FinalWin Prob.pScore
2125%90
97
875%98
99
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
106.69189.5
SAS logo SAS
108.89192.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0HOUWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)97
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)94
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Mobley 22' Jump Shot94
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)94
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)94
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)91
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 291
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)91
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0HOUMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)91
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 291
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUFrancis 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)91
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 289
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASParker 18' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)87
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 1:17HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 1:17HOUCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)86
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 1:38HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 1:40SASMISS Bowen 6' Jump Shot85
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 2:06HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 2:06HOUCato 1' Dunk (4 PTS)85
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 2:09HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 2:19SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 2:19SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 2:38HOUNorris 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)83
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 2:59HOUCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 3:02SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 3:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:09SASRose REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)80
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:09SASMISS Rose 2' Layup80
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 3:11SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot80
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 3:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:20SASMISS Parker 2' Layup80
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 3:25SASRose REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)80
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:27HOUMISS Griffin 20' Jump Shot80
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:28HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)80
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 3:32HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 3:35HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 3:36HOUMISS Norris 17' Jump Shot80
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 4:01SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 4:01SASRobinson 1' Layup (8 PTS)80
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 4:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 4:03SASMISS Bowen Layup80
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 4:06SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot80
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 4:31HOUMobley 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)80
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 4:34SASBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)78
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 4:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 4:40SASMISS Bowen 8' Running Jump Shot78
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 5:04HOUFrancis Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)78
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 5:04HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 5:04HOUMISS Francis 1' Finger Roll78
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 5:10HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 5:12SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot78
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 5:31HOUGriffin 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)78
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 5:47HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 5:49SASMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot76
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 6:02HOUGriffin 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)76
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 6:17SASRose 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)74
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 6:34HOUCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 6:34HOUCato 2' Layup (2 PTS)74
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 6:37HOUMISS Mobley 2' Layup72
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 6:58SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 6:58SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 6:58SASRose REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)72
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 7:00SASMISS Robinson Layup72
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 7:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:08HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 7:12HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 7:14SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS Rose 2' Layup72
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot72
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 7:21SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:25SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 7:30SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:33SASMISS Daniels 2' Layup72
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 7:56HOUMobley 1' Finger Roll (18 PTS)72
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 8:03SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)70
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 8:15HOUMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)70
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 8:29SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)70
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 8:42HOUBowen STEAL (1 STL)70
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 9:02HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot70
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 9:12SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 9:13HOUMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 9:28SASRose 1' Layup (10 PTS)70
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 9:45HOUMobley 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 9:57SASDaniels 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)68
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 10:08SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 10:10HOUMISS Norris 22' Jump Shot68
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 10:31SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)68
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 10:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)68
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q4 - 10:49SASMISS Daniels 14' Jump Shot68
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 11:08HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)68
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q4 - 11:08HOURockets Rebound68
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 11:10HOUMISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 11:12HOURockets Rebound68
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 11:12HOUDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)68
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 11:36SASRose 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)68
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU68
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASRose Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T10)68
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 268
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0SASSPURS Rebound68
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot68
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot68
10.0%
74
90.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUMobley 29' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 1:24SASFerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)65
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 1:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)65
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 1:34HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 2 of 265
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 1:34HOUGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 1:35HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 1:37SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot64
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 1:47HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 1:47HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)63
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 1:47HOURockets Rebound62
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 1:47SASMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot62
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 2:01HOUFrancis 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 2:12HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 2:15SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot60
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 2:36HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 2:36HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 2:52SASRose 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)58
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 3:11SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 3:12HOUMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot58
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 3:14HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 3:16HOUMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot58
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 3:39HOURockets Rebound58
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 3:39SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup58
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 3:58HOUThomas 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)58
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 4:10HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 4:13SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup56
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 4:31SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)56
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 4:33HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 4:36HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 4:38HOUMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot56
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 4:58SASParker 1' Layup (10 PTS)56
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 5:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 5:04HOUMISS Mobley 22' Jump Shot56
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 5:23SASRobinson 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)56
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 5:39HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 5:39HOUThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 5:52SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 5:52SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 6:17HOUMobley 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
4.2%
66
95.8%
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)52
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)52
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 6:56HOUThomas 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)52
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 7:15SASBowen Layup (7 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)50
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 7:31HOUThomas 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)50
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 7:38HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 7:39SASMISS Bowen 4' Jump Shot48
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 7:55HOUWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)48
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q3 - 8:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)45
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 8:14SASDuncan 2' Follow Up Dunk (26 PTS)45
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 8:16SASMISS Robinson 10' Jump Shot45
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 8:21SASSPURS Rebound45
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q3 - 8:22SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot45
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 8:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)45
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q3 - 8:36HOUMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot45
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 8:53SASBowen 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)45
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 9:01SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)45
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q3 - 9:03HOUMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 9:18SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)45
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q3 - 9:20HOUParker STEAL (1 STL)45
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 9:23HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q3 - 9:27HOUMISS Cato 1' Alley Oop Dunk45
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q3 - 9:39SASDuncan 2' Layup (24 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)45
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q3 - 9:40SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q3 - 9:44SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q3 - 10:04HOUThomas 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)45
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q3 - 10:12HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q3 - 10:13SASMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot43
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q3 - 10:25SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q3 - 10:27HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q3 - 10:38SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)43
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q3 - 10:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)43
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q3 - 10:57HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 243
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q3 - 10:57HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q3 - 11:05HOURockets Rebound42
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q3 - 11:07HOUMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q3 - 11:18HOUMobley Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)42
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q3 - 11:26HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot41
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q3 - 11:46HOUFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)41
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS38
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup38
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ferry 3PT Jump Shot38
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0HOUMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot38
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASDuncan 1' Layup (20 PTS)38
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0HOUGriffin Tip Shot (9 PTS)38
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0HOUMISS Cato 1' Tip Shot36
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Griffin 1' Layup36
4.8%
49
95.2%
Q2 - 1:07HOURockets Rebound36
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 1:08HOUMISS Francis 1' Layup36
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 1:22SASSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T8)36
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 1:34SASSPURS Rebound36
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q2 - 1:36HOUDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)36
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 1:53SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)36
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 2:00SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q2 - 2:02HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 2:25SASSmith 2' Layup (8 PTS)36
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 2:42HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 2:42HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)34
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 2:58SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)34
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 3:14SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 3:16HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
6.9%
45
93.1%
Q2 - 3:43SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)34
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 3:57HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 3:57HOUThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q2 - 4:12SASDuncan 2' Dunk (16 PTS)32
6.1%
45
93.9%
Q2 - 4:29HOUThomas 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)32
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 4:42SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 4:47SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 4:50HOUMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot30
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 5:07HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
6.2%
43
93.8%
Q2 - 5:09SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 5:29SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 5:31HOUMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot30
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 5:50SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)30
6.2%
43
93.8%
Q2 - 5:50SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 230
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 5:59HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 5:59HOUNorris 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
5.5%
42
94.5%
Q2 - 6:07HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
5.2%
42
94.8%
Q2 - 6:09SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot27
5.0%
42
95.0%
Q2 - 6:20SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 6:24HOUMISS Mobley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot27
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 6:42SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
5.2%
42
94.8%
Q2 - 6:42SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 6:46SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 6:48HOUMISS Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.9%
40
94.1%
Q2 - 7:00SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)27
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 7:13HOUNorris 1' Layup (2 PTS)27
6.1%
40
93.9%
Q2 - 7:22HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.5%
40
94.5%
Q2 - 7:24SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot25
5.3%
40
94.7%
Q2 - 7:29SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 7:31SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot25
5.3%
40
94.7%
Q2 - 7:48HOUWillis Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)25
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 7:49HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
5.5%
40
94.5%
Q2 - 7:52HOUMISS Mobley 13' Jump Shot25
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 8:07SASDaniels Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)25
5.6%
40
94.4%
Q2 - 8:22HOUMobley 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
6.1%
38
93.9%
Q2 - 8:29HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 8:31HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 8:31HOUMISS Willis 2' Layup23
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 8:33HOUMISS Griffin 14' Jump Shot23
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 8:37HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Daniels 15' Jump Shot23
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q2 - 8:44HOUDaniels STEAL (1 STL)23
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 8:53HOUMISS Mobley Free Throw Technical23
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 9:07HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
5.8%
38
94.2%
Q2 - 9:09SASMISS Ferry 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 9:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)23
5.2%
38
94.8%
Q2 - 9:30HOUMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot23
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 9:48SASDuncan 8' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)23
5.7%
38
94.3%
Q2 - 10:06HOUGriffin 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 10:26SASDaniels 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)21
5.9%
36
94.1%
Q2 - 10:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q2 - 10:35HOUMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
6.6%
34
93.4%
Q2 - 10:50SASRose Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 11:11HOUMobley 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)21
7.8%
32
92.2%
Q2 - 11:23HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.1%
32
92.9%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot19
6.9%
32
93.1%
Q2 - 11:43HOUMobley 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU17
5.9%
32
94.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound17
5.9%
32
94.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Francis 62' 3PT Jump Shot17
5.5%
32
94.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASFerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)17
6.0%
32
94.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
6.6%
30
93.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot17
6.8%
30
93.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)17
7.1%
30
92.9%
Q1 - 1:05SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
8.0%
28
92.0%
Q1 - 1:08HOUMISS Mobley 16' Fadeaway Jumper17
8.1%
28
91.9%
Q1 - 1:16HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Ferry 14' Running Jump Shot17
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 1:36HOUGriffin 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)17
8.0%
28
92.0%
Q1 - 1:52SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
6.6%
28
93.4%
Q1 - 1:52SASRose 1' Layup (2 PTS)14
6.6%
28
93.4%
Q1 - 1:55SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot14
7.7%
26
92.3%
Q1 - 1:58HOURose STEAL (1 STL)14
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 2:00HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q1 - 2:02SASMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot14
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q1 - 2:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 2:21HOURose BLOCK (1 BLK)14
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 2:36SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 2:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)14
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 2:43HOUMISS Williams 2' Layup14
7.5%
26
92.5%
Q1 - 3:05SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 3:29HOUWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)14
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q1 - 3:49SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)11
7.5%
24
92.5%
Q1 - 4:06HOUMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
8.8%
21
91.2%
Q1 - 4:11HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 4:13SASMISS Bowen 2' Layup11
9.4%
21
90.6%
Q1 - 4:26SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
8.8%
21
91.2%
Q1 - 4:27HOUMISS Mobley 21' Jump Shot11
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 4:37SASBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 4:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)11
8.8%
21
91.2%
Q1 - 4:42HOUMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 4:50HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 4:53SASMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot11
9.4%
21
90.6%
Q1 - 5:04SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 5:06HOUMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot11
9.2%
21
90.8%
Q1 - 5:27SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 5:32SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
10.4%
19
89.6%
Q1 - 5:34HOUMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot11
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 5:55SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)11
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 6:09HOUFrancis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 6:28SASSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 6:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)8
12.2%
14
87.8%
Q1 - 6:38HOUMISS Griffin 9' Jump Shot8
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 6:49HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.2%
14
86.8%
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot8
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 7:11HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 7:11HOUGriffin 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 7:13HOUMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot6
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 7:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)6
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 7:30SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)6
12.4%
13
87.6%
Q1 - 7:41HOUMobley 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)6
13.2%
11
86.8%
Q1 - 7:59SASRobinson Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)4
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 8:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 8:10SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup4
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 8:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)4
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 8:13SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot4
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 8:32HOUThomas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)4
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 8:42HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 8:46SASMISS Robinson 2' Alley Oop Dunk2
12.1%
9
87.9%
Q1 - 8:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 8:57HOUMISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot2
11.7%
9
88.3%
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 9:16SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)2
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 9:18SASMISS Parker 1' Layup2
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 9:24SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 9:26HOUMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot2
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 9:44SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.0%
7
86.0%
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 9:54HOUMISS Mobley 13' Jump Shot2
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 10:22SASRobinson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 10:41HOUThomas Layup (2 PTS)2
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 10:56SASDuncan 2' Finger Roll (2 PTS)0
13.9%
5
86.1%
Q1 - 10:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.7%
3
85.3%
Q1 - 10:59SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot0
15.5%
3
84.5%
Q1 - 11:18SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.8%
3
85.2%
Q1 - 11:20HOUMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot0
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 11:34SASSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Cato: Tip to Robinson0
17.8%
0
82.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.94 47.1%
SAS
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
10
20
50%
SAS
24
39
62%
Midrange
HOU
16
45
36%
SAS
9
37
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
SAS
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
HOU
18
21
86%
SAS
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Mobley2050%10.0 / 20
S. Francis1943%9.5 / 22
K. Thomas1869%9.0 / 13
E. Griffin1437%7.0 / 19
W. Williams1246%6.0 / 13
M. Norris867%4.0 / 6
K. Cato660%3.0 / 5
T. Morris0-0.0 / 1
K. Willis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3071%15.0 / 21
T. Parker1653%8.0 / 15
M. Rose1450%7.0 / 14
A. Daniels1359%6.5 / 11
B. Bowen825%4.0 / 16
D. Robinson833%4.0 / 12
S. Smith880%4.0 / 5
D. Ferry225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
83
+20
-8
103
SAS
78
+22
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.94 47.1%
SAS
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
103.9
HOU 106.6
SAS 108.8 +2.2
Pace
90.5
92.4
HOU 89.5
SAS 92.5 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.5
HOU 16.1
SAS 15.6 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
49.2%
HOU 43.9%
SAS 46.6% +2.7%
TO %
14.3%
14.8%
HOU 8.3% +3.5%
SAS 11.8%
ORB %
29.0%
27.2%
HOU 30.0%
SAS 44.7% +14.7%
FTrt
28.6
35.3
HOU 23.3
SAS 26.4 +3.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
56.4%
HOU 37.1%
SAS 39.5% +2.4%
STL %
7.1%
8.2%
HOU 7.7% +3.3%
SAS 4.4%
BLK %
7.6%
9.5%
HOU 15.8% +11.2%
SAS 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.2%
51.2%
HOU 47.1%
SAS 49.0% +1.9%
Rim FG%
56.6%
60.3%
HOU 50.0%
SAS 61.5% +11.5%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.6%
HOU 35.6% +11.3%
SAS 24.3%
3P %
33.5%
36.2%
HOU 36.0%
SAS 45.5% +9.5%
FT %
74.1%
74.2%
HOU 85.7% +7.4%
SAS 78.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.3%
37.2%
HOU 22.2%
SAS 44.8% +22.6%
Mid Att. %
45.4%
43.8%
HOU 50.0%
SAS 42.5% +7.5%
3P Att. %
22.3%
19.0%
HOU 27.8% +15.1%
SAS 12.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points9799
Rebounds4156
Assists1315
Steals74
Blocks123
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)21 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals35-9038-87
At-the-Rim FG10-2024-39
Midrange FG16-459-37
2-Point FG26-6533-76
3-Point FG9-255-11
Free Throws18-2118-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 25
42.7
19
43%
11
6
1
0
3
5
5
6
9-10
90%
2-10
20%
2-7
29%
G · 6'4" 215 · 27
42.0
20
50%
5
3
2
1
2
1
0
5
1-2
50%
8-17
47%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 275 · 28
36.3
6
60%
10
0
2
7
0
3
4
6
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 32
27.8
12
46%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-7
0%
4-6
67%
F · 6'7" 245 · 25
24.2
18
69%
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 20
29.6
14
37%
4
1
0
3
0
3
3
1
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
1-7
14%
G · 6'1" 185 · 29
24.1
8
67%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 221 · 23
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39
5.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 24
F · 6'11" 220 · 24
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
47%
41
13
7
12
8
0
15
26
18-21
86%
26-65
40%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.