FinalWin Prob.pScore
643%97
106
1357%99
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
107.19997.6
IND logo IND
103.099100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND106
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)106
99.5%
102
0.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)105
99.4%
102
0.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
97.8%
102
2.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 2104
97.4%
102
2.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 2104
90.0%
102
10.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)104
80.0%
102
20.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 2103
77.5%
102
22.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)103
81.7%
102
18.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)103
94.7%
99
5.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)102
93.7%
99
6.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDRose 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Tinsley 12 AST)101
89.1%
99
10.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0INDRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
96.9%
96
3.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDMISS Rose 9' Jump Shot101
98.3%
96
1.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILRedd 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T15)101
95.5%
96
4.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)101
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)101
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 1:00MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)101
97.8%
94
2.2%
Q4 - 1:00MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 2100
97.6%
94
2.4%
Q4 - 1:00MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
98.0%
94
2.0%
Q4 - 1:02INDMISS Tinsley 9' Jump Shot100
97.4%
94
2.6%
Q4 - 1:09MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)100
95.3%
94
4.7%
Q4 - 1:09MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 299
94.5%
94
5.5%
Q4 - 1:09MILBucks Rebound99
95.7%
94
4.3%
Q4 - 1:10INDMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
94.7%
94
5.3%
Q4 - 1:17MILThomas 2' Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)99
90.8%
94
9.2%
Q4 - 1:34INDBender Foul Turnover (P2.T15)97
83.8%
94
16.2%
Q4 - 1:53MILThomas Foul Turnover (P2.T14)97
73.3%
94
26.7%
Q4 - 2:15INDRose 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Tinsley 11 AST)97
82.8%
94
17.2%
Q4 - 2:17INDPACERS Rebound97
86.1%
92
13.9%
Q4 - 2:17INDMISS Bender 5' Jump Shot97
90.9%
92
9.1%
Q4 - 2:34INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)97
85.9%
92
14.1%
Q4 - 2:36MILMISS Cassell 2' Layup97
88.4%
92
11.6%
Q4 - 2:52INDTinsley 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS)97
90.2%
92
9.8%
Q4 - 3:00INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
92.5%
90
7.5%
Q4 - 3:01MILMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot97
93.7%
90
6.3%
Q4 - 3:21INDRose 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Best 4 AST)97
95.8%
90
4.2%
Q4 - 3:23INDBest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
96.7%
88
3.3%
Q4 - 3:25INDMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot97
97.8%
88
2.2%
Q4 - 3:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)97
94.8%
88
5.2%
Q4 - 3:42MILMISS Cassell 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
95.4%
88
4.6%
Q4 - 3:57MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
96.6%
88
3.4%
Q4 - 4:00INDMISS Bender 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
96.2%
88
3.8%
Q4 - 4:06INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
95.1%
88
4.9%
Q4 - 4:08MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
95.6%
88
4.4%
Q4 - 4:27INDBender 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Best 3 AST)97
96.7%
88
3.3%
Q4 - 4:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)97
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 4:34INDMISS Bender 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 4:41INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 4:43MILMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot97
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 4:56INDBest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)97
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 4:56INDBest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)97
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 5:15INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot97
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 5:31INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)97
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 5:31INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)97
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 5:32INDFoster REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)97
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 5:33INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 5:33INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup97
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 5:36INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup97
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 5:57MILAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)97
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 6:06MILAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
97.9%
81
2.1%
Q4 - 6:08INDMISS Bender 16' Jump Shot94
97.7%
81
2.3%
Q4 - 6:28INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
97.1%
81
2.9%
Q4 - 6:29MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
97.4%
81
2.6%
Q4 - 6:49INDBender 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)94
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 6:57MILBest STEAL (1 STL)94
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 6:58MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 7:00MILMISS Redd 12' Jump Shot94
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 7:15INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)94
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 7:15INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)94
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 7:35MILThomas 16' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)94
98.7%
77
1.3%
Q4 - 8:00INDJump Ball Foster vs. Johnson: Tip to Allen92
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 8:03INDMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q4 - 8:16MILHam Foul Turnover (P1.T12)92
96.9%
77
3.1%
Q4 - 8:32INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T14)92
97.6%
77
2.4%
Q4 - 8:50MILJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)92
97.0%
77
3.0%
Q4 - 9:07MILBucks Rebound92
97.0%
77
3.0%
Q4 - 9:08INDMISS Bender 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
96.8%
77
3.2%
Q4 - 9:20MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)92
96.2%
77
3.8%
Q4 - 9:38INDRose 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Best 2 AST)89
94.1%
77
5.9%
Q4 - 9:47MILRose STEAL (1 STL)89
95.2%
75
4.8%
Q4 - 9:57MILAllen Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)89
96.3%
75
3.7%
Q4 - 10:02MILAllen Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)88
94.3%
75
5.7%
Q4 - 10:10MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
93.0%
75
7.0%
Q4 - 10:13INDMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot87
92.5%
75
7.5%
Q4 - 10:30MILCassell 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
91.3%
75
8.7%
Q4 - 10:45MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
89.5%
75
10.5%
Q4 - 10:47INDMISS Rogers 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
88.8%
75
11.2%
Q4 - 11:00INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q4 - 11:02MILMISS Mason 10' Jump Shot85
86.4%
75
13.6%
Q4 - 11:18INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)85
88.2%
75
11.8%
Q4 - 11:21INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
85.7%
75
14.3%
Q4 - 11:23MILMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot85
86.5%
75
13.5%
Q4 - 11:44MILAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
88.3%
75
11.7%
Q4 - 11:45INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
87.5%
75
12.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND85
85.7%
75
14.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
85.7%
75
14.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot85
85.1%
75
14.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDTinsley 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)85
86.9%
75
13.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
89.1%
73
10.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILMISS Caffey Free Throw 2 of 285
89.4%
73
10.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILCaffey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
90.5%
73
9.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
89.1%
73
10.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDMISS Bender Free Throw 2 of 284
88.9%
73
11.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
87.6%
73
12.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDMiller Free Throw Technical (24 PTS)84
89.1%
72
10.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot84
91.5%
71
8.5%
Q3 - 1:05INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)84
91.4%
71
8.6%
Q3 - 1:05INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
91.8%
70
8.2%
Q3 - 1:09INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
92.8%
69
7.2%
Q3 - 1:10MILMISS Ham Free Throw 2 of 284
93.0%
69
7.0%
Q3 - 1:10MILMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 284
93.6%
69
6.4%
Q3 - 1:34INDBender Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)84
94.1%
69
5.9%
Q3 - 1:35INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
92.8%
69
7.2%
Q3 - 1:37INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
93.7%
69
6.3%
Q3 - 1:52MILCaffey Foul Turnover (P2.T9)84
92.9%
69
7.1%
Q3 - 2:03INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)84
93.0%
69
7.0%
Q3 - 2:03INDMiller 2' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Tinsley 10 AST)84
94.2%
68
5.8%
Q3 - 2:08INDRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
95.0%
66
5.0%
Q3 - 2:10MILMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot84
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q3 - 2:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
95.9%
66
4.1%
Q3 - 2:19INDMISS Rogers 21' Jump Shot84
95.7%
66
4.3%
Q3 - 2:36INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
95.1%
66
4.9%
Q3 - 2:38MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
95.4%
66
4.6%
Q3 - 2:57INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
96.0%
66
4.0%
Q3 - 2:57INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)84
96.0%
65
4.0%
Q3 - 3:08MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
96.1%
64
3.9%
Q3 - 3:08MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
96.0%
64
4.0%
Q3 - 3:10MILAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
95.4%
64
4.6%
Q3 - 3:13INDMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot82
95.2%
64
4.8%
Q3 - 3:31MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)82
94.5%
64
5.5%
Q3 - 3:34MILAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
92.4%
64
7.6%
Q3 - 3:36MILMISS Thomas 11' Jump Shot79
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 3:54INDMiller 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Tinsley 9 AST)79
92.4%
64
7.6%
Q3 - 4:08MILAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)79
92.6%
62
7.4%
Q3 - 4:27INDBrezec 2' Layup (6 PTS)76
90.2%
62
9.8%
Q3 - 4:28INDBrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
91.4%
60
8.6%
Q3 - 4:29INDMISS Rogers Free Throw 2 of 276
92.7%
60
7.3%
Q3 - 4:29INDMISS Rogers Free Throw 1 of 276
91.9%
60
8.1%
Q3 - 4:29INDRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
91.4%
60
8.6%
Q3 - 4:31INDMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot76
92.5%
60
7.5%
Q3 - 4:38MILTinsley STEAL (2 STL)76
91.4%
60
8.6%
Q3 - 4:52INDMiller 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)76
92.9%
60
7.1%
Q3 - 5:11MILMason 4' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)76
93.1%
58
6.9%
Q3 - 5:22MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
92.1%
58
7.9%
Q3 - 5:24MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
91.1%
58
8.9%
Q3 - 5:36MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
92.1%
58
7.9%
Q3 - 5:36INDMISS Foster 2' Layup74
91.7%
58
8.3%
Q3 - 5:38INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)74
90.7%
58
9.3%
Q3 - 5:40INDMISS Brezec 17' Jump Shot74
91.7%
58
8.3%
Q3 - 6:00MILCaffey 2' Layup (4 PTS)74
90.7%
58
9.3%
Q3 - 6:03MILCaffey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
88.2%
58
11.8%
Q3 - 6:04MILMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot72
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q3 - 6:21INDRose 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
88.3%
58
11.7%
Q3 - 6:37MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
89.7%
56
10.3%
Q3 - 6:37MILCassell 1' Tip Shot (18 PTS)72
89.7%
56
10.3%
Q3 - 6:39MILMISS Caffey 13' Jump Shot70
87.0%
56
13.0%
Q3 - 6:48MILCaffey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
88.3%
56
11.7%
Q3 - 6:50INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot70
87.8%
56
12.2%
Q3 - 7:07MILThomas 2' Slam Dunk (11 PTS)70
85.2%
56
14.8%
Q3 - 7:19MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
83.5%
56
16.5%
Q3 - 7:21INDMISS Foster 2' Layup68
82.8%
56
17.2%
Q3 - 7:22INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q3 - 7:23INDMISS Tinsley 6' Jump Shot68
82.8%
56
17.2%
Q3 - 7:43MILCaffey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
81.0%
56
19.0%
Q3 - 7:43MILCaffey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
80.4%
56
19.6%
Q3 - 7:50MILCaffey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)66
78.8%
56
21.2%
Q3 - 7:52MILMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot66
76.7%
56
23.3%
Q3 - 8:04INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
78.2%
56
21.8%
Q3 - 8:04INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 266
78.7%
55
21.3%
Q3 - 8:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
77.8%
55
22.2%
Q3 - 8:13MILBrezec BLOCK (1 BLK)66
78.7%
55
21.3%
Q3 - 8:29INDBrezec 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)66
80.7%
55
19.3%
Q3 - 8:39MILCassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
82.6%
53
17.4%
Q3 - 8:49INDBrezec Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)63
78.2%
53
21.8%
Q3 - 9:03MILMason 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)63
74.1%
53
25.9%
Q3 - 9:20INDMiller 4' Finger Roll (14 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)61
71.3%
53
28.7%
Q3 - 9:29INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
74.2%
51
25.8%
Q3 - 9:31MILMISS Cassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
75.0%
51
25.0%
Q3 - 9:48INDRose 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)61
77.0%
51
23.0%
Q3 - 10:08MILCassell 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)61
80.6%
48
19.4%
Q3 - 10:32INDFoster 3' Dunk (10 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)59
78.6%
48
21.4%
Q3 - 10:38INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
80.7%
46
19.3%
Q3 - 10:41INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
82.3%
46
17.7%
Q3 - 10:45INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
80.7%
46
19.3%
Q3 - 10:46MILMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot59
81.4%
46
18.6%
Q3 - 11:00MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
83.0%
46
17.0%
Q3 - 11:02INDMISS Foster 6' Jump Shot59
81.4%
46
18.6%
Q3 - 11:14MILTinsley STEAL (1 STL)59
79.9%
46
20.1%
Q3 - 11:35INDBrezec 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)59
82.1%
46
17.9%
Q3 - 11:42INDBrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
84.0%
44
16.0%
Q3 - 11:44MILMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot59
84.6%
44
15.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL59
85.9%
44
14.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILPope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
84.4%
44
15.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot59
84.1%
44
15.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0MILMason Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)59
83.2%
44
16.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P3.T10)59
84.5%
44
15.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
83.3%
44
16.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 259
83.5%
44
16.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
84.2%
44
15.8%
Q2 - 1:10MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
81.7%
44
18.3%
Q2 - 1:13INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot58
81.4%
44
18.6%
Q2 - 1:27MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
80.7%
44
19.3%
Q2 - 1:27MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 257
80.0%
44
20.0%
Q2 - 1:39INDTinsley Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T9)57
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q2 - 1:57MILRedd 13' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
78.7%
44
21.3%
Q2 - 2:11INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
74.8%
44
25.2%
Q2 - 2:11INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
75.0%
43
25.0%
Q2 - 2:31MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
77.3%
42
22.7%
Q2 - 2:37MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q2 - 2:38INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot53
74.2%
42
25.8%
Q2 - 3:03MILThomas 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)53
71.0%
42
29.0%
Q2 - 3:09MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
68.8%
42
31.2%
Q2 - 3:10INDMISS Tinsley 3' Jump Shot51
67.9%
42
32.1%
Q2 - 3:26MILAllen 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
65.9%
42
34.1%
Q2 - 3:27MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
63.5%
42
36.5%
Q2 - 3:29MILMISS Cassell 22' Jump Shot49
61.3%
42
38.7%
Q2 - 3:37MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
63.5%
42
36.5%
Q2 - 3:39INDMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot49
62.6%
42
37.4%
Q2 - 3:50MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
60.4%
42
39.6%
Q2 - 3:50MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
60.0%
42
40.0%
Q2 - 3:53MILHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
57.8%
42
42.2%
Q2 - 3:55INDMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
56.8%
42
43.2%
Q2 - 4:04INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
54.0%
42
46.0%
Q2 - 4:07MILMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot47
54.9%
42
45.1%
Q2 - 4:20MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q2 - 4:22MILMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot47
54.9%
42
45.1%
Q2 - 4:36MILBucks Rebound47
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q2 - 4:37INDMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot47
56.0%
42
44.0%
Q2 - 4:47MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T5)47
54.1%
42
45.9%
Q2 - 4:56INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)47
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q2 - 5:15MILThomas 5' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)47
53.6%
42
46.4%
Q2 - 5:36INDMiller 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)45
51.0%
42
49.0%
Q2 - 5:53MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)45
53.6%
40
46.4%
Q2 - 6:11INDTinsley 13' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)42
48.2%
40
51.8%
Q2 - 6:38MILAllen 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
50.4%
38
49.6%
Q2 - 6:58MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
48.2%
38
51.8%
Q2 - 7:00INDMISS Bender 17' Jump Shot40
47.2%
38
52.8%
Q2 - 7:14INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 7:16MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot40
45.8%
38
54.2%
Q2 - 7:21INDCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
47.8%
38
52.2%
Q2 - 7:34INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
44.9%
38
55.1%
Q2 - 7:37MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
45.8%
38
54.2%
Q2 - 7:42MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
47.8%
38
52.2%
Q2 - 7:44INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot40
46.9%
38
53.1%
Q2 - 8:04INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
44.6%
38
55.4%
Q2 - 8:07MILMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot40
45.5%
38
54.5%
Q2 - 8:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 8:15INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot40
46.6%
38
53.4%
Q2 - 8:37MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)40
44.6%
38
55.4%
Q2 - 8:42MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
39.9%
38
60.1%
Q2 - 8:45MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
38.0%
38
62.0%
Q2 - 8:59INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)37
39.9%
38
60.1%
Q2 - 9:26MILAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)37
37.1%
38
62.9%
Q2 - 9:45INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 134
32.5%
38
67.5%
Q2 - 9:45INDO'Neal 2' Layup (7 PTS)34
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 9:46INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)34
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 9:47INDMISS Bender 4' Jump Shot34
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 10:01MILMason 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)34
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 10:18INDBest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
32.9%
36
67.1%
Q2 - 10:27MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 10:27MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
30.1%
36
69.9%
Q2 - 10:33MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 10:35INDMISS Foster 16' Jump Shot30
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 10:57MILAllen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)30
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 10:59MILBucks Rebound27
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 11:02MILFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)27
21.8%
36
78.2%
Q2 - 11:22INDHarrington 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)27
23.0%
36
77.0%
Q2 - 11:43INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
24.7%
34
75.3%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot27
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDFoster 3' Layup (8 PTS)27
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
28.9%
32
71.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot27
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0MILMason 9' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)27
28.8%
32
71.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILRose BLOCK (2 BLK)25
25.5%
32
74.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0INDMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot25
26.1%
32
73.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILRedd 2' Follow Up Dunk (7 PTS)25
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0MILMISS Ham 1' Layup23
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q1 - 1:08INDRose 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 1 AST)23
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q1 - 1:21MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q1 - 1:21MILRedd 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)22
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q1 - 1:39INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
21.4%
30
78.6%
Q1 - 1:39INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q1 - 1:56MILMason 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)20
23.5%
28
76.5%
Q1 - 2:02MILCaffey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
21.8%
28
78.2%
Q1 - 2:03MILMISS Ham 3' Jump Shot18
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q1 - 2:23INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
21.8%
28
78.2%
Q1 - 2:23INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q1 - 2:23INDPACERS Rebound18
23.6%
26
76.4%
Q1 - 2:25MILMISS Caffey 18' Jump Shot18
24.0%
26
76.0%
Q1 - 2:32INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q1 - 2:50MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)18
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 3:06INDMiller 18' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)16
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q1 - 3:16MILO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)16
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 3:24MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 3:27INDMISS Foster 18' Jump Shot16
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 3:46MILMason 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)16
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 3:53MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q1 - 3:56INDMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot14
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 4:11MILFoster STEAL (1 STL)14
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q1 - 4:19INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q1 - 4:19INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 4:26MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 4:26MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)13
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q1 - 4:33INDTinsley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 4:39MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 4:39MILCassell 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)11
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 4:55INDO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 5:10INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)9
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 5:12MILMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot9
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 5:24INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 5:24INDO'Neal 2' Tip Shot (3 PTS)9
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 5:25INDMISS Foster 2' Layup9
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 5:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)9
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 5:29INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot9
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 5:30INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 5:32INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot9
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 5:38MILMiller STEAL (1 STL)9
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 5:49MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 5:52INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot9
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 6:03MILCassell Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 6:06MILBucks Rebound9
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 6:08MILMISS Przybilla 15' Jump Shot9
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 6:38INDRose 4' Driving Dunk (5 PTS)9
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 6:47INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 6:47MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 29
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 6:47MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 29
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 6:47MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 6:48MILMISS Thomas 2' Layup9
30.3%
14
69.7%
Q1 - 6:49MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 6:51MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot9
30.3%
14
69.7%
Q1 - 7:06INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)9
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 7:06INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 7:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 7:08INDMISS Tinsley 3' Layup9
34.7%
12
65.3%
Q1 - 7:14MILAllen 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 7:25INDRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)7
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 7:42INDPACERS Rebound7
35.1%
9
64.9%
Q1 - 7:44MILRose BLOCK (1 BLK)7
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 8:00INDMiller Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)7
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 8:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
35.3%
9
64.7%
Q1 - 8:06MILMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot7
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 8:28INDFoster 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)7
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 8:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 8:47MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot7
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 9:04INDTinsley 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)7
40.8%
7
59.2%
Q1 - 9:11INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
42.1%
5
57.9%
Q1 - 9:14MILO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)7
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 9:41INDMiller 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)7
44.5%
5
55.5%
Q1 - 9:57MILCassell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)7
45.9%
3
54.1%
Q1 - 10:04MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 10:07INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup5
43.5%
3
56.5%
Q1 - 10:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
42.1%
3
57.9%
Q1 - 10:16MILMISS Mason 2' Layup5
42.7%
3
57.3%
Q1 - 10:29INDFoster 1' Layup (2 PTS)5
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 10:37INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.8%
1
54.2%
Q1 - 10:39MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
46.4%
1
53.6%
Q1 - 10:49INDRose Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
47.9%
1
52.1%
Q1 - 11:01MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)5
45.8%
1
54.2%
Q1 - 11:01MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
45.4%
1
54.6%
Q1 - 11:04INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
43.9%
1
56.1%
Q1 - 11:24MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)3
42.2%
1
57.8%
Q1 - 11:43INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
38.6%
1
61.4%
Q1 - 11:43INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Przybilla: Tip to Foster0
38.7%
0
61.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.5%
IND
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
21
52%
IND
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIL
14
40
35%
IND
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
IND
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIL
26
36
72%
IND
27
35
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Thomas2557%12.5 / 22
R. Allen2364%11.5 / 18
S. Cassell2348%11.5 / 24
M. Redd1563%7.5 / 12
A. Mason1458%7.0 / 12
J. Caffey550%2.5 / 5
E. Johnson150%0.5 / 1
J. Przybilla0-0.0 / 1
D. Ham0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose2665%13.0 / 20
R. Miller2467%12.0 / 18
J. Bender1450%7.0 / 14
J. Tinsley1137%5.5 / 15
J. Foster1045%5.0 / 11
J. O'Neal744%3.5 / 8
P. Brezec675%3.0 / 4
T. Best250%1.0 / 2
A. Harrington225%1.0 / 4
C. Rogers0-0.0 / 3
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
84
+16
-15
100
IND
85
+19
-14
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.5%
IND
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
101.3
MIL 107.1 +4.0
IND 103.0
Pace
92.5
94.6
MIL 97.6
IND 100.5 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.1
MIL 14.8
IND 14.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
47.7%
MIL 49.4% +4.8%
IND 44.6%
TO %
14.5%
15.2%
MIL 13.4%
IND 13.1% +0.3%
ORB %
25.6%
27.0%
MIL 30.4%
IND 36.2% +5.8%
FTrt
26.9
32.8
MIL 44.4 +2.7
IND 41.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
64.2%
MIL 54.3%
IND 62.9% +8.6%
STL %
7.8%
8.4%
MIL 3.0%
IND 7.1% +4.1%
BLK %
7.1%
7.8%
MIL 12.3% +4.1%
IND 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
50.1%
MIL 52.5% +3.9%
IND 48.6%
Rim FG%
56.1%
58.6%
MIL 52.4%
IND 63.0% +10.6%
Mid FG%
45.1%
40.1%
MIL 35.0% +0.8%
IND 34.2%
3P %
37.5%
33.9%
MIL 50.0% +23.7%
IND 26.3%
FT %
74.8%
77.2%
MIL 72.2%
IND 77.1% +4.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.2%
30.5%
MIL 25.9%
IND 32.1% +6.2%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
51.4%
MIL 49.4%
IND 45.2% +4.1%
3P Att. %
24.1%
18.2%
MIL 24.7% +2.1%
IND 22.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsMILIND
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points106102
Rebounds4449
Assists1922
Steals37
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals35-8135-84
At-the-Rim FG11-2117-27
Midrange FG14-4013-38
2-Point FG25-6130-65
3-Point FG10-205-19
Free Throws26-3627-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 255 · 35
37.9
14
58%
8
3
0
2
2
1
0
8
2-4
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 25
37.4
25
57%
4
2
0
1
2
2
2
2
6-8
75%
5-10
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
36.7
23
64%
6
3
0
1
1
3
2
4
5-6
83%
3-11
27%
4-5
80%
G · 6'3" 185 · 32
35.0
23
48%
6
7
2
1
3
2
2
4
8-9
89%
6-15
40%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 245 · 22
10.5
0
0%
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 22
23.6
15
63%
5
3
1
0
2
5
2
3
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 28
20.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
4
1
1
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 256 · 29
19.0
5
50%
4
0
0
0
2
5
3
1
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 34
19.0
1
50%
7
0
0
1
2
2
2
5
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 29
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
53%
44
19
3
8
15
0
14
30
26-36
72%
25-61
41%
10-20
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.