FinalWin Prob.pScore
289%84
102
191%100
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.28794.3
LAL logo LAL
110.38780.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)102
99.0%
96
1.0%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)101
98.8%
96
1.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
97.6%
96
2.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
96.5%
96
3.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)100
91.4%
96
8.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)99
89.9%
96
10.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHeat Rebound98
77.5%
96
22.5%
Q4 - 0:28.0LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
70.5%
96
29.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
51.4%
96
48.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)98
56.8%
96
43.2%
Q4 - 1:03LALHorry Foul Turnover (P3.T10)98
63.9%
96
36.1%
Q4 - 1:23MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
40.9%
96
59.1%
Q4 - 1:23MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)97
39.0%
96
61.0%
Q4 - 1:23MIAHeat Rebound96
30.5%
96
69.5%
Q4 - 1:23LALMISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot96
26.6%
96
73.4%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (28 PTS)96
18.5%
96
81.5%
Q4 - 2:01MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
13.2%
96
86.8%
Q4 - 2:03LALMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
11.1%
96
88.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)94
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 2:32LALBryant Foul Turnover (P3.T9)92
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 2:46MIAStrickland 12' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)92
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 2:58LALBryant Layup (29 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)90
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)90
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)89
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 3:44LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)88
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 3:44LALMadsen Layup (6 PTS)88
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 3:47LALMISS Bryant Dunk88
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
4.8%
92
95.2%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMourning Follow Up Dunk (24 PTS)88
4.8%
92
95.2%
Q4 - 4:06MIAMISS Strickland 6' Running Jump Shot86
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 4:28LALHunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST)86
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 4:33LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)86
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 4:34LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot86
8.8%
89
91.2%
Q4 - 4:38LALBryant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot86
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 5:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
9.8%
89
90.2%
Q4 - 5:06LALMISS George 17' Jump Shot86
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 5:18LALBryant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
7.1%
89
92.9%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Mourning 12' Turnaround Jump Shot86
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 5:51LALBryant 9' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)86
9.8%
89
90.2%
Q4 - 6:01LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup86
13.5%
87
86.5%
Q4 - 6:31LALBryant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)86
16.7%
87
83.3%
Q4 - 6:31LALBryant Tip Shot (25 PTS)86
16.7%
87
83.3%
Q4 - 6:33LALMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot86
24.9%
85
75.1%
Q4 - 6:36LALWalker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)86
20.7%
85
79.3%
Q4 - 6:38LALMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot86
24.9%
85
75.1%
Q4 - 6:51LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
20.7%
85
79.3%
Q4 - 6:54MIAHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)86
22.5%
85
77.5%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
24.9%
85
75.1%
Q4 - 7:11LALMISS Bryant 9' Hook Shot86
23.2%
85
76.8%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T8)86
19.6%
85
80.4%
Q4 - 7:45LALHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
25.0%
85
75.0%
Q4 - 7:45LALHorry Follow Up Dunk (3 PTS)86
25.0%
85
75.0%
Q4 - 7:47LALMISS Hunter 16' Jump Shot86
34.6%
83
65.4%
Q4 - 8:01LALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)86
28.8%
83
71.2%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot86
30.5%
83
69.5%
Q4 - 8:23MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
34.5%
83
65.5%
Q4 - 8:25LALMISS George Driving Layup86
32.7%
83
67.3%
Q4 - 8:31MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)86
28.8%
83
71.2%
Q4 - 8:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
34.5%
83
65.5%
Q4 - 8:44LALMISS George Driving Layup86
32.7%
83
67.3%
Q4 - 8:54LALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
28.9%
83
71.1%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot86
30.5%
83
69.5%
Q4 - 9:14MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
32.2%
83
67.8%
Q4 - 9:18LALMISS George 3PT Jump Shot86
30.6%
83
69.4%
Q4 - 9:36MIAJackson 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)86
27.1%
83
72.9%
Q4 - 9:52LALWalker 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q4 - 10:09MIAJackson 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)84
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q4 - 10:27MIAHeat Rebound82
22.2%
81
77.8%
Q4 - 10:28LALMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot82
20.9%
81
79.1%
Q4 - 10:47LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Grant Layup82
19.4%
81
80.6%
Q4 - 11:18LALGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)82
22.3%
81
77.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAGrant 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)82
30.5%
78
69.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
26.3%
78
73.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound80
26.3%
78
73.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 58' 3PT Jump Shot80
23.3%
78
76.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALBryant Driving Layup (23 PTS)80
24.7%
78
75.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAEllis Layup (9 PTS) (House 1 AST)80
28.9%
76
71.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0LALFisher Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)78
24.9%
76
75.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
21.3%
76
78.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
20.6%
76
79.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0LALFox 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Madsen 3 AST)76
18.0%
76
82.0%
Q3 - 1:09MIAGrant Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)76
23.5%
73
76.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIAHeat Rebound74
20.3%
73
79.7%
Q3 - 1:29LALMISS Fox 3PT Jump Shot74
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q3 - 1:38LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
17.2%
73
82.8%
Q3 - 1:42MIAFisher BLOCK (1 BLK)74
18.1%
73
81.9%
Q3 - 2:01LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q3 - 2:01LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)74
19.8%
72
80.2%
Q3 - 2:13MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
22.2%
71
77.8%
Q3 - 2:13MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
21.7%
71
78.3%
Q3 - 2:31LALFisher 30' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Madsen 2 AST)72
19.5%
71
80.5%
Q3 - 2:36LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)72
25.7%
68
74.3%
Q3 - 2:39LALMISS Fox 9' Jump Shot72
28.5%
68
71.5%
Q3 - 2:54LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
25.7%
68
74.3%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot72
26.9%
68
73.1%
Q3 - 3:10LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
28.9%
68
71.1%
Q3 - 3:10LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
29.4%
67
70.6%
Q3 - 3:36MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)72
32.5%
66
67.5%
Q3 - 4:01LALFox 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)69
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 4:07LALFox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
30.4%
63
69.6%
Q3 - 4:11MIAFox BLOCK (1 BLK)69
31.7%
63
68.3%
Q3 - 4:16MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
34.8%
63
65.2%
Q3 - 4:18LALMISS Bryant Driving Layup69
33.5%
63
66.5%
Q3 - 4:34MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)69
30.6%
63
69.4%
Q3 - 4:51MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
27.6%
63
72.4%
Q3 - 4:53LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot67
26.4%
63
73.6%
Q3 - 5:13LALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)67
23.2%
63
76.8%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 267
23.6%
63
76.4%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 267
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
24.2%
63
75.8%
Q3 - 5:51LALBryant Driving Layup (17 PTS)67
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q3 - 6:07MIAFisher STEAL (1 STL)67
28.2%
61
71.8%
Q3 - 6:30LALMadsen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)67
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q3 - 6:47LALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)67
35.3%
59
64.7%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 7:09LALFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Madsen 1 AST)67
37.9%
59
62.1%
Q3 - 7:12LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
44.8%
56
55.2%
Q3 - 7:14LALMISS Fox 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
47.9%
56
52.1%
Q3 - 7:34LALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
44.9%
56
55.1%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Strickland Reverse Layup67
46.2%
56
53.8%
Q3 - 7:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
49.3%
56
50.7%
Q3 - 7:49LALMISS Madsen 8' Hook Shot67
48.0%
56
52.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMourning 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)67
43.4%
56
56.6%
Q3 - 8:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
40.2%
56
59.8%
Q3 - 8:23LALMISS Bryant 8' Jump Shot65
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)65
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAHeat Rebound65
40.3%
56
59.7%
Q3 - 8:40LALMISS Fisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T4)65
34.1%
56
65.9%
Q3 - 9:18LALMadsen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)65
37.7%
56
62.3%
Q3 - 9:26LALLAKERS Rebound65
41.1%
54
58.9%
Q3 - 9:26LALMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot65
43.7%
54
56.3%
Q3 - 9:46LALLAKERS Rebound65
41.2%
54
58.8%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot65
42.3%
54
57.7%
Q3 - 10:02LALFox 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)65
42.3%
54
57.7%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMourning Reverse Layup (20 PTS)65
49.1%
51
50.9%
Q3 - 10:37MIAHeat Rebound63
46.0%
51
54.0%
Q3 - 10:37LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
42.1%
51
57.9%
Q3 - 10:37LALMISS Bryant Tip Shot63
44.8%
51
55.2%
Q3 - 10:38LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
42.1%
51
57.9%
Q3 - 10:38LALMISS Bryant Tip Shot63
44.8%
51
55.2%
Q3 - 10:40LALMISS Bryant Layup63
44.8%
51
55.2%
Q3 - 10:55MIAStrickland Driving Layup (10 PTS)63
42.2%
51
57.8%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
39.1%
51
60.9%
Q3 - 11:00LALFox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
35.4%
51
64.6%
Q3 - 11:00LALMISS Fox Tip Shot61
38.0%
51
62.0%
Q3 - 11:04LALMISS Bryant Alley Oop Layup61
35.6%
51
64.4%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
33.5%
51
66.5%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 260
32.5%
51
67.5%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Strickland 9' Jump Shot60
31.4%
51
68.6%
Q3 - 11:47LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)60
33.7%
51
66.3%
Q3 - 11:47LALBryant Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
36.9%
50
63.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA60
40.0%
48
60.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)60
43.5%
48
56.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)60
48.5%
45
51.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0LALFisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (George 3 AST)57
41.0%
45
59.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0LALWalker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)57
48.5%
42
51.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
50.2%
42
49.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
48.6%
42
51.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot57
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q2 - 1:15LALFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)57
49.1%
42
50.9%
Q2 - 1:26LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 1:28LALMISS George 18' Jump Shot57
58.2%
39
41.8%
Q2 - 1:33LALLAKERS Rebound57
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 1:36LALMISS George 15' Jump Shot57
58.2%
39
41.8%
Q2 - 1:46LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot57
57.6%
39
42.4%
Q2 - 2:05LALBryant Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (George 2 AST)57
57.2%
39
42.8%
Q2 - 2:09MIABryant STEAL (1 STL)57
60.4%
37
39.6%
Q2 - 2:26LALWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)57
63.2%
37
36.8%
Q2 - 2:26LALWalker 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
66.1%
36
33.9%
Q2 - 2:26LALWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
69.0%
34
31.0%
Q2 - 2:28LALMISS Madsen 17' Jump Shot57
70.7%
34
29.3%
Q2 - 2:42LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot57
69.9%
34
30.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
68.1%
34
31.9%
Q2 - 3:12LALMISS Madsen Layup57
67.2%
34
32.8%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS)57
65.3%
34
34.7%
Q2 - 3:48LALGeorge 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)55
63.0%
34
37.0%
Q2 - 3:51LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
65.5%
32
34.5%
Q2 - 3:54LALMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot55
67.5%
32
32.5%
Q2 - 4:00LALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
65.5%
32
34.5%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS Grant Layup55
63.1%
32
36.9%
Q2 - 4:10MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
65.0%
32
35.0%
Q2 - 4:13LALMISS Horry 13' Jump Shot55
64.2%
32
35.8%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMourning Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)55
62.4%
32
37.6%
Q2 - 4:39LALWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 4:39LALWalker Layup (8 PTS) (George 1 AST)53
62.5%
31
37.5%
Q2 - 4:46LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Mourning Layup53
66.0%
29
34.0%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
67.8%
29
32.2%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot53
66.0%
29
34.0%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
66.0%
29
34.0%
Q2 - 5:03LALMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 5:08LALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
63.2%
29
36.8%
Q2 - 5:09LALMISS Hunter 18' Jump Shot53
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 5:26MIAStrickland Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
63.3%
29
36.7%
Q2 - 5:49LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)51
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 5:58LALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
57.9%
29
42.1%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot51
56.5%
29
43.5%
Q2 - 6:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)51
58.9%
29
41.1%
Q2 - 6:25LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot51
57.9%
29
42.1%
Q2 - 6:44MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)51
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q2 - 7:07MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 7:09MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)49
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Ellis Tip Shot49
48.7%
29
51.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS House 11' Jump Shot49
48.7%
29
51.3%
Q2 - 7:16LALGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
50.7%
29
49.3%
Q2 - 7:24LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
47.9%
29
52.1%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
50.8%
29
49.2%
Q2 - 7:50LALMISS Hunter 23' Jump Shot49
50.0%
29
50.0%
Q2 - 8:13LALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 8:13LALMISS Horry 13' Jump Shot49
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 8:26MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P2.T2)49
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 8:26MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
49.7%
29
50.3%
Q2 - 8:26MIAGeorge BLOCK (1 BLK)49
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 8:40LALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)49
49.7%
29
50.3%
Q2 - 8:40LALGeorge 4' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)49
52.3%
28
47.7%
Q2 - 8:50MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)49
54.6%
26
45.4%
Q2 - 9:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
47.6%
26
52.4%
Q2 - 9:08LALMISS George 9' Turnaround Jump Shot46
46.8%
26
53.2%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHouse Layup (4 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)46
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 9:39LALRichmond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
42.8%
26
57.2%
Q2 - 9:47MIAEllis Layup (4 PTS)44
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q2 - 9:49MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Stepania Layup42
36.2%
26
63.8%
Q2 - 10:12LALWalker Slam Dunk (6 PTS)42
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)42
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q2 - 10:14MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
42.3%
24
57.7%
Q2 - 10:16LALMISS Hunter 14' Jump Shot42
41.5%
24
58.5%
Q2 - 10:26LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot42
40.4%
24
59.6%
Q2 - 10:37MIAJackson Free Throw Clear Path (6 PTS)42
42.3%
24
57.7%
Q2 - 10:37LALHorry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)41
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 10:54MIAHouse 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)41
37.2%
24
62.8%
Q2 - 11:13LALHorry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)39
33.4%
24
66.6%
Q2 - 11:24LALHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
31.3%
24
68.7%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
32.0%
24
68.0%
Q2 - 11:43LALRichmond 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)39
33.5%
24
66.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL39
35.8%
22
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound39
35.8%
22
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot39
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot39
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
36.6%
22
63.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAEllis Layup (2 PTS)39
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS House 12' Jump Shot37
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0LALHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0LALMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 237
37.1%
19
62.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0LALLAKERS Rebound37
37.1%
19
62.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0LALMISS Horry 10' Jump Shot37
38.3%
19
61.7%
Q1 - 1:06MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
36.8%
19
63.2%
Q1 - 1:06MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
36.0%
19
64.0%
Q1 - 1:15MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34.1%
19
65.9%
Q1 - 1:17LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 235
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 1:17LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 235
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 1:28MIAJackson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)35
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 1:40LALMedvedenko Foul Turnover (P1.T2)33
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 2:02MIAJackson Layup (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)33
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 2:09MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 2:11LALMISS Fox 3PT Jump Shot31
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q1 - 2:28MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 230
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 2:44LALMISS Bryant 15' Jump Shot30
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMourning 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)30
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 3:23MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
20.2%
19
79.8%
Q1 - 3:25LALMISS Madsen Layup28
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 3:31MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 3:56LALBryant 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)26
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)26
17.8%
17
82.2%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMourning Driving Layup (10 PTS)25
16.6%
17
83.4%
Q1 - 4:24LALBryant 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fox 3 AST)23
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMourning 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot21
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 4:56LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 4:56LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 5:15MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 5:24LALWalker 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 5:43MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)19
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 6:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
14.8%
11
85.2%
Q1 - 6:02LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot17
13.9%
11
86.1%
Q1 - 6:28MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)17
13.2%
11
86.8%
Q1 - 6:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12.4%
11
87.6%
Q1 - 6:40LALMISS Walker Layup15
12.1%
11
87.9%
Q1 - 7:05MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)15
11.0%
11
89.0%
Q1 - 7:22LALFox 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)13
10.4%
11
89.6%
Q1 - 7:31LALLAKERS Rebound13
11.0%
9
89.0%
Q1 - 7:32LALMISS Fox 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
11.6%
9
88.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAGill 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
11.0%
9
89.0%
Q1 - 7:42MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
10.4%
9
89.6%
Q1 - 7:45MIAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)11
9.8%
9
90.2%
Q1 - 7:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
10.4%
9
89.6%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Strickland Layup11
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 8:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 8:06LALMISS Fisher 22' Jump Shot11
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 8:15LALLAKERS Rebound11
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Gill 23' Jump Shot11
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 8:35LALBryant Layup (4 PTS) (Fox 2 AST)11
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 8:56MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
10.7%
7
89.3%
Q1 - 9:15LALBryant 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 9:27LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.9%
5
90.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot8
10.1%
5
89.9%
Q1 - 9:40LALWalker 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
10.8%
5
89.2%
Q1 - 9:59MIAGill 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)8
11.3%
3
88.7%
Q1 - 10:16MIAHeat Rebound6
10.6%
3
89.4%
Q1 - 10:17LALMISS Fox Driving Layup6
10.4%
3
89.6%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMourning 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)6
9.8%
3
90.2%
Q1 - 10:47LALFisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fox 1 AST)4
9.3%
3
90.7%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMourning Reverse Layup (4 PTS)4
10.4%
0
89.6%
Q1 - 11:19LALBryant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
9.7%
0
90.3%
Q1 - 11:23LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
9.2%
0
90.8%
Q1 - 11:25LALMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot2
9.6%
0
90.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMourning 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)2
9.2%
0
90.8%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Walker vs. Mourning: Tip to Grant0
8.5%
0
91.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.8%
LAL
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
27
59%
LAL
13
26
50%
Midrange
MIA
20
40
50%
LAL
13
40
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
LAL
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
18
22
82%
LAL
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2867%14.0 / 21
J. Jackson1979%9.5 / 12
R. Strickland1454%7.0 / 13
E. Jones1056%5.0 / 9
E. House1042%5.0 / 12
L. Ellis945%4.5 / 10
K. Gill650%3.0 / 6
B. Grant440%2.0 / 5
V. Stepania250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2943%14.5 / 34
D. Fisher1777%8.5 / 11
S. Walker1464%7.0 / 11
R. Fox1150%5.5 / 11
D. George1146%5.5 / 12
M. Madsen643%3.0 / 7
R. Horry319%1.5 / 8
L. Hunter325%1.5 / 6
M. Richmond2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+13
-8
92
LAL
77
+22
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.8%
LAL
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
106.3
MIA 117.2 +6.9
LAL 110.3
Pace
89.7
94.9
MIA 94.3 +13.6
LAL 80.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.4
MIA 15.3 +2.6
LAL 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
49.8%
MIA 53.2% +7.0%
LAL 46.2%
TO %
15.5%
12.7%
MIA 8.3% +0.9%
LAL 9.2%
ORB %
26.7%
28.9%
MIA 32.4%
LAL 38.6% +6.2%
FTrt
26.8
31.3
MIA 27.8 +12.6
LAL 15.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
59.7%
MIA 55.0%
LAL 59.5% +4.5%
STL %
7.4%
8.1%
MIA 6.9% +1.2%
LAL 5.7%
BLK %
8.7%
8.7%
MIA 7.6%
LAL 9.0% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
50.8%
MIA 54.8% +7.7%
LAL 47.1%
Rim FG%
60.6%
62.7%
MIA 59.3% +9.3%
LAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.5%
MIA 50.0% +17.5%
LAL 32.5%
3P %
34.7%
35.4%
MIA 33.3%
LAL 42.3% +9.0%
FT %
72.4%
69.9%
MIA 81.8% +3.2%
LAL 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
32.0%
MIA 34.2% +5.9%
LAL 28.3%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
47.0%
MIA 50.6%
LAL 43.5% +7.2%
3P Att. %
14.1%
21.0%
MIA 15.2%
LAL 28.3% +13.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points10296
Rebounds3942
Assists2222
Steals65
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (7)25 (2)
Field Goals40-7937-92
At-the-Rim FG16-2713-26
Midrange FG20-4013-40
2-Point FG36-6726-66
3-Point FG4-1211-26
Free Throws18-2211-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
36.1
10
56%
5
2
0
2
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
36.0
28
67%
11
2
0
3
3
4
5
6
4-7
57%
12-17
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
30.6
14
54%
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
30.4
4
40%
2
3
1
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
21.2
6
50%
1
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
31.2
19
79%
7
5
1
0
0
2
0
7
8-9
89%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
25.2
9
45%
8
3
0
0
2
2
4
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
18.8
10
42%
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
10.6
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
55%
39
22
6
5
8
0
12
27
18-22
82%
36-67
54%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.