Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 19, 2003

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	17	Rockets	30%	92	83
	9	Trail Blazers	70%	98	94

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
HOU	97.6	85	87.1
POR	110.6	85	83.0

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+13

-16

POR

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.98 48.8%

POR

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	POR		83 0%	94 100%
Q4 - 0:19.0	HOU	Norris Layup (4 PTS) (Taylor 2 AST)	83 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0	POR	Randolph Layup (14 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)	81 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0	HOU	Yao 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Norris 3 AST)	81 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 1:00	HOU	Francis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	79 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 1:02	POR	MISS Sabonis 21' Jump Shot	79 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 1:21	HOU	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	79 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 1:22	POR	Anderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)	79 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 1:22	POR	Anderson Reverse Layup (20 PTS) (Wells 3 AST)	79 0.1%	91 99.9%
Q4 - 1:37	HOU	Rice Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	79 0.3%	89 99.7%
Q4 - 1:37	HOU	MISS Rice Free Throw 1 of 2	78 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 1:59	POR	Jump Ball Wells vs. Francis: Tip to Mobley	78 0.3%	89 99.7%
Q4 - 2:16	HOU	Francis 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	78 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 2:20	HOU	Rockets Rebound	76 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 2:21	HOU	Sabonis BLOCK (1 BLK)	76 0.1%	89 99.9%
Q4 - 2:39	POR	Anderson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)	76 0.2%	89 99.8%
Q4 - 2:54	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	76 0.4%	87 99.6%
Q4 - 2:56	HOU	MISS Mobley 4' Running Jump Shot	76 0.4%	87 99.6%
Q4 - 3:03	HOU	Francis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	76 0.6%	87 99.4%
Q4 - 3:05	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	76 0.4%	87 99.6%
Q4 - 3:05	POR	MISS Anderson Layup	76 0.5%	87 99.5%
Q4 - 3:06	POR	MISS Sabonis Driving Layup	76 0.5%	87 99.5%
Q4 - 3:28	POR	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	76 0.4%	87 99.6%
Q4 - 3:30	HOU	MISS Taylor 15' Jump Shot	76 0.4%	87 99.6%
Q4 - 3:52	POR	McInnis 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 7 AST)	76 1.1%	87 98.9%
Q4 - 4:11	HOU	Mobley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)	76 1.5%	85 98.5%
Q4 - 4:19	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	76 2.2%	85 97.8%
Q4 - 4:21	POR	MISS Wells Layup	76 1.9%	85 98.1%
Q4 - 4:36	POR	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	76 1.4%	85 98.6%
Q4 - 4:36	HOU	MISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 2	76 1.5%	85 98.5%
Q4 - 4:36	HOU	Taylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	76 1.9%	85 98.1%
Q4 - 4:55	POR	Wallace 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anderson 6 AST)	75 1.5%	85 98.5%
Q4 - 5:16	HOU	Taylor 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)	75 2.9%	83 97.1%
Q4 - 5:25	HOU	Francis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	73 2.1%	83 97.9%
Q4 - 5:27	POR	MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	73 1.9%	83 98.1%
Q4 - 5:49	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	73 1.5%	83 98.5%
Q4 - 5:50	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	73 2.1%	83 97.9%
Q4 - 5:50	HOU	MISS Yao Tip Shot	73 1.6%	83 98.4%
Q4 - 5:51	HOU	MISS Mobley Driving Layup	73 1.6%	83 98.4%
Q4 - 6:17	POR	Wallace 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)	73 2.7%	83 97.3%
Q4 - 6:37	POR	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	73 3.5%	81 96.5%
Q4 - 6:37	HOU	MISS Taylor Free Throw 2 of 2	73 3.6%	81 96.4%
Q4 - 6:37	HOU	Taylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	73 4.3%	81 95.7%
Q4 - 6:53	HOU	Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	72 3.6%	81 96.4%
Q4 - 6:55	POR	MISS Sabonis 22' Jump Shot	72 3.2%	81 96.8%
Q4 - 7:07	POR	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	72 3.3%	81 96.7%
Q4 - 7:09	HOU	MISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot	72 3.6%	81 96.4%
Q4 - 7:23	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	72 4.4%	81 95.6%
Q4 - 7:23	POR	Randolph Layup (12 PTS)	72 4.4%	81 95.6%
Q4 - 7:25	POR	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	72 5.6%	79 94.4%
Q4 - 7:25	POR	MISS Sabonis 4' Hook Shot	72 6.8%	79 93.2%
Q4 - 7:27	POR	MISS McInnis 19' Jump Shot	72 6.8%	79 93.2%
Q4 - 7:47	HOU	Mobley 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rice 1 AST)	72 5.5%	79 94.5%
Q4 - 7:57	HOU	Rockets Rebound	70 4.4%	79 95.6%
Q4 - 7:58	HOU	Anderson BLOCK (1 BLK)	70 3.6%	79 96.4%
Q4 - 8:09	POR	Wells Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)	70 5.1%	79 94.9%
Q4 - 8:16	POR	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	70 4.0%	79 96.0%
Q4 - 8:18	HOU	MISS Norris 23' Jump Shot	70 4.3%	79 95.7%
Q4 - 8:43	POR	Wells 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Sabonis 3 AST)	70 5.1%	79 94.9%
Q4 - 8:47	POR	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	70 8.2%	76 91.8%
Q4 - 8:48	POR	MISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot	70 9.7%	76 90.3%
Q4 - 9:06	HOU	Taylor Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)	70 8.8%	76 91.2%
Q4 - 9:23	POR	Randolph 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)	70 11.0%	76 89.0%
Q4 - 9:40	HOU	Francis Driving Layup (15 PTS)	70 8.8%	76 91.2%
Q4 - 9:44	HOU	Francis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	68 7.1%	76 92.9%
Q4 - 9:46	HOU	MISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot	68 6.0%	76 94.0%
Q4 - 9:59	POR	Sabonis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)	68 7.1%	76 92.9%
Q4 - 10:21	HOU	Wells STEAL (1 STL)	68 6.2%	76 93.8%
Q4 - 10:44	POR	Sabonis 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudamire 8 AST)	68 7.7%	76 92.3%
Q4 - 10:59	POR	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	68 9.3%	74 90.7%
Q4 - 11:02	HOU	MISS Rice 3PT Jump Shot	68 10.7%	74 89.3%
Q4 - 11:23	POR	Wells 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sabonis 2 AST)	68 12.3%	74 87.7%
Q4 - 11:39	HOU	Francis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	68 14.7%	72 85.3%
Q4 - 11:39	HOU	Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	67 14.2%	72 85.8%
Q4 - 11:39	HOU	Rockets Rebound	66 12.3%	72 87.7%
Q4 - 11:40	HOU	MISS Taylor 4' Turnaround Jump Shot	66 10.7%	72 89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	HOU		66 12.3%	72 87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	Anderson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stoudamire 7 AST)	66 12.3%	72 87.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0	HOU	Mobley 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	66 18.1%	69 81.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0	POR	Randolph Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)	64 15.2%	69 84.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0	HOU	Stoudamire STEAL (3 STL)	64 18.0%	67 82.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0	POR	Sabonis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	64 21.3%	67 78.7%
Q3 - 1:14	HOU	Posey 3' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)	64 18.2%	67 81.8%
Q3 - 1:33	POR	Sabonis 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 6 AST)	62 15.6%	67 84.4%
Q3 - 2:00	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	62 18.2%	65 81.8%
Q3 - 2:02	HOU	MISS Taylor 21' Jump Shot	62 19.1%	65 80.9%
Q3 - 2:23	POR	Randolph 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)	62 21.4%	65 78.6%
Q3 - 2:27	POR	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	62 24.4%	63 75.6%
Q3 - 2:29	HOU	MISS Mobley 15' Jump Shot	62 25.6%	63 74.4%
Q3 - 2:49	POR	Wells Layup (8 PTS) (Sabonis 1 AST)	62 28.4%	63 71.6%
Q3 - 3:03	HOU	Mobley Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	62 32.0%	61 68.0%
Q3 - 3:03	HOU	Mobley Driving Layup (7 PTS)	61 28.2%	61 71.8%
Q3 - 3:08	POR	Anderson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)	59 24.9%	61 75.1%
Q3 - 3:20	HOU	Yao Foul Turnover (P3.T13)	59 21.5%	61 78.5%
Q3 - 3:29	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	59 24.9%	61 75.1%
Q3 - 3:31	POR	MISS Sabonis 21' Jump Shot	59 23.8%	61 76.2%
Q3 - 3:49	HOU	Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)	59 21.5%	61 78.5%
Q3 - 4:07	POR	Stoudamire 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	56 16.3%	61 83.7%
Q3 - 4:29	HOU	Posey Driving Layup (4 PTS)	56 18.4%	59 81.6%
Q3 - 4:49	POR	Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wells 2 AST)	54 16.3%	59 83.7%
Q3 - 5:10	HOU	Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)	54 21.5%	56 78.5%
Q3 - 5:27	POR	Wells Layup (6 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)	52 19.0%	56 81.0%
Q3 - 5:48	HOU	Yao 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)	52 21.4%	54 78.6%
Q3 - 6:04	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	50 19.0%	54 81.0%
Q3 - 6:04	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	50 16.5%	54 83.5%
Q3 - 6:04	POR	MISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot	50 18.2%	54 81.8%
Q3 - 6:37	HOU	Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)	50 16.5%	54 83.5%
Q3 - 6:59	POR	Davis 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 5 AST)	47 12.7%	54 87.3%
Q3 - 7:19	HOU	Griffin 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)	47 14.5%	52 85.5%
Q3 - 7:25	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	45 13.0%	52 87.0%
Q3 - 7:27	POR	MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 12.4%	52 87.6%
Q3 - 7:33	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	45 11.1%	52 88.9%
Q3 - 7:35	HOU	Griffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	45 13.0%	52 87.0%
Q3 - 7:35	HOU	MISS Griffin 10' Jump Shot	45 11.6%	52 88.4%
Q3 - 7:38	HOU	MISS Posey Reverse Layup	45 11.6%	52 88.4%
Q3 - 7:47	POR	Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	45 13.0%	52 87.0%
Q3 - 7:47	POR	MISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2	45 13.2%	51 86.8%
Q3 - 7:50	HOU	Anderson STEAL (1 STL)	45 12.7%	51 87.3%
Q3 - 7:55	HOU	Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45 14.8%	51 85.2%
Q3 - 8:00	POR	MISS Anderson 9' Jump Shot	45 14.1%	51 85.9%
Q3 - 8:16	HOU	Yao 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	45 12.9%	51 87.1%
Q3 - 8:31	HOU	Griffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	43 11.5%	51 88.5%
Q3 - 8:32	POR	MISS Patterson Driving Layup	43 11.0%	51 89.0%
Q3 - 8:49	HOU	Griffin 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)	43 9.9%	51 90.1%
Q3 - 9:09	POR	Patterson Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)	41 8.8%	51 91.2%
Q3 - 9:23	HOU	MISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 1	41 10.2%	49 89.8%
Q3 - 9:23	HOU	Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)	41 10.0%	49 90.0%
Q3 - 9:37	HOU	Rockets Rebound	39 8.8%	49 91.2%
Q3 - 9:38	POR	MISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot	39 8.5%	49 91.5%
Q3 - 9:50	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	39 7.7%	49 92.3%
Q3 - 9:52	HOU	MISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot	39 8.0%	49 92.0%
Q3 - 10:10	POR	Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)	39 9.1%	49 90.9%
Q3 - 10:37	HOU	Posey Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)	39 11.5%	46 88.5%
Q3 - 10:43	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	37 10.3%	46 89.7%
Q3 - 10:44	POR	MISS Stoudamire Driving Layup	37 9.8%	46 90.2%
Q3 - 11:01	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	37 9.1%	46 90.9%
Q3 - 11:03	HOU	MISS Francis 19' Jump Shot	37 9.5%	46 90.5%
Q3 - 11:24	POR	Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stoudamire 4 AST)	37 10.4%	46 89.6%
Q3 - 11:31	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	37 13.2%	43 86.8%
Q3 - 11:33	HOU	MISS Griffin 8' Jump Shot	37 13.7%	43 86.3%
Q3 - 11:41	HOU	Mobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 14.9%	43 85.1%
Q3 - 11:42	POR	MISS Wallace Layup	37 14.3%	43 85.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU		37 13.1%	43 86.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU	Rockets Rebound	37 14.9%	43 85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU	MISS Mobley 39' 3PT Jump Shot	37 13.7%	43 86.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0	POR	Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	37 15.0%	43 85.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0	HOU	Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)	37 17.3%	41 82.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0	HOU	Rockets Rebound	34 13.3%	41 86.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0	HOU	MISS Taylor 5' Jump Shot	34 12.6%	41 87.4%
Q2 - 1:05	POR	Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	34 13.5%	41 86.5%
Q2 - 1:05	POR	MISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2	34 13.7%	40 86.3%
Q2 - 1:16	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	34 14.3%	40 85.7%
Q2 - 1:16	HOU	MISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 2	34 14.4%	40 85.6%
Q2 - 1:16	HOU	Francis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	34 15.6%	40 84.4%
Q2 - 1:35	POR	Stoudamire Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)	33 13.5%	40 86.5%
Q2 - 1:48	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	33 12.7%	40 87.3%
Q2 - 1:50	POR	MISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot	33 13.3%	40 86.7%
Q2 - 2:15	HOU	Taylor 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	33 12.7%	40 87.3%
Q2 - 2:25	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	31 11.3%	40 88.7%
Q2 - 2:27	POR	MISS Anderson 22' Jump Shot	31 10.9%	40 89.1%
Q2 - 2:51	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	31 10.2%	40 89.8%
Q2 - 2:53	POR	MISS Stoudamire 4' Running Jump Shot	31 10.9%	40 89.1%
Q2 - 3:15	HOU	Norris Foul Turnover (P1.T11)	31 10.4%	40 89.6%
Q2 - 3:32	HOU	Taylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 11.7%	40 88.3%
Q2 - 3:32	POR	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	31 11.5%	40 88.5%
Q2 - 3:32	POR	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	31 10.8%	40 89.2%
Q2 - 3:52	HOU	Taylor 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)	31 11.6%	39 88.4%
Q2 - 4:09	POR	Davis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	29 10.7%	39 89.3%
Q2 - 4:36	POR	Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 11.8%	37 88.2%
Q2 - 4:38	HOU	MISS Cato 8' Jump Shot	29 12.2%	37 87.8%
Q2 - 4:46	HOU	Cato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	29 13.1%	37 86.9%
Q2 - 4:48	POR	MISS Wallace 23' Jump Shot	29 12.7%	37 87.3%
Q2 - 5:08	HOU	Francis Driving Dunk (7 PTS)	29 11.9%	37 88.1%
Q2 - 5:11	POR	McInnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	27 10.8%	37 89.2%
Q2 - 5:21	HOU	Francis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	27 9.7%	37 90.3%
Q2 - 5:21	HOU	Francis Tip Shot (5 PTS)	27 9.7%	37 90.3%
Q2 - 5:23	HOU	MISS Taylor 5' Turnaround Hook Shot	25 8.2%	37 91.8%
Q2 - 5:40	HOU	Cato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 8.8%	37 91.2%
Q2 - 5:42	POR	MISS Wells 6' Running Jump Shot	25 8.5%	37 91.5%
Q2 - 5:57	HOU	Francis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	25 7.9%	37 92.1%
Q2 - 6:28	HOU	Norris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	25 9.1%	37 90.9%
Q2 - 6:30	POR	MISS Wells 21' Jump Shot	25 8.8%	37 91.2%
Q2 - 6:46	HOU	Taylor 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	25 8.1%	37 91.9%
Q2 - 7:12	POR	Wells 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	23 7.8%	37 92.2%
Q2 - 7:31	HOU	Norris 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	23 8.5%	35 91.5%
Q2 - 7:51	POR	Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	21 7.8%	35 92.2%
Q2 - 7:51	POR	Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	21 7.9%	34 92.1%
Q2 - 7:54	HOU	Daniels STEAL (1 STL)	21 8.5%	33 91.5%
Q2 - 7:55	HOU	Hawkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	21 9.5%	33 90.5%
Q2 - 7:58	HOU	MISS Norris 18' Jump Shot	21 8.8%	33 91.2%
Q2 - 8:24	POR	McInnis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	21 9.6%	33 90.4%
Q2 - 8:46	HOU	Cato Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)	21 10.4%	31 89.6%
Q2 - 9:02	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	19 9.8%	31 90.2%
Q2 - 9:02	POR	Randolph Layup (6 PTS)	19 9.8%	31 90.2%
Q2 - 9:05	POR	MISS Daniels Driving Layup	19 11.4%	29 88.6%
Q2 - 9:24	HOU	Hawkins 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)	19 10.6%	29 89.4%
Q2 - 9:32	POR	Daniels Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	16 8.9%	29 91.1%
Q2 - 9:54	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	16 8.0%	29 92.0%
Q2 - 9:57	POR	MISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot	16 8.6%	29 91.4%
Q2 - 10:14	HOU	Cato Foul Turnover (P1.T8)	16 8.2%	29 91.8%
Q2 - 10:29	POR	McInnis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)	16 9.1%	29 90.9%
Q2 - 10:39	HOU	Rockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)	16 9.8%	27 90.2%
Q2 - 11:06	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 10.8%	27 89.2%
Q2 - 11:06	POR	Randolph Layup (4 PTS)	16 10.8%	27 89.2%
Q2 - 11:08	POR	MISS Sabonis 5' Hook Shot	16 12.6%	25 87.4%
Q2 - 11:26	HOU	Taylor Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hawkins 1 AST)	16 11.8%	25 88.2%
Q2 - 11:28	POR	Sabonis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	14 10.9%	25 89.1%
Q2 - 11:30	POR	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 10.0%	25 90.0%
Q2 - 11:32	HOU	MISS Rice 24' 3PT Jump Shot	14 10.2%	25 89.8%
Q2 - 11:37	HOU	Norris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 10.9%	25 89.1%
Q2 - 11:39	POR	MISS Wells 3PT Jump Shot	14 10.6%	25 89.4%
Q2 - 11:43	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	14 10.0%	25 90.0%
Q2 - 11:43	POR	MISS Randolph Driving Layup	14 10.6%	25 89.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		14 10.0%	25 90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	14 10.0%	25 90.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0	POR	MISS Stoudamire 5' Running Jump Shot	14 10.7%	25 89.3%
Q1 - 0:14.0	HOU	Randolph STEAL (1 STL)	14 10.2%	25 89.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0	POR	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	14 10.9%	25 89.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	14 10.2%	25 89.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0	HOU	MISS Taylor 17' Jump Shot	14 10.4%	25 89.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0	POR	Wells 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	14 10.9%	25 89.1%
Q1 - 1:17	POR	Wells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 12.1%	23 87.9%
Q1 - 1:19	HOU	MISS Taylor 19' Jump Shot	14 12.4%	23 87.6%
Q1 - 1:32	POR	Anderson Backcourt Turnover (P2.T4)	14 12.9%	23 87.1%
Q1 - 1:38	HOU	Taylor 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	14 12.1%	23 87.9%
Q1 - 2:05	POR	Stoudamire Driving Layup (6 PTS)	12 11.1%	23 88.9%
Q1 - 2:08	HOU	Stoudamire STEAL (2 STL)	12 12.1%	21 87.9%
Q1 - 2:27	POR	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	12 13.1%	21 86.9%
Q1 - 2:27	POR	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	12 13.3%	20 86.7%
Q1 - 2:42	POR	Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 14.3%	19 85.7%
Q1 - 2:44	HOU	MISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot	12 14.6%	19 85.4%
Q1 - 2:59	POR	Sabonis Layup (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)	12 15.4%	19 84.6%
Q1 - 3:21	HOU	Francis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	12 16.7%	17 83.3%
Q1 - 3:21	HOU	Francis Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	11 15.5%	17 84.5%
Q1 - 3:35	POR	Anderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)	9 14.5%	17 85.5%
Q1 - 3:59	HOU	Mobley 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	9 13.3%	17 86.7%
Q1 - 4:01	POR	Sabonis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	7 12.4%	17 87.6%
Q1 - 4:04	HOU	Sabonis STEAL (1 STL)	7 11.3%	17 88.7%
Q1 - 4:25	POR	Anderson Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)	7 12.4%	17 87.6%
Q1 - 4:28	HOU	Stoudamire STEAL (1 STL)	7 13.2%	15 86.8%
Q1 - 4:47	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	7 14.5%	15 85.5%
Q1 - 4:49	POR	MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	7 14.1%	15 85.9%
Q1 - 4:56	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	7 13.2%	15 86.8%
Q1 - 4:57	HOU	MISS Griffin 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	7 13.6%	15 86.4%
Q1 - 5:18	POR	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	7 14.5%	15 85.5%
Q1 - 5:18	POR	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	7 14.8%	14 85.2%
Q1 - 5:33	HOU	Griffin 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)	7 15.5%	13 84.5%
Q1 - 5:49	POR	Stoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	5 14.5%	13 85.5%
Q1 - 5:54	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	5 13.4%	13 86.6%
Q1 - 5:55	HOU	MISS Yao 21' Jump Shot	5 13.7%	13 86.3%
Q1 - 6:24	POR	Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	5 14.7%	13 85.3%
Q1 - 6:31	POR	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 15.7%	11 84.3%
Q1 - 6:32	HOU	MISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot	5 16.0%	11 84.0%
Q1 - 6:52	POR	Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)	5 16.8%	11 83.2%
Q1 - 7:15	POR	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 18.0%	9 82.0%
Q1 - 7:15	HOU	MISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 2	5 18.2%	9 81.8%
Q1 - 7:15	HOU	Yao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	5 19.0%	9 81.0%
Q1 - 7:33	POR	Wallace Driving Layup (4 PTS)	4 18.1%	9 81.9%
Q1 - 7:43	HOU	Griffin Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)	4 19.2%	7 80.8%
Q1 - 7:44	HOU	Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 18.1%	7 81.9%
Q1 - 7:46	POR	MISS Stoudamire 3PT Jump Shot	2 17.8%	7 82.2%
Q1 - 8:00	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 16.9%	7 83.1%
Q1 - 8:02	POR	MISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot	2 17.7%	7 82.3%
Q1 - 8:21	HOU	Rockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)	2 16.9%	7 83.1%
Q1 - 8:21	HOU	Rockets Rebound	2 18.1%	7 81.9%
Q1 - 8:22	HOU	Wallace BLOCK (1 BLK)	2 17.2%	7 82.8%
Q1 - 8:22	HOU	Griffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 18.1%	7 81.9%
Q1 - 8:23	HOU	Davis BLOCK (1 BLK)	2 17.2%	7 82.8%
Q1 - 8:49	POR	Patterson Driving Layup (2 PTS)	2 18.1%	7 81.9%
Q1 - 8:54	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 19.1%	5 80.9%
Q1 - 8:55	HOU	MISS Yao 7' Hook Shot	2 19.5%	5 80.5%
Q1 - 9:06	HOU	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 20.4%	5 79.6%
Q1 - 9:08	POR	MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot	2 19.9%	5 80.1%
Q1 - 9:20	HOU	Griffin Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)	2 18.8%	5 81.2%
Q1 - 9:48	POR	Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)	0 18.0%	5 82.0%
Q1 - 9:53	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 20.0%	2 80.0%
Q1 - 9:56	HOU	MISS Francis 17' Jump Shot	0 20.5%	2 79.5%
Q1 - 10:06	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 21.4%	2 78.6%
Q1 - 10:07	POR	MISS Wallace Alley Oop Dunk	0 21.0%	2 79.0%
Q1 - 10:18	HOU	Yao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 20.1%	2 79.9%
Q1 - 10:31	HOU	Rockets Rebound	0 21.5%	2 78.5%
Q1 - 10:32	HOU	Patterson BLOCK (1 BLK)	0 20.5%	2 79.5%
Q1 - 10:43	HOU	Yao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 21.5%	2 78.5%
Q1 - 10:44	POR	MISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot	0 21.0%	2 79.0%
Q1 - 11:05	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	0 20.2%	2 79.8%
Q1 - 11:07	HOU	MISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	0 20.5%	2 79.5%
Q1 - 11:27	POR	Wallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)	0 21.3%	2 78.7%
Q1 - 11:47	POR	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 22.6%	0 77.4%
Q1 - 11:49	HOU	MISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 23.0%	0 77.0%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Wallace vs. Griffin: Tip to Francis	0 23.9%	0 76.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.98 48.8%

POR

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

60%

POR

50%

Midrange

HOU

44%

POR

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

6.0

36%

55%

POR

9.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

HOU

60%

POR

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Francis	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Taylor	14	47%	7.0 / 15
E. Griffin	13	50%	6.5 / 13
C. Mobley	12	46%	6.0 / 13
Yao	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Posey	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Norris	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Hawkins	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Cato	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Rice	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Anderson	21	66%	10.5 / 16
Z. Randolph	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Stoudamire	13	54%	6.5 / 12
B. Wells	13	65%	6.5 / 10
R. Wallace	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Sabonis	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. McInnis	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Davis	4	100%	2.0 / 2
R. Patterson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Daniels	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+13

-16

POR

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.98 48.8%

POR

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	101.1 103.4	HOU 97.6 +12.9 POR 110.6
Pace	91.6 91.2	HOU 87.1 +4.0 POR 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time	16.1 15.8	HOU 16.5 +0.8 POR 17.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.4% 48.9%	HOU 51.4% POR 56.8% +5.4%
TO %	15.8% 15.7%	HOU 18.6% POR 16.7% +1.9%
ORB %	30.4% 30.3%	HOU 18.2% POR 31.3% +13.1%
FTrt	31.6 30.0	HOU 20.8 +3.2 POR 17.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	53.0% 62.3%	HOU 51.4% POR 64.1% +12.7%
STL %	7.9% 9.6%	HOU 11.8% +1.2% POR 10.6%
BLK %	8.9% 6.0%	HOU 6.6% POR 8.2% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	49.5% 50.4%	HOU 48.8% POR 56.0% +7.2%
Rim FG%	58.1% 60.0%	HOU 60.0% +10.0% POR 50.0%
Mid FG%	37.5% 39.6%	HOU 44.4% POR 58.1% +13.7%
3P %	34.6% 33.0%	HOU 36.4% POR 46.2% +9.8%
FT %	76.8% 74.5%	HOU 60.0% POR 76.9% +16.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.0% 37.2%	HOU 34.7% POR 40.5% +5.8%
Mid Att. %	46.4% 45.1%	HOU 50.0% POR 41.9% +8.1%
3P Att. %	19.6% 17.7%	HOU 15.3% POR 17.6% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	POR
Possessions	85	85
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	83	94
Rebounds	28	37
Assists	18	25
Steals	10	9
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (7)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (1)	27 (2)
Field Goals	35-72	39-74
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	15-30
Midrange FG	16-36	18-31
2-Point FG	31-61	33-61
3-Point FG	4-11	6-13
Free Throws	9-15	10-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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17 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cuttino Mobley G · 6'4" 215 · 28	37.9	12	46%	3	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Steve Francis G · 6'3" 210 · 26	37.8	17	65%	5	6	2	0	5	2	2	3	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 23	30.6	11	50%	9	1	1	0	3	1	1	8	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 26	21.6	6	50%	1	3	3	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Eddie Griffin F · 6'9" 222 · 21	17.1	13	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Maurice Taylor F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26	30.9	14	47%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	2-4	50%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Glen Rice F-G · 6'8" 228 · 36	26.4	1	17%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kelvin Cato C · 6'11" 275 · 29	17.4	2	50%	2	0	2	4	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Moochie Norris G · 6'1" 185 · 30	14.0	4	50%	2	3	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Juaquin Hawkins F · 6'7" 205 · 30	6.4	3	150%	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Terence Morris F · 6'9" 221 · 24
Bostjan Nachbar F · 6'9" 221 · 23
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	49%	28	18	10	4	16	0	6	22	9-15	60%	31-61	51%	4-11	36%

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17 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cuttino Mobley G · 6'4" 215 · 28	37.9	12	46%	3	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Steve Francis G · 6'3" 210 · 26	37.8	17	65%	5	6	2	0	5	2	2	3	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 23	30.6	11	50%	9	1	1	0	3	1	1	8	1-3	33%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 26	21.6	6	50%	1	3	3	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Eddie Griffin F · 6'9" 222 · 21	17.1	13	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Maurice Taylor F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26	30.9	14	47%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	2-4	50%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Glen Rice F-G · 6'8" 228 · 36	26.4	1	17%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kelvin Cato C · 6'11" 275 · 29	17.4	2	50%	2	0	2	4	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Moochie Norris G · 6'1" 185 · 30	14.0	4	50%	2	3	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Juaquin Hawkins F · 6'7" 205 · 30	6.4	3	150%	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Terence Morris F · 6'9" 221 · 24
Bostjan Nachbar F · 6'9" 221 · 23
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	49%	28	18	10	4	16	0	6	22	9-15	60%	31-61	51%	4-11	36%

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9 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 29	40.8	21	66%	5	7	1	1	3	2	2	3	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Rasheed Wallace F · 6'11" 230 · 29	32.4	11	46%	3	1	1	1	0	3	0	3	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 30	31.0	13	54%	3	8	3	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Dale Davis C · 6'11" 252 · 34	19.0	4	100%	5	1	0	1	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ruben Patterson F · 6'5" 223 · 28	17.6	4	50%	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Bonzi Wells G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26	29.4	13	65%	4	3	1	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Arvydas Sabonis C · 7'3" 292 · 38	24.8	6	33%	8	3	1	1	4	2	2	6	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 22	19.8	14	70%	5	0	1	0	2	3	4	1	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jeff McInnis G · 6'4" 190 · 28	17.0	6	75%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 28	6.3	2	50%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Charles Smith G · 6'4" 200 · 28	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Qyntel Woods F-G · 6'8" 220 · 22	0.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Scottie Pippen F-G · 6'8" 228 · 37
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	56%	37	25	9	5	15	0	10	27	10-13	77%	33-61	54%	6-13	46%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE