for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, March 25, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Bucks
23%93
94
3
Spurs
77%102
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
101.19396.3
SAS logo SAS
116.39288.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS94
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASSPURS Rebound94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASFerry 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Claxton 11 AST)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)94
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02SASClaxton 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18SASMISS Ferry 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MILBucks Rebound89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37SASMISS Claxton 15' Jump Shot89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MILMason 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MILBucks Rebound87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10SASMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MILMISS Haislip Free Throw 1 of 187
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MILMason 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43SASSmith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MILHaislip 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MILGadzuric 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50SASMISS Claxton 8' Jump Shot80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MILMason Foul Turnover (P3.T13)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24SASRose 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57SASMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MILCassell 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48SASRose 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:13MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:27MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:58SASGinobili 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 7:04MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 7:24SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (31 PTS)76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)76
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:46MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot76
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:55MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 7:57SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot76
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 8:09MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 8:09MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 275
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 8:26SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Claxton 10 AST)75
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 8:38MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 8:38MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 8:41MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:43SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup73
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:00MILKukoc 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)73
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 9:13SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)71
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 9:13SASSPURS Rebound71
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 9:14SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 10:00MILRedd 2' Layup (13 PTS)71
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 10:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 10:00MILWillis BLOCK (2 BLK)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 10:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 10:02SASMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot69
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 10:13SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 10:15MILMISS Redd 2' Driving Layup69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 10:35SASRose 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Claxton 9 AST)69
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 10:44SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 10:46SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot69
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 11:02SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 11:04MILMISS Kukoc 15' Fadeaway Jumper69
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 11:18SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)69
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 11:19MILGinobili STEAL (3 STL)69
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 11:21MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 11:24MILWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 11:43SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 11:43SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL69
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound69
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mason 53' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Kerr 3PT Jump Shot69
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0MILMason 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot67
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASBowen Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)67
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASKerr REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASMISS Smith 5' Running Jump Shot67
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 1:04MILPayton 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)67
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 1:18SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)65
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 1:38MILKukoc 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)65
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:44MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 1:46MILMISS Payton 3' Driving Layup63
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 1:53SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)63
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 1:53SASDuncan 10' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)63
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 2:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 2:11MILMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 263
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 2:11MILMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 263
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 2:19SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)63
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 2:28MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 2:28MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 2:42MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 2:43SASMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 261
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 2:43SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 2:53MILPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 2:53MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 3:11SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 3:11SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 3:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 3:19MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 3:38SASBowen 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)59
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 4:07MILKukoc 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)59
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 4:21SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)57
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 4:37MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)57
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 4:41MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 4:45SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot54
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 4:52MILBowen STEAL (1 STL)54
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 5:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)54
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 5:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)54
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 5:24MILMason Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T10)54
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Kerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 5:24MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 254
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 5:24MILBucks Rebound54
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Layup54
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 5:41SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 5:43MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 254
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 5:43MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 6:09SASClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)53
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 6:30MILMason 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)53
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 6:51SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Claxton 8 AST)51
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 7:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 7:08MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot51
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q3 - 7:31SASClaxton 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)51
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 7:34MILGinobili STEAL (2 STL)51
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 7:37MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 7:40MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 7:44SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 7:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 7:49MILDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)51
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 8:11SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)51
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 8:21MILGinobili STEAL (1 STL)51
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 8:31SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 8:31SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 251
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 8:48MILMason 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)51
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 9:02SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 9:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q3 - 9:09MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot49
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 9:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)49
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 9:24SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 9:39MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 9 AST)49
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 10:06SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Claxton 7 AST)46
3.9%
60
96.1%
Q3 - 10:13SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 10:15SASMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q3 - 10:35MILMason 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)46
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 10:47SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)44
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 11:09SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 11:11SASMISS Claxton 3PT Jump Shot44
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q3 - 11:30MILCassell 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)44
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 11:42SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q3 - 11:42SASRobinson 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Claxton 6 AST)42
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q3 - 11:47MILJackson STEAL (1 STL)42
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS42
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILKukoc 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)42
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASRose 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)40
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot40
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASMISS Claxton 3' Layup40
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILClaxton STEAL (1 STL)40
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASClaxton Foul Turnover (P2.T8)40
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILMISS Przybilla 1' Reverse Layup40
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q2 - 1:17SASBowen 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)40
6.9%
50
93.1%
Q2 - 1:21MILRose STEAL (1 STL)40
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q2 - 1:39SASRose 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)40
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 1:41SASSPURS Rebound40
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 1:42SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 1:49SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 1:51MILMISS Payton 4' Jump Shot40
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 2:12MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 2:14SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 2:31MILRedd 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)40
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 2:55SASClaxton 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)38
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 3:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 3:05MILMISS Payton 7' Jump Shot38
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 3:24SASClaxton 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)38
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q2 - 3:44MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)38
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 3:44MILThomas 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)37
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q2 - 3:47SASClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 3:58SASSPURS Rebound35
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Bowen 10' Running Jump Shot35
10.1%
42
89.9%
Q2 - 4:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 4:24MILMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 4:31MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Claxton 5' Driving Layup35
10.1%
42
89.9%
Q2 - 4:40SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 4:43MILRobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)35
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 4:49MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 4:51SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot35
10.1%
42
89.9%
Q2 - 5:01SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 5:03MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot35
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 5:29SASRobinson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)35
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 5:43MILThomas 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)35
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 5:57MILRedd Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)33
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 5:57SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)32
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 6:12MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)32
8.6%
40
91.4%
Q2 - 6:23SASClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 6:23SASClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 6:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 6:42SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot29
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 6:47MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 7:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)29
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 7:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)29
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 7:31MILMason 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)29
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q2 - 7:52SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)27
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 8:11MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)27
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q2 - 8:25SASRobinson 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)24
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 8:29SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q2 - 8:33MILBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q2 - 8:53SASGinobili 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)24
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q2 - 8:56SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q2 - 8:59MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
11.9%
30
88.1%
Q2 - 8:59MILMISS Mason 3' Layup24
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q2 - 9:01MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q2 - 9:20SASClaxton 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)24
11.9%
30
88.1%
Q2 - 9:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q2 - 9:35MILMISS Kukoc 20' Jump Shot24
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q2 - 9:48SASJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)24
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q2 - 9:59MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q2 - 9:59MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q2 - 10:04MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 10:06SASMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot22
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q2 - 10:15SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q2 - 10:18MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q2 - 10:49SASWillis 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)22
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 10:54SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 10:56MILMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot22
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q2 - 11:08SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q2 - 11:08SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q2 - 11:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q2 - 11:19MILMISS Mason 4' Jump Hook Shot22
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q2 - 11:36SASJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)22
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 11:38SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q2 - 11:41MILMISS Kukoc 4' Jump Shot22
15.7%
24
84.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup22
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASMISS Willis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot20
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILCassell Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)20
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILCassell 4' Layup (4 PTS)19
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0MILParker STEAL (1 STL)17
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 1:09SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 1:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 1:19MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 1:28MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 1:29SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot17
16.0%
19
84.0%
Q1 - 1:55MILMason 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)17
15.4%
19
84.6%
Q1 - 2:12SASRose 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)15
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 2:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot15
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 2:29SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 2:51MILThomas 2' Layup (4 PTS)15
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 2:59MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
14.0%
17
86.0%
Q1 - 3:01SASMISS Rose 3' Layup13
13.7%
17
86.3%
Q1 - 3:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 3:13MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 3:28SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)13
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 3:37MILMason Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 3:45MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 3:47SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot13
13.7%
17
86.3%
Q1 - 4:07SASSPURS Rebound13
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 4:08MILMISS Mason 21' Jump Shot13
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 4:21MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 4:23SASMISS Parker 2' Layup13
13.5%
17
86.5%
Q1 - 4:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 4:29MILRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)13
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 4:45SASDuncan 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)13
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 5:04MILCassell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)13
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 5:08MILPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 5:09MILMISS Payton 5' Running Finger Roll11
13.0%
15
87.0%
Q1 - 5:28SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)11
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 5:39MILMason 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)11
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 6:01SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 6:01SASRobinson 3' Dunk (2 PTS)9
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 6:02SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot9
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 6:26MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 6:26MILJohnson 2' Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)9
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 6:27MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot7
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 6:41MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
13.7%
11
86.3%
Q1 - 6:43SASMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot7
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:11MILThomas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)7
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 7:24MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
12.0%
11
88.0%
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 25
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 25
11.4%
11
88.6%
Q1 - 7:38MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)5
11.1%
11
88.9%
Q1 - 7:59MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
12.0%
11
88.0%
Q1 - 8:02SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot5
11.6%
11
88.4%
Q1 - 8:07SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
11.0%
11
89.0%
Q1 - 8:09MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot5
11.2%
11
88.8%
Q1 - 8:16SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 8:27MILPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
11.0%
11
89.0%
Q1 - 8:27MILPayton 1' Layup (5 PTS)5
11.0%
11
89.0%
Q1 - 8:32MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)3
9.8%
11
90.2%
Q1 - 8:46SASParker 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)3
10.4%
11
89.6%
Q1 - 9:07MILPayton 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)3
10.8%
9
89.2%
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS)1
10.3%
9
89.7%
Q1 - 9:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)1
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 9:42MILMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 21
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 9:42MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 9:59SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)0
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 10:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:11SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
12.2%
5
87.8%
Q1 - 10:20SASSPURS Rebound0
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
12.2%
5
87.8%
Q1 - 10:40SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:42MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot0
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 11:02SASJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)0
12.5%
5
87.5%
Q1 - 11:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:19MILMISS Cassell 15' Fadeaway Jumper0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:38SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:40SASSPURS Rebound0
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot0
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Johnson: Tip to Bowen0
16.1%
0
83.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
26
54%
SAS
20
30
67%
Midrange
MIL
15
36
42%
SAS
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
SAS
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIL
21
28
75%
SAS
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Cassell1963%9.5 / 15
D. Mason1747%8.5 / 18
T. Thomas1558%7.5 / 13
M. Redd1568%7.5 / 11
G. Payton1240%6.0 / 15
T. Kukoc850%4.0 / 8
E. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
A. Mason220%1.0 / 5
M. Haislip250%1.0 / 2
D. Gadzuric2100%1.0 / 1
J. Przybilla0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3178%15.5 / 20
M. Rose1882%9.0 / 11
S. Claxton1250%6.0 / 12
D. Robinson1063%5.0 / 8
S. Jackson956%4.5 / 8
B. Bowen758%3.5 / 6
S. Smith633%3.0 / 9
T. Parker433%2.0 / 6
M. Ginobili440%2.0 / 5
K. Willis467%2.0 / 3
D. Ferry250%1.0 / 2
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+12
-12
93
SAS
78
+17
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
102.7
MIL 101.1
SAS 116.3 +15.2
Pace
92.7
92.6
MIL 96.3 +7.4
SAS 88.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.6
MIL 14.9 +1.2
SAS 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.7%
MIL 47.4%
SAS 53.1% +5.7%
TO %
13.0%
16.5%
MIL 12.7% +1.4%
SAS 14.1%
ORB %
25.7%
28.8%
MIL 25.0%
SAS 33.3% +8.3%
FTrt
28.7
34.8
MIL 36.4 +3.9
SAS 32.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
56.3%
MIL 55.9%
SAS 82.5% +26.6%
STL %
8.1%
8.3%
MIL 5.4%
SAS 8.7% +3.3%
BLK %
6.4%
9.3%
MIL 8.2%
SAS 11.3% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
51.4%
MIL 50.0%
SAS 55.7% +5.7%
Rim FG%
57.7%
59.3%
MIL 53.8%
SAS 66.7% +12.9%
Mid FG%
41.4%
38.8%
MIL 41.7%
SAS 48.4% +6.7%
3P %
38.3%
35.4%
MIL 33.3% +7.0%
SAS 26.3%
FT %
77.6%
72.5%
MIL 75.0%
SAS 84.6% +9.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
39.3%
MIL 33.8%
SAS 37.5% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
40.6%
MIL 46.8%
SAS 38.8% +8.0%
3P Att. %
22.9%
20.2%
MIL 19.5%
SAS 23.8% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points94107
Rebounds3344
Assists1933
Steals58
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (3)33 (2)
Field Goals34-7740-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2620-30
Midrange FG15-3615-31
2-Point FG29-6235-61
3-Point FG5-155-19
Free Throws21-2822-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Milwaukee Bucks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Desmond Mason
F · 6'5" 222 · 25
34.9
17
47%
7
1
0
1
3
2
3
4
0-0
-
7-16
44%
1-2
50%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 33
33.6
19
63%
2
4
1
0
1
4
0
2
8-9
89%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35
31.9
12
40%
2
9
1
0
3
2
2
0
4-7
57%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 26
31.2
15
58%
4
3
1
0
1
4
0
4
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 35
11.4
2
100%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
30.7
15
68%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
8-9
89%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
Anthony Mason
F · 6'8" 255 · 36
26.1
2
20%
0
1
0
0
2
4
0
0
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 35
18.6
8
50%
3
1
1
1
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 23
12.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
5.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
4.0
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Jason Caffey
F · 6'8" 256 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
50%
33
19
5
5
12
0
11
22
21-28
75%
29-62
47%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.