FinalWin Prob.pScore
2612%93
99
288%108
98
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.28990.6
MIN logo MIN
111.48886.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN99
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound99
94.4%
98
5.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot99
96.8%
98
3.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENLaFrentz Layup (30 PTS) (Lenard 4 AST)99
85.9%
98
14.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MINSzczerbiak 7' Running Hook Shot (18 PTS)97
23.1%
98
76.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENLaFrentz Driving Layup (28 PTS) (Johnson 16 AST)97
35.3%
96
64.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
23.1%
96
76.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot95
19.1%
96
80.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
13.0%
96
87.0%
Q4 - 1:01DENMISS Lenard 16' Jump Shot95
15.6%
96
84.4%
Q4 - 1:21DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
21.4%
96
78.6%
Q4 - 1:23MINMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot95
18.2%
96
81.8%
Q4 - 1:31MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
12.3%
96
87.7%
Q4 - 1:33DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot95
14.6%
96
85.4%
Q4 - 1:52DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
20.4%
96
79.6%
Q4 - 1:52MINMISS Lopez Tip Shot95
18.0%
96
82.0%
Q4 - 1:52MINLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
13.3%
96
86.7%
Q4 - 1:53MINMISS Peeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
18.0%
96
82.0%
Q4 - 2:11MINLopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
12.0%
96
88.0%
Q4 - 2:13DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 295
12.9%
96
87.1%
Q4 - 2:13DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)95
16.5%
96
83.5%
Q4 - 2:45MINPeeler 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Szczerbiak 6 AST)94
14.1%
96
85.9%
Q4 - 2:59DENPosey Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)94
18.6%
94
81.4%
Q4 - 3:16MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
14.7%
94
85.3%
Q4 - 3:16MINMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 292
15.6%
93
84.4%
Q4 - 3:21MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)92
12.6%
93
87.4%
Q4 - 3:22DENMISS Johnson Layup92
14.8%
93
85.2%
Q4 - 3:35DENNuggets Rebound92
19.6%
93
80.4%
Q4 - 3:37MINMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
17.8%
93
82.2%
Q4 - 4:00DENMcCloud Layup (9 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)92
14.3%
93
85.7%
Q4 - 4:03DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
10.5%
93
89.5%
Q4 - 4:05MINMISS Peeler 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
9.4%
93
90.6%
Q4 - 4:21MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 4:24DENMISS Lenard 13' Jump Shot90
8.1%
93
91.9%
Q4 - 4:42MINPeeler Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
10.4%
93
89.6%
Q4 - 4:42MINPeeler Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)90
10.8%
92
89.2%
Q4 - 4:45MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
14.3%
91
85.7%
Q4 - 4:47DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot90
15.9%
91
84.1%
Q4 - 4:57DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
20.0%
91
80.0%
Q4 - 4:59MINMISS Garnett 10' Hook Shot90
18.1%
91
81.9%
Q4 - 5:10DENLenard Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 15 AST)90
13.9%
91
86.1%
Q4 - 5:25DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
10.5%
91
89.5%
Q4 - 5:26MINMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 288
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q4 - 5:26MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
8.1%
91
91.9%
Q4 - 5:26MINSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
10.4%
90
89.6%
Q4 - 5:28MINMISS Lopez Layup88
12.9%
90
87.1%
Q4 - 5:35MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
10.4%
90
89.6%
Q4 - 5:37DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 19' Jump Shot88
11.4%
90
88.6%
Q4 - 6:02MINPeeler 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
13.7%
90
86.3%
Q4 - 6:23MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)88
17.1%
88
82.9%
Q4 - 6:26DENMISS McCloud 22' Jump Shot88
18.7%
88
81.3%
Q4 - 6:31DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
22.7%
88
77.3%
Q4 - 6:33MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
20.9%
88
79.1%
Q4 - 6:44DENAbdul-Wahad Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)88
17.2%
88
82.8%
Q4 - 6:49DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
13.8%
88
86.2%
Q4 - 6:52MINMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot86
12.6%
88
87.4%
Q4 - 7:06DENLenard Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 14 AST)86
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 7:23DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
8.3%
88
91.7%
Q4 - 7:26MINMISS Lopez 21' Jump Shot84
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 7:42MINLopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q4 - 7:44DENBillups BLOCK (3 BLK)84
6.8%
88
93.2%
Q4 - 8:11MINGarnett 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)84
8.7%
88
91.3%
Q4 - 8:34DENSatterfield Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)84
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 8:52MINPeeler 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lopez 3 AST)84
13.7%
86
86.3%
Q4 - 9:09DENMcCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Satterfield 4 AST)84
16.3%
84
83.7%
Q4 - 9:15DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
10.9%
84
89.1%
Q4 - 9:17MINMISS Peeler 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
10.2%
84
89.8%
Q4 - 9:33DENHamilton Layup (7 PTS)81
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 9:35DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 9:36DENMISS Satterfield 19' Jump Shot79
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 9:57DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 9:59MINMISS Lopez 18' Jump Shot79
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q4 - 10:18MINMitchell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 10:21DENMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 279
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 10:21DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 10:42MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q4 - 10:42MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 278
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 10:43MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)78
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q4 - 10:48DENMISS McCloud 16' Jump Shot78
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 11:18MINLopez Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Mitchell 3 AST)78
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 11:39MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound78
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q4 - 11:39MINMISS Lopez 7' Jump Shot78
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN78
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
11.5%
81
88.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot78
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENMISS Cheaney 20' Jump Shot78
10.0%
81
90.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0MINBillups 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENJohnson Driving Layup (17 PTS)78
13.7%
79
86.3%
Q3 - 1:00MINGarnett 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)76
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 1:15DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Johnson 13 AST)76
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 1:28DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q3 - 1:30MINMISS Nesterovic 7' Hook Shot73
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 1:45DENPosey 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 12 AST)73
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 1:46DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 1:49DENBillups BLOCK (2 BLK)70
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 2:18MINSzczerbiak Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)70
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 2:24DENJohnson Running Layup (15 PTS)70
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q3 - 2:46DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q3 - 2:47MINMISS Garnett 7' Jump Shot68
5.3%
75
94.7%
Q3 - 2:48MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)68
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 2:49MINMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 268
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 2:49MINNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 2:49MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound68
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q3 - 2:50DENBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)68
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 3:01MINNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)68
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 3:20MINBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 3:21MINMISS Peeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 3:25MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 3:28DENMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot68
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 3:38DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 3:39MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 4:05DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)68
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 4:17MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 4:17MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 4:24DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 4:24DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 4:31DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 4:33MINMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 4:48DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)63
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 5:03MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 5:03MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 260
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 5:10MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)60
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 5:12DENMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot60
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 5:24DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 5:26MINMISS Garnett 8' Jump Shot60
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 5:46DENJohnson 7' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)60
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 6:12MINSzczerbiak 19' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)58
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 6:29DENPosey 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)58
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 6:50MINPeeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)55
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 7:05DENPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)55
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 7:23MINGarnett 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Szczerbiak 5 AST)52
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 7:50DENLaFrentz 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)52
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 8:12MINGarnett 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 8:31MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot50
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 8:54MINPeeler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)50
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 8:57MINBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 9:00DENMISS Posey 21' Jump Shot50
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 9:15MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 9:15MINMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 250
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 9:27MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)50
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 9:28MINMISS Garnett 8' Jump Shot50
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q3 - 9:32MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 9:33MINMISS Peeler Free Throw 2 of 250
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 9:33MINPeeler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 9:49DENPosey 16' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)50
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q3 - 10:11DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 10:13MINMISS Peeler 18' Jump Shot48
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q3 - 10:19MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 10:20DENMISS Cheaney 22' Jump Shot48
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 10:37MINGarnett Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Szczerbiak 4 AST)48
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 10:55DENLaFrentz 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)48
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q3 - 11:08DENNuggets Rebound46
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 11:09MINMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot46
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 11:24DENCheaney 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)46
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q3 - 11:38MINPeeler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
2.3%
58
97.7%
Q3 - 11:43MINBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q3 - 11:47DENMISS LaFrentz 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN44
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound44
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lenard 33' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MINMitchell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)44
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 244
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MINLopez 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)43
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 143
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENHamilton Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)43
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 1:11MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)41
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 1:11MINSmith Tip Shot (4 PTS)41
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 1:14MINMISS Peeler 19' Jump Shot41
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 1:30DENJohnson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)41
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 1:39DENMISS Lenard Free Throw Technical39
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 1:56DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 1:58MINMISS Szczerbiak 21' Jump Shot39
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 2:02MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound39
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 2:03MINMISS Szczerbiak 6' Jump Shot39
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 2:13MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 2:14DENMISS Bowen Layup39
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 2:16DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 2:18DENLopez BLOCK (1 BLK)39
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 2:25MINGarnett 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)39
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q2 - 2:42MINSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 2:45MINMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot39
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 2:54MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 2:56DENMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot39
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 3:09DENNuggets Rebound39
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 3:10DENMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot39
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 3:38MINLopez Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 6 AST)39
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 3:48DENLenard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 4:08DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 4:10MINMISS Nesterovic Layup37
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 4:11MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 4:13MINMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Shot37
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 4:29DENHamilton Layup (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)37
5.5%
44
94.5%
Q2 - 4:33DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 4:34DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 4:41DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 4:43MINMISS Peeler 19' Jump Shot35
4.8%
44
95.2%
Q2 - 5:03MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
4.4%
44
95.6%
Q2 - 5:05DENMISS Bowen 6' Jump Shot35
4.5%
44
95.5%
Q2 - 5:42MINPeeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)35
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 5:46MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
6.1%
41
93.9%
Q2 - 5:47MINMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot35
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 6:06DENNesterovic STEAL (2 STL)35
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 6:11DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 6:12DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 6:31DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 6:34MINMISS Mitchell 21' Jump Shot35
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 6:40MINLopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 6:41DENMISS Lenard 15' Jump Shot35
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 7:07MINMitchell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)35
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 7:27MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 7:29DENMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot35
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 7:53MINLopez Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 7:58DENNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)35
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 8:04MINGarnett Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Mitchell 2 AST)35
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 8:17DENBowen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Satterfield 3 AST)35
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 8:36MINPeeler Layup (6 PTS)33
11.1%
34
88.9%
Q2 - 8:51DENMcCloud 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 9:03MINMitchell Foul Turnover (P1.T6)31
10.9%
32
89.1%
Q2 - 9:13MINMitchell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q2 - 9:15DENMISS Satterfield 21' Jump Shot31
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 9:28DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
10.9%
32
89.1%
Q2 - 9:31MINMISS Nesterovic 10' Hook Shot31
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q2 - 9:43MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q2 - 9:45DENMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot31
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 9:52DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
10.9%
32
89.1%
Q2 - 9:54MINMISS Billups 7' Jump Shot31
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q2 - 10:08DENBowen Layup (4 PTS) (Satterfield 2 AST)31
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 10:12MINBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)29
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q2 - 10:24DENMcCloud 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
8.3%
32
91.7%
Q2 - 10:28DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q2 - 10:30DENMISS Cheaney 19' Jump Shot27
7.1%
32
92.9%
Q2 - 10:47MINNesterovic 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Mitchell 1 AST)27
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q2 - 11:01DENCheaney 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Satterfield 1 AST)27
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q2 - 11:03DENSatterfield REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
7.4%
30
92.6%
Q2 - 11:06DENNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)25
7.0%
30
93.0%
Q2 - 11:23MINPeeler 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)25
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q2 - 11:36DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)25
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MINBillups 30' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
10.7%
25
89.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 225
10.7%
25
89.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 225
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0DENMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot25
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0MINMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot25
11.1%
25
88.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
10.4%
25
89.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
9.6%
25
90.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0MINMISS Peeler 20' Jump Shot23
9.4%
25
90.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0DENMISS Cheaney Layup23
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q1 - 1:07MINPeeler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)23
9.6%
25
90.4%
Q1 - 1:23DENBowen Layup (2 PTS)23
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 1:31MINSmith Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)21
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 1:31DENSmith STEAL (1 STL)21
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 1:45MINBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 1:45MINBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 1:51MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
10.6%
21
89.4%
Q1 - 1:52DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot21
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 2:13MINSzczerbiak Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)21
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q1 - 2:17MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 2:19DENMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot21
12.7%
19
87.3%
Q1 - 2:44MINSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)21
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 2:55MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
15.8%
16
84.2%
Q1 - 2:56MINMISS Peeler 15' Jump Shot21
16.6%
16
83.4%
Q1 - 3:04MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
15.2%
16
84.8%
Q1 - 3:05DENMISS LaFrentz 15' Jump Shot21
15.6%
16
84.4%
Q1 - 3:23MINSzczerbiak Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
16.5%
16
83.5%
Q1 - 3:32MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.2%
16
84.8%
Q1 - 3:34DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot21
15.6%
16
84.4%
Q1 - 3:55MINBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)21
16.6%
16
83.4%
Q1 - 4:06DENLaFrentz Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
14.6%
16
85.4%
Q1 - 4:10DENPosey Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
16.0%
16
84.0%
Q1 - 4:25MINSzczerbiak 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)20
14.9%
16
85.1%
Q1 - 4:36DENPosey Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)20
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 4:51MINBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 4:51DENLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)20
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 4:59DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 5:00MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 217
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 5:00MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 217
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 5:02DENGarnett STEAL (1 STL)17
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 5:03DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 5:05MINMISS Smith Layup17
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 5:06MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 5:07MINMISS Szczerbiak Layup17
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 5:14MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound17
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 5:15MINMISS Szczerbiak Layup17
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 5:20MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 5:21DENMISS Cheaney 20' Jump Shot17
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 5:38DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.2%
14
86.8%
Q1 - 5:39MINMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Shot17
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 5:41MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 5:42MINMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 217
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 5:42MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 6:06DENCheaney 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)17
12.7%
13
87.3%
Q1 - 6:23MINSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)15
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 6:55DENLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)15
12.8%
11
87.2%
Q1 - 7:00DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11.1%
11
88.9%
Q1 - 7:03MINMISS Billups Layup12
10.5%
11
89.5%
Q1 - 7:07MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
10.0%
11
90.0%
Q1 - 7:10DENMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot12
10.2%
11
89.8%
Q1 - 7:26MINSzczerbiak 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)12
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 7:46DENLaFrentz 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)12
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 8:08MINNesterovic 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)10
10.5%
9
89.5%
Q1 - 8:22DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)10
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 8:35DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
9.8%
7
90.2%
Q1 - 8:38MINMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
9.6%
7
90.4%
Q1 - 8:54DENJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
9.1%
7
90.9%
Q1 - 9:16MINGarnett 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)5
8.5%
7
91.5%
Q1 - 9:31MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9.0%
5
91.0%
Q1 - 9:32DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 25
9.1%
5
90.9%
Q1 - 9:32DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
9.4%
5
90.6%
Q1 - 9:36DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.1%
5
90.9%
Q1 - 9:38MINMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot4
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 10:06DENLaFrentz Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
8.4%
5
91.6%
Q1 - 10:12DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7.9%
5
92.1%
Q1 - 10:15MINMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot2
7.7%
5
92.3%
Q1 - 10:16MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
7.3%
5
92.7%
Q1 - 10:18MINMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot2
7.7%
5
92.3%
Q1 - 10:31DENJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
7.3%
5
92.7%
Q1 - 10:52MINNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)0
6.9%
5
93.1%
Q1 - 11:14MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
7.3%
3
92.7%
Q1 - 11:16DENMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot0
7.5%
3
92.5%
Q1 - 11:37MINBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)0
7.8%
3
92.2%
Q1 - 11:42MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
9.0%
0
91.0%
Q1 - 11:43MINMISS Szczerbiak 22' Jump Shot0
9.4%
0
90.6%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Garnett vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Nesterovic0
9.0%
0
91.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.04 52.1%
MIN
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
19
74%
MIN
11
18
61%
Midrange
DEN
16
46
35%
MIN
19
51
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
MIN
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
DEN
9
17
53%
MIN
14
24
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. LaFrentz3088%15.0 / 17
A. Johnson1850%9.0 / 18
J. Posey1568%7.5 / 11
G. McCloud964%4.5 / 7
Z. Hamilton758%3.5 / 6
C. Cheaney627%3.0 / 11
R. Bowen638%3.0 / 8
V. Lenard638%3.0 / 8
T. Abdul-Wahad250%1.0 / 2
K. Satterfield0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Peeler2460%12.0 / 20
K. Garnett2048%10.0 / 21
W. Szczerbiak1853%9.0 / 17
C. Billups1038%5.0 / 13
F. Lopez950%4.5 / 9
R. Nesterovic739%3.5 / 9
J. Smith542%2.5 / 6
S. Mitchell583%2.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
82
+12
-7
94
MIN
80
+19
-8
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.04 52.1%
MIN
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
106.6
DEN 111.2
MIN 111.4 +0.1
Pace
92.1
92.8
DEN 90.6 +4.1
MIN 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
DEN 15.9 +0.7
MIN 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
49.0%
DEN 54.2% +5.4%
MIN 48.8%
TO %
14.9%
14.0%
DEN 8.1%
MIN 7.7% +0.4%
ORB %
30.7%
31.3%
DEN 21.7%
MIN 31.9% +10.2%
FTrt
25.6
25.5
DEN 20.5
MIN 27.9 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
62.8%
DEN 72.5% +1.4%
MIN 71.1%
STL %
8.0%
6.9%
DEN 2.2%
MIN 4.5% +2.3%
BLK %
8.6%
8.0%
DEN 7.2%
MIN 7.7% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
50.9%
DEN 52.1% +2.6%
MIN 49.5%
Rim FG%
55.5%
59.4%
DEN 73.7% +12.6%
MIN 61.1%
Mid FG%
36.9%
42.1%
DEN 34.8%
MIN 37.3% +2.5%
3P %
32.9%
37.8%
DEN 55.6% +8.5%
MIN 47.1%
FT %
74.4%
79.8%
DEN 52.9%
MIN 58.3% +5.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
26.8%
DEN 22.9% +2.0%
MIN 20.9%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
58.0%
DEN 55.4% +3.9%
MIN 59.3%
3P Att. %
18.7%
15.2%
DEN 21.7% +1.9%
MIN 19.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIN
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points9998
Rebounds4251
Assists2927
Steals24
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals40-8338-86
At-the-Rim FG14-1911-18
Midrange FG16-4619-51
2-Point FG30-6530-69
3-Point FG10-188-17
Free Throws9-1714-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
38.4
30
88%
5
0
0
2
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
67%
6-8
75%
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
37.3
18
50%
1
16
0
0
1
1
1
0
6-8
75%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
31.7
15
68%
8
2
1
0
2
2
2
6
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
F · 6'7" 210 · 31
26.9
6
27%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-11
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 254 · 27
25.8
7
58%
9
0
0
1
0
4
2
7
1-5
20%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 35
24.6
9
64%
6
1
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
17.9
6
38%
6
1
1
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
17.9
6
38%
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
10.7
0
0%
2
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 27
8.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
52%
42
29
2
5
7
0
10
32
9-17
53%
30-65
46%
10-18
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.