FinalWin Prob.pScore
2729%87
76
2371%94
73
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
88.48689.0
MIA logo MIA
83.08885.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA76
100%
73
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJackson Layup (2 PTS)74
94.4%
73
5.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
88.4%
71
11.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
75.1%
71
24.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAStrickland Tip Shot (16 PTS)72
75.1%
71
24.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup72
93.5%
69
6.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)72
82.2%
69
17.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Vaughn 10' Jump Shot72
85.6%
69
14.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
87.0%
69
13.0%
Q4 - 1:00MIAHEAT Rebound72
90.4%
67
9.6%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.6%
67
6.4%
Q4 - 1:15ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)72
87.6%
67
12.4%
Q4 - 1:38ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
90.1%
67
9.9%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 272
89.2%
67
10.8%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 272
86.3%
67
13.7%
Q4 - 1:41ATLAbdur-Rahim 12' Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Newble 1 AST)72
83.5%
67
16.5%
Q4 - 1:59MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
75.7%
67
24.3%
Q4 - 2:17ATLMottola 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vaughn 5 AST)70
79.8%
65
20.2%
Q4 - 2:36ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
75.6%
65
24.4%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot68
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q4 - 2:50ATLAbdur-Rahim Foul Turnover (P6.T14)68
60.3%
65
39.7%
Q4 - 3:04ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)68
72.3%
65
27.7%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot68
68.6%
65
31.4%
Q4 - 3:24ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)68
58.5%
65
41.5%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)68
65.9%
65
34.1%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJones 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
73.7%
64
26.3%
Q4 - 4:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
80.3%
62
19.7%
Q4 - 4:05ATLMISS Newble Tip Shot68
82.1%
62
17.9%
Q4 - 4:06ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
85.8%
62
14.2%
Q4 - 4:08ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot68
82.2%
62
17.8%
Q4 - 4:26MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)68
86.1%
62
13.9%
Q4 - 4:49ATLAbdur-Rahim 12' Jump Shot (32 PTS)68
80.8%
62
19.2%
Q4 - 5:22MIAStrickland Driving Layup (10 PTS)66
69.3%
62
30.7%
Q4 - 5:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)66
75.8%
60
24.2%
Q4 - 5:38ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
77.7%
60
22.3%
Q4 - 6:01ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
77.4%
60
22.6%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot66
75.6%
60
24.4%
Q4 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound66
71.0%
60
29.0%
Q4 - 6:18ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
73.2%
60
26.8%
Q4 - 6:44MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)66
77.8%
60
22.2%
Q4 - 7:06ATLAbdur-Rahim Driving Layup (30 PTS)66
78.3%
58
21.7%
Q4 - 7:19ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
74.0%
58
26.0%
Q4 - 7:21ATLMISS Mottola 20' Jump Shot64
69.7%
58
30.3%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 164
73.4%
58
26.6%
Q4 - 7:44MIAEllis 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)64
74.2%
58
25.8%
Q4 - 7:57ATLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)64
78.6%
56
21.4%
Q4 - 8:09ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
80.2%
56
19.8%
Q4 - 8:11MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot64
78.9%
56
21.1%
Q4 - 8:25ATLMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 164
76.5%
56
23.5%
Q4 - 8:25ATLMohammed Layup (9 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)64
75.8%
56
24.2%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS)62
71.0%
56
29.0%
Q4 - 8:57ATLVaughn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)62
75.9%
54
24.1%
Q4 - 9:19ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
63.0%
54
37.0%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot59
61.2%
54
38.8%
Q4 - 9:36ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)59
57.1%
54
42.9%
Q4 - 9:36ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)58
56.0%
54
44.0%
Q4 - 9:46ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
51.4%
54
48.6%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot57
49.5%
54
50.5%
Q4 - 10:06MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
43.8%
54
56.2%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Jackson Dunk57
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q4 - 10:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
43.9%
54
56.1%
Q4 - 10:31ATLStepania BLOCK (2 BLK)57
45.7%
54
54.3%
Q4 - 10:45MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS)57
50.0%
54
50.0%
Q4 - 10:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
55.3%
52
44.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
59.4%
52
40.6%
Q4 - 11:11ATLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
54.2%
52
45.8%
Q4 - 11:11ATLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
53.4%
52
46.6%
Q4 - 11:19MIAGill Foul Turnover (P2.T13)55
49.1%
52
50.9%
Q4 - 11:38ATLMottola Driving Layup (6 PTS)55
43.5%
52
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA53
38.5%
52
61.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound53
33.2%
52
66.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 50' 3PT Jump Shot53
36.8%
52
63.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLNewble Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)53
32.8%
52
67.2%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)51
28.5%
52
71.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Rebound51
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Vaughn 8' Running Jump Shot51
34.3%
50
65.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)51
37.6%
50
62.4%
Q3 - 1:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
41.2%
48
58.8%
Q3 - 1:08ATLMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 251
41.9%
48
58.1%
Q3 - 1:08ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q3 - 1:22ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
40.0%
48
60.0%
Q3 - 1:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)50
36.7%
48
63.3%
Q3 - 1:51ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
38.1%
48
61.9%
Q3 - 2:00ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
38.7%
48
61.3%
Q3 - 2:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)50
35.5%
48
64.5%
Q3 - 2:19ATLMISS Mohammed 16' Jump Shot50
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)50
40.3%
48
59.7%
Q3 - 3:00ATLMourning STEAL (1 STL)50
44.5%
46
55.5%
Q3 - 3:15ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
48.6%
46
51.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
47.2%
46
52.8%
Q3 - 3:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
43.9%
46
56.1%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot50
47.2%
46
52.8%
Q3 - 3:41ATLMohammed 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)50
43.9%
46
56.1%
Q3 - 3:48MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)48
39.8%
46
60.2%
Q3 - 3:57ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)48
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q3 - 3:57ATLHawks Rebound48
39.8%
46
60.2%
Q3 - 3:58ATLMISS Vaughn 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
36.7%
46
63.3%
Q3 - 4:12ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)48
38.9%
46
61.1%
Q3 - 4:38MIAGrant Dunk (8 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)47
35.0%
46
65.0%
Q3 - 4:44ATLStrickland STEAL (2 STL)47
38.4%
44
61.6%
Q3 - 4:46ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
43.2%
44
56.8%
Q3 - 4:48ATLMISS Terry 10' Running Jump Shot47
39.9%
44
60.1%
Q3 - 4:58ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
43.2%
44
56.8%
Q3 - 5:00ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot47
39.9%
44
60.1%
Q3 - 5:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
42.3%
44
57.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
41.0%
44
59.0%
Q3 - 5:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
38.0%
44
62.0%
Q3 - 5:44ATLMISS Newble 8' Running Hook Shot47
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q3 - 6:04MIAJones Layup (13 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)47
41.2%
44
58.8%
Q3 - 6:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
44.9%
42
55.1%
Q3 - 6:10ATLMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)47
46.2%
42
53.8%
Q3 - 6:23ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
49.2%
42
50.8%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Gill 15' Jump Shot47
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
45.0%
42
55.0%
Q3 - 6:44ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q3 - 7:00MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)47
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q3 - 7:25ATLMottola 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)47
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q3 - 7:36MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)45
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q3 - 7:55ATLAbdur-Rahim Foul Turnover (P5.T8)45
43.9%
40
56.1%
Q3 - 7:59ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
48.3%
40
51.7%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup45
46.2%
40
53.8%
Q3 - 8:18ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q3 - 8:18ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
42.8%
40
57.2%
Q3 - 8:34ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q3 - 8:36ATLMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot43
37.3%
40
62.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)43
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q3 - 9:15ATLAbdur-Rahim 8' Jump Shot (26 PTS)43
35.3%
40
64.7%
Q3 - 9:31ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)41
32.1%
40
67.9%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 2 of 241
31.7%
40
68.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q3 - 9:35MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q3 - 9:37ATLMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot41
33.0%
39
67.0%
Q3 - 9:42ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
35.4%
39
64.6%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot41
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q3 - 9:54ATLMISS Newble 19' Jump Shot41
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q3 - 10:14MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)41
34.7%
39
65.3%
Q3 - 10:34ATLAbdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)41
37.7%
37
62.3%
Q3 - 10:42ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
34.7%
37
65.3%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
33.7%
37
66.3%
Q3 - 10:51ATLStrickland STEAL (1 STL)39
31.3%
37
68.7%
Q3 - 10:56MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)39
34.8%
37
65.2%
Q3 - 11:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q3 - 11:21ATLMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)39
31.7%
37
68.3%
Q3 - 11:35ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
33.9%
37
66.1%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot39
33.0%
37
67.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot39
31.7%
37
68.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAJones 12' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)39
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 239
37.3%
35
62.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
39.2%
35
60.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot38
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
33.9%
35
66.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot38
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 1:13ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)38
34.0%
35
66.0%
Q2 - 1:13ATLAbdur-Rahim Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)37
31.2%
35
68.8%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)35
27.2%
35
72.8%
Q2 - 1:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
31.2%
33
68.8%
Q2 - 2:01ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot35
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 2:18ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Jackson 7' Hook Shot35
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 2:38ATLAbdur-Rahim Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)35
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 2:59MIAStrickland Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)33
27.5%
33
72.5%
Q2 - 3:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 3:05ATLStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)33
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 3:10ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Stepania 12' Jump Shot33
31.5%
31
68.5%
Q2 - 3:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 3:27ATLMISS Terry 10' Jump Shot33
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 3:51MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)33
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 4:07ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)33
36.8%
28
63.2%
Q2 - 4:07ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)32
36.3%
28
63.7%
Q2 - 4:32MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q2 - 4:54ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot31
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q2 - 5:13MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 5:13MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q2 - 5:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
41.6%
24
58.4%
Q2 - 5:23ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 10' Jump Shot31
42.5%
24
57.5%
Q2 - 5:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)31
44.6%
24
55.4%
Q2 - 5:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
41.6%
24
58.4%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup31
43.7%
24
56.3%
Q2 - 6:14ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
40.8%
24
59.2%
Q2 - 6:24ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
36.1%
24
63.9%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot28
35.2%
24
64.8%
Q2 - 6:44ATLMohammed 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)28
33.1%
24
66.9%
Q2 - 6:51ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31.2%
24
68.8%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot26
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q2 - 7:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q2 - 7:09ATLMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot26
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q2 - 7:29MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)26
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 7:51ATLMottola 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
32.9%
22
67.1%
Q2 - 8:12ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
30.6%
22
69.4%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot24
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q2 - 8:31ATLTerry 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)24
28.1%
22
71.9%
Q2 - 8:38ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot22
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q2 - 9:09ATLAbdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)22
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q2 - 9:17ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot20
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q2 - 9:46ATLAbdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)20
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q2 - 10:01ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot18
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q2 - 10:20MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.5%
22
82.5%
Q2 - 10:22ATLJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)18
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)18
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q2 - 10:55MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q2 - 10:56ATLMISS Glover Free Throw 2 of 218
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q2 - 10:56ATLMISS Glover Free Throw 1 of 218
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)18
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q2 - 11:16ATLEllis STEAL (2 STL)18
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound18
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jackson 40' 3PT Jump Shot18
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Terry Driving Layup18
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)18
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)18
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)17
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)16
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)16
20.5%
18
79.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLHawks Rebound16
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)16
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 1:07MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
21.8%
18
78.2%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 1:14ATLMISS Mohammed 5' Jump Shot16
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 1:28ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Stepania Layup16
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 1:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Stepania Layup16
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 1:57ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)16
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHEAT Rebound15
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Jackson Layup15
23.0%
16
77.0%
Q1 - 1:58MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup15
23.0%
16
77.0%
Q1 - 2:05ATLEllis STEAL (1 STL)15
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 2:20ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot15
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 2:36ATLAbdur-Rahim 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)15
22.0%
16
78.0%
Q1 - 2:55MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)13
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 3:13ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)13
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 3:34ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 3:36ATLMISS Glover 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 3:46ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 3:59ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 4:01ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 4:12ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot9
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 4:29ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)9
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 4:29ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 28
15.9%
14
84.1%
Q1 - 4:37MIAGill Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
16.3%
14
83.7%
Q1 - 4:53ATLAbdur-Rahim Driving Layup (6 PTS)8
17.3%
12
82.7%
Q1 - 5:09ATLHawks Rebound6
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot6
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Glover Driving Layup6
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 5:31MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 5:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 5:36ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 6:00MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 6:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
17.4%
10
82.6%
Q1 - 6:15ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Dunk6
17.8%
10
82.2%
Q1 - 6:34MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 6:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 6:41ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot6
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 6:51MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
21.3%
8
78.7%
Q1 - 6:51MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
21.7%
7
78.3%
Q1 - 6:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 6:59ATLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)6
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 7:18MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)6
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 7:30ATLGrant STEAL (1 STL)6
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 7:44MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)6
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 8:08ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)6
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
27.0%
3
73.0%
Q1 - 8:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 8:16ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 11' Jump Shot6
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 8:43MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 8:47ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 8:47ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 9:07ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Grant Layup4
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 9:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Mourning Driving Layup4
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 9:37ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 10' Jump Shot4
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 9:50ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup4
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 10:00ATLGill STEAL (1 STL)4
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:23MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:51ATLMohammed Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)4
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 11:00ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:09ATLMISS Mohammed Layup2
25.0%
0
75.0%
Q1 - 11:27MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:43ATLAbdur-Rahim 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Mohammed: Tip to Abdur-Rahim0
23.2%
0
76.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.90 45.2%
MIA
0.80 40.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
8
21
38%
MIA
16
27
59%
Midrange
ATL
14
34
41%
MIA
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
MIA
1
1.5
13
8%
12%
Free Throws
ATL
23
29
79%
MIA
8
12
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Abdur-Rahim3457%17.0 / 30
J. Terry1647%8.0 / 17
H. Mottola1083%5.0 / 6
N. Mohammed941%4.5 / 11
J. Vaughn550%2.5 / 5
I. Newble225%1.0 / 4
D. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
D. Glover0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1650%8.0 / 16
R. Strickland1662%8.0 / 13
A. Mourning1050%5.0 / 10
B. Grant1042%5.0 / 12
K. Gill739%3.5 / 9
L. Ellis650%3.0 / 6
E. House440%2.0 / 5
J. Jackson213%1.0 / 8
V. Stepania217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
75
+9
-11
84
MIA
76
+15
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.90 45.2%
MIA
0.80 40.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
96.1
ATL 88.4 +5.4
MIA 83.0
Pace
93.6
89.7
ATL 89.0 +3.9
MIA 85.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.7
ATL 16.2 +0.7
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
46.3%
ATL 40.2%
MIA 41.7% +1.5%
TO %
15.6%
15.5%
ATL 16.0%
MIA 14.4% +1.6%
ORB %
27.5%
26.7%
ATL 17.1%
MIA 23.3% +6.2%
FTrt
29.4
26.8
ATL 43.9 +28.5
MIA 15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
59.4%
ATL 56.0% +2.9%
MIA 53.1%
STL %
8.5%
7.4%
ATL 9.3% +0.2%
MIA 9.1%
BLK %
6.5%
8.7%
ATL 3.1%
MIA 12.7% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
47.7%
ATL 45.2% +5.1%
MIA 40.1%
Rim FG%
55.2%
60.6%
ATL 38.1%
MIA 59.3% +21.2%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.0%
ATL 41.2% +1.7%
MIA 39.5%
3P %
35.4%
34.7%
ATL 27.3% +19.6%
MIA 7.7%
FT %
76.5%
72.4%
ATL 79.3% +12.6%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.9%
28.1%
ATL 31.8%
MIA 34.6% +2.8%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
57.8%
ATL 51.5%
MIA 48.7% +2.8%
3P Att. %
18.1%
14.1%
ATL 16.7%
MIA 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points7673
Rebounds4044
Assists1417
Steals88
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)11 (4)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals25-6632-78
At-the-Rim FG8-2116-27
Midrange FG14-3415-38
2-Point FG22-5531-65
3-Point FG3-111-13
Free Throws23-298-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
45.2
16
47%
6
6
2
0
3
0
0
6
8-9
89%
1-8
13%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
37.0
34
57%
11
1
3
0
6
5
1
10
10-11
91%
12-24
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 27
34.2
2
25%
9
1
0
1
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 24
29.9
9
41%
5
0
1
0
1
4
2
3
1-3
33%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 210 · 22
22.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
28.5
5
50%
0
5
1
0
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 25
27.5
10
83%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23
10.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 25
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
45%
40
14
8
2
11
0
7
33
23-29
79%
22-55
40%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.