FinalWin Prob.pScore
2229%87
80
1971%94
92
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
94.18597.1
MIA logo MIA
102.29080.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLBowdler 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T10)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMarks Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 277
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ATLMarks STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Marks 17' Jump Shot77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)77
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01ATLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 2:01ATLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 2:09MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 275
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 2:11ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 2:11ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)74
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 2:21MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 273
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33ATLMISS Bowdler 19' Jump Shot73
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:46ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 273
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 273
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot73
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 3:11ATLNewble Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 3:11ATLNewble Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 3:17ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot71
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43ATLNewble Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 3:57MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)69
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 4:07ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)69
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIAStepania Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)66
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)63
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43ATLMISS Terry Layup63
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 263
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 263
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18ATLBowdler Tip Shot (2 PTS)63
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21ATLMISS Terry Layup61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Newble Free Throw 2 of 261
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Newble Free Throw 1 of 261
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34ATLHawks Rebound61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14ATLTerry 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)59
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 258
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20ATLAbdur-Rahim Dunk (18 PTS) (Mottola 1 AST)58
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 7:24ATLMISS Mottola 8' Running Jump Shot56
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 7:40ATLMISS Vaughn 6' Jump Shot56
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 8:07MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 8:08ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Layup56
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 8:27ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 256
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 256
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)56
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 8:35ATLMISS Kukoc Tip Shot56
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 8:37ATLKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot56
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 9:02MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q4 - 9:22ATLJohnson Driving Layup (7 PTS)56
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q4 - 9:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS House 8' Running Jump Shot54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 9:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)54
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 9:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Gatling 8' Jump Shot54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 10:08ATLAbdur-Rahim 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)54
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 10:28ATLHawks Rebound52
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 10:38ATLGatling STEAL (1 STL)52
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 10:57MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)52
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 11:20ATLStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)52
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q4 - 11:35MIAGatling Layup (15 PTS)52
0.8%
71
99.2%
Q4 - 11:36MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Gatling Tip Shot52
1.1%
69
98.9%
Q4 - 11:39MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot52
1.1%
69
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA52
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Kukoc Layup52
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)52
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHEAT Rebound52
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Jones Layup52
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLTerry Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T15)52
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot52
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)52
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (13 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)51
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAGatling Layup (13 PTS)49
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 1:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)49
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 1:34ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot49
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 1:42ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
1.4%
67
98.6%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot49
1.3%
67
98.7%
Q3 - 1:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q3 - 1:51ATLMISS Kukoc 3PT Jump Shot49
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 2:33ATLHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 2:33ATLHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 2:50MIAGatling Dunk (11 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)47
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q3 - 2:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 13' Jump Shot47
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q3 - 3:32ATLVaughn 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)47
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 3:58MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 3:58MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 4:02ATLMourning STEAL (1 STL)45
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q3 - 4:25MIAGatling 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)45
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q3 - 4:37MIAHEAT Rebound45
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot45
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 4:55ATLMottola 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)45
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q3 - 5:06MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q3 - 5:06MIAGatling Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Mourning 3 AST)43
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q3 - 5:29ATLHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q3 - 5:29ATLMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 242
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q3 - 5:50MIAJones Dunk (11 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)42
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q3 - 6:07ATLTerry 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)42
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q3 - 6:14ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
6.9%
51
93.1%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot40
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q3 - 6:36ATLTerry Layup (11 PTS)40
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q3 - 6:45ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot38
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q3 - 7:09ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 12' Jump Shot38
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q3 - 7:29MIAStrickland 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
5.4%
51
94.6%
Q3 - 7:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q3 - 7:37ATLMISS Newble 17' Jump Shot38
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q3 - 7:54MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)38
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHEAT Rebound38
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q3 - 8:08ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)38
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q3 - 8:17ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)38
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q3 - 8:28ATLHawks Rebound37
8.5%
47
91.5%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot37
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q3 - 8:54ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q3 - 8:54ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 236
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q3 - 9:46MIAGrant Slam Dunk (9 PTS)34
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q3 - 10:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)34
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q3 - 10:06ATLGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)34
9.0%
43
91.0%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMourning Tip Shot (8 PTS)34
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Gill Layup34
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q3 - 10:33ATLGrant STEAL (5 STL)34
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q3 - 10:51MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)34
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)34
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q3 - 11:14ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot34
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q3 - 11:24ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
16.2%
39
83.8%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot34
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q3 - 11:42ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q3 - 11:42ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA32
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot32
12.2%
39
87.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAJones Reverse Layup (9 PTS)32
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLHenderson Dunk (6 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)32
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Ellis Tip Shot30
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Strickland 3' Jump Shot30
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLHenderson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
11.8%
37
88.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Kukoc 14' Jump Shot28
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)28
10.4%
37
89.6%
Q2 - 1:36ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 1:36ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 227
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 1:36ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 1:38ATLMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot27
11.2%
35
88.8%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJones Reverse Layup (7 PTS)27
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 2:12ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)27
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 2:14ATLHawks Rebound27
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 2:16ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 2:37MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 2:44ATLGrant STEAL (4 STL)27
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 3:06MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
15.4%
33
84.6%
Q2 - 3:11ATLHouse STEAL (2 STL)27
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 3:19ATLKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot27
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 3:43ATLVaughn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)27
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 3:58MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
13.9%
31
86.1%
Q2 - 3:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)24
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot24
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 4:33ATLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)24
13.0%
31
87.0%
Q2 - 4:42ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
13.9%
31
86.1%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot24
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q2 - 5:00ATLTerry 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 5:14MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 5:14MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)22
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 5:19ATLGrant STEAL (3 STL)22
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 5:34MIAGrant 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)22
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q2 - 5:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)22
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q2 - 6:09ATLMISS Mohammed 17' Jump Shot22
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)22
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q2 - 6:43MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q2 - 6:45ATLMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q2 - 6:58ATLTerry 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)22
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q2 - 7:08ATLKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot19
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q2 - 7:32ATLKukoc Layup (2 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)19
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q2 - 7:50ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15.8%
23
84.2%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot17
15.4%
23
84.6%
Q2 - 8:10ATLHenderson Layup (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)17
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q2 - 8:12ATLKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
13.3%
23
86.7%
Q2 - 8:14ATLGatling BLOCK (1 BLK)15
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q2 - 8:31ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
13.3%
23
86.7%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot15
12.9%
23
87.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
12.1%
23
87.9%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot15
12.9%
23
87.1%
Q2 - 9:13MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q2 - 9:15ATLEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)15
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q2 - 9:17ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
13.4%
23
86.6%
Q2 - 9:19ATLMISS Henderson 9' Running Jump Shot15
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q2 - 9:27ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
13.4%
23
86.6%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Gatling 4' Jump Shot15
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot15
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q2 - 9:52ATLAbdur-Rahim 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T8)15
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q2 - 10:11MIAEllis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)15
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q2 - 10:19MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
14.7%
21
85.3%
Q2 - 10:21ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q2 - 10:37MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)15
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q2 - 10:52ATLHouse STEAL (1 STL)15
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q2 - 11:07ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Gatling 7' Hook Shot15
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
17.2%
19
82.8%
Q2 - 11:32ATLMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot15
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q2 - 11:38ATLHawks Rebound15
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q2 - 11:39ATLMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL15
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis Layup15
18.3%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLGrant STEAL (2 STL)15
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAGatling Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)15
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
20.3%
17
79.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 214
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 1:05MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 1:21ATLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)14
21.9%
15
78.1%
Q1 - 1:41MIAGatling 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
23.2%
15
76.8%
Q1 - 1:53MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25.3%
13
74.7%
Q1 - 1:55ATLMISS Mohammed 6' Jump Shot14
25.7%
13
74.3%
Q1 - 2:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Gatling 17' Fadeaway Jumper14
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 2:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
25.2%
13
74.8%
Q1 - 2:30ATLMISS Newble 17' Jump Shot14
25.7%
13
74.3%
Q1 - 2:55ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
26.8%
13
73.2%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot14
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 3:12ATLAbdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
24.7%
13
75.3%
Q1 - 3:27ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 3:29ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot12
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)12
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 4:14ATLAbdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)12
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 4:26ATLHawks Rebound10
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot10
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 4:46ATLAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)10
21.2%
11
78.8%
Q1 - 4:51ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot10
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 5:21ATLNewble Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)10
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 5:25MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
19.8%
11
80.2%
Q1 - 5:38ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)8
18.4%
11
81.6%
Q1 - 5:54ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Grant Dunk5
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 6:12MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Abdur-Rahim: Tip to Mourning5
15.1%
11
84.9%
Q1 - 6:12ATLGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)5
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)5
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 6:42ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 6:46MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 7:02ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)5
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 7:09ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Gill Layup5
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 7:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)5
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 7:27ATLMISS Newble Tip Shot5
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 7:28ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 7:29ATLMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot5
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 7:49MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
19.9%
7
80.1%
Q1 - 7:55ATLGrant STEAL (1 STL)5
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)5
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Mourning Layup5
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 8:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 8:19ATLStrickland BLOCK (1 BLK)5
23.7%
4
76.3%
Q1 - 8:36ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot5
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 25
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 25
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:17ATLAbdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)5
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 9:30MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)3
22.0%
4
78.0%
Q1 - 9:43MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 9:45ATLMISS Mohammed 17' Jump Shot3
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 9:56ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 10:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 10:49ATLJohnson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 10:58ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 11:09ATLMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Mourning Layup0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Mourning Dunk0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Mohammed: Tip to Strickland0
21.8%
0
78.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.95 47.6%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
22
55%
MIA
17
29
59%
Midrange
ATL
11
34
32%
MIA
17
47
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
4
6.0
7
57%
86%
Free Throws
ATL
19
27
70%
MIA
12
24
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry2377%11.5 / 15
S. Abdur-Rahim1953%9.5 / 18
A. Henderson975%4.5 / 6
D. Johnson840%4.0 / 10
J. Vaughn750%3.5 / 7
I. Newble643%3.0 / 7
C. Bowdler467%2.0 / 3
T. Kukoc213%1.0 / 8
H. Mottola250%1.0 / 2
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1662%8.0 / 13
B. Grant1583%7.5 / 9
C. Gatling1547%7.5 / 16
E. House1359%6.5 / 11
R. Strickland1150%5.5 / 11
A. Mourning1036%5.0 / 14
L. Ellis850%4.0 / 8
V. Stepania250%1.0 / 2
S. Marks233%1.0 / 3
K. Gill0-0.0 / 6
A. Carter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+14
-17
82
MIA
81
+18
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.95 47.6%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
96.1
ATL 94.1 +8.1
MIA 102.2
Pace
93.6
89.7
ATL 97.1 +17.0
MIA 80.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.7
ATL 14.8 +3.2
MIA 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
46.3%
ATL 43.6%
MIA 48.2% +4.6%
TO %
15.6%
15.5%
ATL 18.0%
MIA 9.7% +8.3%
ORB %
27.5%
26.7%
ATL 28.9%
MIA 36.4% +7.5%
FTrt
29.4
26.8
ATL 38.6 +9.7
MIA 28.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
59.4%
ATL 46.4%
MIA 57.9% +11.5%
STL %
8.5%
7.4%
ATL 4.7%
MIA 12.2% +7.5%
BLK %
6.5%
8.7%
ATL 3.9%
MIA 12.5% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
47.7%
ATL 47.6% +1.1%
MIA 46.5%
Rim FG%
55.2%
60.6%
ATL 54.5%
MIA 58.6% +4.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.0%
ATL 32.4%
MIA 36.2% +3.8%
3P %
35.4%
34.7%
ATL 35.7%
MIA 57.1% +21.4%
FT %
76.5%
72.4%
ATL 70.4% +20.4%
MIA 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.9%
28.1%
ATL 31.4%
MIA 34.9% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
57.8%
ATL 48.6% +8.1%
MIA 56.6%
3P Att. %
18.1%
14.1%
ATL 20.0% +11.6%
MIA 8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8590
Possession Minutes21.027.0
Points8092
Rebounds3943
Assists1322
Steals411
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals28-7038-83
At-the-Rim FG12-2217-29
Midrange FG11-3417-47
2-Point FG23-5634-76
3-Point FG5-144-7
Free Throws19-2712-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
39.5
23
77%
1
6
0
0
4
1
0
1
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
35.6
19
53%
7
1
0
1
4
3
2
5
7-11
64%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 210 · 22
32.1
8
40%
5
1
2
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 220 · 27
29.0
6
43%
3
0
0
1
0
6
1
2
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 25
21.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
24.6
7
50%
3
1
0
0
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 34
20.3
2
13%
4
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29
13.1
9
75%
7
0
1
1
1
2
2
5
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 26
12.3
2
50%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 25
6.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 21
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
48%
39
13
4
3
17
0
11
28
19-27
70%
23-56
41%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.