FinalWin Prob.pScore
2711%96
100
189%111
111
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
106.49493.6
DAL logo DAL
119.49394.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL100
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMWright Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)100
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALMISS Najera 15' Jump Shot98
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)98
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALJohnson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MEMGill 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MEMGrizzlies Rebound94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20DALMISS Najera Slam Dunk94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MEMMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DALBradley Foul Turnover (P1.T14)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MEMWright 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24DALLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MEMMISS Swift 5' Turnaround Jump Shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DALMISS Buckner 12' Jump Shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MEMMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MEMWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DALMISS Buckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56DALMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39DALNajera Tip Shot (7 PTS)86
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41DALMISS Johnson Layup86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57DALMAVERICKS Rebound86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57MEMMISS Swift 13' Jump Shot86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24DALBradley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Buckner 3 AST)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MEMSwift Layup (16 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50MEMGill Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09DALMISS Zhi-zhi 16' Jump Shot83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29MEMMISS Long 17' Jump Shot83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46MEMLong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51MEMBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08DALMISS Najera 8' Jump Shot83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28MEMMISS Wright Layup83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42DALBuckner 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:08MEMWright Layup (8 PTS) (Long 2 AST)83
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 8:21DALZhi-zhi 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:40MEMLong 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)81
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:04DALFinley 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)79
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:13MEMFinley STEAL (5 STL)79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:18MEMWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 9:20MEMMISS Buford 5' Jump Shot79
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:50DALJohnson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)79
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 10:10MEMWright 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 10:12MEMWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:14MEMMISS Swift 10' Jump Shot77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:27MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:31DALMISS Buckner 5' Jump Shot77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:50MEMSwift Layup (14 PTS)77
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 11:06DALBuckner Driving Layup (6 PTS)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 11:27DALMAVERICKS Rebound75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 11:27MEMMISS Battier 7' Jump Shot75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 11:43DALJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)75
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALBuckner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)75
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)74
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0DALZhi-zhi 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)73
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0MEMBuford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0MEMBuford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)71
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0MEMFinley STEAL (4 STL)71
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALZhi-zhi 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)71
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 1:02MEMMISS Buford 10' Jump Shot71
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 1:23DALBuckner 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 1 AST)71
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:31DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 1:33MEMMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot71
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 1:47DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 1:47DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 271
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 2:07MEMGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)71
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 2:07MEMGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)70
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 2:07MEMGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 2:09MEMMISS Battier 17' Jump Shot69
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 2:30MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 2:32DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 2:38MEMFinley STEAL (3 STL)69
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 3:02DALZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)69
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 3:09DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 3:10MEMMISS Massenburg 5' Jump Shot69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 3:13MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)69
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 3:15MEMMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 3:32DALZhi-zhi Layup (8 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)69
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 3:34DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 3:37DALMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot69
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 3:56MEMMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)69
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 3:56MEMMISS Massenburg Free Throw 1 of 268
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 3:56MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 3:58MEMMISS Massenburg Layup68
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 4:10DALFinley Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)68
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 4:10MEMGrizzlies Rebound68
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q3 - 4:12DALMISS Nash 13' Jump Shot68
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 4:18MEMFinley STEAL (2 STL)68
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 4:29DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q3 - 4:29DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 4:46MEMGasol 4' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 5:07DALFinley Layup (10 PTS)66
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 5:37MEMBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)66
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 5:43MEMLong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 5:46DALMISS Nash 19' Jump Shot66
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 5:54MEMLong 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)66
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 5:59MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 6:02DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot64
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 6:21MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 164
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 6:21MEMGasol 10' Jump Shot (19 PTS)64
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 6:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 6:33DALMISS Griffin 10' Jump Shot62
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 6:38DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 6:41MEMMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot62
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 6:58DALNash Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)62
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 7:00DALGriffin Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)62
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 7:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 7:08MEMZhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK)62
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 7:20DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)62
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q3 - 7:36MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 7:36MEMBattier Layup (12 PTS)62
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 7:38MEMMISS Long 21' Jump Shot60
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 7:45MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 7:48DALMISS Zhi-zhi 19' Jump Shot60
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 8:10MEMWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)60
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 8:12DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)58
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 8:15MEMNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)58
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 8:25MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 8:27DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 8:39MEMSwift 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 8:47DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)56
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 9:00MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)56
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 9:00MEMGasol Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)55
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 9:22MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 9:23MEMMISS Long 22' Jump Shot53
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 9:37DALNash Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)53
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 9:37DALNash Driving Layup (9 PTS)53
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 9:44MEMSwift Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)53
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 10:08DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)51
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 10:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 10:18MEMMISS Swift 5' Jump Shot51
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 10:38DALGriffin 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)51
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 11:01MEMGasol Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Long 1 AST)51
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 11:19MEMGrizzlies Rebound49
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 11:20DALMISS LaFrentz 17' Jump Shot49
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 11:39MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 11:39MEMSwift Slam Dunk (8 PTS)49
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 11:42MEMMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot47
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM47
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound47
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Battier 52' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALNajera Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)47
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0MEMBuckner STEAL (1 STL)47
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALBuckner Tip Shot (2 PTS)47
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALMISS Johnson Running Layup47
2.9%
59
97.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0MEMGasol Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)47
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T7)45
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0MEMMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
2.2%
59
97.8%
Q2 - 1:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q2 - 1:06DALNowitzki Tip Shot (19 PTS)45
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q2 - 1:08DALMISS LaFrentz 8' Jump Shot45
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 1:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 1:30MEMMISS Gasol Layup45
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q2 - 1:50DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (LaFrentz 3 AST)45
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 2:11MEMSwift Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Buford 1 AST)45
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 2:14DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)43
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 2:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 2:20MEMNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)43
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 2:35MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 2:37DALMISS Nowitzki Layup43
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 2:38DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 2:40DALMISS Buckner Layup43
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 2:50DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 2:51DALMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot43
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 3:07MEMNajera STEAL (1 STL)43
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 3:13MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Najera Layup43
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 3:20DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 3:22MEMLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)43
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 3:28DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)43
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 3:41MEMSwift Slam Dunk (4 PTS)43
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 3:45MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 3:49MEMMISS Buford 19' Jump Shot41
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 4:02DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)41
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 4:22MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 4:22MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 240
3.4%
52
96.6%
Q2 - 4:38DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)40
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 4:47MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 4:47MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 5:04DALNash Foul Turnover (P1.T4)38
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 5:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 5:15MEMMISS Gill Free Throw 2 of 238
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 5:15MEMGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 5:31DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)37
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 5:42DALMAVERICKS Rebound37
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 5:43MEMNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)37
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 5:56MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 5:58DALMISS Van Exel 8' Jump Shot37
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 6:08DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 6:10MEMMISS Buford 11' Jump Shot37
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 6:26MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q2 - 6:28DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 6:52MEMWright Layup (4 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)37
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 6:57MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)35
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q2 - 6:58MEMMISS Buford 17' Jump Shot35
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 7:16DALVan Exel Layup (7 PTS)35
3.7%
47
96.3%
Q2 - 7:39DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 7:41MEMMISS Wright 13' Jump Shot35
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q2 - 7:55DALVan Exel Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)35
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 8:00DALVan Exel Layup (4 PTS)35
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 8:10MEMGasol Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)35
5.5%
42
94.5%
Q2 - 8:18DALVan Exel Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)33
5.1%
42
94.9%
Q2 - 8:23DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 8:25MEMMISS Gasol Layup33
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 8:40MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
6.2%
40
93.8%
Q2 - 8:43MEMMISS Gasol 4' Jump Shot33
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 8:55MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
6.2%
40
93.8%
Q2 - 8:57DALMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
6.0%
40
94.0%
Q2 - 9:02DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 9:05MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot33
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 9:12DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)33
6.2%
40
93.8%
Q2 - 9:25MEMBuford Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)33
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 9:29MEMWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 9:33DALMISS Van Exel 4' Jump Shot31
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 9:43MEMWright Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)31
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 9:45MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
4.2%
40
95.8%
Q2 - 9:48DALMISS Najera Layup29
4.1%
40
95.9%
Q2 - 10:02DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
3.9%
40
96.1%
Q2 - 10:04MEMMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot29
4.0%
40
96.0%
Q2 - 10:19DALFinley Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)29
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 10:37DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
4.7%
38
95.3%
Q2 - 10:39MEMMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot29
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 10:52DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 10:52DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
5.3%
37
94.7%
Q2 - 11:08MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 11:08MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 11:26DALNajera Foul Turnover (P1.T2)27
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 11:45MEMGasol Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)27
4.7%
36
95.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL25
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
3.9%
36
96.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MEMMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot25
4.0%
36
96.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
4.2%
36
95.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MEMBuford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)25
4.7%
34
95.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)23
4.2%
34
95.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
4.7%
32
95.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0MEMMISS Buford 7' Jump Shot23
4.8%
32
95.2%
Q1 - 1:20DALFinley Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)23
5.1%
32
94.9%
Q1 - 1:22DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
5.7%
30
94.3%
Q1 - 1:25DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot23
6.0%
30
94.0%
Q1 - 1:41MEMBattier Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Massenburg 1 AST)23
5.7%
30
94.3%
Q1 - 2:02DALGriffin Reverse Layup (6 PTS)21
5.1%
30
94.9%
Q1 - 2:27MEMBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)21
5.6%
28
94.4%
Q1 - 2:29MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
4.7%
28
95.3%
Q1 - 2:33MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
4.4%
28
95.6%
Q1 - 2:49MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
4.7%
28
95.3%
Q1 - 2:52MEMMISS Battier 10' Jump Shot18
4.4%
28
95.6%
Q1 - 3:02MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
4.8%
28
95.2%
Q1 - 3:04DALMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot18
4.7%
28
95.3%
Q1 - 3:13MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
4.4%
28
95.6%
Q1 - 3:13MEMGasol Tip Shot (6 PTS)18
4.4%
28
95.6%
Q1 - 3:14MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 3:14MEMMISS Gasol Layup16
3.8%
28
96.2%
Q1 - 3:17MEMMISS Gasol Layup16
3.8%
28
96.2%
Q1 - 3:40DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 3:40DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
4.1%
27
95.9%
Q1 - 3:46MEMGasol Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)16
4.4%
26
95.6%
Q1 - 4:00DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
4.0%
26
96.0%
Q1 - 4:19MEMMassenburg Layup (4 PTS)14
4.7%
23
95.3%
Q1 - 4:20MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
4.4%
23
95.6%
Q1 - 4:22MEMMISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot12
4.1%
23
95.9%
Q1 - 4:41DALZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)12
4.4%
23
95.6%
Q1 - 4:56MEMFinley STEAL (1 STL)12
5.1%
20
94.9%
Q1 - 5:03MEMLong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 5:06MEMMISS Long 11' Jump Shot12
5.2%
20
94.8%
Q1 - 5:32DALZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)12
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 5:38DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
6.5%
17
93.5%
Q1 - 5:41MEMMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot12
6.6%
17
93.4%
Q1 - 5:46MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7.0%
17
93.0%
Q1 - 5:49DALMISS Nash 5' Jump Shot12
6.9%
17
93.1%
Q1 - 6:14MEMWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)12
6.5%
17
93.5%
Q1 - 6:38DALGriffin Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)9
5.6%
17
94.4%
Q1 - 6:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
6.0%
15
94.0%
Q1 - 6:45MEMGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)9
6.2%
15
93.8%
Q1 - 7:12DALNash Running Layup (2 PTS)9
6.5%
15
93.5%
Q1 - 7:43MEMMassenburg Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)9
6.9%
13
93.1%
Q1 - 8:05DALLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
6.4%
13
93.6%
Q1 - 8:14MEMLaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)7
5.9%
13
94.1%
Q1 - 8:33DALNowitzki Driving Layup (7 PTS)7
6.4%
13
93.6%
Q1 - 8:44DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6.8%
11
93.2%
Q1 - 8:45MEMMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot7
7.0%
11
93.0%
Q1 - 8:59DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
7.4%
11
92.6%
Q1 - 8:59DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
7.5%
10
92.5%
Q1 - 9:07MEMWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
7.7%
9
92.3%
Q1 - 9:29DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (5 PTS)4
6.8%
9
93.2%
Q1 - 9:33MEMNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)4
7.2%
7
92.8%
Q1 - 9:42DALGriffin Layup (2 PTS)4
7.8%
7
92.2%
Q1 - 9:46DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
8.2%
5
91.8%
Q1 - 9:48DALMISS Finley Layup4
8.8%
5
91.2%
Q1 - 10:02MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
8.2%
5
91.8%
Q1 - 10:02MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
8.1%
5
91.9%
Q1 - 10:29DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)2
7.8%
5
92.2%
Q1 - 10:49MEMSwift Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
8.2%
3
91.8%
Q1 - 11:11DALLaFrentz Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
7.7%
3
92.3%
Q1 - 11:15MEMGriffin STEAL (1 STL)0
8.3%
1
91.7%
Q1 - 11:22MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.8%
1
91.2%
Q1 - 11:24DALMISS Griffin 3PT Jump Shot0
8.6%
1
91.4%
Q1 - 11:32DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.3%
1
91.7%
Q1 - 11:35MEMMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot0
8.4%
1
91.6%
Q1 - 11:53DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
8.8%
1
91.2%
Q1 - 11:53DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 20
8.9%
0
91.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Swift: Tip to Griffin0
8.8%
0
91.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.98 49.0%
DAL
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
28
45
62%
DAL
22
34
65%
Midrange
MEM
5
31
16%
DAL
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
DAL
9
13.5
15
60%
90%
Free Throws
MEM
25
30
83%
DAL
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2361%11.5 / 19
S. Swift2059%10.0 / 17
L. Wright1458%7.0 / 12
S. Battier1246%6.0 / 13
J. Williams836%4.0 / 11
E. Gill880%4.0 / 5
R. Buford627%3.0 / 11
T. Massenburg550%2.5 / 5
G. Long429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2492%12.0 / 13
W. Zhi-zhi18100%9.0 / 9
M. Finley1365%6.5 / 10
S. Nash1365%6.5 / 10
A. Griffin1071%5.0 / 7
G. Buckner956%4.5 / 8
E. Najera739%3.5 / 9
N. Van Exel770%3.5 / 5
R. LaFrentz433%2.0 / 6
A. Johnson429%2.0 / 7
S. Bradley2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
82
+19
-12
101
DAL
79
+8
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.98 49.0%
DAL
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
95.6
109.4
MEM 106.4
DAL 119.4 +13.0
Pace
93.7
95.4
MEM 93.6
DAL 94.4 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.9
MEM 15.4
DAL 15.2 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.2%
50.7%
MEM 44.6%
DAL 61.7% +17.1%
TO %
16.7%
12.1%
MEM 11.0% +3.2%
DAL 14.2%
ORB %
27.8%
26.2%
MEM 38.3% +12.5%
DAL 25.8%
FTrt
28.8
28.8
MEM 35.7 +12.3
DAL 23.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
56.6%
MEM 61.1% +0.6%
DAL 60.5%
STL %
8.4%
7.4%
MEM 7.4%
DAL 11.8% +4.4%
BLK %
8.5%
7.1%
MEM 9.7% +1.8%
DAL 7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
53.0%
MEM 49.0%
DAL 63.8% +14.8%
Rim FG%
57.1%
58.9%
MEM 62.2%
DAL 64.7% +2.5%
Mid FG%
38.6%
42.0%
MEM 16.1%
DAL 42.9% +26.8%
3P %
30.7%
37.8%
MEM 37.5%
DAL 60.0% +22.5%
FT %
70.8%
80.6%
MEM 83.3%
DAL 88.9% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
30.7%
MEM 53.6% +9.4%
DAL 44.2%
Mid Att. %
48.9%
45.6%
MEM 36.9%
DAL 36.4% +0.5%
3P Att. %
16.8%
23.7%
MEM 9.5%
DAL 19.5% +10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsMEMDAL
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.123.6
Points100111
Rebounds4137
Assists2226
Steals711
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (1)8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)29 (3)
Field Goals36-8443-77
At-the-Rim FG28-4522-34
Midrange FG5-3112-28
2-Point FG33-7634-62
3-Point FG3-89-15
Free Throws25-3016-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 220 · 24
38.4
12
46%
7
3
1
0
4
1
2
5
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 250 · 22
37.2
23
61%
5
4
0
1
0
2
3
2
5-6
83%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 22
28.8
20
59%
4
0
0
3
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 26
28.3
8
36%
3
10
2
0
3
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-8
13%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
22.6
4
29%
3
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24
22.9
6
27%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 26
20.0
14
58%
9
1
0
0
0
1
3
6
2-3
67%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
19.7
8
80%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
6-7
86%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35
17.1
5
50%
6
1
0
1
2
3
4
2
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 219 · 21
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 24
G · 5'10" 166 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
49%
41
22
7
6
12
0
18
23
25-30
83%
33-76
43%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.