FinalWin Prob.pScore
2234%82
72
1566%87
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.88272.4
PHI logo PHI
100.08294.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHI
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI72
0%
82
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0PHISnow Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0PHIMISS Snow Free Throw 1 of 272
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Ellis 29' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Mourning 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0PHIMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0PHIMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Strickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot72
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAHeat Rebound72
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot72
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 1:11PHIHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 1:11PHIMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 272
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 1:18PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)72
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot72
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 1:33MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)72
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q4 - 1:35PHIMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (15 PTS)72
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 2:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)70
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Strickland 8' Jump Shot70
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 2:25PHIIverson 17' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)70
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 2:45MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 2:57MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q4 - 2:57PHIMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 268
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 2:57PHIHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 2:57PHIIverson Free Throw Technical (29 PTS)68
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q4 - 2:57PHI76ERS Rebound68
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q4 - 2:58PHIMISS Iverson 7' Jump Shot68
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q4 - 3:09PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q4 - 3:23MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q4 - 3:24PHIMISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 268
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q4 - 3:24PHIMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMourning 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)68
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q4 - 4:12PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)65
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q4 - 4:12PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)65
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q4 - 4:16PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS Gatling 16' Jump Shot65
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
7.1%
71
92.9%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot65
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q4 - 4:48PHIColeman Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q4 - 4:48PHIMISS Coleman Free Throw 1 of 265
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q4 - 5:09MIACarter 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)65
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q4 - 5:12MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)62
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q4 - 5:33MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q4 - 5:35PHIMISS Harpring 12' Jump Shot62
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q4 - 5:50PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)62
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q4 - 5:52PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)62
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q4 - 5:52PHIMISS Coleman 5' Jump Shot62
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q4 - 5:56PHIMISS Iverson Layup62
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q4 - 6:11PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q4 - 6:13PHIMISS Iverson Layup62
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q4 - 6:32MIAGatling 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)62
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q4 - 6:47MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q4 - 6:49PHIMISS Snow Layup60
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q4 - 7:04MIAGatling 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)60
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q4 - 7:13PHIColeman Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)58
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q4 - 7:29MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)58
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q4 - 7:44PHIIverson 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS)58
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q4 - 7:59MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)58
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q4 - 8:11PHIColeman Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q4 - 8:11PHIColeman Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q4 - 8:31MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)55
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q4 - 8:46PHI76ERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)53
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q4 - 9:10PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot53
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q4 - 9:22MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Gatling 3' Layup53
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q4 - 9:35PHIIverson Driving Finger Roll (24 PTS)53
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q4 - 9:48MIAHarpring STEAL (1 STL)53
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q4 - 9:51MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
4.1%
64
95.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Gatling 3' Jump Shot53
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q4 - 10:04MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
4.7%
64
95.3%
Q4 - 10:06PHIMISS McKie 13' Jump Shot53
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q4 - 10:17PHIIverson Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)53
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q4 - 10:30PHI76ERS Rebound53
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Carter 11' Jump Shot53
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q4 - 10:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)53
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot53
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q4 - 11:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot53
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q4 - 11:29MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q4 - 11:32MIAMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q4 - 11:38MIAHeat Rebound53
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q4 - 11:38MIAColeman BLOCK (1 BLK)53
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA53
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHIMISS Iverson 22' Jump Shot53
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAClaxton STEAL (1 STL)53
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0PHIClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)53
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0PHIMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 253
7.1%
62
92.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0PHIClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0PHIMISS Iverson 31' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.9%
62
92.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)53
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAGatling Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)52
5.7%
62
94.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0PHIIverson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)50
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 1:10MIAGatling 7' Running Hook Shot (3 PTS)50
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 1:32PHISnow Driving Layup (6 PTS)48
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIABlount STEAL (1 STL)48
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 1:37MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q3 - 1:39PHIMISS Iverson 30' 3PT Jump Shot48
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q3 - 2:11MIASnow STEAL (1 STL)48
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 2:35PHISnow 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q3 - 2:53PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot48
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 3:16PHIHarpring Layup (16 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)48
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q3 - 3:22PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
13.5%
54
86.5%
Q3 - 3:26PHIMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot48
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 3:37PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)48
13.5%
54
86.5%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot48
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q3 - 3:55PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)48
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q3 - 3:55PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)48
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q3 - 4:11MIAJackson 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)48
18.2%
52
81.8%
Q3 - 4:17MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
16.2%
52
83.8%
Q3 - 4:19PHIMISS Coleman 9' Jump Shot46
15.3%
52
84.7%
Q3 - 4:34MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)46
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q3 - 4:46PHIMISS Mutombo 9' Jump Shot46
15.3%
52
84.7%
Q3 - 5:07MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)46
14.2%
52
85.8%
Q3 - 5:21MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q3 - 5:23PHIMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot44
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q3 - 5:36PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot44
11.1%
52
88.9%
Q3 - 5:59PHIColeman Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)44
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q3 - 6:01PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot44
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q3 - 6:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot44
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q3 - 6:41MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 6:43PHIMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q3 - 6:57PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)44
10.9%
52
89.1%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot44
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q3 - 7:19PHIColeman 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)44
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)44
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot42
11.7%
50
88.3%
Q3 - 7:51PHI76ERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)42
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q3 - 7:51PHI76ERS Rebound42
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q3 - 7:52PHIMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q3 - 8:22MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)42
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q3 - 8:45PHIHarpring Driving Layup (14 PTS)40
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q3 - 8:56PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
11.5%
48
88.5%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 240
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
12.6%
48
87.4%
Q3 - 9:11PHIIverson 16' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)39
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q3 - 9:25MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q3 - 9:30PHIIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)39
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAJackson 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)39
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q3 - 10:05MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot37
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q3 - 10:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q3 - 10:23PHIMISS Coleman 14' Jump Shot37
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 236
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q3 - 10:58PHIHarpring 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)36
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q3 - 11:09PHIHarpring REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)36
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q3 - 11:11PHIMISS Mutombo 13' Jump Shot36
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q3 - 11:34MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)36
9.4%
46
90.6%
Q3 - 11:45PHIIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)34
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA34
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHIJump Ball Bell vs. Gatling: Tip to Smith34
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Gatling 17' Jump Shot34
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 0:16.0PHIMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 234
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)34
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAIverson STEAL (3 STL)34
9.0%
45
91.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)34
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0PHIMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 234
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAIverson STEAL (2 STL)34
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 1:02PHIMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 234
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 1:02PHIMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 234
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 1:08PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot34
10.8%
44
89.2%
Q2 - 1:29MIAHeat Rebound34
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 1:31PHIMISS McKie 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 1:34PHIHarpring REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q2 - 1:36PHIMISS Snow 10' Jump Shot34
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 1:47PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)34
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Gill 3PT Jump Shot34
10.8%
44
89.2%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJackson Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)34
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 2:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS Strickland 11' Jump Shot33
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 2:17PHIHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 2:17PHIMISS Harpring Layup33
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 2:20PHIMISS Iverson 5' Jump Shot33
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 2:35PHIHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 233
9.7%
44
90.3%
Q2 - 2:37MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 2:37MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Gill 10' Jump Shot32
8.8%
44
91.2%
Q2 - 2:54PHIHarpring Layup (12 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)32
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 2:56PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)32
11.1%
42
88.9%
Q2 - 2:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q2 - 3:18PHIMcKie Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q2 - 3:18PHIMcKie Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
12.7%
41
87.3%
Q2 - 3:19PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Ellis 12' Jump Shot32
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 3:46PHIHarpring 13' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)32
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 4:00MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
16.2%
38
83.8%
Q2 - 4:00MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 4:01PHIMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 230
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 4:01PHIMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 230
14.2%
38
85.8%
Q2 - 4:01PHI76ERS Rebound30
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot30
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 4:11MIAHeat Rebound30
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 4:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 4:37PHIMISS Snow 9' Jump Shot30
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q2 - 4:51MIAJackson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)30
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 5:13PHIMISS Coleman Free Throw 1 of 128
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 5:13PHIColeman Layup (3 PTS)28
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 5:14PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 5:16PHIMISS Iverson 11' Jump Shot28
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS)28
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 6:02PHIIverson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)26
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 6:20MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)26
14.2%
34
85.8%
Q2 - 6:44PHIHarpring 7' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)23
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 6:59MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)23
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 7:20PHIColeman Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q2 - 7:20PHIMISS Coleman Free Throw 1 of 220
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 7:29PHIBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.2%
31
88.8%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 220
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 220
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q2 - 7:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Ellis 13' Jump Shot20
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q2 - 7:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 7:46PHIMISS Claxton Layup20
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
11.3%
31
88.7%
Q2 - 8:05MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q2 - 8:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 8:33PHIMISS Claxton 11' Jump Shot18
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 8:46PHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 9:04PHIBell Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 9:15PHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot18
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 9:33MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 9:36PHIMISS McKie 8' Jump Shot18
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 9:54MIAEllis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q2 - 10:15PHIMcKie 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)16
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q2 - 10:30PHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
12.8%
26
87.2%
Q2 - 10:31PHIMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot16
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q2 - 10:57MIAJackson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)16
12.8%
26
87.2%
Q2 - 11:14PHIMutombo 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS)14
11.9%
26
88.1%
Q2 - 11:29PHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.3%
24
86.7%
Q2 - 11:46MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q2 - 11:48PHIMISS Blount Layup14
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA14
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound14
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHIMISS Claxton 46' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)14
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot14
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0PHIMutombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0PHIMutombo Layup (2 PTS)14
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)14
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0PHIMISS Iverson 7' Jump Shot14
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)14
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0PHIMISS Iverson 6' Jump Shot14
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJackson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 1:04PHIIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q1 - 1:08PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
14.4%
21
85.6%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot12
14.7%
21
85.3%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q1 - 1:25PHIMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 212
15.2%
21
84.8%
Q1 - 1:25PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)12
14.3%
21
85.7%
Q1 - 1:31PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot12
15.9%
20
84.1%
Q1 - 1:52PHIIverson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)12
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 2:13MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
18.3%
18
81.7%
Q1 - 2:30PHIIverson 15' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 2:40PHIBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18.3%
16
81.7%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot10
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 2:55PHIBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 2:55PHIBlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
20.0%
15
80.0%
Q1 - 2:55PHI76ERS Rebound10
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot10
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 3:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot10
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 3:29PHIHarpring Layup (6 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)10
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 3:35PHIHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Mourning 11' Jump Shot10
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 3:53PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 3:53PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
26.5%
11
73.5%
Q1 - 3:58PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 4:01MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot10
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 4:22PHIColeman Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 4:24PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 4:26PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 4:26PHIMISS Coleman Layup10
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 4:28PHIMISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot10
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 4:51PHI76ERS Rebound10
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 4:52PHIMISS Snow 14' Jump Shot10
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)10
27.3%
10
72.7%
Q1 - 5:17PHIMutombo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
29.1%
10
70.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)10
27.3%
10
72.7%
Q1 - 5:49PHISnow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 6:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 6:01MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 6:18PHIHarpring Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:24PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 6:25PHIMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 26
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 6:25PHIMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 26
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 6:37PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot6
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 6:55PHIIverson Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
25.6%
8
74.4%
Q1 - 6:58MIAIverson STEAL (1 STL)6
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 7:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 7:08PHIMISS Iverson 9' Jump Shot6
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 7:27PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot6
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 7:36PHIMISS Harpring 13' Jump Shot6
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)6
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 8:17PHIIverson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)6
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 8:42MIAJones 16' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)6
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 8:46MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 8:47PHIMISS Iverson Layup4
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 9:04MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)4
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 9:22PHIHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 9:22PHIHarpring Layup (2 PTS)2
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 9:23PHIMISS Iverson Layup2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 9:29PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Strickland Layup2
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 9:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 9:51PHIMISS Mutombo 8' Jump Shot2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 9:59PHIMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:00PHIMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 10:25PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMISS Mourning 11' Jump Shot2
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:49PHISnow Layup (2 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMourning 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:20PHIMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 20
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:20PHIMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 20
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:32PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot0
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 12:00PHIJump Ball Mutombo vs. Mourning: Tip to Grant0
28.0%
0
72.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.76 37.9%
PHI
0.86 43.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
11
55%
PHI
13
24
54%
Midrange
MIA
17
56
30%
PHI
13
37
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
PHI
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
MIA
11
16
69%
PHI
27
46
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson1657%8.0 / 14
A. Mourning1550%7.5 / 15
C. Gatling1050%5.0 / 10
E. Jones932%4.5 / 14
B. Grant630%3.0 / 10
R. Strickland625%3.0 / 12
L. Ellis542%2.5 / 6
A. Carter338%1.5 / 4
K. Gill233%1.0 / 3
M. James0-0.0 / 2
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson3142%15.5 / 37
M. Harpring1856%9.0 / 16
D. Mutombo850%4.0 / 8
D. Coleman840%4.0 / 10
E. Snow744%3.5 / 8
A. McKie550%2.5 / 5
C. Blount250%1.0 / 2
R. Bell2100%1.0 / 1
S. Claxton113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+21
-11
92
PHI
73
+20
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.76 37.9%
PHI
0.86 43.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.1
MIA 87.8 +12.2
PHI 100.0
Pace
89.7
90.8
MIA 72.4
PHI 94.5 +22.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.8
MIA 19.9
PHI 15.2 +4.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.2%
MIA 36.7%
PHI 39.9% +3.2%
TO %
15.5%
15.8%
MIA 11.8%
PHI 11.0% +0.8%
ORB %
26.7%
32.1%
MIA 34.6%
PHI 37.0% +2.4%
FTrt
26.8
32.7
MIA 19.3
PHI 66.7 +47.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
58.4%
MIA 64.3% +31.0%
PHI 33.3%
STL %
7.4%
9.5%
MIA 6.1%
PHI 8.5% +2.4%
BLK %
8.7%
7.0%
MIA 3.3%
PHI 4.5% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
48.1%
MIA 37.9%
PHI 43.2% +5.3%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.3%
MIA 54.5% +0.3%
PHI 54.2%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.4%
MIA 30.4%
PHI 35.1% +4.7%
3P %
34.7%
29.9%
MIA 31.3% +18.8%
PHI 12.5%
FT %
72.4%
77.9%
MIA 68.8% +10.1%
PHI 58.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
34.1%
MIA 13.3%
PHI 34.8% +21.5%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
54.8%
MIA 67.5%
PHI 53.6% +13.8%
3P Att. %
14.1%
11.1%
MIA 19.3% +7.7%
PHI 11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.
Game TotalsMIAPHI
Possessions8282
Possession Minutes27.220.8
Points7282
Rebounds4751
Assists189
Steals57
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals28-8327-69
At-the-Rim FG6-1113-24
Midrange FG17-5613-37
2-Point FG23-6726-61
3-Point FG5-161-8
Free Throws11-1627-46
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
33.2
15
50%
7
1
0
0
1
5
3
4
4-6
67%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
33.1
6
30%
8
1
0
0
1
3
5
3
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
30.5
6
25%
2
7
3
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-11
27%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
25.8
9
32%
2
2
0
1
1
6
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
11.5
2
33%
1
0
1
0
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
40.6
16
57%
11
3
0
0
1
3
4
7
3-3
100%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
23.3
5
42%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
18.0
3
38%
2
3
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" · 34
13.4
10
50%
7
1
1
0
2
1
3
4
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
5.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
38%
47
18
5
2
11
0
18
29
11-16
69%
23-67
34%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.