FinalWin Prob.pScore
1537%98
106
1263%103
114
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
102.9103109.0
ORL logo ORL
112.910195.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL106
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)104
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDMISS Mercer 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2104
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)104
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)104
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)103
1.2%
109
98.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (29 PTS)102
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 1:04INDCroshere Layup (19 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)102
2.4%
107
97.6%
Q4 - 1:13INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
1.7%
107
98.3%
Q4 - 1:14ORLMISS Hudson 15' Jump Shot100
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 1:36INDMercer 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)100
1.5%
107
98.5%
Q4 - 1:43INDPacers Rebound98
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 1:44INDMcGrady BLOCK (3 BLK)98
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 1:54ORLHudson Driving Layup (12 PTS)98
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 2:15INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 2:15INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 2:25ORLWilliams Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)96
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 2:44ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
1.8%
103
98.2%
Q4 - 2:48INDMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot96
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 3:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)96
4.3%
103
95.7%
Q4 - 3:03ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot96
3.6%
103
96.4%
Q4 - 3:20INDOllie Layup (12 PTS) (Croshere 4 AST)96
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 3:33ORLMcGrady Reverse Layup (27 PTS)94
3.0%
103
97.0%
Q4 - 3:45INDCroshere 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)94
4.0%
101
96.0%
Q4 - 3:46INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)92
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 3:49INDWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)92
2.2%
101
97.8%
Q4 - 4:07ORLMcGrady Alley Oop Layup (25 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)92
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 4:14INDArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)92
3.8%
99
96.2%
Q4 - 4:19ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)92
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 4:31INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)92
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 4:31INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)91
3.4%
99
96.6%
Q4 - 4:49ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)90
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 5:06INDTinsley Driving Layup (10 PTS)90
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 5:15INDMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
3.6%
97
96.4%
Q4 - 5:16ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q4 - 5:32ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 5:32INDMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 288
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 5:32INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
3.5%
97
96.5%
Q4 - 5:43ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 5:43ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 287
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q4 - 5:52INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 5:52INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 5:57INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)85
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 5:58ORLMISS Miller 3' Running Layup85
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 6:17ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 6:20INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 6:28INDOllie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 6:29ORLMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot85
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 6:41ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 6:43INDMISS Mercer 10' Running Jump Shot85
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 6:58ORLMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Garrity 3 AST)85
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 7:15INDCroshere Dunk (15 PTS) (Ollie 4 AST)85
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q4 - 7:18INDOllie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 7:20INDMISS Mercer 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 7:44ORLHudson 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)83
4.3%
93
95.7%
Q4 - 8:05INDCroshere Traveling Turnover (P2.T20)83
6.6%
91
93.4%
Q4 - 8:13INDMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
8.3%
91
91.7%
Q4 - 8:15ORLMISS Hudson 22' Jump Shot83
7.7%
91
92.3%
Q4 - 8:25INDCroshere Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T19)83
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 8:38ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)83
8.3%
91
91.7%
Q4 - 8:57INDMercer 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ollie 3 AST)83
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 9:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 9:04ORLMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot81
5.5%
91
94.5%
Q4 - 9:11ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 9:12INDMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot81
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q4 - 9:18ORLMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)81
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 9:34INDCroshere 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 9:47INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q4 - 9:49ORLMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot79
3.4%
91
96.6%
Q4 - 9:57INDGarrity STEAL (3 STL)79
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 10:03INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q4 - 10:05ORLMISS Williams 5' Hook Shot79
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 10:25INDOllie Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)79
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q4 - 10:30ORLMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)77
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 10:46INDMiller Layup (15 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)77
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 10:47INDPacers Rebound75
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 10:48INDMISS Ollie Reverse Layup75
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 10:54INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 10:55ORLMISS Williams Finger Roll75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 11:13INDTinsley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)75
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 11:25INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 11:27ORLMISS Hudson 10' Fadeaway Jumper72
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 11:44INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)72
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 11:44INDOllie Driving Layup (5 PTS)71
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL69
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDOllie 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)69
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLHudson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 1 of 266
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLMISS McGrady Reverse Layup66
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P8.T17)66
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 1:02ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (20 PTS)66
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 1:08INDWilliams STEAL (3 STL)66
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 1:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 1:11INDMISS Croshere 6' Running Jump Shot66
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 1:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 1:30ORLMISS Hudson Layup66
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q3 - 1:42ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 1:43INDMISS Foster Layup66
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 1:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)66
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 1:46INDMISS Croshere Layup66
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 1:56INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 1:58INDMISS Mercer 3PT Jump Shot66
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 2:14ORLMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 2:14ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 2:18INDDeClercq STEAL (4 STL)66
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 2:23INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 2:24ORLMISS DeClercq Layup66
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 2:32ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 2:34INDMcGrady BLOCK (2 BLK)66
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 2:35INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 2:37INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot66
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 2:53ORLDeClercq 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)66
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 3:05INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q3 - 3:05INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)65
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q3 - 3:23ORLMiller 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)64
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q3 - 3:32ORLMAGIC Rebound64
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q3 - 3:33INDMISS Tinsley 13' Jump Shot64
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q3 - 3:49ORLMcGrady 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q3 - 4:16INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)64
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 4:29INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 4:31ORLMISS Garrity 16' Jump Shot61
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 4:57INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Croshere 3 AST)61
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 5:17ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)58
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 5:29ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 5:31INDMISS World Peace 15' Running Jump Shot58
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 5:41INDMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 5:42ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot58
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 5:51ORLGarrity Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)58
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 5:51ORLGarrity Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 5:51ORLMAGIC Rebound58
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 5:51INDMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot58
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 6:07ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 6:07ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 6:10ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 6:12INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 6:17ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)58
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 6:20ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q3 - 6:21INDMISS Ollie Layup58
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 6:23INDOllie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 6:25INDDeClercq BLOCK (2 BLK)58
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 6:43ORLArmstrong 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)58
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 7:01INDCroshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)58
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 7:14INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 7:16ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 7:24ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 7:26INDMISS Croshere 19' Jump Shot55
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 7:51ORLWilliams Layup (14 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)55
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 7:55INDDeClercq STEAL (3 STL)55
6.2%
68
93.8%
Q3 - 8:19ORLMcGrady 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (DeClercq 2 AST)55
7.7%
68
92.3%
Q3 - 8:27ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 8:29ORLMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot55
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 8:35INDDeClercq STEAL (2 STL)55
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 8:36INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
11.6%
65
88.4%
Q3 - 8:38INDMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 9:09INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 9:10ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q3 - 9:23INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)55
10.2%
65
89.8%
Q3 - 9:23INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)54
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 9:27ORLDeClercq Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)53
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 9:30ORLMAGIC Rebound53
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 9:31ORLMISS Williams Layup53
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 9:37ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 9:38INDMISS World Peace 13' Jump Shot53
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 10:02ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 10:02ORLWilliams Tip Shot (12 PTS)53
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 10:03ORLMISS Williams Layup53
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 10:04ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 10:06ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 10:14ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 10:16INDMISS World Peace 16' Jump Shot53
11.0%
63
89.0%
Q3 - 10:30ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 10:30ORLDeClercq Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)53
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 10:32ORLMISS Williams Driving Layup53
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 10:51INDTinsley Traveling Turnover (P6.T12)53
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 10:53INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
15.4%
61
84.6%
Q3 - 10:55ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot53
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 11:02INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)53
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 11:11ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
15.6%
61
84.4%
Q3 - 11:22INDWorld Peace 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)53
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q3 - 11:46ORLArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)51
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL51
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (3 PTS)51
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Hudson Free Throw 1 of 249
17.9%
55
82.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)49
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0INDTinsley 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q2 - 1:01ORLWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)44
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q2 - 1:06ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q2 - 1:08INDMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)44
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMiller 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
14.4%
53
85.6%
Q2 - 1:25ORLMAGIC Rebound44
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q2 - 1:26ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.6%
51
82.4%
Q2 - 1:41INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q2 - 1:41INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
16.7%
51
83.3%
Q2 - 1:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 1:50ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 1:50ORLMISS Garrity Tip Shot42
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 1:51ORLMISS DeClercq 14' Jump Shot42
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 2:15INDFoster Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)42
13.7%
51
86.3%
Q2 - 2:30INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q2 - 2:31ORLMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 240
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 2:31ORLMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 240
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 2:36INDMiller STEAL (1 STL)40
11.0%
51
89.0%
Q2 - 2:43INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q2 - 2:46ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q2 - 3:00INDFoster 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
11.0%
51
89.0%
Q2 - 3:22ORLMiller Dunk (6 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)38
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 3:26INDMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)38
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q2 - 3:40ORLMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q2 - 3:50ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q2 - 3:51INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot38
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 4:12ORLArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 4:30INDMiller 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)38
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
14.5%
46
85.5%
Q2 - 4:58ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 4:58INDMISS Ollie Free Throw 2 of 236
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 4:58INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q2 - 4:58INDPacers Rebound35
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 4:59INDMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot35
14.9%
44
85.1%
Q2 - 5:10INDOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 5:12ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot35
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 5:14ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 5:16ORLMISS Armstrong 13' Jump Shot35
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 5:27INDFoster Foul Turnover (P2.T8)35
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 5:44ORLDeClercq 2' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)35
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 5:58INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 5:58INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 6:21ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)33
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 6:39INDMiller 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS)33
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q2 - 7:03ORLWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)31
18.6%
39
81.4%
Q2 - 7:09ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 7:11INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.7%
37
79.3%
Q2 - 7:27ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 7:27ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
22.5%
36
77.5%
Q2 - 7:31INDDeClercq STEAL (1 STL)31
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 7:55INDPacers Rebound31
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 7:57ORLMISS Hudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
25.2%
35
74.8%
Q2 - 8:18INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)31
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 8:18INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
23.3%
35
76.7%
Q2 - 8:33ORLHudson Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 8:37ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
23.7%
33
76.3%
Q2 - 8:38INDMISS Mercer Layup29
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 8:40INDMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q2 - 8:42INDMISS Miller 11' Turnaround Jump Shot29
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 9:05ORLArmstrong Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)29
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q2 - 9:09INDWilliams STEAL (2 STL)29
27.6%
31
72.4%
Q2 - 9:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 9:20INDMISS Mercer 16' Jump Shot29
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 9:33INDPacers Rebound29
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 9:34INDMISS Miller 11' Jump Shot29
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 9:49INDPacers Rebound29
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 9:49INDDeClercq BLOCK (1 BLK)29
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 10:04INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 10:06ORLMISS Hudson 19' Jump Shot29
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 10:10ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 10:11ORLMISS Reid 6' Turnaround Hook Shot29
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 10:26ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 10:27INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 10:37INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 10:39ORLMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 10:44INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)29
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 10:47ORLMiller Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)29
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 10:55ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 10:56INDMISS Croshere 20' Jump Shot29
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 11:10ORLReid Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
33.8%
29
66.2%
Q2 - 11:10ORLMISS Reid Free Throw 1 of 229
34.4%
28
65.6%
Q2 - 11:21INDMercer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)29
33.8%
28
66.2%
Q2 - 11:38ORLDeClercq Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)27
31.7%
28
68.3%
Q2 - 11:43ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q2 - 11:45ORLMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot27
35.4%
26
64.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND27
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound27
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Miller 47' 3PT Jump Shot27
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS DeClercq 13' Hook Shot27
35.0%
26
65.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)27
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLReid Layup (4 PTS)24
29.3%
26
70.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDMercer Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)24
31.7%
24
68.3%
Q1 - 1:11ORLReid Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
33.4%
24
66.6%
Q1 - 1:11ORLReid Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
34.1%
23
65.9%
Q1 - 1:17ORLReid REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q1 - 1:18ORLMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot24
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q1 - 1:39INDCroshere 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)24
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q1 - 2:04ORLHudson Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)22
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q1 - 2:18ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
35.9%
20
64.1%
Q1 - 2:19INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot22
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q1 - 2:43ORLGarrity 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)22
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 2:51INDGarrity STEAL (2 STL)22
40.3%
18
59.7%
Q1 - 2:58INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
42.4%
18
57.6%
Q1 - 2:59ORLMISS Miller Layup22
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 3:09INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 3:09INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
38.9%
18
61.1%
Q1 - 3:25INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 3:28ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
37.0%
18
63.0%
Q1 - 3:36INDFoster Layup (4 PTS)20
35.3%
18
64.7%
Q1 - 3:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q1 - 3:39INDMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)18
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 3:56ORLArmstrong Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)18
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 3:58ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 4:00INDMISS Foster 16' Jump Shot18
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 4:16ORLMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)18
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 4:28INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)18
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 4:54ORLArmstrong 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)16
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 4:59INDGarrity STEAL (1 STL)16
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 5:08ORLMcGrady 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)16
40.6%
12
59.4%
Q1 - 5:19INDMiller 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)16
42.5%
10
57.5%
Q1 - 5:32INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 5:34ORLMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot14
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 5:40INDGrant STEAL (1 STL)14
38.5%
10
61.5%
Q1 - 5:57ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)14
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 6:09ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 6:11INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 6:30ORLWilliams Finger Roll (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)14
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 6:32ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
41.9%
8
58.1%
Q1 - 6:34INDMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot14
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 6:49ORLMcGrady Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)14
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 7:06INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)14
44.7%
6
55.3%
Q1 - 7:11INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 7:12ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot11
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 7:22ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 7:22INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 211
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 7:22INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 7:39ORLArmstrong 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 8:04INDMiller Dunk (6 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)10
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 8:23ORLWilliams Layup (2 PTS)8
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 8:44INDMiller Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)8
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 8:50ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)6
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 9:06INDFoster Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)6
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 9:18INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 9:20ORLMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot4
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 9:31ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 9:32INDMISS World Peace Layup4
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 9:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 9:39INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 9:46ORLGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 10:13INDMiller 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 10:24INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:26ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot2
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:35ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 10:36INDMISS Foster Layup2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 10:51ORLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 11:10INDMiller Layup (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 11:26ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 11:26ORLMcGrady Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 11:27ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:39ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:40INDMISS Tinsley 10' Running Jump Shot0
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Foster: Tip to Tinsley0
31.8%
0
68.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.0%
ORL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
26
58%
ORL
27
39
69%
Midrange
IND
14
37
38%
ORL
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
ORL
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
IND
27
31
87%
ORL
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Miller2071%10.0 / 14
A. Croshere1959%9.5 / 16
R. Miller1657%8.0 / 14
K. Ollie1667%8.0 / 12
J. Tinsley1255%6.0 / 11
J. Foster1063%5.0 / 8
M. World Peace727%3.5 / 13
R. Mercer627%3.0 / 11
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2958%14.5 / 25
M. Williams1963%9.5 / 15
D. Armstrong1558%7.5 / 13
M. Miller1550%7.5 / 15
T. Hudson1450%7.0 / 14
P. Garrity956%4.5 / 8
A. DeClercq857%4.0 / 7
D. Reid563%2.5 / 4
H. Grant0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
82
+18
-21
100
ORL
89
+12
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.0%
ORL
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
104.4
IND 102.9
ORL 112.9 +10.0
Pace
94.6
95.6
IND 109.0 +13.2
ORL 95.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.6
IND 13.2 +1.8
ORL 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
49.3%
IND 47.6%
ORL 53.4% +5.8%
TO %
15.2%
13.7%
IND 17.9%
ORL 10.7% +7.2%
ORB %
27.0%
26.4%
IND 28.6% +5.3%
ORL 23.3%
FTrt
32.8
27.8
IND 37.3 +9.2
ORL 28.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.2%
58.4%
IND 69.4% +11.6%
ORL 57.8%
STL %
8.4%
8.4%
IND 9.7%
ORL 13.9% +4.2%
BLK %
7.8%
6.8%
IND 4.2%
ORL 11.1% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
50.9%
IND 53.0%
ORL 54.8% +1.8%
Rim FG%
58.6%
57.9%
IND 57.7%
ORL 69.2% +11.5%
Mid FG%
40.1%
38.6%
IND 37.8%
ORL 40.6% +2.8%
3P %
33.9%
37.3%
IND 35.0% +7.2%
ORL 27.8%
FT %
77.2%
75.4%
IND 87.1% +11.1%
ORL 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
33.5%
IND 31.3%
ORL 43.8% +12.5%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
42.4%
IND 44.6%
ORL 36.0% +8.6%
3P Att. %
18.2%
24.1%
IND 24.1% +3.9%
ORL 20.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDORL
Possessions103101
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points106114
Rebounds4540
Assists2526
Steals1014
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals36-8345-89
At-the-Rim FG15-2627-39
Midrange FG14-3713-32
2-Point FG29-6340-71
3-Point FG7-205-18
Free Throws27-3119-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 37
43.4
16
57%
2
6
0
2
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
34.2
12
55%
4
4
4
0
8
6
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 250 · 25
28.0
10
63%
8
2
2
0
3
2
5
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 261 · 26
27.4
20
71%
7
0
1
0
4
1
1
6
6-6
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 22
25.5
7
27%
2
4
1
0
1
5
0
2
3-4
75%
2-9
22%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 29
28.6
16
67%
4
4
1
0
2
1
2
2
8-9
89%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
28.2
6
27%
5
1
0
0
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
24.6
19
59%
13
4
1
1
2
2
3
10
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23
F · 7'0" 230 · 21
C · 7'1" 255 · 22
C · 7'2" 260 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
53%
45
25
10
3
21
0
12
33
27-31
87%
29-63
46%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.