FinalWin Prob.pScore
1153%88
90
2347%87
87
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
98.99184.1
MIA logo MIA
91.695103.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 290
98.3%
87
1.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
97.8%
87
2.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
96.7%
87
3.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
83.5%
87
16.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 289
85.5%
87
14.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
92.6%
87
7.4%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
85.2%
87
14.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Mourning 10' Hook Shot88
79.9%
87
20.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETEllis STEAL (1 STL)88
59.8%
87
40.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)88
75.4%
87
24.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Stackhouse 14' Fadeaway Jumper88
64.8%
87
35.2%
Q4 - 1:10DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
72.8%
87
27.2%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
68.4%
87
31.6%
Q4 - 1:28DETAtkins 9' Running Hook Shot (18 PTS)88
58.3%
87
41.7%
Q4 - 1:42MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
47.6%
87
52.4%
Q4 - 1:42MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
49.4%
86
50.6%
Q4 - 1:50DETRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)86
58.9%
85
41.1%
Q4 - 1:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)83
35.8%
85
64.2%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot83
34.1%
85
65.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
24.8%
85
75.2%
Q4 - 2:22DETMISS Stackhouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
28.9%
85
71.1%
Q4 - 2:31DETPistons Rebound83
39.9%
85
60.1%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot83
34.9%
85
65.1%
Q4 - 2:51DETWilliamson Layup (20 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)83
26.6%
85
73.4%
Q4 - 3:03MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
21.7%
85
78.3%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 281
24.0%
84
76.0%
Q4 - 3:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
18.9%
84
81.1%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot81
26.2%
84
73.8%
Q4 - 3:26DETWilliamson 5' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)81
18.7%
84
81.3%
Q4 - 3:35MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)79
18.3%
84
81.7%
Q4 - 3:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
12.8%
84
87.2%
Q4 - 3:51DETMISS Williamson Driving Layup79
14.1%
84
85.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)79
17.4%
84
82.6%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMourning Layup (8 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)79
23.5%
83
76.5%
Q4 - 4:18MIAHEAT Rebound79
30.3%
81
69.7%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
36.5%
81
63.5%
Q4 - 4:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
30.1%
81
69.9%
Q4 - 4:43DETMISS Williamson Layup79
32.8%
81
67.2%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 179
37.9%
81
62.1%
Q4 - 4:54MIAStrickland 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)79
39.2%
81
60.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
49.0%
79
51.0%
Q4 - 5:16DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot79
51.6%
79
48.4%
Q4 - 5:35MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)79
57.6%
79
42.4%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
65.3%
77
34.7%
Q4 - 5:52DETMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot79
67.7%
77
32.3%
Q4 - 6:15MIAStrickland Layup (13 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)79
71.5%
77
28.5%
Q4 - 6:25MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)79
76.5%
75
23.5%
Q4 - 6:27DETMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)79
78.4%
75
21.6%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)79
82.2%
75
17.8%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHEAT Rebound79
76.6%
75
23.4%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Mourning Layup79
80.6%
75
19.4%
Q4 - 7:15DETBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
75.2%
75
24.8%
Q4 - 7:21MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)76
64.5%
75
35.5%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
57.0%
75
43.0%
Q4 - 7:35DETMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
59.3%
75
40.7%
Q4 - 7:56MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)76
64.5%
75
35.5%
Q4 - 8:14DETMourning STEAL (1 STL)76
68.8%
73
31.2%
Q4 - 8:48MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)76
74.2%
73
25.8%
Q4 - 8:58MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
68.9%
73
31.1%
Q4 - 9:00DETMISS Williamson 5' Hook Shot76
70.6%
73
29.4%
Q4 - 9:19MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (House 3 AST)76
73.4%
73
26.6%
Q4 - 9:33DETWilliamson 2' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)76
77.6%
71
22.4%
Q4 - 9:47MIAGatling 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)74
73.4%
71
26.6%
Q4 - 10:01DETRebraca Foul Turnover (P1.T14)74
76.3%
69
23.7%
Q4 - 10:18DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
80.5%
69
19.5%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS House Driving Layup74
79.3%
69
20.7%
Q4 - 10:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
76.4%
69
23.6%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot74
79.3%
69
20.7%
Q4 - 10:52DETWilliamson 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)74
76.4%
69
23.6%
Q4 - 11:03DETPistons Rebound72
71.2%
69
28.8%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
69.8%
69
30.2%
Q4 - 11:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
66.4%
69
33.6%
Q4 - 11:12DETMISS Atkins Driving Layup72
67.9%
69
32.1%
Q4 - 11:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)72
71.3%
69
28.7%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot72
69.8%
69
30.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET72
66.4%
69
33.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)72
70.6%
69
29.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
69.3%
69
30.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 1 of 271
64.9%
69
35.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETPistons Rebound71
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot71
62.9%
69
37.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)71
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot71
64.8%
69
35.2%
Q3 - 1:20DETAtkins 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)71
61.2%
69
38.8%
Q3 - 1:42MIAJones Driving Layup (14 PTS)69
56.6%
69
43.4%
Q3 - 1:57DETAtkins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)69
61.2%
67
38.8%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMourning 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)69
65.1%
67
34.9%
Q3 - 2:35DETAtkins Driving Layup (13 PTS)69
68.9%
65
31.1%
Q3 - 3:00MIAStrickland Driving Layup (11 PTS)67
65.1%
65
34.9%
Q3 - 3:05MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
68.6%
63
31.4%
Q3 - 3:06DETMISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot67
69.8%
63
30.2%
Q3 - 3:25MIAStrickland 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (House 2 AST)67
72.5%
63
27.5%
Q3 - 3:37MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
75.8%
61
24.2%
Q3 - 3:39DETMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
76.8%
61
23.2%
Q3 - 3:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)67
79.1%
61
20.9%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot67
78.1%
61
21.9%
Q3 - 4:11DETStackhouse Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)67
74.9%
61
25.1%
Q3 - 4:19DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
72.0%
61
28.0%
Q3 - 4:21DETMISS Atkins 12' Running Jump Shot65
69.2%
61
30.8%
Q3 - 4:37MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
72.0%
61
28.0%
Q3 - 4:52DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
74.9%
59
25.1%
Q3 - 4:52DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
74.1%
59
25.9%
Q3 - 4:54DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
72.1%
59
27.9%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup63
70.8%
59
29.2%
Q3 - 5:10DETAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)63
67.6%
59
32.4%
Q3 - 5:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
60.2%
59
39.8%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 260
59.6%
59
40.4%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 260
57.2%
59
42.8%
Q3 - 5:37DETGatling STEAL (1 STL)60
55.8%
59
44.2%
Q3 - 5:48DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
60.2%
59
39.8%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot60
58.9%
59
41.1%
Q3 - 6:22DETStackhouse 14' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)60
55.8%
59
44.2%
Q3 - 6:30DETStackhouse Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)58
52.1%
59
47.9%
Q3 - 6:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
48.1%
59
51.9%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot57
46.7%
59
53.3%
Q3 - 7:10DETStackhouse Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
43.6%
59
56.4%
Q3 - 7:32MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)55
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 7:46DETGrant STEAL (3 STL)55
43.6%
57
56.4%
Q3 - 7:48DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
48.0%
57
52.0%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot55
46.7%
57
53.3%
Q3 - 8:15DETAtkins Layup (6 PTS)55
44.1%
57
55.9%
Q3 - 8:20MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)53
40.9%
57
59.1%
Q3 - 8:29DETGrant STEAL (2 STL)53
36.8%
57
63.2%
Q3 - 8:49MIAGrant Dunk (10 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)53
40.9%
57
59.1%
Q3 - 8:59MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
44.1%
55
55.9%
Q3 - 9:01DETMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot53
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 9:25MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
48.3%
55
51.7%
Q3 - 9:25MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 9:46DETAtkins 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
51.9%
53
48.1%
Q3 - 10:07DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
48.9%
53
51.1%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot51
47.7%
53
52.3%
Q3 - 10:26DETWallace Dunk (4 PTS)51
44.9%
53
55.1%
Q3 - 10:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q3 - 10:29DETMISS Stackhouse 6' Hook Shot49
39.2%
53
60.8%
Q3 - 10:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot49
40.6%
53
59.4%
Q3 - 10:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
38.0%
53
62.0%
Q3 - 10:57DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 11:12DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
42.4%
53
57.6%
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Gill 15' Jump Shot49
41.3%
53
58.7%
Q3 - 11:32MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
38.9%
53
61.1%
Q3 - 11:35DETMISS Robinson Driving Layup49
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 11:47DETPistons Rebound49
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q3 - 11:49DETMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot49
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET49
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAStepania 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)49
42.4%
53
57.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0DETRebraca Layup (10 PTS)49
46.7%
51
53.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
42.4%
51
57.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)47
40.8%
51
59.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAGrant Dunk (6 PTS)47
42.4%
51
57.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
46.6%
49
53.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETMISS Rebraca 15' Jump Shot47
47.3%
49
52.7%
Q2 - 1:14DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
48.9%
49
51.1%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 247
48.6%
49
51.4%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 247
46.9%
49
53.1%
Q2 - 1:35DETRebraca 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
47.2%
49
52.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
43.5%
49
56.5%
Q2 - 2:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot45
48.8%
47
51.2%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q2 - 2:20DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
47.7%
47
52.3%
Q2 - 2:26DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
49.6%
47
50.4%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot45
48.8%
47
51.2%
Q2 - 2:41DETRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)45
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q2 - 3:02MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
50.3%
47
49.7%
Q2 - 3:17DETWilliamson 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
52.9%
45
47.1%
Q2 - 3:23MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)43
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 3:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 3:33DETMISS Rebraca 14' Fadeaway Jumper43
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 3:47DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot43
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 4:01MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q2 - 4:03DETMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot43
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 4:17MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)43
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q2 - 4:28DETBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
56.0%
42
44.0%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)40
50.3%
42
49.7%
Q2 - 5:04DETWilliamson Layup (10 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)40
53.2%
40
46.8%
Q2 - 5:11MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q2 - 5:33DETRebraca 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)38
47.5%
40
52.5%
Q2 - 5:47DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 5:48DETMISS Atkins 21' Jump Shot36
42.8%
40
57.2%
Q2 - 5:58DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot36
44.0%
40
56.0%
Q2 - 6:27DETRebraca Layup (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)36
42.3%
40
57.7%
Q2 - 6:33DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot34
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q2 - 6:50MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 6:51DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 234
37.4%
40
62.6%
Q2 - 6:51DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 6:56DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot33
36.5%
40
63.5%
Q2 - 7:06DETStrickland STEAL (1 STL)33
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 7:17MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
38.2%
40
61.8%
Q2 - 7:17MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
39.0%
39
61.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
40.5%
38
59.5%
Q2 - 7:43DETMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot33
41.3%
38
58.7%
Q2 - 8:05MIAStepania 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)33
43.4%
38
56.6%
Q2 - 8:20DETWilliamson Layup (8 PTS) (Rebraca 1 AST)33
45.6%
36
54.4%
Q2 - 8:21DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
43.4%
36
56.6%
Q2 - 8:23DETMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 8:37DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.4%
36
56.6%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Mourning Dunk31
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
40.5%
36
59.5%
Q2 - 8:59DETMISS Williamson 12' Jump Shot31
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 9:20MIAEllis 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS)31
43.6%
36
56.4%
Q2 - 9:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
45.8%
34
54.2%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot31
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
45.8%
34
54.2%
Q2 - 9:31DETMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
46.7%
34
53.3%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
48.6%
34
51.4%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
49.3%
33
50.7%
Q2 - 9:50DETHouse STEAL (2 STL)31
50.8%
32
49.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q2 - 10:05MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
53.9%
31
46.1%
Q2 - 10:24DETBarry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
55.7%
30
44.3%
Q2 - 10:51MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)29
53.6%
30
46.4%
Q2 - 11:01DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS)29
58.2%
27
41.8%
Q2 - 11:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
55.7%
27
44.3%
Q2 - 11:04DETMISS Rebraca 6' Jump Shot27
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q2 - 11:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
55.7%
27
44.3%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 227
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q2 - 11:44DETWilliamson 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)27
55.8%
26
44.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET25
53.4%
26
46.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
53.4%
26
46.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Grant 4' Hook Shot25
52.6%
26
47.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0DETRebraca Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)25
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot23
47.6%
26
52.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETWilliamson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)23
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot21
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q1 - 1:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q1 - 1:14DETMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot21
42.4%
26
57.6%
Q1 - 1:30MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
43.6%
26
56.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
44.4%
25
55.6%
Q1 - 1:30MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Ellis Layup21
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q1 - 1:36DETHouse STEAL (1 STL)21
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q1 - 1:53MIAHouse Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)21
48.3%
24
51.7%
Q1 - 1:57DETJones STEAL (2 STL)21
51.2%
22
48.8%
Q1 - 2:11MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 1 AST)21
53.5%
22
46.5%
Q1 - 2:33DETRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)21
55.9%
20
44.1%
Q1 - 2:51MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)18
51.1%
20
48.9%
Q1 - 2:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
53.6%
18
46.4%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot18
55.1%
18
44.9%
Q1 - 3:11MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
53.4%
18
46.6%
Q1 - 3:12DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 218
53.7%
18
46.3%
Q1 - 3:12DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 218
55.0%
18
45.0%
Q1 - 3:31MIAGatling 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
55.9%
18
44.1%
Q1 - 3:48DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
57.8%
16
42.2%
Q1 - 3:48DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
57.5%
16
42.5%
Q1 - 3:48DETPistons Rebound16
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot16
55.1%
16
44.9%
Q1 - 3:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
53.4%
16
46.6%
Q1 - 4:00DETMISS Stackhouse Layup16
54.2%
16
45.8%
Q1 - 4:10DETStackhouse Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)16
56.0%
16
44.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
53.8%
16
46.2%
Q1 - 4:25DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
51.2%
16
48.8%
Q1 - 4:25DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 4:31DETPistons Rebound13
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 4:32DETMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot13
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 4:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot13
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 5:00DETRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)13
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 5:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot10
42.6%
16
57.4%
Q1 - 5:25DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 5:25DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 29
40.8%
16
59.2%
Q1 - 5:29MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 5:43DETJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)9
39.0%
16
61.0%
Q1 - 5:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Jones 13' Fadeaway Jumper6
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 6:00DETJones STEAL (1 STL)6
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 6:14MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 6:14MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 6:30DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
37.6%
14
62.4%
Q1 - 6:30DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 6:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot4
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 6:55MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 6:57DETMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot4
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
35.0%
14
65.0%
Q1 - 7:24DETMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)4
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 7:35DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot4
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 7:48MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
35.0%
14
65.0%
Q1 - 7:50DETMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot4
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 8:02MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)4
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 8:02MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.9%
11
59.1%
Q1 - 8:09DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 2 of 24
41.1%
11
58.9%
Q1 - 8:09DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 1 of 24
42.2%
11
57.8%
Q1 - 8:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.9%
11
57.1%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
42.3%
11
57.7%
Q1 - 8:40MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 8:42DETMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot4
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 9:01MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)4
42.8%
11
57.2%
Q1 - 9:01MIAGill Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
44.7%
10
55.3%
Q1 - 9:05MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 9:06DETMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
46.8%
8
53.2%
Q1 - 9:24MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
48.5%
8
51.5%
Q1 - 9:36DETAtkins Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 9:43DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.5%
6
51.5%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot2
47.8%
6
52.2%
Q1 - 10:02DETRobinson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)2
46.3%
6
53.7%
Q1 - 10:20MIAGill Dunk (4 PTS)0
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 10:23DETGill STEAL (1 STL)0
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 10:36MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)0
48.4%
4
51.6%
Q1 - 10:55DETStackhouse Foul Turnover (P2.T2)0
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 11:07DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.0%
2
48.0%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Mourning Layup0
51.5%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Gill Reverse Layup0
51.5%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 11:21DETGrant STEAL (1 STL)0
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 11:39MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
52.0%
2
48.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Wallace: Tip to Jones0
53.9%
0
46.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.05 52.3%
MIA
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
24
67%
MIA
17
26
65%
Midrange
DET
11
30
37%
MIA
14
44
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIA
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
DET
15
24
63%
MIA
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Williamson2067%10.0 / 15
C. Atkins1853%9.0 / 17
J. Stackhouse1437%7.0 / 19
C. Robinson1346%6.5 / 14
Z. Rebraca1063%5.0 / 8
J. Barry867%4.0 / 6
B. Wallace4100%2.0 / 2
D. Jones375%1.5 / 2
M. Curry0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2067%10.0 / 15
R. Strickland1542%7.5 / 18
B. Grant1255%6.0 / 11
L. Ellis1045%5.0 / 11
A. Mourning935%4.5 / 13
K. Gill950%4.5 / 9
E. House425%2.0 / 8
C. Gatling450%2.0 / 4
V. Stepania450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
75
+10
-16
85
MIA
86
+10
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.05 52.3%
MIA
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.0
96.1
DET 98.9 +7.3
MIA 91.6
Pace
92.6
89.7
DET 84.1
MIA 103.6 +19.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.7
DET 17.1
MIA 13.9 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
46.3%
DET 52.1% +8.5%
MIA 43.6%
TO %
15.0%
15.5%
DET 16.2%
MIA 11.0% +5.2%
ORB %
24.5%
26.7%
DET 17.5% +0.8%
MIA 16.7%
FTrt
31.0
26.8
DET 33.3
MIA 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
59.4%
DET 52.9%
MIA 54.5% +1.6%
STL %
8.5%
7.4%
DET 7.7%
MIA 12.6% +4.9%
BLK %
10.2%
8.7%
DET 11.4% +5.8%
MIA 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
47.7%
DET 52.3% +7.0%
MIA 45.3%
Rim FG%
59.4%
60.6%
DET 66.7% +1.3%
MIA 65.4%
Mid FG%
39.1%
38.0%
DET 36.7% +4.9%
MIA 31.8%
3P %
37.6%
34.7%
DET 38.9% +13.9%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
75.6%
72.4%
DET 62.5%
MIA 73.1% +10.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
28.1%
DET 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
Mid Att. %
44.4%
57.8%
DET 41.7% +14.7%
MIA 56.4%
3P Att. %
23.9%
14.1%
DET 25.0% +14.7%
MIA 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9195
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points9087
Rebounds4240
Assists1818
Steals712
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)33 (0)
Field Goals34-7233-78
At-the-Rim FG16-2417-26
Midrange FG11-3014-44
2-Point FG27-5431-70
3-Point FG7-182-8
Free Throws15-2419-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
39.6
4
100%
16
2
2
6
0
2
3
13
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 35
37.4
13
46%
3
1
1
0
5
5
0
3
2-6
33%
1-6
17%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 218 · 27
32.4
14
37%
7
4
0
0
5
2
0
7
8-10
80%
3-13
23%
0-2
0%
G · 5'11" 185 · 28
29.6
18
53%
1
2
0
0
3
4
1
0
3-6
50%
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'5" 210 · 34
18.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 28
27.3
20
67%
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 30
19.0
10
63%
8
1
1
2
1
5
3
5
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
18.4
3
75%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 33
18.3
8
67%
3
3
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 26
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
F · 6'10" 265 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
42
18
7
8
16
0
7
35
15-24
63%
27-54
50%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.