FinalWin Prob.pScore
1426%97
102
574%105
111
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
102.010095.9
DAL logo DAL
112.199103.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL102
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)102
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)99
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0INDMISS Tinsley 21' Jump Shot99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0INDMISS Tinsley 8' Jump Hook Shot99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)99
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALBuckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)99
1.2%
105
98.8%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)99
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)99
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDMISS Rose 7' Jump Shot99
3.0%
103
97.0%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki Layup (27 PTS)99
5.8%
103
94.2%
Q4 - 1:12DALNajera REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)99
10.7%
101
89.3%
Q4 - 1:16INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot99
12.9%
101
87.1%
Q4 - 1:20INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)99
18.9%
101
81.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALMISS Nash Reverse Layup99
16.2%
101
83.8%
Q4 - 1:43INDRose Layup (18 PTS) (Tinsley 16 AST)99
12.4%
101
87.6%
Q4 - 1:47DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)97
8.5%
101
91.5%
Q4 - 2:08INDRose 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)97
17.9%
98
82.1%
Q4 - 2:21INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)95
14.2%
98
85.8%
Q4 - 2:21DALMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 295
13.1%
98
86.9%
Q4 - 2:21DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 295
10.3%
98
89.7%
Q4 - 2:34DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
7.7%
98
92.3%
Q4 - 2:37DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot95
11.8%
98
88.2%
Q4 - 2:50INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)95
7.6%
98
92.4%
Q4 - 2:50INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)94
7.2%
98
92.8%
Q4 - 3:07DALNash 22' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)93
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 3:18INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)93
8.8%
96
91.2%
Q4 - 3:22INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
15.2%
96
84.8%
Q4 - 3:22DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 293
14.1%
96
85.9%
Q4 - 3:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)93
11.0%
96
89.0%
Q4 - 3:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
12.9%
95
87.1%
Q4 - 3:24INDMISS Harrington 9' Fadeaway Jumper93
15.1%
95
84.9%
Q4 - 3:32DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)93
21.4%
95
78.6%
Q4 - 3:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
15.7%
95
84.3%
Q4 - 3:35INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
17.2%
95
82.8%
Q4 - 3:56DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)93
21.3%
95
78.7%
Q4 - 4:16INDTinsley 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)93
27.8%
93
72.2%
Q4 - 4:35DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)91
21.3%
93
78.7%
Q4 - 4:41DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
36.1%
90
63.9%
Q4 - 4:43INDMISS Best 15' Jump Shot91
39.0%
90
61.0%
Q4 - 4:55DALNajera 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)91
46.0%
90
54.0%
Q4 - 5:17DALMAVERICKS Rebound91
50.4%
88
49.6%
Q4 - 5:18INDMISS Croshere 21' Jump Shot91
53.0%
88
47.0%
Q4 - 5:45DALGriffin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)91
59.2%
88
40.8%
Q4 - 6:02INDMiller Layup (15 PTS) (Croshere 2 AST)91
61.3%
86
38.7%
Q4 - 6:16DALHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
55.3%
86
44.7%
Q4 - 6:16DALHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
56.4%
85
43.6%
Q4 - 6:31INDCroshere Foul Turnover (P1.T15)89
61.7%
84
38.3%
Q4 - 6:43DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
69.6%
84
30.4%
Q4 - 6:43DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)89
70.3%
83
29.7%
Q4 - 7:04DALNajera REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)89
70.6%
82
29.4%
Q4 - 7:05INDMISS O'Neal Layup89
72.5%
82
27.5%
Q4 - 7:20INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
76.7%
82
23.3%
Q4 - 7:21DALMISS Nash Layup89
75.0%
82
25.0%
Q4 - 7:29INDHarrington 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Best 1 AST)89
70.8%
82
29.2%
Q4 - 7:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)87
65.7%
82
34.3%
Q4 - 7:47INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot87
60.6%
82
39.4%
Q4 - 8:00DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)87
65.8%
82
34.2%
Q4 - 8:00DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
66.5%
81
33.5%
Q4 - 8:03INDHardaway STEAL (1 STL)87
68.0%
80
32.0%
Q4 - 8:12DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)87
73.4%
80
26.6%
Q4 - 8:31INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
68.1%
80
31.9%
Q4 - 8:31INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 286
66.6%
80
33.4%
Q4 - 8:35INDBest Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)86
68.3%
80
31.7%
Q4 - 8:43INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
62.5%
80
37.5%
Q4 - 8:46DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
60.6%
80
39.4%
Q4 - 8:57INDO'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
56.2%
80
43.8%
Q4 - 9:21DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)83
47.9%
80
52.1%
Q4 - 9:21DALNajera Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)83
54.0%
79
46.0%
Q4 - 9:37INDCroshere Layup (9 PTS)83
59.7%
77
40.3%
Q4 - 9:38INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
54.0%
77
46.0%
Q4 - 9:42INDMISS O'Neal 8' Running Jump Shot81
49.7%
77
50.3%
Q4 - 10:00DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)81
54.1%
77
45.9%
Q4 - 10:24DALMAVERICKS Rebound81
62.9%
74
37.1%
Q4 - 10:25INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
64.7%
74
35.3%
Q4 - 10:42INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
68.5%
74
31.5%
Q4 - 10:44DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot81
66.9%
74
33.1%
Q4 - 10:51DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
63.0%
74
37.0%
Q4 - 10:53INDMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot81
64.7%
74
35.3%
Q4 - 11:11DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)81
66.8%
74
33.2%
Q4 - 11:30INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)81
71.3%
72
28.7%
Q4 - 11:37INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
66.9%
72
33.1%
Q4 - 11:37DALMISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
65.3%
72
34.7%
Q4 - 11:45DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
61.7%
72
38.3%
Q4 - 11:47INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
63.3%
72
36.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND79
66.9%
72
33.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound79
66.9%
72
33.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Tinsley 70' 3PT Jump Shot79
63.3%
72
36.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
66.9%
72
33.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALMISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
62.8%
72
37.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)79
59.5%
72
40.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALNajera Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)79
64.5%
72
35.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0INDO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Tinsley 15 AST)79
69.1%
70
30.9%
Q3 - 1:07DALNajera REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)77
62.0%
70
38.0%
Q3 - 1:07DALNajera Tip Shot (4 PTS)77
62.0%
70
38.0%
Q3 - 1:10DALMISS Manning 9' Jump Shot77
69.4%
68
30.6%
Q3 - 1:20DALMAVERICKS Rebound77
66.4%
68
33.6%
Q3 - 1:22INDMISS Tinsley Driving Layup77
67.8%
68
32.2%
Q3 - 1:44DALNash Driving Layup (14 PTS)77
70.8%
68
29.2%
Q3 - 2:00INDRose 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Tinsley 14 AST)77
74.7%
66
25.3%
Q3 - 2:15DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)75
68.3%
66
31.7%
Q3 - 2:23DALNajera REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)75
75.5%
63
24.5%
Q3 - 2:25INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
76.6%
63
23.4%
Q3 - 2:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
79.1%
63
20.9%
Q3 - 2:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
79.6%
62
20.4%
Q3 - 2:44DALNajera REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)75
81.8%
61
18.2%
Q3 - 2:47DALMISS Buckner 8' Turnaround Jump Shot75
83.8%
61
16.2%
Q3 - 3:03INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 13 AST)75
80.3%
61
19.7%
Q3 - 3:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
74.2%
61
25.8%
Q3 - 3:11DALMISS Nash 3PT Jump Shot72
73.1%
61
26.9%
Q3 - 3:18DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
70.5%
61
29.5%
Q3 - 3:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
74.3%
61
25.7%
Q3 - 3:20INDMISS Foster Layup72
71.7%
61
28.3%
Q3 - 3:21INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot72
71.7%
61
28.3%
Q3 - 3:40DALNash 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
74.3%
61
25.7%
Q3 - 3:54INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 12 AST)72
77.4%
59
22.6%
Q3 - 3:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
70.8%
59
29.2%
Q3 - 3:59INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot69
67.9%
59
32.1%
Q3 - 4:19DALHardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
68.7%
59
31.3%
Q3 - 4:27DALNajera REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)69
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q3 - 4:29INDMISS Tinsley 20' Jump Shot69
76.3%
56
23.7%
Q3 - 4:56DALHardaway 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
78.8%
56
21.2%
Q3 - 5:07INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
79.6%
54
20.4%
Q3 - 5:07INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 268
79.0%
54
21.0%
Q3 - 5:09DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)68
79.8%
54
20.2%
Q3 - 5:22INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 11 AST)68
76.8%
54
23.2%
Q3 - 5:41DALNash Driving Layup (10 PTS)65
70.6%
54
29.4%
Q3 - 5:49DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
73.7%
52
26.3%
Q3 - 5:49INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 265
74.2%
52
25.8%
Q3 - 5:49INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 265
76.0%
52
24.0%
Q3 - 6:04DALNowitzki Driving Layup (15 PTS)65
74.9%
52
25.1%
Q3 - 6:26INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
77.7%
50
22.3%
Q3 - 6:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
75.1%
50
24.9%
Q3 - 6:39DALMISS Hardaway 20' Jump Shot63
74.1%
50
25.9%
Q3 - 6:49DALMAVERICKS Rebound63
71.8%
50
28.2%
Q3 - 6:51INDMISS Foster 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
72.8%
50
27.2%
Q3 - 7:14INDPacers Rebound63
73.5%
50
26.5%
Q3 - 7:15DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot63
72.4%
50
27.6%
Q3 - 7:34INDRose 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
69.9%
50
30.1%
Q3 - 7:42INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q3 - 7:44DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot61
65.9%
50
34.1%
Q3 - 8:04INDRose 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)61
61.9%
50
38.1%
Q3 - 8:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
55.0%
50
45.0%
Q3 - 8:09INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot58
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q3 - 8:23INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
55.1%
50
44.9%
Q3 - 8:26DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot58
53.8%
50
46.2%
Q3 - 8:33DALMAVERICKS Rebound58
50.8%
50
49.2%
Q3 - 8:33DALMISS Griffin Layup58
53.8%
50
46.2%
Q3 - 8:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
50.8%
50
49.2%
Q3 - 8:42INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q3 - 8:45INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
55.1%
50
44.9%
Q3 - 8:46INDMISS Foster 10' Jump Shot58
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q3 - 9:07DALNowitzki 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)58
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q3 - 9:20DALNewman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
49.2%
50
50.8%
Q3 - 9:22INDMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q3 - 9:40INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
53.1%
50
46.9%
Q3 - 9:42DALMISS Newman 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
51.9%
50
48.1%
Q3 - 9:57INDTinsley Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
49.3%
50
50.7%
Q3 - 10:12INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
44.4%
50
55.6%
Q3 - 10:13DALMISS Nash Driving Layup56
43.2%
50
56.8%
Q3 - 10:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
40.6%
50
59.4%
Q3 - 10:24DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot56
43.3%
50
56.7%
Q3 - 10:36INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T12)56
40.6%
50
59.4%
Q3 - 10:50DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
44.5%
50
55.5%
Q3 - 11:06INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
46.3%
48
53.7%
Q3 - 11:06INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q3 - 11:10DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)54
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q3 - 11:29INDO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)54
39.6%
48
60.4%
Q3 - 11:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q3 - 11:31INDHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)52
34.2%
48
65.8%
Q3 - 11:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q3 - 11:48DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 252
37.0%
47
63.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND52
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound52
39.8%
47
60.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Foster 85' 3PT Jump Shot52
37.4%
47
62.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALJump Ball Nash vs. Tinsley: Tip to Foster52
38.3%
47
61.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALMISS Nash Driving Layup52
37.7%
47
62.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0INDHarrington Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Tinsley 10 AST)52
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDMISS Croshere 3PT Jump Shot50
30.9%
47
69.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0DALNowitzki 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q2 - 1:03DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
36.1%
45
63.9%
Q2 - 1:04INDMISS Foster Layup50
36.5%
45
63.5%
Q2 - 1:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
37.6%
45
62.4%
Q2 - 1:07INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
36.5%
45
63.5%
Q2 - 1:12INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
37.6%
45
62.4%
Q2 - 1:15DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot50
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 1:20INDNewman STEAL (1 STL)50
36.1%
45
63.9%
Q2 - 1:38INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
37.7%
45
62.3%
Q2 - 1:41DALMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot50
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 2:02INDHarrington Layup (10 PTS) (Tinsley 9 AST)50
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 2:13DALNajera Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)48
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q2 - 2:29INDHarrington Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)48
34.9%
43
65.1%
Q2 - 2:33INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
37.6%
43
62.4%
Q2 - 2:37DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 2:56INDHarrington Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)48
35.0%
43
65.0%
Q2 - 3:09DALBuckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)46
31.3%
43
68.7%
Q2 - 3:09DALMISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 246
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 3:09INDBuckner STEAL (2 STL)46
31.0%
42
69.0%
Q2 - 3:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 3:11DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot46
33.0%
42
67.0%
Q2 - 3:27DALNajera REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)46
31.0%
42
69.0%
Q2 - 3:28DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)46
31.0%
42
69.0%
Q2 - 3:28DALMISS Najera Tip Shot46
33.0%
42
67.0%
Q2 - 3:29DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
31.0%
42
69.0%
Q2 - 3:29DALMISS Najera Tip Shot46
33.0%
42
67.0%
Q2 - 3:31DALMISS Nash 9' Fadeaway Jumper46
33.0%
42
67.0%
Q2 - 3:46INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)46
31.0%
42
69.0%
Q2 - 4:06DALZhi-zhi Layup (6 PTS)44
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 4:06DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
30.4%
40
69.6%
Q2 - 4:08DALMISS Buckner 11' Jump Shot44
32.1%
40
67.9%
Q2 - 4:23INDCroshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)44
30.4%
40
69.6%
Q2 - 4:29INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
25.7%
40
74.3%
Q2 - 4:31DALMISS Zhi-zhi 3PT Jump Shot41
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 4:50INDCroshere 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)41
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 4:59INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 5:01DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot39
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 5:17INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 5:17INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 5:20INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 5:21DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 5:21DALMISS Najera Tip Shot37
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 5:23DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot37
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 5:35DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 5:36DALMISS Zhi-zhi Driving Layup37
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 5:58DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 6:01INDMISS Harrington 11' Turnaround Jump Shot37
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 6:21DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)37
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 6:24DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 6:27INDZhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK)37
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 6:43DALZhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q2 - 6:43DALZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q2 - 7:03INDCroshere 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)37
24.9%
35
75.1%
Q2 - 7:25DALZhi-zhi 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)35
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 7:34DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
24.9%
33
75.1%
Q2 - 7:36INDMISS Best 13' Jump Shot35
25.6%
33
74.4%
Q2 - 7:53DALBuckner Layup (2 PTS)35
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 7:55DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 7:57DALMISS Zhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 8:03DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 8:06INDMISS Bender 15' Jump Shot35
29.4%
31
70.6%
Q2 - 8:12INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
31.2%
31
68.8%
Q2 - 8:14DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 8:14DALMISS Buckner Tip Shot35
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 8:15DALMISS Najera Layup35
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 8:29INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 8:47INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)33
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 8:49DALMISS Nash Driving Layup33
26.2%
31
73.8%
Q2 - 8:56INDNajera STEAL (1 STL)33
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 9:01DALZhi-zhi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)33
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 9:11INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
24.3%
31
75.7%
Q2 - 9:11INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q2 - 9:17INDPacers Rebound31
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 9:18INDMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot31
21.4%
31
78.6%
Q2 - 9:33DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)31
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 9:33DALMAVERICKS Rebound31
20.8%
31
79.2%
Q2 - 9:34DALMISS Hardaway 9' Jump Shot31
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 9:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound31
20.8%
31
79.2%
Q2 - 9:45DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup31
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q2 - 9:58INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
20.8%
31
79.2%
Q2 - 9:58INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 10:05INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 10:06DALMISS Howard Layup29
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 10:20INDBender 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)29
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 10:31INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 10:33DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot27
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 10:48INDRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)27
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 11:01INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q2 - 11:01DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 227
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 11:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 11:12INDBuckner STEAL (1 STL)27
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 11:15INDBender REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
17.6%
30
82.4%
Q2 - 11:17INDMISS Bender 9' Jump Shot27
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 11:36INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
17.6%
30
82.4%
Q2 - 11:39DALMISS Hardaway 22' Jump Shot27
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL27
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDBest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Buckner 17' Jump Shot24
13.4%
30
86.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
12.8%
30
87.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0DALMISS Buckner 17' Jump Shot24
13.4%
30
86.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
12.8%
30
87.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot24
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
13.7%
30
86.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot24
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
13.7%
30
86.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALMISS Hardaway 23' Jump Shot24
13.4%
30
86.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDRose 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)24
12.8%
30
87.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q1 - 1:00INDMISS Best 17' Jump Shot22
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q1 - 1:05INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q1 - 1:07DALMISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q1 - 1:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
10.9%
30
89.1%
Q1 - 1:14INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot22
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q1 - 1:34DALHoward Layup (10 PTS)22
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q1 - 1:50INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)22
12.9%
28
87.1%
Q1 - 1:57DALHardaway 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q1 - 2:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 2:04INDMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 2:13INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 2:15DALMISS Newman 19' Jump Shot22
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q1 - 2:21DALNewman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 2:23INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot22
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 2:40INDPacers Rebound22
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 2:41DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot22
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q1 - 3:00INDO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)22
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q1 - 3:03DALNewman Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 3:03DALNewman Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q1 - 3:10DALMAVERICKS Rebound20
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q1 - 3:13DALMISS Nash 19' Jump Shot20
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q1 - 3:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q1 - 3:22INDMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot20
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q1 - 3:32INDPacers Rebound20
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 3:33DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q1 - 3:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q1 - 3:42INDMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot20
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q1 - 4:01DALNash 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 4:12INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 4:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 4:31DALMISS Griffin Driving Layup20
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 4:36DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 4:38INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 4:58DALNewman Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)20
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 5:13DALMAVERICKS Rebound20
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 5:15DALMISS Howard Driving Layup20
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 5:30INDO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)20
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 5:45DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)18
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 5:52DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 5:53INDMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 218
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 5:53INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 5:58INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 6:03DALMISS Newman 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
20.3%
17
79.7%
Q1 - 6:21INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 6:37DALNewman 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)17
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 6:58INDFoster Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)17
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 7:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 7:04DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot15
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 7:22INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)15
19.2%
15
80.8%
Q1 - 7:28DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 7:34INDGriffin STEAL (1 STL)12
15.9%
15
84.1%
Q1 - 7:45DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)12
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 7:53INDFoster Layup (2 PTS)12
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 8:02INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 8:04DALMISS Nash Driving Layup10
16.5%
13
83.5%
Q1 - 8:15INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 8:32DALHoward 8' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)10
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 8:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
17.9%
11
82.1%
Q1 - 8:46INDMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot10
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 8:52INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.1%
11
80.9%
Q1 - 8:54DALMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot10
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 9:05INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
17.6%
11
82.4%
Q1 - 9:23DALHoward 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)7
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 9:38INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
16.5%
9
83.5%
Q1 - 9:38INDMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 26
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 9:56DALHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 10:01INDTinsley Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 10:22DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
16.7%
7
83.3%
Q1 - 10:38INDTinsley Layup (2 PTS)4
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 10:56DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
17.8%
4
82.2%
Q1 - 11:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 11:05INDMISS Foster 6' Hook Shot2
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 11:25DALHoward 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:42INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)2
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. O'Neal: Tip to Foster0
19.9%
0
80.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.0%
DAL
0.98 49.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
18
67%
DAL
14
31
45%
Midrange
IND
18
45
40%
DAL
17
44
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
DAL
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
IND
15
21
71%
DAL
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Miller1869%9.0 / 13
J. Rose1853%9.0 / 17
J. O'Neal1753%8.5 / 16
A. Harrington1662%8.0 / 13
J. Tinsley1243%6.0 / 14
A. Croshere956%4.5 / 8
J. Foster425%2.0 / 8
T. Best440%2.0 / 5
J. Bender450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3157%15.5 / 27
S. Nash2960%14.5 / 24
E. Najera1354%6.5 / 12
J. Howard1042%5.0 / 12
T. Hardaway941%4.5 / 11
J. Newman650%3.0 / 6
W. Zhi-zhi650%3.0 / 6
G. Buckner536%2.5 / 7
A. Griffin233%1.0 / 3
D. Manning0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+15
-16
99
DAL
91
+19
-8
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.02 51.0%
DAL
0.98 49.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
109.4
IND 102.0
DAL 112.1 +10.1
Pace
94.6
95.4
IND 95.9
DAL 103.5 +7.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.9
IND 15.0
DAL 13.9 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
50.7%
IND 49.4% +3.7%
DAL 45.7%
TO %
15.2%
12.1%
IND 14.1%
DAL 7.7% +6.4%
ORB %
27.0%
26.2%
IND 27.3%
DAL 28.0% +0.7%
FTrt
32.8
28.8
IND 23.9
DAL 33.0 +9.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.2%
56.6%
IND 66.7% +12.9%
DAL 53.8%
STL %
8.4%
7.4%
IND 7.0% +0.9%
DAL 6.1%
BLK %
7.8%
7.1%
IND 8.0% +4.8%
DAL 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
53.0%
IND 51.0% +1.9%
DAL 49.1%
Rim FG%
58.6%
58.9%
IND 66.7% +21.5%
DAL 45.2%
Mid FG%
40.1%
42.0%
IND 40.0% +1.4%
DAL 38.6%
3P %
33.9%
37.8%
IND 36.0%
DAL 42.1% +6.1%
FT %
77.2%
80.6%
IND 71.4%
DAL 80.6% +9.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
30.7%
IND 20.5%
DAL 33.0% +12.5%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
45.6%
IND 51.1%
DAL 46.8% +4.3%
3P Att. %
18.2%
23.7%
IND 28.4% +8.2%
DAL 20.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsINDDAL
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points102111
Rebounds4846
Assists2621
Steals76
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)32 (4)
Field Goals39-8839-94
At-the-Rim FG12-1814-31
Midrange FG18-4517-44
2-Point FG30-6331-75
3-Point FG9-258-19
Free Throws15-2125-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 36
37.7
18
69%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
37.6
12
43%
4
16
2
1
4
5
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 255 · 23
36.8
17
53%
12
0
0
1
4
4
4
8
3-6
50%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
33.0
18
53%
8
1
1
2
2
3
0
8
5-6
83%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 250 · 25
27.1
4
25%
9
1
3
0
1
2
5
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 22
27.2
16
62%
7
1
1
1
2
4
0
7
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
17.9
9
56%
4
2
0
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
G · 5'11" 182 · 30
14.6
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
F · 7'0" 230 · 21
8.1
4
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 232 · 31
C · 7'1" 255 · 22
C · 7'2" 260 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
51%
48
26
7
6
16
0
12
36
15-21
71%
30-63
48%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.