FinalWin Prob.pScore
2449%95
72
2851%96
74
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
81.88882.3
CLE logo CLE
87.18591.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE72
0%
74
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)72
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot72
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0CLEHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0CLEMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 272
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q4 - 0:02.0CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot72
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)72
38.4%
73
61.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Fadeaway Jumper72
31.3%
73
68.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAJones 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
20.4%
73
79.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHeat Rebound70
14.8%
73
85.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q4 - 1:04CLEParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot70
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q4 - 1:24CLEIlgauskas 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q4 - 1:50CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
32.8%
71
67.2%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot70
36.2%
71
63.8%
Q4 - 2:06CLEParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)70
47.5%
71
52.5%
Q4 - 2:06CLEParker 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)70
59.1%
70
40.9%
Q4 - 2:20CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)70
65.6%
68
34.4%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot70
70.1%
68
29.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)70
79.2%
68
20.8%
Q4 - 2:39CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
75.5%
68
24.5%
Q4 - 2:56CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)70
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q4 - 2:58MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
68.1%
68
31.9%
Q4 - 3:19CLEParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
76.6%
68
23.4%
Q4 - 3:19CLEParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
78.0%
67
22.0%
Q4 - 3:25CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
80.8%
66
19.2%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot70
83.6%
66
16.4%
Q4 - 3:40CLEPalacio Foul Turnover (P2.T10)70
84.2%
66
15.8%
Q4 - 3:44MIAHill STEAL (1 STL)70
78.5%
66
21.5%
Q4 - 4:10CLEPalacio 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
84.7%
66
15.3%
Q4 - 4:37MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
92.1%
63
7.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
91.8%
63
8.2%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Best Free Throw Technical68
89.1%
63
10.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIABest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
89.1%
63
10.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
86.1%
63
13.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
89.2%
63
10.8%
Q4 - 4:50CLEMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot68
87.9%
63
12.1%
Q4 - 5:02CLEDavis Free Throw Technical (33 PTS)68
81.6%
63
18.4%
Q4 - 5:14MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)68
86.2%
62
13.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
85.5%
62
14.5%
Q4 - 5:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
82.0%
62
18.0%
Q4 - 5:30CLEMISS Ilgauskas 6' Fadeaway Jumper66
80.4%
62
19.6%
Q4 - 5:59MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Best 4 AST)66
76.4%
62
23.6%
Q4 - 6:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
61.8%
62
38.2%
Q4 - 6:14CLEMISS Miles 3' Layup63
59.2%
62
40.8%
Q4 - 6:23CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
53.3%
62
46.7%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot63
55.9%
62
44.1%
Q4 - 6:36MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
61.8%
62
38.2%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMiles BLOCK (3 BLK)63
55.9%
62
44.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
61.8%
62
38.2%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Best 6' Running Jump Shot63
55.9%
62
44.1%
Q4 - 7:18CLEParker 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)63
61.1%
62
38.9%
Q4 - 7:38CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)63
66.7%
60
33.3%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot63
68.8%
60
31.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAHeat Rebound63
73.2%
60
26.8%
Q4 - 7:44MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)63
68.8%
60
31.2%
Q4 - 8:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
71.2%
60
28.8%
Q4 - 8:08CLEMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
69.6%
60
30.4%
Q4 - 8:33CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Jones Layup63
67.5%
60
32.5%
Q4 - 8:44CLEHill 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)63
71.4%
60
28.6%
Q4 - 9:09MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)63
74.9%
58
25.1%
Q4 - 9:33CLEDavis 14' Jump Shot (32 PTS)60
65.1%
58
34.9%
Q4 - 9:45CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
70.2%
56
29.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMiles BLOCK (2 BLK)60
71.7%
56
28.3%
Q4 - 9:56MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q4 - 9:58CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
70.2%
56
29.8%
Q4 - 9:58CLEMISS Ilgauskas Tip Shot60
73.7%
56
26.3%
Q4 - 10:00CLEMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup60
73.7%
56
26.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)60
68.9%
56
31.1%
Q4 - 10:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)58
64.3%
56
35.7%
Q4 - 10:34CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 258
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q4 - 10:34CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
60.0%
56
40.0%
Q4 - 10:51MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T16)58
63.9%
55
36.1%
Q4 - 10:58MIAHeat Rebound58
69.4%
55
30.6%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot58
65.6%
55
34.4%
Q4 - 11:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
68.1%
55
31.9%
Q4 - 11:14CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 258
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q4 - 11:14CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 258
64.3%
55
35.7%
Q4 - 11:23MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
63.0%
55
37.0%
Q4 - 11:23MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
62.2%
55
37.8%
Q4 - 11:46CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T9)56
58.1%
55
41.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE56
52.5%
55
47.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound56
52.5%
55
47.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Davis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot56
56.4%
55
43.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
52.7%
55
47.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
51.9%
55
48.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0CLEDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)54
47.5%
55
52.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0CLEDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)54
48.5%
54
51.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
52.7%
53
47.3%
Q3 - 1:06CLEMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
47.9%
53
52.1%
Q3 - 1:06CLEMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
49.5%
52
50.5%
Q3 - 1:14MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)52
52.6%
51
47.4%
Q3 - 1:39CLEDavis 13' Jump Shot (28 PTS)52
57.6%
51
42.4%
Q3 - 1:56MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
62.2%
49
37.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
61.4%
49
38.6%
Q3 - 2:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
56.9%
49
43.1%
Q3 - 2:10CLEMISS Hill 1' Hook Shot50
55.4%
49
44.6%
Q3 - 2:36MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)50
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q3 - 2:52CLEMiles Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)48
47.7%
49
52.3%
Q3 - 2:58MIABoozer STEAL (3 STL)48
42.6%
49
57.4%
Q3 - 3:24CLEDavis 1' Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)48
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q3 - 3:30CLECAVALIERS Rebound48
52.0%
47
48.0%
Q3 - 3:31CLEMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
55.3%
47
44.7%
Q3 - 4:00MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
52.0%
47
48.0%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHeat Rebound45
43.7%
47
56.3%
Q3 - 4:25CLEMISS Miles 19' Jump Shot45
42.2%
47
57.8%
Q3 - 4:47MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)45
38.9%
47
61.1%
Q3 - 4:47MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
43.7%
47
56.3%
Q3 - 4:53CLEMISS Hill 6' Jump Shot45
42.2%
47
57.8%
Q3 - 4:54CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
38.9%
47
61.1%
Q3 - 4:57CLEMISS Boozer 1' Layup45
42.2%
47
57.8%
Q3 - 4:59CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
38.9%
47
61.1%
Q3 - 5:01CLEMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot45
42.5%
47
57.5%
Q3 - 5:10CLEPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
39.4%
47
60.6%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
40.7%
47
59.3%
Q3 - 5:37CLEDavis 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)45
43.8%
47
56.2%
Q3 - 5:45CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
47.6%
45
52.4%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Allen 2' Driving Layup45
48.9%
45
51.1%
Q3 - 6:11CLEDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)45
51.9%
45
48.1%
Q3 - 6:27MIAGrant Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)45
59.5%
42
40.5%
Q3 - 6:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)45
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q3 - 6:50CLEMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 245
63.1%
42
36.9%
Q3 - 6:50CLEDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)45
60.5%
42
39.5%
Q3 - 7:04MIABest 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)45
62.3%
41
37.7%
Q3 - 7:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q3 - 7:23CLEMISS Ilgauskas 15' Jump Shot43
57.9%
41
42.1%
Q3 - 7:42CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
54.9%
41
45.1%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 243
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q3 - 7:42MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
58.1%
41
41.9%
Q3 - 7:42MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot42
52.4%
41
47.6%
Q3 - 7:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMihm BLOCK (1 BLK)42
52.4%
41
47.6%
Q3 - 7:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)42
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q3 - 7:55CLEMISS Mihm 5' Jump Shot42
54.1%
41
45.9%
Q3 - 8:03CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
51.2%
41
48.8%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot42
52.5%
41
47.5%
Q3 - 8:21CLEDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)42
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q3 - 8:36MIAAllen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)42
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q3 - 8:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)42
66.3%
38
33.7%
Q3 - 8:47CLEMISS Mihm 1' Layup42
65.1%
38
34.9%
Q3 - 9:04CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
61.9%
38
38.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot42
63.0%
38
37.0%
Q3 - 9:20CLEMihm Foul Turnover (P1.T7)42
65.4%
38
34.6%
Q3 - 9:25CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
62.0%
38
38.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot42
63.0%
38
37.0%
Q3 - 9:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)42
65.5%
38
34.5%
Q3 - 9:34CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
64.4%
38
35.6%
Q3 - 9:38CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
62.0%
38
38.0%
Q3 - 9:40CLEMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot42
64.4%
38
35.6%
Q3 - 10:00MIAGrant 1' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)42
62.0%
38
38.0%
Q3 - 10:21CLEPalacio 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)40
58.5%
38
41.5%
Q3 - 10:45MIABest 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
61.6%
36
38.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
58.5%
36
41.5%
Q3 - 10:52CLEMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot38
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q3 - 11:02MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
54.8%
36
45.2%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 237
54.3%
36
45.7%
Q3 - 11:18CLEIlgauskas 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)37
54.9%
36
45.1%
Q3 - 11:38MIAAllen 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA35
55.0%
34
45.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
55.0%
34
45.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot35
53.6%
34
46.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)35
52.0%
34
48.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)33
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0CLEMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot33
47.0%
34
53.0%
Q2 - 1:02CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
45.8%
34
54.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
46.3%
34
53.7%
Q2 - 1:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)33
47.4%
34
52.6%
Q2 - 1:12CLEMISS Davis 15' Turnaround Jump Shot33
46.9%
34
53.1%
Q2 - 1:21CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
45.8%
34
54.2%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Butler 2' Running Layup33
46.3%
34
53.7%
Q2 - 1:36CLEDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)33
47.5%
34
52.5%
Q2 - 1:36CLEMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 233
48.1%
33
51.9%
Q2 - 1:51CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
49.0%
33
51.0%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot33
49.5%
33
50.5%
Q2 - 2:11CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)33
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 2:11CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 2:17CLEMISS Davis 2' Layup33
56.6%
31
43.4%
Q2 - 2:31MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)33
54.6%
31
45.4%
Q2 - 2:51MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
57.4%
31
42.6%
Q2 - 2:52CLEMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 233
57.0%
31
43.0%
Q2 - 2:52CLEDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)33
54.9%
31
45.1%
Q2 - 3:05MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q2 - 3:19CLEHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
54.5%
30
45.5%
Q2 - 3:19CLEMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 231
55.2%
29
44.8%
Q2 - 3:39CLECAVALIERS Rebound31
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Best 13' Running Jump Shot31
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
57.4%
29
42.6%
Q2 - 3:52CLEMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot31
56.4%
29
43.6%
Q2 - 4:05MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)31
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 4:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
56.9%
29
43.1%
Q2 - 4:26CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)31
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 4:26CLEMISS Miles 1' Tip Shot31
56.1%
29
43.9%
Q2 - 4:31CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 4:31CLEMISS Miles 1' Tip Shot31
56.1%
29
43.9%
Q2 - 4:33CLEMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot31
56.1%
29
43.9%
Q2 - 4:34CLEMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 4:36CLEMISS Ilgauskas 13' Jump Shot31
56.1%
29
43.9%
Q2 - 4:57CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot31
55.0%
29
45.0%
Q2 - 5:10CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
57.0%
29
43.0%
Q2 - 5:10CLEDavis Reverse Dunk (13 PTS)31
57.0%
29
43.0%
Q2 - 5:13CLEMISS Ilgauskas 4' Jump Shot31
61.5%
27
38.5%
Q2 - 5:31CLECAVALIERS Rebound31
59.5%
27
40.5%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot31
60.4%
27
39.6%
Q2 - 5:49CLEPalacio Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
62.4%
27
37.6%
Q2 - 5:59CLECAVALIERS Rebound31
59.5%
27
40.5%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot31
60.4%
27
39.6%
Q2 - 6:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
62.3%
27
37.7%
Q2 - 6:24CLEMISS Miles 2' Layup31
61.4%
27
38.6%
Q2 - 6:42MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)31
59.2%
27
40.8%
Q2 - 7:05CLEIlgauskas 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)31
61.7%
27
38.3%
Q2 - 7:19MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)31
64.0%
25
36.0%
Q2 - 7:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
59.2%
25
40.8%
Q2 - 7:27CLEMISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot28
58.4%
25
41.6%
Q2 - 7:36CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
56.5%
25
43.5%
Q2 - 7:38CLEMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot28
58.4%
25
41.6%
Q2 - 7:58MIAStepania Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T7)28
56.5%
25
43.5%
Q2 - 8:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q2 - 8:16CLEMISS Boozer 2' Layup28
58.1%
25
41.9%
Q2 - 8:21MIABoozer STEAL (2 STL)28
56.1%
25
43.9%
Q2 - 8:33MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot28
57.0%
25
43.0%
Q2 - 8:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q2 - 8:50CLEMISS Parker 1' Dunk28
58.1%
25
41.9%
Q2 - 9:06CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
55.9%
25
44.1%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMiles BLOCK (1 BLK)28
56.8%
25
43.2%
Q2 - 9:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
58.7%
25
41.3%
Q2 - 9:18CLEMISS Parker 5' Driving Layup28
57.8%
25
42.2%
Q2 - 9:25MIABoozer STEAL (1 STL)28
55.9%
25
44.1%
Q2 - 9:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
58.7%
25
41.3%
Q2 - 9:41CLEMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot28
57.9%
25
42.1%
Q2 - 10:01MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)28
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q2 - 10:16CLEJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)25
51.1%
25
48.9%
Q2 - 10:18MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 224
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q2 - 10:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)24
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q2 - 10:36CLEMISS Miles 5' Running Jump Shot24
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q2 - 10:51CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
46.7%
25
53.3%
Q2 - 11:19CLEHill 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)24
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q2 - 11:39MIAButler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)24
50.7%
23
49.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE22
48.3%
23
51.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound22
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot22
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
46.1%
23
53.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
45.6%
23
54.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)20
43.2%
23
56.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Stepania 3' Jump Shot20
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0CLEDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)20
43.2%
23
56.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0CLEDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)20
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
45.7%
21
54.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
43.2%
21
56.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot18
41.9%
21
58.1%
Q1 - 1:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
43.3%
21
56.7%
Q1 - 1:21CLEMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 218
43.0%
21
57.0%
Q1 - 1:21CLEDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)18
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q1 - 1:24CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot18
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 1:37CLEParker Slam Dunk (4 PTS)18
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q1 - 1:40CLEParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 1:43CLEMISS Diop 1' Layup18
49.8%
18
50.2%
Q1 - 1:45CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 1:48CLEMISS Diop 3' Jump Shot18
49.8%
18
50.2%
Q1 - 2:07CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot18
49.2%
18
50.8%
Q1 - 2:33CLEParker 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
50.7%
18
49.3%
Q1 - 2:38CLEHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
53.2%
16
46.8%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Best 16' Jump Shot18
53.8%
16
46.2%
Q1 - 2:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)18
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 2:50CLEMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot18
54.7%
16
45.3%
Q1 - 3:11MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)18
52.7%
16
47.3%
Q1 - 3:22CLEDavis 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
55.2%
16
44.8%
Q1 - 3:48MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)18
57.2%
14
42.8%
Q1 - 3:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
55.3%
14
44.7%
Q1 - 3:56CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
52.8%
14
47.2%
Q1 - 3:56CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot16
54.5%
14
45.5%
Q1 - 3:58CLEMISS Ilgauskas 3' Jump Shot16
54.5%
14
45.5%
Q1 - 4:07CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
52.6%
14
47.4%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
53.4%
14
46.6%
Q1 - 4:15CLEJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
55.2%
14
44.8%
Q1 - 4:27MIAJones 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)16
52.6%
14
47.4%
Q1 - 4:39CLEDavis 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 4:52MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 3 AST)14
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 5:03MIAHeat Rebound12
50.5%
12
49.5%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot12
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 5:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 5:16CLEMISS Ilgauskas 17' Turnaround Jump Shot12
49.9%
12
50.1%
Q1 - 5:27CLEMISS Davis Free Throw Technical12
48.2%
12
51.8%
Q1 - 5:41MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
48.2%
12
51.8%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 211
47.9%
12
52.1%
Q1 - 5:55CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)11
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 6:09CLECAVALIERS Rebound11
46.2%
12
53.8%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot11
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 6:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
48.3%
12
51.7%
Q1 - 6:30CLEMISS Davis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot11
47.6%
12
52.4%
Q1 - 6:47MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
46.2%
12
53.8%
Q1 - 6:47MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 6:56CLEDavis Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)9
44.3%
12
55.7%
Q1 - 7:09MIABest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
42.6%
12
57.4%
Q1 - 7:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 7:17CLEMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
40.3%
12
59.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 2 AST)7
38.9%
12
61.1%
Q1 - 7:51CLEBoozer 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
37.2%
12
62.8%
Q1 - 8:06MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T3)5
39.2%
10
60.8%
Q1 - 8:27CLEPalacio 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)5
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 8:31CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Jones 17' Turnaround Jump Shot5
43.5%
8
56.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 8:46CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot5
44.3%
8
55.7%
Q1 - 8:54MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)5
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 8:58CLEDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 9:10MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 9:10MIAGrant 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)4
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 9:26CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
39.4%
8
60.6%
Q1 - 9:26CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
39.7%
7
60.3%
Q1 - 9:33MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 9:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 9:34CLEMISS Palacio 17' Jump Shot2
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 9:37CLEPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 9:40CLEMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot2
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 10:00MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 10:24CLEDavis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
39.3%
6
60.7%
Q1 - 10:35CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Butler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot0
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 10:59CLEJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)0
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 11:11CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot0
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 11:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 11:20CLEMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot0
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 11:31CLEPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Allen 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 11:56CLEDavis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)0
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Grant: Tip to Boozer0
48.4%
0
51.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.4%
CLE
0.77 38.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
17
41%
CLE
11
33
33%
Midrange
MIA
11
40
28%
CLE
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
CLE
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
21
26
81%
CLE
19
29
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant1979%9.5 / 12
E. Jones1850%9.0 / 18
C. Butler1454%7.0 / 13
T. Best836%4.0 / 11
M. James739%3.5 / 9
M. Allen418%2.0 / 11
R. Butler233%1.0 / 3
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis3350%16.5 / 33
Z. Ilgauskas1129%5.5 / 19
S. Parker1155%5.5 / 10
M. Palacio788%3.5 / 4
T. Hill650%3.0 / 6
J. Jones217%1.0 / 6
C. Boozer233%1.0 / 3
D. Miles214%1.0 / 7
C. Mihm0-0.0 / 2
D. Diop0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+11
-16
83
CLE
75
+17
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.4%
CLE
0.77 38.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
94.7
MIA 81.8
CLE 87.1 +5.2
Pace
90.0
95.9
MIA 82.3
CLE 91.3 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.2
MIA 17.5
CLE 15.8 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
44.4%
MIA 37.5% +2.7%
CLE 34.8%
TO %
14.8%
18.1%
MIA 17.6%
CLE 9.8% +7.8%
ORB %
26.8%
30.9%
MIA 20.5%
CLE 26.4% +5.9%
FTrt
25.9
29.8
MIA 38.2 +1.5
CLE 36.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
60.1%
MIA 60.9% +22.4%
CLE 38.5%
STL %
7.9%
8.0%
MIA 4.5%
CLE 7.1% +2.6%
BLK %
6.4%
9.3%
MIA 14.5% +5.7%
CLE 8.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
46.8%
MIA 43.4% +4.9%
CLE 38.5%
Rim FG%
53.7%
55.1%
MIA 41.2% +7.9%
CLE 33.3%
Mid FG%
37.6%
35.4%
MIA 27.5%
CLE 33.3% +5.8%
3P %
31.6%
32.7%
MIA 45.5% +15.5%
CLE 30.0%
FT %
76.5%
74.7%
MIA 80.8% +15.3%
CLE 65.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
36.7%
MIA 25.0%
CLE 41.8% +16.8%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
50.0%
MIA 58.8%
CLE 45.6% +13.3%
3P Att. %
16.9%
13.3%
MIA 16.2% +3.5%
CLE 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8885
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points7274
Rebounds4745
Assists1410
Steals46
Blocks105
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)31 (4)
Field Goals23-6826-79
At-the-Rim FG7-1711-33
Midrange FG11-4012-36
2-Point FG18-5723-69
3-Point FG5-113-10
Free Throws21-2619-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
41.6
14
54%
5
1
0
0
2
2
2
3
9-10
90%
1-7
14%
1-1
100%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
38.5
19
79%
17
1
0
0
2
3
1
16
7-7
100%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
31.7
18
50%
2
2
1
3
3
4
0
2
3-6
50%
3-10
30%
3-5
60%
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
31.6
8
36%
4
4
0
1
2
2
2
2
2-3
67%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
28.3
4
18%
4
0
1
1
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-11
18%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
25.3
0
0%
8
1
1
2
3
2
1
7
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
20.9
7
39%
4
0
0
1
1
5
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
9.8
0
0%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
9.5
2
33%
1
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
43%
47
14
4
10
16
0
8
39
21-26
81%
18-57
32%
5-11
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.