FinalWin Prob.pScore
148%106
111
1052%107
113
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
123.39087.6
MIN logo MIN
125.69092.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL111
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound111
3.5%
113
96.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot111
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 0:01.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)111
3.5%
113
96.5%
Q4 - 0:01.0MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2111
2.6%
113
97.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)111
3.0%
112
97.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALMISS Nash Layup111
4.1%
112
95.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)111
40.6%
112
59.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot111
33.2%
112
66.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound111
24.4%
112
75.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
36.3%
112
63.7%
Q4 - 1:00DALNash 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)111
26.6%
112
73.4%
Q4 - 1:11MINNesterovic Dunk (18 PTS) (Billups 17 AST)108
11.3%
112
88.7%
Q4 - 1:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
19.6%
110
80.4%
Q4 - 1:29DALNowitzki Layup (34 PTS)108
19.6%
110
80.4%
Q4 - 1:32DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot106
9.8%
110
90.2%
Q4 - 1:52MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)106
15.3%
110
84.7%
Q4 - 1:52MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2106
16.3%
109
83.7%
Q4 - 2:13DALVan Exel 10' Running Hook Shot (20 PTS)106
14.8%
109
85.2%
Q4 - 2:26DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
12.1%
109
87.9%
Q4 - 2:28MINMISS Garnett 10' Jump Shot104
9.9%
109
90.1%
Q4 - 2:44DALGarnett STEAL (2 STL)104
6.3%
109
93.7%
Q4 - 3:00MINGarnett 8' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Szczerbiak 4 AST)104
13.2%
109
86.8%
Q4 - 3:13DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)104
16.3%
107
83.7%
Q4 - 3:13DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)103
15.6%
107
84.4%
Q4 - 3:15DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
13.3%
107
86.7%
Q4 - 3:16DALMISS Finley 8' Jump Shot102
9.0%
107
91.0%
Q4 - 3:30DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)102
13.4%
107
86.6%
Q4 - 3:32MINMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot102
14.4%
107
85.6%
Q4 - 3:52MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
10.9%
107
89.1%
Q4 - 3:54DALMISS Van Exel 27' 3PT Jump Shot102
12.1%
107
87.9%
Q4 - 4:12DALMavericks Rebound102
15.0%
107
85.0%
Q4 - 4:14DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot102
11.8%
107
88.2%
Q4 - 4:27DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
14.9%
107
85.1%
Q4 - 4:29MINMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot102
13.4%
107
86.6%
Q4 - 4:53MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
10.4%
107
89.6%
Q4 - 4:54DALMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot102
11.6%
107
88.4%
Q4 - 5:04DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)102
17.6%
107
82.4%
Q4 - 5:06MINMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot102
16.1%
107
83.9%
Q4 - 5:25MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)102
13.0%
107
87.0%
Q4 - 5:25DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2102
13.5%
107
86.5%
Q4 - 5:25DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)102
16.6%
107
83.4%
Q4 - 5:45DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
13.1%
107
86.9%
Q4 - 5:45MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2101
12.6%
107
87.4%
Q4 - 5:45MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)101
10.2%
107
89.8%
Q4 - 5:59DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)101
12.9%
106
87.1%
Q4 - 5:59DALBradley Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)100
9.6%
106
90.4%
Q4 - 6:26MINGarnett 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 16 AST)98
9.0%
106
91.0%
Q4 - 6:32MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)98
11.3%
104
88.7%
Q4 - 6:34DALMISS Finley 10' Jump Shot98
12.4%
104
87.6%
Q4 - 6:45MINTrent Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)98
15.3%
104
84.7%
Q4 - 6:45MINMISS Trent Free Throw 1 of 298
16.5%
103
83.5%
Q4 - 7:05DALBradley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)98
17.1%
103
82.9%
Q4 - 7:22MINBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)96
13.9%
103
86.1%
Q4 - 7:22MINBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)96
14.2%
102
85.8%
Q4 - 7:27MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
17.0%
101
83.0%
Q4 - 7:29DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
18.4%
101
81.6%
Q4 - 7:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
21.8%
101
78.2%
Q4 - 7:38MINMISS Trent Layup96
20.2%
101
79.8%
Q4 - 7:58DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Van Exel 9 AST)96
16.9%
101
83.1%
Q4 - 8:10DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
15.3%
101
84.7%
Q4 - 8:11MINMISS Peeler 13' Jump Shot94
14.3%
101
85.7%
Q4 - 8:18MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
12.2%
101
87.8%
Q4 - 8:21MINMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot94
14.3%
101
85.7%
Q4 - 8:52DALNowitzki Driving Layup (29 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)94
12.1%
101
87.9%
Q4 - 8:58DALMavericks Rebound92
9.7%
101
90.3%
Q4 - 8:59DALMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot92
8.2%
101
91.8%
Q4 - 9:14DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
11.0%
101
89.0%
Q4 - 9:16MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
10.3%
101
89.7%
Q4 - 9:43DALVan Exel 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)92
8.7%
101
91.3%
Q4 - 10:04MINPeeler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)90
8.1%
101
91.9%
Q4 - 10:04MINBillups Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)90
9.9%
100
90.1%
Q4 - 10:04MINPeeler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)90
12.1%
99
87.9%
Q4 - 10:19DALJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)90
14.5%
97
85.5%
Q4 - 10:34DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
17.8%
97
82.2%
Q4 - 10:36MINMISS Pack 8' Jump Shot90
16.7%
97
83.3%
Q4 - 10:50DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)90
14.5%
97
85.5%
Q4 - 10:50DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)89
14.1%
97
85.9%
Q4 - 11:00MINSzczerbiak Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)88
12.0%
97
88.0%
Q4 - 11:23DALZhi-zhi 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)88
10.6%
97
89.4%
Q4 - 11:46MINSzczerbiak Driving Finger Roll (26 PTS) (Pack 3 AST)86
8.7%
97
91.3%
Q4 - 12:00DALBradley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)86
10.5%
95
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN85
8.6%
95
91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound85
8.6%
95
91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINMISS Szczerbiak 60' 3PT Jump Shot85
10.0%
95
90.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
9.8%
95
90.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0MINMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot82
6.3%
95
93.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 2 AST)82
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0DALMISS Zhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MINMISS Nesterovic 9' Hook Shot79
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q3 - 1:08DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q3 - 1:08DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q3 - 1:24MINBillups Driving Layup (20 PTS)77
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q3 - 1:48DALZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)77
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q3 - 2:08MINBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)74
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q3 - 2:28DALZhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)74
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q3 - 2:49MINNesterovic 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 15 AST)71
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q3 - 3:06DALNowitzki Finger Roll (27 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 1 AST)71
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q3 - 3:25MINNesterovic 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)69
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q3 - 3:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)69
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q3 - 3:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)68
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q3 - 4:03MINSzczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Billups 14 AST)67
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q3 - 4:23DALJohnson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 5 AST)67
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 4:41DALMavericks Rebound65
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 4:42DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q3 - 4:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 4:49MINMISS Peeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 5:06MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 5:08DALMISS Zhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 265
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 5:08DALZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 5:38MINSzczerbiak 8' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)64
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 5:45MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)64
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 5:46DALMISS Johnson Layup64
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 6:09MINGarnett 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 6:24DALJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)64
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q3 - 6:24DALMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 263
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 6:29DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q3 - 6:30MINMISS Mitchell 11' Jump Shot63
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q3 - 7:02DALJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)63
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q3 - 7:17MINBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)61
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q3 - 7:29DALLaFrentz 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)61
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 7:46DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q3 - 7:47MINMISS Szczerbiak 14' Jump Shot61
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 7:53MINMitchell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 7:56DALMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 8:11MINGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T4)61
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q3 - 8:26MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound61
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 8:26MINMISS Szczerbiak 6' Jump Shot61
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 8:38MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)61
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 8:39DALMISS Johnson Layup61
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 9:04MINBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q3 - 9:27DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 9:27DALLaFrentz Tip Shot (8 PTS)61
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 9:29DALMISS Nash 10' Jump Shot59
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q3 - 9:39MINGarnett 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 13 AST)59
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 9:49MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)59
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 9:51DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot59
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 10:03MINMitchell 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 12 AST)59
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 10:18DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 159
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 10:18DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)59
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 10:26DALMavericks Rebound56
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 10:27DALGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)56
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 10:43MINBillups 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 10:48MINMitchell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 10:50DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot56
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 11:10MINNesterovic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)56
12.4%
70
87.6%
Q3 - 11:18MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)56
13.9%
68
86.1%
Q3 - 11:19DALMISS Finley 7' Jump Shot56
14.4%
68
85.6%
Q3 - 11:31MINSzczerbiak Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)56
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q3 - 11:47DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS)56
17.5%
66
82.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN54
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)54
15.1%
66
84.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALMISS Najera Layup54
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0MINBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
16.3%
66
83.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0MINBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
16.5%
65
83.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)54
18.7%
64
81.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0MINBillups 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q2 - 1:08DALSzczerbiak STEAL (1 STL)51
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q2 - 1:25MINMitchell 13' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
18.6%
62
81.4%
Q2 - 1:40DALGarnett STEAL (1 STL)51
21.7%
60
78.3%
Q2 - 1:58MINSzczerbiak 16' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Mitchell 2 AST)51
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q2 - 2:07MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
26.4%
58
73.6%
Q2 - 2:09DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.1%
58
72.9%
Q2 - 2:16MINMitchell 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)51
28.7%
58
71.3%
Q2 - 2:28MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
31.6%
56
68.4%
Q2 - 2:30DALMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot51
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q2 - 2:42MINTrent Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
34.0%
56
66.0%
Q2 - 2:42MINTrent Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
34.9%
55
65.1%
Q2 - 2:54DALVan Exel 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
37.2%
54
62.8%
Q2 - 3:13MINSzczerbiak Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)49
34.9%
54
65.1%
Q2 - 3:24DALNash 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)49
37.3%
52
62.7%
Q2 - 3:40MINTrent Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)47
34.9%
52
65.1%
Q2 - 3:42MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
37.3%
50
62.7%
Q2 - 3:44MINMISS Trent 19' Jump Shot47
39.5%
50
60.5%
Q2 - 3:58DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)47
37.3%
50
62.7%
Q2 - 4:02DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
35.1%
50
64.9%
Q2 - 4:04MINMISS Szczerbiak 9' Jump Shot45
34.3%
50
65.7%
Q2 - 4:15DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
32.5%
50
67.5%
Q2 - 4:15DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
32.2%
50
67.8%
Q2 - 4:22DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
30.0%
50
70.0%
Q2 - 4:23MINMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot43
29.3%
50
70.7%
Q2 - 4:38DALFinley 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
27.7%
50
72.3%
Q2 - 4:54MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
25.4%
50
74.6%
Q2 - 4:54MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q2 - 5:02MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q2 - 5:04DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q2 - 5:18MINBillups 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Trent 1 AST)41
30.5%
48
69.5%
Q2 - 5:34DALFinley 6' Finger Roll (10 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)41
32.7%
46
67.3%
Q2 - 5:55MINTrent Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)39
30.4%
46
69.6%
Q2 - 6:06MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
33.0%
44
67.0%
Q2 - 6:09DALMISS Najera 18' Jump Shot39
33.9%
44
66.1%
Q2 - 6:27MINSzczerbiak 14' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)39
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q2 - 6:33MINPack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 6:36MINMISS Peeler Layup39
40.2%
42
59.8%
Q2 - 6:41MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 6:43DALMISS Van Exel 8' Jump Shot39
39.0%
42
61.0%
Q2 - 6:56MINSzczerbiak 15' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
41.2%
42
58.8%
Q2 - 7:16DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)39
43.8%
40
56.2%
Q2 - 7:33MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 7:33MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
39.3%
39
60.7%
Q2 - 7:49MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 7:51DALMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot36
42.0%
38
58.0%
Q2 - 8:10MINSmith 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q2 - 8:34DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T3)36
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 8:46MINSmith 12' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)36
49.1%
36
50.9%
Q2 - 9:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
51.2%
34
48.8%
Q2 - 9:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
50.8%
34
49.2%
Q2 - 9:16DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
48.9%
34
51.1%
Q2 - 9:18MINMISS Pack 21' Jump Shot34
48.1%
34
51.9%
Q2 - 9:28MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)34
46.1%
34
53.9%
Q2 - 9:29DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot34
47.0%
34
53.0%
Q2 - 9:42MINPack Foul Turnover (P1.T3)34
49.0%
34
51.0%
Q2 - 9:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
46.1%
34
53.9%
Q2 - 9:52DALNowitzki Tip Shot (9 PTS)34
46.1%
34
53.9%
Q2 - 9:54DALMISS Zhi-zhi Layup32
42.0%
34
58.0%
Q2 - 10:17MINGarnett Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Pack 2 AST)32
43.9%
34
56.1%
Q2 - 10:23DALPack STEAL (1 STL)32
46.0%
32
54.0%
Q2 - 10:27DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
48.8%
32
51.2%
Q2 - 10:28MINMISS Peeler 18' Jump Shot32
48.0%
32
52.0%
Q2 - 10:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
46.1%
32
53.9%
Q2 - 10:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
45.7%
32
54.3%
Q2 - 10:51DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
43.9%
32
56.1%
Q2 - 10:53MINMISS Lopez 19' Jump Shot30
43.1%
32
56.9%
Q2 - 11:17MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound30
41.3%
32
58.7%
Q2 - 11:18DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Jump Shot30
42.0%
32
58.0%
Q2 - 11:28MINGarnett 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pack 1 AST)30
43.6%
32
56.4%
Q2 - 11:45MINLopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
46.1%
30
53.9%
Q2 - 11:47DALMISS Van Exel 17' Jump Shot30
46.8%
30
53.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIN30
48.5%
30
51.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALFinley 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)30
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0MINMISS Nesterovic 12' Jump Shot28
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALFinley 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)28
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)26
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q1 - 1:00MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q1 - 1:15DALVan Exel 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
34.9%
30
65.1%
Q1 - 1:23DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
32.3%
30
67.7%
Q1 - 1:24MINMISS Mitchell 19' Jump Shot23
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q1 - 1:45DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)23
30.7%
30
69.3%
Q1 - 2:08MINNesterovic 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)20
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q1 - 2:23DALBradley Layup (2 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)20
28.9%
28
71.1%
Q1 - 2:37MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
26.9%
28
73.1%
Q1 - 2:37MINGarnett Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)18
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q1 - 2:42MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
30.9%
25
69.1%
Q1 - 2:43DALNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)18
31.4%
25
68.6%
Q1 - 2:58MINNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)18
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q1 - 3:15DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q1 - 3:29MINNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)18
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q1 - 3:56DALFinley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)18
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q1 - 4:03MINBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 4:21DALFinley 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)16
35.2%
21
64.8%
Q1 - 4:41MINBillups Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Mitchell 1 AST)14
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q1 - 4:52MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)14
35.2%
19
64.8%
Q1 - 4:54DALMISS Newman 17' Jump Shot14
36.0%
19
64.0%
Q1 - 5:11MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)14
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 5:11MINGarnett Slam Dunk (2 PTS)14
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 5:14MINMISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Shot14
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 5:33DALNash 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
39.7%
17
60.3%
Q1 - 5:50MINSzczerbiak Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)12
37.9%
17
62.1%
Q1 - 6:11MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
39.9%
15
60.1%
Q1 - 6:12DALMISS Newman 6' Jump Shot12
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 6:23MINSzczerbiak 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)12
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 6:33MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound12
43.8%
13
56.2%
Q1 - 6:34MINMISS Mitchell 20' Jump Shot12
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 6:36MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound12
43.8%
13
56.2%
Q1 - 6:38MINMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot12
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 6:51MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound12
43.8%
13
56.2%
Q1 - 6:53DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
44.5%
13
55.5%
Q1 - 7:04MINSzczerbiak 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)12
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 7:20DALLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)12
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 7:33MINMitchell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)9
44.1%
11
55.9%
Q1 - 7:37MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 7:39MINMISS Mitchell 14' Jump Shot9
47.3%
9
52.7%
Q1 - 7:57DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)9
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 8:03DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 8:04MINMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot7
43.8%
9
56.2%
Q1 - 8:21DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)7
42.3%
9
57.7%
Q1 - 8:37MINNesterovic 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)5
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 8:43MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 8:45DALMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot5
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 9:04MINSzczerbiak Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
44.3%
7
55.7%
Q1 - 9:14MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
42.0%
7
58.0%
Q1 - 9:16DALMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 9:34MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
44.3%
7
55.7%
Q1 - 9:34MINNesterovic Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
44.3%
7
55.7%
Q1 - 9:37MINMISS Garnett 7' Jump Shot5
47.4%
5
52.6%
Q1 - 9:44MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 9:45DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot5
46.5%
5
53.5%
Q1 - 10:02MINSzczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)5
47.9%
5
52.1%
Q1 - 10:25DALNewman Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)5
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 10:29DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 10:32MINMISS Garnett Layup3
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 10:33MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 10:35MINMISS Mitchell 8' Jump Shot3
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 10:37MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 10:39MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 10:56DALLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)3
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 11:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 11:05MINMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot0
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 11:15MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 11:16DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 11:47MINBillups 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)0
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Garnett vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Billups0
46.0%
0
54.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.21 60.3%
MIN
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
9
15
60%
MIN
11
14
79%
Midrange
DAL
20
43
47%
MIN
31
60
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
MIN
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
DAL
20
24
83%
MIN
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3474%17.0 / 23
N. Van Exel2077%10.0 / 13
S. Bradley14100%7.0 / 7
M. Finley1238%6.0 / 16
W. Zhi-zhi975%4.5 / 6
R. LaFrentz8100%4.0 / 4
S. Nash735%3.5 / 10
A. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
J. Newman233%1.0 / 3
E. Najera0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Szczerbiak2681%13.0 / 16
C. Billups2357%11.5 / 20
K. Garnett2063%10.0 / 16
R. Nesterovic1864%9.0 / 14
S. Mitchell844%4.0 / 9
J. Smith880%4.0 / 5
G. Trent758%3.5 / 6
A. Peeler325%1.5 / 6
R. Pack0-0.0 / 2
F. Lopez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
82
+10
-8
92
MIN
84
+13
-6
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.21 60.3%
MIN
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.4
106.6
DAL 123.3
MIN 125.6 +2.2
Pace
95.4
92.8
DAL 87.6
MIN 92.6 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.4
DAL 16.4
MIN 15.6 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
49.0%
DAL 57.6% +0.5%
MIN 57.1%
TO %
12.1%
14.0%
DAL 8.2%
MIN 6.0% +2.2%
ORB %
26.2%
31.3%
DAL 14.3%
MIN 22.9% +8.6%
FTrt
28.8
25.5
DAL 30.4 +5.4
MIN 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
62.8%
DAL 70.0%
MIN 71.7% +1.7%
STL %
7.4%
6.9%
DAL 2.2%
MIN 4.4% +2.2%
BLK %
7.1%
8.0%
DAL 5.4% +2.0%
MIN 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
50.9%
DAL 60.3% +2.6%
MIN 57.7%
Rim FG%
58.9%
59.4%
DAL 60.0%
MIN 78.6% +18.6%
Mid FG%
42.0%
42.1%
DAL 46.5%
MIN 51.7% +5.2%
3P %
37.8%
37.8%
DAL 52.4% +12.4%
MIN 40.0%
FT %
80.6%
79.8%
DAL 83.3% +2.3%
MIN 81.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.7%
26.8%
DAL 19.0% +2.3%
MIN 16.7%
Mid Att. %
45.6%
58.0%
DAL 54.4% +17.0%
MIN 71.4%
3P Att. %
23.7%
15.2%
DAL 26.6% +14.7%
MIN 11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsDALMIN
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points111113
Rebounds3238
Assists2833
Steals24
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)30 (2)
Field Goals40-7946-84
At-the-Rim FG9-1511-14
Midrange FG20-4331-60
2-Point FG29-5842-74
3-Point FG11-214-10
Free Throws20-2417-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 24
40.6
34
74%
8
2
1
1
1
3
2
6
10-12
83%
9-15
60%
2-3
67%
G · 6'7" 225 · 29
37.1
12
38%
1
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-14
43%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 178 · 28
29.6
7
35%
3
8
0
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
21.8
8
100%
5
0
0
2
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 210 · 38
9.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
30.5
20
77%
1
9
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
4-6
67%
C · 7'6" 275 · 30
19.3
14
100%
8
0
0
1
0
3
1
7
8-8
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 25
14.9
9
75%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
13.8
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
12.3
5
42%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
32
28
2
4
8
0
5
27
20-24
83%
29-58
50%
11-21
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.