for complete access.
All Games Sunday, February 17, 2002
FinalWin Prob.pScore
22
Heat
26%89
80
4
Timberwolves
74%97
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
84.29595.3
MIN logo MIN
98.99494.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN80
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJackson 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MINMISS Avery 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (House 4 AST)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MINMitchell 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garrett 1 AST)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MINMISS Mitchell 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gatling 2 AST)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MINPeeler 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mitchell 1 AST)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAJackson Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (House 3 AST)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MINMISS Szczerbiak 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Gatling 15' Jump Shot68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MINSzczerbiak 9' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMarks Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MINSmith 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45MINMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot64
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAJackson Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)64
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MINNesterovic Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)62
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)62
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MINSmith 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)62
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MINMISS Peeler 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAJames Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T18)62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30MINSmith Traveling Turnover (P5.T17)62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MINMISS Peeler 18' Jump Shot62
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 6:21MIAGatling 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)62
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 6:32MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot60
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MINPeeler Running Layup (6 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)60
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot60
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 7:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 7:48MINGarnett 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 8:02MIALopez STEAL (1 STL)60
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 8:18MIAHeat Rebound60
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 8:18MINMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot60
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 8:23MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot60
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 8:53MINSzczerbiak Layup (19 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)60
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 9:09MINLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS House 10' Jump Shot60
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q4 - 9:21MINSzczerbiak Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)60
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 9:45MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 259
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 10:12MINPeeler 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)59
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 10:34MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)59
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q4 - 10:34MIAJackson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)58
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q4 - 10:40MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 10:42MINMISS Szczerbiak 5' Jump Shot56
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 11:01MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)56
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 11:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot53
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 11:16MINSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)53
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 11:36MIAHeat Rebound53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot53
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound53
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (17 PTS)53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0MINBillups 12' Jump Shot (23 PTS)51
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)51
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q3 - 1:03MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 1:05MINMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot48
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 1:22MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)48
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHeat Rebound45
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q3 - 1:42MINMISS Smith Alley Oop Dunk45
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q3 - 1:45MINWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot45
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q3 - 2:02MINMISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot45
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q3 - 2:23MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)45
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot45
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q3 - 2:51MINWoods 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 6 AST)45
0.4%
70
99.6%
Q3 - 2:59MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot45
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q3 - 3:17MINBillups 14' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)45
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q3 - 3:32MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)45
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot45
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 3:44MINMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot45
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 3:49MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)45
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot45
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 4:08MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 4:09MINMISS Garnett Alley Oop Layup45
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 145
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 4:32MINSzczerbiak 10' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)43
0.7%
66
99.3%
Q3 - 4:43MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
0.8%
64
99.2%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot43
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 5:04MINBillups 20' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)43
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 5:16MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q3 - 5:18MINMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 5:23MINWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot43
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q3 - 5:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 5:44MINMISS Szczerbiak 14' Jump Shot43
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 5:52MIAWoods STEAL (2 STL)43
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 5:56MINMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot43
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 6:05MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot43
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 6:19MINSzczerbiak Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)43
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 6:19MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q3 - 6:24MIAGarnett BLOCK (3 BLK)43
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q3 - 6:42MINBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)43
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 6:42MINMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 243
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 6:45MIAGarnett STEAL (4 STL)43
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 7:01MINGarnett 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Szczerbiak 5 AST)43
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 143
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q3 - 7:20MIAJones Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)43
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q3 - 7:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot41
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q3 - 7:42MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q3 - 7:42MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
3.1%
56
96.9%
Q3 - 8:00MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)41
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot41
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q3 - 8:13MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)41
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q3 - 8:13MINSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)41
4.9%
54
95.1%
Q3 - 8:21MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)41
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q3 - 8:24MIABillups BLOCK (1 BLK)41
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q3 - 8:26MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q3 - 8:47MINBillups Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Szczerbiak 4 AST)41
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q3 - 8:52MIASzczerbiak STEAL (3 STL)41
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q3 - 9:09MINGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T14)41
8.6%
50
91.4%
Q3 - 9:27MIAGill Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q3 - 9:31MINSzczerbiak Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)39
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q3 - 9:48MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)39
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot39
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
6.7%
50
93.3%
Q3 - 10:09MINMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot39
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q3 - 10:18MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q3 - 10:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
6.7%
50
93.3%
Q3 - 10:41MINMISS Garnett 8' Jump Shot39
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q3 - 10:57MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 238
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q3 - 11:01MINSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)38
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMourning 11' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)38
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q3 - 11:42MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q3 - 11:43MINMISS Nesterovic 10' Hook Shot36
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound36
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Gill 29' 3PT Jump Shot36
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0MINBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)36
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)36
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0MINNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)34
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 1:04MIAGrant 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)34
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 1:28MINPeeler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS)32
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 1:50MIAGarnett BLOCK (2 BLK)30
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 2:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 2:11MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot30
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q2 - 2:25MIAGarnett STEAL (3 STL)30
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 2:41MINBillups Layup (14 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)30
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 2:46MIAGarnett STEAL (2 STL)30
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 3:01MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)30
4.5%
46
95.5%
Q2 - 3:01MINSzczerbiak 10' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
5.6%
43
94.4%
Q2 - 3:28MINBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)28
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 3:33MIASzczerbiak STEAL (2 STL)28
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 3:46MINSzczerbiak 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)28
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)28
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
6.5%
41
93.5%
Q2 - 4:12MINMISS Garnett 13' Jump Shot28
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 4:37MIAStrickland 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
5.8%
41
94.2%
Q2 - 4:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
5.2%
41
94.8%
Q2 - 4:45MINMISS Garnett 6' Jump Shot26
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 4:53MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)26
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 5:07MINBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)26
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 5:09MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q2 - 5:11MINMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot26
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 5:30MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q2 - 5:33MINSzczerbiak Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)24
5.9%
38
94.1%
Q2 - 5:33MIAStrickland Backcourt Turnover (P3.T8)24
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 5:44MINLopez 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)24
5.9%
38
94.1%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 124
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMourning 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 6:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 6:16MINMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot22
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 6:31MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)22
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 6:40MINLopez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)22
5.0%
38
95.0%
Q2 - 6:53MINLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
4.6%
38
95.4%
Q2 - 7:09MINBillups Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)22
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 7:19MINBillups 19' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
5.8%
37
94.2%
Q2 - 7:30MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound22
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot22
6.6%
35
93.4%
Q2 - 7:36MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.1%
35
92.9%
Q2 - 7:38MINMISS Nesterovic 11' Jump Shot22
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q2 - 7:54MIANesterovic STEAL (1 STL)22
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 8:09MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 8:15MINLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot22
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 8:40MINBillups 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
7.2%
35
92.8%
Q2 - 8:49MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound22
7.9%
33
92.1%
Q2 - 8:51MINMISS Lopez 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.5%
33
91.5%
Q2 - 9:11MIAWoods STEAL (1 STL)22
8.0%
33
92.0%
Q2 - 9:29MINMitchell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)22
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 9:55MIAHouse 19' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIAHeat Rebound20
9.9%
30
90.1%
Q2 - 10:16MINMISS Woods 5' Jump Shot20
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q2 - 10:30MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q2 - 10:31MINMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q2 - 10:46MIAHouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)20
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q2 - 11:01MINGarnett 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q2 - 11:22MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)20
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q2 - 11:44MINGarnett 20' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
9.0%
28
91.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MINMISS Mitchell 10' Jump Shot17
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0MINLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot17
10.2%
26
89.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0MINLopez Layup (2 PTS)17
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0MINLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MINMISS Lopez Layup17
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q1 - 1:08MINWoods Foul Turnover (P1.T5)17
12.7%
24
87.3%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
11.7%
24
88.3%
Q1 - 1:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 1:32MINMISS Woods 8' Jump Shot15
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q1 - 1:41MIASzczerbiak STEAL (1 STL)15
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 2:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 2:02MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot15
10.6%
24
89.4%
Q1 - 2:23MIAStepania 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)15
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 2:39MINSzczerbiak 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)13
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 2:49MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS Ellis 13' Jump Shot13
10.3%
22
89.7%
Q1 - 3:13MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 3:15MINMISS Szczerbiak 8' Jump Shot13
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 3:34MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)13
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 3:45MINSzczerbiak Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)10
8.7%
22
91.3%
Q1 - 3:54MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 3:54MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
7.7%
22
92.3%
Q1 - 3:54MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
7.4%
22
92.6%
Q1 - 3:56MIANesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)8
6.9%
22
93.1%
Q1 - 4:18MINGarnett 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)8
7.4%
22
92.6%
Q1 - 4:36MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
7.9%
20
92.1%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot8
8.2%
20
91.8%
Q1 - 4:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot8
8.2%
20
91.8%
Q1 - 5:05MINNesterovic Layup (6 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)8
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 5:22MIAStepania 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 5:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
8.9%
18
91.1%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Ellis 7' Jump Shot6
8.4%
18
91.6%
Q1 - 5:57MINSzczerbiak 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)6
8.9%
18
91.1%
Q1 - 6:10MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
9.7%
16
90.3%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot6
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 6:34MINSmith 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 6:50MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 7:07MINSzczerbiak Foul Turnover (P1.T3)4
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
10.0%
14
90.0%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot4
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 7:33MINBillups Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 7:35MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)4
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 7:43MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 7:43MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
12.5%
11
87.5%
Q1 - 7:48MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Jones Layup4
13.4%
10
86.6%
Q1 - 7:59MINSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
14.1%
10
85.9%
Q1 - 8:07MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Mourning 11' Jump Shot4
13.3%
10
86.7%
Q1 - 8:30MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 8:30MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 8:37MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
14.8%
8
85.2%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 8:59MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 8:59MINNesterovic Tip Shot (4 PTS)4
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 9:03MINMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot4
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 9:18MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot4
17.0%
6
83.0%
Q1 - 9:46MINNesterovic Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)4
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 10:00MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Grant 7' Jump Shot4
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 10:17MINBillups 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMourning Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 10:59MINGarnett 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 11:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:21MIAJones Layup (2 PTS)2
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Strickland Layup0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 11:27MINSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 11:35MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Garnett vs. Mourning: Tip to Gill0
19.9%
0
80.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.5%
MIN
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
22
68%
MIN
12
17
71%
Midrange
MIA
10
39
26%
MIN
26
49
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
MIN
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
Free Throws
MIA
9
14
64%
MIN
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1747%8.5 / 18
J. Jackson1365%6.5 / 10
E. House1255%6.0 / 11
A. Mourning1050%5.0 / 10
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
R. Strickland638%3.0 / 8
V. Stepania660%3.0 / 5
K. Gill319%1.5 / 8
M. James338%1.5 / 4
C. Gatling233%1.0 / 3
S. Marks2100%1.0 / 1
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2364%11.5 / 18
W. Szczerbiak2261%11.0 / 18
K. Garnett1243%6.0 / 14
J. Smith1155%5.5 / 10
R. Nesterovic867%4.0 / 6
A. Peeler867%4.0 / 6
S. Mitchell563%2.5 / 4
F. Lopez233%1.0 / 3
L. Woods233%1.0 / 3
W. Avery0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+15
-18
92
MIN
77
+8
-17
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.5%
MIN
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
106.6
MIA 84.2
MIN 98.9 +14.7
Pace
89.7
92.8
MIA 95.3 +0.9
MIN 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.4
MIA 15.1 +0.1
MIN 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
49.0%
MIA 44.4%
MIN 53.9% +9.5%
TO %
15.5%
14.0%
MIA 18.1%
MIN 17.3% +0.8%
ORB %
26.7%
31.3%
MIA 28.3% +8.9%
MIN 19.4%
FTrt
26.8
25.5
MIA 17.5 +1.7
MIN 15.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
62.8%
MIA 68.8% +6.3%
MIN 62.5%
STL %
7.4%
6.9%
MIA 8.4%
MIN 11.7% +3.3%
BLK %
8.7%
8.0%
MIA 3.0%
MIN 8.2% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
50.9%
MIA 43.5%
MIN 54.7% +11.2%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.4%
MIA 68.2%
MIN 70.6% +2.4%
Mid FG%
38.0%
42.1%
MIA 25.6%
MIN 53.1% +27.5%
3P %
34.7%
37.8%
MIA 36.8% +16.8%
MIN 20.0%
FT %
72.4%
79.8%
MIA 64.3%
MIN 91.7% +27.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
26.8%
MIA 27.5% +5.1%
MIN 22.4%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
58.0%
MIA 48.8% +15.7%
MIN 64.5%
3P Att. %
14.1%
15.2%
MIA 23.8% +10.6%
MIN 13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIN
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.923.9
Points8093
Rebounds3839
Assists2225
Steals811
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)33 (3)
Field Goals32-8040-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2212-17
Midrange FG10-3926-49
2-Point FG25-6138-66
3-Point FG7-192-10
Free Throws9-1411-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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22 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
37.3
17
47%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-3
67%
3-9
33%
3-7
43%
Brian Grant
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
29.6
6
43%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
25.9
10
50%
6
1
0
0
4
2
2
4
0-2
0%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
23.3
6
38%
0
5
2
0
4
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
15.9
3
19%
2
0
3
0
2
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
27.5
13
65%
4
2
1
0
1
2
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
21.7
12
55%
5
4
0
1
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
18.3
6
60%
4
1
1
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34
13.7
2
33%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
11.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
10.6
3
38%
1
3
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
5.0
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
44%
38
22
8
2
18
0
13
25
9-14
64%
25-61
41%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.