FinalWin Prob.pScore
2226%92
109
574%100
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.010089.7
DAL logo DAL
99.096110.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA109
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Abdul-Wahad 2 AST)109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAAbdul-Wahad BLOCK (1 BLK)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DALMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIAAbdul-Wahad STEAL (1 STL)109
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18DALZhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Abdul-Wahad 1 AST)109
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)109
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot109
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41DALNajera Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)109
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)109
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)108
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55DALZhi-zhi Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)106
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAHeat Rebound105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Zhi-zhi 12' Jump Shot105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31DALMAVERICKS Rebound105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31DALMISS Zhi-zhi 8' Jump Shot105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P2.T16)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)105
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55MIANajera STEAL (1 STL)105
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)105
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)105
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08MIAJackson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38DALZhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:08DALMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:15DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Mourning Layup100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30DALMISS Zhi-zhi 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:39DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57DALNash Driving Layup (16 PTS)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 6:02MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)100
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 6:02MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)99
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 6:18MIAJones Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)98
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 6:18MIAJones Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)97
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 6:29DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)96
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 6:42MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)96
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 6:56MIAJones Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)94
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 7:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 7:12DALMISS Nowitzki Layup93
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 7:14DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMourning 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)93
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q4 - 7:35MIAJones Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)91
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 7:35DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P4.T13)90
98.1%
73
1.9%
Q4 - 7:40DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
97.5%
73
2.5%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot90
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 7:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)90
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 7:56DALNowitzki Layup (18 PTS)90
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q4 - 8:06MIAJones Layup (19 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)90
98.3%
70
1.7%
Q4 - 8:09MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 8:12DALMISS LaFrentz Layup88
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 8:14DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)88
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 8:17DALMISS Nowitzki Dunk88
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 8:33DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot88
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 9:02DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
96.9%
70
3.1%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMourning Layup (21 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)88
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q4 - 9:35DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q4 - 9:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot86
97.4%
67
2.6%
Q4 - 9:58DALNowitzki Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)86
97.8%
67
2.2%
Q4 - 9:58DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 386
97.9%
66
2.1%
Q4 - 9:58DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)86
97.4%
66
2.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)86
97.6%
65
2.4%
Q4 - 10:10DALJump Ball Zhi-zhi vs. Mourning: Tip to Gatling86
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 10:22DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
97.6%
65
2.4%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot86
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q4 - 10:48MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q4 - 10:51DALMISS Zhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q4 - 10:56DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot86
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q4 - 11:17DALFinley Alley Oop Layup (25 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)86
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q4 - 11:30MIAGatling Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)86
98.1%
63
1.9%
Q4 - 11:44MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q4 - 11:46DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALMISS Zhi-zhi 17' Jump Shot84
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot84
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0DALFinley 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS)84
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAGill Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)84
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 1:10DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 184
97.3%
61
2.7%
Q3 - 1:10DALFinley 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS)84
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q3 - 1:17DALFinley Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)84
97.8%
59
2.2%
Q3 - 1:26MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
98.2%
58
1.8%
Q3 - 1:26MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)83
98.1%
58
1.9%
Q3 - 1:26MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
97.9%
58
2.1%
Q3 - 1:27DALMISS Johnson 4' Running Jump Shot82
97.7%
58
2.3%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gatling 3 AST)82
97.4%
58
2.6%
Q3 - 2:02DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
95.3%
58
4.7%
Q3 - 2:06DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
96.6%
55
3.4%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Gatling 4' Hook Shot79
96.8%
55
3.2%
Q3 - 2:34DALJohnson 3' Layup (2 PTS)79
97.3%
55
2.7%
Q3 - 2:53MIAJones 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 3:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 3:10DALMISS Najera 10' Jump Shot77
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 3:25DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
96.2%
53
3.8%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot77
96.4%
53
3.6%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 3:53DALMISS Van Exel 9' Jump Shot77
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 4:03DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
95.3%
53
4.7%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot77
95.6%
53
4.4%
Q3 - 4:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
96.2%
53
3.8%
Q3 - 4:28DALMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot77
95.9%
53
4.1%
Q3 - 4:36DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
95.4%
53
4.6%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
95.6%
53
4.4%
Q3 - 4:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
96.2%
53
3.8%
Q3 - 5:01DALMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot77
95.2%
53
4.8%
Q3 - 5:07DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)77
94.6%
53
5.4%
Q3 - 5:09DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot77
95.2%
53
4.8%
Q3 - 5:28MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
94.7%
53
5.3%
Q3 - 5:49DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)75
93.9%
53
6.1%
Q3 - 6:04DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
93.7%
51
6.3%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot75
94.0%
51
6.0%
Q3 - 6:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 6:16DALMISS Nash Layup75
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q3 - 6:25MIAStrickland Driving Layup (9 PTS)75
93.7%
51
6.3%
Q3 - 6:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
92.8%
51
7.2%
Q3 - 6:33DALMISS Van Exel Layup73
92.4%
51
7.6%
Q3 - 6:47DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
91.6%
51
8.4%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 273
91.8%
51
8.2%
Q3 - 6:50MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
92.6%
51
7.4%
Q3 - 6:51DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)72
91.7%
51
8.3%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)72
89.0%
51
11.0%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMourning Driving Layup (18 PTS)71
87.4%
51
12.6%
Q3 - 7:22DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
85.9%
51
14.1%
Q3 - 7:22DALMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 269
86.4%
50
13.6%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)69
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
85.1%
50
14.9%
Q3 - 7:56MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
84.0%
50
16.0%
Q3 - 7:59DALMISS Zhi-zhi 15' Jump Shot67
83.3%
50
16.7%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMourning Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)67
80.3%
50
19.7%
Q3 - 8:23DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)65
78.2%
50
21.8%
Q3 - 8:34DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
75.2%
50
24.8%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 265
75.6%
50
24.4%
Q3 - 8:36MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
77.5%
50
22.5%
Q3 - 8:40DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)64
75.6%
50
24.4%
Q3 - 8:56MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)64
72.3%
50
27.7%
Q3 - 9:15MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
67.2%
50
32.8%
Q3 - 9:17DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot62
66.2%
50
33.8%
Q3 - 9:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
63.9%
50
36.1%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 261
63.4%
50
36.6%
Q3 - 9:40MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
64.1%
50
35.9%
Q3 - 9:41DALMISS Nash Layup61
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q3 - 9:47DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
60.5%
50
39.5%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot61
61.6%
50
38.4%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
62.3%
50
37.7%
Q3 - 10:14DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot61
61.2%
50
38.8%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 161
59.1%
50
40.9%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMourning 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
58.6%
50
41.4%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
55.5%
50
44.5%
Q3 - 10:36MIANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)59
52.7%
50
47.3%
Q3 - 10:53DALEschmeyer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
55.5%
50
44.5%
Q3 - 10:53DALEschmeyer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
56.4%
49
43.6%
Q3 - 11:08MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)59
57.0%
48
43.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
53.7%
48
46.3%
Q3 - 11:21DALMISS Nowitzki Layup57
52.6%
48
47.4%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS)57
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
46.9%
48
53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
46.9%
48
53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Strickland 41' 3PT Jump Shot55
44.4%
48
55.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
45.1%
48
54.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot55
44.4%
48
55.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)55
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAGatling 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
39.7%
48
60.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALLaFrentz Layup (5 PTS)52
35.7%
48
64.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
39.7%
46
60.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALMISS Najera Layup52
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)52
39.7%
46
60.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALMISS LaFrentz Layup52
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAEschmeyer STEAL (1 STL)52
39.7%
46
60.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)52
42.0%
46
58.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)52
39.7%
46
60.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0DALMISS Najera Layup52
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMourning 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
39.5%
46
60.5%
Q2 - 1:22DALLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P1.T7)50
35.0%
46
65.0%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)50
33.5%
46
66.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
35.0%
46
65.0%
Q2 - 1:49DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot50
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q2 - 1:55DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
33.5%
46
66.5%
Q2 - 1:58DALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot50
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 150
32.7%
46
67.3%
Q2 - 2:06MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
32.4%
46
67.6%
Q2 - 2:33DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)48
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)48
32.5%
44
67.5%
Q2 - 2:45DALNash Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)48
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 2:55DALNajera Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)48
37.9%
43
62.1%
Q2 - 2:59MIAFinley STEAL (1 STL)48
41.3%
41
58.7%
Q2 - 3:16DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)48
42.7%
41
57.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Gatling 2 AST)48
48.4%
38
51.6%
Q2 - 3:51DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T6)46
45.8%
38
54.2%
Q2 - 4:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 4:03MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)46
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 4:06MIALaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)44
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 4:12MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
38.5%
38
61.5%
Q2 - 4:14DALMISS Nowitzki Layup44
37.7%
38
62.3%
Q2 - 4:21MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)44
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 4:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
38.5%
38
61.5%
Q2 - 4:40DALMISS LaFrentz Layup44
37.7%
38
62.3%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMourning 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)44
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 5:16DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 5:16DALMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 242
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 5:28DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
32.6%
37
67.4%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot42
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 5:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q2 - 5:44DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
34.5%
37
65.5%
Q2 - 5:53MIALaFrentz STEAL (2 STL)42
32.6%
37
67.4%
Q2 - 6:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
34.9%
37
65.1%
Q2 - 6:08DALMISS LaFrentz 20' Jump Shot42
34.0%
37
66.0%
Q2 - 6:26MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
32.0%
37
68.0%
Q2 - 6:42DALLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS)40
30.1%
37
69.9%
Q2 - 6:43DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
32.0%
35
68.0%
Q2 - 6:47DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot40
34.0%
35
66.0%
Q2 - 7:06MIAStrickland 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)40
31.6%
35
68.4%
Q2 - 7:11MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot38
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 7:39DALNash Driving Layup (10 PTS)38
29.6%
35
70.4%
Q2 - 7:47MIAJackson Layup (4 PTS)38
31.6%
33
68.4%
Q2 - 7:50MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
29.6%
33
70.4%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot36
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q2 - 8:22DALNash 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
29.3%
33
70.7%
Q2 - 8:30MIALaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)36
31.2%
31
68.8%
Q2 - 8:48MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
33.8%
31
66.2%
Q2 - 8:51DALMISS Abdul-Wahad 15' Jump Shot36
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q2 - 9:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot36
31.4%
31
68.6%
Q2 - 9:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
33.1%
31
66.9%
Q2 - 9:22DALMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot36
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 9:33MIAGrant Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)36
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 9:56DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)36
33.2%
31
66.8%
Q2 - 10:09MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)36
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 10:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
35.3%
28
64.7%
Q2 - 10:26DALMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 234
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 10:26DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
33.4%
28
66.6%
Q2 - 10:38MIAGatling 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)34
35.0%
27
65.0%
Q2 - 10:52DALAbdul-Wahad Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
33.0%
27
67.0%
Q2 - 11:11MIAGatling Layup (8 PTS)32
30.0%
27
70.0%
Q2 - 11:14MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot30
26.7%
27
73.3%
Q2 - 11:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q2 - 11:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
28.3%
26
71.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAGatling Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)30
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL28
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound28
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Van Exel 11' Jump Shot28
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)28
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)26
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJackson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)26
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 1:12MIAGatling Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)24
26.0%
21
74.0%
Q1 - 1:40DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)22
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q1 - 2:11DALMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot22
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMourning Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)22
25.8%
19
74.2%
Q1 - 2:30MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 2:33DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
23.4%
19
76.6%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)20
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q1 - 3:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 3:04DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 218
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 3:08MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 217
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 3:31DALFinley Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)17
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 3:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 3:39MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup17
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 3:59DALNash Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:07MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 4:20DALNash Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 4:34MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)15
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 4:38MIAHeat Rebound12
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Mourning Layup12
20.6%
12
79.4%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 4:54DALMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot12
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 5:09MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 5:22DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 5:36MIAGill Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)10
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 6:00DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot8
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 6:13DALNash Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)8
17.3%
10
82.7%
Q1 - 6:33MIAGrant Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)8
18.4%
9
81.6%
Q1 - 6:38DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)6
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 6:42DALMAVERICKS Rebound6
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 6:43DALMISS Newman Layup6
16.9%
9
83.1%
Q1 - 6:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 6:48MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)6
16.5%
9
83.5%
Q1 - 6:57DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)6
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 7:15MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)6
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 7:34DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)4
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 7:49DALNewman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.1%
7
83.9%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot4
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 8:06DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 8:19MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)4
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:45DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)4
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 8:55MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)4
18.1%
5
81.9%
Q1 - 9:18DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)2
17.1%
5
82.9%
Q1 - 9:27DALNash Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
17.9%
3
82.1%
Q1 - 9:45MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 10:07DALMISS Nash 6' Running Jump Shot0
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)0
16.8%
2
83.2%
Q1 - 10:41DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 10:48MIANewman STEAL (1 STL)0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 11:00DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 11:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:19MIAHeat Rebound0
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:19MIAFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.2%
0
79.8%
Q1 - 11:45DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Mourning: Tip to Eschmeyer0
19.1%
0
80.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.0%
DAL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
35
69%
DAL
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
15
36
42%
DAL
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
5
60%
90%
DAL
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
22
28
79%
DAL
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2687%13.0 / 15
A. Mourning2361%11.5 / 19
C. Gatling1979%9.5 / 12
J. Jackson1267%6.0 / 9
R. Strickland1146%5.5 / 12
B. Grant750%3.5 / 7
K. Gill750%3.5 / 7
A. Carter225%1.0 / 4
V. Stepania250%1.0 / 2
M. James0-0.0 / 2
S. Marks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley2569%12.5 / 18
D. Nowitzki2158%10.5 / 18
S. Nash1662%8.0 / 13
W. Zhi-zhi1260%6.0 / 10
E. Najera850%4.0 / 8
R. LaFrentz633%3.0 / 9
N. Van Exel317%1.5 / 9
E. Eschmeyer2100%1.0 / 1
A. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
J. Newman0-0.0 / 1
T. Abdul-Wahad0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+10
-16
94
DAL
82
+11
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.0%
DAL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
109.4
MIA 109.0
DAL 99.0 +10.0
Pace
89.7
95.4
MIA 89.7
DAL 110.0 +20.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.9
MIA 16.1
DAL 13.1 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.7%
MIA 57.2% +11.5%
DAL 45.7%
TO %
15.5%
12.1%
MIA 16.1%
DAL 13.1% +3.0%
ORB %
26.7%
26.2%
MIA 20.6% +3.2%
DAL 17.4%
FTrt
26.8
28.8
MIA 36.8 +3.5
DAL 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
56.6%
MIA 61.9% +4.3%
DAL 57.6%
STL %
7.4%
7.4%
MIA 11.0% +3.7%
DAL 7.3%
BLK %
8.7%
7.1%
MIA 9.5% +2.5%
DAL 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
53.0%
MIA 58.0% +7.5%
DAL 50.5%
Rim FG%
60.6%
58.9%
MIA 68.6% +20.5%
DAL 48.1%
Mid FG%
38.0%
42.0%
MIA 41.7% +8.4%
DAL 33.3%
3P %
34.7%
37.8%
MIA 60.0% +15.6%
DAL 44.4%
FT %
72.4%
80.6%
MIA 78.6% +0.8%
DAL 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
30.7%
MIA 46.1% +12.7%
DAL 33.3%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
45.6%
MIA 47.4%
DAL 44.4% +2.9%
3P Att. %
14.1%
23.7%
MIA 6.6%
DAL 22.2% +15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions10096
Possession Minutes26.820.9
Points10995
Rebounds4535
Assists2619
Steals117
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals42-7633-81
At-the-Rim FG24-3513-27
Midrange FG15-3612-36
2-Point FG39-7125-63
3-Point FG3-58-18
Free Throws22-2821-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
39.7
26
87%
7
3
2
0
0
1
0
7
5-7
71%
6-10
60%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
32.6
11
46%
3
5
2
0
2
1
1
2
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
30.1
23
61%
11
2
2
3
3
6
2
9
3-4
75%
10-16
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
29.8
7
50%
4
1
3
0
3
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
23.4
7
50%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
27.4
12
67%
6
5
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
20.0
2
25%
0
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
18.9
19
79%
7
3
0
1
4
3
2
5
7-7
100%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
12.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
58%
45
26
11
6
16
0
7
38
22-28
79%
39-71
55%
3-5
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.