FinalWin Prob.pScore
1035%97
103
565%102
106
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
113.29183.4
DAL logo DAL
116.591100.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL103
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0UTAMalone Layup (28 PTS)103
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Russell 23' Jump Shot101
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)101
3.8%
104
96.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)101
4.5%
103
95.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0UTAMalone Layup (26 PTS) (Stockton 9 AST)101
12.4%
102
87.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALNash Foul Turnover (P7.T17)99
6.9%
102
93.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0UTARussell Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Malone 5 AST)99
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 0:40.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)97
2.8%
102
97.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALMISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 297
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)97
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)97
3.1%
101
96.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Driving Layup97
4.0%
101
96.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)97
7.1%
101
92.9%
Q4 - 1:10UTAStockton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Padgett 5 AST)97
4.3%
101
95.7%
Q4 - 1:24DALGriffin Driving Layup (18 PTS)94
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 1:45UTAStockton Driving Layup (21 PTS)94
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 1:47UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 1:50DALMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot92
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 2:04UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 2:04UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)91
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 2:04UTAJazz Rebound90
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 2:04DALMISS Nash 8' Jump Shot90
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 2:30UTAKirilenko Dunk (12 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)90
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 2:38UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 2:40DALMISS Griffin Layup88
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 2:53UTAMalone Layup (24 PTS) (Stockton 8 AST)88
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 3:03UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 3:05DALMISS Nash 7' Running Jump Shot86
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 3:18UTAKirilenko Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Stockton 7 AST)86
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:28DALNajera Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)84
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:48UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 4:05DALBuckner 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)82
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:21UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Padgett 4 AST)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:32UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)80
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:34DALMISS Howard Layup80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:46DALNash REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:49UTAMISS Malone 10' Fadeaway Jumper80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:02UTAMISS Stockton Free Throw Technical80
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:02UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)80
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:04DALMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:22UTAMalone 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Russell 2 AST)80
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 5:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)78
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 5:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)78
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 5:51DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)78
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:52DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:07DALMAVERICKS Rebound78
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:07DALMISS Howard Layup78
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 6:28UTAMalone Layup (16 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)78
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:52DALGriffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:08DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 7:10UTAMISS Stockton 22' Jump Shot76
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 7:36DALNash 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS)76
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 7:37DALNash REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 7:39DALMISS Griffin 15' Jump Shot76
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 7:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)76
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 7:58UTAMISS Starks 3PT Jump Shot76
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 8:16DALBuckner 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 8:30UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)76
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 8:46DALGriffin Driving Layup (13 PTS)76
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 9:06UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q4 - 9:06UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q4 - 9:20DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)74
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 9:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 9:27UTAMISS Stockton 20' Jump Shot74
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 9:42DALNash Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)74
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 9:42DALNash Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)74
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 9:52UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)74
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 9:52UTAPadgett Tip Shot (17 PTS)74
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 9:56UTAMISS Malone 2' Jump Shot72
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 10:07UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q4 - 10:09DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 10:09DALMISS Buckner Layup72
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 10:10DALMISS Howard Layup72
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 10:32DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 10:33DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 10:36DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 10:39DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 10:57UTAPadgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Starks 3 AST)72
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q4 - 11:20UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q4 - 11:23DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot69
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 11:47UTAStockton Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)69
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL67
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Howard Tip Shot67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Najera Tip Shot67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Hardaway Layup67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0UTAMISS Starks 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0UTAMISS Malone Free Throw Technical67
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALHardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)67
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0DALMISS Hardaway 21' Jump Shot65
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0UTAMalone 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Starks 2 AST)65
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 1:01UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 1:03UTAMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 1:18DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)63
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 1:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound63
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 1:19DALMISS Griffin 17' Jump Shot63
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 1:47UTAStevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Padgett 3 AST)63
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 2:11UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 2:13DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot60
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 2:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 2:36UTAMISS Padgett Driving Layup60
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 2:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)60
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 2:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)60
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 2:57UTAHoward STEAL (1 STL)60
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 3:19DALGriffin Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q3 - 3:38UTAMalone Foul Turnover (P1.T6)60
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 3:57DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)60
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 4:23UTAMalone Layup (8 PTS) (Padgett 2 AST)60
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 4:26UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 4:28UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 4:44DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)58
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 5:03UTAKirilenko Dunk (8 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)58
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 5:08UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 5:10UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 5:26DALBuckner Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)56
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 5:47UTAStevenson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)56
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 6:06DALNowitzki Layup (24 PTS)54
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 6:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 6:20UTAMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 6:41UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 6:42DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 6:42DALMISS Howard Tip Shot54
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 6:44DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot54
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 6:52DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 6:54UTAMISS Malone Driving Layup54
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 6:58UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 7:01DALMISS Nash Reverse Layup54
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 7:11UTAStockton 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 7:37DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)52
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 8:00UTAPadgett Layup (12 PTS)52
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 8:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)50
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 8:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)50
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 8:36DALMAVERICKS Rebound50
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 8:36UTAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)50
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 9:01DALNash Driving Layup (17 PTS)50
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 9:07UTANash STEAL (1 STL)50
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 9:11DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T11)50
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 9:24DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q3 - 9:26UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup50
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 9:41DALGriffin Driving Layup (9 PTS)50
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 9:46DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 9:48UTAMISS Stockton 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 9:58UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 10:00UTAMISS Stevenson 9' Jump Shot50
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 10:14UTAJazz Rebound50
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 10:14DALMISS Nowitzki Layup50
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 10:37UTAKirilenko Layup (6 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)50
8.5%
61
91.5%
Q3 - 11:02DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 11:17UTAStockton Driving Layup (13 PTS)48
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 11:24UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 11:26DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 11:38UTAStevenson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)46
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q3 - 11:50DALNash Backcourt Turnover (P5.T10)44
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL44
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound44
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Hardaway 43' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0UTAMISS Stockton 16' Jump Shot44
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0DALNajera Foul Turnover (P2.T9)44
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0UTAMISS Malone Layup44
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot44
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q2 - 1:01UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)44
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q2 - 1:01UTAPadgett Tip Shot (10 PTS)44
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q2 - 1:03UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup42
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q2 - 1:18DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
5.9%
58
94.1%
Q2 - 1:18DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q2 - 1:32UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q2 - 1:32UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q2 - 1:32UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q2 - 1:34UTAMISS Padgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 1:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)40
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q2 - 1:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)40
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q2 - 2:03DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
7.2%
54
92.8%
Q2 - 2:03UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 240
7.3%
54
92.7%
Q2 - 2:03UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 240
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q2 - 2:03UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 2:03UTAMISS Russell 3PT Jump Shot40
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q2 - 2:16UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 2:19UTAMISS Stockton 16' Jump Shot40
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q2 - 2:35DALNajera 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 2:37DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 2:39DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot40
9.7%
52
90.3%
Q2 - 2:48DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 2:51UTAMISS Russell 13' Jump Shot40
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 3:10UTAJazz Rebound40
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q2 - 3:11DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q2 - 3:27UTAPadgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)40
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q2 - 3:41DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)37
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q2 - 3:42DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
6.8%
52
93.2%
Q2 - 3:43UTAMISS Kirilenko Alley Oop Layup37
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 3:58DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)37
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q2 - 4:16UTAStockton Layup (11 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)37
8.8%
50
91.2%
Q2 - 4:31DALZhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
7.9%
50
92.1%
Q2 - 4:31DALZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
8.2%
49
91.8%
Q2 - 4:39UTAStockton Driving Layup (9 PTS)35
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 4:42DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)33
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 5:01UTACollins Layup (5 PTS)33
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 5:02UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
6.6%
48
93.4%
Q2 - 5:04UTAMISS Kirilenko Driving Layup31
6.1%
48
93.9%
Q2 - 5:24DALZhi-zhi 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)31
6.6%
48
93.4%
Q2 - 5:26DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 5:28DALMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot31
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q2 - 5:34DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 5:36UTAMISS Padgett Driving Layup31
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 5:42DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)31
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 5:59UTAPadgett 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)31
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 6:11DALBuckner Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)29
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 6:11DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 6:12UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 6:12UTAMISS Padgett Tip Shot29
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 6:14UTAMISS Collins 14' Jump Shot29
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 6:38DALZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)29
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 6:55UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 6:55UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)28
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 7:01UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 7:04DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot27
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q2 - 7:21UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 7:21UTAMISS Russell Free Throw 1 of 226
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 7:33DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)26
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 7:36DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 7:37DALMISS Zhi-zhi Driving Layup26
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 7:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 7:55UTAMISS Stockton 14' Jump Shot26
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 8:15DALNewman Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 8:15DALMISS Newman Free Throw 1 of 226
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 8:23DALNash Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)26
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 8:44UTAStockton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 8:48DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)23
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 8:50DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 8:52DALMISS Nash Driving Layup23
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 9:07UTAPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)23
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 9:24DALNewman Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 9:24DALNewman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
7.3%
37
92.7%
Q2 - 9:29DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 9:31UTAZhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK)20
8.0%
36
92.0%
Q2 - 9:51DALNash Driving Layup (9 PTS)20
8.6%
36
91.4%
Q2 - 10:09UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)20
9.5%
34
90.5%
Q2 - 10:09UTAStockton 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 10:28DALZhi-zhi 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
8.0%
34
92.0%
Q2 - 10:47UTAStarks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
8.7%
32
91.3%
Q2 - 11:04UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q2 - 11:06DALMISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 11:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound17
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q2 - 11:20UTAMISS Starks 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q2 - 11:33UTAStockton Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q2 - 11:46DALHardaway Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL16
8.1%
32
91.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAStevenson Slam Dunk (4 PTS)16
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0DALHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
7.6%
32
92.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0DALHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0UTAMalone Layup (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)14
8.4%
30
91.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0DALGriffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)12
7.5%
30
92.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0DALMISS Najera 17' Jump Shot12
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
9.3%
27
90.7%
Q1 - 1:16DALGriffin 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)12
9.9%
27
90.1%
Q1 - 1:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 1:35UTAMISS Malone 16' Jump Shot12
11.2%
25
88.8%
Q1 - 1:49UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q1 - 1:52DALMISS Howard Reverse Layup12
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 2:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 2:05UTAMISS Starks 14' Jump Shot12
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 2:20DALNowitzki 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)12
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q1 - 2:38DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
13.0%
23
87.0%
Q1 - 2:41UTAMISS Malone 9' Jump Shot12
13.3%
23
86.7%
Q1 - 2:55DALGriffin Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)12
14.0%
23
86.0%
Q1 - 3:07DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13.3%
23
86.7%
Q1 - 3:09UTAMISS Russell 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 3:24UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14.5%
23
85.5%
Q1 - 3:25DALMISS Buckner Layup12
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q1 - 3:26DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
13.2%
23
86.8%
Q1 - 3:28DALMISS Griffin 22' Jump Shot12
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q1 - 3:44UTAStevenson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)12
13.2%
23
86.8%
Q1 - 3:59UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 4:00DALMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 210
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q1 - 4:00DALBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 4:14UTAStarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q1 - 4:14UTAMISS Starks Free Throw 1 of 29
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 4:23DALGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 4:23DALGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q1 - 4:42UTAStarks Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
13.3%
20
86.7%
Q1 - 5:04DALNash Driving Layup (7 PTS)7
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q1 - 5:16UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 5:16UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
13.5%
18
86.5%
Q1 - 5:25DALBuckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
12.8%
18
87.2%
Q1 - 5:25DALMISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 25
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 5:40UTAMalone 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Starks 1 AST)5
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 5:46UTAJazz Rebound3
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 5:48UTAMISS Starks 16' Jump Shot3
11.2%
17
88.8%
Q1 - 6:02DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 6:11DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
11.4%
17
88.6%
Q1 - 6:13UTAMISS Russell 14' Jump Shot3
11.7%
17
88.3%
Q1 - 6:31DALNash 13' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)3
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 6:54DALNash Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)3
13.1%
15
86.9%
Q1 - 7:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
14.1%
14
85.9%
Q1 - 7:02UTAMISS Malone 13' Jump Shot3
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 7:21DALNash Reverse Layup (2 PTS)3
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 7:25UTAGriffin STEAL (1 STL)3
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 7:28UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 7:31DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 7:50UTAStockton Foul Turnover (P1.T2)3
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 7:54UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 7:57DALMISS Nash 13' Jump Shot3
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 8:06DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 8:10UTAMISS Malone 14' Jump Shot3
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 8:34DALNowitzki 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)3
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 8:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
18.8%
10
81.2%
Q1 - 8:45UTAMISS Stockton 16' Jump Shot3
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 8:47UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 8:48UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
20.2%
10
79.8%
Q1 - 8:48UTAMISS Collins Layup3
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 8:51UTAMISS Stockton Driving Layup3
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 9:18DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)3
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 9:25DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 9:27UTAMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot3
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 9:43DALBuckner Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)3
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 10:00UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 10:00UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 22
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 10:14UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 10:17DALMISS Nash Driving Layup2
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 10:26UTAKirilenko Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)2
23.7%
5
76.3%
Q1 - 10:26UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 10:28UTAMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot2
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 10:47DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 11:06DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 11:07UTAMISS Stockton 10' Jump Shot2
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 11:31DALHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 11:35DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:37DALMISS Howard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot2
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:57UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:57UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Collins: Tip to Kirilenko0
29.5%
0
70.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.03 51.5%
DAL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
24
39
62%
DAL
15
31
48%
Midrange
UTA
8
29
28%
DAL
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
DAL
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
UTA
21
28
75%
DAL
29
33
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Malone2861%14.0 / 23
J. Stockton2457%12.0 / 21
S. Padgett1765%8.5 / 13
A. Kirilenko1246%6.0 / 13
D. Stevenson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Collins550%2.5 / 5
B. Russell317%1.5 / 9
J. Starks321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3485%17.0 / 20
S. Nash2352%11.5 / 22
A. Griffin1875%9.0 / 12
W. Zhi-zhi990%4.5 / 5
G. Buckner857%4.0 / 7
T. Hardaway531%2.5 / 8
E. Najera450%2.0 / 4
J. Newman375%1.5 / 2
J. Howard28%1.0 / 12
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
83
+16
-8
99
DAL
75
+18
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.03 51.5%
DAL
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
109.4
UTA 113.2
DAL 116.5 +3.3
Pace
92.3
95.4
UTA 83.4
DAL 100.2 +16.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.9
UTA 17.3
DAL 14.4 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
50.7%
UTA 47.1%
DAL 50.7% +3.6%
TO %
16.9%
12.1%
UTA 7.5% +8.3%
DAL 15.8%
ORB %
33.5%
26.2%
UTA 31.9%
DAL 39.5% +7.6%
FTrt
38.1
28.8
UTA 32.2
DAL 43.4 +11.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
69.7%
56.6%
UTA 65.8% +15.8%
DAL 50.0%
STL %
9.8%
7.4%
UTA 8.8% +5.5%
DAL 3.3%
BLK %
10.5%
7.1%
UTA 11.9% +9.0%
DAL 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
53.0%
UTA 51.5%
DAL 54.6% +3.1%
Rim FG%
54.8%
58.9%
UTA 61.5% +13.1%
DAL 48.4%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.0%
UTA 27.6%
DAL 35.7% +8.1%
3P %
33.3%
37.8%
UTA 31.6%
DAL 52.9% +21.3%
FT %
76.3%
80.6%
UTA 75.0%
DAL 87.9% +12.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
30.7%
UTA 44.8% +4.0%
DAL 40.8%
Mid Att. %
45.7%
45.6%
UTA 33.3% +3.5%
DAL 36.8%
3P Att. %
13.2%
23.7%
UTA 21.8%
DAL 22.4% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points103106
Rebounds3847
Assists2517
Steals83
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals38-8734-76
At-the-Rim FG24-3915-31
Midrange FG8-2910-28
2-Point FG32-6825-59
3-Point FG6-199-17
Free Throws21-2829-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 259 · 38
40.5
28
61%
7
5
2
1
2
5
2
5
8-9
89%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
36.6
12
46%
7
0
2
2
2
2
4
3
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 40
36.2
24
57%
5
9
3
1
3
4
2
3
4-5
80%
7-15
47%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 218 · 21
24.0
11
61%
0
1
0
3
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 249 · 23
15.8
5
50%
2
0
0
0
0
4
2
0
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31
34.1
3
17%
5
2
1
0
0
4
0
5
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 26
32.6
17
65%
9
5
0
0
0
2
4
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
3-6
50%
G · 6'5" 190 · 36
20.2
3
21%
3
3
0
0
1
4
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" · 33
C · 7'2" 280 · 29
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
52%
38
25
8
7
8
0
15
23
21-28
75%
32-68
47%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.