FinalWin Prob.pScore
347%92
92
1353%93
90
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
101.19197.0
NOH
101.18984.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0NOHMagloire Layup (14 PTS)92
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHMISS Brown 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
97.4%
88
2.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 292
97.8%
88
2.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 292
98.8%
88
1.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0NOHBrown Layup (13 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)92
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)92
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 291
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0NOHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot91
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASDuncan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)91
97.2%
86
2.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
83.0%
86
17.0%
Q4 - 0:57.0NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot88
79.4%
86
20.6%
Q4 - 1:12SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
67.7%
86
32.3%
Q4 - 1:12SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
65.2%
86
34.8%
Q4 - 1:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)86
56.3%
86
43.7%
Q4 - 1:32NOHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot86
51.6%
86
48.4%
Q4 - 1:53NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
42.3%
86
57.7%
Q4 - 1:54SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot86
46.2%
86
53.8%
Q4 - 2:17NOHMashburn Layup (24 PTS)86
57.8%
86
42.2%
Q4 - 2:40NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
63.7%
84
36.3%
Q4 - 2:42SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot86
68.5%
84
31.5%
Q4 - 3:03NOHMashburn Finger Roll (22 PTS)86
75.0%
84
25.0%
Q4 - 3:24SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (30 PTS)86
79.6%
82
20.4%
Q4 - 3:48NOHDavis Driving Layup (18 PTS)84
70.6%
82
29.4%
Q4 - 4:09NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
77.6%
80
22.4%
Q4 - 4:11SASMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)84
79.7%
80
20.3%
Q4 - 4:33NOHMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 184
83.2%
80
16.8%
Q4 - 4:33NOHDavis 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)84
83.9%
80
16.1%
Q4 - 4:39NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
88.2%
78
11.8%
Q4 - 4:40SASMISS Claxton Layup84
89.4%
78
10.6%
Q4 - 5:05NOHMashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)84
89.1%
78
10.9%
Q4 - 5:13NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q4 - 5:15SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot84
94.6%
75
5.4%
Q4 - 5:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)84
95.8%
75
4.2%
Q4 - 5:38NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot84
95.3%
75
4.7%
Q4 - 5:54SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)84
94.1%
75
5.9%
Q4 - 5:54SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 283
93.8%
75
6.2%
Q4 - 6:05NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)83
92.5%
75
7.5%
Q4 - 6:05NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
89.7%
75
10.3%
Q4 - 6:07NOHMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
91.7%
75
8.3%
Q4 - 6:30SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)83
89.8%
75
10.2%
Q4 - 6:30SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
89.2%
75
10.8%
Q4 - 6:33SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
87.2%
75
12.8%
Q4 - 6:34NOHMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
86.0%
75
14.0%
Q4 - 6:56SASRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)81
82.9%
75
17.1%
Q4 - 6:56SASRose Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)80
78.1%
75
21.9%
Q4 - 7:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)78
71.4%
75
28.6%
Q4 - 7:13NOHMISS Lynch 16' Jump Shot78
69.5%
75
30.5%
Q4 - 7:33SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)78
64.7%
75
35.3%
Q4 - 7:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)77
63.4%
75
36.6%
Q4 - 7:59NOHDavis 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Traylor 2 AST)76
59.1%
75
40.9%
Q4 - 8:01NOHHORNETS Rebound76
63.7%
73
36.3%
Q4 - 8:02NOHMISS Alexander Layup76
67.7%
73
32.3%
Q4 - 8:21SASGinobili Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)76
63.7%
73
36.3%
Q4 - 8:32SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
57.8%
73
42.2%
Q4 - 8:33NOHMISS Alexander Free Throw 2 of 274
56.9%
73
43.1%
Q4 - 8:33NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
52.5%
73
47.5%
Q4 - 8:46SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
57.7%
72
42.3%
Q4 - 8:46SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
56.2%
72
43.8%
Q4 - 9:03NOHAnderson Driving Layup (8 PTS)72
51.4%
72
48.6%
Q4 - 9:21SASClaxton 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
57.0%
70
43.0%
Q4 - 9:52NOHLynch 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)70
51.3%
70
48.7%
Q4 - 9:59NOHHORNETS Rebound70
57.1%
68
42.9%
Q4 - 9:59NOHMISS Anderson Layup70
61.3%
68
38.7%
Q4 - 10:02NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
56.2%
68
43.8%
Q4 - 10:04SASAlexander BLOCK (1 BLK)70
58.0%
68
42.0%
Q4 - 10:20NOHMashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
62.2%
68
37.8%
Q4 - 10:29NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
71.8%
65
28.2%
Q4 - 10:31SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot70
73.3%
65
26.7%
Q4 - 10:48NOHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)70
76.6%
65
23.4%
Q4 - 11:13SASClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
70.7%
65
29.3%
Q4 - 11:13SASClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)69
69.8%
65
30.2%
Q4 - 11:29NOHAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)68
66.3%
65
33.7%
Q4 - 11:44SASWillis Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)68
61.0%
65
39.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH66
56.0%
65
44.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
50.5%
65
49.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot66
52.0%
65
48.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0NOHTraylor 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)66
55.6%
65
44.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
60.6%
63
39.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASMISS Ginobili Layup66
62.1%
63
37.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0NOHAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
65.4%
63
34.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0NOHAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
66.4%
62
33.6%
Q3 - 1:07NOHHORNETS Rebound66
68.8%
61
31.2%
Q3 - 1:10SASMISS Rose Layup66
70.1%
61
29.9%
Q3 - 1:26NOHAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)66
73.0%
61
27.0%
Q3 - 1:51SASRose Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)66
76.6%
59
23.4%
Q3 - 2:11NOHMagloire 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)64
71.7%
59
28.3%
Q3 - 2:26NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
75.0%
57
25.0%
Q3 - 2:28SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot64
76.2%
57
23.8%
Q3 - 2:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
78.7%
57
21.3%
Q3 - 2:47NOHMISS Mashburn 10' Jump Shot64
77.6%
57
22.4%
Q3 - 3:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
74.4%
57
25.6%
Q3 - 3:05SASDuncan Slam Dunk (26 PTS)64
74.4%
57
25.6%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Duncan Layup62
68.2%
57
31.8%
Q3 - 3:24NOHAlexander Foul Turnover (P2.T10)62
71.0%
57
29.0%
Q3 - 3:28SASMagloire STEAL (1 STL)62
66.9%
57
33.1%
Q3 - 3:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)62
71.0%
57
29.0%
Q3 - 3:44NOHMISS Mashburn Layup62
69.8%
57
30.2%
Q3 - 3:45NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
66.9%
57
33.1%
Q3 - 3:46NOHMISS Davis Layup62
69.8%
57
30.2%
Q3 - 3:52SASDavis STEAL (1 STL)62
66.9%
57
33.1%
Q3 - 4:11NOHMagloire Layup (10 PTS)62
70.2%
57
29.8%
Q3 - 4:13NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
73.2%
55
26.8%
Q3 - 4:15NOHMISS Davis Layup62
75.8%
55
24.2%
Q3 - 4:30NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
73.2%
55
26.8%
Q3 - 4:32SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot62
74.4%
55
25.6%
Q3 - 4:46SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
77.0%
55
23.0%
Q3 - 4:48SASMISS Rose Reverse Layup62
74.5%
55
25.5%
Q3 - 4:57NOHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)62
77.0%
55
23.0%
Q3 - 5:16SASParker 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
72.6%
55
27.4%
Q3 - 5:30NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
69.4%
55
30.6%
Q3 - 5:30NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
70.5%
54
29.5%
Q3 - 5:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)60
72.6%
53
27.4%
Q3 - 5:44SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)59
69.1%
53
30.9%
Q3 - 5:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
65.8%
53
34.2%
Q3 - 5:58NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
64.5%
53
35.5%
Q3 - 6:20SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
61.0%
53
39.0%
Q3 - 6:20SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 256
60.1%
53
39.9%
Q3 - 6:29SASSpurs Rebound56
61.2%
53
38.8%
Q3 - 6:30SASMISS Jackson Layup56
58.4%
53
41.6%
Q3 - 6:48NOHMashburn Dunk (14 PTS) (Lynch 3 AST)56
61.3%
53
38.7%
Q3 - 6:59SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)56
64.8%
51
35.2%
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
67.6%
51
32.4%
Q3 - 7:06NOHMISS Brown Layup56
66.5%
51
33.5%
Q3 - 7:10NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
63.7%
51
36.3%
Q3 - 7:12SASMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)56
64.9%
51
35.1%
Q3 - 7:29SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
67.7%
51
32.3%
Q3 - 7:31SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot56
64.9%
51
35.1%
Q3 - 8:01NOHBrown Layup (11 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)56
67.4%
51
32.6%
Q3 - 8:08NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
70.2%
49
29.8%
Q3 - 8:10SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot56
71.3%
49
28.7%
Q3 - 8:17SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
73.7%
49
26.3%
Q3 - 8:19NOHMISS Davis 6' Jump Shot56
72.6%
49
27.4%
Q3 - 8:41SASParker Running Layup (9 PTS)56
70.2%
49
29.8%
Q3 - 8:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
67.4%
49
32.6%
Q3 - 8:58NOHMISS Magloire 8' Hook Shot54
66.2%
49
33.8%
Q3 - 9:20SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)54
63.0%
49
37.0%
Q3 - 9:38NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)52
59.6%
49
40.4%
Q3 - 9:38NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q3 - 9:40NOHMISS Lynch 14' Jump Shot52
58.5%
49
41.5%
Q3 - 10:10SASJackson Layup (11 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)52
55.5%
49
44.5%
Q3 - 10:16NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)50
52.4%
49
47.6%
Q3 - 10:38NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
48.4%
49
51.6%
Q3 - 10:39SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot50
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q3 - 10:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
52.4%
49
47.6%
Q3 - 10:51NOHMISS Lynch 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
51.2%
49
48.8%
Q3 - 11:00NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
48.4%
49
51.6%
Q3 - 11:02SASBrown BLOCK (2 BLK)50
49.7%
49
50.3%
Q3 - 11:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
52.2%
49
47.8%
Q3 - 11:09NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
51.1%
49
48.9%
Q3 - 11:26NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
48.6%
49
51.4%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot50
49.7%
49
50.3%
Q3 - 11:41SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
52.2%
49
47.8%
Q3 - 11:43NOHMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot50
51.1%
49
48.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH50
48.6%
49
51.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)50
48.6%
49
51.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
44.9%
49
55.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0NOHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot48
44.2%
49
55.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)48
42.6%
49
57.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)47
41.9%
49
58.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
38.5%
49
61.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
39.5%
48
60.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
42.6%
47
57.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASMISS Duncan Dunk46
43.3%
47
56.7%
Q2 - 1:07NOHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q2 - 1:27NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
43.1%
47
56.9%
Q2 - 1:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 246
43.3%
47
56.7%
Q2 - 1:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)46
45.5%
47
54.5%
Q2 - 1:42NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
41.5%
47
58.5%
Q2 - 1:42NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
42.0%
46
58.0%
Q2 - 1:55SASJackson Layup (9 PTS)45
46.2%
45
53.8%
Q2 - 2:03NOHMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)43
42.3%
45
57.7%
Q2 - 2:18NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q2 - 2:20SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot43
40.3%
45
59.7%
Q2 - 2:40NOHMagloire Dunk (8 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)43
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q2 - 2:45SASBrown STEAL (2 STL)43
45.6%
43
54.4%
Q2 - 2:59NOHBrown 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)43
48.4%
43
51.6%
Q2 - 3:20SASJackson Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
51.3%
41
48.7%
Q2 - 3:25SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
48.7%
41
51.3%
Q2 - 3:26NOHMISS Brown Layup41
47.6%
41
52.4%
Q2 - 3:44NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
45.3%
41
54.7%
Q2 - 3:46SASMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot41
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q2 - 4:03SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
48.3%
41
51.7%
Q2 - 4:05NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 241
47.9%
41
52.1%
Q2 - 4:05NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
45.9%
41
54.1%
Q2 - 4:19NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
48.4%
40
51.6%
Q2 - 4:22SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 241
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 4:22SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 4:36SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
48.4%
40
51.6%
Q2 - 4:37NOHMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot40
47.5%
40
52.5%
Q2 - 4:43NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
45.5%
40
54.5%
Q2 - 4:44SASMISS Jackson Layup40
46.4%
40
53.6%
Q2 - 4:52SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
48.4%
40
51.6%
Q2 - 4:54NOHMISS Traylor 9' Jump Shot40
47.5%
40
52.5%
Q2 - 5:22SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)40
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 5:42NOHDavis 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)37
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 5:59SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)37
42.6%
38
57.4%
Q2 - 6:14NOHAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
45.9%
38
54.1%
Q2 - 6:14NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 6:17NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 6:18SASMISS Parker Layup37
49.1%
36
50.9%
Q2 - 6:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
51.4%
36
48.6%
Q2 - 6:28NOHMISS Alexander 14' Jump Shot37
50.4%
36
49.6%
Q2 - 6:44SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 7:06NOHTraylor Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)35
45.8%
36
54.2%
Q2 - 7:22NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
48.3%
34
51.7%
Q2 - 7:24SASMISS Claxton 21' Jump Shot35
49.2%
34
50.8%
Q2 - 7:43NOHDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
51.1%
34
48.9%
Q2 - 8:07SASJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)35
55.7%
31
44.3%
Q2 - 8:12SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
58.6%
31
41.4%
Q2 - 8:14NOHMISS Davis Layup35
57.8%
31
42.2%
Q2 - 8:36SASGinobili 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)35
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 8:49SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
53.5%
31
46.5%
Q2 - 8:51NOHMISS Traylor 19' Jump Shot33
52.7%
31
47.3%
Q2 - 9:15SASRose Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)33
50.4%
31
49.6%
Q2 - 9:38NOHAnderson Layup (2 PTS) (Moiso 1 AST)31
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 9:56SASClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
50.4%
29
49.6%
Q2 - 9:56SASMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 230
50.0%
29
50.0%
Q2 - 10:07SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 10:09SASMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot30
48.6%
29
51.4%
Q2 - 10:20NOHAlexander Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 10:24NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
47.8%
29
52.2%
Q2 - 10:25SASTraylor BLOCK (1 BLK)30
48.7%
29
51.3%
Q2 - 10:41NOHAlexander 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)30
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 10:56SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 10:56SASJackson Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)29
50.3%
27
49.7%
Q2 - 11:00SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 11:02NOHMISS Alexander 15' Jump Shot27
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q2 - 11:17SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)27
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q2 - 11:17SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
44.8%
27
55.2%
Q2 - 11:37NOHMashburn 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
42.9%
27
57.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH25
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound25
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
47.0%
25
53.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
42.6%
25
57.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0NOHMISS Mashburn Layup23
42.0%
25
58.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
40.8%
25
59.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot23
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q1 - 1:03NOHBrown 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)23
42.6%
25
57.4%
Q1 - 1:22SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)23
45.5%
23
54.5%
Q1 - 1:42NOHBrown 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
42.6%
23
57.4%
Q1 - 1:59SASClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)21
45.5%
21
54.5%
Q1 - 2:12NOHAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 2:29SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
45.5%
21
54.5%
Q1 - 2:39SASSpurs Rebound21
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 2:41NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot21
47.0%
21
53.0%
Q1 - 2:59SASDuncan Driving Layup (8 PTS)21
45.5%
21
54.5%
Q1 - 3:19NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)19
43.2%
21
56.8%
Q1 - 3:24NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 3:25NOHMISS Mashburn Layup19
49.2%
18
50.8%
Q1 - 3:31SASDuncan 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 3:51NOHMashburn 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)17
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 4:10SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 4:22SASSpurs Rebound15
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:23SASBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)15
43.7%
16
56.3%
Q1 - 4:43NOHMashburn 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)15
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 5:04SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
47.2%
14
52.8%
Q1 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 5:11NOHMISS Davis Layup13
44.6%
14
55.4%
Q1 - 5:16SASMashburn STEAL (1 STL)13
43.0%
14
57.0%
Q1 - 5:30NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 5:30NOHLynch Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 5:31NOHMISS Lynch Layup13
48.8%
12
51.2%
Q1 - 5:48SASParker 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
47.2%
12
52.8%
Q1 - 6:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 6:02NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
44.5%
12
55.5%
Q1 - 6:13SASLynch STEAL (2 STL)11
43.1%
12
56.9%
Q1 - 6:20SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 6:22NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
44.5%
12
55.5%
Q1 - 6:31NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
43.1%
12
56.9%
Q1 - 6:32SASMISS Robinson 3' Hook Shot11
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 6:48NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 6:48NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 6:49NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
47.1%
10
52.9%
Q1 - 6:50NOHMISS Mashburn 13' Jump Shot11
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 7:03SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)11
46.9%
10
53.1%
Q1 - 7:24NOHMashburn Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)8
43.3%
10
56.7%
Q1 - 7:30SASBrown STEAL (1 STL)8
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 7:48NOHBrown 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 8:06SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
49.0%
6
51.0%
Q1 - 8:06SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
48.5%
6
51.5%
Q1 - 8:21NOHMashburn 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)6
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 8:32NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 8:34SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot6
49.7%
4
50.3%
Q1 - 8:45NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 8:59NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 9:01SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
49.4%
4
50.6%
Q1 - 9:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 9:26NOHMISS Lynch 15' Jump Shot6
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 9:42SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 9:50NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
47.3%
4
52.7%
Q1 - 10:08SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 10:29NOHMagloire 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)2
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 10:51SASJackson Layup (2 PTS)2
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 11:10NOHMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)0
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 11:14SASLynch STEAL (1 STL)0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 11:29NOHMISS Magloire 10' Jump Shot0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:42NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:44SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot0
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Robinson: Tip to Jackson0
46.9%
0
53.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.5%
NOH
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
30
47%
NOH
19
31
61%
Midrange
SAS
14
29
48%
NOH
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
7
43%
64%
NOH
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
SAS
27
35
77%
NOH
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3361%16.5 / 27
S. Jackson1246%6.0 / 13
M. Rose1246%6.0 / 13
T. Parker1161%5.5 / 9
M. Ginobili758%3.5 / 6
S. Claxton758%3.5 / 6
B. Bowen550%2.5 / 5
D. Robinson330%1.5 / 5
K. Willis2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn2457%12.0 / 21
B. Davis1841%9.0 / 22
J. Magloire1478%7.0 / 9
P. Brown1354%6.5 / 12
K. Anderson8100%4.0 / 4
C. Alexander542%2.5 / 6
G. Lynch429%2.0 / 7
R. Traylor450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+6
-12
85
NOH
78
+11
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.5%
NOH
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
101.4
SAS 101.1
NOH 101.1 +0.0
Pace
92.6
91.7
SAS 97.0 +12.2
NOH 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.8
SAS 14.8 +2.1
NOH 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
46.5%
SAS 49.2%
NOH 49.4% +0.2%
TO %
16.5%
15.2%
SAS 12.8% +0.5%
NOH 13.3%
ORB %
28.8%
31.8%
SAS 11.4%
NOH 20.0% +8.6%
FTrt
34.8
28.5
SAS 53.0 +30.9
NOH 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
62.0%
SAS 51.6%
NOH 55.6% +4.0%
STL %
8.3%
8.6%
SAS 8.8% +0.9%
NOH 7.9%
BLK %
9.3%
7.1%
SAS 7.8%
NOH 10.2% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
48.7%
SAS 53.5% +4.0%
NOH 49.5%
Rim FG%
59.3%
53.8%
SAS 46.7%
NOH 61.3% +14.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.0%
SAS 48.3% +8.9%
NOH 39.4%
3P %
35.4%
37.6%
SAS 42.9% +12.1%
NOH 30.8%
FT %
72.5%
76.8%
SAS 77.1%
NOH 82.4% +5.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
32.2%
SAS 45.5% +5.2%
NOH 40.3%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
51.7%
SAS 43.9%
NOH 42.9% +1.1%
3P Att. %
20.2%
16.1%
SAS 10.6%
NOH 16.9% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes22.525.2
Points9290
Rebounds3639
Assists1620
Steals87
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals31-6636-77
At-the-Rim FG14-3019-31
Midrange FG14-2913-33
2-Point FG28-5932-64
3-Point FG3-74-13
Free Throws27-3514-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
40.3
33
61%
12
2
1
3
4
4
1
11
8-9
89%
11-21
52%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
35.8
5
50%
4
2
2
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
35.3
12
46%
9
0
2
0
2
3
1
8
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
31.6
11
61%
2
7
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 250 · 38
20.9
3
30%
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
31.1
12
46%
4
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
6-7
86%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
23.5
7
58%
1
1
3
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 25
16.4
7
58%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
3.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 38
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
54%
36
16
8
5
12
0
4
32
27-35
77%
28-59
47%
3-7
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.