FinalWin Prob.pScore
1066%98
110
2834%93
99
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
122.29089.2
DEN logo DEN
108.89191.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA110
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENJohnson Driving Layup (19 PTS)110
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0UTAStockton Driving Layup (12 PTS)110
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENLenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)108
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0UTARussell Layup (13 PTS) (Stockton 9 AST)108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05DENLaFrentz Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12DENJohnson 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)104
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:20UTAMalone 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Padgett 2 AST)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37UTAJazz Rebound102
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 1:37UTAMcCloud BLOCK (1 BLK)102
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 1:45DENJohnson Driving Layup (15 PTS)102
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 1:50UTARussell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)102
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:12DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)99
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 2:12DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)99
99.5%
89
0.5%
Q4 - 2:18DENNUGGETS Rebound99
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 2:19DENMISS McCloud Layup99
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 2:24DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 2:26UTAMISS Russell Layup99
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 2:33UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 2:36DENMISS LaFrentz 15' Turnaround Jump Shot99
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 2:50UTAPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)99
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 2:50UTAMISS Padgett Free Throw 1 of 298
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 3:09DENLaFrentz 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)98
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 3:20UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)98
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 3:20UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)97
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 3:31DENLenard 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)96
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 3:54DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57UTAMISS Malone 17' Fadeaway Jumper96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23UTAJazz Rebound96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25UTAMISS Stockton 18' Jump Shot96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:42DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:42DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 1 of 296
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01UTAPadgett 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Russell 4 AST)96
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 5:07UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 5:12DENMISS Satterfield Driving Layup94
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 5:27UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)94
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 5:27UTARussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)93
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 5:36UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 5:39DENMISS Satterfield 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 5:55UTAPadgett Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)92
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 6:13DENCheaney 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)92
99.3%
78
0.7%
Q4 - 6:34UTAMalone 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Russell 3 AST)92
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 6:56DENLaFrentz 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)90
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 7:16UTAMalone Layup (15 PTS) (Stockton 8 AST)90
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 7:20UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 7:24DENMISS Lenard 12' Fadeaway Jumper88
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 7:35DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 7:38UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 7:38UTAMISS Padgett 6' Jump Shot88
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 7:41UTALaFrentz BLOCK (5 BLK)88
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 7:53DENLenard 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)88
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 8:14UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 8:14UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 287
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 8:28DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 8:28DENPosey Slam Dunk (4 PTS)87
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 8:30DENMISS Satterfield Layup87
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 8:33DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 8:36UTAMISS Starks 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 9:00DENLaFrentz Layup (12 PTS) (Satterfield 2 AST)87
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 9:06UTAOstertag Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)87
99.4%
68
0.6%
Q4 - 9:06UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 9:07DENMISS Satterfield 6' Jump Shot87
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 9:21UTAPosey STEAL (1 STL)87
99.4%
68
0.6%
Q4 - 9:50DENSatterfield 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS)87
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 10:05UTAStarks 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)87
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 10:22DENSatterfield Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)85
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 10:22DENMISS Satterfield Free Throw 1 of 285
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 10:40DENNUGGETS Rebound85
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 10:41UTAMISS LaRue Driving Layup85
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 10:55UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:01DENMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot85
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 11:18UTAPadgett Layup (18 PTS) (Starks 2 AST)85
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q4 - 11:23UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 11:29DENMISS Lenard Layup83
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 11:46UTAStarks 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)83
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN80
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTALenard STEAL (1 STL)80
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Satterfield 20' Jump Shot80
97.8%
65
2.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0UTAPadgett Layup (16 PTS)80
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
96.9%
65
3.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0UTAMISS LaRue 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
96.5%
65
3.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
96.9%
65
3.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot78
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q3 - 1:06UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)78
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q3 - 1:06UTAOstertag Layup (4 PTS) (LaRue 4 AST)77
95.0%
65
5.0%
Q3 - 1:28DENPosey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)75
94.0%
65
6.0%
Q3 - 1:53UTAPadgett 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)75
95.0%
63
5.0%
Q3 - 2:09UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q3 - 2:13DENMISS McCloud 18' Jump Shot73
93.0%
63
7.0%
Q3 - 2:19DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
92.1%
63
7.9%
Q3 - 2:26UTAMISS Kirilenko Reverse Layup73
92.5%
63
7.5%
Q3 - 2:47DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q3 - 2:47DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)73
93.6%
62
6.4%
Q3 - 2:47DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
94.4%
61
5.6%
Q3 - 2:49DENMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot73
95.1%
61
4.9%
Q3 - 3:05UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
94.0%
61
6.0%
Q3 - 3:05UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 272
93.8%
61
6.2%
Q3 - 3:22DENAbdul-Wahad Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)72
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q3 - 3:31DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
93.0%
61
7.0%
Q3 - 3:33UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 272
93.1%
61
6.9%
Q3 - 3:33UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 272
93.7%
61
6.3%
Q3 - 3:33UTAJazz Rebound72
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot72
93.8%
61
6.2%
Q3 - 3:55UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
93.0%
61
7.0%
Q3 - 3:55UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
92.7%
61
7.3%
Q3 - 3:56DENJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)70
91.8%
61
8.2%
Q3 - 4:10UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q3 - 4:10UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
89.4%
61
10.6%
Q3 - 4:22DENMcCloud Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Abdul-Wahad 1 AST)68
88.3%
61
11.7%
Q3 - 4:37UTAMalone Foul Turnover (P2.T7)68
89.8%
59
10.2%
Q3 - 4:48DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
91.5%
59
8.5%
Q3 - 4:48DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
91.7%
58
8.3%
Q3 - 5:09UTAKirilenko Layup (19 PTS) (LaRue 3 AST)68
92.2%
57
7.8%
Q3 - 5:18DENCheaney Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)66
91.0%
57
9.0%
Q3 - 5:21DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
89.4%
57
10.6%
Q3 - 5:25DENMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot66
90.5%
57
9.5%
Q3 - 5:38UTAHamilton STEAL (1 STL)66
89.4%
57
10.6%
Q3 - 5:50DENCheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
91.0%
57
9.0%
Q3 - 5:50DENCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
91.5%
56
8.5%
Q3 - 6:02DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
91.7%
55
8.3%
Q3 - 6:05UTAMISS Russell 17' Jump Shot66
92.1%
55
7.9%
Q3 - 6:15DENJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)66
92.9%
55
7.1%
Q3 - 6:32UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
91.7%
55
8.3%
Q3 - 6:32UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
91.6%
55
8.4%
Q3 - 6:34UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
90.5%
55
9.5%
Q3 - 6:36DENMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot64
90.1%
55
9.9%
Q3 - 6:45DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
89.0%
55
11.0%
Q3 - 6:46UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup64
89.5%
55
10.5%
Q3 - 6:49DENCheaney 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
90.5%
55
9.5%
Q3 - 6:52DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)64
91.8%
53
8.2%
Q3 - 6:56DENMISS Cheaney 6' Running Jump Shot64
92.6%
53
7.4%
Q3 - 7:16UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Stockton 7 AST)64
91.1%
53
8.9%
Q3 - 7:19UTARussell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
90.0%
53
10.0%
Q3 - 7:21DENMISS Johnson 6' Running Jump Shot62
89.5%
53
10.5%
Q3 - 7:36DENNUGGETS Rebound62
88.3%
53
11.7%
Q3 - 7:37UTAMISS Malone 18' Fadeaway Jumper62
88.9%
53
11.1%
Q3 - 8:00DENJohnson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
90.0%
53
10.0%
Q3 - 8:15UTACollins Layup (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)62
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q3 - 8:32DENWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)60
89.9%
51
10.1%
Q3 - 8:46UTAMalone Layup (9 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)60
88.2%
51
11.8%
Q3 - 8:53UTARussell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
86.8%
51
13.2%
Q3 - 8:57DENMISS Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot58
86.1%
51
13.9%
Q3 - 9:27UTARussell 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)58
84.5%
51
15.5%
Q3 - 9:41UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
82.6%
51
17.4%
Q3 - 9:43DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot56
81.9%
51
18.1%
Q3 - 9:52DENNUGGETS Rebound56
80.3%
51
19.7%
Q3 - 9:54UTALaFrentz BLOCK (4 BLK)56
81.0%
51
19.0%
Q3 - 10:12DENLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q3 - 10:12DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
83.2%
50
16.8%
Q3 - 10:13DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
84.4%
49
15.6%
Q3 - 10:16DENMISS Cheaney Reverse Layup56
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q3 - 10:28DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
84.4%
49
15.6%
Q3 - 10:30UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 256
84.7%
49
15.3%
Q3 - 10:30UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 256
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q3 - 10:37UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
86.4%
49
13.6%
Q3 - 10:39DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q3 - 10:52UTAMcCloud STEAL (2 STL)56
84.4%
49
15.6%
Q3 - 11:10DENJump Ball Williams vs. Malone: Tip to Russell56
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q3 - 11:10DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
84.6%
49
15.4%
Q3 - 11:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q3 - 11:10UTAMISS Kirilenko Tip Shot56
85.1%
49
14.9%
Q3 - 11:14UTAMISS Stockton 16' Jump Shot56
85.1%
49
14.9%
Q3 - 11:34UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q3 - 11:36DENMISS LaFrentz Layup56
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN56
84.5%
49
15.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound56
84.5%
49
15.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS McCloud 29' 3PT Jump Shot56
85.8%
49
14.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)56
84.5%
49
15.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
85.6%
49
14.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot56
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
85.7%
49
14.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENCheaney Layup (6 PTS)56
85.7%
49
14.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup56
88.4%
47
11.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0UTARussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
87.4%
47
12.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENCheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
85.7%
47
14.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENCheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
86.3%
46
13.7%
Q2 - 1:15UTAPadgett Layup (12 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)54
87.5%
45
12.5%
Q2 - 1:32DENMcCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)52
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 1:41DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
88.8%
42
11.2%
Q2 - 1:43UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 2 of 252
88.9%
42
11.1%
Q2 - 1:43UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
89.8%
42
10.2%
Q2 - 1:55UTARussell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
88.2%
42
11.8%
Q2 - 1:58UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
87.7%
42
12.3%
Q2 - 2:10DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
88.1%
42
11.9%
Q2 - 2:10DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
88.4%
41
11.6%
Q2 - 2:27UTAMalone 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Russell 2 AST)51
89.4%
40
10.6%
Q2 - 2:38UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
88.1%
40
11.9%
Q2 - 2:40DENMISS McCloud 20' Jump Shot49
87.7%
40
12.3%
Q2 - 2:57UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
86.9%
40
13.1%
Q2 - 2:57UTARussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
86.6%
40
13.4%
Q2 - 3:11UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
85.0%
40
15.0%
Q2 - 3:13DENMISS Lenard Layup47
84.5%
40
15.5%
Q2 - 3:18DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
83.2%
40
16.8%
Q2 - 3:20UTAMISS Russell 21' Jump Shot47
83.8%
40
16.2%
Q2 - 3:40DENMcCloud 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)47
85.0%
40
15.0%
Q2 - 3:57UTAAmaechi Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)47
86.3%
38
13.7%
Q2 - 3:57UTAMISS Amaechi Free Throw 1 of 246
85.9%
38
14.1%
Q2 - 4:07UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
86.1%
38
13.9%
Q2 - 4:09DENMISS McCloud Layup46
85.7%
38
14.3%
Q2 - 4:17DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
84.7%
38
15.3%
Q2 - 4:19DENMISS McCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
85.7%
38
14.3%
Q2 - 4:32DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
84.7%
38
15.3%
Q2 - 4:35UTAMISS Padgett 8' Fadeaway Jumper46
85.2%
38
14.8%
Q2 - 4:51DENMcCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)46
86.1%
38
13.9%
Q2 - 5:09DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
88.5%
35
11.5%
Q2 - 5:11UTAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)46
88.9%
35
11.1%
Q2 - 5:35DENWilliams Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)46
89.7%
35
10.3%
Q2 - 5:48UTAPadgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Amaechi 2 AST)46
90.6%
33
9.4%
Q2 - 6:08UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
88.4%
33
11.6%
Q2 - 6:10DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
87.0%
33
13.0%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Williams Tip Shot43
88.0%
33
12.0%
Q2 - 6:13DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup43
88.0%
33
12.0%
Q2 - 6:35UTAPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)43
87.0%
33
13.0%
Q2 - 6:51DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
84.6%
33
15.4%
Q2 - 6:51DENAbdul-Wahad Tip Shot (2 PTS)40
84.6%
33
15.4%
Q2 - 6:54DENMISS Lenard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot40
86.8%
31
13.2%
Q2 - 7:20UTAPadgett Layup (4 PTS) (LaRue 2 AST)40
85.5%
31
14.5%
Q2 - 7:24UTARussell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
84.2%
31
15.8%
Q2 - 7:28DENMISS Lenard 17' Turnaround Jump Shot38
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 7:41DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
82.7%
31
17.3%
Q2 - 7:45UTAMISS LaRue 7' Running Jump Shot38
83.2%
31
16.8%
Q2 - 8:12DENLenard Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
84.0%
31
16.0%
Q2 - 8:18DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
85.1%
29
14.9%
Q2 - 8:21UTAMISS Amaechi 7' Running Hook Shot38
85.6%
29
14.4%
Q2 - 8:33DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)38
86.6%
29
13.4%
Q2 - 8:33DENJohnson 9' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)38
87.7%
28
12.3%
Q2 - 8:47UTALaRue Layup (4 PTS) (Amaechi 1 AST)38
88.7%
26
11.3%
Q2 - 9:05DENHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
87.5%
26
12.5%
Q2 - 9:27UTAPadgett 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Starks 1 AST)36
86.2%
26
13.8%
Q2 - 9:39DENAbdul-Wahad Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)34
85.1%
26
14.9%
Q2 - 9:54DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
83.6%
26
16.4%
Q2 - 9:57UTAMISS Amaechi Free Throw 2 of 234
83.8%
26
16.2%
Q2 - 9:57UTAMISS Amaechi Free Throw 1 of 234
84.6%
26
15.4%
Q2 - 10:15UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
84.8%
26
15.2%
Q2 - 10:18DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot34
84.3%
26
15.7%
Q2 - 10:23UTAMcCloud STEAL (1 STL)34
83.3%
26
16.7%
Q2 - 10:25UTARussell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
84.8%
26
15.2%
Q2 - 10:28UTAMISS Russell 7' Running Jump Shot34
83.8%
26
16.2%
Q2 - 10:39DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
84.8%
26
15.2%
Q2 - 10:39DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
85.2%
25
14.8%
Q2 - 10:39DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)34
85.9%
24
14.1%
Q2 - 10:41DENMISS Hamilton Reverse Layup34
86.8%
24
13.2%
Q2 - 10:57UTAAbdul-Wahad STEAL (1 STL)34
85.9%
24
14.1%
Q2 - 11:10UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
86.9%
24
13.1%
Q2 - 11:11DENMISS Satterfield 11' Running Jump Shot34
86.6%
24
13.4%
Q2 - 11:23UTAStarks 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ostertag 2 AST)34
85.8%
24
14.2%
Q2 - 11:43UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
84.5%
24
15.5%
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 10' Jump Shot32
84.2%
24
15.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN32
83.2%
24
16.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound32
83.2%
24
16.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 20' Jump Shot32
84.2%
24
15.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (15 PTS)32
83.1%
24
16.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0UTAMISS LaRue Reverse Layup30
80.6%
24
19.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0DENSatterfield Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
81.4%
24
18.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)30
80.3%
24
19.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)29
79.9%
24
20.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMcCloud 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
78.4%
24
21.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
80.3%
22
19.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAOstertag Layup (2 PTS)28
80.3%
22
19.7%
Q1 - 1:04UTALaFrentz BLOCK (3 BLK)26
77.5%
22
22.5%
Q1 - 1:25DENHamilton Dunk (6 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)26
78.4%
22
21.6%
Q1 - 1:40UTAStarks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)26
80.3%
20
19.7%
Q1 - 2:01DENCheaney Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
77.1%
20
22.9%
Q1 - 2:11DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
75.5%
20
24.5%
Q1 - 2:13UTAMISS LaRue 21' Jump Shot23
76.0%
20
24.0%
Q1 - 2:30DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
77.1%
20
22.9%
Q1 - 2:30DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
77.5%
19
22.5%
Q1 - 2:43UTALaRue Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
78.8%
18
21.2%
Q1 - 2:43UTALaRue Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
78.4%
18
21.6%
Q1 - 2:43UTAJazz Rebound21
77.1%
18
22.9%
Q1 - 2:45UTAMISS LaRue 21' Jump Shot21
76.0%
18
24.0%
Q1 - 3:00DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)21
77.0%
18
23.0%
Q1 - 3:02DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
79.9%
15
20.1%
Q1 - 3:05DENMISS Johnson 5' Running Jump Shot21
81.0%
15
19.0%
Q1 - 3:20UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (LaRue 1 AST)21
79.9%
15
20.1%
Q1 - 3:26DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
78.6%
15
21.4%
Q1 - 3:26DENHamilton Slam Dunk (2 PTS)19
78.6%
15
21.4%
Q1 - 3:32DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup19
81.0%
13
19.0%
Q1 - 3:44UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)19
79.9%
13
20.1%
Q1 - 3:44UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)18
79.6%
13
20.4%
Q1 - 3:51UTARussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
78.6%
13
21.4%
Q1 - 3:56DENMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot17
78.1%
13
21.9%
Q1 - 4:11UTAKirilenko Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)17
76.9%
13
23.1%
Q1 - 4:25UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
75.6%
13
24.4%
Q1 - 4:26DENMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 215
75.4%
13
24.6%
Q1 - 4:26DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
74.4%
13
25.6%
Q1 - 4:26DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
75.3%
12
24.7%
Q1 - 4:26DENMISS Posey Layup15
76.6%
12
23.4%
Q1 - 4:42UTAKirilenko 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)15
75.3%
12
24.7%
Q1 - 5:01DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
74.0%
12
26.0%
Q1 - 5:01DENWilliams Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
74.0%
12
26.0%
Q1 - 5:04DENMISS Cheaney 19' Jump Shot13
76.6%
10
23.4%
Q1 - 5:10DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
75.4%
10
24.6%
Q1 - 5:12UTAMISS Russell 20' Jump Shot13
75.9%
10
24.1%
Q1 - 5:19UTAJazz Rebound13
77.1%
10
22.9%
Q1 - 5:20UTAMISS Malone 18' Fadeaway Jumper13
75.9%
10
24.1%
Q1 - 5:30UTARussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
77.1%
10
22.9%
Q1 - 5:33DENMISS LaFrentz 19' Turnaround Jump Shot13
76.6%
10
23.4%
Q1 - 5:50DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
75.4%
10
24.6%
Q1 - 5:52UTAMISS Collins 14' Jump Shot13
75.9%
10
24.1%
Q1 - 6:05DENJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T2)13
76.8%
10
23.2%
Q1 - 6:23UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)13
75.3%
10
24.7%
Q1 - 6:39DENJohnson Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)10
72.2%
10
27.8%
Q1 - 7:01DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
73.8%
8
26.2%
Q1 - 7:03UTAMISS Malone 20' Jump Shot10
74.3%
8
25.7%
Q1 - 7:18UTAJazz Rebound10
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 7:20DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot10
74.9%
8
25.1%
Q1 - 7:41UTAStockton 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
73.8%
8
26.2%
Q1 - 7:46UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
72.4%
8
27.6%
Q1 - 7:48DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
71.9%
8
28.1%
Q1 - 8:06UTAStockton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)8
71.3%
8
28.7%
Q1 - 8:19UTARussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
69.9%
8
30.1%
Q1 - 8:23UTALaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)6
68.7%
8
31.3%
Q1 - 8:27DENJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
69.9%
8
30.1%
Q1 - 8:38UTAStockton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
68.1%
8
31.9%
Q1 - 8:59DENJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
69.9%
8
30.1%
Q1 - 9:20UTACollins Layup (2 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)6
71.0%
6
29.0%
Q1 - 9:23UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
69.9%
6
30.1%
Q1 - 9:25DENMISS Cheaney 9' Jump Shot4
69.3%
6
30.7%
Q1 - 9:40DENNUGGETS Rebound4
67.9%
6
32.1%
Q1 - 9:42UTAPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)4
68.5%
6
31.5%
Q1 - 10:04DENCheaney 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)4
69.8%
6
30.2%
Q1 - 10:17DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 10:19UTALaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)4
71.7%
4
28.3%
Q1 - 10:36DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 10:36DENLaFrentz Layup (4 PTS)4
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 10:38DENMISS LaFrentz 4' Running Jump Shot4
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 10:59UTAKirilenko Layup (2 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)4
74.1%
2
25.9%
Q1 - 11:14DENLaFrentz 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 11:34UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)2
74.3%
0
25.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Collins: Tip to Malone0
72.8%
0
27.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.17 58.5%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
30
60%
DEN
14
30
47%
Midrange
UTA
14
34
41%
DEN
14
37
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
6
9.0
9
67%
100%
DEN
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
UTA
28
39
72%
DEN
22
25
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko2158%10.5 / 18
S. Padgett2181%10.5 / 13
K. Malone1963%9.5 / 15
B. Russell1359%6.5 / 11
J. Stockton1275%6.0 / 8
J. Starks10100%5.0 / 5
G. Ostertag550%2.5 / 5
J. Collins450%2.0 / 4
R. LaRue425%2.0 / 8
J. Amaechi113%0.5 / 4
D. Stevenson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Johnson1959%9.5 / 16
R. LaFrentz1753%8.5 / 16
V. Lenard1662%8.0 / 13
G. McCloud1454%7.0 / 13
C. Cheaney1260%6.0 / 10
Z. Hamilton880%4.0 / 5
J. Posey433%2.0 / 6
S. Williams440%2.0 / 5
K. Satterfield319%1.5 / 8
T. Abdul-Wahad233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
78
+13
-12
91
DEN
78
+18
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.17 58.5%
DEN
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
99.6
UTA 122.2 +13.4
DEN 108.8
Pace
92.3
92.1
UTA 89.2
DEN 91.8 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.0
UTA 16.1
DEN 15.7 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
45.5%
UTA 56.2% +9.8%
DEN 46.4%
TO %
16.9%
14.9%
UTA 11.7% +0.4%
DEN 12.1%
ORB %
33.5%
30.7%
UTA 29.0%
DEN 34.1% +5.1%
FTrt
38.1
25.6
UTA 53.4 +23.3
DEN 30.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
69.7%
62.3%
UTA 86.8% +41.1%
DEN 45.7%
STL %
9.8%
8.0%
UTA 10.0% +1.2%
DEN 8.8%
BLK %
10.5%
8.6%
UTA 14.9% +2.4%
DEN 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
47.2%
UTA 58.5% +8.0%
DEN 50.5%
Rim FG%
54.8%
55.5%
UTA 60.0% +13.3%
DEN 46.7%
Mid FG%
39.6%
36.9%
UTA 41.2% +3.4%
DEN 37.8%
3P %
33.3%
32.9%
UTA 66.7% +22.9%
DEN 43.8%
FT %
76.3%
74.4%
UTA 71.8%
DEN 88.0% +16.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
33.7%
UTA 41.1% +5.0%
DEN 36.1%
Mid Att. %
45.7%
47.6%
UTA 46.6%
DEN 44.6% +2.0%
3P Att. %
13.2%
18.7%
UTA 12.3%
DEN 19.3% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points11099
Rebounds3837
Assists3316
Steals98
Blocks108
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)22 (4)
Field Goals38-7335-83
At-the-Rim FG18-3014-30
Midrange FG14-3414-37
2-Point FG32-6428-67
3-Point FG6-97-16
Free Throws28-3922-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 259 · 39
36.3
19
63%
2
3
2
1
2
3
0
2
5-6
83%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 31
35.8
13
59%
8
4
0
2
1
3
3
5
6-6
100%
2-8
25%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
31.9
21
58%
4
3
0
6
1
1
2
2
6-8
75%
6-12
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 175 · 40
28.6
12
75%
6
9
2
0
2
2
0
6
6-6
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 249 · 23
12.0
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 26
26.8
21
81%
8
2
0
1
2
2
3
5
1-2
50%
7-10
70%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 190 · 37
25.3
10
100%
3
2
3
0
1
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
18.7
4
25%
0
4
1
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 280 · 29
16.3
5
50%
5
2
1
0
2
4
1
4
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31
7.7
1
13%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
59%
38
33
9
10
12
0
9
29
28-39
72%
32-64
50%
6-9
67%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.