FinalWin Prob.pScore
2830%88
84
2670%94
92
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
88.495100.2
MIA logo MIA
92.99995.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0GSWMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0GSWJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)84
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)84
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)84
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0GSWMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot84
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0GSWWarriors Rebound84
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 284
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)84
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
4.0%
87
96.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0GSWMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot84
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)84
10.3%
87
89.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)84
6.2%
87
93.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 284
11.0%
87
89.0%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 284
8.2%
87
91.8%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)84
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 1:11GSWMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
8.4%
87
91.6%
Q4 - 1:22GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
13.3%
87
86.7%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot84
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)84
9.2%
87
90.8%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
12.8%
87
87.2%
Q4 - 2:03MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
9.0%
87
91.0%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 284
14.7%
87
85.3%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 284
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q4 - 2:28GSWJamison 12' Hook Shot (31 PTS)84
8.8%
87
91.2%
Q4 - 2:29GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q4 - 2:31GSWMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q4 - 2:49MIAStrickland Driving Layup (16 PTS)82
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
14.5%
85
85.5%
Q4 - 3:27GSWHughes Driving Layup (15 PTS)82
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q4 - 3:45MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
9.3%
85
90.7%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q4 - 3:57GSWMISS Richardson 9' Jump Shot80
14.0%
83
86.0%
Q4 - 4:18GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
17.5%
83
82.5%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot80
15.8%
83
84.2%
Q4 - 4:35GSWRichardson Tip Shot (12 PTS)80
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q4 - 4:38GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q4 - 4:39GSWMISS Richardson 7' Running Hook Shot78
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)78
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)78
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q4 - 5:06GSWJamison 21' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)78
18.2%
80
81.8%
Q4 - 5:29MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P2.T18)76
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q4 - 5:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot76
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q4 - 5:41GSWMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
11.2%
80
88.8%
Q4 - 5:58GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot76
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q4 - 6:10GSWJamison 12' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)76
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q4 - 6:28GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot74
7.8%
80
92.2%
Q4 - 6:39MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q4 - 6:41GSWMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)74
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q4 - 6:54GSWWarriors Rebound74
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot74
7.8%
80
92.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q4 - 7:09GSWMISS Murphy 7' Hook Shot74
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q4 - 7:17GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
9.7%
80
90.3%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot74
8.9%
80
91.1%
Q4 - 7:36GSWSura Foul Turnover (P3.T13)74
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q4 - 8:00GSWSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Ellis 7' Hook Shot74
9.9%
80
90.1%
Q4 - 8:20GSWSura Driving Layup (12 PTS)74
8.3%
80
91.7%
Q4 - 8:33GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
6.6%
80
93.4%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot72
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 8:56MIAHEAT Rebound72
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q4 - 8:56GSWMISS Richardson 22' Jump Shot72
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 9:11GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot72
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q4 - 9:19MIAJackson Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)72
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 9:32GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q4 - 9:32GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q4 - 9:47MIAEllis 8' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)70
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q4 - 10:02MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q4 - 10:04GSWMISS Hughes Free Throw 2 of 270
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q4 - 10:04GSWHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q4 - 10:21MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
7.9%
77
92.1%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 269
8.3%
76
91.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
7.7%
76
92.3%
Q4 - 10:30GSWMISS Sura 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
8.3%
76
91.7%
Q4 - 10:36GSWSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHEAT Rebound69
7.7%
76
92.3%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS House Driving Layup69
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q4 - 11:00GSWHouse STEAL (1 STL)69
7.7%
76
92.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)69
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q4 - 11:21GSWSura Tip Shot (10 PTS)69
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q4 - 11:23GSWSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 11:25GSWMISS Richardson 13' Jump Shot67
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 11:42MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)67
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0GSWSura 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
9.0%
74
91.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0GSWBlaylock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0GSWJamison Layup (25 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)64
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS House 12' Jump Shot62
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 1:06MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 1:07GSWMISS Blaylock 18' Jump Shot62
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)62
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 1:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 1:37GSWMISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot62
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)62
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 2:11GSWJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)62
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 2:11GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)61
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 2:24GSWSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot60
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 2:50GSWJamison Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)60
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 3:05MIAStepania Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)58
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 3:11GSWMISS Sura Driving Layup58
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 3:16MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)58
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 3:22MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 3:24GSWMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)58
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 3:33GSWSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 3:35GSWMISS Murphy 20' Jump Shot58
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 3:42GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 3:44GSWMISS Arenas 21' Jump Shot58
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMourning Dunk (18 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)58
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 4:17GSWHughes Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T11)58
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 4:33MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)58
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 4:41GSWMISS Hughes 15' Jump Shot58
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 4:42GSWJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 4:44GSWMISS Jamison Driving Layup58
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 4:53GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot58
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 5:15GSWHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 5:15GSWHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 5:26MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T13)56
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 5:38GSWJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)56
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 5:38GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)55
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 5:38GSWJamison Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)54
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 5:51GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot53
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 6:11GSWHughes 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 6:28MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)51
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 6:31MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Jackson Driving Layup51
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 6:39MIAHEAT Rebound51
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot51
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 6:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot51
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 7:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 7:04GSWMISS Fortson 16' Jump Shot51
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 7:23MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)51
4.9%
65
95.1%
Q3 - 7:37GSWHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)51
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 7:43GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot51
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 8:02GSWMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot51
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 8:09GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Jackson Layup51
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q3 - 8:22GSWFoyle Reverse Dunk (4 PTS)51
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 8:23GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 8:26GSWMISS Fortson 14' Jump Shot49
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)49
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 8:57MIAHEAT Rebound49
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 8:57GSWMISS Richardson 6' Jump Shot49
6.0%
61
94.0%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMourning Dunk (14 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)49
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 9:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q3 - 9:34GSWMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q3 - 9:57MIAStrickland Layup (10 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)49
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)49
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot49
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 10:24GSWRichardson Dunk (8 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)49
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 10:28MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)47
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q3 - 10:39GSWFoyle Reverse Layup (2 PTS)47
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 10:50GSWFortson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot45
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 11:08GSWHughes 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 11:16MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)43
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q3 - 11:20GSWJones STEAL (2 STL)43
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 11:27GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot43
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 11:44GSWMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot43
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound43
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Hughes 45' 3PT Jump Shot43
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)43
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAStrickland Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0GSWHughes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0GSWHughes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAEllis Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)41
6.6%
54
93.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot41
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0GSWMISS Hughes Free Throw 2 of 241
7.8%
52
92.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0GSWMISS Hughes Free Throw 1 of 241
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical41
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHEAT Rebound41
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 1:04GSWMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot41
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHEAT Rebound41
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 241
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot41
12.1%
49
87.9%
Q2 - 1:44GSWHughes 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
11.6%
49
88.4%
Q2 - 2:04MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)39
10.3%
49
89.7%
Q2 - 2:28GSWJamison 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)39
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)37
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 2:55MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 2:57GSWMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot37
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 3:06GSWSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot37
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 3:20GSWEllis STEAL (1 STL)37
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T9)37
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 4:08GSWSura Layup (5 PTS)37
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 4:11MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)35
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q2 - 4:31GSWJamison Layup (14 PTS)35
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)33
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q2 - 4:41MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 4:43GSWMISS Fortson 20' Jump Shot33
7.4%
46
92.6%
Q2 - 5:10MIAGill Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)33
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 5:15MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 5:17GSWMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)33
9.2%
44
90.8%
Q2 - 5:35MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)33
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q2 - 5:42MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
10.9%
42
89.1%
Q2 - 5:44GSWMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot33
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q2 - 6:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 6:17GSWMISS Hughes 12' Jump Shot33
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 6:36MIAJackson Layup (5 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)33
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 6:50GSWRichardson Dunk (6 PTS) (Blaylock 1 AST)33
16.2%
38
83.8%
Q2 - 6:56GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
14.6%
38
85.4%
Q2 - 7:20GSWSura Layup (3 PTS) (Fortson 1 AST)31
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 7:36MIAStepania Tip Shot (8 PTS)29
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 7:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Gill Layup29
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 7:40MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot29
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 7:53GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 7:53GSWMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 8:06MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 8:12GSWFortson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 8:26GSWWarriors Rebound25
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 8:27GSWMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot25
10.0%
36
90.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 8:38MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
11.1%
35
88.9%
Q2 - 8:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
11.7%
34
88.3%
Q2 - 8:50GSWMISS Blaylock 20' Jump Shot25
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 9:08MIAStepania Reverse Layup (4 PTS)25
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q2 - 9:22MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 9:24GSWMISS Blaylock 3PT Jump Shot25
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 9:31GSWRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot25
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 9:38MIAHEAT Rebound25
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS House Driving Layup25
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 9:53GSWWarriors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)25
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 10:22MIAStepania 10' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)25
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 10:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 10:35GSWMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.3%
30
82.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAJones Dunk (12 PTS) (House 1 AST)25
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 11:06GSWStepania STEAL (1 STL)25
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q2 - 11:24MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)25
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 11:39GSWJackson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
23.0%
26
77.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Sura Free Throw 2 of 223
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0GSWSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
19.5%
26
80.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 222
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 222
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)22
18.4%
26
81.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0GSWJones BLOCK (1 BLK)22
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q1 - 1:05GSWJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)22
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 1:05GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)21
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 1:05GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot20
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 1:21GSWJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)20
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 1:21GSWJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 1:29MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 1:33GSWJones STEAL (1 STL)18
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 1:35GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot18
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q1 - 1:52GSWJackson STEAL (1 STL)18
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 2:00MIAJones Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)18
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)18
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 2:21MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
18.4%
22
81.6%
Q1 - 2:23GSWMISS Sura Driving Layup18
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 2:27GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Gatling Layup18
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 2:34MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
18.4%
22
81.6%
Q1 - 2:37GSWMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot18
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 2:51GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Jackson Tip Shot18
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 2:55MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18.4%
22
81.6%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 218
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 2:57MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 3:13MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.7%
21
80.3%
Q1 - 3:15GSWMISS Fortson 15' Jump Shot18
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 3:21GSWWarriors Rebound18
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q1 - 3:22GSWMISS Jackson 7' Hook Shot18
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 3:43MIAStrickland Driving Layup (5 PTS)18
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q1 - 3:54GSWJamison 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 4:12MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 4:25GSWJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
22.4%
17
77.6%
Q1 - 4:31MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 4:31MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 4:43GSWHughes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
25.6%
15
74.4%
Q1 - 4:48GSWHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 4:50GSWMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot14
23.0%
15
77.0%
Q1 - 5:07GSWFortson Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)14
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T3)13
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 5:17GSWMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot13
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 5:36MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)13
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 5:49GSWRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 5:49GSWRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 5:53MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 5:56GSWMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)11
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 6:20MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)11
22.3%
13
77.7%
Q1 - 6:27GSWGrant STEAL (1 STL)11
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 6:44MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 211
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 6:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
26.7%
9
73.3%
Q1 - 6:52GSWMISS Jamison 8' Jump Shot11
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 6:56GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot11
27.8%
9
72.2%
Q1 - 7:24GSWJamison 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
26.2%
9
73.8%
Q1 - 7:34GSWWarriors Rebound9
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 7:35GSWMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot9
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 7:57GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 29
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 8:08MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 8:10GSWMISS Hughes 5' Running Jump Shot9
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 8:16GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot9
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 8:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Grant Layup9
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 8:35GSWJamison 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 8:49MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)7
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 9:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot7
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 9:27GSWFortson 9' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 9:47MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 10:03GSWRichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)5
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot5
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 10:41MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:43GSWMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot5
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)5
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 11:09GSWFortson Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)5
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 11:09GSWJamison 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:20MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 11:39GSWRichardson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)2
25.8%
0
74.2%
Q1 - 11:47GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 11:49MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Foyle: Tip to Strickland0
23.1%
0
76.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.88 44.2%
MIA
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
13
19
68%
MIA
20
30
67%
Midrange
GSW
16
51
31%
MIA
10
40
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
1
1.5
11
9%
14%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
GSW
23
27
85%
MIA
23
36
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jamison3170%15.5 / 22
L. Hughes1534%7.5 / 22
J. Richardson1238%6.0 / 16
B. Sura1260%6.0 / 10
D. Fortson638%3.0 / 8
A. Foyle4100%2.0 / 2
T. Murphy220%1.0 / 5
M. Jackson220%1.0 / 5
M. Blaylock0-0.0 / 3
G. Arenas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2261%11.0 / 18
A. Mourning2166%10.5 / 16
R. Strickland1853%9.0 / 17
V. Stepania1083%5.0 / 6
J. Jackson630%3.0 / 10
L. Ellis643%3.0 / 7
E. House422%2.0 / 9
B. Grant217%1.0 / 6
K. Gill225%1.0 / 4
C. Gatling117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
82
+13
-13
95
MIA
80
+21
-19
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.88 44.2%
MIA
0.92 46.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.3
96.1
GSW 88.4
MIA 92.9 +4.5
Pace
97.1
89.7
GSW 100.2 +5.2
MIA 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.7
GSW 14.4 +0.8
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.2%
46.3%
GSW 37.7%
MIA 43.7% +6.0%
TO %
16.6%
15.5%
GSW 13.1% +3.6%
MIA 16.7%
ORB %
35.2%
26.7%
GSW 19.1%
MIA 34.8% +15.7%
FTrt
33.5
26.8
GSW 33.3
MIA 45.6 +12.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
59.4%
GSW 26.7%
MIA 69.7% +43.0%
STL %
8.1%
7.4%
GSW 9.5% +2.4%
MIA 7.1%
BLK %
9.0%
8.7%
GSW 5.7%
MIA 7.1% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.5%
47.7%
GSW 44.2%
MIA 46.0% +1.8%
Rim FG%
55.0%
60.6%
GSW 68.4% +1.7%
MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%
35.6%
38.0%
GSW 31.4% +6.4%
MIA 25.0%
3P %
32.2%
34.7%
GSW 9.1%
MIA 33.3% +24.2%
FT %
72.2%
72.4%
GSW 85.2% +21.3%
MIA 63.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
28.1%
GSW 23.5%
MIA 38.0% +14.5%
Mid Att. %
45.5%
57.8%
GSW 63.0%
MIA 50.6% +12.3%
3P Att. %
14.2%
14.1%
GSW 13.6% +2.2%
MIA 11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9599
Possession Minutes22.825.0
Points8492
Rebounds3954
Assists823
Steals97
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)38 (3)
Field Goals30-8133-79
At-the-Rim FG13-1920-30
Midrange FG16-5110-40
2-Point FG29-7030-70
3-Point FG1-113-9
Free Throws23-2723-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
39.3
31
70%
5
0
3
0
1
1
2
3
9-9
100%
11-17
65%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 21
38.1
12
38%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
4-4
100%
4-12
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 185 · 23
37.5
15
34%
4
4
3
0
4
2
1
3
5-8
63%
5-13
38%
0-5
0%
F · 6'8" 260 · 26
34.1
6
38%
6
1
0
0
0
6
0
6
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 27
12.3
4
100%
5
0
0
2
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
25.4
12
60%
6
1
2
0
3
6
2
4
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 22
24.7
2
20%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 27
15.3
2
20%
4
0
1
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" · 35
8.9
0
0%
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 20
4.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 32
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
44%
39
8
9
4
13
0
9
30
23-27
85%
29-70
41%
1-11
9%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.