FinalWin Prob.pScore
945%91
87
2055%93
82
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
95.691100.1
MIA logo MIA
89.19284.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS87
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)87
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)87
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 287
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)86
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)86
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0BOSCeltics Rebound84
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot84
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0BOSStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rogers 2 AST)84
94.4%
80
5.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
73.6%
80
26.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
75.4%
79
24.6%
Q4 - 1:01BOSStrickland Driving Layup (18 PTS)81
80.2%
78
19.8%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
68.2%
78
31.8%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
71.6%
77
28.4%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
76.1%
76
23.9%
Q4 - 1:31BOSMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
79.0%
76
21.0%
Q4 - 1:48MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)79
83.2%
76
16.8%
Q4 - 2:07BOSStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST)79
91.6%
73
8.4%
Q4 - 2:26BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
84.1%
73
15.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot76
81.1%
73
18.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
72.3%
73
27.7%
Q4 - 2:49BOSMISS Rogers Free Throw 2 of 276
74.2%
73
25.8%
Q4 - 2:49BOSMISS Rogers Free Throw 1 of 276
79.5%
73
20.5%
Q4 - 3:04BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
81.2%
73
18.8%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
78.4%
73
21.6%
Q4 - 3:16MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)76
70.4%
73
29.6%
Q4 - 3:18BOSJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)76
74.3%
73
25.7%
Q4 - 3:34BOSCeltics Rebound76
76.1%
73
23.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS Jones 9' Running Jump Shot76
73.9%
73
26.1%
Q4 - 4:02BOSBattie 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)76
69.0%
73
31.0%
Q4 - 4:04BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
61.0%
73
39.0%
Q4 - 4:06BOSMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
54.3%
73
45.7%
Q4 - 4:18BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
61.1%
73
38.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
58.2%
73
41.8%
Q4 - 4:52BOSWalker 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
51.3%
73
48.7%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)72
42.5%
73
57.5%
Q4 - 5:34BOSWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)72
58.8%
70
41.2%
Q4 - 5:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
42.6%
70
57.4%
Q4 - 5:39BOSEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)69
36.7%
70
63.3%
Q4 - 5:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
42.6%
70
57.4%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
40.0%
70
60.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIAHEAT Rebound69
34.3%
70
65.7%
Q4 - 6:00BOSMISS Rogers Driving Layup69
36.7%
70
63.3%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
43.0%
70
57.0%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
45.2%
69
54.8%
Q4 - 6:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)69
49.5%
68
50.5%
Q4 - 6:29BOSMISS Battie 18' Jump Shot69
52.1%
68
47.9%
Q4 - 6:46MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
58.1%
68
41.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
64.3%
66
35.7%
Q4 - 6:54BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
66.7%
66
33.3%
Q4 - 7:17MIAJackson Driving Layup (7 PTS)69
69.9%
66
30.1%
Q4 - 7:35BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
74.8%
64
25.2%
Q4 - 7:35BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
73.6%
64
26.4%
Q4 - 7:44BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
70.0%
64
30.0%
Q4 - 7:46BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
65.2%
64
34.8%
Q4 - 7:50MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)67
70.0%
64
30.0%
Q4 - 8:06BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McCarty 2 AST)67
61.9%
64
38.1%
Q4 - 8:18MIAStepania Tip Shot (6 PTS)64
49.5%
64
50.5%
Q4 - 8:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
55.8%
62
44.2%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Ellis 13' Jump Shot64
60.2%
62
39.8%
Q4 - 8:42BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
55.8%
62
44.2%
Q4 - 8:42BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
54.8%
62
45.2%
Q4 - 8:59MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 2 AST)62
49.6%
62
50.4%
Q4 - 9:12BOSStrickland Foul Turnover (P3.T10)62
55.1%
60
44.9%
Q4 - 9:26MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P3.T19)62
61.2%
60
38.8%
Q4 - 9:30BOSGrant STEAL (1 STL)62
55.1%
60
44.9%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T18)62
61.3%
60
38.7%
Q4 - 10:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
54.3%
60
45.7%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot62
58.5%
60
41.5%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
54.3%
60
45.7%
Q4 - 10:24BOSMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot62
56.2%
60
43.8%
Q4 - 10:35BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
60.4%
60
39.6%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot62
58.6%
60
41.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
54.4%
60
45.6%
Q4 - 10:49BOSMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
56.2%
60
43.8%
Q4 - 10:57BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
60.4%
60
39.6%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot62
58.6%
60
41.4%
Q4 - 11:16BOSWilliams Running Layup (11 PTS)62
53.8%
60
46.2%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)60
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q4 - 11:47BOSBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)60
43.0%
60
57.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS60
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 260
49.4%
59
50.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
48.4%
59
51.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot60
52.1%
59
47.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0BOSStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
48.5%
59
51.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0BOSStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
47.7%
59
52.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot58
41.8%
59
58.2%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
38.4%
59
61.6%
Q3 - 1:02BOSMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
40.1%
59
59.9%
Q3 - 1:03BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
43.5%
59
56.5%
Q3 - 1:05BOSMISS Rogers Layup58
40.1%
59
59.9%
Q3 - 1:15BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
43.5%
59
56.5%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Jones 29' 3PT Jump Shot58
42.0%
59
58.0%
Q3 - 1:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
38.7%
59
61.3%
Q3 - 1:41BOSMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 258
39.3%
59
60.7%
Q3 - 1:41BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
42.2%
59
57.8%
Q3 - 1:57MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)57
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
47.4%
56
52.6%
Q3 - 2:08BOSMISS Rogers 20' Jump Shot57
49.0%
56
51.0%
Q3 - 2:26MIAEllis 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)57
52.6%
56
47.4%
Q3 - 2:55BOSStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)57
56.8%
54
43.2%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
47.9%
54
52.1%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
49.2%
53
50.8%
Q3 - 3:37BOSStrickland Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)54
52.1%
52
47.9%
Q3 - 3:41MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)52
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
43.1%
52
56.9%
Q3 - 3:49BOSMISS Potapenko Tip Shot52
44.6%
52
55.4%
Q3 - 3:50BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q3 - 3:52BOSMISS Strickland Running Layup52
44.6%
52
55.4%
Q3 - 3:55BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
47.9%
52
52.1%
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot52
46.4%
52
53.6%
Q3 - 4:20BOSRogers 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)52
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q3 - 4:40MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)50
39.2%
52
60.8%
Q3 - 5:02BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
47.2%
49
52.8%
Q3 - 5:02BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 249
46.3%
49
53.7%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
47.5%
49
52.5%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
48.7%
48
51.3%
Q3 - 5:09MIAHEAT Rebound49
51.4%
47
48.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot49
54.4%
47
45.6%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHEAT Rebound49
51.3%
47
48.7%
Q3 - 5:32BOSMISS Battie 20' Jump Shot49
52.7%
47
47.3%
Q3 - 5:52MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)49
55.8%
47
44.2%
Q3 - 6:13BOSBattie Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)49
50.9%
47
49.1%
Q3 - 6:28BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
47.2%
47
52.8%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot47
45.9%
47
54.1%
Q3 - 6:42BOSStrickland Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)47
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q3 - 6:59MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T14)47
47.3%
47
52.7%
Q3 - 7:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
42.5%
47
57.5%
Q3 - 7:09BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot47
43.9%
47
56.1%
Q3 - 7:28MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)47
46.9%
47
53.1%
Q3 - 7:28MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)47
47.5%
46
52.5%
Q3 - 7:43BOSPierce Layup (13 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)47
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q3 - 7:56MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)45
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q3 - 8:34BOSWilliams Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)45
50.2%
43
49.8%
Q3 - 8:47BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot43
45.7%
43
54.3%
Q3 - 9:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
42.7%
43
57.3%
Q3 - 9:07BOSMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot43
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q3 - 9:14BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
46.4%
43
53.6%
Q3 - 9:16BOSMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)43
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q3 - 9:22BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)43
46.4%
43
53.6%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
42.8%
43
57.2%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q3 - 9:43BOSMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot42
47.5%
41
52.5%
Q3 - 10:00BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
50.2%
41
49.8%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot42
48.9%
41
51.1%
Q3 - 10:18BOSBattie 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)42
46.1%
41
53.9%
Q3 - 10:37MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)40
43.0%
41
57.0%
Q3 - 10:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)40
46.1%
39
53.9%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
48.8%
39
51.2%
Q3 - 11:10MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
46.2%
39
53.8%
Q3 - 11:12BOSMISS Delk 21' Jump Shot40
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q3 - 11:18MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)40
49.8%
39
50.2%
Q3 - 11:35BOSDelk Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)40
46.2%
39
53.8%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 238
44.0%
38
56.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS38
42.8%
38
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (House 1 AST)38
46.4%
38
53.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0BOSBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
53.4%
35
46.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)37
52.4%
35
47.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0BOSMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 237
55.8%
34
44.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0BOSMISS Delk 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
54.1%
34
45.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 237
56.2%
33
43.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Walker Driving Layup37
57.4%
33
42.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
59.0%
33
41.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
58.3%
33
41.7%
Q2 - 1:03BOSPierce Driving Layup (10 PTS)37
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 1:11BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
51.9%
33
48.1%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot35
51.4%
33
48.6%
Q2 - 1:31BOSPierce Dunk (8 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)35
50.3%
33
49.7%
Q2 - 1:35MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)33
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 1:40BOSHouse STEAL (1 STL)33
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 1:56MIAStepania 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 2:11BOSStrickland Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
49.4%
31
50.6%
Q2 - 2:30MIAJones Dunk (9 PTS)33
52.3%
31
47.7%
Q2 - 2:47BOSStrickland 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McCarty 1 AST)33
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q2 - 3:11MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
52.1%
29
47.9%
Q2 - 3:27BOSStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
54.8%
27
45.2%
Q2 - 3:27BOSStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
54.3%
27
45.7%
Q2 - 3:35MIAStrickland Foul Turnover (P3.T11)29
52.2%
27
47.8%
Q2 - 3:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
48.8%
27
51.2%
Q2 - 3:43BOSMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
49.8%
27
50.2%
Q2 - 3:53BOSCeltics Rebound29
52.2%
27
47.8%
Q2 - 3:54BOSMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
49.9%
27
50.1%
Q2 - 4:13MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)29
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 4:41BOSPierce Driving Layup (6 PTS)29
48.7%
27
51.3%
Q2 - 4:50MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)27
45.9%
27
54.1%
Q2 - 4:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)27
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q2 - 5:01BOSMISS McCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
43.8%
27
56.2%
Q2 - 5:25MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)27
45.9%
27
54.1%
Q2 - 5:28MIAHEAT Rebound27
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Jackson Reverse Layup27
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q2 - 5:50BOSBattie Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T8)27
51.5%
25
48.5%
Q2 - 6:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q2 - 6:08BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q2 - 6:15BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
51.6%
25
48.4%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Mourning Layup27
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot27
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q2 - 6:37BOSStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q2 - 6:37BOSStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
47.8%
25
52.2%
Q2 - 6:46MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)25
46.1%
25
53.9%
Q2 - 7:12BOSWalker Driving Layup (9 PTS)25
43.1%
25
56.9%
Q2 - 7:29MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T6)23
40.7%
25
59.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
38.0%
25
62.0%
Q2 - 7:39BOSMISS Pierce 12' Jump Shot23
38.8%
25
61.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)23
40.7%
25
59.3%
Q2 - 8:14MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
42.9%
23
57.1%
Q2 - 8:16BOSMISS Battie 10' Jump Shot23
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q2 - 8:37BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
45.8%
23
54.2%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Jackson 7' Hook Shot23
44.9%
23
55.1%
Q2 - 8:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)23
42.9%
23
57.1%
Q2 - 8:52BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
43.8%
23
56.2%
Q2 - 8:59BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
45.8%
23
54.2%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
44.8%
23
55.2%
Q2 - 9:08MIAHEAT Rebound23
42.8%
23
57.2%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
44.8%
23
55.2%
Q2 - 9:20BOSPierce Layup (4 PTS) (Delk 3 AST)23
42.8%
23
57.2%
Q2 - 9:24BOSDelk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
40.7%
23
59.3%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot21
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q2 - 9:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)21
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q2 - 9:43BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 221
38.3%
23
61.7%
Q2 - 9:43BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 221
39.9%
23
60.1%
Q2 - 9:55MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T5)21
40.7%
23
59.3%
Q2 - 10:06BOSWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Delk 2 AST)21
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q2 - 10:19MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q2 - 10:33BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q2 - 10:33BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q2 - 10:49MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
29.4%
23
70.6%
Q2 - 11:01BOSPotapenko Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q2 - 11:05BOSMcCarty REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot16
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q2 - 11:28BOSWalker Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q2 - 11:42BOSCeltics Rebound14
29.4%
21
70.6%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot14
28.8%
21
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS14
27.4%
21
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound14
29.4%
21
70.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 22' Jump Shot14
28.0%
21
72.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
29.3%
21
70.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
28.3%
21
71.7%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)14
29.3%
21
70.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0BOSMcCarty 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)14
31.8%
19
68.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
27.4%
19
72.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0BOSMISS Delk 22' Jump Shot11
26.4%
19
73.6%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)11
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMourning Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)11
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAHEAT Rebound11
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 1:23BOSMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 211
34.1%
15
65.9%
Q1 - 1:50BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 1:50BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 2:03BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
31.9%
15
68.1%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 29
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 29
30.4%
15
69.6%
Q1 - 2:04MIAHEAT Rebound9
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
31.3%
15
68.7%
Q1 - 2:16MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 2:19BOSMISS Strickland Driving Layup9
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 2:27BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
31.8%
15
68.2%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 29
31.6%
15
68.4%
Q1 - 2:28MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
30.4%
15
69.6%
Q1 - 2:28MIAHEAT Rebound9
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 2:28BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot9
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 2:37BOSRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot9
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 2:59MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
31.9%
14
68.1%
Q1 - 3:01BOSMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 3:15BOSCeltics Rebound9
34.3%
14
65.7%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 3:41BOSRogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
32.1%
14
67.9%
Q1 - 4:02BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot6
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot6
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 4:44BOSMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot6
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 4:58BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot6
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 5:23BOSWilliams 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Delk 1 AST)6
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 5:33BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot4
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 5:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)4
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot4
25.2%
14
74.8%
Q1 - 6:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)4
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 6:14BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot4
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 6:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
26.2%
14
73.8%
Q1 - 6:26MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 24
26.7%
13
73.3%
Q1 - 6:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)4
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 6:50BOSMISS Delk 17' Jump Shot4
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 7:10MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)4
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 7:25BOSDelk Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 7:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 7:44BOSMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot4
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
35.2%
9
64.8%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 8:02MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:04BOSMISS Delk 22' Jump Shot4
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 8:12BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
38.4%
7
61.6%
Q1 - 8:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot4
38.4%
7
61.6%
Q1 - 8:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:28BOSMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)4
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 8:39BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot4
38.4%
7
61.6%
Q1 - 8:48BOSJackson STEAL (1 STL)4
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:49BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 8:51BOSMISS Williams Driving Layup4
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 8:56MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
36.7%
7
63.3%
Q1 - 9:18BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 9:30MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
36.7%
7
63.3%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot4
38.2%
7
61.8%
Q1 - 9:57BOSWilliams Layup (4 PTS)4
36.7%
7
63.3%
Q1 - 9:58BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.4%
7
64.6%
Q1 - 10:00BOSJones BLOCK (2 BLK)2
33.9%
7
66.1%
Q1 - 10:15MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
35.3%
7
64.7%
Q1 - 10:32BOSWilliams 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
38.5%
4
61.5%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)0
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 11:09BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup0
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 11:25MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)0
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 11:42MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:44BOSJones BLOCK (1 BLK)0
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Battie: Tip to Williams0
44.0%
0
56.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.92 45.8%
MIA
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
15
27
56%
MIA
7
9
78%
Midrange
BOS
6
25
24%
MIA
13
42
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
BOS
21
29
72%
MIA
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Strickland2364%11.5 / 18
P. Pierce1943%9.5 / 22
A. Walker1753%8.5 / 16
E. Williams1150%5.5 / 11
T. Battie750%3.5 / 7
R. Rogers531%2.5 / 8
W. McCarty375%1.5 / 2
T. Delk217%1.0 / 6
V. Potapenko0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2063%10.0 / 16
E. Jones1950%9.5 / 19
J. Jackson1250%6.0 / 12
B. Grant857%4.0 / 7
E. House758%3.5 / 6
L. Ellis627%3.0 / 11
V. Stepania675%3.0 / 4
R. Strickland425%2.0 / 8
C. Gatling0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
81
+12
-10
93
MIA
71
+13
-21
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.92 45.8%
MIA
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
96.1
BOS 95.6 +6.5
MIA 89.1
Pace
95.1
89.7
BOS 100.1 +15.8
MIA 84.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.7
BOS 14.4 +2.7
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
46.3%
BOS 42.9% +0.3%
MIA 42.6%
TO %
13.8%
15.5%
BOS 10.0% +10.4%
MIA 20.4%
ORB %
24.1%
26.7%
BOS 21.7%
MIA 25.0% +3.3%
FTrt
29.1
26.8
BOS 37.7
MIA 47.1 +9.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
59.4%
BOS 65.5% +0.1%
MIA 65.4%
STL %
10.1%
7.4%
BOS 11.0% +7.7%
MIA 3.3%
BLK %
5.8%
8.7%
BOS 5.9%
MIA 11.5% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.7%
47.7%
BOS 45.8%
MIA 48.8% +3.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
60.6%
BOS 55.6%
MIA 77.8% +22.2%
Mid FG%
36.6%
38.0%
BOS 24.0%
MIA 31.0% +7.0%
3P %
35.9%
34.7%
BOS 32.0%
MIA 35.3% +3.3%
FT %
76.4%
72.4%
BOS 72.4%
MIA 75.0% +2.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
28.1%
BOS 35.1% +21.8%
MIA 13.2%
Mid Att. %
36.6%
57.8%
BOS 32.5% +29.3%
MIA 61.8%
3P Att. %
28.9%
14.1%
BOS 32.5% +7.5%
MIA 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points8782
Rebounds3745
Assists1917
Steals103
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)36 (4)
Field Goals29-7726-68
At-the-Rim FG15-277-9
Midrange FG6-2513-42
2-Point FG21-5220-51
3-Point FG8-256-17
Free Throws21-2924-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
45.4
17
53%
4
3
1
0
0
3
0
4
5-8
63%
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'7" 235 · 24
44.1
19
43%
5
5
2
1
3
3
2
3
6-7
86%
5-15
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
34.5
7
50%
5
0
2
1
2
5
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 30
22.4
11
50%
5
1
3
0
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 28
21.3
2
17%
2
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 218 · 28
28.3
23
64%
6
3
2
0
3
4
0
6
8-8
100%
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
F · 6'7" 270 · 31
17.8
5
31%
4
2
0
0
0
5
2
2
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 245 · 28
15.6
3
75%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 27
10.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 21
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26
G · 6'4" 194 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
46%
37
19
10
3
10
0
10
27
21-29
72%
21-52
40%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.