FinalWin Prob.pScore
829%90
81
371%97
101
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
93.18795.1
SAS logo SAS
109.89284.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0UTAStevenson 2' Dunk (3 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0UTAMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASMISS Willis 3PT Jump Shot79
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:01UTAKirilenko 3' Dunk (8 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09SASMISS Kerr 16' Jump Shot77
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:32SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34UTAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47SASMISS Smith 1' Tip Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASMISS Ferry 3' Tip Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50SASMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02SASMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17UTAAmaechi 3' Layup (4 PTS)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36SASSmith 3' Dunk (8 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55UTAAmaechi 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26UTAArroyo Foul Turnover (P2.T22)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06UTAArroyo 5' Running Layup (2 PTS)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10UTAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12SASMISS Ferry 15' Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20SASMISS Willis 13' Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35UTAMassenburg 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51SASMISS Kerr 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10UTAMassenburg 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29SASMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 267
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36UTAWillis STEAL (2 STL)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44SASMISS Ferry 22' Jump Shot67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05UTAKirilenko 3' Dunk (6 PTS) (Massenburg 1 AST)67
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25SASClaxton 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 265
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45UTAStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48UTAMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 164
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00SASRose 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05UTAMISS Padgett 4' Jump Shot64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19SASClaxton 2' Layup (6 PTS)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22SASMISS Claxton 7' Jump Shot64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47UTAStockton 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:50UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52UTAMISS Stevenson 3' Reverse Layup62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)60
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47SASRose REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49SASMISS Claxton 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 9:16SASRobinson 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 9:36SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)60
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38UTAMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot60
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45SASClaxton Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T19)60
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47UTAMISS Harpring 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:05SASClaxton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)60
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 10:21UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 10:21UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 10:21SASRose Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)58
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 10:36SASRose 3' Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)58
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 10:41SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 10:43UTAMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot58
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 11:06SASRobinson 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)58
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 11:24SASSPURS Rebound58
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 11:26UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 11:26UTARobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)58
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 11:29UTAMISS Kirilenko 4' Jump Shot58
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 11:48SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)58
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA58
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound58
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Padgett 22' Jump Shot58
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASParker 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)58
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAJackson Traveling Turnover (P3.T20)58
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASRobinson 3' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)58
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0UTAJackson STEAL (1 STL)58
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 1:05SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)58
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 1:06SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 158
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 1:06SASParker 4' Driving Layup (15 PTS)58
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 1:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 1:12UTADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)58
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 1:32SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)58
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 1:49SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 1:52SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 2:14UTABowen STEAL (1 STL)58
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 2:16UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 2:18UTAMISS Malone 15' Jump Shot58
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 2:33SASParker 4' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)58
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 2:45UTAOstertag Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)58
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 2:45UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)58
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 2:46UTAMISS Malone 5' Jump Shot58
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 3:09SASDuncan 4' Running Jump Shot (28 PTS)58
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q3 - 3:34UTAOstertag 2' Dunk (16 PTS) (Malone 7 AST)58
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 3:43SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)56
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 3:43SASBowen 3' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)56
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 3:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)56
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 3:49UTAMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot56
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 3:53UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 3:54UTAMISS Kirilenko 14' Jump Shot56
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 4:13SASGinobili Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T16)56
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 4:27UTAStockton 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q3 - 4:55SASDuncan 3' Layup (26 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)54
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 5:06UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
10.2%
61
89.8%
Q3 - 5:06UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 253
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q3 - 5:06UTAStockton Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)53
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 5:24UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 5:26SASMISS Bowen 3' Driving Layup52
8.4%
61
91.6%
Q3 - 5:42UTAMalone 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)52
7.5%
61
92.5%
Q3 - 6:02SASWillis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T15)50
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 6:06SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 6:07SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot50
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 6:32UTAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)50
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 6:44UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)50
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 6:46SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q3 - 6:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 6:54SASMISS Ginobili 6' Running Jump Shot50
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q3 - 7:11SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 7:13UTAMISS Stockton 14' Jump Shot50
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 7:42SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
7.1%
61
92.9%
Q3 - 7:58UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)50
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 8:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)48
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q3 - 8:15SASGinobili 3' Layup (4 PTS)48
8.4%
58
91.6%
Q3 - 8:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q3 - 8:23UTAMISS Ostertag 2' Layup48
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 8:42SASParker 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)48
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q3 - 8:54UTAMalone 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)48
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q3 - 9:13SASDuncan 3' Slam Dunk (24 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)46
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q3 - 9:18UTADuncan STEAL (1 STL)46
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q3 - 9:24SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)46
14.2%
52
85.8%
Q3 - 9:38UTAHarpring 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Malone 6 AST)46
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q3 - 9:41UTAJazz Rebound44
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q3 - 9:41UTADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)44
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q3 - 9:45UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q3 - 9:47UTAMISS Malone 17' Fadeaway Jumper44
10.0%
52
90.0%
Q3 - 10:05UTAStockton Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)44
11.1%
52
88.9%
Q3 - 10:05SASDuncan Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)43
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q3 - 10:20UTAOstertag Foul Turnover (P1.T14)43
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 10:31UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q3 - 10:33SASMISS Duncan 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q3 - 10:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)43
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 10:47SASMISS Robinson 8' Jump Shot43
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q3 - 11:02UTACheaney 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Malone 5 AST)43
8.6%
52
91.4%
Q3 - 11:14SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)41
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q3 - 11:20UTARobinson STEAL (1 STL)41
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 11:36SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)41
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q3 - 11:53UTAHarpring Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)41
8.6%
50
91.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS41
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
8.6%
50
91.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Massenburg 23' Jump Shot41
9.0%
50
91.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)41
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0UTAMISS Ostertag 13' Jump Shot41
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASWillis Foul Turnover (P1.T11)41
12.7%
48
87.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASSPURS Rebound41
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot41
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0UTAStockton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)41
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 1:01UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 1:04SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
12.6%
48
87.4%
Q2 - 1:20UTACheaney Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)41
12.1%
48
87.9%
Q2 - 1:33SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Willis Free Throw 1 of 241
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 1:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
13.5%
47
86.5%
Q2 - 1:39UTAMISS Malone 17' Jump Shot41
13.8%
47
86.2%
Q2 - 1:55SASParker Layup (7 PTS)41
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q2 - 2:02UTAWillis STEAL (1 STL)41
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q2 - 2:08UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
18.4%
45
81.6%
Q2 - 2:10UTAMISS Stockton 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 2:39SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)41
18.3%
45
81.7%
Q2 - 2:53UTAStockton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)41
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q2 - 3:14SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)41
22.4%
43
77.6%
Q2 - 3:29UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)41
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q2 - 3:29UTAOstertag 2' Layup (14 PTS)41
20.2%
43
79.8%
Q2 - 3:32UTARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)39
17.2%
43
82.8%
Q2 - 3:50UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
18.5%
43
81.5%
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot39
17.9%
43
82.1%
Q2 - 4:10UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)39
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 4:10UTAOstertag Layup (11 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)38
15.1%
43
84.9%
Q2 - 4:29SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)36
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 4:47UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 4:47UTAOstertag 2' Tip Shot (9 PTS)36
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 4:49UTAMISS Malone 15' Jump Shot34
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 5:15SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)34
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 5:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 5:26UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot34
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 5:47SASDuncan 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)34
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 6:00UTAHarpring Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)34
20.0%
36
80.0%
Q2 - 6:05SASBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)34
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 6:20UTAStockton 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
19.9%
36
80.1%
Q2 - 6:34SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 6:34SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 6:34SASMISS Jackson Free Throw Technical32
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 6:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 6:49SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 6:49SASMISS Robinson 1' Tip Shot32
21.4%
34
78.6%
Q2 - 6:52SASMISS Ginobili 5' Driving Layup32
21.4%
34
78.6%
Q2 - 7:07UTAHarpring 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)32
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 7:13SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)30
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 7:26SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
17.0%
34
83.0%
Q2 - 7:28UTAMISS Malone 15' Turnaround Jump Shot30
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 7:39UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
18.1%
34
81.9%
Q2 - 7:50SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)30
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 7:52UTAMISS Harpring 9' Jump Shot30
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 8:13SASRose 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)30
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 8:25UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
20.0%
32
80.0%
Q2 - 8:25UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 8:27UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 8:30SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 8:30SASMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot28
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q2 - 8:33SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup28
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q2 - 8:56UTAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 8:56UTAMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 227
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 9:09SASClaxton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)27
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 9:17UTARose STEAL (2 STL)27
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q2 - 9:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)27
20.2%
30
79.8%
Q2 - 9:44SASDuncan 1' Layup (10 PTS)27
20.2%
30
79.8%
Q2 - 9:47SASMISS Claxton 15' Jump Shot27
23.0%
28
77.0%
Q2 - 10:03SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
21.7%
28
78.3%
Q2 - 10:05UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 10:20UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
23.7%
28
76.3%
Q2 - 10:21UTAMISS Harpring 17' Jump Shot27
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 10:31SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)27
23.7%
28
76.3%
Q2 - 10:43SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)27
21.7%
28
78.3%
Q2 - 10:45SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot27
23.1%
28
76.9%
Q2 - 10:58UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
21.7%
28
78.3%
Q2 - 10:58UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
21.4%
28
78.6%
Q2 - 11:01UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.9%
28
80.1%
Q2 - 11:03SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot25
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q2 - 11:05SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q2 - 11:07SASMISS Claxton 7' Jump Shot25
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q2 - 11:19UTAHarpring 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)25
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q2 - 11:32SASRose Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)23
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q2 - 11:34SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)23
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q2 - 11:36SASMISS Rose 2' Layup23
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q2 - 11:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)23
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q2 - 11:42SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q2 - 11:58UTAHarpring Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)23
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS23
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0UTAPadgett 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)23
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q1 - 0:15.0SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)21
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0UTAClaxton STEAL (1 STL)21
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)21
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot21
17.9%
25
82.1%
Q1 - 1:08UTAOstertag 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 1:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
15.6%
25
84.4%
Q1 - 1:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q1 - 1:31UTARose STEAL (1 STL)19
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q1 - 1:37SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 1:37SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
18.5%
22
81.5%
Q1 - 1:37SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 1:38SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 1:38SASMISS Rose 1' Tip Shot19
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 1:40SASMISS Rose 2' Layup19
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 1:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 1:45UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)19
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 1:45UTAMISS Ostertag 2' Tip Shot19
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 1:48UTAMISS Malone 15' Jump Shot19
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 2:01SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)19
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q1 - 2:28UTAJackson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)19
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 2:44SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q1 - 3:04UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 3:04UTAOstertag 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)17
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 3:06UTAMISS Ostertag 2' Layup15
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 3:26UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 3:28SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot15
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 3:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 3:44UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot15
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 4:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 4:06SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)15
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 4:07SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot15
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 4:25UTAOstertag Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 4:25UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 214
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 4:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 114
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 4:43SASDuncan 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)14
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 5:05UTACheaney 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)14
22.1%
14
77.9%
Q1 - 5:21SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Cheaney: Tip to Jackson12
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 5:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 5:24SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup12
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 5:36UTAHarpring Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 5:55SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 6:10UTAOstertag 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)12
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 6:31UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 6:33SASMISS Duncan 9' Running Jump Shot10
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 6:37SASSPURS Rebound10
19.4%
12
80.6%
Q1 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot10
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 6:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.4%
12
80.6%
Q1 - 6:55UTAMISS Harpring 3PT Jump Shot10
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 7:01UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
20.6%
12
79.4%
Q1 - 7:02UTAMISS Stockton 3' Layup10
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 7:24SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)10
20.6%
12
79.4%
Q1 - 7:43UTAHarpring 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)10
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 7:57SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 18
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 7:57SASParker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
21.9%
9
78.1%
Q1 - 8:01SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
22.9%
7
77.1%
Q1 - 8:04UTAMISS Stockton 17' Jump Shot8
23.4%
7
76.6%
Q1 - 8:22SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
24.5%
7
75.5%
Q1 - 8:43UTACheaney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 8:58SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 9:19UTAMalone 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)8
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 9:32SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 9:50UTAStockton 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)6
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 10:04UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Jackson 1' Layup4
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 10:23UTAHarpring 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)4
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 10:44SASRobinson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 10:58SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot2
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:14UTAHarpring 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)2
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:18SASJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 11:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:28UTAMISS Cheaney 19' Jump Shot0
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 11:45SASRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Ostertag: Tip to Bowen0
21.4%
0
78.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.98 48.8%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
19
30
63%
SAS
22
34
65%
Midrange
UTA
14
39
36%
SAS
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
4
0%
SAS
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
UTA
15
19
79%
SAS
13
20
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Ostertag1662%8.0 / 13
M. Harpring1464%7.0 / 11
K. Malone1134%5.5 / 16
J. Stockton1063%5.0 / 8
A. Kirilenko850%4.0 / 8
C. Cheaney467%2.0 / 3
T. Massenburg450%2.0 / 4
J. Amaechi4100%2.0 / 2
D. Stevenson321%1.5 / 7
M. Jackson350%1.5 / 3
S. Padgett225%1.0 / 4
C. Arroyo250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3065%15.0 / 23
T. Parker1761%8.5 / 14
B. Bowen1575%7.5 / 10
M. Rose956%4.5 / 8
D. Robinson850%4.0 / 8
S. Claxton840%4.0 / 10
S. Smith857%4.0 / 7
M. Ginobili536%2.5 / 7
K. Willis117%0.5 / 3
S. Jackson0-0.0 / 2
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 2
D. Ferry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
65
+16
-22
81
SAS
72
+26
-20
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.98 48.8%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
102.7
UTA 93.1 +16.7
SAS 109.8
Pace
91.5
92.6
UTA 95.1 +10.4
SAS 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.6
UTA 15.1 +1.9
SAS 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
49.7%
UTA 45.2%
SAS 51.2% +6.0%
TO %
17.3%
16.5%
UTA 21.3%
SAS 17.4% +3.9%
ORB %
32.6%
28.8%
UTA 36.8%
SAS 51.1% +14.3%
FTrt
38.0
34.8
UTA 26.0 +2.7
SAS 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
72.7%
56.3%
UTA 69.7% +8.7%
SAS 61.0%
STL %
9.4%
8.3%
UTA 12.6% +1.7%
SAS 10.9%
BLK %
9.2%
9.3%
UTA 5.8%
SAS 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.11 and 3.11.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
51.4%
UTA 48.8%
SAS 50.0% +1.2%
Rim FG%
59.8%
59.3%
UTA 63.3%
SAS 64.7% +1.4%
Mid FG%
39.8%
38.8%
UTA 35.9%
SAS 37.1% +1.2%
3P %
34.9%
35.4%
UTA 0.0%
SAS 35.3% +35.3%
FT %
74.5%
72.5%
UTA 78.9% +13.9%
SAS 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
39.3%
UTA 41.1% +1.6%
SAS 39.5%
Mid Att. %
52.5%
40.6%
UTA 53.4%
SAS 40.7% +12.7%
3P Att. %
10.4%
20.2%
UTA 5.5%
SAS 19.8% +14.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTASAS
Possessions8792
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points81101
Rebounds3748
Assists2325
Steals1110
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)24 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (0)24 (1)
Field Goals33-7341-86
At-the-Rim FG19-3022-34
Midrange FG14-3913-35
2-Point FG33-6935-69
3-Point FG0-46-17
Free Throws15-1913-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'2" 280 · 30
31.4
16
62%
10
0
0
1
2
2
6
4
2-3
67%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 259 · 40
31.1
11
34%
4
7
2
0
2
3
0
4
3-4
75%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 230 · 27
30.1
14
64%
2
1
1
0
5
3
2
0
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 41
27.6
10
63%
3
6
2
1
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 32
21.8
4
67%
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
30.2
8
50%
2
1
1
1
1
3
1
1
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22
16.1
3
21%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 27
14.5
2
25%
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 38
13.4
3
50%
3
3
0
0
3
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 36
12.8
4
50%
2
1
2
1
0
4
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
7.0
2
50%
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32
3.8
4
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
49%
37
23
11
4
22
0
14
23
15-19
79%
33-69
48%
0-4
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.