FinalWin Prob.pScore
1321%93
105
379%103
118
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
108.29798.6
SAS logo SAS
121.69795.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS105
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)105
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASMISS Kerr 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLSasser Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASMISS Ferry 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02ORLHunter 2' Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)105
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ORLMISS Oyedeji 3' Layup103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08SASClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17ORLSasser 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34SASSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)100
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45ORLWillis BLOCK (2 BLK)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57SASMISS Willis 6' Jump Hook Shot100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18ORLWhitney Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18ORLWhitney Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)99
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)98
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49ORLGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16ORLHunter 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40SASRose 3' Dunk (14 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50ORLGooden 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06SASParker 3' Layup (14 PTS)93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37SASGinobili 3' Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 4:44SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:45SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 4:47SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot93
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 5:11ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)93
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 5:11ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 5:12SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)91
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 5:16ORLRose STEAL (2 STL)91
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 5:29SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 5:29SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 291
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 5:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 5:48ORLMISS Gooden 10' Jump Hook Shot91
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 6:04SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 6:04SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 6:18SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 6:20ORLMISS McGrady 8' Running Jump Shot91
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 6:37SASGinobili 3' Dunk (7 PTS)91
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 6:41ORLBowen STEAL (2 STL)91
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 6:43ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 6:45ORLMISS Garrity 9' Jump Shot91
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 6:57ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 6:58SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot91
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 7:20ORLMcGrady 3' Driving Layup (30 PTS)91
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 7:40SASParker 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)89
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 7:57ORLDeClercq Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)89
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 7:57ORLDeClercq 2' Dunk (2 PTS)88
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 7:59ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 8:01ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 8:35SASRose 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)86
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 8:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 9:00ORLMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 9:06SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)86
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 9:30ORLArmstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 9:32SASClaxton Lane Violation Turnover (P3.T11)83
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 9:39SASMISS Willis Free Throw 1 of 283
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 9:50ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)83
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 9:50ORLMcGrady 3' Driving Layup (27 PTS)82
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 9:58SASClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 9:58SASClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 10:19SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 10:21ORLMISS McGrady 3' Driving Layup80
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 10:27ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)80
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 10:38SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)79
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 10:49ORLGarrity 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)79
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 10:51ORLMagic Rebound77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 10:53ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper77
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 11:12SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 11:12SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 277
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMcGrady 10' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)77
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 11:44ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Ginobili 6' Running Finger Roll75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 47' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Whitney 16' Jump Shot75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Armstrong 8' Running Jump Shot75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASMISS Willis 18' Jump Shot75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Whitney 17' Jump Shot75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q3 - 1:10ORLClaxton STEAL (2 STL)75
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 1:13SASClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)75
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q3 - 1:33SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 1:35ORLMISS Giricek 14' Jump Shot75
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q3 - 1:44ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q3 - 1:49SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 2:09ORLGooden Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)75
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q3 - 2:09ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 2:12ORLMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 2:29ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 2:31SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot75
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q3 - 2:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q3 - 2:45ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot75
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 2:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 2:59SASRose 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 3:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Bowen 2' Tip Shot75
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q3 - 3:03SASMISS Rose 3' Layup75
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q3 - 3:24ORLMcGrady 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)75
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q3 - 3:40SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)73
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q3 - 4:00ORLGooden 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)73
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 4:16SASBowen 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)71
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q3 - 4:20SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 4:22ORLMISS McGrady 2' Layup71
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 4:38SASJackson 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)71
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q3 - 4:42SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q3 - 4:44ORLMISS Giricek 20' Jump Shot71
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q3 - 4:56ORLMagic Rebound71
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 4:57SASMISS Parker Layup71
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 5:11SASSPURS Rebound71
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q3 - 5:12ORLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)71
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 5:19ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 5:21SASMISS Duncan 11' Running Jump Shot71
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 5:39ORLGiricek 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q3 - 5:50SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q3 - 5:50SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 6:13ORLMcGrady 19' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)69
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bowen 7 AST)67
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q3 - 6:48ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 6:48ORLGooden 3' Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)67
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 6:50ORLMISS Vaughn 2' Driving Layup65
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 6:58ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 6:59SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot65
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q3 - 7:13ORLKemp 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Giricek 4 AST)65
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 7:31SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 6 AST)63
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 7:58ORLKemp 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)63
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 8:19SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 8:19SASRobinson 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)61
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 8:21SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot61
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 8:38SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 8:40ORLMISS Gooden 16' Jump Shot61
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 9:01SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 9:01SASJackson 3' Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)61
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 9:04SASMISS Parker 3' Layup61
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 9:08SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 9:10ORLMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 9:19ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 9:21SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot61
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 9:42ORLKemp 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)61
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 9:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)59
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 9:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)59
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 10:12ORLGooden Foul Turnover (P2.T9)59
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 10:28SASRobinson 3' Layup (10 PTS)59
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 10:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 10:43ORLMISS Gooden 11' Jump Shot59
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 11:00SASJackson 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)59
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 11:21ORLVaughn 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kemp 3 AST)59
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 11:33ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)56
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 11:35SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot56
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 11:41SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 11:43ORLMISS Giricek 11' Jump Shot56
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS56
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound56
6.0%
65
94.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)56
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)56
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)56
9.3%
62
90.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)55
9.1%
62
90.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0ORLMISS McGrady 2' Layup54
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)54
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMcGrady 1' Layup (17 PTS)54
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS McGrady 2' Driving Layup52
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q2 - 1:27SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)52
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q2 - 1:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q2 - 1:41ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot52
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q2 - 1:59SASDuncan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)52
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q2 - 2:23ORLMcGrady 1' Layup (15 PTS)52
10.7%
57
89.3%
Q2 - 2:27SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)50
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q2 - 2:37SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q2 - 2:39SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Hook Shot50
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q2 - 2:55ORLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)50
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q2 - 3:06SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)50
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q2 - 3:08ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)50
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q2 - 3:11SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)50
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q2 - 3:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q2 - 3:20ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot50
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 3:36SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)50
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q2 - 3:49ORLHunter 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)50
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q2 - 3:49ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
9.7%
55
90.3%
Q2 - 3:49ORLMISS Gooden 11' Jump Shot48
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 4:16SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)48
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q2 - 4:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 4:26ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)48
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 4:34ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q2 - 4:36SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot48
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 4:42SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 4:46ORLWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)48
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 5:03SASDuncan 2' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)48
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q2 - 5:23ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 5:23ORLMcGrady 1' Layup (13 PTS)48
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 5:25ORLMISS McGrady 2' Layup46
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 5:39SASDuncan 3' Layup (12 PTS)46
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q2 - 6:00ORLMcGrady 3' Layup (11 PTS)46
14.3%
48
85.7%
Q2 - 6:15SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)44
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 6:30ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q2 - 6:54SASWillis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)44
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 6:58SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q2 - 7:01ORLMISS Hunter 7' Jump Shot44
16.1%
45
83.9%
Q2 - 7:26SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 5 AST)44
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 7:43ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 7:43ORLHunter 1' Layup (2 PTS)44
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 7:46ORLMISS Garrity 3PT Jump Shot42
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 8:03SASWillis 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)42
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 8:27ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 8:36SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)39
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 8:51ORLSasser Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 8:51ORLMISS Sasser Free Throw 1 of 238
15.2%
40
84.8%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 9:04SASMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot38
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 9:34ORLGiricek 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)38
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 9:52SASWillis 3' Layup (4 PTS)36
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 9:53SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
14.2%
38
85.8%
Q2 - 9:55SASMISS Willis 13' Jump Shot36
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 10:09SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 10:11ORLMISS DeClercq 2' Layup36
14.7%
38
85.3%
Q2 - 10:27SASClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)36
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 10:30ORLClaxton STEAL (1 STL)36
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 10:38ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 10:40SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Shot36
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 10:55ORLSasser Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 10:55ORLSasser Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 10:58ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
13.2%
38
86.8%
Q2 - 11:00SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 11:04SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 11:08ORLRose BLOCK (1 BLK)34
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 11:27SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 11:29SASMISS Willis Free Throw 1 of 134
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 11:29SASWillis 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)34
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 11:44SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 11:46ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot34
17.0%
34
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL34
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASRose 1' Dunk (2 PTS)34
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLRose STEAL (1 STL)34
19.4%
32
80.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
20.6%
32
79.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLGiricek 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)34
19.4%
32
80.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot32
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q1 - 1:02ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Giricek 3 AST)32
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q1 - 1:10ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q1 - 1:12SASMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot30
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q1 - 1:35ORLKemp 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)30
14.2%
32
85.8%
Q1 - 1:54SASDuncan 2' Finger Roll (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)28
12.8%
32
87.2%
Q1 - 2:09ORLKemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q1 - 2:09ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q1 - 2:21SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q1 - 2:21SASGinobili Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 2:39ORLGiricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)26
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 2:48SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 2:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q1 - 3:06ORLGooden 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kemp 2 AST)23
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 3:21ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 3:23ORLMISS McGrady 1' Layup21
12.2%
25
87.8%
Q1 - 3:39SASRobinson 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)21
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 3:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q1 - 3:45ORLMISS Giricek 2' Layup21
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 3:50ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 3:53SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot21
14.7%
23
85.3%
Q1 - 4:12ORLKemp 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)21
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 4:34SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)19
12.8%
23
87.2%
Q1 - 4:54ORLGooden 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Kemp 1 AST)19
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q1 - 4:57ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 4:59SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup17
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 5:13ORLGooden 1' Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)17
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 5:31SASRobinson 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)15
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 5:49ORLMcGrady 2' Layup (6 PTS)15
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 5:50ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 5:52ORLMISS McGrady 1' Layup13
10.2%
19
89.8%
Q1 - 6:07SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)13
10.9%
19
89.1%
Q1 - 6:26ORLKemp 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)13
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 6:39ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 6:40SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 211
10.7%
17
89.3%
Q1 - 6:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)11
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 6:54SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
10.8%
16
89.2%
Q1 - 6:58ORLMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot11
11.1%
16
88.9%
Q1 - 7:06SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 7:16SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 7:18ORLMISS Gooden 13' Fadeaway Jumper11
11.1%
16
88.9%
Q1 - 7:35ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 7:37ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot11
11.1%
16
88.9%
Q1 - 7:56SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)11
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 8:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 8:05ORLMISS Vaughn 3' Layup11
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 8:16ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 8:18SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot11
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 8:41ORLGooden 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 8:52ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
12.4%
13
87.6%
Q1 - 8:54SASMISS Jackson 1' Reverse Layup9
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 9:06ORLBowen STEAL (1 STL)9
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 9:20SASJackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)9
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 9:31ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
12.9%
11
87.1%
Q1 - 9:31ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 28
12.8%
11
87.2%
Q1 - 9:44SASJackson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
13.1%
11
86.9%
Q1 - 9:44ORLGooden 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
13.8%
9
86.2%
Q1 - 9:56SASRobinson 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)6
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 10:15ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
13.8%
7
86.2%
Q1 - 10:34SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
12.2%
7
87.8%
Q1 - 10:34SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 10:54ORLRobinson STEAL (1 STL)3
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 10:57ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)3
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:59ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)3
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 11:16SASBowen 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 11:35ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:35ORLKemp Layup (2 PTS)2
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 11:35ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:35ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot0
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:47SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:47SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
14.0%
1
86.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Gooden: Tip to0
14.7%
0
85.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.06 53.0%
SAS
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
20
36
56%
SAS
25
32
78%
Midrange
ORL
15
38
39%
SAS
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
SAS
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
ORL
17
19
89%
SAS
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3052%15.0 / 29
D. Gooden1959%9.5 / 16
S. Kemp1794%8.5 / 9
G. Giricek941%4.5 / 11
S. Hunter880%4.0 / 5
J. Sasser675%3.0 / 4
D. Armstrong467%2.0 / 3
P. Garrity425%2.0 / 8
J. Vaughn338%1.5 / 4
A. DeClercq350%1.5 / 3
C. Whitney225%1.0 / 4
O. Oyedeji0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2056%10.0 / 18
B. Bowen1680%8.0 / 10
T. Parker1470%7.0 / 10
D. Robinson1488%7.0 / 8
M. Rose1478%7.0 / 9
S. Jackson1267%6.0 / 9
M. Ginobili1155%5.5 / 10
S. Smith9113%4.5 / 4
K. Willis643%3.0 / 7
S. Claxton233%1.0 / 3
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 1
D. Ferry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
82
+17
-15
99
SAS
82
+11
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.06 53.0%
SAS
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
102.7
ORL 108.2
SAS 121.6 +13.4
Pace
95.5
92.6
ORL 98.6 +3.2
SAS 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.6
ORL 14.6 +0.5
SAS 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
49.7%
ORL 50.6%
SAS 62.5% +11.9%
TO %
14.4%
16.5%
ORL 13.6% +0.9%
SAS 14.5%
ORB %
27.1%
28.8%
ORL 36.4% +8.3%
SAS 28.1%
FTrt
30.7
34.8
ORL 21.8
SAS 36.8 +15.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
56.3%
ORL 43.9%
SAS 58.1% +14.2%
STL %
8.8%
8.3%
ORL 12.4% +4.2%
SAS 8.2%
BLK %
5.6%
9.3%
ORL 3.6%
SAS 8.1% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
51.4%
ORL 53.0%
SAS 63.4% +10.4%
Rim FG%
54.6%
59.3%
ORL 55.6%
SAS 78.1% +22.5%
Mid FG%
39.9%
38.8%
ORL 39.5% +0.4%
SAS 39.1%
3P %
35.7%
35.4%
ORL 46.2% +3.3%
SAS 42.9%
FT %
77.7%
72.5%
ORL 89.5% +7.4%
SAS 82.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
39.3%
ORL 41.4%
SAS 42.1% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
40.6%
ORL 43.7%
SAS 30.3% +13.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
20.2%
ORL 14.9%
SAS 27.6% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points105118
Rebounds3937
Assists1825
Steals128
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals41-8743-76
At-the-Rim FG20-3625-32
Midrange FG15-389-23
2-Point FG35-7434-55
3-Point FG6-139-21
Free Throws17-1923-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 26
34.0
9
41%
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
33.0
30
52%
10
3
2
1
3
2
4
6
4-5
80%
10-23
43%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 250 · 22
26.1
19
59%
4
0
1
0
4
4
3
1
3-3
100%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 33
22.5
17
94%
5
3
1
0
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
7-7
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
22.3
3
38%
1
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
25.7
4
67%
3
4
4
0
2
2
1
2
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 238 · 27
22.4
4
25%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
15.3
2
25%
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
13.8
6
75%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 255 · 30
11.8
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 21
10.3
8
80%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 22
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
53%
39
18
12
2
15
0
16
23
17-19
89%
35-74
47%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.