FinalWin Prob.pScore
2923%86
89
2077%95
102
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
94.79498.0
HOU logo HOU
101.010197.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU89
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENWhite Driving Dunk (14 PTS)89
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENCato BLOCK (6 BLK)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENCato BLOCK (5 BLK)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENMobley STEAL (2 STL)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0DENMISS Savovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09DENCato BLOCK (4 BLK)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23HOUTaylor 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Francis 12 AST)87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:42DENHarrington 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Savovic 1 AST)87
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 1:47DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:51DENMISS White 18' Jump Shot85
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 2:07HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)85
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 2:07HOUTaylor Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Francis 11 AST)85
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 2:19HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)85
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 2:22DENFrancis BLOCK (2 BLK)85
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 2:43HOUFrancis Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Rice 3 AST)85
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 2:48DENRice STEAL (2 STL)85
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 3:01HOUTaylor 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rice 2 AST)85
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q4 - 3:36DENNene Layup (17 PTS)85
7.5%
89
92.5%
Q4 - 3:56HOUTaylor Tip Shot (8 PTS)83
5.3%
89
94.7%
Q4 - 3:56HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q4 - 3:58HOUMISS Francis Reverse Layup83
9.4%
87
90.6%
Q4 - 4:15HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)83
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q4 - 4:17HOUMISS Francis 16' Fadeaway Jumper83
9.3%
87
90.7%
Q4 - 4:32DENWhite 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q4 - 4:44HOUMobley Foul Turnover (P3.T17)81
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 4:58DENWhite 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)81
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 5:16HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 179
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 5:16HOUCato Layup (14 PTS) (Rice 1 AST)79
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 5:36DENNene Layup (15 PTS)79
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 5:49HOUCato Foul Turnover (P3.T16)77
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 5:57HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 5:58DENTaylor BLOCK (1 BLK)77
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 6:16HOUTaylor Foul Turnover (P5.T15)77
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 6:33DENRice STEAL (1 STL)77
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 6:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 6:44HOUMISS Francis Layup77
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 7:00HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 7:02DENMISS Savovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 7:23HOUTaylor Foul Turnover (P4.T14)77
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 7:36DENSavovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)77
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 7:36DENSavovic Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)76
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 7:40HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)74
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 7:53HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 7:55DENMISS Tskitishvili 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 8:13HOUPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)74
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 8:15DENPosey STEAL (5 STL)74
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 8:18DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 8:20HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 8:28DENPosey STEAL (4 STL)74
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 8:43HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)74
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 9:02DENSavovic Layup (2 PTS)74
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 9:03DENSavovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:05DENCato BLOCK (3 BLK)72
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 9:06DENSavovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:08DENMISS Harvey 18' Jump Shot72
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 9:24DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)72
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:26HOUMISS Francis 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 9:32DENMobley STEAL (1 STL)72
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 9:53HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 172
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:53HOUCato Dunk (12 PTS) (Posey 4 AST)72
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 10:02HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 10:04DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot72
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 10:10DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 10:11HOUMISS Posey Driving Layup72
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 10:16DENPosey STEAL (3 STL)72
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 10:33DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 10:34HOUMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 10:55DENCamby Layup (18 PTS)72
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 10:56DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)70
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 10:57DENMISS Harvey Layup70
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 11:15HOUCato 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 10 AST)70
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 11:35DENTskitishvili 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU68
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENFrancis STEAL (2 STL)68
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUMobley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)68
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENPosey STEAL (2 STL)68
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0HOUFrancis 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENHarvey Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)68
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENCato BLOCK (2 BLK)66
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0HOUMobley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Francis 9 AST)66
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 1:10HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)66
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 1:11DENMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot66
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 1:12DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q3 - 1:13DENMISS Savovic 20' Jump Shot66
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 1:25DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q3 - 1:25HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 266
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 1:25HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q3 - 1:40DENSavovic Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)66
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 1:40DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 1:40HOUMISS Mobley 8' Jump Shot66
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q3 - 1:51DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)66
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 1:55DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
10.2%
72
89.8%
Q3 - 1:56HOUMISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q3 - 2:11DENHarvey Driving Dunk (8 PTS)66
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 2:28HOUPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q3 - 2:28HOUPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 2:39DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 2:39DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 2:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 2:58HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 2 of 262
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 2:58HOUGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 2:58HOUROCKETS Rebound62
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 3:00DENMISS Andersen 14' Jump Shot62
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 3:12DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 3:12DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 262
7.9%
69
92.1%
Q3 - 3:12DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 262
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 3:38HOUFrancis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)62
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 3:52HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 3:54DENMISS Harrington 15' Running Jump Shot62
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 4:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 4:17HOUMISS Cato 16' Jump Shot62
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 4:35HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 4:36DENMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 4:45HOUFrancis Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Cato 2 AST)62
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 4:47HOUCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
16.7%
64
83.3%
Q3 - 4:49HOUMISS Posey Alley Oop Layup62
18.7%
64
81.3%
Q3 - 5:02HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
16.9%
64
83.1%
Q3 - 5:03DENMISS Tskitishvili Alley Oop Layup62
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 5:17HOUGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
19.5%
64
80.5%
Q3 - 5:17HOUGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
20.3%
63
79.7%
Q3 - 5:24DENCato STEAL (1 STL)62
22.1%
62
77.9%
Q3 - 5:40DENNuggets Rebound62
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 5:42HOUMISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
24.3%
62
75.7%
Q3 - 6:08DENWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Tskitishvili 1 AST)62
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 6:12HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)59
16.9%
62
83.1%
Q3 - 6:16HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q3 - 6:17DENMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot59
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q3 - 6:26HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
16.9%
62
83.1%
Q3 - 6:26HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 259
17.7%
61
82.3%
Q3 - 6:36HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
16.8%
61
83.2%
Q3 - 6:38DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot59
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q3 - 6:51HOUPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
19.3%
61
80.7%
Q3 - 6:51HOUPosey Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Francis 8 AST)59
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 6:56HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
24.6%
58
75.4%
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot59
25.6%
58
74.4%
Q3 - 7:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)59
27.5%
58
72.5%
Q3 - 7:16HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
26.5%
58
73.5%
Q3 - 7:34DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
24.1%
58
75.9%
Q3 - 7:34DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 258
23.1%
58
76.9%
Q3 - 7:54HOUMobley Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)58
24.6%
58
75.4%
Q3 - 8:08DENNene Layup (10 PTS) (Camby 5 AST)58
26.8%
56
73.2%
Q3 - 8:27HOUCato Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)56
24.3%
56
75.7%
Q3 - 8:44DENWhite Driving Dunk (8 PTS)56
21.3%
56
78.7%
Q3 - 8:46DENWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q3 - 8:48DENMISS White 7' Jump Shot54
17.4%
56
82.6%
Q3 - 8:58DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)54
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q3 - 8:59HOUMISS Mobley Reverse Layup54
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 9:20DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
16.4%
56
83.6%
Q3 - 9:20DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q3 - 9:30DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
14.6%
56
85.4%
Q3 - 9:32HOUMISS Mobley Layup52
14.0%
56
86.0%
Q3 - 9:51DENCamby 14' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (White 2 AST)52
12.8%
56
87.2%
Q3 - 9:55DENNuggets Rebound50
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 9:55DENMobley BLOCK (1 BLK)50
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 10:09DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 10:10HOUMISS Griffin 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q3 - 10:24DENNene Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)50
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 10:29DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q3 - 10:32HOUMISS Yao Layup48
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q3 - 10:49DENTskitishvili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q3 - 10:49DENTskitishvili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q3 - 11:09HOUYao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
6.7%
56
93.3%
Q3 - 11:26HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)46
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q3 - 11:28DENMISS Tskitishvili 19' Jump Shot46
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q3 - 11:42HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)46
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q3 - 11:42HOUYao Layup (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)46
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN46
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUCato Dunk (7 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)46
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENNene Dunk (6 PTS)46
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENMISS Harvey Dunk44
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENCamby Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)44
11.5%
49
88.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOURice Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)42
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q2 - 1:12DENCamby Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)42
9.4%
49
90.6%
Q2 - 1:34HOUTaylor Dunk (6 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)40
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 1:50HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 1:52DENMISS Harvey 9' Jump Shot40
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 2:04DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 2:06DENYao BLOCK (2 BLK)40
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q2 - 2:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 2:14HOUMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot40
10.1%
47
89.9%
Q2 - 2:32DENWhite Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 2:43DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 2:45DENMISS Nene 7' Hook Shot38
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q2 - 3:05HOURice 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)38
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 3:17HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q2 - 3:19DENMISS Nene 8' Running Jump Shot38
10.9%
44
89.1%
Q2 - 3:42HOURice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)38
11.9%
44
88.1%
Q2 - 3:57DENWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Camby 4 AST)38
14.4%
41
85.6%
Q2 - 4:02DENNuggets Rebound35
11.8%
41
88.2%
Q2 - 4:04DENMISS White 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 4:09DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
11.8%
41
88.2%
Q2 - 4:09DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 235
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 4:09DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q2 - 4:47HOURice Dunk (2 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)34
10.6%
41
89.4%
Q2 - 4:49HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 4:51HOUMISS Rice 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 5:11DENHarvey 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q2 - 5:37HOUCato Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)32
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 5:55DENHarvey 7' Finger Roll (4 PTS)32
11.7%
37
88.3%
Q2 - 6:15HOUTaylor Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)30
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 6:35DENWhite Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)30
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 6:48DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 6:50DENMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot30
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 7:07DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
11.0%
37
89.0%
Q2 - 7:09HOUMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot30
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 7:24DENHarvey 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)30
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 7:42HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 7:42HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 228
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 7:56DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)28
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 8:27HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 8:28HOUMISS Taylor Free Throw 1 of 128
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 8:28HOUTaylor 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)28
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 8:47HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
13.1%
32
86.9%
Q2 - 8:49DENMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot28
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 9:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 9:05HOUMISS Norris 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 9:11HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
13.1%
32
86.9%
Q2 - 9:13DENCato BLOCK (1 BLK)28
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 9:27DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 9:29DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 9:38DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 9:39HOUMISS Taylor 18' Jump Shot28
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 9:51HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
13.1%
32
86.9%
Q2 - 9:52DENMISS Nene 10' Jump Shot28
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 10:07HOUNorris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q2 - 10:23HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Harvey 20' Jump Shot28
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 10:42HOUTaylor Layup (2 PTS)28
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q2 - 10:59DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 10:59DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)27
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q2 - 11:18HOUNorris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)25
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 11:32DENHarvey Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T4)25
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q2 - 11:41DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q2 - 11:43HOUMISS Mobley 22' Jump Shot25
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound25
16.9%
27
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS White 40' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0HOUCato Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0HOUFrancis Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)23
15.6%
25
84.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot23
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMISS Camby 17' Jump Shot23
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUGriffin 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)23
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0HOUMISS Griffin 8' Turnaround Jump Shot23
19.0%
23
81.0%
Q1 - 1:17DENHarrington 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)23
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 1:29DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
16.6%
23
83.4%
Q1 - 1:31HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
16.3%
23
83.7%
Q1 - 1:50DENWhite Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)21
15.6%
23
84.4%
Q1 - 2:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 2:05DENFrancis BLOCK (1 BLK)19
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q1 - 2:20HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 2:20HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 2:26HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 2:28DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot19
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 2:41HOUFrancis Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)19
16.7%
21
83.3%
Q1 - 2:52DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 2:52DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q1 - 3:13HOUPosey Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)17
14.3%
21
85.7%
Q1 - 3:17HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:19DENMISS White 20' Jump Shot17
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 3:28HOUGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 3:28HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 217
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 3:29HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 3:30HOUMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 3:37DENFrancis STEAL (1 STL)17
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 3:53HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 3:53HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
18.2%
17
81.8%
Q1 - 3:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
19.2%
16
80.8%
Q1 - 3:57HOUMISS Mobley 17' Jump Shot17
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 4:05HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 4:07DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot17
19.2%
16
80.8%
Q1 - 4:22HOUFrancis Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 4:39DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)17
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 4:49DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 4:50HOUMISS Yao Layup15
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 5:03HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
16.0%
16
84.0%
Q1 - 5:04DENMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot15
16.4%
16
83.6%
Q1 - 5:28HOUFrancis 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 5:40DENHarrington Backcourt Turnover (P1.T2)15
18.4%
14
81.6%
Q1 - 6:06HOUGriffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)15
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 6:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.1%
11
77.9%
Q1 - 6:18DENMISS Williams Driving Layup15
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 6:28HOUMobley Foul Turnover (P1.T1)15
23.6%
11
76.4%
Q1 - 6:44DENCamby Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)15
22.1%
11
77.9%
Q1 - 7:01DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
20.3%
11
79.7%
Q1 - 7:01HOUMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 213
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 7:01HOUPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 7:06HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 7:08DENMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 7:16DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 7:18HOUMISS Yao 9' Hook Shot13
21.1%
10
78.9%
Q1 - 7:30HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Camby 17' Jump Shot13
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 7:47DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 7:49HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 7:55DENPosey STEAL (1 STL)13
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 8:02DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 8:03HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup13
20.9%
10
79.1%
Q1 - 8:14HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 8:16DENYao BLOCK (1 BLK)13
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 8:30HOUPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 8:30HOUPosey Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 8:41DENTskitishvili 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)13
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 8:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 8:50HOUMISS Griffin Layup11
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 8:52HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 8:53HOUMISS Yao 4' Hook Shot11
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 9:13DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
20.9%
7
79.1%
Q1 - 9:13DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
20.5%
7
79.5%
Q1 - 9:19DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 9:21HOUMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
19.5%
7
80.5%
Q1 - 9:29HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
18.5%
7
81.5%
Q1 - 9:31DENMISS White 18' Jump Shot9
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 9:41HOUYao 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)9
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 9:57DENWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (White 1 AST)9
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 10:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 10:16HOUMISS Yao 8' Hook Shot6
18.2%
5
81.8%
Q1 - 10:26HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 10:26HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 2 of 26
18.5%
5
81.5%
Q1 - 10:26HOUGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
17.8%
5
82.2%
Q1 - 10:39DENWhite Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:51HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 10:51HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
17.7%
3
82.3%
Q1 - 11:04DENWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
18.5%
2
81.5%
Q1 - 11:26HOUFrancis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
17.3%
2
82.7%
Q1 - 11:40DENCamby 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:42DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:44DENMISS Nene 7' Hook Shot0
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Griffin vs. Camby: Tip to Tskitishvili0
17.3%
0
82.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.88 44.1%
HOU
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
33
58%
HOU
18
29
62%
Midrange
DEN
13
43
30%
HOU
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
HOU
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
DEN
16
20
80%
HOU
25
35
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Camby1847%9.0 / 19
Nene1761%8.5 / 14
R. White1444%7.0 / 16
S. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
D. Harvey1042%5.0 / 12
J. Harrington850%4.0 / 8
N. Tskitishvili650%3.0 / 6
P. Savovic531%2.5 / 8
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 4
A. Harrington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis1853%9.0 / 17
M. Taylor1575%7.5 / 10
K. Cato1464%7.0 / 11
C. Mobley1243%6.0 / 14
J. Posey1155%5.5 / 10
Yao1150%5.5 / 11
E. Griffin1042%5.0 / 12
G. Rice8100%4.0 / 4
M. Norris375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+22
-17
99
HOU
83
+10
-18
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.88 44.1%
HOU
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
90.7
101.1
DEN 94.7 +6.3
HOU 101.0
Pace
92.6
91.6
DEN 98.0 +1.0
HOU 97.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.1
DEN 14.7 +0.2
HOU 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
42.8%
47.4%
DEN 42.0%
HOU 55.0% +13.0%
TO %
18.7%
15.8%
DEN 15.8% +1.6%
HOU 17.4%
ORB %
31.3%
30.4%
DEN 38.0% +13.6%
HOU 24.4%
FTrt
28.3
31.6
DEN 23.0
HOU 50.0 +27.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
53.0%
DEN 51.4%
HOU 68.6% +17.2%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
DEN 8.5%
HOU 11.9% +3.4%
BLK %
8.5%
8.9%
DEN 4.0%
HOU 15.8% +11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
44.6%
49.5%
DEN 44.1%
HOU 54.8% +10.7%
Rim FG%
53.8%
58.1%
DEN 57.6%
HOU 62.1% +4.5%
Mid FG%
35.8%
37.5%
DEN 30.2%
HOU 47.6% +17.4%
3P %
27.8%
34.6%
DEN 27.3%
HOU 35.0% +7.7%
FT %
69.9%
76.8%
DEN 80.0% +8.6%
HOU 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
34.0%
DEN 37.9%
HOU 41.4% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
52.3%
46.4%
DEN 49.4%
HOU 30.0% +19.4%
3P Att. %
12.6%
19.6%
DEN 12.6%
HOU 28.6% +15.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions94101
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points89102
Rebounds5041
Assists1824
Steals812
Blocks212
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals35-8735-70
At-the-Rim FG19-3318-29
Midrange FG13-4310-21
2-Point FG32-7628-50
3-Point FG3-117-20
Free Throws16-2025-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 250 · 21
38.0
17
61%
7
1
2
0
0
4
2
5
5-7
71%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 29
38.0
18
47%
15
5
1
1
0
3
5
10
4-4
100%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 230 · 23
36.2
14
44%
8
2
1
0
4
1
2
6
0-0
-
7-14
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 201 · 28
22.9
11
61%
0
5
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-5
60%
F · 7'0" 225 · 20
19.9
6
50%
2
1
2
1
3
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 22
28.7
8
50%
5
2
0
0
4
4
3
2
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 23
23.5
10
42%
5
0
1
0
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 27
15.2
5
31%
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25
9.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
7.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
G · 6'4" 200 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
44%
50
18
8
2
17
0
19
31
16-20
80%
32-76
42%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.