FinalWin Prob.pScore
1554%95
91
2746%94
86
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
101.19091.1
MIA logo MIA
95.69089.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL91
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILBucks Rebound89
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
97.4%
84
2.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
96.2%
84
3.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
90.6%
84
9.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
89.7%
84
10.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIABest Driving Layup (7 PTS)85
82.2%
84
17.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILCassell 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 9 AST)85
88.7%
82
11.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)83
78.0%
82
22.0%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS House 12' Jump Shot83
73.0%
82
27.0%
Q4 - 1:04MILMason 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)83
59.0%
82
41.0%
Q4 - 1:24MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
47.5%
82
52.5%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot81
43.0%
82
57.0%
Q4 - 1:41MIABest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
35.0%
82
65.0%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot81
44.2%
82
55.8%
Q4 - 1:45MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
35.4%
82
64.6%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
44.3%
82
55.7%
Q4 - 2:11MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
35.3%
82
64.7%
Q4 - 2:11MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 280
33.3%
82
66.7%
Q4 - 2:15MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)80
40.2%
82
59.8%
Q4 - 2:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)80
25.4%
82
74.6%
Q4 - 2:17MILMISS Kukoc Layup80
29.5%
82
70.5%
Q4 - 2:19MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
40.3%
82
59.7%
Q4 - 2:21MILMISS Cassell 8' Jump Shot80
29.5%
82
70.5%
Q4 - 2:29MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
40.6%
82
59.4%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot80
35.6%
82
64.4%
Q4 - 2:45MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
25.3%
82
74.7%
Q4 - 2:47MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
29.6%
82
70.4%
Q4 - 3:00MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
40.2%
82
59.8%
Q4 - 3:00MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
41.8%
81
58.2%
Q4 - 3:00MIAHEAT Rebound80
46.6%
80
53.4%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot80
56.9%
80
43.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
46.5%
80
53.5%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
57.0%
80
43.0%
Q4 - 3:24MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)80
46.4%
80
53.6%
Q4 - 3:38MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
32.2%
80
67.8%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot77
29.5%
80
70.5%
Q4 - 4:04MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mason 5 AST)77
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q4 - 4:30MIAStepania Tip Shot (11 PTS)74
12.8%
80
87.2%
Q4 - 4:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)74
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup74
21.6%
78
78.4%
Q4 - 4:37MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 4:39MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
19.0%
78
81.0%
Q4 - 4:42MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)74
23.7%
78
76.3%
Q4 - 4:46MILButler STEAL (1 STL)74
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q4 - 4:58MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)74
23.6%
78
76.4%
Q4 - 5:03MILPayton 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)74
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q4 - 5:29MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Best 7 AST)72
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q4 - 5:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
20.5%
76
79.5%
Q4 - 5:41MILMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot72
22.3%
76
77.7%
Q4 - 5:56MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Best 6 AST)72
26.7%
76
73.3%
Q4 - 6:03MILHouse STEAL (2 STL)72
42.5%
73
57.5%
Q4 - 6:24MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
51.1%
73
48.9%
Q4 - 6:24MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
52.0%
72
48.0%
Q4 - 6:50MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
57.5%
71
42.5%
Q4 - 6:50MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 271
56.1%
71
43.9%
Q4 - 6:58MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
58.5%
71
41.5%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Grant Dunk71
56.0%
71
44.0%
Q4 - 7:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
51.0%
71
49.0%
Q4 - 7:21MILAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)71
53.4%
71
46.6%
Q4 - 7:29MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
58.7%
71
41.3%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
56.4%
71
43.6%
Q4 - 7:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)71
50.9%
71
49.1%
Q4 - 7:47MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
53.3%
71
46.7%
Q4 - 8:10MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 4 AST)71
57.9%
71
42.1%
Q4 - 8:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
69.6%
68
30.4%
Q4 - 8:20MILMISS Payton Driving Layup71
71.2%
68
28.8%
Q4 - 8:39MIAAllen Dunk (6 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)71
74.9%
68
25.1%
Q4 - 8:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
79.3%
66
20.7%
Q4 - 8:54MILMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot71
80.6%
66
19.4%
Q4 - 9:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
83.3%
66
16.7%
Q4 - 9:02MILMISS Mason 22' Jump Shot71
79.5%
66
20.5%
Q4 - 9:24MIAButler Layup (12 PTS) (House 3 AST)71
82.2%
66
17.8%
Q4 - 9:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)71
85.3%
64
14.7%
Q4 - 9:31MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
86.3%
64
13.7%
Q4 - 9:42MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
88.2%
64
11.8%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS House Driving Layup71
87.4%
64
12.6%
Q4 - 9:56MILGrant STEAL (1 STL)71
85.4%
64
14.6%
Q4 - 10:11MIAAllen 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
87.0%
64
13.0%
Q4 - 10:27MILThomas 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)71
89.3%
62
10.7%
Q4 - 10:35MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
87.1%
62
12.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q4 - 11:04MILPayton 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
82.9%
62
17.1%
Q4 - 11:15MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
79.8%
62
20.2%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot67
78.7%
62
21.3%
Q4 - 11:48MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)67
76.0%
62
24.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
67.4%
62
32.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound64
62.2%
62
37.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Best 55' 3PT Jump Shot64
65.9%
62
34.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILPayton 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
62.3%
62
37.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Best 5 AST)62
57.3%
62
42.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)62
62.3%
60
37.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
63.7%
60
36.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
67.0%
60
33.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot62
65.6%
60
34.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
62.3%
60
37.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
63.7%
60
36.3%
Q3 - 1:09MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)62
66.7%
60
33.3%
Q3 - 1:27MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
70.7%
58
29.3%
Q3 - 1:29MILMISS Johnson 8' Hook Shot62
72.0%
58
28.0%
Q3 - 1:49MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 4 AST)62
74.8%
58
25.2%
Q3 - 2:02MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)62
76.8%
56
23.2%
Q3 - 2:18MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 3 AST)59
70.0%
56
30.0%
Q3 - 2:27MILBest STEAL (1 STL)59
76.9%
53
23.1%
Q3 - 2:48MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)59
80.4%
53
19.6%
Q3 - 3:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)59
84.7%
50
15.3%
Q3 - 3:03MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
85.5%
50
14.5%
Q3 - 3:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
87.0%
50
13.0%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Stepania Layup59
86.4%
50
13.6%
Q3 - 3:29MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)59
84.8%
50
15.2%
Q3 - 3:47MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 2 AST)56
79.7%
50
20.3%
Q3 - 4:00MILJohnson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)56
84.8%
47
15.2%
Q3 - 4:11MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
81.8%
47
18.2%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
80.9%
47
19.1%
Q3 - 4:25MILMason Layup (9 PTS)54
78.7%
47
21.3%
Q3 - 4:28MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
76.1%
47
23.9%
Q3 - 4:30MILMISS Cassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
73.5%
47
26.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 1 AST)52
76.1%
47
23.9%
Q3 - 5:13MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
80.9%
44
19.1%
Q3 - 5:13MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 251
80.3%
44
19.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIABest 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)51
81.1%
44
18.9%
Q3 - 5:51MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
83.3%
42
16.7%
Q3 - 5:52MILMISS Payton Driving Layup51
84.1%
42
15.9%
Q3 - 6:05MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
84.8%
42
15.2%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot51
84.2%
42
15.8%
Q3 - 6:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)51
82.5%
42
17.5%
Q3 - 6:20MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot51
83.3%
42
16.7%
Q3 - 6:41MIACarter 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)51
84.9%
42
15.1%
Q3 - 7:07MILHaislip Layup (8 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)51
85.8%
40
14.2%
Q3 - 7:29MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
84.1%
40
15.9%
Q3 - 7:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)49
85.8%
38
14.2%
Q3 - 7:45MILMISS Payton 13' Jump Shot49
86.5%
38
13.5%
Q3 - 8:03MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
87.5%
38
12.5%
Q3 - 8:03MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
87.8%
37
12.2%
Q3 - 8:13MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
88.8%
36
11.2%
Q3 - 8:14MILMISS Haislip 6' Jump Shot49
89.4%
36
10.6%
Q3 - 8:16MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
90.4%
36
9.6%
Q3 - 8:18MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot49
89.4%
36
10.6%
Q3 - 8:32MILBucks Rebound49
90.4%
36
9.6%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot49
90.0%
36
10.0%
Q3 - 8:46MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)49
88.9%
36
11.1%
Q3 - 8:48MILMISS Haislip 8' Jump Shot49
89.4%
36
10.6%
Q3 - 9:02MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
89.7%
36
10.3%
Q3 - 9:04MIAMISS House Layup49
89.3%
36
10.7%
Q3 - 9:17MIAHEAT Rebound49
88.3%
36
11.7%
Q3 - 9:18MILMISS Haislip 20' Jump Shot49
88.8%
36
11.2%
Q3 - 9:34MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)49
89.8%
36
10.2%
Q3 - 10:00MILPayton 9' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)49
88.4%
36
11.6%
Q3 - 10:22MIAStepania Layup (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)47
86.4%
36
13.6%
Q3 - 10:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
87.8%
34
12.2%
Q3 - 10:33MILMISS Cassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
88.3%
34
11.7%
Q3 - 10:45MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
89.4%
34
10.6%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
88.9%
34
11.1%
Q3 - 10:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)47
87.8%
34
12.2%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot47
88.9%
34
11.1%
Q3 - 11:21MILHaislip 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)47
87.4%
34
12.6%
Q3 - 11:41MILBucks Rebound45
85.9%
34
14.1%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot45
85.4%
34
14.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
84.1%
34
15.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
84.1%
34
15.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)43
81.1%
34
18.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILPayton Driving Layup (10 PTS)43
79.7%
34
20.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)41
76.8%
34
23.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
79.8%
32
20.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
79.2%
32
20.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)39
76.9%
32
23.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 239
76.6%
32
23.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
74.9%
32
25.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)39
77.5%
31
22.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot39
78.7%
31
21.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)39
77.2%
31
22.8%
Q2 - 1:09MILMISS Cassell 10' Jump Shot39
77.6%
31
22.4%
Q2 - 1:17MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
78.4%
31
21.6%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot39
78.0%
31
22.0%
Q2 - 1:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)39
77.2%
31
22.8%
Q2 - 1:29MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot39
77.6%
31
22.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)39
78.4%
31
21.6%
Q2 - 1:47MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
77.3%
31
22.7%
Q2 - 1:47MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
76.8%
31
23.2%
Q2 - 2:10MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)37
73.7%
31
26.3%
Q2 - 2:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
76.2%
29
23.8%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot37
77.7%
29
22.3%
Q2 - 2:53MILMason 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)37
76.3%
29
23.7%
Q2 - 3:01MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
73.3%
29
26.7%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot35
72.5%
29
27.5%
Q2 - 3:18MILMason Layup (2 PTS)35
70.6%
29
29.4%
Q2 - 3:20MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q2 - 3:22MILMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot33
66.4%
29
33.6%
Q2 - 3:32MILPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot33
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q2 - 4:00MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)33
65.5%
29
34.5%
Q2 - 4:24MIAStepania Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
62.7%
29
37.3%
Q2 - 4:36MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q2 - 4:38MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot31
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 4:58MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)31
62.7%
29
37.3%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot31
61.9%
29
38.1%
Q2 - 5:16MILThomas Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)31
59.9%
29
40.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
57.3%
29
42.7%
Q2 - 5:43MILCassell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
54.3%
29
45.7%
Q2 - 6:00MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)27
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)27
54.4%
27
45.6%
Q2 - 6:08MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 6:24MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q2 - 6:24MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q2 - 6:40MILRedd 13' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
59.7%
25
40.3%
Q2 - 6:43MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)25
57.6%
25
42.4%
Q2 - 6:45MILMISS Cassell 10' Jump Shot25
55.3%
25
44.7%
Q2 - 6:59MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)25
57.6%
25
42.4%
Q2 - 7:05MILThomas 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
59.9%
23
40.1%
Q2 - 7:07MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
57.5%
23
42.5%
Q2 - 7:09MILMISS Thomas Running Dunk23
55.6%
23
44.4%
Q2 - 7:21MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T5)23
57.5%
23
42.5%
Q2 - 7:23MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot23
56.7%
23
43.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q2 - 7:39MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot23
55.6%
23
44.4%
Q2 - 7:54MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)23
57.5%
23
42.5%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot23
56.7%
23
43.3%
Q2 - 8:22MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
54.5%
23
45.5%
Q2 - 8:24MILMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot23
55.4%
23
44.6%
Q2 - 8:36MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
57.4%
23
42.6%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Lampley 4' Running Jump Shot23
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q2 - 9:01MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)23
54.6%
23
45.4%
Q2 - 9:18MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q2 - 9:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)21
49.5%
23
50.5%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot21
51.5%
23
48.5%
Q2 - 9:42MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
49.5%
23
50.5%
Q2 - 9:44MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q2 - 9:58MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q2 - 9:58MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
52.7%
22
47.3%
Q2 - 10:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
54.4%
21
45.6%
Q2 - 10:08MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot21
55.2%
21
44.8%
Q2 - 10:28MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
57.2%
21
42.8%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot21
56.3%
21
43.7%
Q2 - 10:44MILHouse STEAL (1 STL)21
54.4%
21
45.6%
Q2 - 10:49MILRedd Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
57.2%
21
42.8%
Q2 - 11:04MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
54.5%
21
45.5%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)20
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q2 - 11:28MILMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot20
52.9%
21
47.1%
Q2 - 11:35MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
54.5%
21
45.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup20
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0MILJohnson Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILMISS Payton 5' Hook Shot16
43.4%
21
56.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 216
45.4%
20
54.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
46.6%
20
53.4%
Q1 - 1:20MILPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
45.3%
20
54.7%
Q1 - 1:26MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
42.5%
20
57.5%
Q1 - 1:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)14
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 1:36MILMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot14
41.2%
20
58.8%
Q1 - 1:43MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
42.5%
20
57.5%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot14
41.9%
20
58.1%
Q1 - 2:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)14
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 2:02MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 2:23MIAJames 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 2:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 3:04MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)14
45.6%
18
54.4%
Q1 - 3:17MIAStepania Layup (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)11
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 3:33MILKukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 3:45MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.2%
16
60.8%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup8
38.5%
16
61.5%
Q1 - 3:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 3:53MILMISS Kukoc 17' Jump Shot8
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q1 - 4:05MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
39.8%
16
60.2%
Q1 - 4:06MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot8
38.0%
16
62.0%
Q1 - 4:25MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
39.8%
16
60.2%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 28
40.6%
15
59.4%
Q1 - 4:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
41.1%
15
58.9%
Q1 - 4:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 4:40MILButler BLOCK (1 BLK)8
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 4:59MIACarter 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 5:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 5:07MILMISS Mason 9' Running Jump Shot8
45.0%
13
55.0%
Q1 - 5:32MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)8
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 5:45MILHaislip 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 5:58MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot6
45.9%
11
54.1%
Q1 - 6:19MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 6:21MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 6:23MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot6
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 16
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)6
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 6:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
48.7%
9
51.3%
Q1 - 6:55MILMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot6
49.4%
9
50.6%
Q1 - 7:05MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.3%
9
48.7%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
50.7%
9
49.3%
Q1 - 7:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
49.2%
9
50.8%
Q1 - 7:17MILMISS Mason 9' Running Hook Shot6
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 7:40MIAGrant Running Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)6
51.3%
9
48.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
53.0%
7
47.0%
Q1 - 7:48MILMISS Haislip 20' Jump Shot6
53.6%
7
46.4%
Q1 - 7:58MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
55.0%
7
45.0%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot6
54.4%
7
45.6%
Q1 - 8:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.4%
7
46.6%
Q1 - 8:15MILMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot6
54.0%
7
46.0%
Q1 - 8:31MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)6
55.5%
7
44.5%
Q1 - 8:57MILHaislip 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)6
58.9%
4
41.1%
Q1 - 9:22MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 9:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot4
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 9:51MILCassell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)4
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIAButler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHEAT Rebound2
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Stepania 10' Hook Shot2
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 10:43MILPayton 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 10:52MILBucks Rebound0
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 10:55MILMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot0
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 11:06MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.9%
0
43.1%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup0
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 11:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 11:23MILMISS Haislip 14' Jump Shot0
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:35MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
56.9%
0
43.1%
Q1 - 11:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 11:41MILMISS Haislip Layup0
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Przybilla: Tip to Cassell0
56.9%
0
43.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.96 47.9%
MIA
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
8
16
50%
MIA
9
19
47%
Midrange
MIL
20
50
40%
MIA
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIL
14
17
82%
MIA
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Payton2063%10.0 / 16
S. Cassell2056%10.0 / 18
M. Redd1454%7.0 / 13
D. Mason1338%6.5 / 17
M. Haislip840%4.0 / 10
T. Kukoc643%3.0 / 7
T. Thomas630%3.0 / 10
E. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
J. Przybilla0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. House2166%10.5 / 16
R. Butler1547%7.5 / 16
B. Grant1558%7.5 / 13
V. Stepania1150%5.5 / 11
M. Allen836%4.0 / 11
T. Best750%3.5 / 7
A. Carter528%2.5 / 9
M. James214%1.0 / 7
S. Lampley250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
84
+11
-6
95
MIA
77
+16
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.96 47.9%
MIA
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
94.5
MIL 101.1
MIA 95.6 +5.6
Pace
92.7
90.0
MIL 91.1 +1.7
MIA 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
MIL 15.8 +0.3
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
43.9%
MIL 44.8% +0.8%
MIA 44.0%
TO %
13.0%
14.8%
MIL 6.0% +6.6%
MIA 12.6%
ORB %
25.7%
26.8%
MIL 20.4%
MIA 28.3% +7.9%
FTrt
28.7
25.9
MIL 19.8
MIA 20.5 +0.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
55.8%
MIL 54.3%
MIA 75.8% +21.5%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
MIL 7.8% +2.2%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
6.4%
6.4%
MIL 8.2% +5.2%
MIA 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
46.0%
MIL 47.9% +2.6%
MIA 45.3%
Rim FG%
57.7%
53.7%
MIL 50.0% +2.6%
MIA 47.4%
Mid FG%
41.4%
37.6%
MIL 40.0%
MIA 40.5% +0.5%
3P %
38.3%
31.6%
MIL 35.0% +3.2%
MIA 31.8%
FT %
77.6%
76.5%
MIL 82.4% +5.9%
MIA 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
28.9%
MIL 18.6%
MIA 22.9% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
54.2%
MIL 58.1%
MIA 50.6% +7.5%
3P Att. %
22.9%
16.9%
MIL 23.3%
MIA 26.5% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.724.1
Points9186
Rebounds4352
Assists1925
Steals75
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)39 (1)
Field Goals35-8633-83
At-the-Rim FG8-169-19
Midrange FG20-5017-42
2-Point FG28-6626-61
3-Point FG7-207-22
Free Throws14-1713-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 35
43.2
20
63%
6
9
3
0
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 33
38.7
20
56%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-11
45%
2-5
40%
F · 6'5" 222 · 25
35.0
13
38%
4
5
1
0
2
2
3
1
5-8
63%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
14.2
8
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 245 · 23
12.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 35
29.8
4
67%
13
1
1
4
0
2
3
10
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 35
26.5
6
43%
3
2
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
24.2
14
54%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
3-8
38%
F · 6'10" 240 · 26
16.2
6
30%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 255 · 36
F · 6'8" 256 · 30
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
43
19
7
5
6
0
10
33
14-17
82%
28-66
42%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.