FinalWin Prob.pScore
749%99
98
1651%100
111
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
95.1103111.9
IND logo IND
107.810395.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLIND
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL98
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLHudson 4' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)98
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03INDBender 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Tinsley 12 AST)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20ORLMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 196
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20ORLMiller 1' Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (Hudson 5 AST)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30INDWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Tinsley 11 AST)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45INDPACERS Rebound94
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 1:46ORLMISS Hudson 2' Layup94
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 1:50ORLMagic Rebound94
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 1:52ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 2:00INDO'Neal 1' Layup (18 PTS)94
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 2:00INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:03INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 2:13ORLHudson 2' Layup (14 PTS)94
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 2:25INDMISS Croshere Free Throw Technical92
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:25INDCroshere Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)92
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:28INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 10 AST)92
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 2:45INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 2:48INDMISS Tinsley 8' Jump Shot92
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 3:03ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 3:03ORLMcGrady 2' Tip Shot (13 PTS)92
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 3:04ORLMISS McGrady 4' Jump Shot90
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 3:20INDCroshere 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)90
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 3:39INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
3.3%
99
96.7%
Q4 - 3:50INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)90
4.2%
99
95.8%
Q4 - 4:14ORLTinsley STEAL (2 STL)90
7.9%
96
92.1%
Q4 - 4:17INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)90
11.3%
96
88.7%
Q4 - 4:40ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)90
7.8%
96
92.2%
Q4 - 4:40ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 4:48INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)88
5.6%
96
94.4%
Q4 - 4:48INDMISS Ollie Free Throw 1 of 288
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 4:49ORLOllie STEAL (1 STL)88
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 5:00INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)88
7.9%
95
92.1%
Q4 - 5:23ORLMcGrady 2' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)88
7.5%
95
92.5%
Q4 - 5:33ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 5:36INDMISS Croshere 16' Jump Shot86
5.0%
95
95.0%
Q4 - 5:57INDOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 5:59ORLMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 6:04ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
7.3%
95
92.7%
Q4 - 6:07INDMISS Tinsley 15' Jump Shot86
6.6%
95
93.4%
Q4 - 6:36ORLArmstrong 3' Layup (13 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)86
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 6:38ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
4.0%
95
96.0%
Q4 - 6:42INDMISS Ollie 9' Jump Shot84
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 6:53INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 6:53ORLMISS Hudson 3' Jump Shot84
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 7:01INDCroshere 2' Slam Dunk (15 PTS)84
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 7:30ORLMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)84
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q4 - 7:42INDWorld Peace 2' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Ollie 3 AST)81
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q4 - 8:04INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 8:06INDMISS World Peace 7' Jump Shot81
7.7%
91
92.3%
Q4 - 8:26ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)81
6.4%
91
93.6%
Q4 - 8:39INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)78
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 8:39INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 8:50INDPACERS Rebound78
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 8:54INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot78
6.0%
89
94.0%
Q4 - 9:09INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
6.0%
89
94.0%
Q4 - 9:11ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 9:20INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)78
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 9:31ORLHudson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)78
6.0%
89
94.0%
Q4 - 9:34ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
7.5%
89
92.5%
Q4 - 9:35INDMISS Croshere 20' Jump Shot78
7.0%
89
93.0%
Q4 - 9:51ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)78
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 9:51ORLHudson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)77
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q4 - 10:00INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 10:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 10:04INDMISS Croshere 10' Jump Shot75
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q4 - 10:23ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)75
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 10:23ORLHudson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)74
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 10:30INDOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 10:30INDOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 10:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 10:35ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot72
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 10:49INDCroshere Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)72
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 11:06ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)72
7.6%
83
92.4%
Q4 - 11:15INDBender Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)69
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 11:28INDCroshere Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)69
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 11:36INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 11:38ORLMISS Ewing 11' Jump Shot69
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 11:44INDBender Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)69
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q4 - 11:46INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 11:48ORLMISS Hudson 4' Jump Shot69
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND69
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0ORLEwing 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)69
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0ORLBuechler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLCroshere BLOCK (1 BLK)67
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)67
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLCroshere STEAL (1 STL)67
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q3 - 1:03INDFoster 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 9 AST)67
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q3 - 1:21ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)67
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q3 - 1:25INDMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T14)67
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 1:30INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q3 - 1:32ORLMISS Ewing 8' Jump Shot67
10.1%
78
89.9%
Q3 - 1:48INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 1:48INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
11.8%
77
88.2%
Q3 - 1:55INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q3 - 1:58ORLMISS Hudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q3 - 2:01INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)67
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q3 - 2:08ORLHudson 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)67
14.3%
76
85.7%
Q3 - 2:20ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q3 - 2:23INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot65
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q3 - 2:36ORLEwing Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q3 - 2:36ORLEwing Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q3 - 2:55INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)63
8.8%
76
91.2%
Q3 - 3:12INDPACERS Rebound63
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 3:15ORLMISS McGrady 9' Jump Shot63
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 3:36INDTinsley 1' Layup (27 PTS) (Bender 2 AST)63
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q3 - 3:40ORLBender STEAL (2 STL)63
15.2%
72
84.8%
Q3 - 4:00INDO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)63
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q3 - 4:07INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q3 - 4:09ORLMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot63
22.1%
70
77.9%
Q3 - 4:19ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
24.5%
70
75.5%
Q3 - 4:21INDMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
23.4%
70
76.6%
Q3 - 4:42ORLArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ewing 1 AST)63
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q3 - 4:44ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 4:46ORLMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
14.4%
70
85.6%
Q3 - 5:12ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
17.0%
70
83.0%
Q3 - 5:13INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot60
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 5:32ORLGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 5:32ORLMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 259
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 5:33ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 5:34ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
13.2%
70
86.8%
Q3 - 5:37ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 5:38ORLMISS McGrady 4' Jump Shot59
13.2%
70
86.8%
Q3 - 5:46INDWorld Peace Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)59
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 5:51INDPACERS Rebound59
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 5:53INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot59
14.0%
70
86.0%
Q3 - 6:15ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 6:15ORLEwing 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)59
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 6:18ORLMISS McGrady 4' Jump Shot57
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 6:28INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)57
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 6:28INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 257
12.2%
69
87.8%
Q3 - 6:31INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 6:33ORLMISS Armstrong 12' Jump Shot57
12.2%
69
87.8%
Q3 - 6:58INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)57
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 6:58INDMiller 2' Layup (7 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)57
15.5%
68
84.5%
Q3 - 7:05INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 7:08ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot57
18.9%
66
81.1%
Q3 - 7:18INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)57
20.8%
66
79.2%
Q3 - 7:18INDWorld Peace 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)57
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q3 - 7:43ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)57
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 7:47ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 7:50ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
18.8%
63
81.2%
Q3 - 7:58ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 8:00INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q3 - 8:23ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)54
18.7%
63
81.3%
Q3 - 8:24ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)53
16.5%
63
83.5%
Q3 - 8:28ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
14.8%
63
85.2%
Q3 - 8:31INDMISS Miller 1' Layup51
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 8:46ORLMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)51
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 8:48INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)51
14.7%
63
85.3%
Q3 - 8:51INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 8:54ORLMiller BLOCK (2 BLK)51
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 8:55ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
14.7%
63
85.3%
Q3 - 8:57ORLMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)51
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 9:18INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)51
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 9:29INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
17.2%
61
82.8%
Q3 - 9:33ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot51
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q3 - 9:52INDTinsley 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)51
19.5%
61
80.5%
Q3 - 9:57INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
21.8%
59
78.2%
Q3 - 9:58ORLMISS Miller 3' Layup51
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 10:16INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
25.3%
59
74.7%
Q3 - 10:16INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
25.9%
58
74.1%
Q3 - 10:28INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 10:30ORLMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot51
28.7%
57
71.3%
Q3 - 10:49INDMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T10)51
31.0%
57
69.0%
Q3 - 11:09ORLGarrity 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)51
28.6%
57
71.4%
Q3 - 11:22ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 11:23INDMISS Bender Free Throw 2 of 249
25.5%
57
74.5%
Q3 - 11:23INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 11:30INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q3 - 11:32ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
26.6%
56
73.4%
Q3 - 11:38ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q3 - 11:42INDMISS Miller 2' Layup49
27.7%
56
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND49
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLGrant 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)49
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
23.3%
56
76.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Grant 2' Layup47
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Hudson 9' Jump Shot47
22.8%
56
77.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Croshere 3 AST)47
23.9%
56
76.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
29.8%
53
70.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Armstrong 7' Jump Shot47
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q2 - 1:03INDOllie 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)47
32.1%
53
67.9%
Q2 - 1:23ORLMcGrady 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)47
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q2 - 1:35INDCroshere 4' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)45
32.0%
51
68.0%
Q2 - 1:39ORLTinsley STEAL (1 STL)45
36.3%
49
63.7%
Q2 - 1:40ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q2 - 1:42ORLMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot45
36.8%
49
63.2%
Q2 - 2:02INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)45
38.9%
49
61.1%
Q2 - 2:14INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
45.1%
46
54.9%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q2 - 2:21ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
48.0%
46
52.0%
Q2 - 2:23INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot45
47.1%
46
52.9%
Q2 - 2:43INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
45.2%
46
54.8%
Q2 - 2:46ORLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)45
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q2 - 2:56INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)45
47.9%
46
52.1%
Q2 - 3:17ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
45.0%
46
55.0%
Q2 - 3:17ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
44.7%
46
55.3%
Q2 - 3:20ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
42.4%
46
57.6%
Q2 - 3:23INDMISS O'Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
41.5%
46
58.5%
Q2 - 3:50ORLGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)43
39.2%
46
60.8%
Q2 - 4:04INDBender 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)41
37.0%
46
63.0%
Q2 - 4:11INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
39.7%
44
60.3%
Q2 - 4:13ORLMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot41
40.6%
44
59.4%
Q2 - 4:31INDTinsley 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)41
42.5%
44
57.5%
Q2 - 4:53ORLMiller 7' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
45.3%
42
54.7%
Q2 - 5:02INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
42.8%
42
57.2%
Q2 - 5:02INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
43.6%
41
56.4%
Q2 - 5:21ORLMiller 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 5:32INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)37
42.8%
40
57.2%
Q2 - 5:32INDWorld Peace 2' Finger Roll (6 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)37
45.6%
39
54.4%
Q2 - 5:50ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)37
48.2%
37
51.8%
Q2 - 5:55ORLReid REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
45.6%
37
54.4%
Q2 - 5:57INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot35
44.7%
37
55.3%
Q2 - 6:09INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
42.7%
37
57.3%
Q2 - 6:10ORLMISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot35
43.7%
37
56.3%
Q2 - 6:18ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 6:20INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
45.0%
37
55.0%
Q2 - 6:37ORLReid 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)35
42.7%
37
57.3%
Q2 - 6:43ORLMagic Rebound33
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 6:45ORLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)33
38.4%
37
61.6%
Q2 - 6:55INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 6:55INDMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)33
43.2%
36
56.8%
Q2 - 6:57INDPACERS Rebound33
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 7:00INDMISS O'Neal 1' Layup33
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 7:07INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
45.9%
34
54.1%
Q2 - 7:08ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
48.7%
34
51.3%
Q2 - 7:08ORLMISS Williams 2' Layup33
46.7%
34
53.3%
Q2 - 7:11ORLMISS Hudson 11' Jump Shot33
46.7%
34
53.3%
Q2 - 7:22ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
48.7%
34
51.3%
Q2 - 7:23INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 2 of 233
48.3%
34
51.7%
Q2 - 7:23INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
46.4%
34
53.6%
Q2 - 7:46INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
48.5%
33
51.5%
Q2 - 7:46ORLMISS Ewing Free Throw 2 of 233
48.9%
33
51.1%
Q2 - 7:46ORLEwing Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
50.5%
33
49.5%
Q2 - 7:49ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
48.7%
33
51.3%
Q2 - 7:50ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot32
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 7:55ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
48.7%
33
51.3%
Q2 - 7:57ORLMISS Reid 2' Layup32
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 8:02INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)32
48.6%
33
51.4%
Q2 - 8:20ORLHudson 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
45.7%
33
54.3%
Q2 - 8:32INDOllie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)30
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 8:37INDOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
40.6%
33
59.4%
Q2 - 8:38ORLMISS Ewing 9' Jump Shot30
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 8:55INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)30
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 8:58INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
48.3%
30
51.7%
Q2 - 9:01INDMISS Bender 20' Jump Shot30
50.2%
30
49.8%
Q2 - 9:14ORLHudson 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
48.3%
30
51.7%
Q2 - 9:25INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q2 - 9:41ORLEwing Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
43.2%
30
56.8%
Q2 - 9:41ORLEwing 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 9:53INDBender 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)25
38.6%
30
61.4%
Q2 - 10:03INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q2 - 10:05ORLMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot25
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q2 - 10:12ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.5%
28
56.5%
Q2 - 10:13INDMISS Bender 10' Jump Shot25
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 10:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q2 - 10:28INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 10:41INDPACERS Rebound25
40.8%
28
59.2%
Q2 - 10:45ORLMISS Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q2 - 10:56ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.5%
28
56.5%
Q2 - 10:58INDMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot25
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 11:23ORLMiller 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 11:36INDWorld Peace 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)23
38.7%
28
61.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL23
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)23
43.4%
26
56.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot23
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0ORLMISS Miller 2' Layup23
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)23
43.0%
26
57.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)23
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0INDTinsley 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)20
36.2%
26
63.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLDeClercq 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)20
39.0%
24
61.0%
Q1 - 1:08INDCroshere 8' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)18
36.4%
24
63.6%
Q1 - 1:21ORLMiller 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)18
39.1%
22
60.9%
Q1 - 1:34INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
36.4%
22
63.6%
Q1 - 1:34INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
36.7%
21
63.3%
Q1 - 1:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 1:47ORLMISS McGrady 8' Jump Shot16
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 2:02INDBender Foul Turnover (P2.T4)16
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 2:22ORLMiller 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)16
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q1 - 2:35INDO'Neal 4' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)14
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 2:41INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 2:42ORLMISS Hudson 5' Jump Shot14
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 2:58INDTinsley 7' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)14
41.3%
18
58.7%
Q1 - 3:04INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
43.6%
16
56.4%
Q1 - 3:06ORLMISS McGrady 13' Jump Shot14
44.4%
16
55.6%
Q1 - 3:26INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)14
46.1%
16
53.9%
Q1 - 3:29INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 3:31INDMISS World Peace 3' Jump Shot14
52.1%
13
47.9%
Q1 - 3:44ORLMcGrady 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 3:56INDTinsley 3' Layup (7 PTS)12
48.4%
13
51.6%
Q1 - 4:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
50.2%
11
49.8%
Q1 - 4:07ORLMISS Garrity 17' Jump Shot12
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 4:18ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 4:20INDMISS Croshere 23' Jump Shot12
52.1%
11
47.9%
Q1 - 4:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
50.2%
11
49.8%
Q1 - 4:38ORLMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot12
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 4:40ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 4:44ORLTinsley BLOCK (1 BLK)12
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 4:48ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 4:50INDMISS Croshere 10' Jump Shot12
52.1%
11
47.9%
Q1 - 5:08ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
50.2%
11
49.8%
Q1 - 5:08ORLMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 211
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 5:28INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)11
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 5:46ORLMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)11
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 5:58ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 5:59INDMISS World Peace 11' Jump Shot9
51.9%
8
48.1%
Q1 - 6:23ORLGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)9
50.1%
8
49.9%
Q1 - 6:29ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
48.2%
8
51.8%
Q1 - 6:30ORLMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot7
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 6:53INDO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)7
48.2%
8
51.8%
Q1 - 7:07INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 7:09ORLMISS McGrady 8' Jump Shot7
50.6%
6
49.4%
Q1 - 7:16INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)7
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 7:23INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 7:25ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
50.6%
6
49.4%
Q1 - 7:35INDWorld Peace 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)7
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 7:49ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 7:49ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 26
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 7:55ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
54.0%
4
46.0%
Q1 - 7:57INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot6
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 8:12ORLArmstrong 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)6
52.2%
4
47.8%
Q1 - 8:24INDBender Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
50.5%
4
49.5%
Q1 - 8:32ORLMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
48.4%
4
51.6%
Q1 - 8:38INDMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 8:40INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 8:42INDMISS Miller 2' Layup2
46.0%
4
54.0%
Q1 - 8:58INDPACERS Rebound2
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 9:01ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 9:07ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 9:09INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
45.9%
4
54.1%
Q1 - 9:15ORLMiller STEAL (2 STL)2
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 9:21ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 9:22INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot2
45.9%
4
54.1%
Q1 - 9:46ORLArmstrong 2' Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)2
44.3%
4
55.7%
Q1 - 9:51ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 9:54INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup0
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 9:58ORLBender STEAL (1 STL)0
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 10:16INDTinsley 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 10:23ORLMiller STEAL (1 STL)0
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 10:27ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 10:29INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot0
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 10:48INDPACERS Rebound0
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 10:49ORLMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot0
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 11:08INDO'Neal 3' Finger Roll (2 PTS)0
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 11:18INDPACERS Rebound0
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:20INDMISS Bender 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 11:25INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:27ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:38ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 11:39INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 20
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 11:39INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 20
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 11:43INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:45ORLMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. McGrady: Tip to Armstrong0
50.0%
0
50.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.88 44.1%
IND
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
20
37
54%
IND
17
23
74%
Midrange
ORL
13
40
33%
IND
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
IND
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
ORL
14
19
74%
IND
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Garrity1869%9.0 / 13
M. Miller1750%8.5 / 17
T. Hudson1644%8.0 / 18
T. McGrady1328%6.5 / 23
D. Armstrong1350%6.5 / 13
P. Ewing1056%5.0 / 9
H. Grant732%3.5 / 11
D. Reid250%1.0 / 2
A. DeClercq2100%1.0 / 1
M. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tinsley3068%15.0 / 22
J. O'Neal1850%9.0 / 18
A. Croshere1860%9.0 / 15
M. World Peace1757%8.5 / 15
B. Miller1454%7.0 / 13
J. Bender750%3.5 / 7
K. Ollie563%2.5 / 4
J. Foster2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
92
+18
-11
110
IND
84
+12
-19
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.88 44.1%
IND
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
101.3
ORL 95.1 +12.6
IND 107.8
Pace
95.6
94.6
ORL 111.9 +16.2
IND 95.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.1
ORL 12.9 +2.2
IND 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
47.7%
ORL 42.9%
IND 55.1% +12.2%
TO %
13.7%
15.2%
ORL 9.4% +7.6%
IND 17.0%
ORB %
26.4%
27.0%
ORL 29.6% +8.5%
IND 21.1%
FTrt
27.8
32.8
ORL 19.4
IND 39.2 +19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
64.2%
ORL 61.5%
IND 70.0% +8.5%
STL %
8.4%
8.4%
ORL 10.7% +2.9%
IND 7.8%
BLK %
6.8%
7.8%
ORL 8.1%
IND 9.1% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
50.1%
ORL 44.1%
IND 57.2% +13.1%
Rim FG%
57.9%
58.6%
ORL 54.1%
IND 73.9% +19.8%
Mid FG%
38.6%
40.1%
ORL 32.5%
IND 41.0% +8.5%
3P %
37.3%
33.9%
ORL 28.6%
IND 41.2% +12.6%
FT %
75.4%
77.2%
ORL 73.7%
IND 77.4% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
30.5%
ORL 37.8% +8.6%
IND 29.1%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
51.4%
ORL 40.8% +8.6%
IND 49.4%
3P Att. %
24.1%
18.2%
ORL 21.4%
IND 21.5% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLIND
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points98111
Rebounds4646
Assists2428
Steals118
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)38 (5)
Field Goals39-9840-79
At-the-Rim FG20-3717-23
Midrange FG13-4016-39
2-Point FG33-7733-62
3-Point FG6-217-17
Free Throws14-1924-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 238 · 26
41.6
18
69%
5
0
1
0
2
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
4-6
67%
G · 6'8" 225 · 23
40.3
13
28%
11
7
3
3
2
1
3
8
3-4
75%
5-16
31%
0-5
0%
F · 6'8" 218 · 22
36.1
17
50%
3
4
0
0
2
4
0
3
0-1
0%
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
33.0
13
50%
6
2
1
0
1
3
2
4
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 245 · 37
27.3
7
32%
8
3
4
2
0
0
4
4
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 178 · 26
25.4
16
44%
0
5
1
0
3
1
0
0
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 40
12.8
10
56%
5
1
1
0
0
3
3
2
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 30
10.2
0
0%
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
6.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
4.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 228 · 34
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
44%
46
24
11
5
11
0
16
30
14-19
74%
33-77
43%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.