FinalWin Prob.pScore
1435%96
100
665%101
105
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
113.68886.4
MIL logo MIL
119.38889.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL100
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMISS Rose 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)100
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 2100
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDRose 3' Jump Shot (17 PTS)100
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)98
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)98
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILMISS Johnson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 298
2.7%
102
97.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILJohnson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)98
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)98
8.1%
101
91.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)98
6.8%
100
93.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)95
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILAllen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS)92
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDRose 6' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
6.8%
95
93.2%
Q4 - 1:10INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Mason Layup90
4.0%
95
96.0%
Q4 - 1:33MILBUCKS Rebound90
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 1:35INDMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q4 - 1:53MILAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)90
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 2:16INDBest 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)90
15.4%
92
84.6%
Q4 - 2:20INDRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
8.2%
92
91.8%
Q4 - 2:24INDJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)87
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 2:43MILThomas 6' Jump Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)87
8.3%
92
91.7%
Q4 - 3:01INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
11.7%
90
88.3%
Q4 - 3:01INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 286
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q4 - 3:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)86
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 3:03INDMISS Foster Layup86
9.3%
90
90.7%
Q4 - 3:22INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
13.6%
90
86.4%
Q4 - 3:23MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot86
11.4%
90
88.6%
Q4 - 3:40MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)86
10.7%
90
89.3%
Q4 - 3:42MILMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot86
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 3:57INDMiller Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)86
10.5%
90
89.5%
Q4 - 4:05MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)85
7.4%
90
92.6%
Q4 - 4:07INDMISS Harrington Layup85
8.2%
90
91.8%
Q4 - 4:10INDRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
10.5%
90
89.5%
Q4 - 4:12INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
8.2%
90
91.8%
Q4 - 4:28MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)85
10.5%
90
89.5%
Q4 - 4:28MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)85
11.0%
89
89.0%
Q4 - 4:49MILAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
14.2%
88
85.8%
Q4 - 4:51MILMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot85
18.0%
88
82.0%
Q4 - 5:03MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
15.9%
88
84.1%
Q4 - 5:05INDMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot85
17.3%
88
82.7%
Q4 - 5:24MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
21.0%
88
79.0%
Q4 - 5:24MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 285
21.7%
87
78.3%
Q4 - 5:26MILCassell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)85
20.8%
87
79.2%
Q4 - 5:28MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot85
25.1%
87
74.9%
Q4 - 5:37MILBUCKS Rebound85
20.8%
87
79.2%
Q4 - 5:37MILMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot85
25.1%
87
74.9%
Q4 - 5:50INDRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)85
20.8%
87
79.2%
Q4 - 5:56MILThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)85
27.1%
87
72.9%
Q4 - 6:19INDRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 4 AST)85
21.3%
87
78.7%
Q4 - 6:33INDPacers Rebound82
13.3%
87
86.7%
Q4 - 6:33MILMISS Allen Reverse Layup82
12.1%
87
87.9%
Q4 - 6:52INDBest Layup (13 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)82
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 6:54INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q4 - 6:56MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot80
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q4 - 7:15INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 7:15INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q4 - 7:33MILAllen 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)78
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 7:47MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q4 - 7:49INDMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 8:08MILThomas Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)78
12.5%
84
87.5%
Q4 - 8:22INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)78
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q4 - 8:46INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
19.2%
82
80.8%
Q4 - 8:48MILMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot78
18.0%
82
82.0%
Q4 - 9:01MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
16.2%
82
83.8%
Q4 - 9:03INDMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot78
17.3%
82
82.7%
Q4 - 9:14INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
19.9%
82
80.1%
Q4 - 9:16MILMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot78
18.7%
82
81.3%
Q4 - 9:43INDBest 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)78
16.2%
82
83.8%
Q4 - 10:00MILAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)76
13.3%
82
86.7%
Q4 - 10:09MILBUCKS Rebound76
20.2%
79
79.8%
Q4 - 10:10INDMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot76
21.5%
79
78.5%
Q4 - 10:16INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
24.5%
79
75.5%
Q4 - 10:18MILMISS Allen Layup76
23.1%
79
76.9%
Q4 - 10:36MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)76
20.2%
79
79.8%
Q4 - 10:38INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot76
21.4%
79
78.6%
Q4 - 10:52INDPacers Rebound76
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q4 - 10:53INDMISS Bender 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
21.4%
79
78.6%
Q4 - 11:05INDPacers Rebound76
24.9%
79
75.1%
Q4 - 11:06MILMISS Cassell Layup76
23.7%
79
76.3%
Q4 - 11:24INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)76
20.9%
79
79.1%
Q4 - 11:24INDMISS Bender Free Throw 1 of 275
20.1%
79
79.9%
Q4 - 11:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)75
21.0%
79
79.0%
Q4 - 11:43MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
17.5%
79
82.5%
Q4 - 11:43MILMISS Johnson Tip Shot75
19.9%
79
80.1%
Q4 - 11:44MILMISS Redd Layup75
19.9%
79
80.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND75
17.5%
79
82.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILRedd 32' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 6 AST)75
21.0%
79
79.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
29.2%
76
70.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
28.5%
76
71.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
25.2%
76
74.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MILMISS Ham Layup73
24.0%
76
76.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDBest 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)73
21.5%
76
78.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 2 of 271
17.8%
76
82.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
15.7%
76
84.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0MILMISS Cassell Layup71
20.4%
75
79.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0INDMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot71
19.1%
75
80.9%
Q3 - 1:02INDBest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
21.9%
75
78.1%
Q3 - 1:03MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q3 - 1:11INDMason STEAL (1 STL)71
18.7%
75
81.3%
Q3 - 1:28INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
21.9%
75
78.1%
Q3 - 1:30MILMISS Mason 10' Jump Shot71
20.9%
75
79.1%
Q3 - 1:46INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)71
18.6%
75
81.4%
Q3 - 1:46INDFoster Layup (9 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)70
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q3 - 1:49INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
13.5%
75
86.5%
Q3 - 1:51MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot68
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q3 - 2:10INDBest Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
11.7%
75
88.3%
Q3 - 2:10INDBest Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 2:13MILHam Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)66
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q3 - 2:28INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 2:28INDMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 265
8.2%
75
91.8%
Q3 - 2:37INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 2:39MILMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot65
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 2:58INDBest Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)65
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q3 - 3:15MILThomas Layup (15 PTS)63
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 3:38INDBest 9' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)63
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 3:59MILMason 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cassell 9 AST)61
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q3 - 4:08MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 4:10INDMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot61
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 4:26MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cassell 8 AST)61
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 4:37INDBest Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)61
12.5%
68
87.5%
Q3 - 4:37INDMISS Best Free Throw 1 of 260
12.3%
68
87.7%
Q3 - 4:44INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 4:46INDMISS Foster 11' Jump Shot60
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 4:51INDBrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 4:53MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot60
12.1%
68
87.9%
Q3 - 5:17INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 5:17INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 5:25MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
9.8%
68
90.2%
Q3 - 5:25MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 5:34INDBrezec 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)58
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 5:57MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mason 5 AST)56
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 6:16INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 6:16INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 6:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)54
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 6:31INDMISS Tinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 6:54MILAllen 11' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)54
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 7:16INDMiller 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)54
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 7:37INDPacers Rebound52
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 7:37MILMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot52
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q3 - 7:43MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 7:44MILMISS Cassell Layup52
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q3 - 8:11MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 8:13INDMISS Harrington Layup52
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 8:17INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
12.5%
61
87.5%
Q3 - 8:20INDThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)52
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q3 - 8:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
12.5%
61
87.5%
Q3 - 8:39MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 252
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 8:39MILPrzybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)52
11.4%
61
88.6%
Q3 - 9:00INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)52
12.2%
60
87.8%
Q3 - 9:06MILPrzybilla Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)49
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q3 - 9:16INDAllen STEAL (2 STL)49
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 9:33MILThomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)49
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q3 - 9:39MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 9:41INDMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot49
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 10:00MILAllen 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)49
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 10:17MILBUCKS Rebound49
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 10:19INDMISS Rose 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q3 - 10:27INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 10:29MILMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q3 - 10:40INDTinsley 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)49
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 11:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 11:03MILMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 11:08INDThomas STEAL (2 STL)47
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q3 - 11:28MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 11:28MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q3 - 11:43INDFoster Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)47
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND47
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILAllen Layup (18 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)47
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILBUCKS Rebound47
21.5%
51
78.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0INDMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot47
21.9%
51
78.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
23.0%
51
77.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILMISS Thomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
21.4%
51
78.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q2 - 1:02MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
21.9%
51
78.1%
Q2 - 1:05INDMISS Foster 14' Jump Shot47
22.3%
51
77.7%
Q2 - 1:34MILJohnson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)47
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q2 - 1:48INDMiller 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)47
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 2:10MILAllen 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)45
23.8%
49
76.2%
Q2 - 2:20MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q2 - 2:22INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot45
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q2 - 2:43MILMason 3' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)45
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 2:59INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
31.4%
45
68.6%
Q2 - 2:59INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q2 - 3:21MILAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Caffey 1 AST)43
28.7%
45
71.3%
Q2 - 3:43INDFoster Layup (7 PTS)43
33.5%
42
66.5%
Q2 - 3:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 3:46INDMISS Harrington Layup41
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 4:06INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 4:09MILMISS Caffey 6' Jump Shot41
30.1%
42
69.9%
Q2 - 4:29INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
28.4%
42
71.6%
Q2 - 4:29INDHarrington Tip Shot (8 PTS)41
28.4%
42
71.6%
Q2 - 4:30INDMISS Harrington Layup39
24.6%
42
75.4%
Q2 - 4:50MILHam Foul Turnover (P3.T7)39
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 5:11INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)39
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 5:36MILAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)36
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 5:45MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 5:48INDAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)36
24.6%
39
75.4%
Q2 - 6:14MILAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)36
26.4%
39
73.6%
Q2 - 6:16MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)36
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 6:18MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
32.4%
36
67.6%
Q2 - 6:37INDFoster Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)36
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 7:06MILRedd 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)34
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 7:13INDThomas STEAL (1 STL)34
30.6%
34
69.4%
Q2 - 7:34MILThomas Dunk (4 PTS)34
33.1%
34
66.9%
Q2 - 7:35MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 7:37MILMISS Ham Free Throw 2 of 234
37.5%
32
62.5%
Q2 - 7:37MILMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 234
36.2%
32
63.8%
Q2 - 7:42MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 7:43INDMISS Bender Layup34
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 7:45INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 7:47INDMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot34
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 8:08MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
37.7%
32
62.3%
Q2 - 8:08MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 8:18MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
39.8%
30
60.2%
Q2 - 8:20INDMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot34
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 8:35MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)34
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 8:39MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
39.8%
30
60.2%
Q2 - 8:41INDMISS Bender 17' Jump Shot34
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 8:56MILHam 3' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)34
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q2 - 9:03MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
44.3%
28
55.7%
Q2 - 9:05INDMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot34
45.1%
28
54.9%
Q2 - 9:26MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 9:26MILJohnson Tip Shot (2 PTS)34
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 9:28MILMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot34
51.3%
26
48.7%
Q2 - 9:51INDBender Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)34
49.3%
26
50.7%
Q2 - 10:02MILCassell 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)32
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q2 - 10:22INDHarrington Layup (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)32
49.0%
24
51.0%
Q2 - 10:28INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
46.9%
24
53.1%
Q2 - 10:29MILMISS Cassell 9' Jump Shot30
46.0%
24
54.0%
Q2 - 10:39INDBest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
44.1%
24
55.9%
Q2 - 10:49MILHam Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)30
46.8%
24
53.2%
Q2 - 11:03INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
43.5%
24
56.5%
Q2 - 11:03INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q2 - 11:20INDPacers Rebound28
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q2 - 11:21MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot28
40.4%
24
59.6%
Q2 - 11:41INDRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)28
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND25
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound25
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Tinsley Layup25
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MILCassell Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)25
33.8%
24
66.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
32.2%
24
67.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0INDMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot25
32.7%
24
67.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0MILMason Layup (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)25
33.8%
24
66.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q1 - 1:05MILHam Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)23
33.8%
22
66.2%
Q1 - 1:10MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
36.4%
20
63.6%
Q1 - 1:12INDMISS Bender Layup23
37.0%
20
63.0%
Q1 - 1:28MILAllen Layup (5 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)23
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 1:47INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)23
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 2:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 2:07MILMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 2:17MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
36.3%
18
63.7%
Q1 - 2:20MILMISS Allen Reverse Layup21
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 2:23MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
36.3%
18
63.7%
Q1 - 2:25MILMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot21
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 2:41INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
36.3%
18
63.7%
Q1 - 2:41INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
36.1%
18
63.9%
Q1 - 2:56MILHam Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 3:05MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 3:07INDMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot19
32.3%
18
67.7%
Q1 - 3:21MILHam Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 3:40INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 3:40INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 3:44MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 3:44MILMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 217
34.1%
15
65.9%
Q1 - 4:01MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
33.2%
15
66.8%
Q1 - 4:02INDMISS Tinsley Layup17
33.9%
15
66.1%
Q1 - 4:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 4:10MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 217
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 4:10MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 217
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 4:31INDMiller Layup (5 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)17
33.2%
15
66.8%
Q1 - 4:35INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 4:37MILMISS Thomas Layup15
31.0%
15
69.0%
Q1 - 4:52INDRose Layup (7 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)15
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 4:57MILAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 5:14INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 5:14INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 212
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 5:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 5:15INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
24.8%
15
75.2%
Q1 - 5:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 5:29MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 212
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 5:29MILPrzybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
25.0%
15
75.0%
Q1 - 5:39MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:40MILMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot12
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 5:54INDMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:56MILThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)12
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 6:09INDMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)12
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 6:29MILCassell 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
23.0%
14
77.0%
Q1 - 6:35MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 6:37INDMISS Foster 14' Jump Shot9
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 6:57INDPacers Rebound9
25.9%
12
74.1%
Q1 - 6:58MILMISS Przybilla 10' Jump Shot9
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 7:20MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 7:22INDMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot9
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 7:38MILCassell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Przybilla 1 AST)9
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 7:40MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
27.3%
10
72.7%
Q1 - 7:42MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
28.5%
10
71.5%
Q1 - 7:50MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
27.3%
10
72.7%
Q1 - 7:51INDMISS Foster 18' Jump Shot9
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 7:53INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
29.1%
10
70.9%
Q1 - 7:55INDMISS Tinsley 12' Jump Shot9
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 8:12MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 8:12MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
29.2%
9
70.8%
Q1 - 8:15INDAllen STEAL (1 STL)9
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 8:30MILMason 5' Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)9
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 8:49MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 8:53INDMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
34.3%
6
65.7%
Q1 - 9:05INDPacers Rebound9
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 9:07MILMISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot9
34.9%
6
65.1%
Q1 - 9:10MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
33.4%
6
66.6%
Q1 - 9:12MILMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot9
34.9%
6
65.1%
Q1 - 9:29INDRose 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
33.4%
6
66.6%
Q1 - 9:33INDPacers Rebound7
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 9:34INDMISS Tinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 9:52MILThomas 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 10:06INDBrezec 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)7
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 10:23MILMason Layup (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)5
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 10:34INDRose 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)5
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 11:01INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 11:05MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot2
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 11:21INDFoster 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 11:41MILCassell 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)0
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 11:43MILBUCKS Rebound0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:43MILMISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot0
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Przybilla vs. Brezec: Tip to Cassell0
28.7%
0
71.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.6%
MIL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
11
21
52%
MIL
14
25
56%
Midrange
IND
13
33
39%
MIL
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
MIL
11
16.5
20
55%
83%
Free Throws
IND
25
30
83%
MIL
22
33
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Miller2775%13.5 / 18
A. Harrington1843%9.0 / 21
J. Rose1753%8.5 / 16
T. Best16100%8.0 / 8
J. Foster1146%5.5 / 12
J. Bender536%2.5 / 7
P. Brezec4100%2.0 / 2
J. Tinsley214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen3669%18.0 / 26
S. Cassell2042%10.0 / 24
T. Thomas1959%9.5 / 16
A. Mason1056%5.0 / 9
M. Redd744%3.5 / 8
D. Ham660%3.0 / 5
E. Johnson583%2.5 / 3
J. Przybilla233%1.0 / 3
J. Caffey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+14
-9
93
MIL
78
+17
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.6%
MIL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
104.4
IND 113.6
MIL 119.3 +5.7
Pace
94.6
92.5
IND 86.4
MIL 89.7 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.4
IND 16.7
MIL 16.1 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
50.7%
IND 49.3%
MIL 52.5% +3.2%
TO %
15.2%
14.5%
IND 10.1%
MIL 9.7% +0.4%
ORB %
27.0%
25.6%
IND 30.6%
MIL 37.5% +6.9%
FTrt
32.8
26.9
IND 39.5
MIL 41.8 +2.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.2%
60.7%
IND 66.7%
MIL 75.0% +8.3%
STL %
8.4%
7.8%
IND 5.7%
MIL 5.7%
BLK %
7.8%
7.1%
IND 6.8% +1.2%
MIL 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
51.7%
IND 52.6%
MIL 54.7% +2.1%
Rim FG%
58.6%
56.1%
IND 52.4%
MIL 56.0% +3.6%
Mid FG%
40.1%
45.1%
IND 39.4% +7.0%
MIL 32.4%
3P %
33.9%
37.5%
IND 40.9%
MIL 55.0% +14.1%
FT %
77.2%
74.8%
IND 83.3% +16.6%
MIL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
27.2%
IND 27.6%
MIL 31.6% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
48.8%
IND 43.4%
MIL 43.0% +0.4%
3P Att. %
18.2%
24.1%
IND 28.9% +3.6%
MIL 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points100105
Rebounds3640
Assists2227
Steals55
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (6)25 (4)
Field Goals33-7636-79
At-the-Rim FG11-2114-25
Midrange FG13-3311-34
2-Point FG24-5425-59
3-Point FG9-2211-20
Free Throws25-3022-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 36
38.0
27
75%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
6-7
86%
3-6
50%
5-9
56%
C · 6'11" 250 · 25
36.4
11
46%
13
2
2
1
1
5
6
7
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
33.2
17
53%
5
4
2
0
3
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
24.6
2
14%
0
8
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
F · 7'1" 255 · 22
17.3
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 22
37.4
18
43%
9
0
0
0
0
4
2
7
10-10
100%
4-16
25%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
23.2
16
100%
1
4
1
1
1
6
0
1
3-4
75%
5-5
100%
1-1
100%
F · 7'0" 230 · 21
18.9
5
36%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 232 · 31
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 22
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
36
22
5
4
9
0
11
25
25-30
83%
24-54
44%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.