FinalWin Prob.pScore
2231%84
93
1369%90
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.98785.7
DET logo DET
104.68788.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET93
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)93
95.4%
91
4.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)91
55.9%
91
44.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)91
26.7%
91
73.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHeat Rebound89
15.7%
91
84.3%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot89
8.4%
91
91.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
18.8%
91
81.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
20.8%
90
79.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)89
31.1%
89
68.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot89
35.7%
89
64.3%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)89
45.3%
89
54.7%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot89
40.2%
89
59.8%
Q4 - 1:30DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)89
29.5%
89
70.5%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot89
33.6%
89
66.4%
Q4 - 1:44DETBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
42.8%
89
57.2%
Q4 - 1:44DETBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)89
43.8%
88
56.2%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMourning Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)89
53.9%
87
46.1%
Q4 - 2:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)87
44.0%
87
56.0%
Q4 - 2:15DETMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
39.0%
87
61.0%
Q4 - 2:23MIAWallace STEAL (4 STL)87
28.5%
87
71.5%
Q4 - 2:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)87
44.3%
87
55.7%
Q4 - 2:44DETMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot87
39.0%
87
61.0%
Q4 - 2:58DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
29.3%
87
70.7%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot87
33.1%
87
66.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
43.1%
87
56.9%
Q4 - 3:17DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot87
38.5%
87
61.5%
Q4 - 3:36MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
31.0%
87
69.0%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 286
29.6%
87
70.4%
Q4 - 3:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)86
31.4%
87
68.6%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot86
25.8%
87
74.2%
Q4 - 4:21DETRobinson Layup (13 PTS)86
31.4%
87
68.6%
Q4 - 4:36DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
39.6%
85
60.4%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot86
42.6%
85
57.4%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
49.6%
85
50.4%
Q4 - 4:56DETMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot86
46.5%
85
53.5%
Q4 - 5:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)86
37.9%
85
62.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 286
39.0%
85
61.0%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 286
43.6%
85
56.4%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
46.4%
85
53.6%
Q4 - 5:21DETMISS Williamson Layup86
43.8%
85
56.2%
Q4 - 5:39DETJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
38.0%
85
62.0%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 286
39.1%
85
60.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)86
43.7%
85
56.3%
Q4 - 5:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)85
38.4%
85
61.6%
Q4 - 5:57DETMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot85
35.9%
85
64.1%
Q4 - 6:14DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
29.5%
85
70.5%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot85
31.7%
85
68.3%
Q4 - 6:50DETJones 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 6 AST)85
37.2%
85
62.8%
Q4 - 6:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)85
51.1%
82
48.9%
Q4 - 6:57DETMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
57.1%
82
42.9%
Q4 - 7:00DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
51.1%
82
48.9%
Q4 - 7:02DETMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot85
54.2%
82
45.8%
Q4 - 7:12MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)85
48.9%
82
51.1%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
56.7%
82
43.3%
Q4 - 7:20DETMISS Williamson 15' Jump Shot85
54.3%
82
45.7%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)85
49.0%
82
51.0%
Q4 - 7:57DETBarry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 8 AST)85
56.9%
82
43.1%
Q4 - 8:13MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)85
66.4%
79
33.6%
Q4 - 8:31MIAJackson Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)85
72.0%
79
28.0%
Q4 - 8:44DETStackhouse Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 1 (22 PTS)84
66.6%
79
33.4%
Q4 - 8:44DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
72.1%
78
27.9%
Q4 - 8:44DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
72.7%
77
27.3%
Q4 - 8:46DETJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
76.8%
76
23.2%
Q4 - 8:48MIAWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)84
78.2%
76
21.8%
Q4 - 8:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
81.2%
76
18.8%
Q4 - 8:51MIAWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)84
78.2%
76
21.8%
Q4 - 9:13MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
78.6%
76
21.4%
Q4 - 9:15DETMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
77.3%
76
22.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIAGill 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
74.2%
76
25.8%
Q4 - 9:57MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
69.7%
76
30.3%
Q4 - 10:00DETMISS Stackhouse Layup82
68.0%
76
32.0%
Q4 - 10:12MIAGrant Tip Shot (16 PTS)82
61.9%
76
38.1%
Q4 - 10:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)80
56.9%
76
43.1%
Q4 - 10:16MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)80
52.7%
76
47.3%
Q4 - 10:40DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 180
56.2%
76
43.8%
Q4 - 10:40DETStackhouse Driving Layup (19 PTS)80
57.0%
76
43.0%
Q4 - 10:47DETPISTONS Rebound80
62.0%
74
38.0%
Q4 - 10:50DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot80
66.0%
74
34.0%
Q4 - 10:57DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
62.1%
74
37.9%
Q4 - 10:59DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 2 of 280
66.9%
74
33.1%
Q4 - 10:59DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
63.5%
74
36.5%
Q4 - 11:03DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
65.8%
73
34.2%
Q4 - 11:05MIAStackhouse BLOCK (2 BLK)80
67.3%
73
32.7%
Q4 - 11:14MIAHeat Rebound80
70.7%
73
29.3%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot80
67.4%
73
32.6%
Q4 - 11:28DETWilliamson Layup (12 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)80
70.8%
73
29.2%
Q4 - 11:43DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
74.9%
71
25.1%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Williamson Layup80
77.7%
71
22.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
74.9%
71
25.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound80
79.0%
71
21.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWilliamson BLOCK (1 BLK)80
73.9%
71
26.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0DETJones 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)80
76.6%
71
23.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)80
83.2%
68
16.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
86.3%
67
13.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJones 29' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)80
88.3%
66
11.7%
Q3 - 1:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
81.2%
66
18.8%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot77
79.0%
66
21.0%
Q3 - 1:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
81.3%
66
18.7%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot77
79.0%
66
21.0%
Q3 - 1:32DETWilliamson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)77
81.3%
66
18.7%
Q3 - 1:46MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
78.1%
66
21.9%
Q3 - 2:12DETWilliamson Layup (10 PTS) (Wallace 5 AST)75
72.4%
66
27.6%
Q3 - 2:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)75
75.6%
64
24.4%
Q3 - 2:17DETMISS Williamson 9' Jump Shot75
78.1%
64
21.9%
Q3 - 2:33MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
75.7%
64
24.3%
Q3 - 2:41DETPISTONS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#9)73
72.5%
64
27.5%
Q3 - 2:50MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)73
68.3%
64
31.7%
Q3 - 2:50MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)72
64.1%
64
35.9%
Q3 - 2:57DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)70
60.1%
64
39.9%
Q3 - 3:20MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)70
54.2%
64
45.8%
Q3 - 3:39DETCurry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)70
58.9%
64
41.1%
Q3 - 3:46DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
54.3%
64
45.7%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)70
55.7%
64
44.3%
Q3 - 4:05DETRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)70
57.3%
64
42.7%
Q3 - 4:26MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)70
52.5%
64
47.5%
Q3 - 4:30MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
48.9%
64
51.1%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot68
45.4%
64
54.6%
Q3 - 4:45DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
48.9%
64
51.1%
Q3 - 4:45DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
49.4%
63
50.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
51.7%
62
48.3%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)66
47.8%
62
52.2%
Q3 - 5:23DETMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot66
46.5%
62
53.5%
Q3 - 5:42MIAStrickland 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)66
43.4%
62
56.6%
Q3 - 6:01DETRobinson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 7 AST)64
38.8%
62
61.2%
Q3 - 6:17MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS)64
42.4%
60
57.6%
Q3 - 6:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
38.8%
60
61.2%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Mourning Layup62
36.0%
60
64.0%
Q3 - 6:43DETWallace Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 6 AST)62
38.9%
60
61.1%
Q3 - 7:04DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
41.4%
58
58.6%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot62
42.8%
58
57.2%
Q3 - 7:17DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)62
45.8%
58
54.2%
Q3 - 7:17DETStackhouse Driving Layup (12 PTS)62
49.7%
57
50.3%
Q3 - 7:31MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
53.0%
55
47.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)60
49.7%
55
50.3%
Q3 - 7:47DETMISS Robinson 15' Hook Shot60
48.4%
55
51.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
44.7%
55
55.3%
Q3 - 8:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
41.6%
55
58.4%
Q3 - 8:29DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 258
41.0%
55
59.0%
Q3 - 8:29DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 258
38.3%
55
61.7%
Q3 - 8:36DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
37.4%
55
62.6%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot58
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q3 - 8:58MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
41.6%
55
58.4%
Q3 - 9:00DETMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot58
40.3%
55
59.7%
Q3 - 9:23MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)58
36.7%
55
63.3%
Q3 - 9:34MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q3 - 9:36DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot56
32.5%
55
67.5%
Q3 - 9:55MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 9:55MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
29.8%
55
70.2%
Q3 - 10:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q3 - 10:11DETMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot54
26.1%
55
73.9%
Q3 - 10:34MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)54
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
19.4%
55
80.6%
Q3 - 10:50DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot51
18.7%
55
81.3%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMourning Dunk (15 PTS)51
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q3 - 11:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 11:17DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot49
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q3 - 11:22MIAWallace STEAL (3 STL)49
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 11:37DETMISS Atkins 19' Jump Shot49
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T5)49
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound49
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 39' 3PT Jump Shot49
14.1%
55
85.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)49
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Gill 14' Jump Shot49
20.3%
52
79.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETWallace Dunk (4 PTS)49
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
24.3%
50
75.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Jackson 15' Hook Shot49
24.9%
50
75.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETStackhouse Dunk (10 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)49
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q2 - 1:02DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAStackhouse BLOCK (1 BLK)49
30.2%
48
69.8%
Q2 - 1:16DETRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q2 - 1:16DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 1:23DETStackhouse Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)49
35.5%
46
64.5%
Q2 - 1:35MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
38.5%
45
61.5%
Q2 - 1:59DETAtkins Driving Layup (17 PTS)47
34.1%
45
65.9%
Q2 - 2:05DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
37.3%
43
62.7%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS Gatling 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
38.2%
43
61.8%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)47
40.1%
43
59.9%
Q2 - 2:26DETMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot47
39.3%
43
60.7%
Q2 - 2:41DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
37.4%
43
62.6%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot47
38.2%
43
61.8%
Q2 - 2:52MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
40.1%
43
59.9%
Q2 - 2:53DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 247
39.7%
43
60.3%
Q2 - 2:53DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
37.5%
43
62.5%
Q2 - 2:56MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)47
40.4%
42
59.6%
Q2 - 3:16DETStackhouse Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
42.3%
42
57.7%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)47
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 3:36DETAtkins 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)47
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q2 - 3:59MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)47
51.0%
38
49.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q2 - 4:09DETMISS Stackhouse Layup44
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q2 - 4:21DETPISTONS Rebound44
41.1%
38
58.9%
Q2 - 4:23DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q2 - 4:25DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 4:27DETMISS Williamson Dunk44
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)44
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 4:49MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
38.4%
38
61.6%
Q2 - 4:50DETMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot42
37.6%
38
62.4%
Q2 - 5:06MIAJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)42
35.2%
38
64.8%
Q2 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound42
38.0%
38
62.0%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot42
36.0%
38
64.0%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)42
38.0%
38
62.0%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Grant Layup42
36.0%
38
64.0%
Q2 - 5:38DETWilliamson Layup (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)42
38.0%
38
62.0%
Q2 - 5:54MIAJones Layup (9 PTS)42
40.5%
36
59.5%
Q2 - 5:57DETStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)40
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 6:10MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
34.6%
36
65.4%
Q2 - 6:10MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
33.7%
36
66.3%
Q2 - 6:10MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
32.7%
36
67.3%
Q2 - 6:11DETMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
31.8%
36
68.2%
Q2 - 6:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)38
29.8%
36
70.2%
Q2 - 6:23DETMISS Williamson 18' Jump Shot38
31.8%
36
68.2%
Q2 - 6:45MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
29.9%
36
70.1%
Q2 - 6:45MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
29.3%
36
70.7%
Q2 - 6:45MIAHeat Rebound36
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot36
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 7:05DETWilliamson 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)36
27.8%
36
72.2%
Q2 - 7:16MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
29.8%
34
70.2%
Q2 - 7:29DETWilliamson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
27.8%
34
72.2%
Q2 - 7:46MIAJackson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
29.8%
32
70.2%
Q2 - 8:07DETBarry 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)32
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 8:26MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P1.T1)32
29.6%
30
70.4%
Q2 - 8:46DETWilliamson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)32
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q2 - 9:02MIAJackson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)32
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q2 - 9:10MIAHeat Rebound30
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot30
25.9%
30
74.1%
Q2 - 9:32DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS)30
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 9:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 9:35DETMISS Williamson Tip Shot30
30.9%
28
69.1%
Q2 - 9:37DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 9:39DETMISS Williamson Layup30
30.9%
28
69.1%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 130
29.6%
28
70.4%
Q2 - 9:50MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
29.3%
28
70.7%
Q2 - 10:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q2 - 10:03DETMISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot28
26.8%
28
73.2%
Q2 - 10:10DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
25.3%
28
74.7%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 228
25.6%
28
74.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)28
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q2 - 10:12MIAMISS Jones Layup27
24.1%
28
75.9%
Q2 - 10:19DETRebraca Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q2 - 10:46MIAGatling Driving Dunk (2 PTS)27
23.5%
28
76.5%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
21.9%
28
78.1%
Q2 - 11:00DETMISS Williamson Layup25
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 11:10DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot25
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q2 - 11:25MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q2 - 11:27DETMISS Robinson 29' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q2 - 11:45MIAJones Layup (7 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)25
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 37' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)23
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Gatling Layup23
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)23
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
25.1%
23
74.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 1:07DETAtkins Driving Layup (13 PTS)21
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 1:10DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot21
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q1 - 1:20MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
26.5%
21
73.5%
Q1 - 1:21DETMISS Atkins Layup21
26.1%
21
73.9%
Q1 - 1:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 1:32DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot21
26.1%
21
73.9%
Q1 - 1:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Grant 11' Hook Shot21
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q1 - 2:06DETAtkins 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)21
26.7%
21
73.3%
Q1 - 2:18DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot21
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 2:37DETAtkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)21
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 2:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 2:43DETMISS Curry Layup21
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 2:57DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 2:59MIARobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)21
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q1 - 3:18DETAtkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)21
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 3:32DETPISTONS Rebound21
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 3:34MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)21
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 3:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 3:46DETMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot21
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)21
39.4%
13
60.6%
Q1 - 4:21DETStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)19
37.7%
13
62.3%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS)19
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot17
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 5:01DETStackhouse 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 5:18DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Gill 14' Jump Shot17
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 5:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
36.5%
11
63.5%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot17
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 5:42DETAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)17
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 5:59MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS)17
40.4%
8
59.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
37.6%
8
62.4%
Q1 - 6:17DETMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot15
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 6:34MIAGrant Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 6:49DETMISS Stackhouse Layup13
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 6:57DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
32.6%
8
67.4%
Q1 - 7:14DETStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 7:28MIAGill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 7:51MIAHeat Rebound11
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 7:52DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 8:11MIAMourning 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)11
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 8:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 8:38DETMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot9
26.1%
8
73.9%
Q1 - 8:50MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)9
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 9:06DETRobinson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
23.6%
8
76.4%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 9:26MIAJones Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)5
23.6%
6
76.4%
Q1 - 9:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22.3%
6
77.7%
Q1 - 9:28DETMISS Robinson 7' Hook Shot4
21.8%
6
78.2%
Q1 - 9:48MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 10:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.7%
6
80.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot2
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 10:21DETStackhouse Dunk (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)2
19.7%
6
80.3%
Q1 - 10:25DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 10:54DETCurry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)2
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)0
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:44DETRobinson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Mourning: Tip to Atkins0
23.4%
0
76.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
DET
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
27
56%
DET
15
26
58%
Midrange
MIA
19
47
40%
DET
10
33
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
DET
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
16
22
73%
DET
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2467%12.0 / 18
A. Mourning1856%9.0 / 16
B. Grant1662%8.0 / 13
R. Strickland941%4.5 / 11
J. Jackson739%3.5 / 9
K. Gill643%3.0 / 7
A. Carter630%3.0 / 10
C. Gatling450%2.0 / 4
V. Stepania325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse2241%11.0 / 27
C. Atkins1771%8.5 / 12
C. Williamson1542%7.5 / 18
C. Robinson1346%6.5 / 14
J. Barry10125%5.0 / 4
B. Wallace675%3.0 / 4
D. Jones650%3.0 / 6
M. Curry233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+21
-12
96
DET
76
+13
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
DET
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
102.0
MIA 106.9 +2.3
DET 104.6
Pace
89.7
92.6
MIA 85.7
DET 88.4 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.7
MIA 16.8
DET 16.3 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
49.7%
MIA 46.4%
DET 48.1% +1.7%
TO %
15.5%
15.0%
MIA 11.5% +0.7%
DET 12.2%
ORB %
26.7%
24.5%
MIA 31.7% +7.3%
DET 24.4%
FTrt
26.8
31.0
MIA 26.5
DET 28.6 +2.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
62.0%
MIA 40.5%
DET 57.6% +17.1%
STL %
7.4%
8.5%
MIA 8.0%
DET 8.0%
BLK %
8.7%
10.2%
MIA 6.8%
DET 13.5% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.3%
MIA 47.9%
DET 50.6% +2.7%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.4%
MIA 55.6%
DET 57.7% +2.1%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.1%
MIA 40.4% +10.1%
DET 30.3%
3P %
34.7%
37.6%
MIA 33.3%
DET 44.4% +11.1%
FT %
72.4%
75.6%
MIA 72.7%
DET 77.3% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
31.6%
MIA 32.5%
DET 33.8% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
44.4%
MIA 56.6%
DET 42.9% +13.8%
3P Att. %
14.1%
23.9%
MIA 10.8%
DET 23.4% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points9391
Rebounds4739
Assists1519
Steals77
Blocks410
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (8)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals37-8333-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2715-26
Midrange FG19-4710-33
2-Point FG34-7425-59
3-Point FG3-98-18
Free Throws16-2217-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
41.7
24
67%
3
1
1
0
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
7-13
54%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
39.8
16
62%
15
1
0
1
2
5
7
8
4-4
100%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
34.0
18
56%
14
1
0
2
3
4
4
10
4-8
50%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
28.7
9
41%
3
5
1
0
3
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
22.8
6
43%
4
1
1
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
31.5
7
39%
2
2
3
0
2
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
19.3
6
30%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" · 35
12.2
4
50%
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
9.9
3
25%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
48%
47
15
7
4
12
0
13
34
16-22
73%
34-74
46%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.