FinalWin Prob.pScore
1644%88
104
1856%90
94
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
113.09294.3
MIA logo MIA
109.38685.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND104
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMercer Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMercer Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)102
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)102
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)101
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMiller Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)100
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)98
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot96
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ollie 5 AST)96
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 1:14MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)93
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 1:22INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 1:22INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 1:42MIAHouse 12' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
97.3%
84
2.7%
Q4 - 1:48INDHouse STEAL (1 STL)91
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMourning Dunk (20 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)91
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 2:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 2:22INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 2:40MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#11)91
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 2:53INDMISS Mercer 20' Jump Shot91
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 3:15MIAJones 12' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)91
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 3:45INDMercer 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 3:55INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 4:04INDStrickland STEAL (4 STL)89
97.7%
78
2.3%
Q4 - 4:05INDMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)89
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 4:09INDMISS O'Neal 11' Running Hook Shot89
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 4:28INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot89
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 4:44INDMercer 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)89
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 5:00INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
96.9%
78
3.1%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
94.7%
78
5.3%
Q4 - 5:24MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
93.4%
78
6.6%
Q4 - 5:26INDMISS Mercer 17' Jump Shot87
94.1%
78
5.9%
Q4 - 5:44INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
95.3%
78
4.7%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot87
94.8%
78
5.2%
Q4 - 6:08INDMercer 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)87
91.3%
78
8.7%
Q4 - 6:18INDMercer Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)85
89.1%
78
10.9%
Q4 - 6:22INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
85.8%
78
14.2%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Gatling Layup84
84.5%
78
15.5%
Q4 - 6:44MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
81.2%
78
18.8%
Q4 - 6:46INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot84
82.7%
78
17.3%
Q4 - 7:11MIAJackson Driving Layup (5 PTS)84
83.6%
78
16.4%
Q4 - 7:44INDMercer 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)84
86.7%
76
13.3%
Q4 - 7:59MIAGrant 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)82
83.7%
76
16.3%
Q4 - 8:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
86.8%
74
13.2%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
86.9%
74
13.1%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHEAT Rebound82
84.8%
74
15.2%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot82
87.0%
74
13.0%
Q4 - 8:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
84.9%
74
15.1%
Q4 - 8:24INDMISS Ollie 15' Jump Shot82
85.9%
74
14.1%
Q4 - 8:44MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
88.0%
74
12.0%
Q4 - 8:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
90.4%
72
9.6%
Q4 - 8:55INDMISS Ollie 21' Jump Shot82
91.1%
72
8.9%
Q4 - 9:29MIAStrickland Driving Layup (14 PTS)82
91.2%
72
8.8%
Q4 - 9:44INDBender 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ollie 4 AST)82
92.9%
70
7.1%
Q4 - 9:54INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
91.2%
70
8.8%
Q4 - 9:56INDMISS Ollie 18' Jump Shot80
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q4 - 10:19MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)80
90.0%
70
10.0%
Q4 - 10:38INDFoster 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)80
91.7%
68
8.3%
Q4 - 11:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
88.8%
68
11.2%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot78
88.1%
68
11.9%
Q4 - 11:25INDOllie 8' Jump Shot (3 PTS)78
86.4%
68
13.6%
Q4 - 11:38INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
83.8%
68
16.2%
Q4 - 11:42INDMISS Bender 5' Hook Shot76
81.5%
68
18.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND76
83.8%
68
16.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound76
83.8%
68
16.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Foster 12' Jump Shot76
81.6%
68
18.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
83.8%
68
16.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Ollie Free Throw 2 of 276
79.6%
68
20.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
81.8%
68
18.2%
Q3 - 0:12.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
79.2%
68
20.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
76.7%
68
23.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)75
79.2%
68
20.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDGrant STEAL (1 STL)75
75.6%
68
24.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
79.3%
68
20.7%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
83.7%
65
16.3%
Q3 - 1:06INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot75
84.6%
65
15.4%
Q3 - 1:27MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 3 AST)75
86.4%
65
13.6%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)75
88.5%
63
11.5%
Q3 - 1:39INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot75
89.1%
63
10.9%
Q3 - 2:04MIAJones Dunk (12 PTS) (House 2 AST)75
89.1%
63
10.9%
Q3 - 2:07INDJones STEAL (1 STL)75
90.6%
61
9.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMourning Dunk (18 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)75
92.3%
61
7.7%
Q3 - 2:42INDMiller 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ollie 3 AST)75
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 3:00INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
91.1%
59
8.9%
Q3 - 3:26INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
90.0%
59
10.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)71
88.4%
59
11.6%
Q3 - 4:12INDO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
88.9%
57
11.1%
Q3 - 4:35INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
87.4%
57
12.6%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
86.7%
57
13.3%
Q3 - 4:55INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
85.1%
57
14.9%
Q3 - 4:55INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)68
84.5%
57
15.5%
Q3 - 4:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
83.1%
57
16.9%
Q3 - 4:57INDJones BLOCK (1 BLK)67
81.1%
57
18.9%
Q3 - 5:14MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
82.0%
57
18.0%
Q3 - 5:25INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)67
84.2%
55
15.8%
Q3 - 5:38MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)64
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q3 - 5:50INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P4.T11)64
76.4%
55
23.6%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMourning Layup (16 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)64
78.2%
55
21.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)64
80.7%
53
19.3%
Q3 - 6:15INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)64
83.1%
52
16.9%
Q3 - 6:15INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
85.3%
52
14.7%
Q3 - 6:20INDMISS O'Neal 12' Hook Shot64
83.8%
52
16.2%
Q3 - 6:43MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 7:00INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
87.2%
50
12.8%
Q3 - 7:00INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
87.0%
50
13.0%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)62
84.4%
50
15.6%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHEAT Rebound62
81.9%
50
18.1%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Mourning 11' Hook Shot62
83.7%
50
16.3%
Q3 - 7:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
82.0%
50
18.0%
Q3 - 7:45INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot62
82.8%
50
17.2%
Q3 - 8:05MIAStrickland Running Layup (8 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)62
83.8%
50
16.2%
Q3 - 8:10MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
85.5%
48
14.5%
Q3 - 8:11INDMISS Miller Layup62
86.2%
48
13.8%
Q3 - 8:16INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
87.5%
48
12.5%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot62
87.0%
48
13.0%
Q3 - 8:32MIAHEAT Rebound62
85.5%
48
14.5%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Grant Driving Layup62
87.0%
48
13.0%
Q3 - 8:50INDO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
85.6%
48
14.4%
Q3 - 9:07MIAStrickland Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
82.7%
48
17.3%
Q3 - 9:19INDMiller Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)60
84.7%
46
15.3%
Q3 - 9:32INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
82.8%
46
17.2%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot58
82.1%
46
17.9%
Q3 - 9:57INDO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q3 - 10:07MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)56
77.4%
46
22.6%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 256
78.0%
45
22.0%
Q3 - 10:10INDStrickland STEAL (3 STL)56
77.1%
45
22.9%
Q3 - 10:26INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
79.8%
45
20.2%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot56
79.0%
45
21.0%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)56
77.1%
45
22.9%
Q3 - 10:46INDMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)56
78.0%
45
22.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)56
78.9%
45
21.1%
Q3 - 11:06INDStrickland STEAL (2 STL)56
81.0%
43
19.0%
Q3 - 11:25INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
83.2%
43
16.8%
Q3 - 11:27INDMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot56
81.7%
43
18.3%
Q3 - 11:46MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
83.2%
43
16.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND56
85.0%
41
15.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
86.7%
41
13.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot56
85.0%
41
15.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
84.3%
39
15.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)54
84.7%
39
15.3%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (14 PTS)54
85.5%
39
14.5%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)54
87.5%
37
12.5%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Mourning Layup54
87.4%
37
12.6%
Q2 - 1:25INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
86.9%
37
13.1%
Q2 - 1:25INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
86.6%
37
13.4%
Q2 - 1:25INDPacers Rebound52
84.6%
37
15.4%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot52
84.3%
37
15.7%
Q2 - 1:41INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
83.7%
37
16.3%
Q2 - 1:41INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
83.3%
37
16.7%
Q2 - 1:56INDPacers Rebound50
80.9%
37
19.1%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot50
80.6%
37
19.4%
Q2 - 2:15MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
78.5%
37
21.5%
Q2 - 2:17INDMISS Bender 17' Jump Shot50
79.1%
37
20.9%
Q2 - 2:37MIAJones 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
80.4%
37
19.6%
Q2 - 2:51INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
82.5%
35
17.5%
Q2 - 2:51INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
82.0%
35
18.0%
Q2 - 3:02MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)48
79.3%
35
20.7%
Q2 - 3:13INDO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)46
75.2%
35
24.8%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
77.1%
33
22.9%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Strickland Reverse Layup46
78.7%
33
21.3%
Q2 - 3:48MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
77.1%
33
22.9%
Q2 - 3:50INDMISS Mercer 20' Jump Shot46
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
79.4%
33
20.6%
Q2 - 4:13INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)46
76.1%
33
23.9%
Q2 - 4:13INDTinsley Driving Layup (4 PTS)45
74.0%
33
26.0%
Q2 - 4:25MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P1.T5)43
71.7%
33
28.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
69.3%
33
30.7%
Q2 - 4:29INDMISS O'Neal Layup43
70.1%
33
29.9%
Q2 - 4:33INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
71.7%
33
28.3%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot43
71.0%
33
29.0%
Q2 - 4:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)43
69.4%
33
30.6%
Q2 - 4:56INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)42
66.9%
33
33.1%
Q2 - 5:12INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
63.9%
33
36.1%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
63.0%
33
37.0%
Q2 - 5:29INDMercer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
61.0%
33
39.0%
Q2 - 5:29INDMercer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
60.5%
33
39.5%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)38
58.5%
33
41.5%
Q2 - 5:53INDMercer 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)38
55.6%
33
44.4%
Q2 - 6:12MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)36
52.9%
33
47.1%
Q2 - 6:25INDBender Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)36
49.6%
33
50.4%
Q2 - 6:33MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
52.9%
33
47.1%
Q2 - 6:33MIAJackson Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)36
52.3%
32
47.7%
Q2 - 6:33MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 6:44MIAHEAT Rebound36
57.8%
30
42.2%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot36
60.0%
30
40.0%
Q2 - 6:55MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
57.8%
30
42.2%
Q2 - 6:57INDMISS Bender 18' Jump Shot36
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q2 - 7:13MIAGatling 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)36
60.1%
30
39.9%
Q2 - 7:31INDFoster 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)36
62.5%
28
37.5%
Q2 - 7:46MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
60.2%
28
39.8%
Q2 - 8:05INDCroshere 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
61.9%
26
38.1%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)32
59.8%
26
40.2%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
61.9%
24
38.1%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Gatling 14' Jump Shot32
63.8%
24
36.2%
Q2 - 8:53INDMercer 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
61.9%
24
38.1%
Q2 - 9:20MIAGatling 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q2 - 9:42INDFoster Layup (2 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)30
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)28
59.2%
22
40.8%
Q2 - 10:15INDBender Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
61.0%
20
39.0%
Q2 - 10:45MIAHouse Driving Layup (5 PTS)28
63.6%
20
36.4%
Q2 - 10:56INDBender Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q2 - 11:02INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
62.7%
18
37.3%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Gatling Tip Shot26
62.0%
18
38.0%
Q2 - 11:05MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
60.4%
18
39.6%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot26
62.0%
18
38.0%
Q2 - 11:22MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q2 - 11:24INDMISS Foster Dunk26
61.2%
18
38.8%
Q2 - 11:36INDOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
62.8%
18
37.2%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot26
62.1%
18
37.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
60.2%
18
39.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot26
61.4%
18
38.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
60.2%
18
39.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 226
60.4%
18
39.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
61.8%
18
38.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
59.7%
18
40.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Jackson 6' Hook Shot25
59.1%
18
40.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
57.9%
18
42.1%
Q1 - 1:01INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
55.0%
18
45.0%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot23
54.4%
18
45.6%
Q1 - 1:20INDTinsley Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)23
53.2%
18
46.8%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 1:51MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
48.4%
18
51.6%
Q1 - 1:52INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 221
48.7%
18
51.3%
Q1 - 1:52INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 2:10MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)20
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 2:25INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
53.0%
15
47.0%
Q1 - 2:25INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 219
52.4%
15
47.6%
Q1 - 2:49MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)19
52.9%
15
47.1%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHEAT Rebound19
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 3:06INDMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot19
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 3:11INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot19
56.2%
13
43.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
54.5%
13
45.5%
Q1 - 3:22INDMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot19
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 3:35INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot19
56.3%
13
43.7%
Q1 - 3:52INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
54.6%
13
45.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)19
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 4:17INDMiller Driving Layup (11 PTS)19
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)17
56.7%
11
43.3%
Q1 - 4:47MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)17
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 4:58INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)17
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 5:22INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
61.8%
8
38.2%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot17
61.2%
8
38.8%
Q1 - 5:42INDO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)17
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 5:47INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
57.8%
8
42.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot15
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 5:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
55.6%
8
44.4%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot15
57.2%
8
42.8%
Q1 - 6:13INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 115
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 6:13INDWorld Peace 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
54.8%
8
45.2%
Q1 - 6:27INDPacers Rebound13
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Mourning Reverse Layup13
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 6:40MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)13
50.8%
8
49.2%
Q1 - 6:52INDMiller Layup (9 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)13
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 7:02INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
50.3%
7
49.7%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Grant 4' Hook Shot11
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 7:15INDMiller Layup (7 PTS)11
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 7:18INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
46.5%
7
53.5%
Q1 - 7:20INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 7:37MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)9
46.5%
7
53.5%
Q1 - 7:43INDStrickland STEAL (1 STL)9
48.2%
5
51.8%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
50.4%
5
49.6%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
50.9%
4
49.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
52.1%
3
47.9%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup9
53.5%
3
46.5%
Q1 - 8:16INDWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS)9
52.1%
3
47.9%
Q1 - 8:21MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
50.5%
3
49.5%
Q1 - 8:41INDMiller 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)7
48.3%
3
51.7%
Q1 - 8:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
46.7%
3
53.3%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup5
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 8:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
44.6%
3
55.4%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot5
45.9%
3
54.1%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 9:10INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot5
44.9%
3
55.1%
Q1 - 9:24INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
46.6%
3
53.4%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot5
45.9%
3
54.1%
Q1 - 9:43INDMourning STEAL (1 STL)5
44.3%
3
55.7%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
46.6%
3
53.4%
Q1 - 10:16INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
48.0%
1
52.0%
Q1 - 10:16INDMiller Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
46.1%
1
53.9%
Q1 - 10:18INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
44.5%
1
55.5%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Strickland 22' Jump Shot2
43.9%
1
56.1%
Q1 - 10:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
42.4%
1
57.6%
Q1 - 10:46INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 10:50INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Grant 12' Hook Shot2
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:16INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot2
44.9%
0
55.1%
Q1 - 11:27INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 22
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 22
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:33MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot2
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:47INDMiller 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. O'Neal: Tip to Tinsley0
42.4%
0
57.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.16 57.8%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
18
67%
MIA
17
26
65%
Midrange
IND
22
41
54%
MIA
18
48
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
IND
30
35
86%
MIA
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2153%10.5 / 20
R. Miller2067%10.0 / 15
R. Mercer1777%8.5 / 11
B. Miller1583%7.5 / 9
J. Bender1056%5.0 / 9
J. Foster660%3.0 / 5
J. Tinsley550%2.5 / 5
M. World Peace550%2.5 / 5
K. Ollie330%1.5 / 5
A. Croshere2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2053%10.0 / 19
E. Jones2067%10.0 / 15
E. House1882%9.0 / 11
R. Strickland1454%7.0 / 13
B. Grant836%4.0 / 11
K. Gill550%2.5 / 5
J. Jackson550%2.5 / 5
C. Gatling429%2.0 / 7
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+10
-13
89
MIA
77
+14
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.16 57.8%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
96.1
IND 113.0 +3.7
MIA 109.3
Pace
94.6
89.7
IND 94.3 +9.2
MIA 85.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.7
IND 15.3 +1.6
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
46.3%
IND 56.1% +7.3%
MIA 48.8%
TO %
15.2%
15.5%
IND 15.6%
MIA 10.8% +4.8%
ORB %
27.0%
26.7%
IND 28.1% +2.5%
MIA 25.6%
FTrt
32.8
26.8
IND 53.0 +35.1
MIA 17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.2%
59.4%
IND 47.2% +3.6%
MIA 43.6%
STL %
8.4%
7.4%
IND 4.3%
MIA 9.3% +5.0%
BLK %
7.8%
8.7%
IND 5.4% +0.3%
MIA 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
47.7%
IND 57.8% +6.2%
MIA 51.6%
Rim FG%
58.6%
60.6%
IND 66.7% +1.3%
MIA 65.4%
Mid FG%
40.1%
38.0%
IND 53.7% +16.2%
MIA 37.5%
3P %
33.9%
34.7%
IND 28.6%
MIA 40.0% +11.4%
FT %
77.2%
72.4%
IND 85.7% +5.7%
MIA 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
28.1%
IND 27.3%
MIA 31.0% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
57.8%
IND 62.1%
MIA 57.1% +5.0%
3P Att. %
18.2%
14.1%
IND 10.6%
MIA 11.9% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9286
Possession Minutes23.424.3
Points10494
Rebounds3833
Assists1717
Steals48
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)23 (1)
Field Goals36-6639-84
At-the-Rim FG12-1817-26
Midrange FG22-4118-48
2-Point FG34-5935-74
3-Point FG2-74-10
Free Throws30-3512-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 255 · 23
38.0
21
53%
8
1
2
3
0
4
2
6
7-9
78%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 37
33.5
20
67%
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
4
8-8
100%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
33.1
5
50%
2
7
0
1
4
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 261 · 26
27.9
15
83%
8
0
1
0
2
2
4
4
3-3
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 22
17.9
5
50%
4
0
1
0
3
3
0
4
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 230 · 21
30.3
10
56%
5
1
0
0
2
3
2
3
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
18.8
17
77%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
5-5
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 29
16.0
3
30%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25
12.4
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
12.2
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 22
C · 7'2" 260 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
58%
38
17
4
4
13
0
9
29
30-35
86%
34-59
58%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.