3.3%
37
96.7%
Q2 - 5:33NJNMISS Slay 18' Jump Shot23
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 5:53MIAButler Dunk (7 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)23
2.9%
37
97.1%
Q2 - 6:15NJNWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)21
2.7%
37
97.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)21
3.0%
35
97.0%
Q2 - 6:42NJNKittles 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)21
3.4%
35
96.6%
Q2 - 6:56NJNJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
3.7%
33
96.3%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot21
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q2 - 7:18NJNWilliams 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kittles 2 AST)21
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q2 - 7:27NJNJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
4.7%
31
95.3%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot21
4.9%
31
95.1%
Q2 - 7:58NJNJefferson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kittles 1 AST)21
5.3%
31
94.7%
Q2 - 8:26NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
5.8%
29
94.2%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot21
6.0%
29
94.0%
Q2 - 8:57NJNJefferson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q2 - 9:16MIAKittles STEAL (2 STL)21
7.0%
27
93.0%
Q2 - 9:37NJNKittles Dunk (6 PTS)21
7.8%
27
92.2%
Q2 - 9:40MIAKittles STEAL (1 STL)21
8.5%
25
91.5%
Q2 - 9:53NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q2 - 9:53NJNJefferson Dunk (4 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)21
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q2 - 10:01MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T7)21
11.3%
22
88.7%
Q2 - 10:22NJNScalabrine Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q2 - 10:22NJNScalabrine Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
12.6%
21
87.4%
Q2 - 10:41MIAJames Layup (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)21
13.4%
20
86.6%
Q2 - 10:47NJNJump Ball Mutombo vs. Ellis: Tip to Best19
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q2 - 10:56NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot19
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q2 - 11:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
12.0%
20
88.0%
Q2 - 11:18NJNMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot19
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q2 - 11:24NJNScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Best Driving Layup19
11.3%
20
88.7%
Q2 - 11:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
12.0%
20
88.0%
Q2 - 11:49NJNMISS Mutombo 15' Jump Shot19
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJN19
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNNETS Rebound19
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Kidd 29' 3PT Jump Shot19
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 218
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0NJNKidd Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)18
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 218
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound17
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup17
9.5%
20
90.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot17
9.5%
20
90.5%
Q1 - 1:04NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 1:04NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 1:10NJNMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
11.0%
18
89.0%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot17
11.3%
18
88.7%
Q1 - 1:24NJNRogers Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)17
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 1:30NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 1:47NJNRogers Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)17
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 2:00MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
15.4%
14
84.6%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 216
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 2:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
15.1%
14
84.9%
Q1 - 2:16NJNMISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 216
14.9%
14
85.1%
Q1 - 2:16NJNMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
14.1%
14
85.9%
Q1 - 2:20NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot16
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 2:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 216
15.3%
13
84.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot15
14.3%
13
85.7%
Q1 - 2:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 2:51NJNMISS Mutombo 8' Hook Shot15
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 3:04NJNMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 3:06NJNMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot15
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIARogers STEAL (1 STL)15
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 3:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 3:22NJNMISS Rogers Layup15
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 3:24NJNJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 3:26NJNMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot15
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 3:48MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)15
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 3:59NJNMISS Collins 18' Jump Shot15
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 4:12MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)15
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 4:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
12.4%
13
87.6%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot13
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 4:25NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
12.4%
13
87.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 212
11.1%
13
88.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot12
10.7%
13
89.3%
Q1 - 4:55NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 4:55NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
11.7%
12
88.3%
Q1 - 5:02NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 5:03NJNMISS Collins Layup12
12.5%
11
87.5%
Q1 - 5:25NJNRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.9%
11
88.1%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot12
12.2%
11
87.8%
Q1 - 5:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
12.9%
11
87.1%
Q1 - 5:42NJNMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot12
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 5:58NJNJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.9%
11
88.1%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot12
12.2%
11
87.8%
Q1 - 6:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 6:23NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 212
12.5%
11
87.5%
Q1 - 6:23NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 212
11.9%
11
88.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 6:35MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
11.5%
11
88.5%
Q1 - 6:58NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 6:58NJNKidd Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)10
11.7%
10
88.3%
Q1 - 7:03MIAKidd STEAL (2 STL)10
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 7:11MIAButler Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)10
13.1%
8
86.9%
Q1 - 7:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 7:15NJNMISS Kittles 8' Running Jump Shot9
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 7:24NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot9
11.7%
8
88.3%
Q1 - 7:36NJNKidd 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)9
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 7:47NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot9
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 7:54NJNMISS Kittles Free Throw 1 of 19
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 7:54NJNKittles 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)9
14.0%
6
86.0%
Q1 - 7:56NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 7:58NJNMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 8:15MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)9
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 8:41NJNKittles Dunk (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)7
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 8:43MIAKidd STEAL (1 STL)7
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 8:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 8:47NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 27
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 8:47NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 27
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 8:57MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 26
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 9:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 9:24NJNScalabrine Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 9:40MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 9:57NJNCollins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 10:15MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)4
11.7%
2
88.3%
Q1 - 10:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot2
10.5%
2
89.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 10:50NJNMISS Kidd 17' Jump Shot2
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)2
10.3%
2
89.7%
Q1 - 11:10NJNJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 11:17MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
10.3%
2
89.7%
Q1 - 11:28NJNCollins 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)2
10.9%
2
89.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
11.7%
0
88.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
11.6%
0
88.4%
Q1 - 12:00NJNJump Ball Collins vs. Grant: Tip to Butler0
10.9%
0
89.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.1%
NJN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
22
59%
NJN
14
23
61%
Midrange
MIA
12
36
33%
NJN
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
NJN
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
24
35
69%
NJN
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant2372%11.5 / 16
C. Butler1550%7.5 / 15
E. House1050%5.0 / 10
L. Ellis950%4.5 / 9
R. Butler744%3.5 / 8
M. James750%3.5 / 7
A. Carter433%2.0 / 6
M. Allen330%1.5 / 5
V. Stepania325%1.5 / 6
S. Lampley2100%1.0 / 1
T. Best0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Kidd3068%15.0 / 22
R. Jefferson1853%9.0 / 17
R. Rogers1275%6.0 / 8
K. Kittles1146%5.5 / 12
B. Scalabrine758%3.5 / 6
A. Williams758%3.5 / 6
J. Collins627%3.0 / 11
T. Slay467%2.0 / 3
A. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
D. Mutombo220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+14
-16
90
NJN
81
+16
-15
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.1%
NJN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
100.5
MIA 90.2 +12.9
NJN 103.1
Pace
90.0
94.6
MIA 90.9
NJN 97.1 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.7
MIA 15.8
NJN 14.8 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.8%
MIA 41.0%
NJN 51.9% +10.9%
TO %
14.8%
15.2%
MIA 15.5%
NJN 14.2% +1.3%
ORB %
26.8%
28.8%
MIA 27.3%
NJN 35.0% +7.7%
FTrt
25.9
33.3
MIA 48.6 +12.7
NJN 35.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
64.9%
MIA 78.6% +2.9%
NJN 75.7%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 13.0% +1.5%
NJN 11.5%
BLK %
6.4%
7.1%
MIA 8.3% +4.9%
NJN 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
49.4%
MIA 46.1%
NJN 50.5% +4.4%
Rim FG%
53.7%
57.2%
MIA 59.1%
NJN 60.9% +1.8%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.8%
MIA 33.3%
NJN 43.2% +9.9%
3P %
31.6%
33.2%
MIA 21.4%
NJN 38.9% +17.5%
FT %
76.5%
75.7%
MIA 68.6% +4.3%
NJN 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
36.4%
MIA 30.6% +1.1%
NJN 29.5%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
47.8%
MIA 50.0%
NJN 47.4% +2.6%
3P Att. %
16.9%
15.8%
MIA 19.4%
NJN 23.1% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIANJN
Possessions9296
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8399
Rebounds3846
Assists2228
Steals1211
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals28-7237-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2214-23
Midrange FG12-3616-37
2-Point FG25-5830-60
3-Point FG3-147-18
Free Throws24-3518-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
35.2
23
72%
8
2
2
1
1
3
3
5
5-7
71%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
34.9
15
50%
4
4
2
1
2
2
1
3
5-5
100%
5-11
45%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
27.5
4
33%
3
7
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
26.8
7
44%
7
2
2
1
3
2
1
6
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
14.9
3
30%
3
0
0
1
1
4
2
1
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
23.0
10
50%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
19.6
9
50%
5
1
1
0
2
3
3
2
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
19.3
0
0%
1
2
1
0
3
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
14.9
3
25%
4
0
2
0
1
4
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
13.8
7
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
10.1
2
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
46%
38
22
12
5
16
0
12
26
24-35
69%
25-58
43%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.