FinalWin Prob.pScore
2841%91
85
2759%94
79
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.78786.3
GSW logo GSW
88.88989.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)85
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 284
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0GSWHughes Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)84
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)84
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 2 of 284
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0GSWMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMills STEAL (1 STL)83
99.0%
77
1.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0GSWHughes Driving Layup (17 PTS)83
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0GSWHughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)81
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0GSWMISS Hughes 5' Jump Shot79
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAHughes STEAL (2 STL)79
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 1:16GSWHughes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T24)79
98.2%
72
1.8%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)79
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q4 - 1:46GSWHughes 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)79
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 2:22GSWSura Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T23)77
96.8%
70
3.2%
Q4 - 2:33MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)77
93.6%
70
6.4%
Q4 - 2:59GSWMills 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)74
85.2%
70
14.8%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMourning 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)74
88.4%
68
11.6%
Q4 - 3:50GSWJamison Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T22)72
80.5%
68
19.5%
Q4 - 4:06GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)72
74.0%
68
26.0%
Q4 - 4:08MIAFoyle BLOCK (4 BLK)72
76.2%
68
23.8%
Q4 - 4:24GSWWARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)72
81.0%
68
19.0%
Q4 - 4:24GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)72
74.1%
68
25.9%
Q4 - 4:25GSWMISS Foyle 15' Jump Shot72
79.1%
68
20.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)72
74.3%
68
25.7%
Q4 - 4:56MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
58.0%
68
42.0%
Q4 - 4:58GSWMISS Hughes 7' Jump Shot69
55.0%
68
45.0%
Q4 - 5:17MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)69
46.9%
68
53.1%
Q4 - 5:25GSWJamison Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20)66
31.4%
68
68.6%
Q4 - 5:26GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)66
24.4%
68
75.6%
Q4 - 5:27GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)66
24.4%
68
75.6%
Q4 - 5:27GSWMISS Foyle Tip Shot66
29.2%
68
70.8%
Q4 - 5:29GSWMISS Fortson 5' Jump Shot66
29.2%
68
70.8%
Q4 - 5:53MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 4 AST)66
24.4%
68
75.6%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q4 - 6:16GSWMISS Hughes 16' Jump Shot64
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q4 - 6:33GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
15.5%
68
84.5%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Strickland 10' Jump Shot64
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q4 - 6:56GSWMills 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)64
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q4 - 7:12MIAGill Driving Layup (6 PTS)64
26.7%
66
73.3%
Q4 - 7:16GSWFoyle Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)62
22.2%
66
77.8%
Q4 - 7:36MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 3 AST)62
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q4 - 8:23GSWMills Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)60
15.2%
66
84.8%
Q4 - 8:36GSWSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
18.8%
65
81.2%
Q4 - 8:38GSWMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 160
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q4 - 8:38GSWSura Layup (8 PTS)60
18.8%
65
81.2%
Q4 - 8:40MIASura STEAL (1 STL)60
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q4 - 8:42MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
27.9%
63
72.1%
Q4 - 8:43GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)60
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q4 - 8:43GSWMISS Dampier Layup60
26.3%
63
73.7%
Q4 - 8:45GSWMISS Mills Layup60
26.3%
63
73.7%
Q4 - 9:05MIAGill Driving Layup (4 PTS)60
23.8%
63
76.2%
Q4 - 9:29GSWSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q4 - 9:29GSWSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
20.7%
62
79.3%
Q4 - 9:31GSWSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
23.8%
61
76.2%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot58
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q4 - 9:52GSWMills 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)58
28.6%
61
71.4%
Q4 - 10:17MIAStepania 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
33.7%
59
66.3%
Q4 - 10:37GSWSura Driving Layup (4 PTS)56
29.2%
59
70.8%
Q4 - 10:54MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
33.7%
57
66.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
32.9%
57
67.1%
Q4 - 11:10GSWOliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)54
29.6%
57
70.4%
Q4 - 11:24GSWMills Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)54
25.0%
57
75.0%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMurphy STEAL (1 STL)54
29.3%
56
70.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA54
34.2%
56
65.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
34.2%
56
65.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Dampier 6' Jump Shot54
32.7%
56
67.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
30.0%
56
70.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0GSWMISS Jamison 10' Jump Shot54
33.1%
56
66.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)54
30.0%
56
70.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jackson 4' Jump Hook Shot54
31.3%
56
68.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0GSWJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
34.5%
56
65.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJamison STEAL (2 STL)54
39.3%
54
60.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0GSWJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)54
44.3%
54
55.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
39.3%
54
60.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
40.8%
54
59.2%
Q3 - 1:17GSWJamison Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)54
44.0%
54
56.0%
Q3 - 1:42MIAJackson 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
39.2%
54
60.8%
Q3 - 1:54MIAJones Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)52
34.7%
54
65.3%
Q3 - 2:09GSWHughes Driving Layup (10 PTS)51
30.5%
54
69.5%
Q3 - 2:21MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)51
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q3 - 2:36MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)51
39.0%
52
61.0%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
35.7%
52
64.3%
Q3 - 2:55GSWHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)51
39.0%
52
61.0%
Q3 - 3:10MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)51
34.7%
52
65.3%
Q3 - 3:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
27.3%
52
72.7%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot48
24.7%
52
75.3%
Q3 - 3:39MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q3 - 3:40GSWMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot48
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 3:51GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)48
23.6%
52
76.4%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot48
24.7%
52
75.3%
Q3 - 4:29GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)48
27.6%
52
72.4%
Q3 - 4:30GSWMISS Foyle Free Throw 1 of 148
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q3 - 4:30GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
27.6%
52
72.4%
Q3 - 4:30GSWFoyle Layup (8 PTS)48
27.6%
52
72.4%
Q3 - 4:31GSWMISS Foyle 7' Running Hook Shot48
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q3 - 4:54MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)48
30.6%
50
69.4%
Q3 - 5:11GSWJamison 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)46
27.9%
50
72.1%
Q3 - 5:32MIAJackson Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)46
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q3 - 5:36MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q3 - 5:37GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
24.4%
48
75.6%
Q3 - 5:37GSWMISS Hughes Layup44
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q3 - 5:39GSWMISS Jamison 3' Layup44
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q3 - 5:44MIARichardson STEAL (1 STL)44
24.4%
48
75.6%
Q3 - 5:52MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q3 - 5:54GSWMISS Fortson 8' Jump Shot44
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q3 - 6:08GSWFortson Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)44
24.8%
48
75.2%
Q3 - 6:25MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)44
27.9%
47
72.1%
Q3 - 6:37GSWFortson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)41
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q3 - 6:37GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q3 - 6:39GSWMISS Hughes 22' Jump Shot41
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q3 - 7:10GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Gatling Dunk41
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q3 - 7:16MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q3 - 7:19GSWMISS Jamison 7' Jump Shot41
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMourning Slam Dunk (13 PTS)41
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q3 - 8:10GSWJamison Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Fortson 2 AST)39
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q3 - 8:30MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)39
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q3 - 8:41MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q3 - 8:43GSWMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot37
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q3 - 9:01GSWWARRIORS Rebound37
16.0%
45
84.0%
Q3 - 9:04MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot37
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q3 - 9:24GSWFoyle Reverse Layup (6 PTS)37
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q3 - 9:34GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
20.3%
43
79.7%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Gatling 7' Jump Shot37
21.0%
43
79.0%
Q3 - 9:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q3 - 9:51GSWMISS Hughes 6' Jump Shot37
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q3 - 10:07MIAJackson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)37
20.5%
43
79.5%
Q3 - 10:28GSWFoyle 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q3 - 10:42GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot35
21.3%
41
78.7%
Q3 - 10:56GSWRichardson Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P4.T10)35
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical35
28.8%
39
71.2%
Q3 - 11:18GSWRichardson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)35
28.8%
39
71.2%
Q3 - 11:26GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q3 - 11:28MIAJamison BLOCK (1 BLK)35
26.8%
39
73.2%
Q3 - 11:41GSWHughes 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Fortson 1 AST)35
28.8%
39
71.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW35
31.5%
37
68.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)35
31.5%
37
68.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0GSWMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot35
33.8%
37
66.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)35
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0GSWHughes 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
34.5%
37
65.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
38.4%
35
61.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot35
39.1%
35
60.9%
Q2 - 1:14GSWFortson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 1:14GSWFortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
41.0%
34
59.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)35
45.1%
33
54.9%
Q2 - 1:35MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
37.3%
33
62.7%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot32
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 1:55GSWFortson 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)32
37.3%
33
62.7%
Q2 - 1:58GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)32
41.9%
31
58.1%
Q2 - 2:00GSWMISS Jamison 9' Jump Shot32
43.1%
31
56.9%
Q2 - 2:12MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)32
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 2:30GSWFortson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)32
43.9%
31
56.1%
Q2 - 2:41GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
41.2%
31
58.8%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
42.0%
31
58.0%
Q2 - 2:47MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
43.9%
31
56.1%
Q2 - 2:49MIAFoyle BLOCK (3 BLK)32
42.0%
31
58.0%
Q2 - 2:54MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
43.9%
31
56.1%
Q2 - 2:56GSWMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot32
43.1%
31
56.9%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)32
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 3:19MIAHeat Rebound30
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Mourning 3' Layup30
35.9%
31
64.1%
Q2 - 3:35MIAJones Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)30
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 3:45GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
35.3%
31
64.7%
Q2 - 3:45GSWMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)29
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q2 - 3:48GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMurphy BLOCK (1 BLK)29
38.7%
29
61.3%
Q2 - 4:07GSWHughes Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)29
40.5%
29
59.5%
Q2 - 4:12MIAFortson STEAL (1 STL)29
43.3%
27
56.7%
Q2 - 4:25GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
46.2%
27
53.8%
Q2 - 4:25GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 229
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q2 - 4:33GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
46.2%
26
53.8%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot29
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound29
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q2 - 4:50GSWMISS Fortson 18' Jump Shot29
48.2%
26
51.8%
Q2 - 5:08GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
45.8%
26
54.2%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Ellis 4' Jump Hook Shot29
46.8%
26
53.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
48.9%
26
51.1%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot29
46.8%
26
53.2%
Q2 - 5:34GSWJamison Layup (9 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)29
48.9%
26
51.1%
Q2 - 5:51MIAHughes STEAL (1 STL)29
51.5%
24
48.5%
Q2 - 6:05MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
54.2%
24
45.8%
Q2 - 6:07GSWMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot29
53.2%
24
46.8%
Q2 - 6:28MIAGatling Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)29
51.0%
24
49.0%
Q2 - 6:43MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q2 - 6:45GSWMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
47.8%
24
52.2%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMourning 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)27
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 7:01MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
43.0%
24
57.0%
Q2 - 7:03GSWMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot25
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
40.3%
24
59.7%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
39.5%
24
60.5%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
37.9%
24
62.1%
Q2 - 7:34GSWMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot23
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q2 - 7:48GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
35.3%
24
64.7%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Ellis 10' Jump Shot23
36.1%
24
63.9%
Q2 - 8:05MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 8:07GSWMISS Foyle 8' Hook Shot23
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 8:19GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)23
35.1%
24
64.9%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q2 - 8:41GSWDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)23
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 8:59MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)23
35.2%
24
64.8%
Q2 - 9:17MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
33.1%
24
66.9%
Q2 - 9:19GSWMISS Oliver 20' Jump Shot21
32.3%
24
67.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIAGatling Layup (4 PTS)21
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot19
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q2 - 9:50GSWMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot19
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q2 - 9:58GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q2 - 10:26GSWJamison 6' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)19
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q2 - 10:32GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
30.7%
22
69.3%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Gatling 5' Jump Hook Shot19
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q2 - 10:53GSWMills 3' Layup (2 PTS)19
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q2 - 10:54GSWMills REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q2 - 10:56GSWMISS Mills 4' Jump Shot19
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q2 - 10:57GSWMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q2 - 10:58GSWMISS Mills 6' Jump Shot19
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
35.0%
20
65.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q2 - 11:23GSWOliver 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)17
32.8%
20
67.2%
Q2 - 11:37MIAJamison STEAL (1 STL)17
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q2 - 11:51GSWSura Foul Turnover (P2.T8)17
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW17
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot17
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0GSWSura Foul Turnover (P1.T7)17
36.9%
18
63.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0GSWJamison 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 1:13MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 1:24MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 1:26GSWMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 1:43GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 215
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 1:45MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
37.1%
16
62.9%
Q1 - 1:58MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 2:00GSWMISS Fortson 12' Jump Shot14
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 2:19GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 2:20MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Hook Shot14
33.7%
16
66.3%
Q1 - 2:37GSWDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)14
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 2:52MIAGill Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 3:00GSWMISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot12
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 3:11MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 3:20GSWJamison Foul Turnover (P2.T5)12
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 211
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 3:38GSWMISS Sura 3PT Jump Shot11
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 3:56MIAJones 12' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)11
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 4:12GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 4:12GSWMISS Jamison Tip Shot9
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 4:14GSWMISS Sura 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 4:20GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 4:21GSWMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 19
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 4:21GSWHughes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 4:33MIAJones Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)9
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 4:50GSWDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 4:50GSWDampier Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 4:52GSWMISS Sura 10' Running Jump Shot7
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 4:57GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 4:59GSWMISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot7
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 5:07GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot7
28.1%
12
71.9%
Q1 - 5:19GSWFoyle Foul Turnover (P2.T4)7
29.5%
12
70.5%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMourning 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)7
27.5%
12
72.5%
Q1 - 5:55GSWFoyle 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 6:05GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot5
28.3%
10
71.7%
Q1 - 6:17MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 6:35GSWSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 6:35GSWSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
28.3%
9
71.7%
Q1 - 6:45GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 6:47MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot4
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHeat Rebound4
31.3%
8
68.7%
Q1 - 6:50MIAFoyle BLOCK (2 BLK)4
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 7:08GSWFortson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)4
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 7:20MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 7:31GSWFoyle 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)4
34.9%
6
65.1%
Q1 - 7:44GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 7:44GSWMISS Jamison 5' Jump Shot4
34.3%
6
65.7%
Q1 - 7:48GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 8:14GSWJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 8:40MIAHeat Rebound4
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 8:42GSWMISS Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 8:57GSWFortson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 9:10GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Jackson 8' Jump Hook Shot4
35.1%
5
64.9%
Q1 - 9:33GSWRichardson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 9:55MIAJackson Layup (2 PTS)4
38.0%
3
62.0%
Q1 - 9:56MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
36.7%
3
63.3%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Jackson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot2
35.2%
3
64.8%
Q1 - 10:12GSWRichardson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.5%
3
63.5%
Q1 - 10:18GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot2
35.1%
3
64.9%
Q1 - 10:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.5%
3
63.5%
Q1 - 10:39GSWMISS Hughes 12' Turnaround Jump Shot2
35.9%
3
64.1%
Q1 - 10:53GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 10:54GSWMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 22
36.2%
3
63.8%
Q1 - 10:54GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
35.1%
3
64.9%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:30GSWJamison 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)0
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:37GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 11:39MIAFoyle BLOCK (1 BLK)0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Foyle vs. Mourning: Tip to Jones0
38.0%
0
62.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.5%
GSW
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
20
55%
GSW
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
14
35
40%
GSW
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
GSW
1
1.5
11
9%
14%
Free Throws
MIA
17
22
77%
GSW
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2858%14.0 / 24
A. Mourning1583%7.5 / 9
J. Jackson1250%6.0 / 12
R. Strickland850%4.0 / 8
K. Gill788%3.5 / 4
C. Gatling643%3.0 / 7
L. Ellis550%2.5 / 5
E. House233%1.0 / 3
V. Stepania2100%1.0 / 1
B. Grant0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Hughes1948%9.5 / 20
A. Jamison1547%7.5 / 16
C. Mills1050%5.0 / 10
D. Fortson857%4.0 / 7
A. Foyle844%4.0 / 9
B. Sura844%4.0 / 9
J. Richardson433%2.0 / 6
T. Murphy375%1.5 / 2
E. Dampier220%1.0 / 5
D. Oliver250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+9
-17
79
GSW
66
+20
-23
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.5%
GSW
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.3
MIA 97.7 +8.9
GSW 88.8
Pace
89.7
97.1
MIA 86.3
GSW 89.7 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.7
MIA 16.7
GSW 16.1 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.2%
MIA 49.3% +7.9%
GSW 41.4%
TO %
15.5%
16.6%
MIA 18.6% +3.4%
GSW 22.0%
ORB %
26.7%
35.2%
MIA 18.9%
GSW 42.6% +23.7%
FTrt
26.8
33.5
MIA 31.9 +4.3
GSW 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
56.9%
MIA 67.7% +22.5%
GSW 45.2%
STL %
7.4%
8.1%
MIA 9.2%
GSW 10.1% +0.9%
BLK %
8.7%
9.0%
MIA 7.7%
GSW 10.9% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.5%
MIA 52.5% +8.1%
GSW 44.4%
Rim FG%
60.6%
55.0%
MIA 55.0% +1.2%
GSW 53.8%
Mid FG%
38.0%
35.6%
MIA 40.0%
GSW 41.0% +1.0%
3P %
34.7%
32.2%
MIA 42.9% +33.8%
GSW 9.1%
FT %
72.4%
72.2%
MIA 77.3% +1.1%
GSW 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
40.2%
MIA 29.0%
GSW 34.2% +5.2%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
45.5%
MIA 50.7% +0.6%
GSW 51.3%
3P Att. %
14.1%
14.2%
MIA 20.3% +5.8%
GSW 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points8579
Rebounds3450
Assists2114
Steals89
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)23 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)20 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals31-6931-76
At-the-Rim FG11-2014-26
Midrange FG14-3516-39
2-Point FG25-5530-65
3-Point FG6-141-11
Free Throws17-2216-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
40.8
28
58%
2
5
2
0
2
0
0
2
5-8
63%
4-13
31%
5-9
56%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
32.4
15
83%
3
4
0
4
4
4
0
3
3-4
75%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
32.4
8
50%
5
8
2
0
4
3
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
29.9
12
50%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
14.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
31.9
5
50%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
22.5
7
88%
5
1
1
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
15.3
6
43%
5
0
0
0
0
5
3
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
12.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
7.9
2
100%
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
53%
34
21
8
5
17
0
7
27
17-22
77%
25-55
45%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.