FinalWin Prob.pScore
2930%83
80
2270%89
102
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
84.295100.4
MIA logo MIA
110.99287.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHICurry Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Hoiberg 2 AST)80
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)78
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Gill Reverse Layup78
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHIHoiberg Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHIHoiberg Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot76
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path (3 PTS)76
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHIHouse STEAL (2 STL)76
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:13MIAJames Driving Layup (2 PTS)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26CHICurry 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gill 7 AST)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45CHIGill STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57CHIBagaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17CHICurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17CHICurry 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57CHIBagaric Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57CHIBagaric Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMarks Dunk (2 PTS) (Gill 6 AST)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26CHIStepania STEAL (1 STL)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 1 AST)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 269
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 269
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAStepania 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)69
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20CHIMISS Fizer 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 169
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAGill Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46CHIMISS Hassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:17CHIMISS Guyton 9' Running Hook Shot69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:34CHIGuyton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34CHIGuyton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot67
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)67
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05CHIHoiberg Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)66
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05CHIChandler 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Guyton 1 AST)65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05CHIGuyton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09CHIMISS Guyton Driving Layup63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36CHIMISS Fizer Free Throw 2 of 263
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36CHIMISS Fizer Free Throw 1 of 263
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 7:00MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gill 5 AST)63
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 7:19CHIChandler Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)63
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 7:27CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot63
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 7:55CHIChandler Dunk (10 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)63
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 8:16MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)61
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 8:45CHIFizer 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hoiberg 1 AST)61
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 8:54MIAJackson 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gill 4 AST)59
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 8:59MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 9:01CHIMISS Guyton 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (23 PTS) (House 3 AST)59
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q4 - 9:34CHIFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 9:34CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 9:55MIAHouse 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)57
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q4 - 10:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q4 - 10:07CHIMISS Fizer 17' Jump Shot57
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q4 - 10:17MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)57
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q4 - 10:39CHIGuyton Running Layup (11 PTS)57
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q4 - 10:56MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)55
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 11:08MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot55
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q4 - 11:23CHIHouse STEAL (1 STL)55
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q4 - 11:45MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS)55
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI55
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)55
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0CHIHoiberg 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bagaric 1 AST)55
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 0:12.0CHIBagaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0CHIMISS Fizer 18' Jump Shot52
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)52
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHIMISS Bagaric Free Throw 2 of 252
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHIBagaric Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 1:09MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 251
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 1:24CHIFizer Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)51
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 1:38CHIBulls Rebound51
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot51
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 2:03CHIGuyton Driving Layup (9 PTS)51
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 2:12MIAStrickland Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T11)49
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 2:15CHIJones STEAL (3 STL)49
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 2:26MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 249
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHEAT Rebound49
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q3 - 2:54MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 249
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 3:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)49
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 3:03CHIMISS Bagaric 12' Jump Shot49
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 3:21MIAJones 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 3:42MIAHEAT Rebound49
5.3%
60
94.7%
Q3 - 3:45CHIMISS Guyton 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 4:03CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot49
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 4:29CHIGuyton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)46
4.0%
60
96.0%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 246
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)46
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot46
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 5:09CHIGuyton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 5:09CHIGuyton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q3 - 5:25MIAStrickland 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 6 AST)44
3.7%
59
96.3%
Q3 - 5:40CHIOllie Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)44
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 5:52MIAGill Foul Turnover (P2.T10)44
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 5:56MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 5:58CHIJones BLOCK (1 BLK)44
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 6:07MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q3 - 6:25CHICurry 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Ollie 4 AST)44
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 6:34CHIGuyton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot42
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 6:48CHIHassell Foul Turnover (P4.T11)42
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)42
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q3 - 7:24CHIHassell Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)42
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q3 - 7:43MIAGill Layup (8 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)42
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q3 - 7:49CHIJones STEAL (2 STL)42
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q3 - 8:01MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
6.7%
53
93.3%
Q3 - 8:05CHIMISS Hassell 17' Jump Shot42
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q3 - 8:28MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q3 - 8:48CHIMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot42
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q3 - 9:06MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 5 AST)42
10.3%
51
89.7%
Q3 - 9:20CHIChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)42
11.7%
49
88.3%
Q3 - 9:40CHIBulls Rebound42
13.4%
49
86.6%
Q3 - 9:42CHIMISS Chandler 15' Jump Shot42
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMourning Dunk (20 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)42
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
15.1%
47
84.9%
Q3 - 10:16CHIMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)42
15.7%
47
84.3%
Q3 - 10:41MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)42
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q3 - 10:53MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q3 - 10:55CHIMISS Hassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q3 - 10:59CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q3 - 11:17MIAHEAT Rebound42
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Mourning Layup42
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Grant Driving Layup42
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q3 - 11:40CHIHoiberg Layup (5 PTS) (Hassell 5 AST)42
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI40
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound40
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Bagaric 32' 3PT Jump Shot40
15.7%
45
84.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAStepania Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)40
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 239
18.9%
43
81.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAStrickland 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0CHIHassell Foul Turnover (P1.T7)39
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)39
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 1:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 1:17CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 239
22.4%
41
77.6%
Q2 - 1:17CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
23.7%
41
76.3%
Q2 - 1:25CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS Ellis 10' Jump Shot38
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 1:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 1:47CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 238
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 1:47CHIChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMourning Dunk (18 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)37
19.7%
41
80.3%
Q2 - 2:31CHIOllie Layup (8 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)37
21.9%
39
78.1%
Q2 - 2:42CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot35
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q2 - 2:53CHIMISS Ollie 16' Jump Shot35
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 3:13MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)35
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 3:31MIAHEAT Rebound35
17.8%
39
82.2%
Q2 - 3:32CHIMISS Bagaric 16' Jump Shot35
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 3:54CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot35
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
17.8%
39
82.2%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 4:05MIAHEAT Rebound35
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot35
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 4:20CHIOllie Foul Turnover (P2.T6)35
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 4:26CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup35
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 4:42CHICurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 4:42CHIMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 234
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 4:54CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot34
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 5:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
16.3%
39
83.7%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot34
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 5:20CHIEllis STEAL (2 STL)34
16.3%
39
83.7%
Q2 - 5:36MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)34
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 5:58CHICurry Layup (2 PTS) (Hassell 4 AST)34
19.6%
37
80.4%
Q2 - 6:02CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot32
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 6:23CHIOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 6:23CHIOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)30
15.2%
37
84.8%
Q2 - 7:01MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
16.8%
35
83.2%
Q2 - 7:03CHIMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot30
17.3%
35
82.7%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMourning Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)30
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 7:28MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 7:31CHIMISS Bagaric 6' Jump Shot30
20.5%
33
79.5%
Q2 - 7:49CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot30
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 7:58MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 8:01CHIMISS Bagaric 11' Hook Shot30
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 8:08CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot30
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 8:31CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)30
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 8:31CHIBulls Rebound30
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 8:31CHIMISS Guyton 38' 3PT Jump Shot30
20.5%
33
79.5%
Q2 - 8:45CHIHoiberg Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)30
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMourning Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)29
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 9:17CHIOllie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 9:17CHIOllie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 9:22MIAEllis Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)27
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 9:30CHIMISS Guyton Driving Layup27
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T5)27
23.5%
29
76.5%
Q2 - 10:04CHIGuyton 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)25
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 10:43CHIEllis STEAL (1 STL)25
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)25
23.5%
27
76.5%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
25.2%
25
74.8%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q2 - 11:04CHIMISS Guyton 15' Jump Shot25
25.4%
25
74.6%
Q2 - 11:21MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q2 - 11:38MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.7%
23
71.3%
Q2 - 11:40CHIMISS Fizer Free Throw 2 of 225
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q2 - 11:40CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
30.2%
23
69.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI24
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 55' 3PT Jump Shot24
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHIMISS Hassell Free Throw 1 of 124
27.0%
23
73.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHIHassell Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)22
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Guyton 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS House 11' Jump Shot22
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 1:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 1:15CHIMISS Fizer 12' Jump Shot22
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 1:28MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 222
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q1 - 1:46CHIFizer Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Ollie 3 AST)22
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)20
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q1 - 2:29MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
26.6%
19
73.4%
Q1 - 2:32CHIMISS Guyton 20' Jump Shot20
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 2:49CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot20
27.8%
19
72.2%
Q1 - 3:15CHIFizer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 3:39CHIBulls Rebound17
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 3:40CHIMISS Guyton 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 3:45MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
23.1%
19
76.9%
Q1 - 3:48CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)17
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 217
23.3%
18
76.7%
Q1 - 4:07MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22.6%
18
77.4%
Q1 - 4:09CHIMISS Hoiberg 21' Jump Shot17
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 4:14CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot17
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 4:34CHIChandler Dunk (5 PTS) (Hassell 3 AST)17
22.6%
18
77.4%
Q1 - 4:56MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)15
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 5:16CHIBagaric 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 5:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 5:49CHIMISS Hoiberg 22' Jump Shot13
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 5:54CHIBagaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot13
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 6:13CHIHassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)13
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 6:29MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 210
19.9%
13
80.1%
Q1 - 6:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.7%
13
80.3%
Q1 - 6:43CHIMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot10
20.1%
13
79.9%
Q1 - 7:02MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)10
21.1%
13
78.9%
Q1 - 7:23CHIOllie 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)10
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 7:29MIAJones Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)8
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 7:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 7:34CHIMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)8
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 7:44CHIBagaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot8
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 8:11CHIHoiberg Dunk (2 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)8
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
21.0%
9
79.0%
Q1 - 8:27CHIChandler Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)6
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)4
18.6%
9
81.4%
Q1 - 8:54CHIChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
19.6%
7
80.4%
Q1 - 8:54CHIMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 23
19.2%
7
80.8%
Q1 - 9:01CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot3
19.2%
7
80.8%
Q1 - 9:15CHIHassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
18.2%
7
81.8%
Q1 - 9:38MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)0
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 9:49CHIChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.1%
5
82.9%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMourning 9' Hook Shot (3 PTS)0
18.4%
5
81.6%
Q1 - 10:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
19.4%
3
80.6%
Q1 - 10:19CHIMISS Curry 8' Jump Shot0
19.8%
3
80.2%
Q1 - 10:28MIAGrant 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
20.8%
3
79.2%
Q1 - 10:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
21.8%
1
78.2%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot0
22.9%
1
77.1%
Q1 - 11:00MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.8%
1
78.2%
Q1 - 11:02CHIMISS Curry 15' Jump Shot0
22.3%
1
77.7%
Q1 - 11:19MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
23.1%
1
76.9%
Q1 - 11:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.9%
1
78.1%
Q1 - 11:26CHIMISS Ollie Driving Layup0
22.3%
1
77.7%
Q1 - 11:47CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
1
76.9%
Q1 - 11:49MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 20
23.0%
1
77.0%
Q1 - 11:49MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
22.3%
1
77.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Chandler: Tip to Gill0
23.2%
0
76.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.96 48.2%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
15
20
75%
MIA
16
23
70%
Midrange
CHI
5
27
19%
MIA
25
47
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
CHI
25
37
68%
MIA
11
20
55%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Chandler1359%6.5 / 11
A. Guyton1341%6.5 / 16
E. Curry1260%6.0 / 10
F. Hoiberg1179%5.5 / 7
M. Fizer1045%5.0 / 11
K. Ollie857%4.0 / 7
T. Hassell844%4.0 / 9
D. Bagaric531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2357%11.5 / 20
E. Jones1662%8.0 / 13
E. House1454%7.0 / 13
K. Gill1255%6.0 / 11
J. Jackson1286%6.0 / 7
R. Strickland744%3.5 / 8
B. Grant650%3.0 / 6
V. Stepania563%2.5 / 4
M. James3150%1.5 / 1
L. Ellis225%1.0 / 4
S. Marks250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
76
+6
-19
82
MIA
79
+12
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.96 48.2%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.0
96.1
CHI 84.2 +26.7
MIA 110.9
Pace
92.7
89.7
CHI 100.4 +13.2
MIA 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.7
CHI 14.3 +2.2
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
46.3%
CHI 45.8%
MIA 57.6% +11.8%
TO %
15.3%
15.5%
CHI 20.8%
MIA 13.8% +7.0%
ORB %
26.6%
26.7%
CHI 5.6%
MIA 28.1% +22.5%
FTrt
30.2
26.8
CHI 61.7 +36.4
MIA 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
59.4%
CHI 60.0%
MIA 68.2% +8.2%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
CHI 5.3%
MIA 10.9% +5.6%
BLK %
6.8%
8.7%
CHI 4.3%
MIA 6.4% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.3%
47.7%
CHI 48.2%
MIA 56.0% +7.8%
Rim FG%
54.3%
60.6%
CHI 75.0% +5.4%
MIA 69.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.0%
CHI 18.5%
MIA 53.2% +34.7%
3P %
34.6%
34.7%
CHI 38.5% +5.2%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
72.2%
72.4%
CHI 67.6% +12.6%
MIA 55.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.0%
28.1%
CHI 33.3% +4.2%
MIA 29.1%
Mid Att. %
54.6%
57.8%
CHI 45.0% +14.5%
MIA 59.5%
3P Att. %
13.4%
14.1%
CHI 21.7% +10.3%
MIA 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9592
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points80102
Rebounds2543
Assists1530
Steals510
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (4)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals25-6044-79
At-the-Rim FG15-2016-23
Midrange FG5-2725-47
2-Point FG20-4741-70
3-Point FG5-133-9
Free Throws25-3711-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 210 · 29
45.2
11
79%
8
2
0
0
1
4
0
8
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 195 · 29
40.1
8
57%
4
4
1
0
3
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 227 · 23
30.8
8
44%
5
5
2
0
4
6
0
5
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
C · 7'1" 240 · 19
29.4
13
59%
2
1
0
1
3
2
0
2
5-11
45%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 295 · 19
16.0
12
60%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 290 · 22
28.8
5
31%
4
1
1
1
3
3
1
3
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
27.9
13
41%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
4-4
100%
3-8
38%
1-6
17%
F · 6'9" 262 · 24
21.9
10
45%
0
1
1
0
3
1
0
0
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 260 · 22
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 26
F · 6'9" 210 · 26
F · 6'9" 245 · 38
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
48%
25
15
5
3
19
0
2
23
25-37
68%
20-47
43%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.