FinalWin Prob.pScore
2718%90
93
1182%101
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09387.6
ORL logo ORL
116.094100.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL93
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)93
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLGiricek 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAButler 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ORLMAGIC Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#16)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ORLOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIALampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIACarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36ORLMISS Oyedeji Layup91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIALampley Tip Shot (6 PTS)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16ORLMISS Sasser Layup89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Lampley 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAHeat Rebound89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIASasser BLOCK (1 BLK)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIADeClercq BLOCK (2 BLK)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01ORLWhitney 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garrity 4 AST)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Johnson Layup89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35ORLMISS Whitney 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40ORLMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIAHouse 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43ORLMISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIALampley 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26ORLArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 9 AST)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (DeClercq 2 AST)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32ORLMISS Whitney 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMAGIC Rebound80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 7:13MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 7:19ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T15)78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:27ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:36MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 278
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 278
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:47ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 8:03ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)78
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 8:08ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:11MIAMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:18MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 8:19ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot78
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 8:30ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:51ORLMcGrady 20' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)78
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 9:06MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 3 AST)78
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 9:22ORLDeClercq 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)76
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 9:43ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Best 23' Jump Shot76
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 10:03MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 10:05ORLMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 10:18ORLMAGIC Rebound76
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 10:19ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot76
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 10:24MIAWhitney STEAL (1 STL)76
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 10:34MIAHeat Rebound76
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot76
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 10:45MIAHeat Rebound76
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot76
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 10:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot76
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 11:14ORLHunter Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)76
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 11:26ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Best 10' Running Jump Shot76
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 11:32MIAHeat Rebound76
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot76
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 11:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 11:50ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 276
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 11:50ORLHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 11:50ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 11:50ORLMISS DeClercq Layup76
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL76
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound76
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Whitney 29' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIADeClercq BLOCK (1 BLK)76
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)76
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)76
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLMISS McGrady 17' Running Jump Shot76
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Butler: Tip to DeClercq76
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)76
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)76
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot76
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q3 - 1:01ORLMISS Giricek 17' Jump Shot76
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q3 - 1:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 1:17MIAAllen Tip Shot (10 PTS)76
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Butler 3' Hook Shot74
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q3 - 1:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Butler 12' Running Jump Shot74
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q3 - 1:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot74
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 2:07ORLMcGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)74
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q3 - 2:21MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q3 - 2:21MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q3 - 2:42ORLGiricek 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Garrity 3 AST)72
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q3 - 2:57MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T13)72
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q3 - 3:20ORLGiricek 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)72
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 172
9.0%
77
91.0%
Q3 - 3:34MIAGrant Driving Layup (17 PTS)72
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q3 - 3:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot70
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q3 - 4:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q3 - 4:09ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q3 - 4:24MIAGrant Layup (15 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)70
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 4:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 4:45ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 168
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 4:57MIACarter Layup (10 PTS)68
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 5:01ORLArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)66
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 5:07MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 5:07MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 5:30ORLGiricek 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)64
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)64
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 5:58ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)62
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 5:58ORLMcGrady 8' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)62
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 6:13ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 262
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 6:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 6:16ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)61
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 6:37ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot61
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 6:55ORLKemp Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 6:55ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 6:55ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 6:57ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 7:07MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)61
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 7:07MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)60
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 7:17MIACarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Carter 4' Running Jump Shot58
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 7:25ORLKemp Layup (4 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)58
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 7:36MIAAllen 10' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 7:52ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)56
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 8:02ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 8:03ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot56
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 8:18ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 8:20MIAMISS Butler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot56
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 8:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot56
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 8:51ORLKemp Foul Turnover (P1.T11)56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 8:57ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot56
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 9:22MIACarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot56
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 9:37ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 9:44ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 9:46MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot56
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 10:04MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 10:05ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot56
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q3 - 10:21MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)56
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 10:50ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)54
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 11:07MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)54
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 11:30ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)52
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 11:45MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)52
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound50
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 73' 3PT Jump Shot50
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)50
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)50
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLGiricek Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)50
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot50
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)50
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 1:08MIACarter Foul Turnover (P4.T11)50
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q2 - 1:12ORLGiricek 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)50
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q2 - 1:26MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)50
10.7%
54
89.3%
Q2 - 1:45MIAHeat Rebound47
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q2 - 1:50MIAVaughn STEAL (2 STL)47
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q2 - 2:03ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)47
8.3%
54
91.7%
Q2 - 2:21MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q2 - 2:42ORLGooden Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)45
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q2 - 2:57MIAAllen 11' Hook Shot (4 PTS)45
9.4%
50
90.6%
Q2 - 3:18ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)43
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q2 - 3:24ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Carter Layup43
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 3:53ORLMcGrady Slam Dunk (10 PTS)43
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)43
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 3:59ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)43
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 4:12ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 4:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot43
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup43
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 4:31ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 4:31ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 4:42MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 5:00ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 5:06MIAGarrity STEAL (2 STL)41
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 5:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 5:14ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 5:33MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)41
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 5:48ORLArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 6:05MIAStepania Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)39
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 6:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 6:15ORLMISS Giricek Layup37
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 6:34MIASasser STEAL (1 STL)37
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 6:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 6:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 6:57MIAStepania Tip Shot (10 PTS)37
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Stepania Layup35
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot35
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 7:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 7:21ORLMISS Garrity Layup35
13.4%
37
86.6%
Q2 - 7:26ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS James Layup35
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 7:32ORLArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)35
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 7:48MIAStepania Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Best 2 AST)35
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 7:53ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)33
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 7:58MIAGarrity STEAL (1 STL)33
10.4%
37
89.6%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Stepania Layup33
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 8:31ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 9:05ORLMISS Whitney 3PT Jump Shot33
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 9:21MIAStepania 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)33
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 9:34MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 9:35ORLMISS Whitney 17' Jump Shot31
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 9:59MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)31
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q2 - 10:22ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)31
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 10:35MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 1 AST)31
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 10:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 10:51ORLMISS Whitney 20' Jump Shot29
12.2%
32
87.8%
Q2 - 11:08ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Butler Layup29
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q2 - 11:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q2 - 11:16ORLMISS Sasser 12' Turnaround Jump Shot29
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 11:32ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL29
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Best Free Throw 1 of 228
11.2%
32
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot28
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot28
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAStepania Driving Dunk (4 PTS)28
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLArmstrong 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
12.3%
28
87.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q1 - 1:21ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q1 - 1:21ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 1:22ORLMISS Armstrong 7' Running Jump Shot24
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q1 - 1:45MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 1:45MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 1:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
9.4%
28
90.6%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Allen 13' Turnaround Jump Shot22
9.0%
28
91.0%
Q1 - 2:00ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
9.4%
28
90.6%
Q1 - 2:00ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q1 - 2:21MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)22
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 2:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q1 - 2:34ORLMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot20
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 2:44ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Grant 6' Turnaround Jump Shot20
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 2:59ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)20
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q1 - 3:08ORLMAGIC Rebound20
11.1%
23
88.9%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot20
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q1 - 3:18ORLMISS Giricek 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
11.8%
23
88.2%
Q1 - 3:31MIAButler Driving Layup (12 PTS)20
11.1%
23
88.9%
Q1 - 3:48ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)18
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 3:48ORLMAGIC Rebound18
9.5%
23
90.5%
Q1 - 3:48ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot18
10.1%
23
89.9%
Q1 - 4:12MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q1 - 4:12MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 4:21ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
8.7%
23
91.3%
Q1 - 4:21ORLGooden Tip Shot (5 PTS)16
8.7%
23
91.3%
Q1 - 4:23ORLMISS Gooden Layup16
9.9%
21
90.1%
Q1 - 4:28MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)16
9.3%
21
90.7%
Q1 - 4:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)16
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 4:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)16
10.4%
20
89.6%
Q1 - 4:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)16
10.6%
19
89.4%
Q1 - 4:53ORLVaughn Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)16
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 5:11MIAButler Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)16
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 5:11MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)15
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 5:11MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)14
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 5:19MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 5:21ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot13
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 5:37MIACarter 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 5:56ORLDeClercq Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)11
9.3%
17
90.7%
Q1 - 5:56ORLDeClercq Layup (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)11
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 6:08ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Grant Layup11
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 6:31ORLVaughn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 6:36ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12.4%
12
87.6%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot11
12.7%
12
87.3%
Q1 - 7:00ORLDeClercq 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)11
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 7:09ORLMAGIC Rebound11
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 7:10ORLMISS McGrady Layup11
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 7:14MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 7:18ORLGooden Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)11
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 7:34MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)11
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 7:40ORLGiricek Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)9
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 7:44ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 7:49ORLMISS Gooden Slam Dunk9
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 7:51ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 7:52ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 29
14.9%
8
85.1%
Q1 - 7:52ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
14.3%
8
85.7%
Q1 - 8:06ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14.7%
7
85.3%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot9
15.0%
7
85.0%
Q1 - 8:24MIAHeat Rebound9
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 8:27ORLMISS Giricek Layup9
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 8:39MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)9
14.7%
7
85.3%
Q1 - 8:48ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)7
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 8:53MIAVaughn STEAL (1 STL)7
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 9:10ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
13.8%
7
86.2%
Q1 - 9:10ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 9:20MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)7
14.5%
5
85.5%
Q1 - 9:42ORLGiricek Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)7
15.7%
5
84.3%
Q1 - 9:54MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)7
16.5%
3
83.5%
Q1 - 10:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.5%
3
85.5%
Q1 - 10:04ORLMISS DeClercq Free Throw 2 of 24
14.4%
3
85.6%
Q1 - 10:04ORLDeClercq Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
13.9%
3
86.1%
Q1 - 10:05ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 10:05ORLMISS Giricek 16' Jump Shot4
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 10:15MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 10:15MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:21ORLKemp 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:32MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 10:49MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Carter 7' Running Jump Shot0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:05ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:11ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot0
12.9%
0
87.1%
Q1 - 11:33MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:36ORLMISS Gooden 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Gooden vs. Grant: Tip to Vaughn0
12.7%
0
87.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
ORL
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
30
57%
ORL
8
17
47%
Midrange
MIA
14
47
30%
ORL
18
31
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
ORL
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
22
28
79%
ORL
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2071%10.0 / 14
B. Grant1757%8.5 / 15
V. Stepania1267%6.0 / 9
M. Allen1255%6.0 / 11
A. Carter1038%5.0 / 13
R. Butler836%4.0 / 11
S. Lampley675%3.0 / 4
T. Best321%1.5 / 7
M. James325%1.5 / 6
E. House217%1.0 / 6
K. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3678%18.0 / 23
G. Giricek1853%9.0 / 17
P. Garrity1864%9.0 / 14
D. Armstrong1083%5.0 / 6
A. DeClercq867%4.0 / 6
D. Gooden750%3.5 / 7
S. Kemp6100%3.0 / 3
J. Vaughn3150%1.5 / 1
C. Whitney211%1.0 / 9
S. Hunter125%0.5 / 2
J. Sasser0-0.0 / 2
O. Oyedeji0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+23
-15
101
ORL
81
+16
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
ORL
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
102.6
MIA 100.0
ORL 116.0 +16.0
Pace
90.0
95.5
MIA 87.6
ORL 100.7 +13.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.6
MIA 16.4
ORL 14.3 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.8%
MIA 41.3%
ORL 56.4% +15.1%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
MIA 14.0% +1.2%
ORL 15.2%
ORB %
26.8%
27.1%
MIA 37.5% +6.7%
ORL 30.8%
FTrt
25.9
30.7
MIA 32.6
ORL 33.3 +0.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
56.9%
MIA 50.0%
ORL 65.8% +15.8%
STL %
7.9%
8.8%
MIA 9.7%
ORL 10.6% +0.9%
BLK %
6.4%
5.6%
MIA 16.7% +11.5%
ORL 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
50.2%
MIA 45.1%
ORL 56.2% +11.1%
Rim FG%
53.7%
54.6%
MIA 56.7% +9.6%
ORL 47.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.9%
MIA 29.8%
ORL 58.1% +28.3%
3P %
31.6%
35.7%
MIA 33.3%
ORL 40.0% +6.7%
FT %
76.5%
77.7%
MIA 78.6%
ORL 80.8% +2.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.8%
MIA 34.9% +13.1%
ORL 21.8%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
44.7%
MIA 54.7%
ORL 39.7% +14.9%
3P Att. %
16.9%
23.5%
MIA 10.5%
ORL 38.5% +28.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.522.4
Points93109
Rebounds4542
Assists1725
Steals910
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)13 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (5)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals34-8638-78
At-the-Rim FG17-308-17
Midrange FG14-4718-31
2-Point FG31-7726-48
3-Point FG3-912-30
Free Throws22-2821-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
37.1
20
71%
4
1
2
1
1
3
2
2
5-5
100%
3-9
33%
3-3
100%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
34.2
10
38%
5
8
2
1
4
4
3
2
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
33.2
8
36%
5
2
0
3
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
31.2
17
57%
4
0
1
0
1
3
3
1
5-6
83%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 7'1" 255 · 27
23.8
12
67%
7
0
1
0
3
2
3
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
26.3
12
55%
6
1
0
1
1
3
2
4
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
14.3
2
17%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
13.8
3
21%
3
3
0
0
2
1
1
2
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
12.4
3
25%
2
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 213 · 24
7.6
6
75%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 25
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
45%
45
17
9
8
15
0
18
27
22-28
79%
31-77
40%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.