for complete access.
All Games Friday, March 21, 2003
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Raptors
52%92
98
27
Heat
48%91
107
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
99.09995.8
MIA logo MIA
108.199102.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0TORMISS Williams 33' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 298
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORCarter 8' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORMISS Bradley Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORRaptors Rebound96
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0TORMcCoy Dunk (10 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)96
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)94
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 1:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)94
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 1:04TORMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot94
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)94
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 1:48TORJefferies Foul Turnover (P3.T20)94
7.1%
99
92.9%
Q4 - 1:50MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)94
11.5%
99
88.5%
Q4 - 2:01TORCarter 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)94
7.3%
99
92.7%
Q4 - 2:19MIACarter Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)92
5.9%
99
94.1%
Q4 - 2:32TORCarter 4' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)92
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q4 - 2:52TORRaptors Rebound90
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot90
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 3:15TORJefferies 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)90
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 3:20TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup87
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 3:38TORJefferies 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)87
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)84
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 4:06MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 4:08TORMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot84
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 4:28MIAJohnson 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)84
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 4:45TORMcCoy 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)84
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 5:10MIAButler Layup (21 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)82
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound82
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot82
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 5:31TORCarter 20' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)82
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 5:41TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot80
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 5:58TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)80
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 6:11TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot80
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 6:35TORBradley Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)80
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 6:40MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)78
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 6:49TORCarter Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)78
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 6:53TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 7:17TORJefferies Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)76
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 7:31MIALampley Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)76
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 7:44TORMcCoy 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)76
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 8:08MIAButler Driving Layup (19 PTS)74
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 8:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 8:15TORMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 8:28MIALampley Dunk (11 PTS)74
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 8:41TORBradley Layup (6 PTS)74
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)72
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 9:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 9:07TORMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot72
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 9:24MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 9:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 9:32TORMISS Bradley Tip Shot72
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 9:34TORBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 9:36TORMISS Alston Driving Layup72
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 9:38TORAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Allen 13' Turnaround Jump Shot72
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 9:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 10:02TORAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)72
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 10:24MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 10:24MIABest Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)72
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 10:36TORPeterson Driving Layup (6 PTS) (McCoy 1 AST)72
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 10:52MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Best 8 AST)70
5.0%
84
95.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 11:02TORMISS Lenard Driving Layup70
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q4 - 11:05TORRaptors Rebound70
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 11:07TORButler BLOCK (1 BLK)70
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q4 - 11:26MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 11:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q4 - 11:45TORMISS Lenard 6' Finger Roll70
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
12.5%
80
87.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Lampley 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
11.8%
80
88.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
11.6%
80
88.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0TORMISS Lenard 10' Jump Shot70
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)70
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0TORPeterson 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)70
11.5%
80
88.5%
Q3 - 1:00TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
9.5%
80
90.5%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q3 - 1:17TORWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)68
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q3 - 1:29TORBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q3 - 1:31TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q3 - 1:49MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 7 AST)65
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q3 - 2:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q3 - 2:03TORMISS N'diaye Free Throw 2 of 265
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 2:03TORMISS N'diaye Free Throw 1 of 265
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q3 - 2:32MIAAllen 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS)65
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 2:41MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q3 - 2:43TORMISS N'diaye 6' Jump Shot65
12.2%
76
87.8%
Q3 - 3:01MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T8)65
14.8%
76
85.2%
Q3 - 3:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot65
14.1%
76
85.9%
Q3 - 3:17TORBradley Traveling Turnover (P1.T17)65
12.5%
76
87.5%
Q3 - 3:41MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)65
14.7%
76
85.3%
Q3 - 4:03TORWilliams 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
20.4%
73
79.6%
Q3 - 4:31MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)63
18.1%
73
81.9%
Q3 - 4:50TORN'diaye 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)63
23.3%
70
76.7%
Q3 - 4:59TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
20.8%
70
79.2%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Stepania 5' Running Jump Shot61
20.8%
70
79.2%
Q3 - 5:10MIAButler Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)61
18.8%
70
81.2%
Q3 - 5:21TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
21.5%
69
78.5%
Q3 - 5:21TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
20.9%
69
79.1%
Q3 - 5:34MIAStepania Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)59
19.0%
69
81.0%
Q3 - 5:46TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)59
21.4%
67
78.6%
Q3 - 5:46TORCarter Driving Layup (19 PTS)58
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q3 - 6:08MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
17.5%
67
82.5%
Q3 - 6:27TORPeterson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)56
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q3 - 6:29TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 6:32TORMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot54
15.8%
65
84.2%
Q3 - 6:46MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)54
17.4%
65
82.6%
Q3 - 6:51TORCarter 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)54
15.1%
65
84.9%
Q3 - 7:03TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
14.0%
65
86.0%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 252
13.7%
65
86.3%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 252
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q3 - 7:11MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q3 - 7:13TORMISS Peterson 5' Jump Shot52
12.6%
65
87.4%
Q3 - 7:20TORCarter Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)52
14.0%
65
86.0%
Q3 - 7:25TORRaptors Rebound51
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q3 - 7:25TORMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.9%
65
89.1%
Q3 - 7:40MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)51
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q3 - 7:40MIAButler Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)51
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.3%
62
82.7%
Q3 - 8:14TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q3 - 8:14TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 8:32TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Carter 5' Running Jump Shot49
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q3 - 8:46MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
12.6%
62
87.4%
Q3 - 8:47TORMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot49
13.2%
62
86.8%
Q3 - 9:00MIAGrant 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)49
14.6%
62
85.4%
Q3 - 9:09TORCarter Layup (14 PTS)49
17.2%
60
82.8%
Q3 - 9:20TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
15.3%
60
84.7%
Q3 - 9:21TORMISS Carter Driving Layup47
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q3 - 9:34TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
15.2%
60
84.8%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Grant Layup47
14.7%
60
85.3%
Q3 - 9:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Stepania 21' Jump Shot47
14.7%
60
85.3%
Q3 - 9:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 9:47TORMISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot47
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q3 - 10:10MIAButler Dunk (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)47
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 10:16TORButler STEAL (2 STL)47
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 10:29TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot47
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 10:41TORWilliams Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)47
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 10:41TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q3 - 10:42TORMISS Williams Driving Layup47
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 10:49MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q3 - 10:58TORButler STEAL (2 STL)47
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 11:15MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)47
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q3 - 11:40TORWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
26.1%
55
73.9%
Q3 - 11:47MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)45
23.6%
55
76.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 39' 3PT Jump Shot45
23.8%
55
76.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORWilliams Tip Shot (7 PTS)45
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0TORMISS Williams Layup43
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Best 6 AST)43
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0TORJefferies 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
24.9%
52
75.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0TORRaptors Rebound41
21.9%
52
78.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q2 - 1:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q2 - 1:09TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 241
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q2 - 1:09TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q2 - 1:28MIAEllis Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)40
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q2 - 1:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 1:35TORMISS N'diaye 14' Jump Shot40
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q2 - 1:55MIAButler Driving Layup (8 PTS)40
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q2 - 2:01TORMISS Carter 4' Jump Shot40
29.3%
48
70.7%
Q2 - 2:02TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
31.1%
48
68.9%
Q2 - 2:06TORMISS Carter 14' Running Jump Shot40
29.3%
48
70.7%
Q2 - 2:23TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 240
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 2:25MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
29.0%
48
71.0%
Q2 - 2:31TORButler STEAL (1 STL)40
31.2%
47
68.8%
Q2 - 2:45MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 5 AST)40
33.7%
47
66.3%
Q2 - 2:52MIAHEAT Rebound40
36.8%
45
63.2%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot40
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q2 - 3:04TORCarter Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)40
37.3%
45
62.7%
Q2 - 3:08TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
40.5%
45
59.5%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Ellis Dunk40
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q2 - 3:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
37.3%
45
62.7%
Q2 - 3:17TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
38.3%
45
61.7%
Q2 - 3:41MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 4 AST)40
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 3:56TORCarter 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)40
43.0%
43
57.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIALampley Dunk (7 PTS) (Best 3 AST)38
40.8%
43
59.2%
Q2 - 4:28MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
43.6%
41
56.4%
Q2 - 4:30TORMISS Lenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
44.5%
41
55.5%
Q2 - 4:37TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
46.5%
41
53.5%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot38
45.6%
41
54.4%
Q2 - 4:57TORBest STEAL (2 STL)38
43.6%
41
56.4%
Q2 - 5:14MIAEllis Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)38
46.8%
41
53.2%
Q2 - 5:28TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
49.4%
39
50.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q2 - 5:54TORMcCoy Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
43.8%
39
56.2%
Q2 - 6:11MIAJames Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
41.9%
39
58.1%
Q2 - 6:18TORLenard 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
44.0%
37
56.0%
Q2 - 6:31TORLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
41.9%
37
58.1%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot32
40.9%
37
59.1%
Q2 - 6:47TORPeterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)32
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 7:02MIABest 5' Finger Roll (6 PTS)32
42.3%
37
57.7%
Q2 - 7:15TORLenard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)32
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 7:19TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot32
46.7%
35
53.3%
Q2 - 7:37TORWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 7:49TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
42.3%
35
57.7%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Lampley Reverse Layup30
41.5%
35
58.5%
Q2 - 7:58TORAllen STEAL (1 STL)30
39.5%
35
60.5%
Q2 - 8:11TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
42.4%
35
57.6%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot30
41.5%
35
58.5%
Q2 - 8:32TORLenard 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 8:55MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)28
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q2 - 9:06TORJames STEAL (1 STL)28
42.4%
32
57.6%
Q2 - 9:08TORRaptors Rebound28
45.2%
32
54.8%
Q2 - 9:09TORJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)28
43.2%
32
56.8%
Q2 - 9:32MIAJohnson 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
45.1%
32
54.9%
Q2 - 9:46TORMcCoy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
47.3%
30
52.7%
Q2 - 9:46TORMcCoy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 9:46TORMcCoy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
45.1%
30
54.9%
Q2 - 9:49TORMISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot26
43.2%
30
56.8%
Q2 - 10:12MIALampley Layup (5 PTS) (Best 1 AST)26
45.1%
30
54.9%
Q2 - 10:16MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
47.3%
28
52.7%
Q2 - 10:18TORMISS McCoy Driving Layup26
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q2 - 10:34MIALampley Layup (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)26
50.1%
28
49.9%
Q2 - 10:44TORLenard 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
52.3%
26
47.7%
Q2 - 10:57MIAAllen Tip Shot (8 PTS)24
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q2 - 10:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
52.3%
24
47.7%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Lampley 11' Jump Shot24
54.2%
24
45.8%
Q2 - 11:24TORMcCoy Foul Turnover (P1.T6)24
52.4%
24
47.6%
Q2 - 11:38MIABest 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)24
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORBradley Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)24
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIABest Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORBest STEAL (1 STL)22
57.2%
20
42.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 222
59.6%
19
40.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0TORN'diaye 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
59.5%
19
40.5%
Q1 - 1:00TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
56.7%
19
43.3%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Carter 15' Turnaround Jump Shot20
56.2%
19
43.8%
Q1 - 1:14TORCarter 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)20
54.9%
19
45.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)18
52.0%
19
48.0%
Q1 - 1:41MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
54.9%
17
45.1%
Q1 - 1:43TORMISS Peterson 22' Jump Shot18
55.5%
17
44.5%
Q1 - 2:01MIAAllen 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
57.1%
17
42.9%
Q1 - 2:15TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)18
59.5%
15
40.5%
Q1 - 2:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
61.6%
15
38.4%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 218
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 2:49TORCarter Dunk (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)18
61.8%
14
38.2%
Q1 - 3:00TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
59.4%
14
40.6%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot16
58.5%
14
41.5%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
56.8%
14
43.2%
Q1 - 3:15TORMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot16
57.6%
14
42.4%
Q1 - 3:28TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
59.3%
14
40.7%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Allen 6' Hook Shot16
58.6%
14
41.4%
Q1 - 3:43TORMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 116
57.2%
14
42.8%
Q1 - 3:43TORBradley Reverse Layup (2 PTS)16
56.9%
14
43.1%
Q1 - 3:54TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot14
54.1%
14
45.9%
Q1 - 4:17TORCarter Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)14
52.3%
14
47.7%
Q1 - 4:19TORBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 4:21TORMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot14
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 4:33TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Butler 16' Fadeaway Jumper14
54.2%
14
45.8%
Q1 - 4:50TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)14
52.3%
14
47.7%
Q1 - 5:15MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
54.8%
14
45.2%
Q1 - 5:15MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 5:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
58.3%
12
41.7%
Q1 - 5:35TORN'diaye Layup (4 PTS)14
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q1 - 5:37TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
54.8%
12
45.2%
Q1 - 5:39TORMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot12
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 5:59MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
54.8%
12
45.2%
Q1 - 6:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
56.5%
10
43.5%
Q1 - 6:08TORMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 6:43MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
58.6%
10
41.4%
Q1 - 6:54MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 6:56TORMISS Jefferies 19' Jump Shot12
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 7:13MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:37TORCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
60.0%
8
40.0%
Q1 - 7:37TORMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 211
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 7:59MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)11
60.2%
8
39.8%
Q1 - 8:14TORWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 8:19MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 8:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
58.5%
6
41.5%
Q1 - 8:32TORMISS Jefferies 4' Finger Roll9
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 8:47MIAButler 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 8:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
62.1%
4
37.9%
Q1 - 8:54TORMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 29
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 8:54TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 9:05TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 9:07TORMISS Jefferies 21' Jump Shot8
60.7%
4
39.3%
Q1 - 9:20MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 9:33MIAHEAT Rebound8
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 9:35TORMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot8
64.3%
2
35.7%
Q1 - 9:44TORN'diaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Butler 13' Fadeaway Jumper8
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 9:57TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 18
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 9:57TORWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:03MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 10:03MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
62.3%
1
37.7%
Q1 - 10:14TORCarter 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 10:27TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Carter Reverse Layup4
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 10:41TORCarter 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 10:47TORCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot2
57.8%
0
42.2%
Q1 - 10:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 11:01TORMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot2
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 11:12TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot2
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 11:35TORN'diaye 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 11:44MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
54.6%
0
45.4%
Q1 - 11:46TORButler STEAL (1 STL)0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. N'diaye: Tip to Williams0
54.6%
0
45.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
21
32
66%
MIA
19
27
70%
Midrange
TOR
18
40
45%
MIA
18
40
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
TOR
11
20
55%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter3058%15.0 / 26
A. Williams1568%7.5 / 11
J. McCoy1083%5.0 / 6
M. N'diaye857%4.0 / 7
C. Jefferies867%4.0 / 6
M. Bradley857%4.0 / 7
J. Williams750%3.5 / 7
M. Peterson633%3.0 / 9
V. Lenard630%3.0 / 10
R. Alston0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2261%11.0 / 18
R. Butler1869%9.0 / 13
M. Allen1860%9.0 / 15
B. Grant1267%6.0 / 9
S. Lampley1161%5.5 / 9
T. Best964%4.5 / 7
M. James6150%3.0 / 2
L. Ellis550%2.5 / 5
K. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
V. Stepania220%1.0 / 5
A. Carter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
81
+14
-18
95
MIA
86
+9
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.1
94.5
TOR 99.0 +9.1
MIA 108.1
Pace
92.1
90.0
TOR 95.8
MIA 102.4 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
TOR 15.0
MIA 14.1 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.8%
43.9%
TOR 53.0%
MIA 57.5% +4.5%
TO %
14.6%
14.8%
TOR 18.1%
MIA 13.6% +4.5%
ORB %
28.3%
26.8%
TOR 26.2% +10.6%
MIA 15.6%
FTrt
28.2
25.9
TOR 24.4
MIA 26.3 +1.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
55.8%
TOR 40.5%
MIA 60.5% +20.0%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
TOR 7.1%
MIA 8.1% +1.0%
BLK %
7.0%
6.4%
TOR 4.5% +0.3%
MIA 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.3%
46.0%
TOR 51.6%
MIA 56.3% +4.7%
Rim FG%
55.5%
53.7%
TOR 65.6%
MIA 70.4% +4.8%
Mid FG%
37.8%
37.6%
TOR 45.0%
MIA 45.0%
3P %
34.3%
31.6%
TOR 30.0%
MIA 46.2% +16.2%
FT %
71.8%
76.5%
TOR 55.0%
MIA 71.4% +16.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.4%
28.9%
TOR 39.0% +5.3%
MIA 33.8%
Mid Att. %
50.7%
54.2%
TOR 48.8% +1.2%
MIA 50.0%
3P Att. %
17.9%
16.9%
TOR 12.2%
MIA 16.3% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points98107
Rebounds3836
Assists1726
Steals78
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)31 (1)
Field Goals42-8243-80
At-the-Rim FG21-3219-27
Midrange FG18-4018-40
2-Point FG39-7237-67
3-Point FG3-106-13
Free Throws11-2015-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
23 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29
35.4
15
68%
2
7
1
0
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G · 6'6" 220 · 26
34.6
30
58%
6
2
1
1
2
1
2
4
4-6
67%
13-21
62%
0-2
0%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
26.6
8
57%
7
0
1
0
1
3
1
6
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F · 6'9" 206 · 30
18.8
7
50%
9
0
2
0
3
2
3
6
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
16.7
8
67%
0
0
1
1
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 24
29.2
8
57%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-3
0%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
27.9
6
33%
2
1
1
0
3
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25
21.1
10
83%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30
17.1
6
30%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
12.6
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
52%
38
17
7
3
18
0
11
27
11-20
55%
39-72
54%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.