Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 21, 2002

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	14	Suns	60%	96	78
	27	Grizzlies	40%	93	72

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
PHX	85.7	91	95.6
MEM	83.7	86	82.0

Scoring Opportunities

PHX

+14

-20

MEM

+13

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.92 45.9%

MEM

0.92 46.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	MEM
Q4 - 0:00.0	PHX		78 100%	72 0%
Q4 - 0:12.0	MEM	Perry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T23)	78 99.9%	72 0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0	PHX	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	78 99.6%	72 0.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0	PHX	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2	77 99.5%	72 0.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	77 99.3%	72 0.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0	PHX	MISS Marion 19' Jump Shot	77 98.5%	72 1.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0	MEM	Perry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T22)	77 98.1%	72 1.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0	PHX	Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	77 95.4%	72 4.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0	PHX	Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	76 94.0%	72 6.0%
Q4 - 0:57.0	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T21)	75 92.3%	72 7.7%
Q4 - 1:05	PHX	Gugliotta Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	75 84.6%	72 15.4%
Q4 - 1:05	PHX	Gugliotta Layup (9 PTS) (Marbury 5 AST)	74 75.1%	72 24.9%
Q4 - 1:11	PHX	Marbury REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	72 63.7%	72 36.3%
Q4 - 1:14	MEM	MISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot	72 59.2%	72 40.8%
Q4 - 1:35	PHX	Marbury Reverse Layup (13 PTS)	72 50.7%	72 49.3%
Q4 - 1:56	MEM	Gasol Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20)	70 40.4%	72 59.6%
Q4 - 2:12	PHX	Gugliotta Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)	70 29.0%	72 71.0%
Q4 - 2:25	MEM	Wright Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)	70 45.0%	72 55.0%
Q4 - 2:44	PHX	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	70 29.0%	72 71.0%
Q4 - 2:44	PHX	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2	69 27.2%	72 72.8%
Q4 - 2:58	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	69 34.2%	72 65.8%
Q4 - 2:58	MEM	MISS Solomon 12' Jump Shot	69 30.2%	72 69.8%
Q4 - 3:20	PHX	Outlaw Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)	69 22.1%	72 77.9%
Q4 - 3:36	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	67 21.6%	72 78.4%
Q4 - 3:38	MEM	MISS Solomon 26' 3PT Jump Shot	67 19.6%	72 80.4%
Q4 - 4:01	PHX	Marbury Layup (11 PTS)	67 15.0%	72 85.0%
Q4 - 4:05	MEM	Perry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)	65 11.0%	72 89.0%
Q4 - 4:20	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	65 7.6%	72 92.4%
Q4 - 4:22	MEM	MISS Solomon 24' 3PT Jump Shot	65 9.7%	72 90.3%
Q4 - 4:38	PHX	Gasol STEAL (2 STL)	65 7.5%	72 92.5%
Q4 - 5:06	PHX	Marion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	65 14.2%	72 85.8%
Q4 - 5:09	MEM	MISS Perry 7' Jump Shot	65 12.9%	72 87.1%
Q4 - 5:12	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	65 10.4%	72 89.6%
Q4 - 5:15	PHX	Gasol BLOCK (1 BLK)	65 11.4%	72 88.6%
Q4 - 5:24	MEM	Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)	65 14.0%	72 86.0%
Q4 - 5:43	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	65 10.3%	72 89.7%
Q4 - 5:45	PHX	MISS Marbury 26' 3PT Jump Shot	65 11.3%	72 88.7%
Q4 - 6:01	MEM	Perry Layup (4 PTS)	65 17.4%	72 82.6%
Q4 - 6:18	PHX	Wallace Foul Turnover (P3.T18)	65 21.2%	70 78.8%
Q4 - 6:19	PHX	Palacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	65 27.6%	70 72.4%
Q4 - 6:22	MEM	MISS Gasol Layup	65 25.5%	70 74.5%
Q4 - 6:28	PHX	Perry STEAL (2 STL)	65 21.2%	70 78.8%
Q4 - 6:31	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	65 27.5%	70 72.5%
Q4 - 6:34	MEM	MISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot	65 25.5%	70 74.5%
Q4 - 6:58	PHX	Palacio Driving Layup (6 PTS)	65 21.1%	70 78.9%
Q4 - 7:16	MEM	Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	63 20.4%	70 79.6%
Q4 - 7:16	MEM	Battier Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	63 21.5%	69 78.5%
Q4 - 7:37	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	63 24.4%	68 75.6%
Q4 - 7:39	MEM	MISS Swift 17' Jump Shot	63 28.6%	68 71.4%
Q4 - 7:57	PHX	Marion Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)	63 24.3%	68 75.7%
Q4 - 8:16	MEM	Battier 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	63 32.3%	68 67.7%
Q4 - 8:38	PHX	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)	63 37.9%	66 62.1%
Q4 - 8:48	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)	63 44.3%	66 55.7%
Q4 - 9:04	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	63 39.7%	66 60.3%
Q4 - 9:05	PHX	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	63 41.5%	66 58.5%
Q4 - 9:19	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	63 45.7%	66 54.3%
Q4 - 9:21	MEM	MISS Solomon 26' 3PT Jump Shot	63 43.8%	66 56.2%
Q4 - 9:44	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	63 39.5%	66 60.5%
Q4 - 9:45	PHX	MISS Outlaw Layup	63 41.4%	66 58.6%
Q4 - 9:47	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	63 45.6%	66 54.4%
Q4 - 9:48	PHX	MISS Palacio 8' Jump Shot	63 41.3%	66 58.7%
Q4 - 10:11	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	63 46.5%	66 53.5%
Q4 - 10:13	MEM	MISS Solomon 12' Jump Shot	63 44.6%	66 55.4%
Q4 - 10:25	MEM	MISS Solomon Free Throw Technical	63 40.4%	66 59.6%
Q4 - 10:42	PHX	Johnson Layup (9 PTS)	63 40.4%	66 59.6%
Q4 - 10:55	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 35.5%	66 64.5%
Q4 - 10:59	MEM	MISS Wright 6' Hook Shot	61 33.8%	66 66.2%
Q4 - 11:07	MEM	Solomon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	61 31.0%	66 69.0%
Q4 - 11:09	MEM	MISS Wright Layup	61 34.5%	66 65.5%
Q4 - 11:13	PHX	Battier STEAL (2 STL)	61 31.0%	66 69.0%
Q4 - 11:18	PHX	Palacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	61 36.0%	66 64.0%
Q4 - 11:20	MEM	MISS Perry 15' Jump Shot	61 34.4%	66 65.6%
Q4 - 11:26	PHX	Swift STEAL (1 STL)	61 31.0%	66 69.0%
Q4 - 11:37	PHX	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	61 36.0%	66 64.0%
Q4 - 11:39	MEM	MISS Wright 11' Jump Shot	61 34.4%	66 65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHX		61 30.9%	66 69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHX	Marion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	61 36.0%	66 64.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHX	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	61 32.4%	66 67.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0	MEM	Wright 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Perry 4 AST)	61 37.5%	66 62.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	61 42.4%	64 57.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0	PHX	Swift BLOCK (3 BLK)	61 44.0%	64 56.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0	MEM	Swift Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)	61 47.5%	64 52.5%
Q3 - 1:11	PHX	Marbury 29' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	61 43.7%	64 56.3%
Q3 - 1:24	PHX	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	58 34.5%	64 65.5%
Q3 - 1:28	MEM	MISS Swift Reverse Layup	58 33.1%	64 66.9%
Q3 - 1:29	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	58 30.1%	64 69.9%
Q3 - 1:32	MEM	MISS Fotsis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	58 33.1%	64 66.9%
Q3 - 1:52	PHX	Marion Layup (18 PTS) (Marbury 4 AST)	58 30.1%	64 69.9%
Q3 - 1:56	PHX	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	56 26.2%	64 73.8%
Q3 - 1:59	MEM	MISS Fotsis Layup	56 25.0%	64 75.0%
Q3 - 2:14	PHX	Wallace 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)	56 23.7%	64 76.3%
Q3 - 2:36	MEM	Perry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	54 20.7%	64 79.3%
Q3 - 2:41	PHX	Perry STEAL (1 STL)	54 23.6%	62 76.4%
Q3 - 2:44	PHX	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	54 27.5%	62 72.5%
Q3 - 2:47	PHX	MISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot	54 24.8%	62 75.2%
Q3 - 3:02	PHX	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	54 28.8%	62 71.2%
Q3 - 3:03	MEM	MISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 2	54 28.3%	62 71.7%
Q3 - 3:03	MEM	Swift Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	54 26.0%	62 74.0%
Q3 - 3:20	MEM	Perry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	54 28.5%	61 71.5%
Q3 - 3:22	PHX	MISS Marion 6' Jump Shot	54 29.7%	61 70.3%
Q3 - 3:33	MEM	Swift 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	54 32.5%	61 67.5%
Q3 - 3:56	PHX	Tsakalidis Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)	54 36.2%	59 63.8%
Q3 - 4:20	MEM	Wright Layup (10 PTS) (Perry 3 AST)	54 41.9%	59 58.1%
Q3 - 4:35	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	54 45.5%	57 54.5%
Q3 - 4:38	PHX	MISS Marbury Reverse Layup	54 47.0%	57 53.0%
Q3 - 4:39	PHX	Marbury REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	54 50.4%	57 49.6%
Q3 - 4:40	PHX	MISS Marbury Layup	54 47.0%	57 53.0%
Q3 - 4:52	MEM	Solomon 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)	54 50.4%	57 49.6%
Q3 - 5:12	PHX	Gugliotta 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)	54 58.7%	54 41.3%
Q3 - 5:28	MEM	Swift 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Perry 2 AST)	52 54.9%	54 45.1%
Q3 - 5:38	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	52 58.7%	52 41.3%
Q3 - 5:40	PHX	MISS Gugliotta 21' Jump Shot	52 60.0%	52 40.0%
Q3 - 5:56	MEM	Gasol Foul Turnover (P3.T14)	52 63.0%	52 37.0%
Q3 - 6:07	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	52 58.9%	52 41.1%
Q3 - 6:09	PHX	Solomon BLOCK (1 BLK)	52 60.2%	52 39.8%
Q3 - 6:22	PHX	Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	52 63.0%	52 37.0%
Q3 - 6:24	MEM	MISS Wright 18' Jump Shot	52 61.8%	52 38.2%
Q3 - 6:41	PHX	Wright STEAL (1 STL)	52 58.9%	52 41.1%
Q3 - 6:53	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	52 63.0%	52 37.0%
Q3 - 7:03	MEM	MISS Knight Free Throw Technical	52 58.4%	52 41.6%
Q3 - 7:18	PHX	Marbury 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hardaway 5 AST)	52 58.5%	52 41.5%
Q3 - 7:42	MEM	Gasol Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)	50 55.2%	52 44.8%
Q3 - 7:56	PHX	Marion Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Hardaway 4 AST)	50 58.5%	50 41.5%
Q3 - 8:06	PHX	Marbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	48 55.8%	50 44.2%
Q3 - 8:07	MEM	MISS Battier 21' Jump Shot	48 54.5%	50 45.5%
Q3 - 8:14	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	48 51.5%	50 48.5%
Q3 - 8:17	PHX	MISS Marbury 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	48 52.8%	50 47.2%
Q3 - 8:43	MEM	Knight Driving Layup (2 PTS)	48 55.7%	50 44.3%
Q3 - 8:57	PHX	Marion 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)	48 58.9%	48 41.1%
Q3 - 9:10	MEM	Gasol 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Solomon 4 AST)	46 55.8%	48 44.2%
Q3 - 9:21	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	46 59.3%	46 40.7%
Q3 - 9:23	PHX	MISS Hardaway Reverse Layup	46 60.4%	46 39.6%
Q3 - 9:35	MEM	Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)	46 62.9%	46 37.1%
Q3 - 9:48	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	46 59.3%	46 40.7%
Q3 - 9:51	PHX	MISS Marion 10' Jump Shot	46 60.4%	46 39.6%
Q3 - 10:16	MEM	Solomon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 6 AST)	46 63.4%	46 36.6%
Q3 - 10:29	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	46 69.4%	43 30.6%
Q3 - 10:31	PHX	MISS Gugliotta 20' Jump Shot	46 70.4%	43 29.6%
Q3 - 10:37	PHX	Hardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	46 72.6%	43 27.4%
Q3 - 10:40	MEM	MISS Knight 18' Jump Shot	46 71.7%	43 28.3%
Q3 - 10:55	PHX	Marbury Foul Turnover (P2.T9)	46 69.4%	43 30.6%
Q3 - 11:01	MEM	Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)	46 72.7%	43 27.3%
Q3 - 11:15	PHX	Marion Layup (12 PTS)	46 69.7%	43 30.3%
Q3 - 11:20	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	44 66.9%	43 33.1%
Q3 - 11:46	PHX	Hardaway 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)	44 63.6%	43 36.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM		42 60.5%	43 39.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	42 56.9%	43 43.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0	MEM	MISS Solomon 3PT Jump Shot	42 59.5%	43 40.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0	PHX	Marbury Driving Layup (4 PTS)	42 57.9%	43 42.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0	MEM	Battier 12' Hook Shot (11 PTS)	40 53.7%	43 46.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0	MEM	Solomon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	40 57.9%	41 42.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0	MEM	MISS Solomon 24' 3PT Jump Shot	40 59.5%	41 40.5%
Q2 - 1:14	PHX	Marion Layup (10 PTS) (Gugliotta 1 AST)	40 58.4%	41 41.6%
Q2 - 1:25	MEM	Gasol Layup (11 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	38 53.7%	41 46.3%
Q2 - 1:44	PHX	Marion 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)	38 58.4%	39 41.6%
Q2 - 1:59	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	36 53.7%	39 46.3%
Q2 - 1:59	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	36 54.6%	38 45.4%
Q2 - 2:14	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	36 54.8%	38 45.2%
Q2 - 2:15	PHX	MISS Gugliotta Driving Layup	36 55.7%	38 44.3%
Q2 - 2:31	PHX	Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	36 57.7%	38 42.3%
Q2 - 2:34	MEM	MISS Wright 19' Jump Shot	36 56.8%	38 43.2%
Q2 - 2:46	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	36 54.9%	38 45.1%
Q2 - 2:49	PHX	MISS Marbury 21' Jump Shot	36 55.7%	38 44.3%
Q2 - 3:09	MEM	Solomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)	36 58.4%	38 41.6%
Q2 - 3:24	PHX	Marion Layup (6 PTS)	36 63.7%	35 36.3%
Q2 - 3:27	PHX	Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	34 61.3%	35 38.7%
Q2 - 3:29	PHX	MISS Marion 8' Jump Shot	34 59.0%	35 41.0%
Q2 - 3:32	PHX	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	34 61.3%	35 38.7%
Q2 - 3:35	PHX	MISS Marion 17' Jump Shot	34 59.0%	35 41.0%
Q2 - 3:51	PHX	Marion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	34 61.2%	35 38.8%
Q2 - 3:53	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2	34 60.8%	35 39.2%
Q2 - 3:53	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	34 59.1%	35 40.9%
Q2 - 4:11	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	34 58.6%	35 41.4%
Q2 - 4:14	PHX	MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot	34 59.4%	35 40.6%
Q2 - 4:32	PHX	Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	34 61.3%	35 38.7%
Q2 - 4:33	MEM	MISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 2	34 61.0%	35 39.0%
Q2 - 4:33	MEM	MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2	34 59.3%	35 40.7%
Q2 - 4:48	PHX	Gasol STEAL (1 STL)	34 58.6%	35 41.4%
Q2 - 4:49	MEM	Wright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	34 61.3%	35 38.7%
Q2 - 5:05	PHX	Palacio Reverse Layup (4 PTS)	34 58.7%	35 41.3%
Q2 - 5:28	MEM	Wright Layup (8 PTS)	32 56.2%	35 43.8%
Q2 - 5:50	PHX	Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	32 58.7%	33 41.3%
Q2 - 6:15	PHX	Majerle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 54.1%	33 45.9%
Q2 - 6:18	MEM	MISS Perry 21' Jump Shot	29 53.0%	33 47.0%
Q2 - 6:32	PHX	Palacio 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	29 50.7%	33 49.3%
Q2 - 6:48	PHX	Suns Rebound	27 48.5%	33 51.5%
Q2 - 6:49	MEM	MISS Perry 14' Jump Shot	27 47.5%	33 52.5%
Q2 - 7:09	PHX	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	27 46.4%	33 53.6%
Q2 - 7:15	MEM	Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	27 49.2%	33 50.8%
Q2 - 7:30	PHX	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	27 46.4%	33 53.6%
Q2 - 7:42	MEM	Gasol Dunk (8 PTS) (Battier 5 AST)	27 49.2%	33 50.8%
Q2 - 7:59	PHX	Marion 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	27 51.6%	31 48.4%
Q2 - 8:06	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	25 49.3%	31 50.7%
Q2 - 8:06	MEM	Battier Tip Shot (9 PTS)	25 49.3%	31 50.7%
Q2 - 8:10	MEM	MISS Massenburg 7' Hook Shot	25 53.6%	29 46.4%
Q2 - 8:18	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	25 51.6%	29 48.4%
Q2 - 8:21	PHX	MISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot	25 52.5%	29 47.5%
Q2 - 8:42	MEM	Gasol Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Perry 1 AST)	25 54.5%	29 45.5%
Q2 - 9:00	PHX	Johnson 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	25 56.8%	27 43.2%
Q2 - 9:20	MEM	Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	23 54.8%	27 45.2%
Q2 - 9:37	PHX	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	23 52.0%	27 48.0%
Q2 - 9:37	PHX	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	22 51.5%	27 48.5%
Q2 - 9:48	MEM	Massenburg Dunk (4 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)	21 49.7%	27 50.3%
Q2 - 10:09	PHX	Wallace 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	21 51.9%	25 48.1%
Q2 - 10:28	MEM	GRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	19 49.8%	25 50.2%
Q2 - 10:28	MEM	Massenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	19 47.0%	25 53.0%
Q2 - 10:29	MEM	MISS Swift 12' Jump Shot	19 48.9%	25 51.1%
Q2 - 10:54	PHX	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)	19 47.0%	25 53.0%
Q2 - 11:01	PHX	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 42.8%	25 57.2%
Q2 - 11:03	MEM	MISS Perry 17' Jump Shot	16 42.0%	25 58.0%
Q2 - 11:17	MEM	Solomon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 40.4%	25 59.6%
Q2 - 11:19	PHX	MISS Marion Layup	16 41.1%	25 58.9%
Q2 - 11:25	MEM	Solomon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	16 42.7%	25 57.3%
Q2 - 11:41	PHX	Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	16 40.3%	25 59.7%
Q2 - 11:41	PHX	MISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 2	15 39.2%	25 60.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	PHX		15 40.3%	25 59.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	15 38.0%	25 62.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0	PHX	MISS Marbury 10' Jump Shot	15 39.2%	25 60.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0	MEM	Jump Ball Swift vs. Outlaw: Tip to Marbury	15 40.4%	25 59.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0	MEM	MISS Swift 19' Jump Shot	15 39.9%	25 60.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0	PHX	Johnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)	15 38.7%	25 61.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0	MEM	Solomon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	13 35.9%	25 64.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0	PHX	Marion 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	13 34.3%	25 65.7%
Q1 - 1:01	MEM	Massenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	11 32.0%	25 68.0%
Q1 - 1:01	MEM	Massenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	11 32.5%	24 67.5%
Q1 - 1:01	MEM	Massenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	11 34.5%	23 65.5%
Q1 - 1:03	PHX	MISS Marbury 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 35.0%	23 65.0%
Q1 - 1:10	PHX	Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	11 36.2%	23 63.8%
Q1 - 1:12	PHX	MISS Hardaway 20' Jump Shot	11 35.0%	23 65.0%
Q1 - 1:27	MEM	Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	11 36.2%	23 63.8%
Q1 - 1:45	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	11 34.5%	23 65.5%
Q1 - 1:47	PHX	MISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 35.0%	23 65.0%
Q1 - 2:09	MEM	Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	11 36.9%	23 63.1%
Q1 - 2:09	MEM	Battier Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	11 37.5%	22 62.5%
Q1 - 2:09	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	11 39.2%	21 60.8%
Q1 - 2:11	MEM	MISS Massenburg 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	11 40.7%	21 59.3%
Q1 - 2:18	MEM	Massenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	11 39.2%	21 60.8%
Q1 - 2:20	MEM	MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot	11 40.7%	21 59.3%
Q1 - 2:35	PHX	Hardaway Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)	11 39.2%	21 60.8%
Q1 - 2:41	PHX	Marion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 41.3%	21 58.7%
Q1 - 2:43	MEM	MISS Swift Dunk	11 40.7%	21 59.3%
Q1 - 2:45	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	11 39.2%	21 60.8%
Q1 - 2:48	MEM	MISS Massenburg Layup	11 40.7%	21 59.3%
Q1 - 3:09	PHX	Marbury Layup (2 PTS)	11 39.9%	21 60.1%
Q1 - 3:14	PHX	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	9 38.0%	21 62.0%
Q1 - 3:15	MEM	MISS Solomon 15' Jump Shot	9 37.3%	21 62.7%
Q1 - 3:18	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	9 35.7%	21 64.3%
Q1 - 3:21	PHX	MISS Marbury 7' Jump Shot	9 36.4%	21 63.6%
Q1 - 3:25	PHX	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	9 38.0%	21 62.0%
Q1 - 3:29	PHX	Swift BLOCK (2 BLK)	9 36.4%	21 63.6%
Q1 - 3:41	PHX	Hardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 38.0%	21 62.0%
Q1 - 3:43	MEM	MISS Battier 15' Jump Shot	9 37.2%	21 62.8%
Q1 - 4:09	PHX	Solomon STEAL (2 STL)	9 36.3%	21 63.7%
Q1 - 4:10	PHX	Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	9 38.8%	21 61.2%
Q1 - 4:14	PHX	MISS Marion 19' Jump Shot	9 37.0%	21 63.0%
Q1 - 4:33	MEM	Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Solomon 3 AST)	9 38.8%	21 61.2%
Q1 - 4:38	PHX	Solomon STEAL (1 STL)	9 42.6%	18 57.4%
Q1 - 4:52	MEM	Battier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Solomon 2 AST)	9 45.2%	18 54.8%
Q1 - 4:57	MEM	Solomon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 46.9%	16 53.1%
Q1 - 5:00	PHX	Knight BLOCK (1 BLK)	9 47.7%	16 52.3%
Q1 - 5:21	MEM	Swift 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)	9 50.3%	16 49.7%
Q1 - 5:38	PHX	Tsakalidis Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	9 52.2%	14 47.8%
Q1 - 5:46	PHX	Marbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 54.5%	14 45.5%
Q1 - 5:47	PHX	Tsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	9 54.5%	14 45.5%
Q1 - 5:47	PHX	Swift BLOCK (1 BLK)	9 52.9%	14 47.1%
Q1 - 5:50	PHX	MISS Gugliotta 21' Jump Shot	9 52.9%	14 47.1%
Q1 - 6:09	MEM	Swift 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Solomon 1 AST)	9 54.8%	14 45.2%
Q1 - 6:29	PHX	Tsakalidis 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)	9 56.7%	12 43.3%
Q1 - 6:39	PHX	Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	7 54.7%	12 45.3%
Q1 - 6:40	PHX	MISS Marbury 22' Jump Shot	7 53.3%	12 46.7%
Q1 - 6:58	MEM	Gasol 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)	7 54.7%	12 45.3%
Q1 - 7:03	MEM	Knight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 57.2%	10 42.8%
Q1 - 7:06	PHX	MISS Marion 13' Jump Shot	7 57.8%	10 42.2%
Q1 - 7:24	MEM	Wright Layup (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)	7 59.2%	10 40.8%
Q1 - 7:31	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	7 60.9%	8 39.1%
Q1 - 7:34	PHX	MISS Hardaway 22' Jump Shot	7 61.5%	8 38.5%
Q1 - 7:52	MEM	Wright 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)	7 62.8%	8 37.2%
Q1 - 8:09	PHX	Gugliotta Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	7 64.9%	6 35.1%
Q1 - 8:09	PHX	Gugliotta Layup (4 PTS)	6 63.2%	6 36.8%
Q1 - 8:12	PHX	Suns Rebound	4 61.6%	6 38.4%
Q1 - 8:15	MEM	MISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot	4 61.0%	6 39.0%
Q1 - 8:20	PHX	Battier STEAL (1 STL)	4 59.6%	6 40.4%
Q1 - 8:33	MEM	Fotsis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	4 61.6%	6 38.4%
Q1 - 8:49	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4 59.6%	6 40.4%
Q1 - 8:49	PHX	MISS Marbury 10' Jump Shot	4 60.2%	6 39.8%
Q1 - 9:12	MEM	Gasol 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)	4 61.6%	6 38.4%
Q1 - 9:29	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 62.9%	4 37.1%
Q1 - 9:30	PHX	MISS Tsakalidis 8' Hook Shot	4 63.6%	4 36.4%
Q1 - 9:47	MEM	Wright 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 65.1%	4 34.9%
Q1 - 10:03	PHX	Hardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 66.4%	2 33.6%
Q1 - 10:03	PHX	Hardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	3 66.1%	2 33.9%
Q1 - 10:15	PHX	Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 64.9%	2 35.1%
Q1 - 10:16	MEM	MISS Gasol 9' Hook Shot	2 64.3%	2 35.7%
Q1 - 10:25	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 63.0%	2 37.0%
Q1 - 10:27	MEM	MISS Knight 16' Jump Shot	2 64.3%	2 35.7%
Q1 - 10:34	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 63.0%	2 37.0%
Q1 - 10:38	MEM	MISS Wright 9' Running Hook Shot	2 64.3%	2 35.7%
Q1 - 10:45	MEM	Fotsis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 63.0%	2 37.0%
Q1 - 10:47	PHX	MISS Hardaway 16' Jump Shot	2 63.6%	2 36.4%
Q1 - 10:56	PHX	Gugliotta REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 64.9%	2 35.1%
Q1 - 10:58	PHX	MISS Marion 20' Jump Shot	2 63.6%	2 36.4%
Q1 - 11:07	MEM	Fotsis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)	2 64.8%	2 35.2%
Q1 - 11:27	PHX	Gugliotta 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)	2 66.5%	0 33.5%
Q1 - 11:40	MEM	Battier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	0 64.8%	0 35.2%
Q1 - 12:00	MEM	Jump Ball Gasol vs. Tsakalidis: Tip to Wright	0 63.2%	0 36.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.92 45.9%

MEM

0.92 46.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

67%

MEM

68%

Midrange

PHX

31%

MEM

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

4.5

38%

56%

MEM

6.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

PHX

79%

MEM

50%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Marion	18	47%	9.0 / 19
S. Marbury	13	36%	6.5 / 18
J. Johnson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Gugliotta	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Wallace	9	90%	4.5 / 5
M. Palacio	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Outlaw	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Hardaway	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Tsakalidis	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Battier	15	75%	7.5 / 10
P. Gasol	15	54%	7.5 / 14
L. Wright	12	46%	6.0 / 13
W. Solomon	9	41%	4.5 / 11
S. Swift	9	45%	4.5 / 10
E. Perry	4	29%	2.0 / 7
T. Massenburg	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Knight	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Fotsis	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX

+14

-20

MEM

+13

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

0.92 45.9%

MEM

0.92 46.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	101.1 95.6	PHX 85.7 +2.0 MEM 83.7
Pace	93.5 93.7	PHX 95.6 +13.6 MEM 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15.3 15.4	PHX 15.1 +2.5 MEM 17.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.2% 46.2%	PHX 45.3% MEM 46.4% +1.1%
TO %	15.1% 16.7%	PHX 20.0% +3.2% MEM 23.2%
ORB %	30.1% 27.8%	PHX 34.1% +2.5% MEM 31.6%
FTrt	23.5 28.8	PHX 18.9 MEM 23.2 +4.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.3% 62.6%	PHX 59.4% MEM 66.7% +7.3%
STL %	8.6% 8.4%	PHX 20.9% +9.3% MEM 11.6%
BLK %	7.4% 8.5%	PHX 8.6% MEM 9.1% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	48.8% 47.7%	PHX 45.9% MEM 46.2% +0.3%
Rim FG%	56.3% 57.1%	PHX 66.7% MEM 68.4% +1.7%
Mid FG%	39.8% 38.6%	PHX 31.0% MEM 33.3% +2.3%
3P %	32.7% 30.7%	PHX 37.5% +1.1% MEM 36.4%
FT %	76.7% 70.8%	PHX 78.6% +28.6% MEM 50.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.2% 34.4%	PHX 32.4% +4.9% MEM 27.5%
Mid Att. %	48.0% 48.9%	PHX 56.8% MEM 56.5% +0.2%
3P Att. %	15.8% 16.8%	PHX 10.8% MEM 15.9% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Game Totals	PHX	MEM
Possessions	91	86
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	78	72
Rebounds	40	39
Assists	19	20
Steals	19	10
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	22 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (0)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	27 (1)
Field Goals	32-74	30-69
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	13-19
Midrange FG	13-42	13-39
2-Point FG	29-66	26-58
3-Point FG	3-8	4-11
Free Throws	11-14	8-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shawn Marion F · 6'7" 228 · 24	44.6	18	47%	5	2	3	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	9-18	50%	0-1	0%
Stephon Marbury G · 6'2" 205 · 25	37.0	13	36%	4	5	4	0	4	1	2	2	0-0	-	5-15	33%	1-3	33%
Tom Gugliotta F · 6'10" 250 · 32	29.4	10	50%	8	1	3	0	2	2	4	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Anfernee Hardaway G · 6'7" 215 · 31	23.6	4	22%	2	5	1	1	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-8	13%	0-0	-
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 23	21.8	2	33%	4	0	3	0	2	1	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bo Outlaw F · 6'8" 220 · 31	27.1	5	63%	9	1	1	1	0	4	2	7	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Joe Johnson G-F · 6'7" 240 · 21	24.4	11	55%	3	3	3	2	3	0	0	3	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
John Wallace F · 6'9" 225 · 28	17.7	9	90%	2	2	0	1	3	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Milt Palacio G · 6'4" 210 · 24	11.0	6	75%	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Dan Majerle G-F · 6'6" 222 · 36	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Crispin G · 6'0" 185 · 23
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	46%	40	19	19	5	20	0	14	26	11-14	79%	29-66	44%	3-8	38%

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14 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shawn Marion F · 6'7" 228 · 24	44.6	18	47%	5	2	3	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	9-18	50%	0-1	0%
Stephon Marbury G · 6'2" 205 · 25	37.0	13	36%	4	5	4	0	4	1	2	2	0-0	-	5-15	33%	1-3	33%
Tom Gugliotta F · 6'10" 250 · 32	29.4	10	50%	8	1	3	0	2	2	4	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Anfernee Hardaway G · 6'7" 215 · 31	23.6	4	22%	2	5	1	1	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-8	13%	0-0	-
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 23	21.8	2	33%	4	0	3	0	2	1	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bo Outlaw F · 6'8" 220 · 31	27.1	5	63%	9	1	1	1	0	4	2	7	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Joe Johnson G-F · 6'7" 240 · 21	24.4	11	55%	3	3	3	2	3	0	0	3	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
John Wallace F · 6'9" 225 · 28	17.7	9	90%	2	2	0	1	3	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Milt Palacio G · 6'4" 210 · 24	11.0	6	75%	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Dan Majerle G-F · 6'6" 222 · 36	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Crispin G · 6'0" 185 · 23
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	46%	40	19	19	5	20	0	14	26	11-14	79%	29-66	44%	3-8	38%

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27 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shane Battier G · 6'8" 220 · 23	47.1	15	75%	9	6	2	0	3	0	2	7	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 26	36.8	12	46%	12	2	1	0	2	2	2	10	0-2	0%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 22	29.9	15	54%	5	0	2	1	6	6	2	3	1-4	25%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Brevin Knight G · 5'10" 166 · 26	26.0	2	33%	1	4	0	1	4	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Antonis Fotsis F · 6'10" 219 · 21	8.4	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Will Solomon G · 6'1" 185 · 24	36.6	9	41%	4	4	2	1	2	3	2	2	0-1	0%	0-3	0%	3-8	38%
Elliot Perry G · 6'0" · 33	25.9	4	29%	1	4	2	0	3	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22	22.2	9	45%	3	0	1	3	1	0	2	1	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Tony Massenburg F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35	7.0	4	40%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 26
Grant Long F · 6'9" 240 · 36
Rodney Buford F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	72	46%	39	20	10	6	22	0	12	27	8-16	50%	26-58	45%	4-11	36%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE