FinalWin Prob.pScore
2910%85
82
990%101
86
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
89.19282.6
DET logo DET
94.591102.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET82
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENWallace STEAL (5 STL)82
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)82
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS Satterfield Free Throw 2 of 282
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENSatterfield Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)82
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)81
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)81
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENCheaney 12' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)81
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETStackhouse 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)79
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENMISS Satterfield 12' Jump Shot79
13.6%
80
86.4%
Q4 - 1:05DENNuggets Rebound79
22.1%
80
77.9%
Q4 - 1:07DENMISS Cheaney 20' Jump Shot79
14.9%
80
85.1%
Q4 - 1:24DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
20.3%
80
79.7%
Q4 - 1:24DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 279
24.9%
79
75.1%
Q4 - 1:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)79
18.8%
79
81.2%
Q4 - 1:26DETMISS Barry Layup79
26.3%
79
73.7%
Q4 - 1:38DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
18.7%
79
81.3%
Q4 - 1:40DENMISS Satterfield 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
21.5%
79
78.5%
Q4 - 1:59DENNuggets Rebound79
28.5%
79
71.5%
Q4 - 2:01DETMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot79
24.6%
79
75.4%
Q4 - 2:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)79
17.5%
79
82.5%
Q4 - 2:05DETMISS Williamson Layup79
24.5%
79
75.5%
Q4 - 2:11DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
17.1%
79
82.9%
Q4 - 2:14DENWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)79
20.0%
79
80.0%
Q4 - 2:30DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)79
28.4%
79
71.6%
Q4 - 2:32DETMISS Stackhouse 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
24.3%
79
75.7%
Q4 - 2:51DENSatterfield Dunk (13 PTS)79
18.1%
79
81.9%
Q4 - 2:54DETJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)77
14.1%
79
85.9%
Q4 - 3:01DENSatterfield 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 8 AST)77
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q4 - 3:20DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)74
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 3:22DETMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 3:45DENStackhouse STEAL (2 STL)74
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 4:04DETWilliamson Layup (16 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)74
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 4:19DENHamilton Tip Shot (8 PTS)74
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 4:20DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)72
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 4:22DENMISS Harvey Layup72
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 4:23DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 4:26DENMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot72
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 4:43DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 4:45DETMISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q4 - 4:59DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)72
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 4:59DENNuggets Rebound72
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 5:00DENMISS Harvey 20' Jump Shot72
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 5:34DETWallace Dunk (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)72
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q4 - 5:49DENHamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 7 AST)72
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q4 - 6:09DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q4 - 6:09DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q4 - 6:19DENPosey Foul Turnover (P4.T18)70
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q4 - 6:37DETJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)70
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q4 - 7:02DENHarvey Layup (6 PTS)70
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q4 - 7:05DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q4 - 7:07DENMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot68
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q4 - 7:34DETCurry Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)68
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q4 - 7:37DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
15.8%
68
84.2%
Q4 - 7:39DENWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)68
17.1%
68
82.9%
Q4 - 8:00DETWilliamson Layup (12 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)68
20.4%
68
79.6%
Q4 - 8:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)68
24.2%
66
75.8%
Q4 - 8:10DENMISS Satterfield 20' Jump Shot68
25.6%
66
74.4%
Q4 - 8:30DETMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 168
28.5%
66
71.5%
Q4 - 8:30DETBarry Layup (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)68
29.3%
66
70.7%
Q4 - 8:34DENCurry STEAL (3 STL)68
34.7%
64
65.3%
Q4 - 8:51DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
40.9%
64
59.1%
Q4 - 8:53DETMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
39.0%
64
61.0%
Q4 - 9:14DENPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 6 AST)68
32.3%
64
67.7%
Q4 - 9:27DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
23.0%
64
77.0%
Q4 - 9:29DETMISS Williamson 7' Hook Shot65
21.7%
64
78.3%
Q4 - 9:42DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
18.9%
64
81.1%
Q4 - 9:45DENMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot65
20.1%
64
79.9%
Q4 - 10:02DETBarry 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)65
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q4 - 10:10DENBarry STEAL (3 STL)65
26.3%
62
73.7%
Q4 - 10:15DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
31.4%
62
68.6%
Q4 - 10:16DETMISS Williamson Dunk65
29.8%
62
70.2%
Q4 - 10:23DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
26.3%
62
73.7%
Q4 - 10:25DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot65
27.8%
62
72.2%
Q4 - 10:48DETBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
31.4%
62
68.6%
Q4 - 10:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)65
41.5%
59
58.5%
Q4 - 10:56DENMISS Harvey 20' Jump Shot65
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q4 - 11:15DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
46.3%
59
53.7%
Q4 - 11:17DETMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
44.6%
59
55.4%
Q4 - 11:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)65
40.7%
59
59.3%
Q4 - 11:42DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot65
42.4%
59
57.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN65
46.3%
59
53.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
46.3%
59
53.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot65
41.6%
59
58.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENCheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)65
38.3%
59
61.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)64
37.0%
59
63.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0DETMISS Stackhouse Layup63
32.2%
59
67.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENSatterfield 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
29.3%
59
70.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
25.3%
59
74.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
25.7%
58
74.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)61
29.4%
57
70.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
33.8%
57
66.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)61
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q3 - 1:13DETWilliamson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)61
31.7%
57
68.3%
Q3 - 1:24DENCheaney Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)61
27.5%
57
72.5%
Q3 - 1:45DETWilliamson Layup (10 PTS)61
31.8%
57
68.2%
Q3 - 1:46DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q3 - 1:49DETMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot61
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q3 - 2:02DENCheaney 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q3 - 2:09DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
30.0%
55
70.0%
Q3 - 2:12DENMISS Satterfield 20' Jump Shot59
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q3 - 2:34DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
30.1%
55
69.9%
Q3 - 2:35DETMISS Williamson Layup59
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q3 - 2:54DENCheaney 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Satterfield 7 AST)59
26.0%
55
74.0%
Q3 - 3:08DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q3 - 3:08DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 257
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 3:08DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 257
20.8%
55
79.2%
Q3 - 3:08DETPISTONS Rebound57
19.3%
55
80.7%
Q3 - 3:09DETMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot57
21.4%
55
78.6%
Q3 - 3:33DENCheaney 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
19.3%
55
80.7%
Q3 - 3:49DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
16.8%
55
83.2%
Q3 - 3:51DETMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot55
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q3 - 4:10DENCheaney Layup (12 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)55
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q3 - 4:22DETBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)53
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q3 - 4:31DENCheaney 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
10.1%
55
89.9%
Q3 - 4:48DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q3 - 4:48DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q3 - 5:01DENHoward 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Satterfield 6 AST)51
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 5:24DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q3 - 5:27DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot49
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q3 - 5:35DETPISTONS Rebound49
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q3 - 5:36DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 249
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q3 - 5:36DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)49
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q3 - 5:52DENCheaney 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Satterfield 5 AST)49
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q3 - 6:02DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q3 - 6:04DENMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot47
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 6:16DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q3 - 6:18DETMISS Atkins 17' Jump Shot47
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q3 - 6:41DENHoward 14' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)47
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q3 - 7:00DETRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)45
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q3 - 7:13DENBateer 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Satterfield 4 AST)45
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q3 - 7:30DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q3 - 7:33DETMISS Robinson Layup43
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q3 - 7:46DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 7:49DENWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)43
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q3 - 8:17DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q3 - 8:19DETMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot43
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q3 - 8:41DETPISTONS Rebound43
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 8:43DETMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot43
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q3 - 9:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)43
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 9:04DENMISS Bateer Layup43
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q3 - 9:19DENNuggets Rebound43
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q3 - 9:20DETMISS Stackhouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q3 - 9:26DENCurry STEAL (2 STL)43
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 9:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q3 - 9:42DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 243
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q3 - 9:42DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 243
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q3 - 10:01DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 10:01DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q3 - 10:17DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q3 - 10:17DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 241
3.1%
52
96.9%
Q3 - 10:17DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 241
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q3 - 10:30DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
2.7%
52
97.3%
Q3 - 10:32DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot41
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q3 - 10:36DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Atkins 16' Jump Shot41
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q3 - 10:51DETPISTONS Rebound41
2.7%
52
97.3%
Q3 - 10:53DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot41
2.9%
52
97.1%
Q3 - 11:05DETAtkins Driving Layup (11 PTS)41
3.1%
52
96.9%
Q3 - 11:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)41
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q3 - 11:17DENMISS Satterfield 16' Jump Shot41
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q3 - 11:45DETStackhouse Dunk (15 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)41
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN41
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound41
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Satterfield 12' Running Jump Shot41
5.1%
48
94.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETAtkins Driving Layup (9 PTS)41
5.4%
48
94.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0DENWallace STEAL (4 STL)41
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)41
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENCheaney 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)41
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 1:08DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)39
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 1:08DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)39
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 1:21DENBateer 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)39
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 1:46DETStackhouse 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)37
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 1:59DENHoward 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Satterfield 3 AST)37
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 2:15DETAtkins 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)35
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 2:33DENCheaney Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)35
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 2:46DETStackhouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)33
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 2:49DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 2:51DETMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot33
5.5%
40
94.5%
Q2 - 3:13DENHoward 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
5.0%
40
95.0%
Q2 - 3:29DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)31
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 3:47DENHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T11)31
4.0%
40
96.0%
Q2 - 4:02DETWallace Slam Dunk (4 PTS)31
4.5%
40
95.5%
Q2 - 4:06DENWallace STEAL (3 STL)31
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 4:20DETWilliamson 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)31
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 4:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)31
6.3%
36
93.7%
Q2 - 4:36DENMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot31
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 4:44DETBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 4:53DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
6.3%
36
93.7%
Q2 - 4:55DENWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)31
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 5:09DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 5:10DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot31
6.7%
36
93.3%
Q2 - 5:34DENPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)31
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 5:42DENArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 5:44DETMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot28
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q2 - 5:51DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
4.5%
36
95.5%
Q2 - 5:54DENMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot28
4.7%
36
95.3%
Q2 - 6:13DETBarry Layup (8 PTS)28
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 6:19DENWilliamson STEAL (1 STL)28
5.6%
34
94.4%
Q2 - 6:38DETBarry Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)28
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q2 - 6:38DETBarry Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)28
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q2 - 6:38DETBarry Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)28
6.4%
32
93.6%
Q2 - 6:39DENJones STEAL (1 STL)28
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q2 - 6:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
8.5%
31
91.5%
Q2 - 6:44DETMISS Barry Layup28
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q2 - 6:58DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)28
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q2 - 6:58DENHamilton Layup (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)27
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q2 - 7:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 7:17DETMISS Robinson 29' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 7:24DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
5.7%
31
94.3%
Q2 - 7:27DENWilliamson BLOCK (1 BLK)25
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q2 - 7:40DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 7:42DETMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q2 - 7:53DENArroyo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
5.7%
31
94.3%
Q2 - 8:07DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q2 - 8:09DETMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot23
5.1%
31
94.9%
Q2 - 8:14DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
4.7%
31
95.3%
Q2 - 8:16DENMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot23
4.9%
31
95.1%
Q2 - 8:34DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q2 - 8:36DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot23
4.9%
31
95.1%
Q2 - 8:51DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q2 - 8:53DENMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot23
4.9%
31
95.1%
Q2 - 9:05DETBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)23
5.2%
31
94.8%
Q2 - 9:27DENHarvey 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q2 - 9:41DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
5.8%
28
94.2%
Q2 - 9:43DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot21
5.6%
28
94.4%
Q2 - 9:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)21
5.2%
28
94.8%
Q2 - 9:46DETMISS Rebraca 16' Jump Shot21
5.6%
28
94.4%
Q2 - 9:52DENBarry STEAL (2 STL)21
5.2%
28
94.8%
Q2 - 10:10DETJones Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)21
5.9%
28
94.1%
Q2 - 10:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)21
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q2 - 10:17DETMISS Williamson Layup21
6.8%
26
93.2%
Q2 - 10:26DENBarry STEAL (1 STL)21
6.4%
26
93.6%
Q2 - 10:38DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q2 - 10:38DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
7.2%
25
92.8%
Q2 - 10:54DENWallace STEAL (2 STL)21
7.6%
24
92.4%
Q2 - 11:12DETRebraca Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)21
8.2%
24
91.8%
Q2 - 11:22DENPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T4)21
7.5%
24
92.5%
Q2 - 11:35DETJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
8.2%
24
91.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)21
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Harvey Layup21
9.2%
22
90.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Satterfield 10' Running Jump Shot21
9.2%
22
90.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
9.6%
22
90.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0DETMISS Williamson 18' Jump Shot21
9.4%
22
90.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETWallace 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
8.1%
22
91.9%
Q1 - 1:09DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 1:13DENMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot19
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 1:32DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)19
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 1:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
10.7%
18
89.3%
Q1 - 1:42DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 219
10.8%
18
89.2%
Q1 - 1:42DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
11.3%
18
88.7%
Q1 - 1:48DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 2:03DENHoward 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 2:21DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8.8%
18
91.2%
Q1 - 2:23DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
8.6%
18
91.4%
Q1 - 2:47DENHoward 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)16
8.1%
18
91.9%
Q1 - 3:08DETAtkins Driving Layup (5 PTS)14
7.4%
18
92.6%
Q1 - 3:29DENSatterfield Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
8.0%
16
92.0%
Q1 - 3:35DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7.4%
16
92.6%
Q1 - 3:38DETMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot12
7.2%
16
92.8%
Q1 - 3:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
6.8%
16
93.2%
Q1 - 3:49DENMISS Cheaney Dunk12
7.0%
16
93.0%
Q1 - 4:07DETRobinson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)12
7.3%
16
92.7%
Q1 - 4:20DETPISTONS Rebound12
7.8%
14
92.2%
Q1 - 4:22DENMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot12
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 4:40DETStackhouse Dunk (9 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)12
8.6%
14
91.4%
Q1 - 4:43DENWallace STEAL (1 STL)12
9.1%
12
90.9%
Q1 - 5:06DETCurry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
9.6%
12
90.4%
Q1 - 5:28DENHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Satterfield 2 AST)12
8.9%
12
91.1%
Q1 - 5:42DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 5:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
7.6%
12
92.4%
Q1 - 5:46DENMISS Cheaney 14' Jump Shot10
7.8%
12
92.2%
Q1 - 6:03DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 6:05DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
8.0%
12
92.0%
Q1 - 6:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
7.5%
12
92.5%
Q1 - 6:10DETMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
8.0%
12
92.0%
Q1 - 6:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
7.6%
12
92.5%
Q1 - 6:31DENMISS Cheaney 16' Jump Shot10
7.7%
12
92.3%
Q1 - 6:46DETAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)10
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 6:50DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 6:53DENMISS Cheaney 18' Running Jump Shot10
9.7%
9
90.3%
Q1 - 7:13DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)10
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 7:13DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 7:16DENCurry STEAL (1 STL)10
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 7:30DENNuggets Rebound10
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 7:32DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.1%
7
88.9%
Q1 - 7:52DENBateer 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)10
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 7:58DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.9%
7
90.1%
Q1 - 8:01DETMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 8:15DENSatterfield Layup (4 PTS)8
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 8:35DETRobinson Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)6
8.4%
7
91.6%
Q1 - 8:55DENHoward Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 9:14DETCurry Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
8.4%
5
91.6%
Q1 - 9:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.6%
5
92.4%
Q1 - 9:19DENMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot4
7.9%
5
92.1%
Q1 - 9:39DETStackhouse 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
8.4%
5
91.6%
Q1 - 9:50DENCheaney Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
8.8%
3
91.2%
Q1 - 10:07DETStackhouse Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)4
9.5%
3
90.5%
Q1 - 10:16DETStackhouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
10.0%
1
90.0%
Q1 - 10:30DENCheaney 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 10:38DENBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.1%
0
89.9%
Q1 - 10:40DETMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot2
9.9%
0
90.1%
Q1 - 10:54DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.4%
0
90.6%
Q1 - 10:56DENMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot2
9.6%
0
90.4%
Q1 - 11:19DENNuggets Rebound2
9.9%
0
90.1%
Q1 - 11:20DETMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot2
9.8%
0
90.2%
Q1 - 11:44DENSatterfield 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)2
9.4%
0
90.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Bateer: Tip to Cheaney0
8.7%
0
91.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 48.8%
DET
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
10
16
63%
DET
18
27
67%
Midrange
DEN
22
55
40%
DET
8
26
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
4
75%
113%
DET
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
DEN
9
11
82%
DET
22
31
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Cheaney2258%11.0 / 19
J. Howard1650%8.0 / 16
K. Satterfield1447%7.0 / 15
Z. Hamilton857%4.0 / 7
M. Bateer660%3.0 / 5
D. Harvey643%3.0 / 7
J. Posey650%3.0 / 6
C. Andersen233%1.0 / 3
C. Arroyo233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse2250%11.0 / 22
C. Williamson1657%8.0 / 14
J. Barry1558%7.5 / 13
C. Atkins1155%5.5 / 10
B. Wallace750%3.5 / 7
D. Jones758%3.5 / 6
C. Robinson418%2.0 / 11
M. Curry467%2.0 / 3
Z. Rebraca0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
72
+12
-20
84
DET
78
+10
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 48.8%
DET
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
102.0
DEN 89.1
DET 94.5 +5.4
Pace
92.1
92.6
DEN 82.6
DET 102.6 +20.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.7
DEN 17.4
DET 14.0 +3.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
49.7%
DEN 48.7% +4.3%
DET 44.4%
TO %
14.9%
15.0%
DEN 20.8%
DET 13.2% +7.6%
ORB %
30.7%
24.5%
DEN 24.3% +6.8%
DET 17.5%
FTrt
25.6
31.0
DEN 14.7
DET 43.1 +28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
62.0%
DEN 48.6%
DET 63.3% +14.7%
STL %
8.0%
8.5%
DEN 4.3%
DET 16.5% +12.2%
BLK %
8.6%
10.2%
DEN 7.5%
DET 8.5% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
51.3%
DEN 48.8% +0.5%
DET 48.3%
Rim FG%
55.5%
59.4%
DEN 62.5%
DET 66.7% +4.2%
Mid FG%
36.9%
39.1%
DEN 40.0% +9.2%
DET 30.8%
3P %
32.9%
37.6%
DEN 75.0% +53.9%
DET 21.1%
FT %
74.4%
75.6%
DEN 81.8% +10.8%
DET 71.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
31.6%
DEN 21.3%
DET 37.5% +16.2%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
44.4%
DEN 73.3%
DET 36.1% +37.2%
3P Att. %
18.7%
23.9%
DEN 5.3%
DET 26.4% +21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes26.721.3
Points8286
Rebounds4235
Assists1719
Steals415
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)28 (2)
Field Goals35-7530-72
At-the-Rim FG10-1618-27
Midrange FG22-558-26
2-Point FG32-7126-53
3-Point FG3-44-19
Free Throws9-1122-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
38.5
16
50%
8
8
1
0
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
8-16
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
37.0
14
47%
2
7
1
1
3
4
0
2
1-2
50%
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 31
34.0
22
58%
2
0
1
0
3
5
0
2
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 24
22.9
2
33%
5
0
0
1
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 26
15.0
6
60%
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
34.4
8
57%
10
0
0
0
2
3
4
6
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 22
33.0
6
43%
10
1
0
2
1
1
3
7
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 25
14.3
6
50%
2
0
1
0
4
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-2
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
11.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
F · 6'8" 230 · 35
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
49%
42
17
4
4
20
0
9
33
9-11
82%
32-71
45%
3-4
75%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.