for complete access.
All Games Sunday, March 23, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Magic
63%96
96
27
Heat
37%92
74
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
99.09797.0
MIA logo MIA
74.79999.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL96
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 3 AST)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15ORLMISS Hunter 5' Hook Shot96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22ORLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Best Driving Layup96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56ORLVaughn Driving Layup (13 PTS)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29ORLMISS Hunter 6' Jump Shot94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Johnson 7' Hook Shot94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56ORLWhitney Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56ORLWhitney Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24ORLMISS Vaughn 10' Jump Shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59ORLSasser 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 290
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 190
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36ORLHunter Layup (4 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:09ORLMISS Hunter 17' Jump Shot88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Best Driving Layup88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32ORLMISS Whitney 19' Jump Shot88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:00ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:23ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:31MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:33ORLMISS DeClercq 18' Jump Shot88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:55ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:57ORLMISS Sasser 13' Jump Shot88
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:14ORLMagic Rebound88
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:25ORLWhitney Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)88
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 7:31MIAHouse 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)88
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 7:51MIAHEAT Rebound88
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 7:52ORLMISS Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 8:02ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 8:15ORLWhitney 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sasser 1 AST)88
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 8:28MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)86
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 8:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 8:37ORLMISS Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 8:56MIABest 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)86
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Allen 7' Hook Shot86
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 9:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 9:32ORLMISS Hunter 9' Hook Shot86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 9:52MIAAllen 15' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)86
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 9:59MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:02ORLMISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:22ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:30ORLMISS Sasser 13' Jump Shot86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:49ORLMagic Rebound86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Stepania Layup86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 11:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 11:26ORLHunter 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)86
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 11:36ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Butler Layup84
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 11:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot84
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLBest STEAL (2 STL)84
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0ORLVaughn 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)84
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)82
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Vaughn 3PT Jump Shot82
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 1:00ORLMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 1:15ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Stepania 8' Jump Shot82
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.3%
59
0.7%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 1:50MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 1:50MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
99.5%
58
0.5%
Q3 - 1:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot82
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q3 - 1:53MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot82
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q3 - 2:11ORLGiricek 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q3 - 2:16ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q3 - 2:19ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot80
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q3 - 2:38MIAHouse Driving Layup (9 PTS)80
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q3 - 2:44ORLGiricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)80
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 2:49ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
99.2%
55
0.8%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Stepania Layup77
99.1%
55
0.9%
Q3 - 2:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
99.0%
55
1.0%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.1%
55
0.9%
Q3 - 3:16ORLVaughn 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)77
98.8%
55
1.2%
Q3 - 3:30MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)75
98.6%
55
1.4%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)75
98.4%
55
1.6%
Q3 - 3:50ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
97.5%
55
2.5%
Q3 - 4:12ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)72
96.9%
55
3.1%
Q3 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
95.8%
55
4.2%
Q3 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
95.9%
54
4.1%
Q3 - 4:39ORLMcGrady Layup (34 PTS) (Kemp 2 AST)69
96.3%
53
3.7%
Q3 - 4:59MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
95.8%
53
4.2%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 267
95.9%
52
4.1%
Q3 - 5:02ORLCarter STEAL (4 STL)67
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q3 - 5:08ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
96.1%
52
3.9%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot67
95.8%
52
4.2%
Q3 - 5:24ORLCarter STEAL (3 STL)67
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q3 - 5:28MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)67
96.1%
52
3.9%
Q3 - 5:44ORLGiricek Running Dunk (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)67
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q3 - 5:50MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)65
94.6%
52
5.4%
Q3 - 6:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
93.1%
52
6.9%
Q3 - 6:06ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 265
93.3%
52
6.7%
Q3 - 6:06ORLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
93.9%
52
6.1%
Q3 - 6:11ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
93.2%
52
6.8%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot64
92.9%
52
7.1%
Q3 - 6:21ORLCarter STEAL (2 STL)64
92.0%
52
8.0%
Q3 - 6:35MIAButler Layup (16 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)64
93.2%
52
6.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
94.1%
50
5.9%
Q3 - 6:43ORLMISS Kemp 19' Jump Shot64
94.4%
50
5.6%
Q3 - 6:51ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
95.0%
50
5.0%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot64
94.7%
50
5.3%
Q3 - 7:22ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)64
93.6%
50
6.4%
Q3 - 7:33ORLMagic Rebound61
91.6%
50
8.4%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot61
91.2%
50
8.8%
Q3 - 7:42ORLButler STEAL (2 STL)61
90.2%
50
9.8%
Q3 - 7:55ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
91.6%
50
8.4%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot61
91.2%
50
8.8%
Q3 - 8:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
90.0%
50
10.0%
Q3 - 8:10ORLMISS Giricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
90.4%
50
9.6%
Q3 - 8:39MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
91.4%
50
8.6%
Q3 - 8:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
92.4%
48
7.6%
Q3 - 9:00ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
92.8%
48
7.2%
Q3 - 9:18MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
93.1%
48
6.9%
Q3 - 9:18MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
93.4%
47
6.6%
Q3 - 9:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
94.0%
46
6.0%
Q3 - 9:27ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
94.2%
46
5.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
94.8%
46
5.2%
Q3 - 10:06ORLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
95.2%
44
4.8%
Q3 - 10:06ORLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
95.1%
44
4.9%
Q3 - 10:26MIAEllis Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)59
94.6%
44
5.4%
Q3 - 10:33ORLButler STEAL (1 STL)59
95.2%
42
4.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)59
95.9%
42
4.1%
Q3 - 10:58ORLGiricek Reverse Layup (6 PTS)59
95.2%
42
4.8%
Q3 - 11:14ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
94.4%
42
5.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Ellis 9' Jump Shot57
94.1%
42
5.9%
Q3 - 11:46ORLGiricek 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)57
93.6%
42
6.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
92.7%
42
7.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound55
91.7%
42
8.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 55' 3PT Jump Shot55
91.9%
42
8.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMcGrady Tip Shot (32 PTS)55
91.4%
42
8.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
89.9%
42
10.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLMISS McGrady Finger Roll53
89.3%
42
10.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
89.9%
42
10.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLKemp Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)53
89.1%
42
10.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
87.3%
42
12.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot51
87.0%
42
13.0%
Q2 - 1:18MIAHEAT Rebound51
86.0%
42
14.0%
Q2 - 1:19ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q2 - 1:27ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
86.8%
42
13.2%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot51
86.5%
42
13.5%
Q2 - 1:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
86.0%
42
14.0%
Q2 - 1:45ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot51
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q2 - 1:56MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)51
86.8%
42
13.2%
Q2 - 2:09ORLVaughn Driving Layup (4 PTS)51
85.2%
42
14.8%
Q2 - 2:32ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
83.5%
42
16.5%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot49
83.0%
42
17.0%
Q2 - 2:42MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
81.9%
42
18.1%
Q2 - 2:44ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup49
82.4%
42
17.6%
Q2 - 2:51ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
83.5%
42
16.5%
Q2 - 2:53MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot49
83.0%
42
17.0%
Q2 - 3:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
81.3%
42
18.7%
Q2 - 3:05ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot49
81.9%
42
18.1%
Q2 - 3:19MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
83.2%
42
16.8%
Q2 - 3:35ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)49
84.7%
40
15.3%
Q2 - 3:44ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
81.5%
40
18.5%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot46
80.9%
40
19.1%
Q2 - 3:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
79.4%
40
20.6%
Q2 - 4:00ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 246
79.7%
40
20.3%
Q2 - 4:00ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 246
81.0%
40
19.0%
Q2 - 4:08MIABest Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)46
81.1%
40
18.9%
Q2 - 4:08MIABest Driving Layup (5 PTS)46
82.8%
39
17.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
84.4%
37
15.6%
Q2 - 4:16ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot46
84.9%
37
15.1%
Q2 - 4:29ORLMagic Rebound46
85.9%
37
14.1%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot46
85.5%
37
14.5%
Q2 - 4:47ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 146
84.6%
37
15.4%
Q2 - 4:47ORLMcGrady 13' Jump Shot (27 PTS)46
84.4%
37
15.6%
Q2 - 5:05MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)44
82.8%
37
17.2%
Q2 - 5:21ORLKemp Foul Turnover (P2.T7)44
81.0%
37
19.0%
Q2 - 5:26ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
82.8%
37
17.2%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot44
82.3%
37
17.7%
Q2 - 5:43ORLMcGrady 9' Jump Shot (25 PTS)44
81.0%
37
19.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIACarter Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)42
79.4%
37
20.6%
Q2 - 5:54ORLCarter STEAL (1 STL)42
77.3%
37
22.7%
Q2 - 6:04MIAHouse Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)42
79.4%
37
20.6%
Q2 - 6:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
80.8%
35
19.2%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
82.2%
35
17.8%
Q2 - 6:23MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
80.8%
35
19.2%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMISS Kemp 11' Jump Shot42
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 6:43MIAJump Ball Allen vs. Hunter: Tip to42
82.8%
35
17.2%
Q2 - 6:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
80.8%
35
19.2%
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Sasser Tip Shot42
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 6:45ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
82.8%
35
17.2%
Q2 - 6:46ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot42
81.4%
35
18.6%
Q2 - 7:03MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)42
82.2%
35
17.8%
Q2 - 7:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
85.0%
32
15.0%
Q2 - 7:21ORLMISS Whitney 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
85.5%
32
14.5%
Q2 - 7:33ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
86.4%
32
13.6%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot42
86.0%
32
14.0%
Q2 - 7:49MIAGrant Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
85.1%
32
14.9%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Grant Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 242
85.3%
31
14.7%
Q2 - 7:59ORLOyedeji 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
86.4%
31
13.6%
Q2 - 8:22MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)40
84.9%
31
15.1%
Q2 - 8:38MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)40
86.0%
29
14.0%
Q2 - 8:38ORLSasser Foul Turnover (P1.T5)40
87.2%
28
12.8%
Q2 - 8:48MIAButler 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
88.5%
28
11.5%
Q2 - 8:55MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
89.4%
26
10.6%
Q2 - 8:58ORLMISS Armstrong 21' Jump Shot40
89.7%
26
10.3%
Q2 - 9:31MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)40
90.1%
26
9.9%
Q2 - 9:53ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (7 PTS)40
89.1%
26
10.9%
Q2 - 9:57MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
88.2%
26
11.8%
Q2 - 10:12ORLWhitney 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)38
86.6%
26
13.4%
Q2 - 10:45MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 2 AST)36
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 10:54ORLArmstrong 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
86.6%
24
13.4%
Q2 - 10:59MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
85.6%
24
14.4%
Q2 - 11:05ORLAllen STEAL (1 STL)34
84.0%
24
16.0%
Q2 - 11:22ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
85.2%
24
14.8%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot34
84.8%
24
15.2%
Q2 - 11:36ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS)34
84.0%
24
16.0%
Q2 - 12:00MIAButler Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)32
82.6%
24
17.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
84.0%
23
16.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound32
84.0%
23
16.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS McGrady 30' 3PT Jump Shot32
83.0%
23
17.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)32
83.5%
23
16.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAButler 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 1 AST)32
84.7%
22
15.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)32
86.2%
20
13.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
83.5%
20
16.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Butler Running Dunk29
83.2%
20
16.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)29
82.5%
20
17.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot26
78.8%
20
21.2%
Q1 - 1:20ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
77.9%
20
22.1%
Q1 - 1:28ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot26
78.8%
20
21.2%
Q1 - 1:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
77.9%
20
22.1%
Q1 - 1:44ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
78.3%
20
21.7%
Q1 - 1:50ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
79.1%
20
20.9%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Best 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
78.8%
20
21.2%
Q1 - 1:57ORLBest STEAL (1 STL)26
77.9%
20
22.1%
Q1 - 2:02MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
79.4%
20
20.6%
Q1 - 2:25ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)26
77.9%
20
22.1%
Q1 - 2:27ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
74.4%
20
25.6%
Q1 - 2:30ORLMISS Giricek 15' Jump Shot23
73.3%
20
26.7%
Q1 - 2:41MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
74.4%
20
25.6%
Q1 - 2:41MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
74.9%
19
25.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
76.3%
18
23.7%
Q1 - 2:49ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup23
76.8%
18
23.2%
Q1 - 2:59MIAButler 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
77.8%
18
22.2%
Q1 - 3:17ORLDeClercq 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)23
79.0%
16
21.0%
Q1 - 3:33MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
77.7%
16
22.3%
Q1 - 3:33MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
78.1%
15
21.9%
Q1 - 3:52ORLGiricek 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
79.0%
14
21.0%
Q1 - 4:06MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
77.8%
14
22.2%
Q1 - 4:06MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
78.3%
13
21.7%
Q1 - 4:19ORLVaughn 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
78.9%
12
21.1%
Q1 - 4:30ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
77.7%
12
22.3%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
77.2%
12
22.8%
Q1 - 4:56ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 117
76.1%
12
23.9%
Q1 - 4:56ORLMcGrady 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)17
75.8%
12
24.2%
Q1 - 5:01MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
74.3%
12
25.7%
Q1 - 5:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
72.6%
12
27.4%
Q1 - 5:04ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
74.3%
12
25.7%
Q1 - 5:04ORLMISS Kemp Tip Shot15
73.1%
12
26.9%
Q1 - 5:05ORLMISS Kemp Layup15
73.1%
12
26.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAGrant 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)15
74.4%
12
25.6%
Q1 - 5:38MIAHEAT Rebound15
75.8%
10
24.2%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup15
77.0%
10
23.0%
Q1 - 5:42MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
75.8%
10
24.2%
Q1 - 5:44ORLMISS Vaughn Driving Layup15
76.3%
10
23.7%
Q1 - 6:06MIAButler Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)15
77.0%
10
23.0%
Q1 - 6:11ORLGrant STEAL (1 STL)15
78.4%
8
21.6%
Q1 - 6:13ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
79.8%
8
20.2%
Q1 - 6:14ORLMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot15
78.8%
8
21.2%
Q1 - 6:24ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
79.8%
8
20.2%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
79.3%
8
20.7%
Q1 - 6:33MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
78.4%
8
21.6%
Q1 - 6:35ORLMISS Garrity 23' Jump Shot15
78.8%
8
21.2%
Q1 - 6:58ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
79.8%
8
20.2%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
79.4%
8
20.6%
Q1 - 7:03MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
77.9%
8
22.1%
Q1 - 7:08ORLMISS McGrady 5' Jump Shot15
78.4%
8
21.6%
Q1 - 7:14ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
79.4%
8
20.6%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Grant 8' Jump Shot15
79.0%
8
21.0%
Q1 - 7:39ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)15
78.0%
8
22.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)12
75.9%
8
24.1%
Q1 - 8:20ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)12
77.0%
6
23.0%
Q1 - 8:25MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 8:27MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
72.8%
6
27.2%
Q1 - 8:29ORLMISS Kemp 19' Jump Shot9
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 8:40MIAButler Layup (2 PTS)9
74.4%
6
25.6%
Q1 - 8:56ORLKemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
75.6%
4
24.4%
Q1 - 8:56ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
75.3%
4
24.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)7
74.4%
4
25.6%
Q1 - 9:40ORLMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kemp 1 AST)7
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 9:58MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)5
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 10:21ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 10:28ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.8%
0
27.2%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot2
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 10:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
71.1%
0
28.9%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot2
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 10:56ORLMcGrady Running Dunk (2 PTS)2
71.0%
0
29.0%
Q1 - 11:14ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Ellis 11' Jump Shot0
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 11:19MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot0
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 11:26MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 11:28ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot0
68.6%
0
31.4%
Q1 - 11:41MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Kemp: Tip to Butler0
68.1%
0
31.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.78 38.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
24
50%
MIA
9
17
53%
Midrange
ORL
16
37
43%
MIA
16
47
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
MIA
1
1.5
16
6%
9%
Free Throws
ORL
7
13
54%
MIA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3764%18.5 / 29
J. Vaughn1354%6.5 / 12
G. Giricek1365%6.5 / 10
D. Armstrong758%3.5 / 6
P. Garrity650%3.0 / 6
C. Whitney643%3.0 / 7
S. Kemp429%2.0 / 7
S. Hunter425%2.0 / 8
J. Sasser225%1.0 / 4
A. DeClercq250%1.0 / 2
O. Oyedeji250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1953%9.5 / 18
E. House1341%6.5 / 16
T. Best1042%5.0 / 12
A. Carter850%4.0 / 8
B. Grant750%3.5 / 7
R. Butler638%3.0 / 8
L. Ellis433%2.0 / 6
V. Stepania433%2.0 / 6
M. Allen213%1.0 / 8
K. Johnson125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+9
-14
92
MIA
81
+13
-18
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.78 38.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.6
94.5
ORL 99.0 +24.2
MIA 74.7
Pace
95.5
90.0
ORL 97.0
MIA 99.0 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.2
ORL 14.8
MIA 14.5 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
43.9%
ORL 52.4% +19.3%
MIA 33.1%
TO %
14.4%
14.8%
ORL 13.4% +3.9%
MIA 17.3%
ORB %
27.1%
26.8%
ORL 17.0%
MIA 21.3% +4.3%
FTrt
30.7
25.9
ORL 15.3
MIA 30.0 +14.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
55.8%
ORL 48.7%
MIA 53.8% +5.1%
STL %
8.8%
7.9%
ORL 12.4% +2.3%
MIA 10.1%
BLK %
5.6%
6.4%
ORL 6.3% +1.4%
MIA 4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
46.0%
ORL 51.1% +12.2%
MIA 38.9%
Rim FG%
54.6%
53.7%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 52.9% +2.9%
Mid FG%
39.9%
37.6%
ORL 43.2% +9.2%
MIA 34.0%
3P %
35.7%
31.6%
ORL 45.8% +39.5%
MIA 6.3%
FT %
77.7%
76.5%
ORL 53.8%
MIA 87.5% +33.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
28.9%
ORL 28.2% +7.0%
MIA 21.3%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
54.2%
ORL 43.5% +15.2%
MIA 58.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
16.9%
ORL 28.2% +8.2%
MIA 20.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points9674
Rebounds4549
Assists1914
Steals1210
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)39 (3)
Field Goals39-8526-80
At-the-Rim FG12-249-17
Midrange FG16-3716-47
2-Point FG28-6125-64
3-Point FG11-241-16
Free Throws7-1321-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tracy McGrady
G · 6'8" 225 · 24
32.5
37
64%
7
5
2
1
3
1
1
6
0-2
0%
8-16
50%
7-11
64%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
31.6
13
54%
6
3
1
0
0
2
0
6
3-6
50%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 27
30.9
6
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
Gordan Giricek
F · 6'6" 220 · 26
28.5
13
65%
6
2
1
0
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
Shawn Kemp
C · 6'10" 280 · 33
20.9
4
29%
6
2
2
0
2
4
2
4
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 21
19.9
4
25%
3
0
2
2
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Jeryl Sasser
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
19.5
2
25%
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
17.6
6
43%
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
14.8
7
58%
5
2
2
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 30
14.2
2
50%
1
1
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Olumide Oyedeji
· 6'10" 240 · 22
9.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
51%
45
19
12
4
14
0
8
37
7-13
54%
28-61
46%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.