FinalWin Prob.pScore
2733%90
74
2667%95
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
80.49299.8
CHI logo CHI
89.19286.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI74
0%
82
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)74
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)72
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 272
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 272
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)72
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0CHIMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot72
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMarshall BLOCK (3 BLK)72
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 1:01CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 1:16MIAButler Layup (16 PTS)72
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 1:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot70
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 1:33CHIMISS Crawford 8' Jump Shot70
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 1:57MIAChandler STEAL (2 STL)70
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 2:10CHICrawford Out Of Bounds Turnover (P6.T17)70
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 2:15MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 269
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 2:16MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 2:19CHIMISS Rose 22' Jump Shot69
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 2:34CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)69
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot69
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 2:56CHIRose 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)69
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 3:12CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot69
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 3:31CHIMISS Rose 29' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 3:53CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)69
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 4:02CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)69
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 4:16MIAChandler STEAL (1 STL)69
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 4:24MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 4:26CHIMISS Chandler 15' Jump Shot69
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 4:46MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 4:57MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 4:59CHIMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 5:10CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)67
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 5:13MIACrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)67
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 5:38CHIWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T15)67
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 6:02MIALampley Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)67
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 6:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 6:17CHIMISS Marshall Layup65
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 6:31CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot65
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 6:37MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot65
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 6:54MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 6:55CHIMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot65
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)65
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 7:27CHIBlount Foul Turnover (P2.T14)63
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 7:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 7:47CHIMISS Brunson 21' Jump Shot61
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 7:57CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot61
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 8:13CHIBrunson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 8:13CHIBrunson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 8:32MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)61
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 8:38MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 8:40CHIMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 9:02CHIBULLS Rebound61
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot61
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 9:22CHIWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 9:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)61
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q4 - 9:36MIAHeat Rebound61
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q4 - 9:36MIABrunson BLOCK (2 BLK)61
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q4 - 10:02CHIMarshall 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Brunson 1 AST)61
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 10:12CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q4 - 10:14MIAHassell BLOCK (1 BLK)61
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q4 - 10:23MIAHeat Rebound61
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q4 - 10:23MIABrunson BLOCK (1 BLK)61
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q4 - 10:28CHIBrunson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)61
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q4 - 10:44CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 261
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 261
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 11:01CHIBlount 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)61
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 11:18MIAButler Layup (13 PTS)61
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q4 - 11:34CHIBlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)59
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q4 - 11:34CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q4 - 11:37CHIMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot59
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA59
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Best Layup59
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAHeat Rebound59
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS House 23' Jump Shot59
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Marshall Layup59
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q3 - 1:11CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 1:11CHIMarshall Layup (8 PTS)57
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 1:12CHIMISS Curry Layup57
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 1:33MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)57
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 1:42CHIMarshall 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)55
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 1:58MIAStepania Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)55
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 2:10CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 2:10CHIMarshall Layup (4 PTS)55
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 2:12CHIMISS Curry 10' Jump Shot55
8.8%
64
91.2%
Q3 - 2:32CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot55
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 2:39CHICrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)55
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q3 - 2:59MIABest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)55
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q3 - 3:16CHICrawford 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)52
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 3:37MIAStepania 9' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Best 2 AST)52
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 3:57CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot50
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q3 - 4:13MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q3 - 4:13MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 4:25MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 4:27CHIMISS Crawford 11' Jump Shot48
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 4:41CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 4:57CHIMISS Marshall 7' Jump Shot48
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 4:59CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 5:05MIACurry BLOCK (1 BLK)48
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 5:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 5:25MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 5:27CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 248
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 5:27CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 248
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 5:47CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot48
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 5:58CHICrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)48
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 6:16MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 6:16MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 6:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 6:21CHIMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q3 - 6:38MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 6:38MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q3 - 6:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot44
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 6:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 6:59CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 244
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 6:59CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 6:59CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 7:01CHIMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot44
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 7:17MIAAllen Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)44
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 7:32CHICurry 10' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)42
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 7:53MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T9)42
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q3 - 8:13CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)42
3.7%
59
96.3%
Q3 - 8:13CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 8:13MIAButler Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)42
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 8:15CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot41
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot41
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 8:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 8:46CHIMISS Robinson Reverse Layup41
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 8:51CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)41
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 8:53CHIMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot41
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 9:09MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)41
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 9:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 9:17CHIMISS Curry 7' Jump Shot41
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 9:27CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)41
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMISS Grant 10' Jump Shot41
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 9:58CHIRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)41
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 10:05CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)41
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot41
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 10:29CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q3 - 10:29CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q3 - 10:36CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)41
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Carter Layup41
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q3 - 11:06CHICrawford 12' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)41
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q3 - 11:29CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot41
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q3 - 11:38CHICrawford Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)41
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q3 - 11:42CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot41
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIARose BLOCK (1 BLK)41
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0CHICrawford Driving Layup (13 PTS)41
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)41
10.0%
51
90.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot39
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 1:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 1:06CHIMISS Crawford Layup39
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q2 - 1:15CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Grant Layup39
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 1:30CHICrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)39
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q2 - 1:50MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 1:50MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 2:09CHICrawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)37
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 2:21CHIRose Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)37
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 2:37MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q2 - 2:37MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 2:37MIAHeat Rebound35
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 2:38CHIMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot35
9.1%
47
90.9%
Q2 - 3:02MIAButler Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)35
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 3:05CHICrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 3:19MIACarter Layup (6 PTS)33
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 3:27CHIRose Layup (12 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)31
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 3:41MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)31
7.0%
45
93.0%
Q2 - 4:06CHIRose 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 4:14CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot29
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 4:31CHICurry Dunk (7 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)29
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 4:50MIACarter Foul Turnover (P3.T7)29
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 5:00CHIMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot29
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 5:04CHIRose Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)29
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 5:23MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 5:30MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 5:32CHIMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot26
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 5:46MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 5:46MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 5:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
6.8%
40
93.2%
Q2 - 5:54CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 224
6.7%
40
93.3%
Q2 - 5:54CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 224
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 6:17MIALampley 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)24
6.3%
40
93.7%
Q2 - 6:26CHIWilliams 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
5.8%
40
94.2%
Q2 - 6:33CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
6.3%
38
93.7%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Best 11' Jump Shot22
6.6%
38
93.4%
Q2 - 6:52CHIRobinson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)22
7.2%
38
92.8%
Q2 - 7:07MIALampley Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)22
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 7:14CHIMarshall Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)22
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 7:26MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q2 - 7:26MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q2 - 7:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.2%
34
90.8%
Q2 - 7:37CHIMISS Marshall 8' Jump Shot20
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 7:55CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8.3%
34
91.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIABlount BLOCK (1 BLK)20
8.6%
34
91.4%
Q2 - 8:16CHIHassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 8:16CHIHassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 8:22CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Best Layup20
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q2 - 8:39MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q2 - 8:41CHIMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot20
11.0%
32
89.0%
Q2 - 8:47CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMarshall BLOCK (2 BLK)20
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q2 - 9:06CHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q2 - 9:06CHIMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 220
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q2 - 9:11MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)20
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 9:22CHIMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 9:27CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Butler 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 9:56CHIWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 9:59CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Grant 22' Jump Shot20
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 10:17CHIHassell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)20
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 10:33MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q2 - 10:33MIALampley Tip Shot (2 PTS)20
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Best Layup18
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 10:48MIAHeat Rebound18
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMarshall BLOCK (1 BLK)18
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 11:01MIAHeat Rebound18
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 11:03MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)18
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 11:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 11:23CHIMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 11:40CHIBULLS Rebound18
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot18
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI18
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound18
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot18
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 217
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0CHIRose 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)17
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)17
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup17
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAHeat Rebound17
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHIMISS Curry Dunk17
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHIMISS Crawford Layup17
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 1:02MIACurry STEAL (1 STL)17
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 1:17CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)17
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 1:27CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
14.2%
26
85.8%
Q1 - 1:29MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot17
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q1 - 1:42CHIChandler Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)17
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 1:58MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)17
16.7%
24
83.3%
Q1 - 2:26CHICrawford 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q1 - 2:46CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 2:48MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)15
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 3:06CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 215
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 3:06CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 3:20CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot15
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 3:38CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)15
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q1 - 3:45CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot15
18.5%
21
81.5%
Q1 - 4:11CHIChandler Layup (4 PTS)15
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q1 - 4:12CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q1 - 4:13CHIMISS Chandler Layup15
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 4:25MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 4:44CHICrawford 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 4:57MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 4:57MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 5:09CHIRose Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
22.4%
17
77.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)13
23.8%
15
76.2%
Q1 - 5:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
25.5%
15
74.5%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot13
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 5:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
25.5%
15
74.5%
Q1 - 5:50CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 213
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 5:50CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
24.4%
15
75.6%
Q1 - 5:50CHIBULLS Rebound13
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot13
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 6:08CHIRobinson 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)13
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 6:26MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)13
28.5%
12
71.5%
Q1 - 6:41CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 6:41CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 6:51CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot10
27.3%
10
72.7%
Q1 - 6:58MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
28.5%
10
71.5%
Q1 - 6:59CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot10
28.0%
10
72.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIACarter Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)10
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 7:16CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
25.3%
10
74.7%
Q1 - 7:30CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot8
24.2%
10
75.8%
Q1 - 7:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
25.3%
10
74.7%
Q1 - 7:40CHIMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot8
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 7:48CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot8
24.2%
10
75.8%
Q1 - 8:07CHIRose 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)8
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 8:46MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)8
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 9:04CHICrawford 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 9:11CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 9:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 9:32CHIMISS Chandler 6' Jump Shot6
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 9:40CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Allen Layup6
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 9:52CHICurry Dunk (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)6
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 10:19MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)6
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 10:39CHIMISS Curry Layup4
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 11:00MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)4
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 11:13CHICurry Dunk (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)2
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 11:27MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)2
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 11:34CHICrawford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:39MIACrawford STEAL (1 STL)0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 11:45CHIMISS Curry Layup0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Chandler vs. Grant: Tip to Crawford0
26.3%
0
73.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.78 38.9%
CHI
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
21
43%
CHI
11
21
52%
Midrange
MIA
11
48
23%
CHI
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
CHI
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
25
29
86%
CHI
18
28
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1662%8.0 / 13
E. House1544%7.5 / 17
S. Lampley1083%5.0 / 6
A. Carter850%4.0 / 8
R. Butler758%3.5 / 6
B. Grant630%3.0 / 10
M. Allen623%3.0 / 13
T. Best319%1.5 / 8
V. Stepania317%1.5 / 9
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose1963%9.5 / 15
J. Crawford1753%8.5 / 16
E. Curry1240%6.0 / 15
D. Marshall1045%5.0 / 11
T. Chandler744%3.5 / 8
J. Williams542%2.5 / 6
E. Robinson433%2.0 / 6
T. Hassell4100%2.0 / 2
C. Blount250%1.0 / 2
R. Brunson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+15
-13
94
CHI
75
+9
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.78 38.9%
CHI
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
97.6
MIA 80.4
CHI 89.1 +8.7
Pace
90.0
96.2
MIA 99.8 +13.9
CHI 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.2
MIA 14.4 +2.3
CHI 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.2%
MIA 31.4%
CHI 45.7% +14.3%
TO %
14.8%
16.7%
MIA 13.4% +3.7%
CHI 17.1%
ORB %
26.8%
27.8%
MIA 19.1% +0.1%
CHI 19.0%
FTrt
25.9
30.0
MIA 37.2
CHI 40.0 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
59.6%
MIA 78.3% +20.2%
CHI 58.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
MIA 12.0% +6.6%
CHI 5.4%
BLK %
6.4%
8.4%
MIA 1.6%
CHI 18.8% +17.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
48.7%
MIA 38.9%
CHI 48.2% +9.3%
Rim FG%
53.7%
56.6%
MIA 42.9%
CHI 52.4% +9.5%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.4%
MIA 22.9%
CHI 43.9% +21.0%
3P %
31.6%
35.0%
MIA 33.3% +8.3%
CHI 25.0%
FT %
76.5%
72.2%
MIA 86.2% +21.9%
CHI 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
36.5%
MIA 26.9%
CHI 30.0% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
48.6%
MIA 61.5%
CHI 58.6% +3.0%
3P Att. %
16.9%
14.9%
MIA 11.5% +0.1%
CHI 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.125.7
Points7482
Rebounds4346
Assists1818
Steals115
Blocks113
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)38 (3)
Field Goals23-7831-70
At-the-Rim FG9-2111-21
Midrange FG11-4818-41
2-Point FG20-6929-62
3-Point FG3-92-8
Free Throws25-2918-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
38.4
16
62%
4
3
3
0
3
4
2
2
4-5
80%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
32.6
6
30%
9
2
2
0
0
5
1
8
4-4
100%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
29.1
8
50%
1
6
1
0
4
4
1
0
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
25.0
6
23%
7
1
0
1
1
4
1
6
2-2
100%
2-12
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
17.3
7
58%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
24.7
15
44%
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-12
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
23.0
10
83%
6
1
1
0
3
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
18.9
3
19%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-6
0%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
18.3
3
17%
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
3
1-4
25%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
12.7
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
39%
43
18
11
1
13
0
9
34
25-29
86%
20-69
29%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.