FinalWin Prob.pScore
1322%89
98
478%99
102
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
114.08682.7
SAS logo SAS
117.28790.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS98
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)98
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0UTAMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0UTARussell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)98
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)98
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)98
4.3%
100
95.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 298
10.9%
100
89.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)98
6.1%
100
93.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0UTAKirilenko 1' Dunk (24 PTS) (Malone 6 AST)98
10.5%
99
89.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)96
5.2%
99
94.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
4.2%
99
95.8%
Q4 - 1:07UTARussell Foul Turnover (P3.T14)96
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 1:10UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
10.4%
99
89.6%
Q4 - 1:12SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)96
5.7%
99
94.3%
Q4 - 1:12SASMISS Robinson 2' Tip Shot96
8.7%
99
91.3%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot96
8.8%
99
91.2%
Q4 - 1:39UTAMalone 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)96
6.8%
99
93.2%
Q4 - 1:57SASDaniels 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)94
4.7%
99
95.3%
Q4 - 2:12UTAMalone Layup (28 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)94
6.9%
97
93.1%
Q4 - 2:27SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (33 PTS)92
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 2:44SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)92
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 2:45UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 292
7.3%
95
92.7%
Q4 - 2:45UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)92
9.5%
95
90.5%
Q4 - 2:45UTAJazz Rebound91
8.4%
95
91.6%
Q4 - 2:45UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot91
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 3:10SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Daniels 6 AST)91
9.2%
95
90.8%
Q4 - 3:31UTAStockton 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)91
18.9%
92
81.1%
Q4 - 3:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)89
14.1%
92
85.9%
Q4 - 3:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)89
14.9%
91
85.1%
Q4 - 3:57UTAStockton 1' Layup (11 PTS)89
18.8%
90
81.2%
Q4 - 4:06UTAJazz Rebound87
14.0%
90
86.0%
Q4 - 4:07UTACollins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)87
14.0%
90
86.0%
Q4 - 4:07UTAMISS Collins Tip Shot87
11.0%
90
89.0%
Q4 - 4:10UTAMISS Russell Layup87
11.0%
90
89.0%
Q4 - 4:17UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
13.9%
90
86.1%
Q4 - 4:19SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
12.5%
90
87.5%
Q4 - 4:41UTAKirilenko 1' Layup (21 PTS)87
9.7%
90
90.3%
Q4 - 4:46UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
7.0%
90
93.0%
Q4 - 4:49SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot85
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 5:04SASSPURS Rebound85
5.7%
90
94.3%
Q4 - 5:05UTAMISS Stockton 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 5:22UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)85
7.9%
90
92.1%
Q4 - 5:24SASMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot85
7.2%
90
92.8%
Q4 - 5:45SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
5.7%
90
94.3%
Q4 - 5:47UTAMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q4 - 6:20SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (29 PTS)85
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 6:39UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
10.8%
88
89.2%
Q4 - 6:39UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)84
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 7:01UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)83
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q4 - 7:04SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot83
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 7:13SASPorter Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)83
7.0%
88
93.0%
Q4 - 7:33UTAStockton 1' Running Layup (9 PTS)83
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q4 - 7:41UTAStockton Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)81
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q4 - 7:49UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 7:52SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot80
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 8:11UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)80
4.8%
87
95.2%
Q4 - 8:11UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)79
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 8:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)78
3.8%
87
96.2%
Q4 - 8:26SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)78
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 8:37SASSPURS Rebound78
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q4 - 8:38UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 278
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 8:38UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)78
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 8:54SASJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)77
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q4 - 9:06SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
8.1%
82
91.9%
Q4 - 9:09UTADuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)77
8.7%
82
91.3%
Q4 - 9:13UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q4 - 9:15UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot77
8.7%
82
91.3%
Q4 - 9:30SASSmith 1' Layup (19 PTS)77
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q4 - 9:37UTARobinson STEAL (2 STL)77
12.5%
80
87.5%
Q4 - 9:51SASJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)77
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q4 - 9:55SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
22.8%
77
77.2%
Q4 - 9:57SASMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot77
26.0%
77
74.0%
Q4 - 10:09UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
22.6%
77
77.4%
Q4 - 10:09UTARussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q4 - 10:24SASSmith 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
19.2%
77
80.8%
Q4 - 10:41UTAOstertag 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 5 AST)75
22.6%
75
77.4%
Q4 - 11:03UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
19.6%
75
80.4%
Q4 - 11:06SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot73
18.5%
75
81.5%
Q4 - 11:25SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
16.2%
75
83.8%
Q4 - 11:27UTAMISS Stockton 18' Jump Shot73
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q4 - 11:46SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
19.5%
75
80.5%
Q4 - 11:46SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
20.5%
74
79.5%
Q4 - 11:49UTASmith STEAL (2 STL)73
23.0%
73
77.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS73
27.3%
73
72.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
22.7%
73
77.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot73
23.8%
73
76.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
26.6%
73
73.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASMISS Porter Layup73
25.4%
73
74.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)73
22.8%
73
77.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASDuncan Layup (25 PTS)71
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q3 - 1:26UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)71
22.2%
71
77.8%
Q3 - 1:53SASSmith 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)71
25.9%
71
74.1%
Q3 - 2:08UTASmith STEAL (1 STL)71
28.6%
69
71.4%
Q3 - 2:17SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)71
32.9%
69
67.1%
Q3 - 2:34UTAStarks Foul Turnover (P1.T9)71
28.6%
69
71.4%
Q3 - 2:44UTAJazz Rebound71
33.0%
69
67.0%
Q3 - 2:44SASMISS Smith Layup71
31.6%
69
68.4%
Q3 - 3:01UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
28.4%
69
71.6%
Q3 - 3:01UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
27.6%
69
72.4%
Q3 - 3:02UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q3 - 3:05UTAMISS Starks 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 3:27SASSmith 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST)69
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q3 - 3:50UTAMalone 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)69
28.4%
67
71.6%
Q3 - 4:12SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)67
24.5%
67
75.5%
Q3 - 4:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)67
25.1%
66
74.9%
Q3 - 4:32UTAStevenson 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)67
27.4%
65
72.6%
Q3 - 4:39UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 4:41UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot65
22.1%
65
77.9%
Q3 - 4:57SASRose 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)65
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 5:02SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
27.2%
63
72.8%
Q3 - 5:05UTARose BLOCK (2 BLK)65
28.3%
63
71.7%
Q3 - 5:06UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
30.8%
63
69.2%
Q3 - 5:08UTAMISS Malone 15' Jump Shot65
28.3%
63
71.7%
Q3 - 5:28SASSmith 1' Layup (5 PTS)65
30.8%
63
69.2%
Q3 - 5:49UTAKirilenko 1' Dunk (16 PTS)65
34.2%
61
65.8%
Q3 - 5:52SASSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)63
30.9%
61
69.1%
Q3 - 6:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
27.1%
61
72.9%
Q3 - 6:02UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot63
27.5%
61
72.5%
Q3 - 6:19SASDuncan 1' Layup (21 PTS)63
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 6:30SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 6:32UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
37.1%
59
62.9%
Q3 - 6:32UTAMISS Collins 3' Jump Shot63
34.4%
59
65.6%
Q3 - 6:34UTAMISS Collins 6' Jump Shot63
34.4%
59
65.6%
Q3 - 6:51SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 7:03UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
39.4%
57
60.6%
Q3 - 7:03UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 262
38.7%
57
61.3%
Q3 - 7:10UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
40.0%
57
60.0%
Q3 - 7:12SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot62
38.7%
57
61.3%
Q3 - 7:22SASSmith Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)62
35.8%
57
64.2%
Q3 - 7:40UTAKirilenko 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Starks 1 AST)62
39.5%
56
60.5%
Q3 - 7:45SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)60
36.3%
56
63.7%
Q3 - 7:50SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q3 - 7:53UTAMISS Malone 15' Turnaround Jump Shot60
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 8:08UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
35.6%
56
64.4%
Q3 - 8:10SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
34.4%
56
65.6%
Q3 - 8:18SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
31.8%
56
68.2%
Q3 - 8:23SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
31.8%
56
68.2%
Q3 - 8:23SASMISS Smith Follow Up Dunk60
34.5%
56
65.5%
Q3 - 8:26SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
34.5%
56
65.5%
Q3 - 8:43UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
31.8%
56
68.2%
Q3 - 8:43UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 8:58SASDaniels Foul Turnover (P2.T7)58
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 9:02SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
24.8%
56
75.2%
Q3 - 9:04UTAMISS Stockton 19' Jump Shot58
25.7%
56
74.3%
Q3 - 9:23SASDaniels 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
27.8%
56
72.2%
Q3 - 9:37UTACollins 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
30.8%
54
69.2%
Q3 - 9:51SASSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)56
27.9%
54
72.1%
Q3 - 10:05UTACollins 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q3 - 10:32SASDaniels Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)54
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q3 - 10:37UTASmith STEAL (1 STL)54
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 10:44UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q3 - 10:46SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
26.2%
52
73.8%
Q3 - 10:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 10:55UTADuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)54
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q3 - 11:07SASDaniels Slam Dunk (11 PTS)54
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 11:17UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
28.8%
50
71.2%
Q3 - 11:17UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
28.0%
50
72.0%
Q3 - 11:46SASSmith 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)52
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA52
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot52
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0UTAStarks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)52
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASSmith 2' Layup (9 PTS)49
23.0%
48
77.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
26.1%
46
73.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0UTAMISS Stevenson 16' Jump Shot49
26.7%
46
73.3%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)49
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
30.1%
45
69.9%
Q2 - 1:22SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 1:25UTAMISS Russell 21' Jump Shot49
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q2 - 1:49SASRobinson 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)49
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 2:13UTAPadgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)49
38.8%
41
61.2%
Q2 - 2:32SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 2:54UTAMalone 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)46
36.0%
39
64.0%
Q2 - 3:12SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)44
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 3:23UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
29.1%
39
70.9%
Q2 - 3:23UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)44
29.1%
39
70.9%
Q2 - 3:26UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 3:26UTAMISS Kirilenko 2' Layup42
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 3:28UTAMISS Padgett 2' Layup42
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 3:38UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 3:40UTAMISS Russell 16' Jump Shot42
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 3:49UTAJazz Rebound42
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Daniels 6' Jump Shot42
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 3:54SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 3:56UTADuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)42
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 4:09SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Kirilenko: Tip to Padgett42
26.0%
39
74.0%
Q2 - 4:24UTAMalone 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Padgett 2 AST)42
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 4:43SASSmith 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
21.9%
39
78.1%
Q2 - 5:02UTARussell Foul Turnover (P2.T7)40
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q2 - 5:13UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
25.7%
37
74.3%
Q2 - 5:14SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 240
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 5:14SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 5:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 5:21SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot40
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 5:38UTAJackson STEAL (3 STL)40
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 5:52SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 5:52SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 6:11SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q2 - 6:13SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
31.2%
34
68.8%
Q2 - 6:29SASSPURS Rebound40
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q2 - 6:29SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q2 - 6:29SASMISS Robinson 2' Tip Shot40
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 6:32SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
31.3%
34
68.7%
Q2 - 6:45UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q2 - 6:45UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
28.8%
34
71.2%
Q2 - 6:50SASPorter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)38
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q2 - 6:56UTARobinson STEAL (1 STL)38
25.0%
34
75.0%
Q2 - 7:10SASJackson 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)38
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q2 - 7:18UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)38
28.8%
32
71.2%
Q2 - 7:34UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
24.9%
32
75.1%
Q2 - 7:36SASMISS Porter 18' Jump Shot35
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q2 - 7:41SASSPURS Rebound35
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot35
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q2 - 7:55UTARose STEAL (1 STL)35
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 8:14UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 8:16SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot35
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 8:29UTAStockton 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 8:49SASPorter Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)33
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q2 - 8:49SASDaniels Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)33
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 8:50SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
20.8%
31
79.2%
Q2 - 8:51UTARose BLOCK (1 BLK)33
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q2 - 9:00SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 9:00SASRobinson Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)33
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 9:02SASMISS Porter 1' Layup33
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 9:20SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 9:23UTAMISS Russell 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
24.6%
29
75.4%
Q2 - 9:29UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q2 - 9:32SASMISS Daniels 1' Reverse Layup33
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 9:53UTAKirilenko 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 10:09UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q2 - 10:11SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q2 - 10:31UTARussell Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)31
20.5%
29
79.5%
Q2 - 10:35UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q2 - 10:39SASMISS Rose 1' Layup31
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q2 - 10:52SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
20.5%
29
79.5%
Q2 - 10:55UTADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)31
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q2 - 11:16SASJackson 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q2 - 11:27UTAJackson STEAL (2 STL)31
23.4%
27
76.6%
Q2 - 11:43UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
25.3%
27
74.7%
Q2 - 11:46SASMISS Jackson 2' Layup31
24.7%
27
75.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS31
23.5%
27
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound31
23.5%
27
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Smith 33' 3PT Jump Shot31
24.7%
27
75.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)31
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)29
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0UTAMISS Amaechi 7' Jump Shot29
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q1 - 1:00SASMISS Porter 20' Jump Shot29
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 1:24UTAStevenson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Amaechi 2 AST)29
25.0%
24
75.0%
Q1 - 1:39UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q1 - 1:41UTAMISS Amaechi 19' Jump Shot27
22.0%
24
78.0%
Q1 - 2:00SASDuncan Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)27
22.9%
24
77.1%
Q1 - 2:13UTAStarks 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Amaechi 1 AST)27
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 2:23SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 2:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 2:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 2:29UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
26.4%
20
73.6%
Q1 - 2:29UTAMISS Ostertag 2' Layup25
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 2:31UTAMISS Stevenson 1' Layup25
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 2:46UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
26.4%
20
73.6%
Q1 - 2:49SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 2:55SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 2:57UTAMISS Russell 14' Jump Shot25
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 3:19SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 3:19SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
26.3%
19
73.7%
Q1 - 3:21UTAJackson STEAL (1 STL)25
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 3:35UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Smith Layup25
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 3:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q1 - 3:45UTADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)25
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 3:58SASDaniels 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 4:24UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 4:24UTAKirilenko Layup (4 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)24
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 4:41SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 4:41SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
27.3%
15
72.7%
Q1 - 4:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 4:51SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 5:05UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 5:05UTAMalone 1' Layup (7 PTS)22
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 5:07UTAMISS Stevenson 13' Jump Shot20
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 5:25SASDuncan Dunk (6 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)20
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 5:48UTAMalone 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 6:03UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 6:05UTAMISS Stockton 16' Jump Shot17
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 6:25SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 6:25SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 6:43UTACollins 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)17
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 6:56SASSmith 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)15
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 7:10UTAStockton 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)15
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 7:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 7:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
23.1%
7
76.9%
Q1 - 7:35UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)13
24.1%
6
75.9%
Q1 - 7:45UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 7:49SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup11
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 8:10UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)11
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 8:21SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 8:21SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
20.3%
5
79.7%
Q1 - 8:37UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 8:37UTACollins 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)8
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 9:01SASDaniels 1' Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)6
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 9:23UTAStockton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)6
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 9:38SASSmith 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 9:44SASSPURS Rebound4
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot4
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 10:01UTAStevenson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)4
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 10:04SASSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 10:08SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 10:09SASMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot2
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:24SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 10:24UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 2 of 22
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 10:24UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 22
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:28UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 10:30SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot2
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:53UTAStevenson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:03UTAJazz Rebound0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:04UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 11:23UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:24SASMISS Duncan Layup0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 11:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 11:50UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Collins: Tip to Kirilenko0
16.2%
0
83.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.05 52.7%
SAS
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
16
30
53%
SAS
15
29
52%
Midrange
UTA
17
37
46%
SAS
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
SAS
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
UTA
20
25
80%
SAS
30
32
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Malone3068%15.0 / 22
A. Kirilenko2471%12.0 / 17
J. Stockton1365%6.5 / 10
J. Collins1146%5.5 / 12
D. Stevenson840%4.0 / 10
J. Starks583%2.5 / 3
S. Padgett338%1.5 / 4
B. Russell214%1.0 / 7
G. Ostertag233%1.0 / 3
J. Amaechi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3567%17.5 / 26
C. Smith1956%9.5 / 17
A. Daniels1860%9.0 / 15
S. Jackson1286%6.0 / 7
S. Smith1056%5.0 / 9
D. Robinson433%2.0 / 6
M. Rose220%1.0 / 5
T. Porter225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
73
+18
-13
91
SAS
77
+15
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.05 52.7%
SAS
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
103.9
UTA 114.0
SAS 117.2 +3.3
Pace
92.3
92.4
UTA 82.7
SAS 90.6 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.5
UTA 17.4
SAS 15.9 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
49.2%
UTA 50.0% +2.0%
SAS 48.0%
TO %
16.9%
14.8%
UTA 13.6%
SAS 10.1% +3.5%
ORB %
33.5%
27.2%
UTA 38.5% +8.8%
SAS 29.7%
FTrt
38.1
35.3
UTA 32.1
SAS 42.7 +10.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
69.7%
56.4%
UTA 59.5% +18.3%
SAS 41.2%
STL %
9.8%
8.2%
UTA 8.1%
SAS 10.3% +2.2%
BLK %
10.5%
9.5%
UTA 10.0%
SAS 10.4% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
51.2%
UTA 52.7%
SAS 54.8% +2.1%
Rim FG%
54.8%
60.3%
UTA 53.3% +1.6%
SAS 51.7%
Mid FG%
39.6%
37.6%
UTA 45.9%
SAS 48.4% +2.5%
3P %
33.3%
36.2%
UTA 36.4% +9.7%
SAS 26.7%
FT %
76.3%
74.2%
UTA 80.0%
SAS 93.8% +13.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
37.2%
UTA 38.5%
SAS 38.7% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
45.7%
43.8%
UTA 47.4%
SAS 41.3% +6.1%
3P Att. %
13.2%
19.0%
UTA 14.1%
SAS 20.0% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsUTASAS
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points98102
Rebounds4135
Assists2214
Steals79
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)24 (2)
Field Goals37-7834-75
At-the-Rim FG16-3015-29
Midrange FG17-3715-31
2-Point FG33-6730-60
3-Point FG4-114-15
Free Throws20-2530-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 259 · 38
44.8
30
68%
14
6
1
0
3
3
3
11
7-10
70%
10-16
63%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
39.1
24
71%
8
3
6
1
2
0
4
4
7-9
78%
7-11
64%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 218 · 21
31.9
8
40%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 40
29.9
13
65%
4
4
0
0
2
4
2
2
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 249 · 23
28.6
11
46%
9
1
0
1
1
6
4
5
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31
27.4
2
14%
3
1
0
1
3
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 190 · 36
15.7
5
83%
0
1
0
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C · 7'2" 280 · 29
8.6
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 26
8.5
3
38%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31
5.6
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" · 33
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
41
22
7
6
13
0
15
26
20-25
80%
33-67
49%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.