FinalWin Prob.pScore
2039%88
81
1661%92
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.09190.0
IND logo IND
105.39596.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND81
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)79
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDMISS Ollie 15' Jump Shot77
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDOllie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 1:00INDMISS Ollie 19' Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24INDMISS Brezec 2' Layup77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAAllen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53INDOllie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33INDSundov 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 9 AST)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40INDBrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05INDMISS Brezec Free Throw 2 of 275
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05INDMISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 275
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27INDSundov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44INDMISS Brezec 8' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIAStepania 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23INDSundov Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAStepania 2' Layup (5 PTS)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43INDMISS Bender 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Carter 2' Layup70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Carter 4' Jump Shot70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17INDSundov 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18INDSundov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20INDMISS Sundov 10' Jump Shot70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWorld Peace STEAL (8 STL)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Stepania Layup70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52INDBender Foul Turnover (P4.T14)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13MIAGatling 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35INDBender 4' Layup (19 PTS) (World Peace 8 AST)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51INDBrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09INDOllie 1' Layup (12 PTS) (World Peace 7 AST)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIAOllie STEAL (2 STL)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38INDBender Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIAEllis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00INDMISS World Peace 10' Jump Shot65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19MIAWorld Peace STEAL (7 STL)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:33MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34INDMISS Bender Free Throw 2 of 265
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:14INDWorld Peace 4' Finger Roll (24 PTS)65
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 9:39MIACarter 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 9:50INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 9:50INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 9:56MIAWorld Peace STEAL (6 STL)63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:58MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 10:06INDOllie Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)63
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWorld Peace STEAL (5 STL)63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 10:30INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 10:30INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 10:46INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Stepania 3' Layup63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Grant 7' Jump Shot63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 11:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 11:03INDMISS Bender 7' Jump Shot63
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 11:15INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot63
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 11:34INDCroshere 2' Layup (6 PTS) (World Peace 6 AST)63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 11:40INDMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)63
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 11:42INDMISS Croshere 17' Jump Shot63
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot61
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (World Peace 5 AST)61
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)61
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 260
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot60
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 1:07INDCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)60
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 1:23INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot60
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 1:52INDWorld Peace 4' Driving Layup (19 PTS)60
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 2:16MIAHouse 1' Layup (6 PTS)60
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 2:19INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)58
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 2:41MIAStepania 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)58
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 2:45INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 3:00INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot56
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 3:22INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)56
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 3:37INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot56
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 3:53INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)56
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)56
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 4:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 4:19INDMISS Ollie 13' Jump Shot54
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 4:41INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)54
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot54
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 5:04INDOllie 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)54
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 5:23MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)54
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 5:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 5:29INDMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot52
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 5:52MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 5:52MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 5:52INDMiller Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)50
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 5:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 6:01INDMISS Miller 4' Jump Shot50
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q3 - 6:18MIAEllis 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 6:38INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 148
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 6:38INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)48
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 6:59MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)48
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 7:19INDFoster 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)46
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 7:31INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWorld Peace BLOCK (2 BLK)46
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 7:46INDWorld Peace 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)46
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 8:03MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)46
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 8:17INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)44
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 8:17INDPACERS Rebound44
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 8:17INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot44
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 9:02INDWorld Peace 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)42
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 9:24MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)42
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q3 - 9:45INDMiller 3' Layup (7 PTS)40
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 9:46INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q3 - 9:47INDMISS Foster 2' Layup40
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 9:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)40
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q3 - 9:51INDMISS Miller 3' Layup40
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 10:07MIAGrant 1' Layup (6 PTS)40
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 10:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Gill 2' Layup38
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 10:32INDFoster 1' Layup (6 PTS)38
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 10:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)38
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q3 - 10:34INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot38
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 10:37INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q3 - 10:40INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q3 - 11:23INDFoster 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q3 - 11:48MIAJones 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)36
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND34
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Gill 23' Jump Shot34
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)34
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot34
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0INDMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot34
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q2 - 1:11INDOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q2 - 1:31INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 1:31INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 1:44MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 1:44MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 2:02INDMiller 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)32
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 2:22MIAStrickland 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 2:25INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIAGill 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)30
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 2:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 2:46INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAOllie STEAL (1 STL)28
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 3:05INDWorld Peace 5' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)28
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 3:13INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)28
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot28
5.5%
47
94.5%
Q2 - 3:27INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)28
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 3:27INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)28
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 3:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)28
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 228
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 3:44MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 4:01INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 4:01INDMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 227
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 4:20INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Mourning 11' Jump Shot27
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 4:39MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 4:42INDMISS Ollie 19' Jump Shot27
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWorld Peace STEAL (4 STL)27
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 5:18INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 5:18INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 5:18INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q2 - 5:18INDMISS Miller 2' Layup27
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 5:33INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q2 - 5:36MIABender BLOCK (1 BLK)27
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 5:50INDBender Foul Turnover (P2.T5)27
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 6:03MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 226
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 6:10INDBender Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)26
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 6:10INDBender 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)26
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 6:31MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)26
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 6:56INDWorld Peace 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)24
10.5%
39
89.5%
Q2 - 7:12MIAStrickland 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
12.1%
37
87.9%
Q2 - 7:25INDWorld Peace 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 7:40INDPACERS Rebound22
12.1%
35
87.9%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 7:51MIAJones Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)22
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 8:12INDBender 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)21
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 8:16MIATinsley STEAL (1 STL)21
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 8:25INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 8:25INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 8:40INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)21
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot21
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q2 - 8:59INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
17.6%
31
82.4%
Q2 - 9:10INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot21
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 9:31INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 9:31INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
18.3%
30
81.7%
Q2 - 9:41INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot21
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 10:00MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 10:02INDMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot21
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 10:22INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 221
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 221
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q2 - 10:35INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 10:35INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
21.5%
28
78.5%
Q2 - 10:44MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q2 - 10:44MIAGatling Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Jones 3' Layup19
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q2 - 11:00INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q2 - 11:00INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 11:12INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot19
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q2 - 11:30INDBender Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q2 - 11:30INDBender 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)19
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q2 - 11:48MIAWorld Peace STEAL (3 STL)19
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)19
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)17
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDFoster 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)17
26.2%
22
73.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0INDMISS Ollie 14' Jump Shot17
29.6%
20
70.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T6)17
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDBender Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 1:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 1:09INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot17
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 1:26INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 1:28INDMISS Croshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 1:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot17
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 1:56INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)17
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 2:06MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)17
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 2:06MIAStrickland 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 2:15INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 2:15INDBender 1' Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)14
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 2:18INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot14
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 2:43MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)14
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 2:43MIAJones 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)13
28.6%
16
71.4%
Q1 - 2:57INDMiller 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)11
26.6%
16
73.4%
Q1 - 3:00INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
28.6%
14
71.4%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWorld Peace BLOCK (1 BLK)11
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.6%
14
69.4%
Q1 - 3:22INDMISS World Peace 5' Jump Shot11
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)11
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 3:58INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 4:10INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 4:13INDMISS Foster 17' Jump Shot9
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHouse 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 4:46INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 5:03INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
22.2%
14
77.8%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot7
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 5:27INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)7
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 5:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
26.8%
11
73.2%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot7
27.4%
11
72.6%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 5:57INDMISS Croshere 6' Jump Shot7
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 6:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot7
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 6:38INDWorld Peace 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 6:59MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)7
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 7:04MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 7:05INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 7:15INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 7:17INDMISS World Peace 3PT Jump Shot5
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 7:27INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Strickland 1' Layup5
27.7%
9
72.3%
Q1 - 7:39INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 7:39INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 7:43MIAFoster STEAL (1 STL)5
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 7:48INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 7:56INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Gill 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
30.9%
7
69.1%
Q1 - 8:23INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (3 PTS)5
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 8:26MIAWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)5
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 8:37INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T3)5
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 8:57INDCroshere 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)5
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMourning 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)5
36.8%
3
63.2%
Q1 - 9:26INDMiller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)3
35.5%
3
64.5%
Q1 - 9:33MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)3
36.8%
1
63.2%
Q1 - 9:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
39.1%
1
60.9%
Q1 - 9:50INDMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot3
38.4%
1
61.6%
Q1 - 10:06INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
36.8%
1
63.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot3
37.4%
1
62.6%
Q1 - 10:21MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
38.8%
1
61.2%
Q1 - 10:23INDMISS Foster 2' Dunk3
38.2%
1
61.8%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
36.8%
1
63.2%
Q1 - 10:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
38.8%
1
61.2%
Q1 - 10:43INDMISS World Peace 3PT Jump Shot3
38.2%
1
61.8%
Q1 - 10:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
36.8%
1
63.2%
Q1 - 10:48INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot3
38.2%
1
61.8%
Q1 - 11:02MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)3
36.9%
1
63.1%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.4%
1
66.6%
Q1 - 11:20INDMISS World Peace 5' Jump Shot0
33.0%
1
67.0%
Q1 - 11:31INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.9%
1
68.1%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)0
32.4%
1
67.6%
Q1 - 11:48INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
33.4%
1
66.6%
Q1 - 11:48INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 20
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Foster vs. Mourning: Tip to Tinsley0
33.5%
0
66.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.6%
IND
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
26
65%
IND
19
27
70%
Midrange
MIA
12
38
32%
IND
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
IND
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
17
22
77%
IND
29
35
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1547%7.5 / 16
R. Strickland1045%5.0 / 11
B. Grant844%4.0 / 9
A. Mourning857%4.0 / 7
V. Stepania857%4.0 / 7
L. Ellis758%3.5 / 6
K. Gill643%3.0 / 7
E. House630%3.0 / 10
C. Gatling563%2.5 / 4
M. Allen467%2.0 / 3
A. Carter220%1.0 / 5
S. Marks2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace2460%12.0 / 20
J. Bender1973%9.5 / 13
R. Miller1458%7.0 / 12
K. Ollie1354%6.5 / 12
J. Foster850%4.0 / 8
A. Croshere844%4.0 / 9
B. Miller744%3.5 / 8
B. Sundov467%2.0 / 3
J. Tinsley350%1.5 / 3
P. Brezec0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+9
-15
85
IND
79
+16
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.6%
IND
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
101.3
MIA 89.0 +16.3
IND 105.3
Pace
89.7
94.6
MIA 90.0
IND 96.1 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.1
MIA 16.0
IND 15.0 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.7%
MIA 43.2%
IND 49.3% +6.1%
TO %
15.5%
15.2%
MIA 15.2% +1.1%
IND 16.3%
ORB %
26.7%
27.0%
MIA 20.5%
IND 37.5% +17.0%
FTrt
26.8
32.8
MIA 29.7
IND 48.6 +18.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
64.2%
MIA 48.4%
IND 58.8% +10.4%
STL %
7.4%
8.4%
MIA 12.1%
IND 12.6% +0.5%
BLK %
8.7%
7.8%
MIA 8.5% +2.2%
IND 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
50.1%
MIA 46.6%
IND 52.6% +6.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
58.6%
MIA 65.4%
IND 70.4% +5.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
40.1%
MIA 31.6%
IND 37.5% +5.9%
3P %
34.7%
33.9%
MIA 20.0%
IND 23.1% +3.1%
FT %
72.4%
77.2%
MIA 77.3%
IND 82.9% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
30.5%
MIA 35.1%
IND 37.5% +2.4%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
51.4%
MIA 51.4%
IND 44.4% +6.9%
3P Att. %
14.1%
18.2%
MIA 13.5%
IND 18.1% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9195
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points81100
Rebounds3450
Assists1520
Steals1112
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)35 (1)
Field Goals31-7434-72
At-the-Rim FG17-2619-27
Midrange FG12-3812-32
2-Point FG29-6431-59
3-Point FG2-103-13
Free Throws17-2229-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
30.1
15
47%
3
3
1
0
2
5
0
3
4-6
67%
4-10
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
26.5
8
44%
2
1
0
0
3
5
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
26.1
10
45%
0
3
1
0
2
1
0
0
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
25.1
8
57%
6
2
0
4
3
3
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
18.3
6
43%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
29.0
6
30%
3
1
5
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
25.7
7
58%
3
0
1
0
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" · 35
18.2
5
63%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
15.9
8
57%
4
0
1
1
1
3
3
1
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
15.9
2
20%
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
4.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
4.6
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
47%
34
15
11
5
15
0
9
25
17-22
77%
29-64
45%
2-10
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.