FinalWin Prob.pScore
1746%90
88
2654%91
100
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
95.792100.1
MIA logo MIA
106.49487.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDRose Driving Layup (21 PTS)88
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12INDCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 286
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 1:38INDMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot86
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 1:44MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)86
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 1:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 2:00INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 2:22INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot86
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 2:44INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)86
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 2:58MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)83
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 3:19MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:21INDMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:35INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot83
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 4:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 4:10INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 4:22MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)83
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 4:27MIAHEAT Rebound83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 4:30INDMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot83
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 4:46MIAJones 16' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)83
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 5:08INDBest 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)83
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 5:27MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)81
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 5:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 5:43INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 5:59MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (House 5 AST)81
3.6%
91
96.4%
Q4 - 6:17INDRose 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS)81
8.3%
88
91.7%
Q4 - 6:24INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
6.5%
88
93.5%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot79
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 6:51INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 4 AST)79
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q4 - 6:57INDBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Gatling Layup76
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 6:59MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot76
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 7:25INDRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)76
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 7:38MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)73
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 7:53INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 8:13INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot71
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 8:36MIAHEAT Rebound71
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 8:37INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot71
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 8:55MIAGatling 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 9:17INDBender Dunk (9 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)71
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 9:24MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)69
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 9:42MIAHEAT Rebound69
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 9:44INDMISS Foster 15' Jump Shot69
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAEllis Dunk (14 PTS) (House 4 AST)69
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 10:14INDMISS Best 20' Jump Shot69
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 10:27MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)69
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q4 - 10:42MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 10:44INDMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot69
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 10:57INDBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 11:20MIAJump Ball Gatling vs. Foster: Tip to Grant69
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 11:36MIAJackson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)69
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 11:43INDMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot69
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 49' 3PT Jump Shot69
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDBest Foul Turnover (P1.T12)69
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAHouse 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)69
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDBest 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#9)67
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 267
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDBest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
6.2%
80
93.8%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHouse 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 1:31INDFoster Layup (4 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)66
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 1:52INDMiller Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)64
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q3 - 1:52MIAStrickland Foul Turnover (P2.T8)63
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 2:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 2:09INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot63
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 13 AST)63
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 2:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 2:41INDMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
8.2%
75
91.8%
Q3 - 2:46INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
9.3%
75
90.7%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Jones 4' Running Jump Shot63
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 3:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 3:13INDMISS Croshere 15' Jump Shot63
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q3 - 3:28MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)63
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q3 - 3:47INDRose 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q3 - 3:53INDPacers Rebound61
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 3:53INDStrickland BLOCK (1 BLK)61
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 4:13MIAStrickland Reverse Layup (6 PTS)61
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q3 - 4:24MIAHEAT Rebound61
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 4:25INDMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot61
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q3 - 4:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot61
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q3 - 4:59INDCroshere Dunk (12 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)61
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 5:02INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 5:05INDMISS Croshere Driving Layup59
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 5:12INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q3 - 5:33INDCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)59
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 5:46INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot59
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q3 - 6:04INDRose 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 6:27MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 12 AST)57
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot57
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 6:54INDStrickland STEAL (2 STL)57
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 7:13MIAGill 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)57
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 7:27MIAHEAT Rebound57
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot57
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 7:38INDRose 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 7:54MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 11 AST)55
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 7:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 8:01INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 8:17MIAGill Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)55
13.1%
67
86.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 8:23INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.4%
65
84.6%
Q3 - 8:35MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 10 AST)55
17.0%
65
83.0%
Q3 - 8:57INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)55
18.9%
63
81.1%
Q3 - 9:05INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot53
16.7%
63
83.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 9:17INDMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot53
15.9%
63
84.1%
Q3 - 9:24INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup53
16.7%
63
83.3%
Q3 - 9:32INDStrickland STEAL (1 STL)53
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 9:48MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)53
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 10:02INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)53
20.0%
61
80.0%
Q3 - 10:02INDMiller 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q3 - 10:11INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot50
15.4%
61
84.6%
Q3 - 10:33INDBender Foul Turnover (P2.T8)50
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIAGrant 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)50
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 11:07INDMISS Croshere 20' Jump Shot50
19.2%
59
80.8%
Q3 - 11:16MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)50
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot50
20.1%
59
79.9%
Q3 - 11:42INDMiller 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 11:50MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)48
16.6%
59
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND48
14.7%
59
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound48
16.6%
59
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Miller 58' 3PT Jump Shot48
15.2%
59
84.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJones 11' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
17.2%
59
82.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDHarrington Driving Layup (12 PTS)48
19.7%
57
80.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAEllis 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)46
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDHarrington Dunk (10 PTS)46
19.6%
55
80.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0INDMISS Foster 5' Running Jump Shot44
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q2 - 1:01INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q2 - 1:15INDMiller Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)44
16.6%
55
83.4%
Q2 - 1:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot44
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q2 - 1:30MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
16.6%
55
83.4%
Q2 - 1:32INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot44
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q2 - 1:48MIAEllis 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)44
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q2 - 2:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
20.6%
53
79.4%
Q2 - 2:08INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 244
20.9%
53
79.1%
Q2 - 2:08INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
22.4%
53
77.6%
Q2 - 2:19INDBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot43
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q2 - 2:34MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q2 - 2:36INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q2 - 2:36INDMISS Harrington Tip Shot43
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 2:38INDMISS Best 18' Jump Shot43
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 2:46INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot43
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q2 - 3:11INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 3 AST)43
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q2 - 3:17INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
17.7%
53
82.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Grant Layup41
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q2 - 3:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q2 - 3:37INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot41
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMourning 10' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)41
17.7%
53
82.3%
Q2 - 4:13INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 2 AST)41
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)38
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q2 - 4:52MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
18.3%
49
81.7%
Q2 - 4:54INDMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
18.8%
49
81.2%
Q2 - 5:10MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)38
20.6%
49
79.4%
Q2 - 5:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
18.6%
49
81.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot38
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 5:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
18.6%
49
81.4%
Q2 - 5:41INDMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot38
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q2 - 6:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
21.3%
49
78.7%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot38
20.6%
49
79.4%
Q2 - 6:22INDCroshere Layup (7 PTS)38
19.1%
49
80.9%
Q2 - 6:23INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
17.8%
49
82.2%
Q2 - 6:26INDMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot36
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q2 - 6:43MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 7:00INDFoster 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)36
15.9%
49
84.1%
Q2 - 7:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q2 - 7:04INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot34
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q2 - 7:25MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q2 - 7:38INDHarrington 8' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)34
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q2 - 7:55MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)32
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 8:13INDBest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 8:13INDBest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q2 - 8:23MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q2 - 8:41INDBender Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 9:05MIAHouse Layup (2 PTS)30
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 9:08INDHouse STEAL (1 STL)30
22.4%
40
77.6%
Q2 - 9:24MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 3 AST)30
24.4%
40
75.6%
Q2 - 9:37MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 9:40INDMISS Bender 18' Jump Shot30
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 9:54MIAEllis 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)30
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 10:07INDHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 10:12INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
32.7%
36
67.3%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot30
32.0%
36
68.0%
Q2 - 10:32INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)30
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 10:57MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 11:00MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
26.3%
36
73.7%
Q2 - 11:02INDMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot28
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 11:17INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Jones 3' Finger Roll28
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 11:27MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
26.6%
36
73.4%
Q2 - 11:29INDMISS Best 21' Jump Shot28
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 11:46MIAJackson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)28
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
30.6%
34
69.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDCroshere 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)28
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Gatling 7' Hook Shot25
26.2%
34
73.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0INDRose 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q1 - 1:02MIAGatling Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)23
23.2%
34
76.8%
Q1 - 1:14INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q1 - 1:14INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q1 - 1:35MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)21
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q1 - 1:53INDBest Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)21
27.2%
29
72.8%
Q1 - 2:12INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot19
24.9%
29
75.1%
Q1 - 2:36INDRose 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)19
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q1 - 2:43INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Gatling Layup17
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q1 - 2:47MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
20.5%
29
79.5%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Jackson 12' Hook Shot17
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q1 - 3:05INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q1 - 3:05INDPacers Rebound16
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q1 - 3:05INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 216
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q1 - 3:05INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q1 - 3:06INDMISS Harrington Layup16
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAEllis 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q1 - 3:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q1 - 3:40INDEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)16
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 4:06MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)16
24.7%
27
75.3%
Q1 - 4:24INDBender Follow Up Dunk (7 PTS)16
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q1 - 4:26INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 4:28INDMISS Rose 11' Jump Shot14
23.4%
25
76.6%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)14
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 5:04INDRogers Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q1 - 5:21MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 5:33INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 6:03INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
30.7%
21
69.3%
Q1 - 6:03INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 6:07INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
29.1%
21
70.9%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q1 - 6:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 6:23INDMISS Rogers Free Throw 2 of 212
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 6:23INDRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q1 - 6:35MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
27.4%
21
72.6%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 211
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 6:46INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot11
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 7:01MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)11
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q1 - 7:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 7:14INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot11
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 111
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)11
33.2%
18
66.8%
Q1 - 7:43INDRose 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJones Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)9
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 8:16INDMISS Bender 6' Running Jump Shot9
35.5%
14
64.5%
Q1 - 8:27MIAGill Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)9
36.9%
14
63.1%
Q1 - 8:40INDBender 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 8:45INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 8:46INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
35.5%
12
64.5%
Q1 - 9:02MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)7
36.8%
12
63.2%
Q1 - 9:14MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
38.1%
10
61.9%
Q1 - 9:16INDMISS Rogers 22' Jump Shot7
38.8%
10
61.2%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
40.4%
10
59.6%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 9:36INDRogers 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)7
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 9:51MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)5
40.4%
8
59.6%
Q1 - 10:04INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
41.9%
6
58.1%
Q1 - 10:04INDMISS Bender Free Throw 1 of 24
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 10:18MIAJones Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)4
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 10:27INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
45.8%
4
54.2%
Q1 - 10:53INDRogers 6' Running Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
46.1%
1
53.9%
Q1 - 11:03MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 11:05INDMISS Foster 11' Jump Shot2
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:11INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.2%
0
50.8%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot2
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 11:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot2
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 11:44INDRose 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Rogers: Tip to Bender0
45.6%
0
54.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
11
19
58%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
IND
19
42
45%
MIA
23
44
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
IND
13
18
72%
MIA
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose2150%10.5 / 21
R. Miller1450%7.0 / 14
A. Harrington1447%7.0 / 15
A. Croshere1246%6.0 / 13
J. Bender964%4.5 / 7
T. Best950%4.5 / 9
C. Rogers563%2.5 / 4
J. Foster440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2377%11.5 / 15
L. Ellis1478%7.0 / 9
K. Gill1365%6.5 / 10
B. Grant1246%6.0 / 13
A. Mourning1243%6.0 / 14
R. Strickland956%4.5 / 8
E. House975%4.5 / 6
J. Jackson433%2.0 / 6
C. Gatling440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+11
-14
89
MIA
81
+10
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
96.1
IND 95.7 +10.7
MIA 106.4
Pace
94.6
89.7
IND 100.1 +13.1
MIA 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.7
IND 14.4 +2.2
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
46.3%
IND 47.5%
MIA 57.0% +9.5%
TO %
15.2%
15.5%
IND 13.9% +1.1%
MIA 15.0%
ORB %
27.0%
26.7%
IND 19.5%
MIA 22.9% +3.4%
FTrt
32.8
26.8
IND 22.8 +6.3
MIA 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.2%
59.4%
IND 40.0%
MIA 67.4% +27.4%
STL %
8.4%
7.4%
IND 5.4% +1.1%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
7.8%
8.7%
IND 4.3% +1.0%
MIA 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
47.7%
IND 49.4%
MIA 54.9% +5.5%
Rim FG%
58.6%
60.6%
IND 57.9%
MIA 64.0% +6.1%
Mid FG%
40.1%
38.0%
IND 45.2%
MIA 52.3% +7.1%
3P %
33.9%
34.7%
IND 27.8%
MIA 40.0% +12.2%
FT %
77.2%
72.4%
IND 72.2%
MIA 76.9% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
28.1%
IND 24.1%
MIA 31.6% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
57.8%
IND 53.2% +2.5%
MIA 55.7%
3P Att. %
18.2%
14.1%
IND 22.8% +10.1%
MIA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points88100
Rebounds3541
Assists1429
Steals54
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)33 (4)
Field Goals35-7943-79
At-the-Rim FG11-1916-25
Midrange FG19-4223-44
2-Point FG30-6139-69
3-Point FG5-184-10
Free Throws13-1810-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 36
37.8
14
50%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
G · 6'8" 215 · 29
37.0
21
50%
4
5
1
2
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
9-17
53%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 250 · 25
27.5
4
40%
4
1
1
0
3
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 230 · 21
25.9
9
64%
4
1
0
0
2
2
2
2
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 232 · 31
6.9
5
63%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 22
39.0
14
47%
9
0
0
1
2
4
3
6
2-4
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
33.0
9
50%
3
4
2
0
1
5
0
3
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
32.9
12
46%
8
2
0
0
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23
C · 7'1" 255 · 22
C · 7'2" 260 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
49%
35
14
5
3
14
0
8
27
13-18
72%
30-61
49%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.