Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 30, 2003

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	2	Kings	37%	94	88
	4	Pistons	63%	98	99

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAC	95.7	92	98.8
DET	108.8	91	85.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+15

-15

DET

+15

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.96 47.8%

DET

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DET
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAC		88 0%	99 100%
Q4 - 0:04.0	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	88 0%	99 100%
Q4 - 0:06.0	DET	MISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot	88 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	88 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0	SAC	MISS Christie 14' Jump Shot	88 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0	DET	Williamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	88 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0	DET	Williamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	88 0.1%	98 99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0	SAC	Robinson STEAL (3 STL)	88 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0	DET	Robinson Driving Dunk (21 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)	88 0.3%	97 99.7%
Q4 - 1:00	SAC	Webber Foul Turnover (P5.T14)	88 0.7%	95 99.3%
Q4 - 1:04	DET	Williamson 5' Running Hook Shot (17 PTS)	88 1.4%	95 98.6%
Q4 - 1:22	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	88 3.2%	93 96.8%
Q4 - 1:25	SAC	Billups BLOCK (1 BLK)	88 4.0%	93 96.0%
Q4 - 1:31	DET	Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)	88 6.5%	93 93.5%
Q4 - 1:36	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)	88 15.8%	90 84.2%
Q4 - 1:37	DET	MISS Billups Layup	88 21.9%	90 78.1%
Q4 - 2:05	SAC	Christie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)	88 16.3%	90 83.7%
Q4 - 2:10	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	88 27.4%	90 72.6%
Q4 - 2:12	DET	MISS Williamson 5' Hook Shot	88 23.6%	90 76.4%
Q4 - 2:12	SAC	Webber Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	88 16.2%	90 83.8%
Q4 - 2:12	SAC	MISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 2	87 14.5%	90 85.5%
Q4 - 2:14	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	87 19.2%	90 80.8%
Q4 - 2:15	DET	MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot	87 16.2%	90 83.8%
Q4 - 2:36	DET	Robinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	87 10.7%	90 89.3%
Q4 - 2:38	SAC	MISS Christie 19' Jump Shot	87 12.9%	90 87.1%
Q4 - 2:52	DET	Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)	87 20.1%	90 79.9%
Q4 - 3:08	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	87 33.4%	87 66.6%
Q4 - 3:11	SAC	MISS Webber 19' Jump Shot	87 37.6%	87 62.4%
Q4 - 3:19	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	87 48.2%	87 51.8%
Q4 - 3:20	DET	MISS Billups Layup	87 43.5%	87 56.5%
Q4 - 3:40	SAC	Webber Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)	87 35.6%	87 64.4%
Q4 - 3:56	DET	Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	87 45.0%	87 55.0%
Q4 - 3:57	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)	87 35.5%	87 64.5%
Q4 - 3:58	DET	MISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot	87 42.0%	87 58.0%
Q4 - 4:01	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)	87 35.5%	87 64.5%
Q4 - 4:03	SAC	MISS Clark Tip Shot	87 38.3%	87 61.7%
Q4 - 4:06	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	87 45.0%	87 55.0%
Q4 - 4:08	SAC	MISS Webber 12' Jump Shot	87 38.3%	87 61.7%
Q4 - 4:29	DET	Williamson Dunk (15 PTS)	87 45.1%	87 54.9%
Q4 - 4:34	SAC	Robinson STEAL (2 STL)	87 54.0%	85 46.0%
Q4 - 4:48	DET	Williamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	87 63.8%	85 36.2%
Q4 - 4:48	DET	MISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 2	87 65.4%	84 34.6%
Q4 - 5:08	SAC	Stojakovic Layup (21 PTS)	87 59.7%	84 40.3%
Q4 - 5:09	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	85 51.9%	84 48.1%
Q4 - 5:10	SAC	MISS Jackson Tip Shot	85 45.8%	84 54.2%
Q4 - 5:10	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	85 51.9%	84 48.1%
Q4 - 5:11	SAC	MISS Clark 17' Jump Shot	85 45.8%	84 54.2%
Q4 - 5:25	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	85 52.0%	84 48.0%
Q4 - 5:26	DET	MISS Davis 20' Jump Shot	85 49.3%	84 50.7%
Q4 - 5:45	DET	Okur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	85 43.3%	84 56.7%
Q4 - 5:47	SAC	MISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot	85 46.0%	84 54.0%
Q4 - 5:58	DET	Barry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	85 52.1%	84 47.9%
Q4 - 6:10	DET	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	85 41.7%	84 58.3%
Q4 - 6:12	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot	85 44.3%	84 55.7%
Q4 - 6:25	DET	Wallace Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Williamson 2 AST)	85 50.4%	84 49.6%
Q4 - 6:40	SAC	Webber 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	85 56.9%	82 43.1%
Q4 - 6:54	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	83 50.4%	82 49.6%
Q4 - 6:55	DET	MISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 2	83 49.3%	82 50.7%
Q4 - 6:55	DET	Okur Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	83 44.6%	82 55.4%
Q4 - 6:55	DET	Okur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	83 49.4%	81 50.6%
Q4 - 6:56	DET	MISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	83 55.4%	81 44.6%
Q4 - 7:13	SAC	Webber Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)	83 48.2%	81 51.8%
Q4 - 7:13	SAC	Webber Driving Layup (18 PTS)	82 41.4%	81 58.6%
Q4 - 7:32	DET	Williamson 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	80 35.7%	81 64.3%
Q4 - 7:45	DET	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	80 41.4%	79 58.6%
Q4 - 7:47	SAC	MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	80 43.7%	79 56.3%
Q4 - 8:06	DET	Williamson 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)	80 47.7%	79 52.3%
Q4 - 8:27	SAC	Barry STEAL (1 STL)	80 54.0%	77 46.0%
Q4 - 8:41	DET	Williamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	80 60.5%	77 39.5%
Q4 - 8:41	DET	Williamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	80 61.6%	76 38.4%
Q4 - 8:57	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)	80 66.3%	75 33.7%
Q4 - 9:00	SAC	MISS Webber 16' Jump Shot	80 68.1%	75 31.9%
Q4 - 9:09	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	80 69.8%	75 30.2%
Q4 - 9:11	DET	MISS Williamson 10' Jump Shot	80 68.2%	75 31.8%
Q4 - 9:30	SAC	Clark Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	80 64.3%	75 35.7%
Q4 - 9:30	SAC	MISS Clark Free Throw 1 of 2	79 62.8%	75 37.2%
Q4 - 9:48	DET	Barry 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)	79 64.6%	75 35.4%
Q4 - 9:50	DET	PISTONS Rebound	79 69.7%	73 30.3%
Q4 - 9:52	DET	MISS Williamson 11' Jump Shot	79 73.3%	73 26.7%
Q4 - 10:17	SAC	Jackson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	79 67.8%	73 32.2%
Q4 - 10:31	DET	Wallace Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)	77 63.1%	73 36.9%
Q4 - 10:41	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	77 67.9%	71 32.1%
Q4 - 10:45	SAC	MISS Webber Layup	77 69.5%	71 30.5%
Q4 - 10:45	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	77 73.0%	71 27.0%
Q4 - 10:45	SAC	Wallace BLOCK (5 BLK)	77 69.5%	71 30.5%
Q4 - 10:58	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	77 73.0%	71 27.0%
Q4 - 11:00	SAC	MISS Clark 16' Jump Shot	77 69.5%	71 30.5%
Q4 - 11:23	DET	Okur Dunk (4 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)	77 71.4%	71 28.6%
Q4 - 11:26	DET	Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 75.5%	69 24.5%
Q4 - 11:28	SAC	MISS Webber 17' Jump Shot	77 76.7%	69 23.3%
Q4 - 11:43	DET	Williamson 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)	77 79.5%	69 20.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET		77 82.7%	67 17.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0	DET	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 80.9%	67 19.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0	SAC	MISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot	77 81.9%	67 18.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 84.0%	67 16.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0	DET	MISS Hamilton Layup	77 83.1%	67 16.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	77 81.1%	67 18.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0	SAC	MISS Christie 3PT Jump Shot	77 82.0%	67 18.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	77 84.1%	67 15.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0	DET	MISS Robinson 28' 3PT Jump Shot	77 83.2%	67 16.8%
Q3 - 1:06	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	77 79.1%	67 20.9%
Q3 - 1:08	SAC	MISS Christie 24' 3PT Jump Shot	77 80.1%	67 19.9%
Q3 - 1:17	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	77 82.3%	67 17.7%
Q3 - 1:19	DET	MISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot	77 81.4%	67 18.6%
Q3 - 1:38	SAC	Webber Reverse Layup (16 PTS)	77 79.3%	67 20.7%
Q3 - 1:52	DET	Billups Layup (12 PTS)	75 76.0%	67 24.0%
Q3 - 1:53	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	75 79.3%	65 20.7%
Q3 - 1:55	DET	MISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot	75 81.5%	65 18.5%
Q3 - 2:22	SAC	Webber 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS)	75 77.2%	65 22.8%
Q3 - 2:23	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	73 74.1%	65 25.9%
Q3 - 2:27	SAC	Robinson BLOCK (1 BLK)	73 71.3%	65 28.7%
Q3 - 2:46	DET	Robinson 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	73 74.1%	65 25.9%
Q3 - 3:15	SAC	Webber Layup (12 PTS)	73 76.1%	63 23.9%
Q3 - 3:17	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	71 72.9%	63 27.1%
Q3 - 3:20	SAC	MISS Webber 4' Hook Shot	71 70.3%	63 29.7%
Q3 - 3:35	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	71 73.0%	63 27.0%
Q3 - 3:37	DET	MISS Curry Tip Shot	71 71.8%	63 28.2%
Q3 - 3:38	DET	Curry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	71 69.0%	63 31.0%
Q3 - 3:41	DET	MISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot	71 71.8%	63 28.2%
Q3 - 3:45	SAC	Hamilton STEAL (1 STL)	71 69.1%	63 30.9%
Q3 - 3:59	DET	Billups Driving Layup (10 PTS)	71 73.0%	63 27.0%
Q3 - 4:04	SAC	Wallace STEAL (3 STL)	71 74.4%	61 25.6%
Q3 - 4:28	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	71 78.1%	61 21.9%
Q3 - 4:28	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	71 78.5%	60 21.5%
Q3 - 4:33	DET	Curry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	71 80.5%	59 19.5%
Q3 - 4:35	SAC	MISS Christie Layup	71 81.5%	59 18.5%
Q3 - 4:51	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	71 83.5%	59 16.5%
Q3 - 4:53	DET	MISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot	71 82.6%	59 17.4%
Q3 - 5:08	SAC	Webber 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Christie 4 AST)	71 79.4%	59 20.6%
Q3 - 5:16	DET	Billups Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)	69 76.8%	59 23.2%
Q3 - 5:35	SAC	Christie 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)	69 73.4%	59 26.6%
Q3 - 5:50	DET	Robinson 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)	66 66.8%	59 33.2%
Q3 - 5:58	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	66 70.1%	57 29.9%
Q3 - 6:00	DET	MISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot	66 72.6%	57 27.4%
Q3 - 6:13	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	66 68.6%	57 31.4%
Q3 - 6:14	DET	MISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	66 71.1%	57 28.9%
Q3 - 6:35	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	66 68.6%	57 31.4%
Q3 - 6:37	SAC	MISS Webber Layup	66 69.8%	57 30.2%
Q3 - 6:52	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	66 72.3%	57 27.7%
Q3 - 6:55	DET	MISS Billups 6' Jump Shot	66 71.2%	57 28.8%
Q3 - 7:18	SAC	Christie Layup (5 PTS)	66 67.2%	57 32.8%
Q3 - 7:21	DET	Billups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	64 64.2%	57 35.8%
Q3 - 7:34	SAC	Webber Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	64 60.0%	57 40.0%
Q3 - 7:34	SAC	Webber Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	63 58.9%	57 41.1%
Q3 - 7:37	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	62 56.8%	57 43.2%
Q3 - 7:39	SAC	MISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot	62 53.8%	57 46.2%
Q3 - 8:00	DET	Curry Tip Shot (4 PTS)	62 56.9%	57 43.1%
Q3 - 8:00	DET	Curry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	62 60.1%	55 39.9%
Q3 - 8:01	DET	MISS Robinson Layup	62 62.3%	55 37.7%
Q3 - 8:03	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	62 59.4%	55 40.6%
Q3 - 8:05	SAC	MISS Divac Layup	62 60.7%	55 39.3%
Q3 - 8:27	DET	Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)	62 63.5%	55 36.5%
Q3 - 8:33	DET	Curry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	62 69.8%	52 30.2%
Q3 - 8:36	SAC	Wallace BLOCK (4 BLK)	62 70.9%	52 29.1%
Q3 - 8:50	SAC	Kings Rebound	62 73.3%	52 26.7%
Q3 - 8:51	DET	MISS Hamilton Layup	62 72.3%	52 27.7%
Q3 - 8:58	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	62 69.8%	52 30.2%
Q3 - 9:01	SAC	MISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot	62 69.4%	52 30.6%
Q3 - 9:15	DET	Robinson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	62 71.7%	52 28.3%
Q3 - 9:33	SAC	Stojakovic Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	62 74.5%	50 25.5%
Q3 - 9:48	DET	Hamilton 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)	62 77.3%	50 22.7%
Q3 - 10:03	SAC	Bibby 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)	62 78.3%	48 21.7%
Q3 - 10:08	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	60 76.1%	48 23.9%
Q3 - 10:12	DET	MISS Billups Layup	60 75.2%	48 24.8%
Q3 - 10:23	DET	PISTONS Rebound	60 73.2%	48 26.8%
Q3 - 10:25	SAC	Wallace BLOCK (3 BLK)	60 74.1%	48 25.9%
Q3 - 10:41	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	60 76.2%	48 23.8%
Q3 - 10:44	DET	MISS Wallace Dunk	60 75.3%	48 24.7%
Q3 - 11:05	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	60 72.1%	48 27.9%
Q3 - 11:09	SAC	Wallace BLOCK (2 BLK)	60 73.0%	48 27.0%
Q3 - 11:21	DET	Hamilton 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)	60 74.9%	48 25.1%
Q3 - 11:39	SAC	Webber 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)	60 77.4%	46 22.6%
Q3 - 12:00	SAC	Stojakovic Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)	58 75.0%	46 25.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DET		57 72.3%	46 27.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAC	Divac 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Christie 3 AST)	57 69.3%	46 30.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0	DET	Robinson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)	55 64.7%	46 35.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	55 62.6%	46 37.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0	SAC	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	55 63.2%	46 36.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0	DET	Wallace Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)	55 64.8%	46 35.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0	DET	PISTONS Rebound	55 68.6%	44 31.4%
Q2 - 1:01	DET	MISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	55 68.9%	44 31.1%
Q2 - 1:12	SAC	Webber Foul Turnover (P3.T6)	55 67.9%	44 32.1%
Q2 - 1:25	DET	Hamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)	55 69.4%	44 30.6%
Q2 - 1:34	SAC	Robinson STEAL (1 STL)	55 73.3%	42 26.7%
Q2 - 1:47	DET	Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	55 74.6%	42 25.4%
Q2 - 1:47	DET	Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	55 74.9%	41 25.1%
Q2 - 1:52	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	55 78.1%	40 21.9%
Q2 - 1:55	SAC	MISS Webber 7' Hook Shot	55 78.4%	40 21.6%
Q2 - 2:18	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	55 78.5%	40 21.5%
Q2 - 2:18	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	55 78.8%	39 21.2%
Q2 - 2:32	SAC	Stojakovic Layup (18 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	55 80.7%	38 19.3%
Q2 - 2:46	DET	Robinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	53 78.5%	38 21.5%
Q2 - 2:46	DET	Robinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	53 79.1%	37 20.9%
Q2 - 2:47	DET	Robinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	53 80.7%	36 19.3%
Q2 - 2:49	DET	MISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot	53 81.9%	36 18.1%
Q2 - 2:57	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	53 80.8%	36 19.2%
Q2 - 2:59	DET	MISS Okur Layup	53 81.9%	36 18.1%
Q2 - 3:09	SAC	Billups STEAL (1 STL)	53 78.8%	36 21.2%
Q2 - 3:25	DET	Okur Layup (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)	53 81.0%	36 19.0%
Q2 - 3:47	DET	PISTONS Rebound	53 82.6%	34 17.4%
Q2 - 3:48	DET	MISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot	53 83.9%	34 16.1%
Q2 - 3:55	DET	Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	53 82.7%	34 17.3%
Q2 - 3:57	SAC	MISS Webber 18' Jump Shot	53 83.2%	34 16.8%
Q2 - 4:11	DET	Williamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	53 83.0%	34 17.0%
Q2 - 4:11	DET	Williamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	53 83.3%	33 16.7%
Q2 - 4:34	SAC	Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)	53 84.6%	32 15.4%
Q2 - 4:41	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	50 81.4%	32 18.6%
Q2 - 4:43	DET	MISS Williamson 6' Jump Shot	50 80.8%	32 19.2%
Q2 - 4:53	DET	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	50 79.6%	32 20.4%
Q2 - 4:56	SAC	MISS Webber 6' Hook Shot	50 80.2%	32 19.8%
Q2 - 5:12	DET	Billups Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	50 80.7%	32 19.3%
Q2 - 5:12	DET	Billups 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	50 82.4%	31 17.6%
Q2 - 5:30	SAC	Webber 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)	50 83.9%	29 16.1%
Q2 - 5:47	DET	Robinson 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)	48 82.4%	29 17.6%
Q2 - 6:06	SAC	Clark Layup (4 PTS)	48 82.8%	27 17.2%
Q2 - 6:22	DET	Barry Driving Layup (6 PTS)	46 81.5%	27 18.5%
Q2 - 6:28	DET	PISTONS Rebound	46 82.8%	25 17.2%
Q2 - 6:30	DET	MISS Okur 9' Running Jump Shot	46 84.1%	25 15.9%
Q2 - 6:58	SAC	Turkoglu 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	46 82.9%	25 17.1%
Q2 - 7:07	SAC	Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	44 80.0%	25 20.0%
Q2 - 7:10	DET	MISS Okur 7' Hook Shot	44 79.4%	25 20.6%
Q2 - 7:22	DET	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	44 78.2%	25 21.8%
Q2 - 7:23	SAC	MISS Turkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot	44 78.8%	25 21.2%
Q2 - 7:31	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 80.1%	25 19.9%
Q2 - 7:33	DET	MISS Okur Layup	44 79.5%	25 20.5%
Q2 - 8:00	SAC	Jackson Driving Layup (5 PTS)	44 78.3%	25 21.7%
Q2 - 8:12	DET	Barry Driving Layup (4 PTS)	42 75.8%	25 24.2%
Q2 - 8:24	SAC	Webber 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	42 77.5%	23 22.5%
Q2 - 8:35	DET	Williamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	40 75.8%	23 24.2%
Q2 - 8:35	DET	Williamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	40 76.2%	22 23.8%
Q2 - 8:52	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	40 77.5%	21 22.5%
Q2 - 8:54	SAC	MISS Clark 5' Jump Shot	40 78.1%	21 21.9%
Q2 - 9:09	DET	Barry Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	40 78.3%	21 21.7%
Q2 - 9:14	SAC	Wallace STEAL (2 STL)	40 79.8%	19 20.2%
Q2 - 9:26	SAC	Kings Rebound	40 81.6%	19 18.4%
Q2 - 9:27	SAC	MISS Turkoglu Layup	40 80.4%	19 19.6%
Q2 - 9:36	SAC	Kings Rebound	40 81.6%	19 18.4%
Q2 - 9:38	DET	MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot	40 81.1%	19 18.9%
Q2 - 9:53	SAC	Jackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	40 79.9%	19 20.1%
Q2 - 10:07	SAC	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	40 81.1%	19 18.9%
Q2 - 10:10	DET	MISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot	40 80.6%	19 19.4%
Q2 - 10:27	SAC	Jackson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Divac 4 AST)	40 79.3%	19 20.7%
Q2 - 10:43	SAC	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	38 77.9%	19 22.1%
Q2 - 10:45	DET	MISS Okur Layup	38 77.3%	19 22.7%
Q2 - 11:14	SAC	Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	38 74.9%	19 25.1%
Q2 - 11:21	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	35 71.1%	19 28.9%
Q2 - 11:24	DET	MISS Wallace Alley Oop Dunk	35 70.5%	19 29.5%
Q2 - 11:43	SAC	Clark 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	35 69.1%	19 30.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC		33 67.0%	19 33.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	33 67.0%	19 33.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0	SAC	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	33 64.7%	19 35.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	33 65.9%	19 34.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0	SAC	Christie Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	33 64.2%	19 35.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0	SAC	MISS Christie Free Throw 1 of 2	32 63.9%	19 36.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	32 63.7%	19 36.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0	DET	MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot	32 63.2%	19 36.8%
Q1 - 1:02	SAC	Stojakovic Layup (16 PTS) (Divac 3 AST)	32 61.8%	19 38.2%
Q1 - 1:15	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 59.1%	19 40.9%
Q1 - 1:17	DET	MISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot	30 58.5%	19 41.5%
Q1 - 1:31	SAC	Divac Layup (9 PTS)	30 57.3%	19 42.7%
Q1 - 1:33	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	28 54.4%	19 45.6%
Q1 - 1:34	SAC	MISS Bibby Layup	28 53.2%	19 46.8%
Q1 - 1:47	DET	Wallace 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)	28 54.4%	19 45.6%
Q1 - 2:12	SAC	Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Divac 2 AST)	28 56.9%	17 43.1%
Q1 - 2:40	SAC	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 52.2%	17 47.8%
Q1 - 2:42	DET	MISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot	25 51.5%	17 48.5%
Q1 - 2:59	SAC	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)	25 50.0%	17 50.0%
Q1 - 3:05	DET	Hamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)	22 44.6%	17 55.4%
Q1 - 3:21	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	22 42.2%	17 57.8%
Q1 - 3:22	SAC	MISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot	22 42.9%	17 57.1%
Q1 - 3:35	DET	Hamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	22 44.7%	17 55.3%
Q1 - 3:40	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 42.2%	17 57.8%
Q1 - 3:42	SAC	MISS Divac 27' 3PT Jump Shot	22 43.0%	17 57.0%
Q1 - 3:58	DET	Billups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	22 44.7%	17 55.3%
Q1 - 4:16	SAC	Divac Dunk (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	22 41.6%	17 58.4%
Q1 - 4:25	DET	Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	20 39.9%	17 60.1%
Q1 - 4:36	SAC	Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	20 43.8%	14 56.2%
Q1 - 5:00	DET	Robinson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	18 42.1%	14 57.9%
Q1 - 5:16	SAC	Stojakovic Layup (6 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	18 43.0%	12 57.0%
Q1 - 5:19	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	16 41.2%	12 58.8%
Q1 - 5:21	DET	MISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot	16 40.5%	12 59.5%
Q1 - 5:38	SAC	Bibby Driving Layup (5 PTS)	16 39.0%	12 61.0%
Q1 - 5:53	DET	Wallace Tip Shot (4 PTS)	14 37.2%	12 62.8%
Q1 - 5:54	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	14 39.0%	10 61.0%
Q1 - 5:56	DET	MISS Robinson 5' Hook Shot	14 40.5%	10 59.5%
Q1 - 6:13	SAC	Divac Layup (5 PTS)	14 38.5%	10 61.5%
Q1 - 6:14	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	12 36.7%	10 63.3%
Q1 - 6:17	SAC	MISS Webber 8' Hook Shot	12 35.3%	10 64.7%
Q1 - 6:26	SAC	Webber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 36.7%	10 63.3%
Q1 - 6:28	DET	MISS Billups 18' Jump Shot	12 36.1%	10 63.9%
Q1 - 6:34	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 34.7%	10 65.3%
Q1 - 6:36	SAC	MISS Christie 26' 3PT Jump Shot	12 35.3%	10 64.7%
Q1 - 6:39	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 36.7%	10 63.3%
Q1 - 6:40	SAC	MISS Bibby Layup	12 35.3%	10 64.7%
Q1 - 6:45	SAC	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 36.7%	10 63.3%
Q1 - 6:47	DET	MISS Wallace Dunk	12 36.1%	10 63.9%
Q1 - 7:22	SAC	Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)	12 34.3%	10 65.7%
Q1 - 7:40	DET	Curry Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)	10 32.8%	10 67.2%
Q1 - 7:44	SAC	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	10 34.3%	8 65.7%
Q1 - 7:55	DET	Robinson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)	10 36.3%	8 63.7%
Q1 - 8:16	SAC	Divac Layup (3 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)	10 37.8%	6 62.2%
Q1 - 8:28	DET	Hamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	8 36.2%	6 63.8%
Q1 - 8:40	DET	PISTONS Rebound	8 34.3%	6 65.7%
Q1 - 8:41	SAC	Wallace BLOCK (1 BLK)	8 34.9%	6 65.1%
Q1 - 8:45	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	8 36.2%	6 63.8%
Q1 - 8:47	SAC	MISS Webber 18' Jump Shot	8 34.9%	6 65.1%
Q1 - 8:55	DET	Curry Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	8 36.2%	6 63.8%
Q1 - 9:27	SAC	Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)	8 34.0%	6 66.0%
Q1 - 9:32	SAC	Christie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 32.7%	6 67.3%
Q1 - 9:33	DET	MISS Curry Layup	6 32.1%	6 67.9%
Q1 - 9:58	SAC	Christie Driving Dunk (2 PTS)	6 30.7%	6 69.3%
Q1 - 10:06	DET	Robinson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)	4 29.3%	6 70.7%
Q1 - 10:21	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 30.7%	4 69.3%
Q1 - 10:22	SAC	MISS Divac Free Throw 2 of 2	4 30.9%	4 69.1%
Q1 - 10:22	SAC	Divac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 31.9%	4 68.1%
Q1 - 10:28	SAC	Divac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 30.9%	4 69.1%
Q1 - 10:30	DET	MISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot	3 30.3%	4 69.7%
Q1 - 10:54	SAC	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Divac 1 AST)	3 29.1%	4 70.9%
Q1 - 11:07	DET	Hamilton 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)	0 26.2%	4 73.8%
Q1 - 11:22	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 27.8%	2 72.2%
Q1 - 11:24	SAC	MISS Webber 9' Hook Shot	0 28.2%	2 71.8%
Q1 - 11:41	DET	Wallace 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)	0 29.2%	2 70.8%
Q1 - 12:00	DET	Jump Ball Wallace vs. Divac: Tip to Billups	0 30.8%	0 69.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.96 47.8%

DET

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

58%

DET

56%

Midrange

SAC

35%

DET

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

9.0

38%

56%

DET

6.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

SAC

67%

DET

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Webber	22	39%	11.0 / 28
P. Stojakovic	21	95%	10.5 / 11
V. Divac	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Christie	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Jackson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Bibby	7	32%	3.5 / 11
K. Clark	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. Jackson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
H. Turkoglu	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Robinson	21	70%	10.5 / 15
C. Williamson	19	63%	9.5 / 15
C. Billups	18	64%	9.0 / 14
B. Wallace	12	50%	6.0 / 12
R. Hamilton	12	40%	6.0 / 15
J. Barry	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Okur	5	28%	2.5 / 9
M. Curry	4	50%	2.0 / 4
H. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+15

-15

DET

+15

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.96 47.8%

DET

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	103.5 100.9	SAC 95.7 +13.1 DET 108.8
Pace	97.6 89.6	SAC 98.8 +13.6 DET 85.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14.3 16.5	SAC 14.6 +2.3 DET 16.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.9% 47.3%	SAC 47.6% DET 48.2% +0.6%
TO %	14.5% 14.0%	SAC 14.4% DET 10.7% +3.7%
ORB %	25.6% 26.0%	SAC 27.9% +0.4% DET 27.5%
FTrt	26.2 32.2	SAC 14.3 DET 25.3 +11.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	62.7% 60.0%	SAC 54.1% DET 65.8% +11.7%
STL %	9.1% 7.5%	SAC 6.5% DET 9.9% +3.4%
BLK %	7.7% 8.6%	SAC 5.8% DET 10.3% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.3% 49.6%	SAC 47.8% DET 51.6% +3.8%
Rim FG%	61.6% 55.0%	SAC 58.1% +2.5% DET 55.6%
Mid FG%	39.3% 38.8%	SAC 35.1% DET 42.4% +7.3%
3P %	38.1% 35.8%	SAC 37.5% +8.9% DET 28.6%
FT %	74.6% 77.1%	SAC 66.7% DET 90.5% +23.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.8% 30.4%	SAC 36.9% DET 43.4% +6.5%
Mid Att. %	48.8% 45.9%	SAC 44.0% DET 39.8% +4.3%
3P Att. %	18.4% 23.7%	SAC 19.0% +2.2% DET 16.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	SAC	DET
Possessions	92	91
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	88	99
Rebounds	41	42
Assists	20	25
Steals	6	9
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	31 (2)
Field Goals	37-84	38-83
At-the-Rim FG	18-31	20-36
Midrange FG	13-37	14-33
2-Point FG	31-68	34-69
3-Point FG	6-16	4-14
Free Throws	8-12	19-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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2 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Webber F · 6'10" 245 · 30	40.5	22	39%	8	3	2	3	5	5	3	5	4-5	80%	9-25	36%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 26	38.3	21	95%	6	2	0	0	3	3	1	5	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	2-3	67%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 25	35.6	7	32%	5	3	1	0	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 33	32.5	8	40%	3	4	3	0	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Vlade Divac C · 7'1" 260 · 35	28.1	11	55%	7	4	0	0	1	2	4	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Keon Clark C-F · 6'11" 221 · 28	25.2	5	31%	6	0	0	1	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jim Jackson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32	17.3	8	67%	5	2	0	0	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 30	15.7	4	67%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 24	6.8	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Scot Pollard C-F · 6'11" 278 · 28
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 21
Lawrence Funderburke F · 6'9" 230 · 32
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	48%	41	20	6	4	15	0	12	29	8-12	67%	31-68	46%	6-16	38%

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2 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Webber F · 6'10" 245 · 30	40.5	22	39%	8	3	2	3	5	5	3	5	4-5	80%	9-25	36%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 26	38.3	21	95%	6	2	0	0	3	3	1	5	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	2-3	67%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 25	35.6	7	32%	5	3	1	0	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Doug Christie G · 6'6" 205 · 33	32.5	8	40%	3	4	3	0	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Vlade Divac C · 7'1" 260 · 35	28.1	11	55%	7	4	0	0	1	2	4	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Keon Clark C-F · 6'11" 221 · 28	25.2	5	31%	6	0	0	1	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jim Jackson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32	17.3	8	67%	5	2	0	0	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 30	15.7	4	67%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 24	6.8	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Scot Pollard C-F · 6'11" 278 · 28
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 21
Lawrence Funderburke F · 6'9" 230 · 32
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	48%	41	20	6	4	15	0	12	29	8-12	67%	31-68	46%	6-16	38%

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4 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ben Wallace F · 6'9" 240 · 29	43.5	12	50%	16	2	3	5	1	3	5	11	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Clifford Robinson C · 6'10" 245 · 36	35.3	21	70%	3	2	3	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	1-3	33%
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 27	33.0	18	64%	4	6	1	1	3	3	1	3	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	3-4	75%
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 25	31.4	12	40%	7	3	1	0	3	1	1	6	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Michael Curry F · 6'5" 210 · 35	19.1	4	50%	4	3	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 29	25.1	19	63%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	9-10	90%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jon Barry G · 6'5" 210 · 34	20.3	8	57%	2	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Mehmet Okur C · 6'11" 260 · 24	17.3	5	28%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Hubert Davis G · 6'5" 183 · 33	15.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 29
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 23
Danny Manning F-C · 6'10" 234 · 37
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	42	25	9	7	11	0	11	31	19-21	90%	34-69	49%	4-14	29%

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Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE