FinalWin Prob.pScore
2141%86
80
2059%88
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.28482.8
TOR logo TOR
94.28688.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
0%
81
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)80
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot80
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0TORPeterson Running Layup (21 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)80
34.5%
81
65.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
53.4%
79
46.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot80
60.7%
79
39.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
71.6%
79
28.4%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORMISS Clark 14' Jump Shot80
66.1%
79
33.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P2.T20)80
51.3%
79
48.7%
Q4 - 1:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)80
65.0%
79
35.0%
Q4 - 1:29TORMISS Williams 13' Running Jump Shot80
60.3%
79
39.7%
Q4 - 1:35TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
49.7%
79
50.3%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot80
54.1%
79
45.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)80
62.8%
79
37.2%
Q4 - 1:58TORMISS Childs Driving Layup80
59.1%
79
40.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
47.8%
79
52.2%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
44.6%
79
55.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)78
41.4%
79
58.6%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Mourning Layup78
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)78
41.4%
79
58.6%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot78
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
41.6%
79
58.4%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot78
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q4 - 2:50TORClark Reverse Layup (4 PTS)78
41.9%
79
58.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAStrickland 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)78
47.1%
77
52.9%
Q4 - 3:39TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
31.1%
77
68.9%
Q4 - 3:39TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
33.3%
76
66.7%
Q4 - 3:56MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)75
38.9%
75
61.1%
Q4 - 4:06TORClark Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)75
48.7%
75
51.3%
Q4 - 4:12TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
38.9%
75
61.1%
Q4 - 4:14TORMISS Williams 13' Running Jump Shot75
45.7%
75
54.3%
Q4 - 4:22TORDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)75
38.9%
75
61.1%
Q4 - 4:23TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 275
47.4%
75
52.6%
Q4 - 4:23TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
41.9%
75
58.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIAStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)75
48.2%
74
51.8%
Q4 - 4:38MIAHeat Rebound72
30.7%
74
69.3%
Q4 - 4:38MIAClark BLOCK (3 BLK)72
25.1%
74
74.9%
Q4 - 4:55TORDavis Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)72
30.7%
74
69.3%
Q4 - 5:13MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)72
24.6%
74
75.4%
Q4 - 5:31TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)69
14.5%
74
85.5%
Q4 - 5:31TORDavis Layup (18 PTS)69
19.1%
73
80.9%
Q4 - 5:32TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)69
24.6%
71
75.4%
Q4 - 5:34TORMISS Williams 10' Fadeaway Jumper69
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q4 - 5:37TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
24.6%
71
75.4%
Q4 - 5:39TORMISS Williams Reverse Layup69
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMourning 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)69
25.5%
71
74.5%
Q4 - 6:31TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Childs 6 AST)67
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q4 - 6:36TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
31.6%
68
68.4%
Q4 - 6:37TORMISS Peterson 10' Running Jump Shot67
37.0%
68
63.0%
Q4 - 6:54MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
31.6%
68
68.4%
Q4 - 7:02MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
27.6%
68
72.4%
Q4 - 7:04TORMISS Peterson Running Layup65
25.8%
68
74.2%
Q4 - 7:17MIAGrant Tip Shot (15 PTS)65
21.8%
68
78.2%
Q4 - 7:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)63
18.0%
68
82.0%
Q4 - 7:22MIAClark BLOCK (2 BLK)63
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q4 - 8:04TORClark Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Childs 5 AST)63
19.1%
68
80.9%
Q4 - 8:15TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
23.2%
66
76.8%
Q4 - 8:16TORMISS Peterson 16' Jump Shot63
26.6%
66
73.4%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)63
23.2%
66
76.8%
Q4 - 8:47MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
28.2%
66
71.8%
Q4 - 8:48TORMISS Clark 18' Jump Shot63
26.6%
66
73.4%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMourning Layup (13 PTS)63
24.0%
66
76.0%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
20.1%
66
79.9%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup61
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
20.1%
66
79.9%
Q4 - 9:27TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot61
18.9%
66
81.1%
Q4 - 9:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)61
16.3%
66
83.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIAHeat Rebound61
20.0%
66
80.0%
Q4 - 9:40MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)61
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q4 - 10:06TORPeterson 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)61
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q4 - 10:10TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
24.6%
64
75.4%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Jackson Reverse Layup61
26.0%
64
74.0%
Q4 - 10:34TORMontross 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Childs 4 AST)61
29.4%
64
70.6%
Q4 - 10:46TORMontross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
34.0%
62
66.0%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 261
34.7%
62
65.3%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 261
37.7%
62
62.3%
Q4 - 11:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)61
39.6%
62
60.4%
Q4 - 11:04TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 261
38.9%
62
61.1%
Q4 - 11:04TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q4 - 11:17TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
39.4%
61
60.6%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot61
41.0%
61
59.0%
Q4 - 11:33TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
44.9%
61
55.1%
Q4 - 11:33TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 261
46.0%
60
54.0%
Q4 - 11:37TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIAClark BLOCK (1 BLK)61
46.4%
60
53.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR61
50.3%
60
49.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound61
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Childs 43' 3PT Jump Shot61
48.6%
60
51.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)61
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
39.6%
60
60.4%
Q3 - 0:13.0TORMISS Williams 11' Running Jump Shot59
38.1%
60
61.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAStrickland 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
34.8%
60
65.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0TORWilliams 16' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
30.2%
60
69.8%
Q3 - 1:10TORChilds REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot57
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q3 - 1:25MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
39.6%
58
60.4%
Q3 - 1:27TORMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot57
38.1%
58
61.9%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P5.T16)57
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
39.6%
58
60.4%
Q3 - 1:54TORMISS Williams Layup57
38.1%
58
61.9%
Q3 - 1:56TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 1:59TORMISS Williams Layup57
38.1%
58
61.9%
Q3 - 2:04TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
34.5%
58
65.5%
Q3 - 2:06MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)57
36.0%
58
64.0%
Q3 - 2:12TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)57
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 2:23MIAWilliams STEAL (5 STL)57
34.6%
58
65.4%
Q3 - 2:32TORDavis Foul Turnover (P3.T13)57
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 2:44TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
34.6%
58
65.4%
Q3 - 2:46MIADavis BLOCK (2 BLK)57
36.0%
58
64.0%
Q3 - 3:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
39.4%
58
60.6%
Q3 - 3:06TORMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot57
38.1%
58
61.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T14)57
35.0%
58
65.0%
Q3 - 3:37TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P3.T12)57
39.4%
58
60.6%
Q3 - 3:53TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot57
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot57
36.1%
58
63.9%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 4:31TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup57
37.9%
58
62.1%
Q3 - 4:49MIAStrickland 13' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
34.7%
58
65.3%
Q3 - 5:07TORWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Peterson 5 AST)55
31.6%
58
68.4%
Q3 - 5:24MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)55
38.9%
55
61.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
43.3%
55
56.7%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot55
40.2%
55
59.8%
Q3 - 5:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
43.3%
55
56.7%
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Davis 11' Running Jump Shot55
41.9%
55
58.1%
Q3 - 5:48TORRAPTORS Rebound55
38.9%
55
61.1%
Q3 - 5:48TORMISS Williams Driving Layup55
41.9%
55
58.1%
Q3 - 6:10TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot55
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q3 - 6:12MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
42.9%
55
57.1%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 255
39.3%
55
60.7%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
41.5%
55
58.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
39.1%
55
60.9%
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
36.3%
55
63.7%
Q3 - 6:42TORDavis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
39.1%
55
60.9%
Q3 - 7:04MIAGrant 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)54
42.1%
53
57.9%
Q3 - 7:28TORWilliams 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Peterson 4 AST)52
38.9%
53
61.1%
Q3 - 7:32TORRAPTORS Rebound52
42.1%
51
57.9%
Q3 - 7:34TORMISS Montross 12' Turnaround Jump Shot52
45.1%
51
54.9%
Q3 - 7:48TORDavis Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)52
42.1%
51
57.9%
Q3 - 8:11MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)52
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q3 - 8:23TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)49
39.0%
50
61.0%
Q3 - 8:29TORRAPTORS Rebound49
35.0%
50
65.0%
Q3 - 8:30TORMISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot49
37.7%
50
62.3%
Q3 - 8:40TORJump Ball Williams vs. Grant: Tip to Williams49
35.0%
50
65.0%
Q3 - 8:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)49
39.0%
50
61.0%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot49
36.2%
50
63.8%
Q3 - 8:58TORMontross Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)49
39.0%
50
61.0%
Q3 - 9:19MIAStrickland Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)49
34.9%
50
65.1%
Q3 - 9:23TORDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
31.8%
50
68.2%
Q3 - 9:34TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Jones 15' Fadeaway Jumper47
29.6%
50
70.4%
Q3 - 10:06TORMontross 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST)47
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMourning 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)47
34.8%
48
65.2%
Q3 - 10:44TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q3 - 10:49TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
32.0%
48
68.0%
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 145
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q3 - 10:50TORWilliams Layup (14 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)45
32.0%
48
68.0%
Q3 - 10:53TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
34.8%
46
65.2%
Q3 - 10:56TORMISS Peterson 14' Jump Shot45
37.3%
46
62.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAGrant 9' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
35.0%
46
65.0%
Q3 - 11:44TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
32.0%
46
68.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR43
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound43
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot43
37.3%
44
62.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAWilliams STEAL (3 STL)43
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
37.9%
44
62.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 243
37.6%
44
62.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 243
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
35.3%
44
64.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)41
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T10)41
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 1:08TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 1:08TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 241
41.5%
40
58.5%
Q2 - 1:31MIAStrickland Layup (10 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)41
42.3%
40
57.7%
Q2 - 1:35TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)39
37.7%
40
62.3%
Q2 - 1:58MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
36.1%
40
63.9%
Q2 - 1:58MIAGrant Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)38
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 2:15TORPeterson 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)36
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 2:35MIAStrickland Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)36
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
29.8%
38
70.2%
Q2 - 2:43TORMISS Williams Layup34
29.1%
38
70.9%
Q2 - 2:53MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)34
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 3:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)34
30.4%
38
69.6%
Q2 - 3:11TORMISS Clark 13' Jump Shot34
29.5%
38
70.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAJackson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)34
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
25.6%
38
74.4%
Q2 - 3:40TORMISS Clark 6' Turnaround Jump Shot32
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 3:53TORRAPTORS Rebound32
23.1%
38
76.9%
Q2 - 3:55TORMISS Williams 11' Running Jump Shot32
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 4:04TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot32
24.2%
38
75.8%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 4:17TORMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot32
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 4:36MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T8)32
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 4:46TORClark Foul Turnover (P1.T7)32
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 4:59TORRAPTORS Rebound32
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Stepania 1' Jump Shot32
24.2%
38
75.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
26.0%
38
74.0%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Grant Layup32
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q2 - 5:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)32
26.0%
38
74.0%
Q2 - 5:20TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 232
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 5:20TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)32
24.5%
38
75.5%
Q2 - 5:26TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup32
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 5:52TORDavis Layup (13 PTS) (Childs 3 AST)32
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot32
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 6:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)32
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 132
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 6:27MIAStepania 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)32
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 6:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
28.6%
35
71.4%
Q2 - 6:43TORMISS Davis Tip Shot30
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 6:44TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 6:45TORMISS Davis Driving Layup30
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 6:53TORChilds REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot30
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 7:04TORJump Ball Davis vs. Mourning: Tip to Gill30
29.0%
35
71.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAHouse 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
26.7%
35
73.3%
Q2 - 7:35MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 7:37TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot28
24.2%
35
75.8%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMourning 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 8:00MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 8:02TORMISS Clark Driving Layup26
20.7%
35
79.3%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMourning 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)26
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 8:52TORPeterson 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Childs 2 AST)24
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 9:01MIAOlajuwon STEAL (2 STL)24
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 9:03MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 9:05TORMISS Olajuwon 8' Turnaround Jump Shot24
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 223
19.2%
33
80.8%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot23
18.7%
33
81.3%
Q2 - 9:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Gatling 7' Jump Hook Shot23
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 9:53TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 10:19MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 1 AST)23
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q2 - 10:44TORWilliams Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Childs 1 AST)20
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q2 - 10:50MIAOlajuwon STEAL (1 STL)20
21.5%
28
78.5%
Q2 - 11:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot20
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 11:15MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 11:17TORMISS Olajuwon 6' Turnaround Jump Shot20
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q2 - 11:26TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
21.8%
28
78.2%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot20
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q2 - 11:45TORMISS Clark Layup20
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR20
21.7%
28
78.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound20
21.7%
28
78.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot20
23.0%
28
77.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot20
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0TORPeterson 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
23.4%
28
76.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)20
25.5%
26
74.5%
Q1 - 1:05TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 1:05TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
24.0%
25
76.0%
Q1 - 1:20MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)18
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 1:36TORWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)18
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q1 - 1:40MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)18
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q1 - 1:57TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)18
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 1:57TORRAPTORS Rebound18
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Childs Driving Layup18
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 2:21TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 218
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 2:22MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
30.8%
22
69.2%
Q1 - 2:42TORWilliams Running Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)17
29.3%
22
70.7%
Q1 - 2:59MIAJones Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)17
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q1 - 3:04TOROlajuwon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 3:22TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
27.6%
20
72.4%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Stepania Running Layup15
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 3:48TORDavis 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
29.6%
20
70.4%
Q1 - 4:00TORJump Ball Davis vs. Stepania: Tip to Peterson15
31.3%
18
68.7%
Q1 - 4:17TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 4:17TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
34.0%
17
66.0%
Q1 - 4:28MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)15
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)13
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 213
31.5%
16
68.5%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 213
32.5%
16
67.5%
Q1 - 4:57TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)13
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 4:57TORDavis Slam Dunk (8 PTS)13
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 5:10MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)13
37.1%
13
62.9%
Q1 - 5:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
35.4%
13
64.6%
Q1 - 5:17TORMISS Williams Reverse Layup11
34.7%
13
65.3%
Q1 - 5:29MIAStrickland Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)11
33.3%
13
66.7%
Q1 - 5:53TORDavis Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)9
31.6%
13
68.4%
Q1 - 5:59MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)9
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 6:24TORDavis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
35.2%
11
64.8%
Q1 - 6:36TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 6:38MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)9
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 6:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot9
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 6:57TORWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)9
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 7:01TORMontross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
36.9%
9
63.1%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
37.5%
9
62.5%
Q1 - 7:18TORPeterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
38.9%
9
61.1%
Q1 - 7:29MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)9
36.9%
9
63.1%
Q1 - 7:57TORDavis Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)7
35.3%
9
64.7%
Q1 - 8:04MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)7
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
35.4%
7
64.6%
Q1 - 8:18MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot5
34.1%
7
65.9%
Q1 - 8:35MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
35.4%
7
64.6%
Q1 - 8:37TORMISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
34.8%
7
65.2%
Q1 - 8:51TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.5%
7
66.5%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 25
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 9:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.7%
7
66.3%
Q1 - 9:03TORMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot4
33.0%
7
67.0%
Q1 - 9:08TORRAPTORS Rebound4
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 9:09TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 24
33.4%
7
66.6%
Q1 - 9:09TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
32.4%
7
67.6%
Q1 - 9:36MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 9:47TORPeterson Layup (2 PTS)2
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 9:49TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 9:51TORMISS Peterson 15' Jump Shot2
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 9:57TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 9:58TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup2
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 10:14TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Mourning 13' Turnaround Jump Shot2
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 10:29TORWilliams Layup (2 PTS)2
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 10:37MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)2
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 10:54TORMontross 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 11:13MIAJackson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:25TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:39TORMontross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Grant 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Montross vs. Mourning: Tip to Grant0
38.5%
0
61.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.5%
TOR
0.88 44.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
25
40%
TOR
14
29
48%
Midrange
MIA
18
42
43%
TOR
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
7
71%
107%
TOR
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
9
18
50%
TOR
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Strickland2471%12.0 / 17
A. Mourning1753%8.5 / 16
B. Grant1547%7.5 / 16
J. Jackson950%4.5 / 9
L. Ellis750%3.5 / 7
E. House467%2.0 / 3
E. Jones220%1.0 / 5
V. Stepania220%1.0 / 5
K. Gill0-0.0 / 2
C. Gatling0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Peterson2150%10.5 / 21
A. Davis1956%9.5 / 17
J. Williams1847%9.0 / 19
A. Williams1346%6.5 / 14
E. Montross675%3.0 / 4
K. Clark425%2.0 / 8
C. Childs0-0.0 / 3
H. Olajuwon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
65
+21
-19
86
TOR
71
+21
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.5%
TOR
0.88 44.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.1
MIA 95.2 +1.1
TOR 94.2
Pace
89.7
91.1
MIA 82.8
TOR 88.6 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.3
MIA 17.4
TOR 16.2 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.3%
MIA 48.0% +4.0%
TOR 44.0%
TO %
15.5%
14.8%
MIA 19.6%
TOR 15.8% +3.8%
ORB %
26.7%
31.4%
MIA 43.2% +13.9%
TOR 29.3%
FTrt
26.8
25.5
MIA 24.3
TOR 32.0 +7.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.9%
MIA 69.7% +8.4%
TOR 61.3%
STL %
7.4%
9.1%
MIA 8.3%
TOR 12.8% +4.5%
BLK %
8.7%
8.6%
MIA 10.4%
TOR 10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.8%
MIA 46.5% +2.5%
TOR 44.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
55.9%
MIA 40.0%
TOR 48.3% +8.3%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.7%
MIA 42.9% +8.7%
TOR 34.2%
3P %
34.7%
34.9%
MIA 71.4% +21.4%
TOR 50.0%
FT %
72.4%
73.9%
MIA 50.0%
TOR 62.5% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
30.9%
MIA 33.8%
TOR 38.7% +4.9%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
52.6%
MIA 56.8%
TOR 50.7% +6.1%
3P Att. %
14.1%
16.5%
MIA 9.5%
TOR 10.7% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes24.323.3
Points8081
Rebounds4837
Assists2319
Steals711
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (2)12 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)25 (1)
Field Goals33-7431-75
At-the-Rim FG10-2514-29
Midrange FG18-4213-38
2-Point FG28-6727-67
3-Point FG5-74-8
Free Throws9-1815-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
42.0
17
53%
14
1
2
4
6
3
7
7
5-10
50%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
39.9
15
47%
10
2
1
0
4
3
6
4
1-1
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
38.4
24
71%
1
8
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
9-15
60%
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
37.8
2
20%
5
8
2
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
31.6
9
50%
7
2
1
1
2
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
17.9
7
50%
4
0
0
1
2
4
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
2-2
100%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
12.6
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
8.8
2
20%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
6.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 35
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
47%
48
23
7
7
19
0
19
29
9-18
50%
28-67
42%
5-7
71%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.