FinalWin Prob.pScore
649%92
95
2251%93
112
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
106.789107.2
MIA logo MIA
123.19178.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLMiller 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 1 AST)93
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 292
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ORLMISS Hudson 18' Jump Shot92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T12)92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40ORLMISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIAJones Dunk (24 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)92
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 2:24MIAStrickland Driving Layup (14 PTS)92
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 2:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot92
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 2:58ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 3:15MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)90
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJackson Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)90
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS)90
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAGrant Layup (13 PTS)88
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 3:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Strickland Layup88
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHEAT Rebound88
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 4:18ORLMISS Hudson 16' Jump Shot88
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 4:24ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot88
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 4:41ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 4:41ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 287
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 4:53MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)87
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 5:17ORLHudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)87
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 5:23ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 5:25ORLMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 6:03ORLMiller Reverse Layup (14 PTS)84
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 6:11MIAJones Layup (22 PTS)82
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 6:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 6:34ORLGarrity 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS)82
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 6:47MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 7:08ORLMcGrady Driving Dunk (23 PTS)80
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)78
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 7:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 7:41ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot78
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 8:00MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)78
6.8%
88
93.2%
Q4 - 8:12MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
10.1%
86
89.9%
Q4 - 8:14ORLMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)78
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 8:30ORLMagic Rebound78
12.7%
86
87.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Jones Alley Oop Layup78
11.8%
86
88.2%
Q4 - 8:48ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
10.0%
86
90.0%
Q4 - 9:08MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 3 AST)76
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 9:27MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
14.0%
83
86.0%
Q4 - 9:29ORLMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
14.9%
83
85.1%
Q4 - 9:50MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (House 2 AST)76
17.2%
83
82.8%
Q4 - 10:09MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
26.0%
80
74.0%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMISS Williams Driving Layup76
27.4%
80
72.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)76
30.9%
80
69.1%
Q4 - 10:46ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
25.9%
80
74.1%
Q4 - 10:46ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
24.8%
80
75.2%
Q4 - 10:50MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)74
22.1%
80
77.9%
Q4 - 11:04ORLHudson Driving Layup (4 PTS)74
19.2%
80
80.8%
Q4 - 11:16ORLMISS Hudson Free Throw Technical72
16.1%
80
83.9%
Q4 - 11:28ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
16.1%
80
83.9%
Q4 - 11:30MIAMISS Stepania 4' Jump Shot72
15.2%
80
84.8%
Q4 - 11:32MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
13.3%
80
86.7%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot72
15.2%
80
84.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
13.2%
80
86.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
13.2%
80
86.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Hudson 12' Jump Shot72
15.4%
80
84.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0ORLReid REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
17.3%
80
82.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot72
16.4%
80
83.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
14.5%
80
85.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
15.3%
80
84.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)72
17.3%
80
82.7%
Q3 - 1:04ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
21.6%
78
78.4%
Q3 - 1:04ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 271
21.0%
78
79.0%
Q3 - 1:17MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)71
21.7%
78
78.3%
Q3 - 1:40ORLMcGrady Finger Roll (18 PTS)71
28.9%
75
71.1%
Q3 - 1:48MIAStepania Tip Shot (4 PTS)69
25.1%
75
74.9%
Q3 - 1:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
28.9%
73
71.1%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Jones Layup69
31.8%
73
68.2%
Q3 - 2:16ORLMcGrady Dunk (16 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)69
29.2%
73
70.8%
Q3 - 2:22MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
25.9%
73
74.1%
Q3 - 2:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q3 - 2:36ORLMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot67
23.2%
73
76.8%
Q3 - 3:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)67
26.7%
73
73.3%
Q3 - 3:19ORLMourning STEAL (1 STL)67
34.0%
70
66.0%
Q3 - 3:26ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
38.4%
70
61.6%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Mourning Layup67
37.0%
70
63.0%
Q3 - 3:50ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)67
34.0%
70
66.0%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)64
26.6%
70
73.4%
Q3 - 3:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
23.1%
70
76.9%
Q3 - 3:58ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot64
24.1%
70
75.9%
Q3 - 4:17MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
27.4%
70
72.6%
Q3 - 4:44ORLGarrity Dunk (18 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)64
30.4%
68
69.6%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)62
27.4%
68
72.6%
Q3 - 5:11ORLMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)62
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q3 - 5:28ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
19.1%
68
80.9%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot59
18.2%
68
81.8%
Q3 - 5:43ORLMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
16.4%
68
83.6%
Q3 - 5:43ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 5:43ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
14.4%
68
85.6%
Q3 - 5:44ORLMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)57
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T6)57
15.3%
68
84.7%
Q3 - 6:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
13.2%
68
86.8%
Q3 - 6:09ORLMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot57
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q3 - 6:32MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)57
15.2%
68
84.8%
Q3 - 6:51MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q3 - 6:53ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 7:10MIAStrickland Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
20.4%
66
79.6%
Q3 - 7:26ORLMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)57
22.7%
64
77.3%
Q3 - 7:41ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
17.2%
64
82.8%
Q3 - 8:01ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 8:15MIAGill 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)52
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q3 - 8:38ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)52
16.2%
62
83.8%
Q3 - 8:45ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot49
12.1%
62
87.9%
Q3 - 9:14ORLGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
11.6%
62
88.4%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)47
10.2%
62
89.8%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
11.5%
60
88.5%
Q3 - 9:53ORLMISS McGrady 7' Jump Shot47
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q3 - 10:11MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q3 - 10:28ORLGarrity 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)47
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q3 - 10:42MIAGill 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)45
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q3 - 10:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
15.5%
56
84.5%
Q3 - 10:56ORLMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot45
16.2%
56
83.8%
Q3 - 11:19ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 11:21MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot45
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q3 - 11:46ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)45
16.3%
56
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
14.6%
56
85.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
14.1%
56
85.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 243
14.3%
56
85.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 243
15.5%
56
84.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAGill Driving Layup (2 PTS)43
15.2%
56
84.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)43
18.0%
54
82.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAEllis Finger Roll (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)43
18.9%
54
81.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
21.7%
52
78.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Armstrong 13' Jump Shot43
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q2 - 1:01ORLMagic Rebound43
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot43
23.4%
52
76.6%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q2 - 1:09ORLMISS McGrady 9' Jump Shot43
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q2 - 1:22MIAEllis Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 1:42ORLGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)43
27.4%
50
72.6%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMourning Driving Dunk (14 PTS)41
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q2 - 2:11ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)41
27.5%
48
72.5%
Q2 - 2:29MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P3.T5)41
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q2 - 2:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
27.5%
48
72.5%
Q2 - 2:43ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot41
28.2%
48
71.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T4)41
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q2 - 3:20ORLGarrity Dunk (12 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)41
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS)39
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 3:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q2 - 3:39ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot39
28.8%
46
71.2%
Q2 - 3:56ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
30.8%
46
69.2%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot39
29.9%
46
70.1%
Q2 - 4:04MIAHEAT Rebound39
28.8%
46
71.2%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot39
30.5%
46
69.5%
Q2 - 4:16ORLMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
28.8%
46
71.2%
Q2 - 4:16ORLMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 238
28.3%
46
71.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
28.8%
46
71.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
29.2%
45
70.8%
Q2 - 4:53MIAHEAT Rebound38
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 4:54ORLMISS Garrity 16' Jump Shot38
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 5:07MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
34.2%
44
65.8%
Q2 - 5:07MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
34.5%
43
65.5%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)38
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 5:28ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
31.6%
42
68.4%
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot35
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 5:50ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 5:50ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 234
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 6:02ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 6:08MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
27.3%
42
72.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot34
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 6:34ORLEwing 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)34
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q2 - 6:56ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
25.5%
42
74.5%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot32
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q2 - 7:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
24.2%
42
75.8%
Q2 - 7:07ORLMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot32
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q2 - 7:19MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)32
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 7:32MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 7:50ORLReid Foul Turnover (P1.T7)32
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 8:08MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)32
30.8%
40
69.2%
Q2 - 8:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Jackson 6' Hook Shot32
34.6%
38
65.4%
Q2 - 8:31ORLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)32
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 9:02ORLWilliams Layup (2 PTS)32
37.7%
36
62.3%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)30
35.6%
36
64.4%
Q2 - 9:36ORLReid Tip Shot (2 PTS)30
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 9:38ORLReid REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
35.6%
34
64.4%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMISS Buechler 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
33.8%
34
66.2%
Q2 - 9:48ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
35.6%
34
64.4%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot28
34.8%
34
65.2%
Q2 - 9:58MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
33.1%
34
66.9%
Q2 - 10:00ORLMISS Hudson 21' Jump Shot28
33.8%
34
66.2%
Q2 - 10:08ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
35.7%
34
64.3%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 10:28ORLEwing 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
33.2%
34
66.8%
Q2 - 10:46ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot26
30.6%
34
69.4%
Q2 - 11:00ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)26
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q2 - 11:07MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 11:24ORLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
35.7%
31
64.3%
Q2 - 11:30ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
38.0%
31
62.0%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot26
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q2 - 11:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
35.7%
31
64.3%
Q2 - 11:45ORLMISS Williams 7' Hook Shot26
36.4%
31
63.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
38.0%
31
62.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
35.7%
31
64.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot26
37.3%
31
62.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
36.1%
31
63.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLMISS McGrady 4' Jump Shot26
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAEllis Layup (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)26
37.8%
31
62.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLHouse STEAL (1 STL)26
40.6%
29
59.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
42.4%
29
57.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLGarrity 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)26
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q1 - 1:12MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
42.5%
27
57.5%
Q1 - 1:35ORLHudson 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)24
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q1 - 1:52MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)22
44.8%
24
55.2%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 2:04ORLMISS Garrity 21' Jump Shot22
48.3%
22
51.7%
Q1 - 2:16ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
49.9%
22
50.1%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
49.2%
22
50.8%
Q1 - 2:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 2:25ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)22
48.3%
22
51.7%
Q1 - 2:51MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T3)22
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q1 - 3:07ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)22
47.4%
22
52.6%
Q1 - 3:25MIAStrickland 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
43.2%
22
56.8%
Q1 - 3:45ORLGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)19
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 3:53ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)17
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMourning Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
41.2%
20
58.8%
Q1 - 4:30ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)16
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 4:35ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Jones 11' Running Jump Shot13
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 4:45MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
36.6%
18
63.4%
Q1 - 4:47ORLMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot13
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 4:59MIAJones Layup (3 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)13
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 5:15ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot13
41.8%
16
58.2%
Q1 - 5:19ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Strickland Layup13
42.7%
16
57.3%
Q1 - 5:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 5:25ORLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)13
41.8%
16
58.2%
Q1 - 5:33MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 5:47ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 5:47ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
40.8%
16
59.2%
Q1 - 5:47MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)11
39.3%
16
60.7%
Q1 - 5:48ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 5:50ORLMISS Garrity 19' Jump Shot11
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 6:10MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 6:10MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)11
41.7%
14
58.3%
Q1 - 6:23ORLGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)11
43.3%
13
56.7%
Q1 - 6:39MIAGrant Layup (5 PTS)9
41.4%
13
58.6%
Q1 - 6:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot9
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 7:03MIAHEAT Rebound9
43.6%
11
56.4%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot9
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 7:15ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot9
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 7:28ORLMagic Rebound9
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot9
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 7:47MIAGrant Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Grant Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 29
43.8%
10
56.2%
Q1 - 7:50ORLStrickland STEAL (1 STL)9
45.4%
10
54.6%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)9
47.8%
10
52.2%
Q1 - 8:03MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot9
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 8:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 8:14ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
50.1%
8
49.9%
Q1 - 8:21ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)9
51.6%
8
48.4%
Q1 - 8:34MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
49.7%
8
50.3%
Q1 - 8:44ORLMiller 8' Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 8:56MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)6
49.7%
6
50.3%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
51.0%
4
49.0%
Q1 - 9:11ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot6
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 9:18ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot6
52.7%
4
47.3%
Q1 - 9:33ORLMcGrady Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
51.0%
4
49.0%
Q1 - 9:41MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
53.5%
4
46.5%
Q1 - 10:06ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)4
49.4%
4
50.6%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Strickland Layup4
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 10:50ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 10:57ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot1
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 11:22ORLMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 21
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 11:22ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Grant: Tip to Gill0
47.5%
0
52.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.13 56.5%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
15
67%
MIA
22
31
71%
Midrange
ORL
17
44
39%
MIA
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
15
60%
90%
MIA
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
ORL
14
23
61%
MIA
9
10
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2654%13.0 / 24
P. Garrity2574%12.5 / 17
M. Miller1662%8.0 / 13
H. Grant857%4.0 / 7
T. Hudson744%3.5 / 8
P. Ewing467%2.0 / 3
M. Williams440%2.0 / 5
D. Armstrong225%1.0 / 4
D. Reid2100%1.0 / 1
S. Hunter1-0.0 / 0
J. Buechler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2475%12.0 / 16
A. Mourning1864%9.0 / 14
B. Grant1583%7.5 / 9
R. Strickland1458%7.0 / 12
E. House1359%6.5 / 11
J. Jackson964%4.5 / 7
L. Ellis950%4.5 / 9
K. Gill643%3.0 / 7
V. Stepania440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+5
-10
84
MIA
79
+15
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.13 56.5%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
96.1
ORL 106.7
MIA 123.1 +16.3
Pace
95.6
89.7
ORL 107.2 +29.3
MIA 78.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.7
ORL 13.4 +5.0
MIA 18.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
46.3%
ORL 54.7%
MIA 59.2% +4.5%
TO %
13.7%
15.5%
ORL 10.6% +1.0%
MIA 11.6%
ORB %
26.4%
26.7%
ORL 13.2%
MIA 36.4% +23.2%
FTrt
27.8
26.8
ORL 31.1 +19.6
MIA 11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
59.4%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
8.4%
7.4%
ORL 6.7% +2.3%
MIA 4.4%
BLK %
6.8%
8.7%
ORL 1.4%
MIA 8.5% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
47.7%
ORL 56.5%
MIA 59.6% +3.1%
Rim FG%
57.9%
60.6%
ORL 66.7%
MIA 71.0% +4.3%
Mid FG%
38.6%
38.0%
ORL 38.6%
MIA 46.3% +7.7%
3P %
37.3%
34.7%
ORL 60.0% +13.3%
MIA 46.7%
FT %
75.4%
72.4%
ORL 60.9%
MIA 90.0% +29.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
28.1%
ORL 20.3%
MIA 35.6% +15.4%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
57.8%
ORL 59.5%
MIA 47.1% +12.3%
3P Att. %
24.1%
14.1%
ORL 20.3% +3.0%
MIA 17.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes19.928.0
Points95112
Rebounds2645
Assists1824
Steals64
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (0)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)33 (2)
Field Goals36-7448-87
At-the-Rim FG10-1522-31
Midrange FG17-4419-41
2-Point FG27-5941-72
3-Point FG9-157-15
Free Throws14-239-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 218 · 22
43.5
16
62%
3
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'8" 225 · 23
41.2
26
54%
4
6
2
0
2
2
0
4
3-8
38%
7-16
44%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 238 · 25
35.8
25
74%
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
3-3
100%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
31.3
2
25%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 37
25.6
8
57%
3
2
4
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 178 · 26
25.3
7
44%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 255 · 40
11.4
4
67%
3
0
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 30
10.8
4
40%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
8.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 228 · 34
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 20
1.5
1
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
56%
26
18
6
1
10
0
5
21
14-23
61%
27-59
46%
9-15
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.