FinalWin Prob.pScore
2030%90
90
970%96
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.89887.2
MIL logo MIL
91.79688.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
OT1 - 0:00.0MIL90
100%
88
0%
OT1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound90
95.4%
88
4.6%
OT1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot90
99.0%
88
1.0%
OT1 - 0:07.0MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)90
78.6%
88
21.4%
OT1 - 0:13.0MILThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)88
55.6%
88
44.4%
OT1 - 0:18.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
27.3%
88
72.7%
OT1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Jackson Layup88
34.9%
88
65.1%
OT1 - 0:36.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
51.0%
88
49.0%
OT1 - 0:38.0MILMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
42.7%
88
57.3%
OT1 - 0:52.0MIAThomas STEAL (2 STL)88
31.1%
88
68.9%
OT1 - 0:54.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
47.8%
88
52.2%
OT1 - 0:57.0MILMISS Mason Layup88
42.1%
88
57.9%
OT1 - 1:18MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)88
29.8%
88
70.2%
OT1 - 1:27MIAHeat Rebound86
21.2%
88
78.8%
OT1 - 1:29MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot86
18.3%
88
81.7%
OT1 - 1:39MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
13.6%
88
86.4%
OT1 - 1:41MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot86
15.9%
88
84.1%
OT1 - 2:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
23.2%
88
76.8%
OT1 - 2:04MILMISS Thomas Layup86
19.9%
88
80.1%
OT1 - 2:20MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)86
13.5%
88
86.5%
OT1 - 2:22MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
16.0%
88
84.0%
OT1 - 2:38MILAllen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)86
23.7%
88
76.3%
OT1 - 2:55MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)86
38.9%
85
61.1%
OT1 - 3:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
53.6%
85
46.4%
OT1 - 3:10MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot86
49.0%
85
51.0%
OT1 - 3:29MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 3 AST)86
38.2%
85
61.8%
OT1 - 3:51MILRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
31.3%
85
68.7%
OT1 - 3:51MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 284
32.5%
84
67.5%
OT1 - 4:03MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)84
30.9%
84
69.1%
OT1 - 4:23MILAllen 14' Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
23.8%
84
76.2%
OT1 - 4:37MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
30.9%
82
69.1%
OT1 - 4:38MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot82
33.6%
82
66.4%
OT1 - 5:00MILJump Ball Johnson vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland82
40.2%
82
59.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)79
12.7%
80
87.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
31.0%
80
69.0%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
39.0%
79
61.0%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)79
46.1%
78
53.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
62.7%
78
37.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
46.5%
78
53.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)78
44.2%
78
55.8%
Q4 - 1:11MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)77
31.8%
78
68.2%
Q4 - 1:11MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)77
33.3%
77
66.7%
Q4 - 1:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
42.8%
76
57.2%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot77
47.4%
76
52.6%
Q4 - 1:42MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)77
55.2%
76
44.8%
Q4 - 1:51MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)77
41.8%
76
58.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Jackson Layup77
45.7%
76
54.3%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
55.6%
76
44.4%
Q4 - 2:15MILMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot77
50.5%
76
49.5%
Q4 - 2:33MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)77
38.6%
76
61.4%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot77
43.7%
76
56.3%
Q4 - 2:51MILJohnson 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
53.2%
76
46.8%
Q4 - 2:54MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)77
60.0%
74
40.0%
Q4 - 2:56MILMISS Johnson Layup77
69.3%
74
30.7%
Q4 - 2:58MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
59.9%
74
40.1%
Q4 - 3:01MILMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot77
69.3%
74
30.7%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)77
59.5%
74
40.5%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
58.1%
74
41.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
49.0%
74
51.0%
Q4 - 3:49MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 275
47.7%
74
52.3%
Q4 - 3:49MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)75
41.1%
74
58.9%
Q4 - 4:04MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
48.7%
73
51.3%
Q4 - 4:06MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot75
55.6%
73
44.4%
Q4 - 4:21MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
48.8%
73
51.2%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot75
51.9%
73
48.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
58.9%
73
41.1%
Q4 - 4:42MILMISS Robinson 8' Jump Shot75
55.9%
73
44.1%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMourning Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)75
45.9%
73
54.1%
Q4 - 5:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
38.2%
73
61.8%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot73
32.6%
73
67.4%
Q4 - 5:35MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)73
38.3%
73
61.7%
Q4 - 5:54MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
30.4%
73
69.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot73
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q4 - 6:09MIAJones Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)73
37.1%
73
62.9%
Q4 - 6:27MILHam Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)72
30.3%
73
69.7%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)72
36.1%
71
63.9%
Q4 - 6:58MILThomas Foul Turnover (P3.T12)72
44.5%
71
55.5%
Q4 - 7:14MIAJackson Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)72
35.5%
71
64.5%
Q4 - 7:18MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)70
30.2%
71
69.8%
Q4 - 7:27MILBUCKS Rebound70
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q4 - 7:28MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
28.2%
71
71.8%
Q4 - 7:35MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot70
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q4 - 7:45MILAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)70
30.2%
71
69.8%
Q4 - 7:48MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS House 11' Jump Shot70
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q4 - 8:08MILRedd Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)70
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q4 - 8:28MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)70
35.4%
69
64.6%
Q4 - 8:40MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
24.8%
69
75.2%
Q4 - 8:42MILMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot67
23.4%
69
76.6%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMason STEAL (2 STL)67
20.3%
69
79.7%
Q4 - 9:02MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
24.9%
69
75.1%
Q4 - 9:04MILMISS Mason 3' Layup67
23.5%
69
76.5%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)67
20.5%
69
79.5%
Q4 - 9:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
24.9%
69
75.1%
Q4 - 9:28MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot67
23.5%
69
76.5%
Q4 - 9:47MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
20.5%
69
79.5%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 266
20.0%
69
80.0%
Q4 - 9:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
20.7%
69
79.3%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot66
18.0%
69
82.0%
Q4 - 10:11MILAllen 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)66
21.1%
69
78.9%
Q4 - 10:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
29.3%
66
70.7%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Ellis 7' Jump Shot66
30.9%
66
69.1%
Q4 - 10:37MILHam Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)66
34.7%
66
65.3%
Q4 - 10:51MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)66
39.6%
64
60.4%
Q4 - 11:13MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
44.9%
64
55.1%
Q4 - 11:13MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
45.6%
63
54.4%
Q4 - 11:30MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
50.1%
62
49.9%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Gill 13' Jump Shot66
51.8%
62
48.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL66
55.8%
62
44.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound66
50.1%
62
49.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Thomas 72' 3PT Jump Shot66
54.0%
62
46.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
48.8%
62
51.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot66
50.3%
62
49.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
54.0%
62
46.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Gill 14' Jump Shot66
50.4%
62
49.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T9)66
54.0%
62
46.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
48.9%
62
51.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot66
50.5%
62
49.5%
Q3 - 1:08MILThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)66
52.4%
62
47.6%
Q3 - 1:27MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
61.8%
59
38.2%
Q3 - 1:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
57.3%
59
42.7%
Q3 - 1:35MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot64
55.8%
59
44.2%
Q3 - 1:53MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)64
52.4%
59
47.6%
Q3 - 2:09MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T8)62
46.1%
59
53.9%
Q3 - 2:12MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
41.1%
59
58.9%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot62
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q3 - 2:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
46.1%
59
53.9%
Q3 - 2:31MILMISS Allen 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
44.6%
59
55.4%
Q3 - 2:55MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)62
41.2%
59
58.8%
Q3 - 3:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
36.8%
59
63.2%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot60
33.8%
59
66.2%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
36.8%
59
63.2%
Q3 - 3:27MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 260
36.2%
59
63.8%
Q3 - 3:27MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
33.8%
59
66.2%
Q3 - 3:32MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
36.6%
58
63.4%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot60
37.9%
58
62.1%
Q3 - 4:00MILMason Layup (4 PTS)60
41.1%
58
58.9%
Q3 - 4:01MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
43.7%
56
56.3%
Q3 - 4:03MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
47.1%
56
52.9%
Q3 - 4:19MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
43.8%
56
56.2%
Q3 - 4:21MILMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot60
47.2%
56
52.8%
Q3 - 4:27MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
43.8%
56
56.2%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot60
45.3%
56
54.7%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
48.8%
56
51.2%
Q3 - 4:41MILMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot60
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)60
43.9%
56
56.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
47.7%
56
52.3%
Q3 - 5:06MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
43.3%
56
56.7%
Q3 - 5:06MILMISS Robinson Tip Shot60
46.4%
56
53.6%
Q3 - 5:07MILMISS Johnson Layup60
46.4%
56
53.6%
Q3 - 5:26MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
43.3%
56
56.7%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 260
43.9%
56
56.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
46.8%
56
53.2%
Q3 - 5:35MILAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)59
43.6%
56
56.4%
Q3 - 5:51MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
51.6%
53
48.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)59
53.0%
53
47.0%
Q3 - 6:11MILAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Alston 10 AST)59
54.5%
53
45.5%
Q3 - 6:30MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
62.1%
50
37.9%
Q3 - 6:30MIAJones 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)58
58.3%
50
41.7%
Q3 - 6:41MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
54.6%
50
45.4%
Q3 - 6:43MILMISS Alston Layup56
53.3%
50
46.7%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 255
49.2%
50
50.8%
Q3 - 7:20MILAllen 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
49.6%
50
50.4%
Q3 - 7:46MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
53.0%
48
47.0%
Q3 - 7:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
49.7%
48
50.3%
Q3 - 7:53MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
45.2%
48
54.8%
Q3 - 7:53MILMISS Johnson Tip Shot53
48.3%
48
51.7%
Q3 - 7:54MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot53
48.3%
48
51.7%
Q3 - 8:10MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
44.7%
48
55.3%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot53
46.0%
48
54.0%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
49.0%
48
51.0%
Q3 - 8:35MILMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot53
47.7%
48
52.3%
Q3 - 8:49MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
44.7%
48
55.3%
Q3 - 9:09MILAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)51
40.1%
48
59.9%
Q3 - 9:24MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot51
37.7%
48
62.3%
Q3 - 9:38MIAHeat Rebound51
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q3 - 9:39MILMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot51
39.1%
48
60.9%
Q3 - 9:54MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q3 - 9:54MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
35.7%
48
64.3%
Q3 - 10:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
32.9%
48
67.1%
Q3 - 10:07MILMISS Mason Layup49
31.8%
48
68.2%
Q3 - 10:14MIARobinson STEAL (2 STL)49
29.5%
48
70.5%
Q3 - 10:29MILAllen 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
32.9%
48
67.1%
Q3 - 10:47MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
35.7%
46
64.3%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot49
36.9%
46
63.1%
Q3 - 11:06MIAHeat Rebound49
38.5%
46
61.5%
Q3 - 11:08MILMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot49
37.4%
46
62.6%
Q3 - 11:31MIAJones Layup (4 PTS)49
35.2%
46
64.8%
Q3 - 11:47MILAllen 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
32.2%
46
67.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL47
35.2%
44
64.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound47
35.2%
44
64.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Allen 70' 3PT Jump Shot47
37.5%
44
62.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
35.4%
44
64.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Strickland Layup45
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAHeat Rebound45
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot45
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Jackson Layup45
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T6)45
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 1:00MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot45
30.2%
44
69.8%
Q2 - 1:17MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)45
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 1:35MIAGrant 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
29.7%
44
70.3%
Q2 - 1:47MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)43
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q2 - 2:10MIAJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)43
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 2:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 2:26MILMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 2:42MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)41
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 2:42MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)40
18.0%
44
82.0%
Q2 - 2:57MIAHeat Rebound38
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 2:57MILMISS Mason Layup38
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 3:16MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot38
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 3:36MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)38
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 3:52MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 3:52MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 4:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 4:03MILMISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot36
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 4:20MIAEllis 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)36
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 4:30MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 4:31MILMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot34
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 4:40MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
12.2%
42
87.8%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 4:53MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot34
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 5:09MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 5:11MILMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 5:16MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
12.2%
42
87.8%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot34
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 5:34MILHam Foul Turnover (P1.T3)34
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 5:53MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)34
12.2%
42
87.8%
Q2 - 6:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 6:12MILMISS Thomas Layup31
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 6:17MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS House 9' Jump Shot31
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q2 - 6:32MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 6:35MILMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot31
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 6:48MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)31
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 7:06MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
8.1%
42
91.9%
Q2 - 7:07MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot28
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
7.1%
42
92.9%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Gatling 12' Jump Shot26
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 7:34MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 7:35MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)26
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 7:36MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Gatling Layup26
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 7:51MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)26
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 8:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
7.4%
40
92.6%
Q2 - 8:14MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 8:46MILThomas 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)26
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 8:56MILBUCKS Rebound26
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 8:58MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot26
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 9:14MIAStepania 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 9:31MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot24
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 9:53MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 10:11MILRobinson 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)21
6.5%
38
93.5%
Q2 - 10:18MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
7.1%
36
92.9%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot21
7.3%
36
92.7%
Q2 - 10:32MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 10:32MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
8.0%
35
92.0%
Q2 - 10:51MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot21
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Mason Layup21
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)21
8.6%
34
91.4%
Q2 - 11:46MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q2 - 11:46MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
8.6%
32
91.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)19
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)19
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILRobinson 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)17
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)17
10.5%
28
89.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILThomas Layup (2 PTS)17
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q1 - 1:10MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q1 - 1:28MILAllen 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)15
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q1 - 1:40MILBUCKS Rebound15
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 1:42MILMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot15
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 2:01MILBUCKS Rebound15
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot15
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q1 - 2:19MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 115
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 2:19MILRobinson 5' Running Layup (15 PTS)15
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 2:33MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot15
15.0%
22
85.0%
Q1 - 2:43MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
15.8%
22
84.2%
Q1 - 2:45MILMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot15
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 2:56MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)15
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 3:18MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)15
16.1%
22
83.9%
Q1 - 3:37MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)15
17.2%
20
82.8%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 3:51MILMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 3:57MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 4:16MILRobinson 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)13
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 4:22MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 4:24MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (4 BLK)13
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 4:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 4:38MILMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
18.1%
18
81.9%
Q1 - 4:57MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 213
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Gill 13' Jump Shot12
16.3%
18
83.7%
Q1 - 5:03MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)12
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 5:05MIAPrzybilla STEAL (1 STL)12
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 5:26MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)12
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 5:43MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot12
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 6:05MILPrzybilla 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)12
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 6:25MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)12
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 6:44MIAHeat Rebound10
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 6:45MILMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot10
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#2)10
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 7:12MILRobinson 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)10
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 7:42MIAHeat Rebound10
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot10
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 7:46MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 7:48MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Strickland Layup10
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Strickland Layup10
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 8:02MILAllen 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 8:04MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 8:07MILMISS Mason 14' Jump Shot10
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 8:14MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 8:18MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (3 BLK)10
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 8:35MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 8:35MILRobinson Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)10
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)10
27.8%
7
72.2%
Q1 - 9:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.4%
7
73.6%
Q1 - 9:10MILMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot8
25.8%
7
74.2%
Q1 - 9:31MIAGill Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 9:34MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 9:36MILMISS Alston Layup6
23.0%
7
77.0%
Q1 - 9:54MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 10:09MILAllen Layup (5 PTS)4
20.8%
7
79.2%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
21.9%
5
78.1%
Q1 - 10:32MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)2
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAGill 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)2
21.9%
3
78.1%
Q1 - 11:07MILAllen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
20.7%
3
79.3%
Q1 - 11:19MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.3%
0
76.7%
Q1 - 11:21MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (2 BLK)0
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 11:35MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 11:40MILAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.3%
0
76.7%
Q1 - 11:42MIAPrzybilla BLOCK (1 BLK)0
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Przybilla vs. Mourning: Tip to Gill0
24.5%
0
75.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.1%
MIL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
20
45%
MIL
9
25
36%
Midrange
MIA
20
56
36%
MIL
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
MIL
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2252%11.0 / 21
B. Grant2162%10.5 / 17
A. Mourning1447%7.0 / 15
K. Gill1050%5.0 / 10
L. Ellis867%4.0 / 6
J. Jackson735%3.5 / 10
R. Strickland315%1.5 / 10
E. House330%1.5 / 5
V. Stepania250%1.0 / 2
C. Gatling0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen3063%15.0 / 24
G. Robinson2542%12.5 / 30
T. Thomas1155%5.5 / 10
A. Mason523%2.5 / 11
E. Johnson433%2.0 / 6
M. Redd440%2.0 / 5
D. Ham4100%2.0 / 2
R. Alston325%1.5 / 6
J. Przybilla2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+17
-13
102
MIL
81
+15
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.1%
MIL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
104.4
MIA 91.8 +0.2
MIL 91.7
Pace
89.7
92.5
MIA 87.2
MIL 88.6 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.4
MIA 16.5
MIL 16.3 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.7%
MIA 41.5%
MIL 42.9% +1.4%
TO %
15.5%
14.5%
MIA 13.4% +0.5%
MIL 13.9%
ORB %
26.7%
25.6%
MIA 28.3% +7.4%
MIL 20.9%
FTrt
26.8
26.9
MIA 23.9 +0.1
MIL 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.7%
MIA 76.5% +9.8%
MIL 66.7%
STL %
7.4%
7.8%
MIA 12.2% +2.8%
MIL 9.4%
BLK %
8.7%
7.1%
MIA 7.6%
MIL 7.9% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.7%
MIA 44.1%
MIL 44.4% +0.3%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.1%
MIA 45.0% +9.0%
MIL 36.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
45.1%
MIA 35.7%
MIL 43.9% +8.2%
3P %
34.7%
37.5%
MIA 41.7% +8.4%
MIL 33.3%
FT %
72.4%
74.8%
MIA 81.0% +1.0%
MIL 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
27.2%
MIA 22.7%
MIL 29.8% +7.0%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
48.8%
MIA 63.6%
MIL 48.8% +14.8%
3P Att. %
14.1%
24.1%
MIA 13.6%
MIL 21.4% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes27.026.0
Points9088
Rebounds4947
Assists2622
Steals129
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)38 (1)
Field Goals34-8833-84
At-the-Rim FG9-209-25
Midrange FG20-5618-41
2-Point FG29-7627-66
3-Point FG5-126-18
Free Throws17-2116-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
44.6
22
52%
6
4
7
1
2
3
2
4
7-8
88%
6-11
55%
1-6
17%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
42.1
14
47%
8
3
0
2
2
4
2
6
4-6
67%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
38.0
3
15%
6
9
0
0
2
3
3
3
1-2
50%
1-9
11%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
35.3
21
62%
13
1
0
1
4
2
3
10
3-3
100%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
24.4
10
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
32.1
7
35%
7
5
2
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-9
22%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
25.8
8
67%
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
15.0
3
30%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
5.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
2.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
90
44%
49
26
12
5
13
0
15
34
17-21
81%
29-76
38%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.