FinalWin Prob.pScore
2413%95
94
487%109
95
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
97.99688.0
DAL logo DAL
99.096105.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL94
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 0:01.0DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)94
23.6%
95
76.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALNowitzki Layup (26 PTS)94
50.5%
94
49.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENJohnson Driving Layup (8 PTS)94
63.5%
92
36.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)92
40.4%
92
59.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENGriffin STEAL (3 STL)92
70.9%
89
29.1%
Q4 - 1:04DALNajera Layup (6 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)92
77.9%
89
22.1%
Q4 - 1:16DENLaFrentz 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)92
81.8%
87
18.2%
Q4 - 1:30DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)90
69.1%
87
30.9%
Q4 - 1:30DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 290
67.4%
87
32.6%
Q4 - 1:30DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)90
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q4 - 1:35DENVan Exel 13' Jump Shot (31 PTS)90
66.1%
86
33.9%
Q4 - 1:54DALNash 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)88
53.8%
86
46.2%
Q4 - 2:05DENPosey Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T17)88
60.2%
84
39.8%
Q4 - 2:06DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)88
74.5%
84
25.5%
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot88
64.7%
84
35.3%
Q4 - 2:31DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)88
74.4%
84
25.6%
Q4 - 2:33DALMISS Hardaway 15' Jump Shot88
70.0%
84
30.0%
Q4 - 2:53DENLaFrentz 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS)88
57.3%
84
42.7%
Q4 - 3:13DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
50.7%
84
49.3%
Q4 - 3:16DALMISS Griffin 7' Fadeaway Jumper86
46.0%
84
54.0%
Q4 - 3:25DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
35.5%
84
64.5%
Q4 - 3:27DENMISS Van Exel 17' Jump Shot86
39.9%
84
60.1%
Q4 - 3:46DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
44.2%
84
55.8%
Q4 - 3:48DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
41.4%
84
58.6%
Q4 - 3:52DALMAVERICKS Rebound86
35.1%
84
64.9%
Q4 - 3:53DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot86
41.6%
84
58.4%
Q4 - 4:11DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)86
35.4%
84
64.6%
Q4 - 4:11DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)85
33.7%
84
66.3%
Q4 - 4:18DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
27.8%
84
72.2%
Q4 - 4:21DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
25.4%
84
74.6%
Q4 - 4:34DENVan Exel Layup (27 PTS)84
20.5%
84
79.5%
Q4 - 4:49DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)82
15.3%
84
84.7%
Q4 - 4:52DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup82
13.7%
84
86.3%
Q4 - 5:09DENPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)82
10.9%
84
89.1%
Q4 - 5:21DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 5:24DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q4 - 5:37DENNuggets Rebound79
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 5:40DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 6:00DENVan Exel Driving Layup (25 PTS)79
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 6:20DALNajera Layup (4 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)77
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q4 - 6:40DENHardaway STEAL (2 STL)77
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 6:49DALBuckner Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)77
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 6:54DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 6:56DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q4 - 7:04DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q4 - 7:05DENMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot77
9.3%
80
90.7%
Q4 - 7:23DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 7:23DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 277
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q4 - 7:23DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 277
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q4 - 7:34DALNash Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)77
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 7:34DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
10.9%
79
89.1%
Q4 - 7:36DENMISS Van Exel 11' Turnaround Jump Shot77
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q4 - 7:50DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
14.4%
79
85.6%
Q4 - 7:51DENMISS Van Exel 22' Jump Shot77
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q4 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q4 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q4 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)77
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q4 - 8:16DENCheaney Layup (8 PTS)77
22.0%
76
78.0%
Q4 - 8:31DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)75
18.0%
76
82.0%
Q4 - 8:48DALMAVERICKS Rebound75
14.4%
76
85.6%
Q4 - 8:49DENMISS Van Exel 15' Jump Shot75
15.4%
76
84.6%
Q4 - 9:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q4 - 9:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
18.0%
75
82.0%
Q4 - 9:28DENJohnson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)75
21.1%
74
78.9%
Q4 - 9:36DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)73
17.5%
74
82.5%
Q4 - 9:38DALMISS Hardaway 23' Jump Shot73
16.4%
74
83.6%
Q4 - 9:59DENLaFrentz Layup (20 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)73
14.2%
74
85.8%
Q4 - 10:00DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q4 - 10:03DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot71
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q4 - 10:17DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q4 - 10:17DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q4 - 10:34DENVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)71
14.2%
72
85.8%
Q4 - 10:42DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q4 - 10:44DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
9.0%
72
91.0%
Q4 - 11:09DENVan Exel Driving Layup (20 PTS)68
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q4 - 11:16DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)66
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q4 - 11:19DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q4 - 11:21DALMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot66
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q4 - 11:42DENVan Exel Layup (18 PTS)66
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL64
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound64
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Hardaway 17' Jump Shot64
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENHardaway STEAL (1 STL)64
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)64
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)64
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)64
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 1:01DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Turnaround Jump Shot64
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 1:28DENLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)64
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 1:28DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 1:44DALGriffin Slam Dunk (6 PTS)62
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 1:47DENGriffin STEAL (2 STL)62
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 2:02DALZhi-zhi 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)62
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 2:21DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 2:21DENLaFrentz Tip Shot (16 PTS)62
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 2:23DENMISS Van Exel Layup60
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 2:36DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 2:36DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 260
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 2:54DALMAVERICKS Rebound60
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 2:56DENMISS Van Exel 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 3:02DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 3:03DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot60
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 3:15DENVan Exel Driving Layup (16 PTS)60
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 3:29DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)58
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 3:31DALMISS Griffin 15' Jump Shot58
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 3:34DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 3:36DALMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot58
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 3:49DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)58
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 4:03DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)58
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 4:19DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 4:27DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)55
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 4:42DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 4:42DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 4:54DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 4:56DALMISS Newman 15' Jump Shot53
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 5:04DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 5:07DENMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 5:22DALHoward Dunk (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)53
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 5:45DENVan Exel Driving Layup (9 PTS)53
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 5:48DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 5:50DALMISS Nash Driving Layup51
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 6:06DENLaFrentz 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q3 - 6:14DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 6:18DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 6:34DENLaFrentz Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)49
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 6:34DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 6:35DENMISS Van Exel Layup49
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 6:46DALNash 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 6:54DENPosey 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)49
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 7:08DENNuggets Rebound47
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 7:10DALMISS Newman 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 7:25DENBowen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)47
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 7:25DENBowen Tip Shot (4 PTS)47
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 7:27DENMISS Posey Layup45
1.5%
61
98.5%
Q3 - 7:51DALBuckner Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)45
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 8:12DENLaFrentz Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)45
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q3 - 8:21DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q3 - 8:21DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 243
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q3 - 8:21DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q3 - 8:39DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 8:41DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 8:58DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)43
2.1%
58
97.9%
Q3 - 9:04DENHoward STEAL (1 STL)43
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q3 - 9:17DALBuckner Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)43
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q3 - 9:30DENBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)43
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q3 - 9:36DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q3 - 9:37DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot43
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q3 - 9:55DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q3 - 9:55DENVan Exel Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q3 - 10:03DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q3 - 10:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)40
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q3 - 10:07DENMISS Van Exel 10' Jump Shot40
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 10:18DENBowen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)40
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q3 - 10:20DENMISS Posey 8' Turnaround Jump Shot40
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 10:42DALNash Driving Layup (5 PTS)40
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q3 - 10:47DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)40
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q3 - 10:48DENMISS Bowen Layup40
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 10:57DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 10:59DALMISS Howard Layup40
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q3 - 11:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)40
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 11:19DENMISS Lenard 22' Jump Shot40
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q3 - 11:20DENNuggets Rebound40
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 11:21DENNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)40
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q3 - 11:47DALNewman 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)40
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN40
2.8%
52
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALBuckner Tip Shot (4 PTS)40
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Griffin 15' Jump Shot40
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)40
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALHoward Layup (12 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)40
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
5.1%
48
94.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENMISS Lenard 19' Jump Shot40
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0DALHoward Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)40
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 1:00DENHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T7)40
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 1:04DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)40
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 1:20DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 1:21DENMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 240
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 1:21DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
7.5%
46
92.5%
Q2 - 1:27DALBuckner Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)39
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 1:31DENGriffin STEAL (1 STL)39
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 1:58DALNewman 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)39
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q2 - 2:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 2:14DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 239
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q2 - 2:14DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 2:29DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)38
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 2:30DALMISS Nowitzki Layup38
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q2 - 2:42DALMAVERICKS Rebound38
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 2:42DALMISS Hardaway Layup38
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q2 - 2:50DENVan Exel 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 2:55DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 3:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 3:19DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 3:29DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 3:32DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot36
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 3:55DENLenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)36
6.7%
42
93.3%
Q2 - 4:00DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
5.4%
42
94.6%
Q2 - 4:03DALMISS Zhi-zhi 9' Jump Shot33
5.2%
42
94.8%
Q2 - 4:14DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 4:14DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 232
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 4:14DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 4:17DENMISS Bowen 23' Jump Shot32
4.5%
42
95.5%
Q2 - 4:26DENBowen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)32
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 4:28DALMISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 4:39DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 4:39DENHamilton Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 4:40DENMISS Hamilton Layup30
3.6%
42
96.4%
Q2 - 5:01DALHardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)30
3.9%
42
96.1%
Q2 - 5:04DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 5:07DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 5:14DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 5:17DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot30
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 5:29DALMAVERICKS Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#6)30
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 5:44DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 5:45DENMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot30
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 5:56DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 5:59DALMISS Newman 12' Turnaround Jump Shot30
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 6:16DENJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)30
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 6:33DALNewman Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 6:37DENNewman STEAL (1 STL)30
5.9%
37
94.1%
Q2 - 6:52DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
6.7%
37
93.3%
Q2 - 7:02DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)30
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q2 - 7:02DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q2 - 7:03DENZhi-zhi BLOCK (1 BLK)30
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 7:31DALNewman 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q2 - 7:42DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 7:44DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
7.7%
35
92.3%
Q2 - 7:47DENBowen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)30
8.3%
35
91.7%
Q2 - 7:49DENMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot30
7.7%
35
92.3%
Q2 - 8:04DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
8.3%
35
91.7%
Q2 - 8:04DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 8:04DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q2 - 8:05DALMISS Griffin Layup30
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 8:18DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q2 - 8:21DENMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot30
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 8:28DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 8:31DALMISS Najera 5' Jump Shot30
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 8:46DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q2 - 8:48DENMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot30
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 9:17DALHardaway 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 9:27DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 9:29DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot30
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q2 - 9:45DALZhi-zhi 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q2 - 10:06DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q2 - 10:06DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 10:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 10:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 10:29DENJohnson 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)28
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 10:53DALZhi-zhi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)26
12.0%
27
88.0%
Q2 - 11:18DENCheaney 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q2 - 11:23DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
12.6%
24
87.4%
Q2 - 11:24DENMISS Bowen Layup24
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q2 - 11:26DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
12.6%
24
87.4%
Q2 - 11:27DENMISS Johnson Layup24
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q2 - 11:46DALNowitzki Layup (6 PTS)24
12.6%
24
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
13.8%
22
86.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound24
15.0%
22
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Cheaney 21' Jump Shot24
14.1%
22
85.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALHardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0DENCheaney 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENCheaney Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)22
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALGriffin Reverse Layup (4 PTS)20
13.4%
19
86.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
14.8%
17
85.2%
Q1 - 1:01DALMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
15.5%
17
84.5%
Q1 - 1:14DENNuggets Turnover: Inbound (T#2)20
14.8%
17
85.2%
Q1 - 1:34DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 1:36DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 1:51DALGriffin 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)20
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 2:15DENVan Exel 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 2:34DALHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 2:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 2:54DENHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)18
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 3:04DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 3:04DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 218
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 3:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 3:04DENMISS Van Exel 12' Fadeaway Jumper18
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 3:28DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 3:28DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 3:32DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 3:35DENMISS Van Exel 15' Jump Shot18
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 3:39DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 3:41DENMISS LaFrentz Layup18
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 3:42DENNuggets Rebound18
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 3:43DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)18
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 3:47DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 3:49DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 4:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 4:06DENMISS Lenard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot18
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 4:26DALHoward Layup (5 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)18
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 4:32DENBowen Layup (2 PTS)18
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 4:33DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 4:35DENMISS Posey Layup16
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 4:52DALNowitzki 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 5:06DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 5:07DENMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot16
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 5:12DALBuckner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)16
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 5:33DENPosey Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)16
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 5:37DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
17.7%
8
82.3%
Q1 - 5:39DALMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot14
17.3%
8
82.7%
Q1 - 5:51DALNewman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 5:53DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 6:00DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 6:02DENMISS Lenard 8' Jump Shot14
16.3%
8
83.7%
Q1 - 6:25DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 6:27DALMISS Howard Layup14
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 6:39DENLenard Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)14
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 6:55DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)12
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 7:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 7:02DENMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot12
16.6%
5
83.4%
Q1 - 7:19DALBuckner Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)12
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 7:37DENLenard Layup (2 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)12
16.3%
5
83.7%
Q1 - 7:41DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
15.4%
5
84.6%
Q1 - 7:44DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot10
15.1%
5
84.9%
Q1 - 7:53DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)10
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 8:05DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
15.0%
5
85.0%
Q1 - 8:07DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot10
14.7%
5
85.3%
Q1 - 8:17DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)10
14.0%
5
86.0%
Q1 - 8:34DALHoward 8' Jump Hook Shot (3 PTS)7
12.4%
5
87.6%
Q1 - 8:52DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)7
13.1%
3
86.9%
Q1 - 8:52DENLaFrentz Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)6
12.3%
3
87.7%
Q1 - 9:13DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.5%
3
88.5%
Q1 - 9:15DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
11.2%
3
88.8%
Q1 - 9:27DALNewman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.6%
3
89.4%
Q1 - 9:29DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
10.8%
3
89.2%
Q1 - 9:41DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.5%
3
88.5%
Q1 - 9:41DALMISS Newman Free Throw 2 of 24
11.4%
3
88.6%
Q1 - 9:41DALMISS Newman Free Throw 1 of 24
10.9%
3
89.1%
Q1 - 9:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
10.6%
3
89.4%
Q1 - 9:48DENMISS LaFrentz 7' Jump Shot4
10.8%
3
89.2%
Q1 - 10:08DALNowitzki Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)4
11.4%
3
88.6%
Q1 - 10:16DENLaFrentz Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)4
12.0%
1
88.0%
Q1 - 10:19DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.4%
1
88.6%
Q1 - 10:21DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot2
11.1%
1
88.9%
Q1 - 10:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.5%
1
89.5%
Q1 - 10:38DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot2
10.8%
1
89.2%
Q1 - 10:53DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
11.4%
1
88.6%
Q1 - 10:54DALMISS Newman 19' Jump Shot2
11.1%
1
88.9%
Q1 - 11:03DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
10.5%
1
89.5%
Q1 - 11:03DENLaFrentz Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
10.5%
1
89.5%
Q1 - 11:06DENMISS Van Exel 8' Jump Shot0
9.4%
1
90.6%
Q1 - 11:23DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
9.8%
1
90.2%
Q1 - 11:23DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 20
10.0%
0
90.0%
Q1 - 11:38DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.9%
0
90.1%
Q1 - 11:40DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot0
10.0%
0
90.0%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Lenard0
10.5%
0
89.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.90 45.2%
DAL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
35
66%
DAL
17
25
68%
Midrange
DEN
10
37
27%
DAL
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
DAL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
DEN
13
16
81%
DAL
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel3148%15.5 / 32
R. LaFrentz2471%12.0 / 17
J. Posey829%4.0 / 14
A. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
C. Cheaney867%4.0 / 6
V. Lenard732%3.5 / 11
R. Bowen433%2.0 / 6
Z. Hamilton450%2.0 / 4
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2752%13.5 / 26
J. Howard1554%7.5 / 14
S. Nash1056%5.0 / 9
G. Buckner8100%4.0 / 4
J. Newman844%4.0 / 9
T. Hardaway836%4.0 / 11
W. Zhi-zhi788%3.5 / 4
E. Najera675%3.0 / 4
A. Griffin638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+22
-15
103
DAL
83
+10
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.90 45.2%
DAL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
109.4
DEN 97.9
DAL 99.0 +1.0
Pace
92.1
95.4
DEN 88.0
DAL 105.6 +17.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
DEN 16.4
DAL 13.6 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
50.7%
DEN 45.0%
DAL 49.3% +4.3%
TO %
14.9%
12.1%
DEN 15.6%
DAL 13.6% +2.0%
ORB %
30.7%
26.2%
DEN 38.8% +21.3%
DAL 17.5%
FTrt
25.6
28.8
DEN 17.8
DAL 38.2 +20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
56.6%
DEN 39.5%
DAL 57.1% +17.6%
STL %
8.0%
7.4%
DEN 8.3%
DAL 8.3%
BLK %
8.6%
7.1%
DEN 5.1%
DAL 5.6% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
53.0%
DEN 45.2%
DAL 51.1% +5.9%
Rim FG%
55.5%
58.9%
DEN 65.7%
DAL 68.0% +2.3%
Mid FG%
36.9%
42.0%
DEN 27.0%
DAL 38.2% +11.2%
3P %
32.9%
37.8%
DEN 27.8%
DAL 29.4% +1.6%
FT %
74.4%
80.6%
DEN 81.3% +12.3%
DAL 69.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
30.7%
DEN 38.9% +6.0%
DAL 32.9%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
45.6%
DEN 41.1% +3.6%
DAL 44.7%
3P Att. %
18.7%
23.7%
DEN 20.0%
DAL 22.4% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points9495
Rebounds5237
Assists1520
Steals88
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)15 (3)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals38-9035-76
At-the-Rim FG23-3517-25
Midrange FG10-3713-34
2-Point FG33-7230-59
3-Point FG5-185-17
Free Throws13-1620-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 217 · 25
45.4
8
29%
16
2
2
0
2
4
2
14
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
42.5
31
48%
3
6
1
0
6
2
0
3
5-5
100%
10-21
48%
2-8
25%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
35.0
24
71%
11
0
0
0
1
3
4
7
3-3
100%
9-13
69%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
32.7
4
33%
8
1
0
0
2
6
6
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
29.7
7
32%
5
0
3
3
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
21.2
8
50%
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30
20.5
8
67%
3
2
1
0
1
4
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 34
6.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
6.4
4
50%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 35
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
45%
52
15
8
3
15
0
19
33
13-16
81%
33-72
46%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.